Evolution and Future of Manufacturing Systems

International Academy for Production EngineeringSTC “O” Meeting, CIRP GA in Birmingham, 23 August 2019

CIRP office: 9 rue Mayran, 75009 PARIS – France, E mail: cirp@cirp.net, http://www.cirp.net

byH. ElMaraghy (1), L. Monostori (1), G. Schuh (1), W. ElMaraghy (1)

Presenting Lead Author: H. ElMaraghy, Intelligent Manufacturing Systems Centre (IMS), Department of Mechanical, Materials and Automotive Engineering, (MAME), Faculty of Engineering,

University of Windsor, Canada. Email: hae@uwindsor.ca

Proposed Keynote Paper, STC “O”CIRP Annals - Manufacturing Technology

Volume 70, Issue 2, 2021

Second Progress Report

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Keynote Paper Structure

Introduction, Motivation, Definitions, Objectives and Scope

Evolution of Manufacturing Systems: Major Trends and Disruptors

Future Smart Manufacturing Systems: Drivers, Enablers & Concepts

Industrial Practice and Innovations: Readiness, and Implementations

Research Issues and Priorities

Conclusions

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Evolution and Future of Manufacturing Systems

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Evolution and Future of Manufacturing Systems

4https://www.piovan.com/en/winfactory4_0https://www.japan.go.jp/abenomics/_userdata/abenomics/pdf/society_5.0.pdf

Society 5.0

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Definitions & Classification of Manufacturing Systems Terminology

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Manufacturing Systems, Paradigms: flexible, reconfigurable, changeable,..

Robust, Resilient, Responsive, Adaptive, Agile

Evolution, Co-evolution, Symbiosis, Biological-inspiration and Mimicry

Global, Distributed, Networked

Connected, Federated, Collaborative, Integrated (vertically & horizontally)

Industry 4.0, IoP, Cyber-Physical Manufacturing Systems, Society 5.0

Smart, Intelligent, Cognitive, Sentinent, Autonomous, Self-aware, Self-healing, Self-optimizing, Self-controlling, Agent-based, Holonic

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Evolution of Manufacturing

Systems

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Manufacturing Systems Re-Imagined

7Societal & Sustainability Goals

Socially Responsible; Society 5.0; UN Sustainability Goals; Responsible: Consumption; Automation and AI Applications, Safe Digital Business Models; Safe and secured society in both cyber and physical spaces

Design / Arrangement

Built-In Resilience; Robustness by Design; Adaptability; System of Systems Simulation; Digital Twins; Design for Sustainability

Human Capital Education and Skills; Augmented Worker 4.0; AI Supported; Collaboration with Machines and Systems; Responsible Automation

Location and Scale Central; Networked; Distributed; Urban; Close to Home; At Home; Mobile; Multi-scale: Traditional, Mini, Personalization

Operation Adaptive and Reconfigurable Process Planning, Routing, Scheduling, Control; Driven by and Combine: Data, knowledge, AI, Values, Business Models; Autonomy

Configuration & Behaviour

Coupling; Co-platforming; Co-evolution; Modularity; Re-configuration (Logical & Physical); Manufacturing System Life-cycle; Cognitive; Active Adaptation; Intelligent

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Evolution and Future of Manufacturing Systems Paradigms

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Future Manufacturing Systems

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Near TermLong Term

Smart Manufacturing Systems (I 4.0)

Adaptive Cognitive Manufacturing Systems (ACMS)Outcome-based

Economy, new Products and Services

New Business Models Circular Economy Resource Optimization Automation Performance Pay per Outcome/Use Data Monetization Cyber Security & Safety

Smart, connected (horizontally/vertically)

Agile Networks Resource Sharing Worker Productivity

Resilience / Intelligent adaptation Demand sensing and reaction Semi- / full Autonomy Zero Defects/ Waste Sustainability (3S) New Value Chains/Propositions Responsible Automation/AI Augmented Worker Technologies New Skills & Education models

Leveraging new advances to improve manufacturing systems across the entire value chain

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Industrial Practice, Readiness and Adoption

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International industrial surveys and reports (e.g. NIST, acatech, EU, EFFRA, WEF, OECD, UNDP, SMEs Coalition, McKinsey & Co., the Boston Group, KPMG, PWC-PricewaterhouseCoopers, ATKearny, …. etc.)

