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Exploring the links between energy
efficiency improvements and health and
wellbeing
Elaine Caldow, Public Health Practitioner,
NHS Ayrshire and Arran
and
Cassandra Dove, Researcher Officer,
Energy Agency
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
ScotlandReducing CO2 and
greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Building Foundations for Health
and HousingExploring the links between energy
efficiency improvements and health and
wellbeing
Oct 2018
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Background
Local Housing Strategy
Sustainable Housing
Local Context
Fuel Poverty
Climate Change
Contribution of Housing Stock to Climate Change
Extent, location and nature of fuel poverty
Maximising the uptake of energy-efficiency programmes
HEEPS:ABS targets & outcomes
Housing Contribution Statement
Health & Social Care
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Background
Fuel Poverty:
Respiratory
conditions
Cardiovascular
conditions
Mental health
Excess winter
deaths
Poor health:
Housing
energy-
efficiency
Cold homes:65% of
households in
the west of
Scotland are
classed as
‘cold homes’
(EPC rating of
between D
and G)
Households spending more than
10% of their income on fuel
(2014-2016):
31% Scotland
38% East Ayrshire
28% South Ayrshire
Average Energy-
efficiency Rating:
63 Scotland
64 East Ayrshire
63 South Ayrshire
Target:
69+
Band C
Local context
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Energy Agency:
Charity providing free, impartial and expert advice to households, businesses and communities, covering energy efficiency, renewable energy and sustainable transport.
Managing agent for the HEEPS:ABS programme*
• South Ayrshire
• East Ayrshire
• Dumfries & Galloway
• *Home Energy Efficiency Programme Scotland: Area Based Schemes
Background
Initial Discussions
Feasibility Study (2015)
Full-scale Evaluation (ongoing)
NHS Ayrshire & Arran (Public Health)
Energy Agency
NHS Ayrshire & Arran (Public Health)
Literature Review
Pilot Study
Steering Group Advisors
Energy Agency
Recruitment of Participants
Steering Group Advisors
South Ayrshire & East Council - Steering Group Advisors
Scottish Government - Steering Group Advisor
NHS Ayrshire & Arran (Public Health)
Research Support
Steering Group Advisors
Dissemination
Energy Agency
Employment of full-time Research Officer
Project management and administration
Equipment & other resources
Steering Group Advisors
South Ayrshire & East Council - Steering Group Advisors
Scottish Government - Steering Group Advisor
University of Strathclyde/GlasgowFindings
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Background
Feasibility Study (2015)
Literature review
Fuel poverty, cold homes and health
Housing energy efficiency
improvements and health (logic
model)
Methodological considerations
Theory of change
Study Design
Timescales
Confounding factors
Research tools
Semi structured qualitative interviews
Testing and prioritising outcomes
Methodological considerations
Confounding factors
Feasibility Study
(led by Public Health)
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Background
Quantitative
Data
Qualitative
Data
Warmth &
Energy-
efficiency
Improvements
Use house for
hospitality
Housing
conditions
improved
Fuel use/costs
reduced
Reduced fuel bills
Increased indoor
warmth and
comfort
Increased control
over house
temperature and
hot water
Increased pride in
house
Improved ease of
heating house
Affected relationship
with housing provider
varied by status of
tenant
Increased disposable
income for food
Increased use of
kitchen
Increased use of
indoor space
Increased motivation
to tidy & clean house
Improved diet
Increased privacy
Improved
relationships &
social interaction
within the household
& family functioning
Increased
opportunities for
leisure & study in
house
Increased emotional
security & feeling of
being at ease in
home
Improved physical
and mental health
Improved/no change for
“other symptoms”
General health
improved
Respiratory health
improved/little change
Mental health
improved/deteriorated
Reduced
time off
school/work
Links supported
by data
Links implied by
data
(Thomson et al., 2013)
Logic Model
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
HEEPS:ABS
Eligibility:
• Funding allocation for
each local authority in
Scotland
• Open to all tenures
•Targeted at fuel poor
areas
• Primarily external
wall insulation
Home Energy Efficiency Programmes for Scotland:
Area Based Schemes
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Evaluation
Energy Efficiency
Temperature change within
the home
Thermal comfort experienced in
the home
Changes in home temperature management
Changes in actual fuel
consumption
Changes in actual expenditure on
fuel
Health & Well-being
Impact on general health
Impact on respiratory and
circulatory diseases
Impact on mental
wellbeing
Change in SAP
Ratings
Change in Modelled Fuel
Costs
Customer Satisfaction
Annual/Lifetime CO2 savings
Annual/Lifetime cost savings
Fuel Poverty Status
Previous Evaluation
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Evaluation
Energy Efficiency
Temperature change within
the home
Thermal comfort experienced in
the home
Changes in home temperature management
Changes in actual fuel
consumption
Changes in actual expenditure on
fuel
Health & Well-being
Impact on general health
Impact on respiratory and
circulatory diseases
Impact on mental
wellbeing
Change in SAP
Ratings
Change in Modelled Fuel
Costs
Customer Satisfaction
Annual/Lifetime CO2 savings
Annual/Lifetime cost savings
Fuel Poverty Status
Proposed Evaluation
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Proposed EvaluationStudy design
2015 2016 2017 2018
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Prospective: Baseline
Retrospective Study
Prospective: Follow-up
Prospective: Pre-Assessment
Prospective : Post-Assessment
Install period
Control Intervention Control Intervention
