1
POLAND NETHERLANDS DENMARK BELGIUM NORWAY SWEDEN FINLAND ESTONIA LITHUANIA BIRMINGHAM LUXEMBOURG AMSTERDAM MILAN ROME MADRID BARCELONA LYON PARIS BRUSSELS LONDON WEST END MANCHESTER STUTTGART MUNICH FRANKFURT COLOGNE DUSSELDORF BERLIN HAMBURG MALMÖ COPENHAGEN GOTHENBURG TURKU HELSINKI LAHTI TAMPERE OULU RIGA TALLINN VILNIUS WARSAW LONDON CITY STOCKHOLM OSLO LISBON DUBLIN ROTTERDAM SPAIN ITALY GERMANY FRANCE PORTUGAL UK IRELAND LATVIA European office market map overview 2019 3.75 28.00 5,929,600 2.80 36.00 19,330,000 4.50 20.80 5,504,000 6.00 17.00 790,000 2.90 37.50 13,820,000 3.40 47.90 7,760,900 6.00 17.00 658,400 7.50 22.50 630,000 3.50 34.50 8,530,000 6.30 21.00 900,000 7.75 18.50 270,000 6.50 20.00 840,000 4.25 21.00 1,700,000 3.10 28.00 7,610,000 4.80 35.40 3,759,000 3.00 28.00 13,840,000 3.60 35.40 9,773,000 3.20 35.80 5,896,000 2.95 42.50 11,970,000 3.25 24.75 7,860,000 3.80 21.25 5,339,000 3.90 31.25 7,564,600 3.20 24.50 7,920,000 6.00 20.00 1,030,000 4.00 47.00 3,270,000 3.75 22.80 8,775,000 3.25 60.00 12,500,000 4.50 17.50 3,560,000 3.50 35.00 15,046,100 4.80 33.00 2,463,000 3.10 68.75 18,093,000 4.10 19.60 13,572,000 4.30 64.90 6,388,000 3.50 102.40 5,885,000 4.00 25.00 3,400,000 EUR 11.65 bn EUR 9.00 bn EUR 9.04 bn EUR 0.83 bn EUR 0.39 bn EUR 0.58 bn EUR 1.47 bn EUR 1.83 bn EUR 0.19 bn EUR 0.90 bn EUR 0.05 bn B A L T I C S EUR 1.60 bn CATELLA EUROPEAN OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW | 2019 4.10 17.00 2,886,700 4.00 54.20 3,661,900 EUR 1.69 bn EUR 1.04 bn EUR 0.23 bn EUR 1.63 bn BALTICS Research Contact [email protected] 2.80 36.00 19,330,000 Prime office yield, net %, H1 2019 Prime office rent, EUR/sq m. per month, H1 2019 Total office stock (sq m.), H1 2019 Total volume of existing office floorspace in net sq m. of city area, excluding vincinities. Office floorspace includes completed, let and vacant office buildings/ spaces. Prime yield equals the yield for a property of the highest quality specification in a prime location within the area. The property should be 100% let at market rent at the time, to blue-chip tenants, with a typical lease term for prime property within that market. The yield should reflect net income received by an investor, expressed as the percentage of the total capital value plus expected acquisition costs. Prime rent represents the top open-market rent that can be achieved for an office unit (sq m.) per month. The unit itself has to be of the highest quality and be located at the best location of the local market. Office transaction volume totalled to EUR 43.1 billion, a slight decrease of -4.4% compared to the first half of 2018. The “large markets” see declining volumes, primarily due to lack of core assets. Markets with attractive yield/risk profiles and a good supply of core office properties are gaining momentum. Office transaction volume Forecast end 2019 The upward economic trend of recent years will weaken in most European countries towards the end of the year. Nevertheless, the office markets will continue to show robust market performance. Prime yields 37 locations 0 29 8 Prime rents 37 locations 12 25 0 Office transaction volume per country in EUR billion, H1 2019 EUR 2.69 bn Office transaction volume per country in EUR billion H1 2018 H1 2019 % change compared to H1 2018* 2017 Spain 0.76 1.63 113% 1.85 Norway 0.70 1.47 110% 1.59 Poland 0.83 1.60 94% 0.30 Italy 0.94 1.69 81% 5.05 Sweden 1.42 1.83 29% 2.52 France 8.20 9.00 10% 4.19 Germany 11.22 11.65 4% 10.62 Finland 0.92 0.90 -2% 0.57 Ireland 1.16 1.04 -10% 1.49 Belgium 1.06 0.83 -22% 0.70 United Kingdom 13.02 9.04 -31% 11.64 Netherlands 2.69 1.58 -41% 2.63 Denmark 0.85 0.39 -54% 0.53 Luxembourg 0.45 0.19 -58% 0.43 Baltics 0.16 0.05 -69% 0.15 Portugal 0.74 0.23 -69% 0.78 * Percentage change may not be accurate, due to decimals being rounded up Source: Catella Research 2019, PMA, RCA for Non Catella Locations BERLIN

European office market map - Start · luxembourg amsterdam milan rome madrid barcelona lyon paris brussels london west end manchester stuttgart munich ... london city stockholm oslo

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Page 1: European office market map - Start · luxembourg amsterdam milan rome madrid barcelona lyon paris brussels london west end manchester stuttgart munich ... london city stockholm oslo

