final foreign exchange.docx

  • Upload
    vandana

  • View
    216

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    1/36

    INTRODUCTION

    Foreign exchange risk (also known as FX risk, exchange rate risk or currency risk) is a financial

    riskthat exists when a financial transaction is denominated in a currencyother than that of the

    base currency of the company. Foreign exchange risk also exists when the foreign subsidiary of afirm maintains financial statements in a currency other than the reporting currency of the

    consolidated entity. The risk is that there may be an adverse movement in the exchange rateof

    the denomination currency in relation to the base currency before the date when the transaction is

    completed. nvestors and businesses exporting or importing goods and services or making

    foreign investments have an exchange rate risk which can have severe financial conse!uences"

    but steps can be taken to manage (i.e., reduce) the risk

    This risk usually affects businesses that export and#or import, but it can also affect investors

    making international investments. For example, if money must be converted to another currency

    to make a certain investment, then any changes in the currency exchange rate will cause that

    investment$s value to either decrease or increase when the investment is sold and converted back

    into the original currency.

    n today%s world no economy is self&sufficient, so there is need for exchange of goods and

    services amongst the different countries. 'o in this global village, unlike in the primitive age the

    exchange of goods and services is no longer carried out on barter basis. very sovereign country

    in the world has a currency that is legal tender in its territory and this currency does not act as

    money outside its boundaries. 'o whenever a country buys or sells goods and services from or to

    another country, the residents of two countries have to exchange currencies. 'o we can imagine

    that if all countries have the same currency then there is no need for foreign exchange.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_riskhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_riskhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currencyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_ratehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Currencyhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange_ratehttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_riskhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_risk
  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    2/36

    NEED FOR FOREIGN EXCHANGE

    et us consider a case where ndian company exports cotton fabrics to *'+ and invoices the

    goods in *' dollar. The +merican importer will pay the amount in *' dollar, as the same is his

    home currency. owever the ndian exporter re!uires rupees means his home currency for

    procuring raw materials and for payment to the labor charges etc. Thus he would need

    exchanging *' dollar for rupee. f the ndian exporters invoice their goods in rupees, then

    importer in *'+ will get his dollar converted in rupee and pay the exporter.

    From the above example we can infer that in case goods are bought or sold outside the country,

    exchange of currency is necessary.

    'ometimes it also happens that the transactions between two countries will be settled in the

    currency of third country. n that case both the countries that are transacting will re!uire

    converting their respective currencies in the currency of third country. For that also the foreign

    exchange is re!uired. f we would have the single currency all in the world, then we wouldn%t

    need forex...because each country has its own politics or several together, and each of the

    country has its own incomes and outcomes etc.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    3/36

    PARTICIPANTS IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET

    1. CUSTOMERS

    The customers who are engaged in foreign trade participate in foreign exchange market by

    availing of the services of banks. xporters re!uire converting the dollars in to rupee and

    imporeters re!uire converting rupee in to the dollars, as they have to pay in dollars for the

    goods#services they have imported

    2. COMMERCIAL BANKS

    They are most active players in the forex market. -ommercial bank dealing with international

    transaction, offer services for conversion of one currency in to another. They have wide network

    of branches. Typically banks buy foreign exchange from exporters and sells foreign exchange to

    the importers of goods. +s every time the foreign exchange bought or oversold position. The

    balance amount is sold or bought from the market.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    4/36

    3. CENTRAL BANK

    n all countries -entral bank have been charged with the responsibility of maintaining the

    external value of the domestic currency. enerally this is achieved by the intervention of the

    bank.

    4. EXCHANGE BROKERS

    Forex brokers play very important role in the foreign exchange market. owever the extent to

    which services of foreign brokers are utili/ed depends on the tradition and practice prevailing at

    a particular forex market center. n ndia as per F0+ guideline the +0s are free to deal directly

    among themselves without going through brokers. The brokers are not among to allowed to deal

    in their own account allover the world and also in ndia

    .