CIRP Colleagues and Corporate members National Strategies: Smart Manufacturing, Industrie 4.0, Society 5.0, etc. … Applications and Use Cases, experience gained and lessons learned Stakeholders Readiness:

Industry assessments, indicators and maturity models, Global readiness: Countries & Regions Programs, Initiatives, Investments National and International Research & Development Programs Education and Training of Human Capital

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Industrial Implementation – Use case: e.GO Car

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Prod

uct M

atur

ity

t36 monthConcept FunctionalPrototype

TechnicalPrototype

highly iterative

Change: Steel to Alu

Change: L7E to M1

Change: High-voltage

DevelopmentCycle Production

Cycle

UserCycle

IoP

Cross Domain Integration enables agile product development throughout Life-cycle

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Content and Responsibility

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1 Introduction, Motivation, Definitions, Objectives and Scope WEMDefinitions and Scope. Configuration, Design, Operation. Manufacturing systems research paradigms. Connectedness, information integration. Robustness, Resilience, Complexity. Multi-scale, mobility, distributed/ urban. Customization and personalization. Digital transformation, digital twin. Biological transformation. Circular manufacturing. Sustainability goals and smart manufacturing major drivers. Global Production and supply networks.

ALL

2 Evolution of Manufacturing Systems: Major Trends and Disruptors HAEAxes of development (Products, Technology, Business Models, Paradigms); Manufacturing Systems Evolution, Products/Systems co-evolution. Systems integration platforms, Internet of Production; Manufacturing systems life-cycle management. Reference architectures for smart intelligent and sustainable manufacturing systems.

ALL

3 Future Smart Manufacturing Systems: Drivers, Enablers and Concepts LMMulti-dimensional symbiosis. Smart products, machines, robots, sensors, processes and systems. Cyber-Physical, agent-based, holonic, cognitive, autonomous systems. Machines / human collaboration and integration. Relevant developments combining the physical, digital and biological worlds. Configuration design. Smart manufacturing systems. Adaptive cognitive Mfg. systems.

ALL

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Content and Responsibility

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4 Industrial Practice and Innovations: Readiness and Implementations GSStake holders’ readiness, International and Industrial programs, CIRP colleagues and corporate members’ experiences. Implementations and Use Cases, e.g.: eGo Car (Germany), Smart Factories (South Korea and Sweden), etc.

ALL

5 Research Issues and Priorities ALLAutonomous adaptation, self-awareness, self-learning, self-healing/repairing, cognitive machines and systems. Augmented human-centered cognitive manufacturing systems. Bio-inspired methodologies for design, operation, and co-development. Data security and workers safety, Governing regulations and standards. New digital business models. Socially responsible manufacturing systems, etc.

6 Conclusions ALLOutlook and perspective on the evolution and future of manufacturing systems.

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Literature Search - Keywords

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Num

ber o

f Doc

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YearFMS-RMS-CMS Manufacturing Systems Evolution _ FoFSmart Manufacturing- Industry 4 Cognitive Manufacturing- AIManufacturing / Production Networks Cyber-Physical Manufacturing Systems - CPPSVirtual Manufacturing – DT - DS Manufacturing Systems Co-EvolutionBiological Mimicry Manufacturing sustainabilitySocio-technical impacts Adaptable ManufacturingBusiness models Education in future mfg.

Mfg. Sustainability

FMS-RMS-CMSMfg. / Produc. NetworksVirtual Mfg.Smart Mfg.Cyber-Phy. Mfg.Mfg. Sys. EvolutionBiological MimmicryEducation future mfg.

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Literature Search - Publications

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Timeline and Milestones – on track2021 KN: Evolution and Future of Manufacturing Systems

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2018

Proposal Presentation & Approval

Tokyo8/2018

Preliminary KN

Proposal Paris

2/2018

2019 2020

Complete Draft for

DiscussionMunich8/2020

Rep.# 3 Detailed Chapters

Paris2/2020

2021

Rep.#1 overview,

scope Paris

2/2019

Rep.# 2 Detailed Contents

Birmingham8/2019

KN Paper Presentation Vancouver

8/2021

20 Feb. - Comments - STC Chair and Editorial Committee.15 April – Submission of revised approved Kn (R1) through EES.1st May – Comments from the STC Chair and Editorial Committee.20 May – Submission of the revised Keynote paper (R2) through EES.25 May - Final approval by the EC chair.28 May - PPT (for the GA) sent by email to the STC Chair for approval.28 May - CIRP gives the Publisher the approval to print the Kn in Vol. 2.

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DISCUSSION

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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

We invite you to contribute to this evolving keynote1) Research papers and perspectives

2) National Initiatives and projects

3) Industrial examples and use cases

hae@uwindsor.ca