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Proposed EvaluationStudy Design
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Prospective:
Baseline
Retrospective Study
Prospective:
Follow-up
Completed
projects in
South and
East Ayrshire
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Proposed EvaluationStudy Design
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Prospective:
Baseline
Retrospective Study
Prospective:
Follow-up
Prospective:
Baseline
Retrospective Study
Prospective:
Follow-up
Prospective:
Baseline
Prospective:
Follow-up in 2019
Part 2
Completed
projects in
Dumfries &
Galloway
Part 3
Completed
projects in
South and
East Ayrshire
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Proposed EvaluationStudy Design
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Apr-
Jun
Jul-
Sep
Oct-
Dec
Jan-
Mar
Prospective:
Baseline
Retrospective Study
Prospective:
Follow-up
Prospective:
Baseline
Retrospective Study
Prospective:
Follow-up
Prospective:
Baseline
Prospective:
Follow-up in 2019
Prospective:
Baseline
Prospective:
Follow-up in 2020
Part 2
Part 1
Part 3
Prospective 1 = 95 households
Prospective 2 = 94 households
Prospective 3 = 113 households (including North Ayrshire &
South Lanarkshire)
Prospective 4 = Ongoing
Retrospective I = 78 households
Retrospective II = 42 households
Part 4
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Control Group
Baseline Assessment (Winter prior to the insulation upgrades):
No Intervention
Intervention Group
Intervention
Follow-up Assessment (Winter following the insulation upgrades)
Prospective StudyAssessment tools
• Household Questionnaires: Property conditions, occupancy patterns,
heating system and expenditure on fuel
• Health Questionnaires: SF-36 scores, GP & Hospital visits, long term
health problems, colds & flus
• Environmental Monitoring: Record of room temp/RH, thermal comfort
diary, meter readings
Detailed temp/RH monitoring on
selected properties
• EPCs: Modelled energy consumption, modelled fuel
costs, modelled CO2 emissions
°C
??
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Findings to dateAggregate results
Property conditions
94% of respondents agreed that the
appearance of their home had been
improved by the insulation
79% also felt that the street or
neighbourhood had improved a lot
55% of participants who reported
having a problem with condensation or
dampness said that this appears to have
been improved
There was a reduction in the number of
intervention households reporting issues
with cold spots and draughts in the
property.
23% had noticed a reduction in the
level of noise
Average EER increase
of 8 points
Before
Properties with below average
energy-efficiency
After
Properties with below average
energy-efficiency49% 21%
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Findings to dateAggregate results
Property conditions
“In the winter the upstairs is used, whereas
the last couple of winters it hasn’t been…We
were all sleeping in here [living room] but
last winter we were in our own rooms”
“I always liked it to be nice but now I take
more pride in it. I even got my hedge cut
shorter so everybody could see my house. I
think it’s lovely”
“You used to get up in the
morning and the window would
just be running with
condensation and now it’s not“
“We noticed the difference straight
away...it was quite obvious that it
was a lot warmer”
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Findings to dateAggregate results
Neighbourhood
“More folk talk because they’re
talking about the houses. Folk
speak to you that’s never spoke
to you before”
“You it makes the street look great.
Everybody’s happy and it makes you want
to do stuff to the building to keep it nice”
“I think it’s improved the street,
definitely...Not even just the
street, the whole village”
“It’s made a nice change to the
village itself. Nearly all of the
homes got done….so you feel
pride in that”
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland Fuel Costs
Fuels bills were reduced by
23% on average (2 - 39%)
This equated to average annual
fuel saving of approximately:
£250
£Modelled changes in fuel expenditure (EPC)
Fuel Poverty (estimated)
Before
After
45%
27%
Findings to dateAggregate results
57%34%
9%
Fuel Bills
Decrease
About thesame
Increase
Reported changes in fuel expenditure
“My gas and electricity has
gone from £140 to £79”
“They’re gonna actually repay me
now...£496 you know, it’s very nice
thank you very much”
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland Occupant Behaviour
Over 46% of households
reported that they did not monitor
their energy use at all
11% reported becoming more
energy conscious since receiving
the insulation
°C
43% have decreased the number of heating
hours required per day
20% have decreased the temperature of
their main thermostat
15% have turned down at least 1 radiator
The need for additional room heaters, hot
water bottles, electric blankets and extra
clothing and has been reduced
78% felt that the
overall temperature of
their home had increased
79% found that
their home now
heated up more
quickly88% agreed that their
home was able to retain
the heat more effectively
34% had been prompted to
make other improvements to
their property (e.g. gardens,
internal décor)
Findings to dateAggregate results
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Prospective Study Monitoring example
Living room:
increase from 19°C
to 21°C
Kitchen:
increase from 18°C
to 20°C
Bedroom:
No change (not
typically heated)
Gas consumption
decreased by 43%
(Close predicted
benchmark of 35%)
Estimated annual
saving: £220
Example property (end-terrace occupied by 2 pensioners):
Environmental Monitoring
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Prospective Study Monitoring example
Environmental Monitoring
Relative Humidity Monitoring:
Part 2 Findings
The majority of properties
exhibited mean relative
humidity values which were
within the
recommended range of 40 to
60%RH.
