Fabby Tumiwa_ENGLISH

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POLICY AND STRATEGY OF INDONESIA DEVELOPMENT

IN FACING CLIMATE CHANGE

Fabby Tumiwa1

Preface

Indonesia is an archipelago with more than 13,000 islands with the length of its coastal line

reaching 80,000 km. With total population of 231 million people, it is estimated that 41.6

million people live in 10 meter above sea level coastlines or also well known as Low

Elevation Coastal Zone (McGranahan, et.al 2007). In addition, numbers of industrial

operations, economical activities, and infrastructures centers take place in coastal areas of

major islands in Indonesia. It is estimated that the coastal activities contribute 25% of gross

domestic income and absorb 15% of workforce (Boer, 2007). The sea level rise due to global

warming is potential to cause economical loss for Indonesia. Based on the projection of 1.1

meter sea level rise in the year 2100, 90,260 km2 of coastal line will be disappeared and the

total economical loss will reach 25.56 billion USD (Susandi, 2008).

Indonesia also rank as the fourth most populace country in the world, hence one of the

countries with significant release of green house gas (GHG) emission. The GHG emission

was contributed by deforestation and land use changes. Total area of Indonesia is nearly 2

million kilometer square with forest cover of 88.49 million hectares in 2005. The number is

decreasing from 116.95 million hectare in 1990 (WRI, 2006).

One of UN Agencies, Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), estimate that Indonesia has

lost 1.87 million hectares of forest per year during the 2000-2005. The official deforestation

data from Ministry of Forestry (2010) shows various number of deforestation rate during

1996-2006, averaging at 1.9 million hectares deforestation per year (Table 1). The decreasing

number of forest cover is caused by conversion of forest area and mass changes in forest

function for timber production, plantation, mining, and agricultural activities.

Table 1. Deforestation Rate in Indonesia (1990 2010)

Deforestation Rate

(million hectares/year)

1990-1996 1996-2000 2000-2003 2003-2006 2010

(projected)

Indonesia 1.87 3.51 1.08 1.17 1.125

Inside designated forest 1.37 2.83 0.78 0.76 0.770

Outside designated

forests

0.50 0.68 0.30 0.41 0.355

1 Executive Director of Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR), member of Financial Working

Group of National Council of Climate (DNPI), and member of Indonesian Delegates in UNFCCC negotiations.


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Source: Data from Ministry of Forestry (2010)

As a country with the third largest tropical forest in the world after Brazil and Democratic

Republic of the Congo, Indonesia has prominent potency as carbon storage and sink.

Moreover, forest and sea in Indonesia possess abundance wealth of biodiversity. Indonesia

holds the fifth rank of biodiversity richness in the world. Indonesia is the place for 10 percent

of flower species in the world, 12 percent of mammals, 16 percent of reptile and amphibians,

and 17 percent of bird species. The 33 million hectares of sea in Indonesia is the habitat for

450 coral species and 25 percent of fish species in the world, including rare coral fish. These

richness in biodiversity and forests have high conservation value for ecosystem services and

become the source of livelihoods for million of people that reliant on forest and sea. i

The economical condition in Indonesia highly depends on natural resources, especially from

sea and forest ecosystems. The sustainability of both ecosystems is threatened by traditional

factors such as increasing population, industrial development, and urbanization. These have

accelerated the process of land conversion, large-scale deforestation, land/forest fire,indigenous habitat of animals and plants damage, water catchment area damage, and sea

resources exploitation. Moreover, these entire threats are also worsened by the climate

change.

From the above description, the climate change phenomena add the complexity in the context

of natural resources management and economical condition in Indonesia. This has in fact

been realized by the government and community of Indonesia. For the past 15 years, many

institutions have issued various papers to review the impact of climate change in Indonesia.

For the last three years, there are also many reviews in regards with the selection of several

policy and strategy to support low carbon emission development in Indonesia. The results are

some policy and strategy products for climate change mitigation and adaptation.

This paper intends to provide information on the updated review of climate change mitigation

and adaptation and the current development of public policies related with climate change in

Indonesia. It is expected that this paper can present the readers with description regarding

discourses and efforts done by the Government of Indonesia to deal with climate change.

Climate Change in Indonesia

In principle, the climate in Indonesia depends on the Asian and Australian monsoon

circulation characterized by the near-surface wind system that changes direction almost every

half year. Such change bases the key seasons change, those are rainy and dry seasons. In theliterature regarding Asian monsoon (e.g., Johnson, 1992), summer monsoon happens during

June-July-August (JJA) while winter monsoon happens during December-January-February

(DJF). Such period more or less similar with what generally perceived by most people in

Indonesia, especially those live in Java Island that is with the term east season for dry

season and west season for rainy season.


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Some scientific reviews also show that the temperature in Indonesia will be increased

gradually. Review done by Boer and Faqih (2004) estimates the temperature increase from

0.2C to 0.3C per decade. ICCSR had issued a review based on climate model that has been

developed globally. It projects temperature increase of 0.8-1C on the year 2020-2050

relative to basic reference of the year 1960-1990. In the year 2070-2100, the temperature

increase in Java-Bali ranges at 2-3C and the highest will be in Sumatra of 4C.

It is also estimated that the sea surface temperature will be increasing due to the increasing

surface temperature. The increasing sea surface temperature is estimated to reach 0.65C in

the year 2030, 1.1C in the year 2050, and 2.15C in the year 2100. One of the direct impacts

of such increasing number is the relocation of fish stocks from Indonesian water (ICCSR,

2009). As for rainfall, the review from ICCSR team show various results for every area/island

in Indonesia during the 2010-2050 and 2070-2100 period, with tendency of increasing

rainfall during wet seasons and decreasing rainfall in transition months.iii

One of the impacts of escalating global warming rate is the rise on seawater surface due tothe melting ice in the polar. Based on the results from review and observation, Indonesia will

experience sea level rise of 0.6-0.8 cm per year (ICCSR, 2009). With thousands of small

islands and kilometers of coastlines, it is estimated that Indonesia will lose significant number

of land as the result of sea level rise. In addition to such rise, land subsidence will also

worsen the seawater intrusion and inundation for big cities in Indonesia, especially those

located in the northern Java coastline such as Jakarta, Semarang, and Surabaya.

Profile and Opportunities for Reducing Green House Gas Emission in Indonesia

Indonesia produces significant amount of green house gases. Based on the data collected in

2008 by CDIAC (Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center), if only observed from theCO2 emission of the energy sector, then Indonesia holds the 15

th rank of global emitter with

total emission of 397 million ton CO2 in 2007. Meanwhile, data of the year 2005 collected by

WRI (World Resource Institute) that exclude forestry sector and land use change activities

show that the total green house gases emission for Indonesia in that particular year is 586.3

million tones CO2 equal. If the forestry sector and land use change activities are included,

then the total emission is 2,045.3 million ton CO2 equal.

