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FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

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Progress towards the WFS target is too slow Developing World MDG Target WFS Target Millions Number of undernourished

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Page 1: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

FAO Conference Thirty-third Session

19-26 November 2005

The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Page 2: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

852 million people are chronically undernourished

Developed market

economies9

Countries in transition

28

Sub-Saharan Africa

204

Near East and North Africa

39

Asia and the Pacific

519

Latin America and the

Caribbean53

(2000 – 2002)

Page 3: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Progress towards the WFS target is too slow

Developing World

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1980-82 1990-92 1995-97 2000-02 2015

MDG Target

WFS Target

Millions

Number of undernourished

Page 4: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Progress in hunger reduction matches progress on other MDGsNumber of MDG targets on track (out of 18)

02

46

810

1214

NorthAfrica

S.E.Asia

Latin America/

Caribbean

EastAsia

WesternAsia

SouthAsia

Oceania SaharanAfrica

Hunger reductionon track

Hunger reductionnot on track

Page 5: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Hunger reduction leads to lower child mortality

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Countries withrapid progress

on hunger

Countries withworsening

hunger

Average reduction in child mortality (1990 – 2003)%

Page 6: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Numerous countries face serious food shortages in 2005

October 2005

Page 7: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

World agricultural production increased in 2004

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

1990-2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Agriculture Crops Livestock%

Average annual growth

Page 8: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Per caput food production has increased steadilyPer caput food productionIndex (1970 = 100)

80

100

120

140

160

180

70 75 80 85 90 95 00

Developing CountriesWorld Developed Countries

04

Page 9: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

The developing country regions have not all made equal progressPer caput food productionIndex (1970 = 100)

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

70 75 80 85 90 95 00

Asia and the Pacific Near East and North AfricaSub-Saharan Africa Latin America and the Caribbean

04

Page 10: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

World cereal production has picked up

1700

1750

1800

1850

1900

1950

2000

2050

90/91 92/93 94/95 96/97 98/99 00/01 02/03 04/05

Production Utilization

Million tonnes

05/06** Forecast

Page 11: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

The agricultural trade deficit of LDCs is widening

Billion US$

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

61 65 69 73 77 81 85 89 93 97 01 03

total agricultural exports total agricultural imports

Page 12: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Agricultural growth is fundamental for eradicating hunger

Average annual growth of agricultural GDP (1990s)

-1.5

-1.2

-0.9

-0.6

-0.3

0

0.3

0.6

Countries withworsening

hunger

Countries withstagnanthunger

Countriesprogressing on

hunger reduction

%

Page 13: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Investment in agriculture lags where hunger is most prevalent

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

less than 5% 5 to 19% 20 to 34% more than 35%

1975-77 1998-2000

% undernourished

US$/worker

+33%

-22%+12% +2%

Agricultural capital stock per agricultural worker

Page 14: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Development assistance does not target the neediest countries

0 5 10 15 20 25

less than 5%

5 to 19%

20 to 34%

35% or more

% undernourished

US$/worker

External assistance to agriculture per ag. worker (1998–2000)

Page 15: FAO Conference Thirty-third Session 19-26 November 2005 The State of Food and Agriculture 2005

Conclusions

Agricultural production is growing strongly in developing countries

• Agricultural trade is again expanding• Progress in hunger reduction must be accelerated• Food emergencies remain pervasive• Hunger reduction is needed also to reach other

MDG targets• More resources to agriculture and rural

development are required• Particularly for the most needy countries