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Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana Charafeddine Scientific Institute of Public Health

Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

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Page 1: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium

Estimating social inequalities in HLE:

Challenges and opportunities

10 February, 2012

Rana Charafeddine

Scientific Institute of Public Health

Page 2: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Outline

1. Background

2. Mortality follow up of survey data

3. Policy recommendations

Page 3: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

1. Background

Page 4: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Social inequalities in HLY in Belgium

Inequalities in HLY are not static over time

In the last decade, HLY have evolved differently according to the educational level. This generated an increase in the gap between educational groups (Van Oyen et al., 2011)

For instance, the difference in HLY at 25 years among the highest and lowest educated men was 17.0 years in 1997 and became 18.6 in 2004

Among women, this difference was 11.4 in 1997 and became 18.2 in 2004

Page 5: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Educational inequalities in HLY among women at age 25, Belgium

Ref: Van Oyen et al. (2011), Eur J of Public Health

Education 1997 2004 Diff..

Higher education 44.73 47.10 2.37

Higher secondary 43.41 41.27 -2.14

Lower secondary 40.88 42.01 1.13

Primary education 34.70 36.27 1.57

No diploma 33.31 28.92 -4.39

Total 38.91 40.42 1.51

Page 6: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Estimation of HLY by SES

Prevalence of health status by SES Disability indicator Survey data (e.g. HIS, SILC)

Mortality rate by SES Numerator: number of deaths by education Denominator: number of person years by education Mortality follow up of census using a unique identifier Linked approach: golden standard Alternative for the census?

Page 7: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Project: HEALTHY LIFE EXP

Funded by the Belgian Science Policy in the context of the AGORA program

Proposed by the Federal Public Service Social Security

Institutions involved: ISP (Herman Van Oyen, Rana Charafeddine, Stefaan

Demarest) VUB (Patrick Deboosere, Sylvie Gadeyne)

Started in January 2010 until June 2011

Page 8: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Objectives

To explore different possible methods as alternative to the census to be used in Belgium to estimate and update HLY by SES.

Method I: involves the use of mortality rates by SES generated from two different cross-sectional datasets.

Method II: involves the use of linked record studies other than the census such as surveys.

Page 9: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

2. Mortality follow up of survey data

Page 10: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Evaluation of surveys as data sources to estimate HLY by SES Surveys considered: HIS, LFS, SHARE, SILC

Criteria of evaluation Indicators availability: Health and SES Mortality follow up Representativity of the sample Survey design aspects (sample size, response rate, periodicity)

Final Choice: HIS (2001) and SILC (2004)

Follow up mortality of these surveys

Page 11: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Data

Mortality follow up : 6 years for HIS, 5 years for SILC HIS: 12 111 individuals initially, 10 093 matched SILC: 10 146 individuals initially, 97 75 matched

SES variable HIS: Highest educational level in the household SILC: Highest individual educational level

Health outcome Global Activity Limitation Indicator (GALI) • “For at least the last 6 months, have you been limited because of

a health problem in activities people usually do?”

Page 12: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Estimation of HLY

Sullivan method: based on cross sectional data

Method of choice for estimating HE due to its simplicity, relative accuracy and ease of interpretation

HLY will be estimated with their standard errors

SES Inequalities is studied in both surveys by comparing the lowest versus the highest educational category using the z-statistics

Page 13: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Mortality by SES among women in HIS

2001 and SILC 2004

EducationHIS SILC

N % N %

Higher education 24 1.8 20 1.4

Higher secondary 41 2.6 39 2.6

Lower secondary 51 5.9 30 4.0

Primary education 91 17.7 123 12.1

Total 207 5.3 212 4.8

Page 14: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Prevalence of disability by SES among

women in HIS 2001 and SILC 2004

EducationHIS%

SILC%

Higher education 14.1 19.0

Higher secondary 20.3 24.9

Lower secondary 27.6 34.7

Primary education 42.8 49.7

Total 23.3 30.7

Page 15: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

HLY and years of disability among women aged 25 years

HIS 2001

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Primary education Lower secondary Higher secondary Higher education

HLY Years in disabil ity

SILC 2004

010

20304050

6070

Primary education Lower secondary Higher secondary Higher education

HLY Years in disabil ity

Page 16: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

HLY and years of disability among women aged 65 years

SILC 2004

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Primary education Lower secondary Higher secondary Higher education

HLY Years in disabil ity

HIS 2001

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Primary education Lower secondary Higher secondary Higher education

HLY Years in disabil ity

Page 17: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Inequalities in HLY among women by

age and survey

Survey Primary

educationTertiary

education Difference

in HLYp

HIS-25 years 34.25 50.48 16.24 <0.01

HIS-65 years 8.62 16.95 8.33 <0.01

SILC-25 years 30.37 42.73 12.36 <0.01

SILC-65 years 7.56 12.57 5.01 <0.20

Page 18: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Comparison HIS and SILC

Comparable mortality rates by educational level in HIS and SILC

Disability rates are systematically higher in the SILC compared to the HIS

Systematically HLY are higher in the HIS

Significant inequalities are found in both surveys

At older ages, educational inequalities are significant in the HIS but not in the SILC

Page 19: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

3. Recommendations

Page 20: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Conclusion

The golden standard for estimating mortality by SES (and subsequently HLY) is through census linkage with National Register

In the absence of the census: Linked approach using surveys is a possible alternative Selection bias Comparison with the 3 years mortality follow up of census 2001

Page 21: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Life expectancy among women aged 25 years, census, HIS, SILC

EducationCensus2001

HIS 2001

SILC 2004

Higher education 59.90 63.37 61.85

Higher secondary 58.52 59.67 59.10

Lower secondary 58.00 58.83 61.47

Primary education 56.17 58.5 58.56

No diploma 53.98 - -

Page 22: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Recommendations for the use of survey follow up (1) A choice has to be made concerning the survey to use

As we got comparable variances using the HIS and SILC, the choice should not be based on statistical stability but on other criteria (e.g. regional estimates, yearly estimates)

Estimates are not interchangeable between HIS and SILC

To monitor HLY by SES in Belgium we recommend the use of the SILC as it is yearly and it is used at the European level

Page 23: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Recommendations for the use of survey follow up (2) Use of educational level as the SES stratification variable

Use of the Global Activity Limitation Indicator (GALI) to estimate the disability free life expectancy

Use of the Sullivan method Calculate the variances with the estimates

More practical information for the estimation (statistical programs, request for the privacy commission) are found in the final report

Page 24: Estimating social inequalities in Healthy Life Years in Belgium Estimating social inequalities in HLE: Challenges and opportunities 10 February, 2012 Rana

Thank you for your [email protected]