Total emission released from Indonesia in the end of 1990s decade significantly increased

due to the land and forest fire in the year 1997/1998. It is estimated that 24 billion of carbon

stocks stored in vegetation and land, and 80 percent of them are stored in forest (KLH, 2003).

The key contributors to the growing emission of green house gases come from land change

and land use change (forest fire, illegal logging, peat land degradation, deforestation, and

many more). In addition, the GHG emission from energy sector is dramatically increasing for

the past two decades. The GHG emissions from other sectors are also increasing, although

its not as major as those coming from both key sectors.

Bhs Indo:perubahan lahan dan perubahan talahan = land change and land usechange. Namun jika maksudnyapenggunaan lahan dan perubahanguna lahan = land use and land uschange.


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Picture 1. Profile and Scenario of Green House Gases Emission in Indonesia (2005 2030)

Review from National Council of Climate Change (Dewan Nasional Perubahan Iklim)

(DNPI, 2010) shows that the annual GHG emission in Indonesia reach 2.1 Giga ton (Gt)iv in

the year 2005. Along with the economical and development growth, it is estimated that the

GHG emission will reach 3.3 Gt per year in 2030. The calculation and projection of GHGemission in Indonesia is presented in the Picture 1.

Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry (LULUCF) and peat land degradation are both

considered as the two largest contributors of GHG emission. At least 1.61 Gt CO 2e or 78

percent of GHG emission in Indonesia in the year 2005 was caused by both sectors. The third

largest contributor is the agriculture sector with 0.13 Gt, the fourth is power plant sector with

0.11 Gt, the fifth is the oil and gas sector with 0.095 Gt, the sixth is transportation sector with

0.06 Gt, and the last two sectors are cement factory and building which each contribute 0.025

Gt CO2e. Total GHG emissions from three energy sectors (power plant, oil and gas, and

transportation) reach 0.265 Gt CO2e or around 13 percent of total GHG emission in

Indonesia.

Peat Land Emission

Emission from peat land contributes 38 percent of total GHG emission in Indonesia in 2005.

Based on business as usual scenario projection, if there would be no proper actions to deal

with, then the annual emission from peat land will increase 20 percent from 772 MtCO 2ev in

Orconstruction?


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2005 to 972 MtCO2e in 2030. The exposure of carbon from tropical peat land considered as a

particular and dominant challenges for Indonesia because it cover 5 percent peat land and 50

percent tropical peat land of global peat land area.

The exposure of emission from peat land is caused by peat land decomposition due to land

conversion for other uses, especially for planting pulp producer trees and oil palm as well as

peat land fire that is highly influenced by season.

Although become the major source of GHG emission, the potency of peat land to actually

reducing GHG emissions is applicable at low cost, depending on the selected actions to be

implemented. In total, there are chances to reduce GHG emission of 566 MtCO2e in peat land

sector at many level, including avoiding peat land fire, peat land reforestation, as well as

water management for existing timber and oil palm plantation or at peat land used for

agricultural purposes.

The prevention of peat land fire at many levels can reduce emission up to 320 MtCO2e in2030 with cost US$ 0.35 per tCO2e. The preventive actions include avoiding land burning

during land clearing, using proper technology for peat land manually, strengthening

regulations and law enforcement, building community awareness, and several other activities.

Water management in peat land area is potential to reduce emission up to 80 MtCO2e at cost

US$ 0,85 per tCO2e. Meanwhile, peat land rehabilitation, for example in the peat land area

previously used for one million hectare rice-estate mega project in Central Kalimantan, can

reduce GHG emission up to 180 tCO2e at cost US$ 5,21 per tCO2e.

Emission from Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF)

Emissions released from LULUCF activities contribute more than 35 percent of total carbon

emission in Indonesia, that is 745 MtCO2e in the year 2005. The contribution from LULUCFis estimated to still be significant although clean emission from LULUCF will reduce to 670

MtCO2e in 2030 or reducing 18 percent compare to the emission in 2005. However, the

annual gross emission is predicted to stay at higher number that is more than 1.080 MtCO2e.

The emission reduction of 170 MtCO2e is coming from the increasing potency of carbon

storage from reforested area and from the expansion of trees planting for timber production

and large-scale plantations.

The LULUCF sector is potential to significantly reduce GHG emission in 2030 even beyond

the increasing emission of this sector based on business as usual scenario. Such condition will

be possible due to the planting for conservation purposes (not for production). Effective

forest planting and reforestation can create new carbon sink that can store more carbon thanthose released to the atmosphere. The potency of yearly reduction from LULUCF sector

reaches 1.204 MtCO2e in the year 2030. From such number, the efforts to stop deforestation

and forest degradation (including through the REDD scheme, Reducing Emissions from

Deforestation and forest Degradation) can contribute the emission reduction up to 811

MtCO2e. Forest planting and reforestation can reduce emission of 280 MtCO2e, while efforts

to prevent forest fire can contribute to the emission reduction by 43 MtCO2e.

Oropening?

Is coor will come?


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The review from DNPI (2010) recommends the nine choices of abatement levels for GHG

emission reduction in 2010-2030. Among others are:

1.The emission reduction from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD) has the

largest potency of reducing 570 MtCO2e of emission, where the efforts to prevent

forest conversion to small-scale agriculture land is potential to reduce 190 MtCO2e of

emission. The cost needed to halt the deforestation rate is very various, from US$ 1 to

US$ 30 per tCO2e. The lowest cost goes for efforts to prevent the land conversion into

small-scale agriculture land. Meanwhile, the highest cost goes for efforts to prevent

forest conversion into industrial plantation (planting trees for pulp production) and/or

palm oil plantation that can reach US$ 30 per tCO2e of avoided emission.

2.The forestation and reforestation (planting and reforesting the ex-forest land) provide

chance to reduce 300 MtCO2e emission in 2030, at the cost of US$ 5 to 6 per tCO2e

that can be done by reforesting 10 million hectares of degraded land and forest, other

than the GERHAN (Forest and Land Rehabilitation Movement) program initiated by

Ministry of Forestry.

3.The application of sustainable forest management concept for emission reduction due

to the land degradation in production forest area is potential to reduce emission at 200

MtCO2e with the cost of US$ 2 per tCO2e.

4.The intensive forest cultivation (silviculture) as an effort to increase riap growth that

also means to increase the carbon sink capacity for plants in production forest are

potential to reduce emission at 100 MtCO2e with the cost of US$ 10 per tCO2e.

5.Prevention of forest fire is potential to reduce 43 MtCO2e in 2030 at the cost of US$

5 per tCO2e.

The selection of action and cost for emission reduction from LULUCF sector is presented at

Picture 2.

Picture 2. Selection of action and cost for emission reduction from LULUCF sector

Apaperlu ditambahkan large-scale

Riap???

Perlditambah carbon?