There were however 15
households where there
was evidence of high relative
humidity during the baseline
assessment.
Following the
insulation upgrades, only 1
household exhibited average
relative humidity values which
were above 65%RH.
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
“I believe I feel better and
more comfortable about the
house, I really am….With the
dampness…it helps my
breathing a lot and I sleep
better”
“I think with the house being
warmer its helped my
arthritis a lot cause I’m not as
sore now…It doesn't take me 3
hours in the morning now to
get moving”
“I don’t know if it’s just
a general thing but I’ve
not had as many colds”
“My kids and my husband used to get
tonsillitis all the time…we genuinely
believed that those [condensation &
damp problems] were factors in how
unwell we were in the house and I
think it has improved”
Health results (self-reported)
16 cases of improved respiratory health in
adults (e.g. asthma, COPD and seasonal
illnesses)
7 similar cases for children
5 cases of pain reduction (e.g. arthritis)
Health FindingsAggregate results
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
“you are a bit more content
that you know you’re coming
into a warm house…it’s quite
nice to come in and shut the
door and be quite cosy”
Health results (self-reported)
16 cases of improved respiratory health in
adults (e.g. asthma, COPD and seasonal
illnesses)
7 similar cases for children
5 cases of pain reduction (e.g. arthritis)
39 cases of improved mood/mental well-
being – linked to increased comfort and
satisfaction with the home
“It just looks better. If somethings
nice you try to keep it tidier. That’s
just general human nature isn’t it?”
Health FindingsAggregate results
“Well it’s more comfortable
and a pleasant environment…
Psychologically, since you’ve
had the insulation you feel the
house is gotta be warmer”
“It’s like the outside of a
book, you know, it’s nice
when you open up the pages
and go in feeling different”
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
SF-36 Scoring System
0
20
40
60
80
100
PhysicalFunctioning
Rolelimitations(physical)
Rolelimitations(emotional)
Energy &fatigue
Emotionalwell-being
Socialfunctioning
Pain
General health
Physical
Health
Mental
Health
5861
6763
0
20
40
60
80
100
Warmth Improvements No Warmth Improvements
Avera
ge S
core
(0
-100) Baseline
Follow-up
General Health Domain
Prospective Study (Part 1)Health Results
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Prospective Study (Part 2)Health Results
SF-36 Scoring System
0
20
40
60
80
100
PhysicalFunctioning
Rolelimitations(physical)
Rolelimitations(emotional)
Energy &fatigue
Emotionalwell-being
Socialfunctioning
Pain
General health
Physical
Health
Mental
Health
78 84Overall Scores:
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Prospective Study (Part 2)Results
SF-36 Scoring System
0
20
40
60
80
100
PhysicalFunctioning
Rolelimitations(physical)
Rolelimitations(emotional)
Energy &fatigue
Emotionalwell-being
Socialfunctioning
Pain
General health
Individual categories:
(participants who described their home ‘much warmer’)
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Data Linkage (Postcode level data)Preliminary Results
Standardized
Hospital
Admissions for
Respiratory
Conditions
All Ayrshire
Control
Intervention
Standardized
Hospital
Admissions for
Cardiovascular
Conditions
All Ayrshire
Control
Intervention
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Theory of changeEvidence to date
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland What we have achieved:
• Development of a practical evaluation procedure for ABS
• Ongoing partnership with NHS (Ayrshire & Arran)
• Recruitment of households – 300+ visits conducted to date
Difficulties Encountered:
•Sample sizes & diversity
•Project timescales & follow-up period
•Recruiting control groups
•Obtaining accurate energy consumption data
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland Outputs:
• Prospective Study Wave I (Complete – Aug 2017)
• Prospective Study Wave II (Complete - June 2018)
• Prospective Study Wave III (Expected June 2019)
• Retrospective Study Wave I (Complete – Mar 2017)
• Retrospective Study Wave II (Complete – Mar 2018)
Next Steps:
• Wave III Data collection
• Further NHS collaboration – health data linkage
• PhD project in collaboration with Glasgow University
Reducing CO2 and greenhouse gas
emissions in
Scotland
Thank you
www.energyagency.org.uk
Home Energy Scotland:
0808 808 2282