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Evaluation of the New Jersey Silicosis Surveillance System, 1993-2008
Jessie Gleason, MSPH
CDC/CSTE Applied Epidemiology FellowNew Jersey Department of Health and Senior Services
Environmental and Occupational Health Surveillance [email protected]
June 6, 2012
Disease BackgroundSilicosis
• Occupational lung disease• Respirable crystalline silica• Fatal – Irreversible• Preventable• Long latency period
Surveillance SystemBackground
• Silicosis surveillance: New Jersey and Michigan
• NIOSH has funded New Jersey since 1987• Silicosis surveillance is part of the Sentinel
Events Notifications Systems for Occupational Risk (SENSOR)
Silicosis Surveillance System
Two steps:
1.Report Sources: A. Hospital Discharge Data B. Death CertificatesC. Emergency Department DataD. Worker’s CompensationE. Physician Reports
Silicosis Surveillance System
2. Case Confirmation Requirements:A. History of occupational exposure to
airborne silica dustAnd Either or Both of the Following:B1. Chest radiograph or other imaging
techniqueB2. Pathologic findings
Evaluation of the Silicosis System
• 2001 Updated Guidelines for Evaluating Public Health Surveillance Systems, CDC
• Attributes: Positive Predictive Value (PPV), Representativeness, Data Quality, Simplicity, Timeliness, Flexibility, Stability
• Methods: Staff interviews, Review of
system documentation, database, publications and relevant literature
Positive Predictive Value (PPV)
• Proportion of reported potential cases which actually have the event
• Number of Confirmed Cases/Total Number of Potential Cases Reported
• PPV was calculated:– Overall – Report source by each status outcome
Positive Predictive Value by Primary Reporting Source, 1993-2008
Report Source
Reported N
Confirmed
N (PPV%)
NoN (%)
Insufficient
N (%)
MissingN(%)
Hospital 466 180 (39%)
93 (20%)
113 (24%) 42 (9%)
Death Certificate
29 5 (17%) 3 (10%) 15 (52%) 1 (3%)
Emergency Department
14 2 (14%) 3 (21%) 5 (36%) 3 (21%)
Worker’s Compensation
7 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 7 (100%)
Physician Reports
6 2 (33%) 1 (17%) 2 (33%) 1 (17%)
Total 528 192 (36%)
102 (19%)
135 (26%) 55 (10%)
Positive Predictive Value - Key Findings
• Overall PPV is low (36%)• Hospital Discharge Data has the highest
PPV (39%)• Insufficient:– 52% of Death Certificates– 36% Emergency Department Data– 24% Hospital Discharge Data
• Missing: 100% Worker’s Compensation
Representativeness
• “A representative system accurately describes the occurrence of health-related events over time and its distribution in the population by place and person” 1
• Compared confirmed silicosis cases to potentially silica-exposed New Jersey workforce2
• Chi-square goodness of fit
1. (2001) Updated Guidelines for Evaluating Public Health Surveillance Systems, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly
2. Estimates of workforce by gender, race, ethnicity and industry obtained from the Bureau of Labor and Statistics, New Jersey, 2010
Comparison of Demographic and Workforce Characteristics for Confirmed Silicosis Cases, (1993-2008) and Bureau of Labor
Statistics, New Jersey Workforce, (2010)
Characteristics
Labor Estimates
Silicosis Registry – Confirmed
Case
P-value
Gender 0.9801
Male 630000 (84%)
165 (86%)
Female 116000 (16%)
27 (14%)
Total 746000 192
Race 0.0511
White 610000 (82%)
161 (88%)
Black 93000 (12%) 18 (10%)
Other 42000 (6%) 4 (2%)
Total 745000 183
Ethnicity <.0001
Hispanic 259000 (35%)
11 (7%)
Non-Hispanic
487000 (65%)
166 (94%)
Total 746000 177
Comparison of Demographic and Workforce Characteristics for Confirmed Silicosis Cases, (1993-2008) and Bureau of Labor
Statistics, New Jersey Workforce, (2010) - continued
Characteristics
Labor Estimates
Silicosis Registry
– Confirme
d Case
P-value
Occupation <.0001
Farming 10000 (1%) 1 (1%)
Construction
158000 (21%)
51 (28%)
Installation 121000 (16%)
9 (5%)