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Emission from Energy Sector

The projection of GHG emission from energy sector in 2020 and 2030 shows significant

increase. In accumulation, the emission from energy sector is contributed by power plant, oil

and gas production, and transportation.

Compare to 2005, the GHG emission from power plant is estimated to multifold for four

times in 2020 into 370 MtCO2e and seven times in 2030 into 810 MtCO2e. The soaring

number is caused by increasing electrification rate from 60 to 100 percent that is predicted tohappen before 2030, as well as the increasing demand of electricity due to the manufacture

and service business development. The electricity consumption is estimated to increase from

120 Terawatt-hour (TWh) in 2005 into 970 TWh in 2030.

For the future two decades, it is estimated that more than 80 percent of operating power plant

will use fossil fuel (coal, oil, and gas), where 66 percent of them will be coal-based power

plant. The government has also planned to optimize the use of geothermal by targeting 9

Gigawatt (GW) of Geothermal Power Plant (Pembangkit Listrik Tenaga Panas Bumi/PLTP)

to be available in 2030.

The electricity sector has the potency to reduce emission by 260 MtCO2e, where 225

MtCO2e of them will be collected from the increasing utilization of renewable energy

resources such as geothermal optimization, biomass utilization for power plant, nuclear

power plant, and the use of clean-coal power plant technology namely Carbon Capture and

Storage (CCS). The additional emission reduction of 47 MtCO2e will be collected from

demand side management to reduce electricity demand.


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The cost of GHG emission reduction in power plant sector varies from US$ 10 to 40 per

tCO2e. Increasing geothermal capacity from the previous plan of 6 GW in 2020 require US$

27 per tCO2e. Meanwhile, the utilization of biomass waste from timber processing, oil palm

plantation waste, agriculture waste, and many more require US$ 45 per tCO2e. The

construction of coal-fired power plant (PLTU) by using CCS technology is estimated to

require US$ 10 per tCO2e while the construction of nuclear power plant will require US$ 14

per tCO2evi.

Emission from transportation sector is estimated to multifold for seven times in 2030 into 443

MtCO2e from 60 MtCO2e in 2005. The increasing number is caused by three times higher of

private and commercial vehicles from the current number that correlate with the increasing

consumption of oil as fuel in transportation sector.

The potency to reduce emission from transportation sector is reaching 100 MtCO2e in 2030

through three main mitigation options as follows: (1) internal combustion engine system

reparation; (2) substitution from fossil-fuel based vehicles into hybrids and electro-executedvehicles; and (3) adoption of biodiesel fuel made from oil palm. Three quarters from the total

emission reduction potency (or 75 MtCO2e) will come from refinement of conventional

internal combustion engine system in all level of vehicles by endorsing higher fuel efficiency

standards that can be reached with negative cost. Other options such as utilization of

biodiesel from oil palm can add the reduction of 10 MtCO2e at the cost of US$ 100 per

tCO2e, while the application of electro-executed vehicles will require US$ 300 per tCO2e.

The GHG emission from oil and gas production and refineries facilities will increase from

122 MtCO2e in 2005 into 135 MtCO2e in 2020 and 137 MtCO2e in 2030. DNPI review for

carbon emission is limited to production, including gas flaring and oil processing, yet

excluded the emission from oil and gas reserve development, transportation and petro-chemistry, and oil and gas consumption that depends on the use in each sector.

The oil and gas sector has the potency to reduce GHG emission in Indonesia up to 30 percent

(41 MtCO2e) until 2030 by focusing on three mitigation options: (1) maintenance and control

process reparation, (2) save energy and energy efficiency related programs, and (3) reduction

of gas flaring reuse.

The highest cost for emission reduction will occur during the gas flaring reuse efforts, that is

US$ 28 per tCO2e. The implementation of co-generation in the refinery will add cost of US$

6 per tCO2e. The reparation of maintenance and control process in crosscutting production

and refinery sub-sectors will generate emission reduction slightly higher from 7 MtCO2e andit will be positive net profit (-103 USD per tCO2e) hence will increase profit during the

emission reduction process.

Emission from Agriculture

Agriculture is the third highest sector releasing emission in Indonesia after LULUCF and peat

land, with number of emission reaching 132 MtCO2e in 2005 (based on the land use at the


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moment). The emission from this sector is estimated to increase 25 percent into 164 MtCO 2e

in 2030. The reduction potency for this sector is estimated to reach around 105 MtCO 2e per

year in 2030, or around 63 percent of emission from related sectors.

Refinement of water and fertilizer management for rice fields offers significant emission

reduction up to 45 MtCO2e or 43 percent from the emission in the sector. The opportunities

of reduction from the third agriculture sector come from the revitalization of damaged land

(i.e. caused by excessive problems, erosion, the absent of organic substances, salt or acid

problems) that will contribute to the emission reduction by 35 MtCO2e.

The average cost for such reduction in the agriculture sector reach US$ 5 per tCO2e. The

revitalization of damaged land by constructing carbon sink (increasing the organic substance

in the soil) requires cost of US$ 13.8 per tCO2e. Meanwhile, each of the reparation of water

and fertilizer management requires cost of US$ 7 and US$ 21.7 per tCO2e respectively.

Emission from Cement ProductionEmission from cement sector is estimated to multifold three times from 26 MtCO2e in 2005

to 75 MtCO2e in 2030. The growing number is mostly due to the significant increasing

production of cement in Indonesia from 31 million ton in 2005 into 125 million ton in 2030.

Most of the emission is released during clinker production process, the key step during

cement production. The process involved calcification process of limestone and clay, a

chemical reaction releasing CO2e in significant number as side product. Substituting clinker

with other substances such as fly ash (coal waste) or slag (metal making waste) can

significantly reduce emission from cement production sector.

With the wide range of technology that available at the moment, the cement sector can further

decrease their emission until 12 percent (or 9 MtCO2e) in 2030. Although the clinkersubstitution will reduce the emission the most at 7.5 MtCO2e with the negative cost averagely

at US$ -25 per tCO2e, the inclusion of alternative fuel especially from industrial and urban

waste can further reduce the emission from cement sector up to 4.5 MtCO2e with not too

expensive average cost that is US$ 8 per tCO2e.

Emission from construction sector

Emission from construction sector will increase from 71 MtCO2e in the year 2005 into 215

MtCO2e in 2030 triggered by the increasing household and commercial energy consumption

of 5-7 percent per year.

With the wide range of technology that available at the moment, the construction sector canfurther decrease their emission until 22 percent to 2030, that is 48 MtCO2e where most of

the cost for reduction (more than 70 percent) will be negative.

The GHG emission from Indonesia contributes 5 percent of global GHG emission. Such

contribution is far higher compare to the contribution for the world's Gross Domestic Product

(GDP) that is 0.6 percent in 2005. This indicator shows that the increment rate for GHG

Kadalam bahasa Indonesia: Pelupengurangan sektor pertanian ketiga berasal dari... Kata yanketiga kurang jelas maksudnya


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emission is far above the GDP rate, hence it indicate the unsustainable direction of

development in Indonesia.

