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Progress towards the WFS target is too slow Developing World MDG Target WFS Target Millions Number of undernourished
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FAO Conference Thirty-third Session
19-26 November 2005
The State of Food and Agriculture 2005
852 million people are chronically undernourished
Developed market
economies9
Countries in transition
28
Sub-Saharan Africa
204
Near East and North Africa
39
Asia and the Pacific
519
Latin America and the
Caribbean53
(2000 – 2002)
Progress towards the WFS target is too slow
Developing World
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1980-82 1990-92 1995-97 2000-02 2015
MDG Target
WFS Target
Millions
Number of undernourished
Progress in hunger reduction matches progress on other MDGsNumber of MDG targets on track (out of 18)
02
46
810
1214
NorthAfrica
S.E.Asia
Latin America/
Caribbean
EastAsia
WesternAsia
SouthAsia
Oceania SaharanAfrica
Hunger reductionon track
Hunger reductionnot on track
Hunger reduction leads to lower child mortality
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Countries withrapid progress
on hunger
Countries withworsening
hunger
Average reduction in child mortality (1990 – 2003)%
Numerous countries face serious food shortages in 2005
October 2005
World agricultural production increased in 2004
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
1990-2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Agriculture Crops Livestock%
Average annual growth
Per caput food production has increased steadilyPer caput food productionIndex (1970 = 100)
80
100
120
140
160
180
70 75 80 85 90 95 00
Developing CountriesWorld Developed Countries
04
The developing country regions have not all made equal progressPer caput food productionIndex (1970 = 100)
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
70 75 80 85 90 95 00
Asia and the Pacific Near East and North AfricaSub-Saharan Africa Latin America and the Caribbean
04
World cereal production has picked up
1700
1750
1800
1850
1900
1950
2000
2050
90/91 92/93 94/95 96/97 98/99 00/01 02/03 04/05
Production Utilization
Million tonnes
05/06** Forecast
The agricultural trade deficit of LDCs is widening
Billion US$
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93 97 01 03
total agricultural exports total agricultural imports
Agricultural growth is fundamental for eradicating hunger
Average annual growth of agricultural GDP (1990s)
-1.5
-1.2
-0.9
-0.6
-0.3
0
0.3
0.6
Countries withworsening
hunger
Countries withstagnanthunger
Countriesprogressing on
hunger reduction
%
Investment in agriculture lags where hunger is most prevalent
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
less than 5% 5 to 19% 20 to 34% more than 35%
1975-77 1998-2000
% undernourished
US$/worker
+33%
-22%+12% +2%
Agricultural capital stock per agricultural worker
Development assistance does not target the neediest countries
0 5 10 15 20 25
less than 5%
5 to 19%
20 to 34%
35% or more
% undernourished
US$/worker
External assistance to agriculture per ag. worker (1998–2000)
Conclusions
Agricultural production is growing strongly in developing countries
• Agricultural trade is again expanding• Progress in hunger reduction must be accelerated• Food emergencies remain pervasive• Hunger reduction is needed also to reach other
MDG targets• More resources to agriculture and rural
development are required• Particularly for the most needy countries