Production 154000 (21%)
108 (60%)
Transportation
254000 (34%)
10 (6%)
Architecture 49000 (7%) 5 (3%)
Total 746000 179
Representativeness – Key Findings
• Gender (p-value >.05)– 86% Male silicosis cases vs. 84% Male
workforce• Race (p-value >.05)• Occupation (p-value <.05)• Ethnicity – 7% Hispanic silicosis cases vs. 35%
Hispanic workforce (p-value <.05)
Report Source, Gender, and Occupation by Ethnicity for Confirmed Silicosis Cases, (1993-2008)
Characteristics Hispanic Non- Hispanic
Unknown
Ethnicity
P-value
Report Source <.001*
Hospital and Emergency
7 (63%) 162 (98%)
13 (87%)
Physician reports 1 (9%) 1 (1%) 0 (0%)
Death Certificates 2 (18%) 3 (2%) 0 (0%)
Worker’s Compensation
0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Other 1 (9%) 0 (0%) 2 (13%)
Gender 0.380
Male 11 (100%)
142 (86%)
12 (80%)
Female 0 (0%) 24 (14%)
3 (20%)
Occupation 0.114
Construction 3 (27%) 44 (27%)
4 (29%)
Installation 1 (9%) 7 (4%) 1 (7%)
Production 4 (36%) 98 (61%)
6 (43%)
Other 3 (27%) 13 (8%) 3 (21%)
*Fisher’s Exact Test evaluated at a 0.05 significance level
Report Source and Gender by Ethnicity for Reported Potential Silicosis Cases, (1993-2008)
Characteristics Hispanic Non- Hispanic
Unknown
Ethnicity
P-value
Report Source <.004*
Hospital and Emergency
18 (75%) 378 (92%)
84 (89%)
Physician reports 1 (4%) 4 (1%) 1 (1%)
Death Certificates 3 (13%) 21 (5%) 5 (5%)
Worker’s Compensation
1 (4%) 6 (1%) 0 (0%)
Other 1 (4%) 1 (0%) 4 (4%)
Gender <.004*
Male 22 (92%) 357 (87%)
69 (73%)
Female 2 (8%) 53 (13%)
24 (26%)
*Fisher’s Exact Test evaluated at a 0.05 significance level
Data Quality: Percent Completeness of Work History and Clinical Indicator by Case Status for all Reported Potential
Cases, 1993-2008
Case Status Work History
Clinical Indicator
Total
Yes 192 (100%)
188 (98%)
192
No 42 (30%) 81 (59%) 138
Missing, Insufficient, or Unknown
37 (19%) 73 (37%) 198
Total 271 (51%)
342 (65%)
528
Data Quality: Percent Completeness of Work History and Clinical Indicator By First Reporting Source for all Reported
Potential Cases, 1993-2008
Work History
Clinical Indicator
Total
Hospital 245 (53%)
321 (69%)
466
Emergency Department
4 (29%) 8 (57%) 14
Death Certificate
9 (31%) 7 (24%) 29
Worker’s Compensation
6 (86%) 0 (0%) 7
Physician Report
4 (67%) 2 (33%) 6
Attribute Rating
Attribute Methods Key Findings
Strength+ Poor++ Fair+++ Good++++ Excellent
Simplicity Interviews, Report Review, Accessed database
*Clinical reports are often difficult to interpret*Follow-up interviews are difficult to obtain*Hospital and Emergency reports are obtained through a simple data extraction procedure
++
Timeliness Interviews, Report Review
*Time from diagnosis to Follow-Up (6 to 21 months) ++
Flexibility Interviews *Could include other occupational respiratory diseases with little alteration ++++
Stability Interviews, Report review
*Fully operational during evaluation period (1993 – 2008) +++
Recommendations
• Explore collaboration with Worker’s Compensation
• Focus on obtaining and coding ethnicity as a priority data collection point
• Target the Hispanic workforce for silicosis awareness and education interventions
Recommendations - continued
• More complete occupational information in hospital discharge data would improve timeliness, simplicity and PPV
• Update database forms and tables to improve the completeness of data entry
• Increase physician reporting through outreach efforts
Acknowledgments
New Jersey Department of Health and Senior ServicesEnvironmental and Occupational Health Surveillance Program
Karen Worthington MS, RN, COHN-SDaniel Lefkowitz MS, PhD
Margaret Lumia, MPH, PhDJerald Fagliano MPH, PhD
This report was supported in part by an appointment to the Applied Epidemiology Fellowship Program administered by the
Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists (CSTE) and funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
Cooperative Agreement Number 5U38HM000414