Review of carbon emission from DNPI conclude that generally Indonesia has the potency of

emission reduction to 2.3 GtCO2e per year in 2030 for the entire emitter sectors with various

cost based on business as usual scenario (Picture 3). More than half of the potency of such

emission reduction can be applied with no additional or even negative cost. Such conclusion

shows that Indonesia can significantly reduce emission and change development pattern from

high to low carbon emission, without jeopardizing long-term economical growth.

Picture 3. The potency of GHG emission reduction and its cost in 2030

Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies in Dealing with Climate Change

The issue of climate change has gained more attention in policy making and long-term

development program. There have been a number of assessments done on the impact of

climate change on various sectors, fields, and lives of Indonesian people. In general, theadaptation and mitigation strategy is the integration of both actions program into the long,

medium, and short-term national development plans which are embodied in the ministerial

and institutional work program.


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This integration process goes through several stages and phases. Within the Long Term

Development Plan (RPJP) of 2005 -2025, climate change is described as a challenge in

reaching the goal of sustainable development and poverty alleviation. The Medium Term

National Development Plan (RPJMN) 2004-2009 document also identifies the impact of

climate change in Indonesia. However, the national development strategies that are embodied

in RPJMN 2004-2009 have not yet considered the detailed actions of adaptation and

mitigation of climate change both within and cross sectors.

The attention toward climate change issue has increased significantly among different

stakeholders in Indonesia, including policy-makers. Just before the 13th Conference of Parties

(COP-13) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in

Bali on December 2007, the government issued a document of National Action Plan in

dealing with Climate Change (RAN-PI), containing a proposal of the action plans in the

mitigation of greenhouse gases and adaptation to the increasing global warming and climate

change, through coordination between different development sectors.

Approximately six months after COP 13, judging by the need to improve the coordination of

climate change control implementation and to strengthen Indonesian position in international

discussion forums of climate change control, the president of Republic of Indonesia formed

the National Council of Climate Change (DNPI) through the Presidential Regulation No.

46/2008. The President of Indonesia become the Head of DNPI and he is assisted by two

deputies, which are the Coordinating Minister for Economy and the Coordinating Minister

for Public Health, as well as 17 other related ministers and the head of Meteorology,

Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) as its members. In order to perform its

mandate, the President appointed an Executive Director and Head of Secretariat who are

assisted by Working Groups (Pokja) as the daily executors of the Councils activities.

The effort to operate RAN-PI into RPJMN 2004-2009 has been attempted by the National

Development Planning Agency (BAPPENAS) by drafting the National Development

Planning document: Indonesia Response to Climate Change. This document, later known as

Yellow Book, has been introduced partially at COP 13 yet it was not fully published until

2008. The Yellow Book is also issued as a bridging document that considers the sector and

cross-sector issues that are sensitive to climate change, while at the same time sharpens the

development programs embodied in RPJMN 2004-2009 and act as feedback in formulating

RPJMN 2010-2014.

The Yellow Book document tries to integrate the climate change adaptation and mitigation

into the national development planning. In addition to that, number of sectors have beenprioritized for adaptation, which are: (i) agriculture and (ii) coastal areas, small islands,

marine and fisheries; and mitigation, which are: (i) energy and mining, (ii) forestry. Above

all, the most important content of Yellow Book is the list of projects for the prioritized and

non-prioritized sectors that are related to climate change.


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Ministry of Forestry, National Land Agency and DNPI). The duty of REED Task Force as

mentioned in the decree is to make sure the formation of national strategies to reduce

greenhouse gases emission from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD plus) and the

formation of national plan for reducing the green house gases emission.vii

The National Strategy of Emission Reduction from Deforestation and Forest Degradation

(Stranas REDD plus) also needs to be released.viii Stranas REDD plus tries to identify the

causes of deforestation and forest degradation as well as identify the formulation of strategies

needed to suppress those causes in order to reduce the emission and increase carbon sink and

storage through forest conservation activities, sustainable forest management, ecosystem

restoration, and various efforts to improve the productivity of production forest and

plantations.

This document also presents the phases of REDD+ implementation in Indonesia which is

generally divided into three phases: (1) strategy drafting that covers the national strategy and

REDD+ national action plans; (2) developing preparedness and implementation of initialactions in the form of the development of infrastructure required for REDD+, fulfillment of

enabling conditions, and implementation of initial actions; and (3) implementation that cover

the mainstreaming of REDD+ in development, integration of REDD+ into RPJMN and its

full implementation, especially in model areas based on the set criteria.

In order to support the National Strategy of Adaptation and Action Plan of Adaptation in

dealing with climate change, DNPI has completed the Adaptation Science and Policy Study.ix

The analysis tries to identify the various assessments and analysis that have been done by

different institutions that are related to the adaptation of climate change in Indonesia.

Through this review, the analysis team tries to identify the gap and requirement to develop

adaptation strategy, the need and strategy for funding, and also technology to be applied inIndonesia.

Commitment to Reduce GHG Emission

Indonesia is committed to reduce GHG emission by 26 percent from business as usual or by

41 percent with international support by 2020. President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY)

published this announcement during the G20 meeting in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United

States of America, at September 2009. He strengthened this commitment on his speech

during COP 15 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in

Copenhagen, Denmark, at December 2009. In his speech, President SBY also addressed the

commitment from Indonesia to materialize low carbon economy.

Although the conference failed to reach binding agreement between Parties, COP 15 resulted

Copenhagen Accord, a political declaration initiated by 23 leaders of developed and

developing countries involved in the discussion during COP 15. The characteristic of

Copenhagen Accord is not binding and not resulted from transparent and democratic

multilateral negotiation process. Nevertheless, Copenhagen Accord considered as the best

result to be obtained from the conference that accommodate concrete commitment regarding


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target to limit global temperature rising and funding commitment for climate change

mitigation until 2020.

As follow up, UNFCCC provide deadline to 31 January 2010 for the member countries of

UNFCCC to present their plan of reducing GHG emission.x Government of Indonesia

through DNPI has conveyed a letter dated on 19 January 2010 to UNFCCC Secretariat as a

symbol to support the accord and to show the commitment from Indonesia to reduce

emission. The letter was followed up with submission of formal emission reduction target for

Indonesia on 30 January 2010, to be attached in Copenhagen Accord, by detailing sectors to

be involved in such initiative. Considering that it is a voluntary target based on the capacity

of Indonesia as developing country, thus it is not required to attach further detail of how to

achieve such target as mentioned in Appendix II of Copenhagen Accord.