POLAND

NETHERLANDS

DENMARK

BELGIUM

NORWAY

SWEDEN

FINLAND

ESTONIA

LITHUANIA

BIRMINGHAM

LUXEMBOURG

AMSTERDAM

MILAN

ROME

MADRID BARCELONA

LYON

PARIS

BRUSSELS

LONDON WEST END

MANCHESTER

STUTTGART

MUNICH

FRANKFURT

COLOGNE

DUSSELDORF

BERLIN

HAMBURG

MALMÖCOPENHAGEN

GOTHENBURG

TURKU

HELSINKI

LAHTI

TAMPERE

OULU

RIGA

TALLINN

VILNIUS

WARSAW

LONDONCITY

STOCKHOLM

OSLO

LISBON

DUBLIN

ROTTERDAM

SPAINITALY

GERMANY

FRANCE

PORTUGAL

UK

IRELAND

LATVIA

European office market map overview 2019

3.75

28.00

5,929,600

2.80

36.00

19,330,000

4.50

20.80

5,504,000

6.00

17.00

790,000

2.90

37.50

13,820,000

3.40

47.90

7,760,900

6.00

17.00

658,400

7.50

22.50

630,000

3.50

34.50

8,530,000

6.30

21.00

900,000 7.75

18.50

270,000

6.50

20.00

840,000

4.25

21.00

1,700,000

3.10

28.00

7,610,000

4.80

35.40

3,759,000

3.00

28.00

13,840,000

3.60

35.40

9,773,000

3.20

35.80

5,896,000

2.95

42.50

11,970,000

3.25

24.75

7,860,000

3.80

21.25

5,339,000

3.90

31.25

7,564,600

3.20

24.50

7,920,000

6.00

20.00

1,030,000

4.00

47.00

3,270,000

3.75

22.80

8,775,000

3.25

60.00

12,500,000

4.50

17.50

3,560,000

3.50

35.00

15,046,100

4.80

33.00

2,463,000

3.10

68.75

18,093,000

4.10

19.60

13,572,000

4.30

64.90

6,388,0003.50

102.40

5,885,000

4.00

25.00

3,400,000

EUR 11.65

bn

EUR 9.00bn

EUR 9.04bn

EUR 0.83bn

EUR 0.39bn

EUR 0.58bn

EUR 1.47 bn

EUR 1.83 bn

EUR 0.19bn

EUR 0.90bn

EUR 0.05bn

B

A LT I C

S

EUR 1.60bn

CATELLA EUROPEAN OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW | 2019

4.10

17.00

2,886,700

4.00

54.20

3,661,900

EUR 1.69bn

EUR 1.04bn

EUR 0.23 bn

EUR 1.63bn

BALTI C

S

Research [email protected]

2.80

36.00

19,330,000

Prime office yield, net %, H1 2019

Prime office rent, EUR/sq m. per month, H1 2019

Total office stock (sq m.), H1 2019

Total volume of existing office floorspace in net sq m. of city area, excluding vincinities. Office floorspace includes completed, let and vacant office buildings/spaces.

Prime yield equals the yield for a property of the highest quality specification in a prime location within the area. The property should be 100% let at market rent at the time, to blue-chip tenants, with a typical lease term for prime property within that market. The yield should reflect net income received by an investor, expressed as the percentage of the total capital value plus expected acquisition costs.

Prime rent represents the top open-market rent that can be achieved for an office unit (sq m.) per month. The unit itself has to be of the highest quality and be located at the best location of the local market.

Office transaction volume totalled to EUR 43.1 billion, a slight decrease of -4.4% compared to the first half of 2018. The “large markets” see declining volumes, primarily due to lack of core assets. Markets with attractive yield/risk profiles and a good supply of core office properties are gaining momentum.

Office transaction volume

Forecast end 2019

The upward economictrend of recent years willweaken in most Europeancountries towards the endof the year. Nevertheless,the office markets willcontinue to show robustmarket performance.

Prime yields

37 locations

0

29

8

Prime rents

37 locations

18

17

1

12

25

0

Office transaction volume per country in EUR billion, H1 2019EUR 2.69 bn

Office transaction volume per country in EUR billion

H1 2018 H1 2019% change

compared to H1 2018* 2017

Spain 0.76 1.63 113% 1.85

Norway 0.70 1.47 110% 1.59

Poland 0.83 1.60 94% 0.30

Italy 0.94 1.69 81% 5.05

Sweden 1.42 1.83 29% 2.52

France 8.20 9.00 10% 4.19

Germany 11.22 11.65 4% 10.62

Finland 0.92 0.90 -2% 0.57

Ireland 1.16 1.04 -10% 1.49

Belgium 1.06 0.83 -22% 0.70

United Kingdom 13.02 9.04 -31% 11.64

Netherlands 2.69 1.58 -41% 2.63

Denmark 0.85 0.39 -54% 0.53

Luxembourg 0.45 0.19 -58% 0.43

Baltics 0.16 0.05 -69% 0.15

Portugal 0.74 0.23 -69% 0.78

* Percentage change may not be accurate, due to decimals being rounded up

Source: Catella Research 2019, PMA, RCA for Non Catella Locations

BERLIN