In the letter sent by Rachmat Witoelar as the Executive Chair of DNPI to Yvo De Boer as

Executive Secretary of UNFCCC, Indonesia has detailed seven actions to achieve emission

reduction of 26% from the business as usual scenario in 2020, those are:sustainable peat land management

deforestation rate and forest land degradation reduction

development carbon emission absorption project in forestry and agriculture sector

energy saving and efficiency promotion

alternative and renewable energy resources development and utilization

solid and liquid waste reduction

substitution to low emission transportation

One of the efforts done by Indonesian Government at the moment is signing the Letter of

Intent (LoI) with Norwegian Government to reduce global GHG caused by deforestation,

forest degradation, and peat land conversion in Indonesia. The implementation of LoI will be

done at three levels. The first will be done until the end of 2010, the second during 2011-

2013, and the third will be done since 2014 to 2016.

More structured effort is to combine the target to reduce 26 percent carbon emission and

roadmap document into Medium Development Plan (RPJM) 2010-2014 and combine it with

working priority for government in 2010 that will be accommodated in Presidential

Instruction (Inpres) 1/2010. The result is scenario for emission reduction of both 26 and 41

percent from seven sectors to be achieved in 2020 that can be seen in Table 2.

Table 2. Profile of Indonesian Emission Reduction in the year 2005 and 2020 with 26 and 41

percent Emission Reduction Scenario (in Giga ton)

Emission Profile Target of 26%

Emission

Reduction

Additional target

of 15% emission

reduction

Emission Profile 2020Sector

Emission

2005

BAU

2020

Emissi

on

% from

BAU

Emissi

on

% from

BAU

Scenario

26%

Scenario

41%


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16

Peat land 0,83 1,09 0,280 9,5 0,057 2,03 0,81 0,75

Waste 0,17 0,25 0,048 1,6 0,03 1,07 0,20 0,17

Forestry 0,65 0.49 0,392 13,3 0,31 11,02 0,10 (0,21)

Agriculture 0,05 0,06 0,008 0,3 0,003 0,11 0,05 0,05

Industry 0,05 0,06 0,001 0,0 0,004 0,14 0,06 0,06Transportation - - 0,008 0,3 0,008 0,28 (0,01) (0,02)

Energy 0,37 1,00 0,030 1,0 0,01 0,38 0,97 0,96

Total 2,12 2,95 0,767 26 0,422 15,01 2,18 1,76

Source: Mubariq Ahmad (Prisma, Vol 3, 2010)

The Strategy of Greenhouse Gases Emission Reduction to 26 and 41 percent

In order to achieve the targeted reduction of GHG, the Indonesian government through

BAPPENAS is issuing the National Action Plan for Green House Gas Emission Reduction

(RAN-GRK), which is embodied in form of President Regulation.xi

In the appendix of the President Regulation RAN-GRK, it is stated that this plan is derivedfrom the Sustainable National Development Strategy, with the scope of direct emission

reduction, improvement of absorption capacity, and the activities that indirectly reduces the

GHG emission. It is also stated that RAN-GRK does not hamper the economic growth and

poverty alleviation, and it is the commitment of Indonesia in reducing emission at the global

level. RAN GRK is also used as a way to coordinate the efforts of accessing the domestic and

international funding effectively.

The basis of RAN GRK is the proposal from the ministry/institution in RPJMN 2010-2014

and RPJMN 2005-2025, which is then explained in the RAN GRK coordination planning

forum as plan for reducing the national GHG to 26 percent from the business as usual

scenario. The prioritized programs are the ones that use the funding from State Budget andLocal Budget (including loans), private sources, and communities, with a number of criteria

such as: efficient use of funds with the principle of the lowest cost, integrated GHG emission

reduction, feasibility in implementation, and compliance with national development

priorities.

RAN-GRK sets six areas with the emission reduction target of 26 and 41 percent. In order to

achieve those targets, RAN-GRK has also appointed the ministries/institutions in charge of

implementing the action plans in accordance with the programs within each

ministry/institution. The emission reduction plan and target of both 26 and 41 percent is

stated in RAN-GRK as shown in Table 2.

Table 3. GHG Emission Reduction Target per Sector 2010 2020 (Draft)

Emission Reduction

Plan (GtCO2e)

Sector

26% 41%

Action Plan Implementing

Ministry/Institution

Forestry and peat

land

0,672 1,039 Land and forest fire control, network

and water management, forest and land

Ministry of Forestry,

Ministry of


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rehabilitation, industrial forest (HTI),

community forest (HR), illegal logging

elimination, deforestation prevention,

community empowerment

Environment,

Ministry of Public

Work, Ministry of

Agriculture.

Agriculture 0,008 0,011 Introduction of varieties in lowemission, water irrigation efficiency,

using organic fertilizers

Ministry ofAgriculture,

Ministry of

Environment

Energy and

transportation

0,038 0,056 Biofuel usage, substitution to engine

with higher fossil fuel standard of

efficiency, TDM reparation,

transportation quality, demand side

management, energy efficiency,

renewable energy development.

Ministry of

Transportation,

Ministry of Energy

and Mineral

Resources, Ministry

of Public Work

Industry 0,001 0,005 Energy efficiency, renewable energy

usage

Ministry of Industry

Waste 0,048 0,078 Landfill construction, wastemanagement by applying 3R, and

integrated waste processing in urban

area

Ministry of PublicWork, Ministry of

Environment

Total 0,767 1189

Source: National Action Plan for Green House Gas Emission Reduction (Draft, 3 October

2010)

In parallel with the development of negotiation at the international level, the voluntary

emission reduction target which has become the target for Indonesia in the future will be

categorized as self-funded NAMA or unilateral NAMA, which is 26 % and will be achieved

through domestic funding (government and private funding). Meanwhile, the supported

NAMA of 15%, derived from 26% and 41% margin, is planned to be achieved by the support

of international funding. The emission reduction efforts outside the activities categorized as

the efforts to achieve the 26% and 41% targets basically can be categorized as crediting

NAMA or implemented as a part of Clean Development Mechanisms (CDM), which is part

of carbon market.

One thing that we need to understand is that the implementation of emission reduction efforts

for developing countries such as Indonesia can be done simultaneously in different NAMA as

long as the activity does not carried out in two different categories at the same time.

Therefore, it is important to determine and agree on the activities in each sector that belongs

to the achievement of 26% and 41% target by using international funding. By creating thislist of activities, the emission reduction efforts can be done in a more effective and efficient

manner.

Funding Mechanisms for Climate Change Actions in Indonesia

Funding Needs

TDM = ?

Tdk ada

keterangan. Apakah maksudnyNationally Appropriate MitigatioAction?


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The climate change funding mechanism is one of the vital components that enable a country

to implement the strategy of GHG emission reduction (mitigation) and the strategy to deal

with the impacts of climate change (adaptation).

In order to implement effective mitigation and adaptation to reach emission reduction targets,

its important to locate the funding required in achieving the GHG emission mitigation

targets as well as the emission reduction potentials that available for every action in each

sector/area. The Indonesian government has also drafted policy to support the action

programs of each sector that implement the mitigation as well as budget to implement those

action programs. The bigger target of emission reduction in a sector means bigger budget will

be allocated to that sector.

The calculation of funds required to implement the adaptation strategy and action for

prioritized sectors is currently not available. This is because the calculation of adaptation

costs is influenced by many complex variables. The adaptation characteristics that is unique

and specific for certain areas complicate the calculation of funding needs for adaptation thatmust be done carefully. Unlike adaptation, the calculation of funds required for mitigation

actions is relatively easy. The calculation of costs for mitigation action can easily be found in

NEEDS study by DNPI and UNFCCC Secretariat, ICCSR, Indonesia GHG Abatement Cost

Curve, and other analyses which have been done in Indonesia.

According to the analysis of Second National Communication (Ministry of Environment,

2009), the emission reduction of 26% up to the year 2020 will cost as much as 83.3 trillion

rupiahs per year. Meanwhile, the 41 percent emission reduction will cost as much as 168.3

trillion rupiahs per year. This number is equivalent to 1.4 percent and 2.8 percent of

Indonesian Gross Domestic Product (PDB) projection in 2010.

The calculation of Indonesia GHG Abatement Cost Curve by DNPI indicates that annual cost

for implementing all options for mitigation actions reaches to a total of 12.84 billion Euros or

180 trillion Rupiah per year up to the year 2030, with the average reduction cost of 6 Euro

per tCO2e. The total emission reduction cost is equal to 5.6 percent of Indonesian GDP in

2005.

Meanwhile, the analysis of ICCSR for mitigation in cement production, transportation

(change of transportation mode), waste/garbage (optimistic scenario), and forestry

(LULUCF) sectors to reach the emission reduction target of 26 percent, shows an estimate

total cost of US$ 26.89 billion dollars. If the action of peat land is included, the cost will

reach US$ 36.619 billion in 2020. ICCSR has not included the adaptation cost and requiredfunds for electricity generation sub-sector yet.

Sources of Funds

According to the National, Economic, Environment, and Development Study (NEEDS)

assessment done by DNPI, the sources of funds for climate change actions in Indonesia

consist of: (i) existing sources of funds and (ii) future potential sources of funds. The sources


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of funds available today come from: (i) government funds (State Budget/Local Budget), (ii)

funds from bilateral and multilateral foundations/institutions (ODA), (iii) grants from

multilateral and bilateral institutions for climate change; (iv) funds from private philanthropic

organization (national and international). The potential sources of funding in the future

include foreign and domestic private funding and carbon markets sources, for example from

the Clean Development Mechanism projects (CDM), carbon offsets, and so forth.

Since 2008, the Indonesian government has received aid in the form of Development

Program Loans (DPL) and Climate Change Policy Loan (CCPL), from the French

Government (AfD), Japanese Government (JICA), and recently in 2010 from the World

Bank. Up to 2010, the total amount of DPL/CCPL credit from those three institutions reached

2 billion USD. Those loans were not intended for a specific project. However, the loans that

are managed by the Ministry of Finance as a part of the government budget are intended to

help the Indonesian government develop policies and programs that can help Indonesia

towards low carbon and more sustainable development. Related to those loans, the

government has also states its commitment to solve a number of policies and the steps relatedto climate change mitigation and adaptation.

In addition to program loans, there are also project loans such as electricity, geothermal, and

hydro power sector which comes from multilateral and bilateral financial institutions, such as

World Bank, Asia Development Bank, KfW, JICA, etc. There is also seeds fund as a

revolving capital and soft loan that is intended for environmentally friendly projects, such as

IEPC program which is supported by KfW and PAE, which were funded by JBIC (JICA).

A number of grants that are also available for Indonesia for the next two to four years are

largely intended for mitigation actions, such as Climate Investment Fund (CIF), which

consists of Clean Technology Fund and Forest Investment Program. The fund is part of theprograms managed by World Bank and ADB and intended to support the renewable energy

projects in Indonesia. For REDD program, there is the UN-REDD grant which at the moment

is managed by UNDP. This fund is intended to help Indonesian government in preparing the

implementation of REDD program. In addition, there is also the Technical Assistance Fund

from Global Environmental Facility (GEF) for the geothermal development, energy

efficiency, and forest ecosystem restoration.

Climate Funding Institutions

In order to mobilize the funding of climate change from public funding sources, especially

from bilateral and multilateral institutions and funds from the Indonesian government itself,

the Indonesian Climate Change Trust Fund was formed in 2009 by the Indonesiangovernment under the coordination of BAPPENAS. The funds managed by ICCTF are

intended for the funding of mitigation and adaptation programs in accordance with the

BAPPENAS sectoral roadmap.

In addition to ICCTF, Indonesia Green Investment Fund (IGIF) was also formed by the

Ministry of Finance. The management of IGIF was done by the Government Investment


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Center (PIP). The goal of IGIF is to gather and encourage investment from private sector

(market-based) to fund the low-carbon emission investment projects. IGIF was designed as

an instrument of coordination with private funding in order to fulfill the need of large-scale

investment.

ICCTF and IGIF institution model is a novelty, especially in the funding of climate change

programs or projects. The formation of this facility should place Indonesia at the forefront

among other developing countries in respect of its preparedness to access international

funding under UNFCCC, or outside UNFCCC, in the future. Both of these institutions have

at least adopted the international standards of finance management both in the institutional

structure and operational principles, which are the major requirements of international donor

countries at the moment.

The Challenge of Action Program Implementation in dealing with Climate Change

As has been conveyed by the President of Republic Indonesia at the past meeting of G-20 in2009, Indonesia has committed to implement the concept of low-carbon economy, which is

then embodied into a target of GHG emissions reduction by 26 and 41 percent from business

as usual. On the other hand, economic growth, poverty alleviation and unemployment are the

challenges to be faced domestically. The desire to play a role in solving global warming and

priorities in the country gave birth to new challenge. The challenge is how to formulate

policies and programs on climate change adaptation and mitigation that support pro-growth,

pro-poor and pro-jobs strategies, which can also support the achievement of low carbon

economic development (ERK), which is a new concept in Indonesian developmental

discourse.

After nearly a year of the launching of emissions reduction, there are still challenges to havecommitment support to reduce GHG emissions on a voluntary basis from various circles. One

of the debatable issues rising these days is related to GHG reduction program that is derived

from Indonesian and Norway agreement. Some businessperson and academics still question

the commitment from Indonesia to reduce its GHG emissions. Some opposing groups assume

that GHG mitigation is not the responsibility of Indonesia as a country. This group considers

that the commitment of President to the people worldwide could reduce economic

superiority, hamper investment, and close business opportunity in Indonesia.xii

That refusal is a challenge for the current government. How to make this strong political

desire to bring Indonesia to ERK can gain support from wider circle, the bureaucracy, civil

society, and employers. One way to do it is to communicate the idea of ERK to all

stakeholders and to local governments intensively, as well as attempts to give confidence that

the option to implement ERK and efforts to achieve green growth in Indonesia actually has a

positive value and is good to achieve economic superiority in the future. The argument based

on the costs and benefits need to be addressed honestly by considering that early stages of

implementation are usually heavy. Support from stakeholders is needed by considering that

apa perlu aketerangan soal 41 percent adwith international support?

ERK??


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the various policies and regulations will be drafted to achieve the level of targeted emissions

reductions need to be implemented by the related various parties.

In addition, it should be highlighted that the implementation of this policy will lead to social

and political costs in the short term, which can be a boomerang for government. Therefore,

attempts to explain and disseminate policy information should be done in pro-active manner.

Similarly, post-implementation review and determination to guard this commitment is needed

in order to reduce various distortion effects that can pull Indonesia back from the path of low

carbon economy development.

Another challenge is to achieve balance in implementing adaptation and mitigation programs.

So far, the more prominent discourse is the mitigation actions. President's speech at the G20

forum in the past 2009 stressed more on the commitment from Indonesia to carry out

mitigation, yet only slightly mentioned adaptation. The low priority to the adaptation more or

less reflected in the form of bilateral and multilateral cooperation as well as various activities

of government institutions and non-governmental organizations dealing with climate changelately. There is an impression that the priority for mitigation is prioritized rather than the

adaptation, regardless the serious threat of climate change on various sectors and parts of,

based on the results of studies that have been done so far.

In the context of climate change adaptation, crosscutting program for coordination and

integration remains a major challenge. So far the government has pushed policies and

adaptation strategies at the sectoral level with minimal inter-sectoral integration effort.

Number of sectors vulnerable to climate change is trying to make a vulnerability assessment

and formulating sectoral adaptation strategies and programs.

Considering that climate change adaptation has both local and cross-sectoral dimensions thatare intertwined each other, then one of the solutions to be offered to overcome this barrier is

to accelerate crosscutting coordination process to encourage the mainstreaming of adaptation

into national development planning, establish information networks of disaster threat due to

climate change, and integrate adaptation strategies in various sectors. Therefore, it is

necessary to increase budget allocation in the state/local budget for adaptation actions.

Besides, the role of institutions set up specifically to deal with climate change needs, that are

DNPI, should be optimized.xiii These can be done by the support from BAPPENAS and the

vital support from Ministry of Finance to encourage cross-sectoral integration in the context

of development planning and budgeting.

With the plan to draft the Presidential Regulation on the National Action Plan to ReduceGreenhouse Gas Emissions (RAN-GRK) as the legal basis for achieving 26 and 41 percent

emissions reductions, the challenges faced today are: (i) the consistency of policies post-

2014, after the end of President Yudhoyono's administration, (ii) how to reduce the emission

reduction targets of each sector that has been set into detailed, sectoral programs that can

provide results of measureable, reportable and verifiable (MRV-able) emission reduction, (iii)


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how to translate and derive various targets of sectoral emission reduction into provincial

development plans and district/cities across Indonesia.

Concern on the consistency of action plan implementation post 2014 is very reasonable,

given the emission reduction targets is the main program of the current administration and it

might not be a commitment for the next regime. It is usual to hear the jargon of: "change of

leadership, change of policy." The chances where Indonesian government will not continue

this plan after 2014, or continue but with lower priority, still existed. Plus, the Copenhagen

Accord is no longer a binding decision to all supported parties. Similarly, voluntarily

emissions reduction targets submitted by the countries supporting the accord is no longer

binding as well.

In order to deal with this possibility, the implementation of action plans for emission

reductions within the next five years (2010-2014) will be valuable to provide indications and

evidence that the targets is achievable. The success of implementing emission reduction can

be a solid foundation for the sustainability of this action plan implementation for the next fiveyear. Thus the target of 26 percent emission reduction of business as usual scenario in 2020

and the road map to achieve a low carbon economy can be realized.

The next challenge is to realize the emission reduction targets in each area and sector into the

work program of the agency ministries/institutions bearing the task (see table 2), with

measurable and verifiable results. Currently, a number of strategies and action plans that

support emissions reductions were written in the ICCSR manuscript developed by Bappenas.

Although the ICCSR document looks quite comprehensive, yet various action programs

indicated in this program may not necessarily implemented by the related ministries.

Implementation still requires crosscutting coordination and cooperation among related

agencies, outside the agencies that are responsible for these targets.

In the energy sector for example, one of the action plan is developing renewable energy. The

indicated plan is increasing the penetration of renewable energy to produce electricity. The

person in charge for this field is the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources. It is

estimated that it is not easy for the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources to achieve the

target bear onto them, by considering that the investment in electricity generation from

renewable energy depends heavily on various policy of fiscal and non-fiscal incentives,

which are not in the control of the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources. Instead, it is

under the authority of the Ministry of Finance. The implementation is also done by number of

state-owned companies and private parties.

The action plan of emission reduction through saving energy of vehicle engines, which is the

responsibility of the Ministry of Transportation also requires coordination and cooperation

with the Ministry of Industry. The latter ministry regulates the production and automotive

industry standards. The consequence of such action plan is to raise standards of vehicles

operating in Indonesia and restrict vehicles that consume a lot of fuel. In order to do so, not


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only a higher industry standard is required, but also more stringent policies and trade rules, as

well as various disincentives policy that encourage consumers to buy fuel-intensive vehicles.

A number of action plans also requires the cooperation and the ability of local governments

to be able to be implemented. For example, emissions reduction plans through improving the

quality of public transport in urban areas and improve the transport demand management

(TDM) especially in big cities. In the era of regional autonomy, urban transportation policy is

the responsibility of local governments. Therefore, this plan must fully received support from

the government and need to be embodied in the planning and regional development priorities

as well as adequate budget allocation in the local budget. Various other examples can be seen

in a number of other fields, such as peat land and forestry management, and city

waste/garbage management.

Another challenge is the implications cost of action plans as outlined in the RAN-GRK.

Several selected action have not reflected the principle of marginal abatement cost yet, which

actually is important in determining priorities for action. Example in the energy sectorincludes the growing consumption of biofuel. Implementation of action might not always

appropriate to take part in achieving emission reduction targets since the cost of this action is

relatively high, as presented on the cost curve DNPI.xiv

Funding access for climate change mitigation is relatively easier to get, compared access to

adaptation. Limitations of cost calculation for national and cross-sector adaptation as a basis

for priority action complicate the allocation of funds for adaptation and subsequently, the

budgeting process. With the limited international commitment to provide adaptation funding

to climate change, including funding mechanisms currently available under the UNFCCC, it

has given the implication that adaptation programs should be funded from the government

budget (State/Local budget) or foreign loans. The current challenge is to set priorities foraction to be funded, by considering the limited fiscal space in the existing budget, as well as

considering the conflict of interest with the priority for mitigation actions that have been

designated as a national policy.

Fiscal policy has an important role in encouraging the achievement of green house emission

reduction targets. Review of Green Paper on Economic and Fiscal Policy Strategies for

Climate Change in Indonesia, issued by the Ministry of Finance has recommended the

application of carbon taxes/levies in fossil fuels with potential revenue of 95 trillion rupiah

per year. Implementation of this policy can be a driving force for the achievement of a

number of action plans in RAN-GRK. For example, in energy efficiency, vehicle fuel

efficiency, and penetration of renewable energy, and so forth. Besides, this carbon tax can bea source of domestic funding for adaptation and mitigation activities.

Although this recommendation is good in the context of climate change policy, its

implementation requires a number of institutional reforms, taxation rules, and domestic

energy pricing policies. In addition to that, strategies are needed to persuade public as well as


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to anticipate resistance from industry and business and effect of welfare reduction of the

poor.

Policy Recommendation

1.For developing country like Indonesia, climate change is highly related with community

development and livelihood. Therefore, climate change strategy and policy must cover

both interconnected adaptation and mitigation strategy and policy and it cannot be

detached from poverty alleviation and disaster management efforts.

2.National Action Plan for Green House Gases Emission Reduction as guideline for

achieving voluntary emission reduction target should be interpreted at the soonest

possible into policy and action plan in each sector by considering the least cost options,

especially for activities allocated in domestic budget.

3.Implementation of ministries and institutional programs in each sector requires more

operational policies and guidelines. Therefore, it will be important to focus the workingprogram 2011 in related ministries and institutions into such effort, thus the achievement

target can be determined and later become one of the assessment and performance

indicators and conformation in the budget allocation (APBN/APBD) from related

ministries and institutions.

4.Accountability and transparency cannot be put aside. Therefore, regulations on MRV

standard (measurement, reporting, and verification) need to be developed in each

ministries and institutions. Thus, the achievement of voluntary target can be held

accountable even in international level, especially for activities supported by international

fund.

5.Coordination of action plan for implementation and formulation of direction, strategy,

and policy on climate change is critical. Therefore, the function and role of DNPI in

accordance with Presidential Regulations no 46/2008 should be implemented optimally

with support from related sectors, ministries, and institutions.

6.The capacity building program should be implemented at the soonest possible for:

a.Ministries and central government institution to (a) integrate the climate change

mitigation and adaptation strategy into action program planning in related

ministries and institutions, and (b) create measurable and achievable working

program with qualitative and quantitative performance monitoring and evaluation.

b.Local government (Pemda) to integrate concept and approach of low carboneconomy into local development planning

7.The importance of conducting further review related with domestic fund resources for

both adaptation and mitigation by developing fiscal and non-fiscal instruments and

increasing the role of bank and carbon market to encourage the low carbon development

and actual emission reduction.


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8.The coordination mechanism and capacity building for existing climate change financial

institutions (ICCTF and IGIF) and other mechanisms or institutions need to be formulated

at the soonest possible. It is also important to formulate oversight mechanisms to ensure

the governance, investment effectiveness, funding, and the achievement of social integrity

and environmental sustainability during its implementation.

9.It is important to educate ministries and institutions, local government, and public to

encourage the implementation of actual emission reduction efforts.

10.Various activities and trial projects in provincial and district/city level need to be

developed as follow up of the education program done previously so that the voluntary

target of reducing GHG emission can be achieved.

Specific recommendations related with budget function and development monitoring done by

House of Representative:

11.The budget conformity needs to be confirmed, especially in regards with the number and

its allocation in ministries and institutional level for program implementation and GHG

emission reduction activities.

12.The balance between climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts need to be

confirmed for short, medium, and long-term development in accordance with the specific

condition in each sector and area.

i In publication of the year 2000, Ministry of Forestry estimate at least 30 million people depend their

life directly to forestry sector.

ii El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an anomaly in Pacific Ocean surface temperature in

Ecuador west coastline and Peru that are higher from its normal average. Such symptom is well known among

public with the name ofEl Nio (read as: "El Ninyo" that means boy "). Similar symptom at the same place but

this one decreasing temperature is more known as La Nia (read as: "La Ninya"). The term was firstly used to

name warm sea stream that sometime flow from North to South through Paita and Pacasmayo Ports, Peru, in

December. Such condition occurs more frequent, that is three to seven year, thus it can influence global climate

for more than one year.

iii For more complete reading, please refer such discussion to ICCSR (2010): Basis Saintifik: Analisa

Proyeksi Suhu dan Curah Hujan, Bappenas, Jakarta, document.

iv 1 Giga ton = 1.000.000.000 ton; 1 ton = 1000 kg.

v Million ton CO2 equivalent = million ton equal to carbon dioxide (CO2).


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vi

Until current, the coal-fired PLTU using CCS has not been commercially implemented and estimated

to establish and proper for commercial use after 2020. The formulation and analysis done by DNPI (2010) study

for coal-fired PLTU with CCS is using investment estimation. Meanwhile, PLN is based on current investment.

vii http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2010/09/24/kuntoro-mangkusubroto-chairs-redd-task-force.htmlviii First draft of REDD National Strategies Manuscript, dated September 23, 2010. This manuscript is

drafted by Bappenas, in collaboration with Ministry of Forestry and Ministry of Agriculture.

ix This assessment titled is Adaptation Science and Policy Studies, carried out by DNPI and LAPI ITB,under the support of UK Aid and British Council. This assessment began on March 2010 and ended on July2010.

x Until current there are 138 countries representing at least 86% of global emission in 2005 that already

submit their support to Copenhagen Accord while presenting the GHG emission reduction target.

xi

Until this writing was made, the draft of Presidential Regulation has been discussed in State

Secretariat. It is expected that the Presidential Regulation will be issued in the end of the coming October.

xii Sofyan Wanadi, one of the leading entrepreneurs openly against the cooperation agreement between

Indonesia and Norwegian that includes moratorium actions in forestry sector. The news can be seen in:

http://www.suarakarya-online.com/news.html?id=261322; A number of academicians also questioned the

scientific justification of the moratorium plan towards the target of emission reduction that has been launched by

the government: http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2010/09/03/skepticism-mounts-benefits-moratorium.html

xiii According to Chapter 3, Presidential Regulation No. 46/2008, two out of four tasks of DNPI are: (a)Draft national policy, the strategy, program and mitigation activities of climate change; (b) Coordinate activitiesin executing the task of climate change that covers adaptation, mitigation, transfer of technologies and fundingactivities.

xiv Indonesian Report GHGs Abatement Cost Curve by DNPI and McKinsey, calculating abatement cost

for the use of bio-diesel from CPO that reaches 100 USD per tCO2e (exhibit 21, page. 30).

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