    5. OVERSEAS FOREX MARKET

    Today the daily global turnover is estimated to be more than *' 1 2.3 trillion a day. The

    international trade however constitutes hardly 3 to 4 5 of this total turnover. The rest of trading

    in world forex market is constituted of financial transaction and speculation. +s we know that the

    forex market is 67&hour market, the day begins with Tokyo and thereafter 'ingapore opens,

    thereafter ndia, followed by 8ahrain, Frankfurt, 9aris, ondon, :ew ;ork, 'ydney, and back to

    Tokyo.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    5/36

    The Fu!"#$% $& "he F$'e#( E)!h*(e M*'+e"

    2. The foreign exchange market serves two functions> converting currencies and reducing risk.

    There are four ma=or reasons firms need to convert currencies.

    6. First, the payments firms receive from exports, foreign investments, foreign profits, or

    licensing agreements may all be in a foreign currency. n order to use these funds in its home

    country, an international firm has to convert funds from foreign to domestic currencies.

    ?. 'econd, a firm may purchase supplies from firms in foreign countries, and pay these suppliers

    in their domestic currency.

    7. Third, a firm may want to invest in a different country from that in which it currently holds

    underused funds.

    3. Fourth, a firm may want to speculate on exchange rate movements, and earn profits on the

    changes it expects. f it expects a foreign currency to appreciate relative to its domestic currency,

    it will convert its domestic funds into the foreign currency. +lternately stated, it expects its

    domestic currency to depreciate relative to the foreign currency. +n example similar to the one in

    the book can help illustrate how money can be made on exchange rate speculation. The

    management focus on eorge 'oros shows how one fund has benefited from currency

    speculation.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    6/36

    a laptop computer purchase where using the forward market helps assure the firm that will won$t

    lose money on what it feels is a good deal. t can be good to point out that from a firm$s

    perspective, while it can set prices and agree to pay certain costs, and can reasonably plan to earn

    a profit" it has virtually no control over the exchange rate. Bhen spot exchange rate changes

    entirely wipe out the profits on what appear to be profitable deals, the firm has no recourse.

    C. Bhen a currency is worth less with the forward rate than it is with the spot rate, it is selling at

    forward discount. ikewise, when a currency is worth more in the future than it is on the spot

    market, it is said to be selling at a forward premium, and is hence expected to appreciate. These

    points can be illustrated with several of the currencies.

    2D. + currency swap is the simultaneous purchase and sale of a given amount of currency at two

    different dates and values.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    7/36

    FACTOR AFFECTINGN EXCHANGE RATES

    C$,,$-#" P'#!e%

    -ommodities are inversely related to currency values in most cases. + commodity is a hard asset

    class that investors flock to as a safe haven when currency values fall, so trading patterns can

    emerge that temporarily affect exchange rates. The exception to this rule applies to economies

    whose main industry is tied to a traded commodity. For example, the -anadian dollar moves in

    correlation to @il prices" as oil rises, the value of the -anadian dollar rises with it.

    I"e'e%" R*"e%

    -entral 8anks play a pivotal role in affecting exchange rates. Bhen interest rates in one country

    are higher than rates in another country, it offers lenders a chance to gain higher returns by

    investing in the country with higher rates. igher interest rates attract foreign investment, and

    when investors purchase a country$s currency, they will cause the exchange rate to rise.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    8/36

    I&/*"#$ '*"e

    nflation is the unseen destroyer of currency value, because high inflation relative to another

    country will depreciate their currency. The effects are generally temporary, however, as inflation

    will cause interest rates to rise in order to counter the inflationary impact on the economy. The

    devalued currency may continue to stay at depressed values if interest rates are significantly

    lower relative to other country$s currencies.

    S"'e("h $& e!$$,

    conomic factors affecting exchange rates include hedging activities, interest rates, inflationarypressures, trade imbalance, and euro market activities. rving fisher, an +merican economist,

    developed a theory relating exchange rates to interest rates. This proposition, known as the fisher

    effect, states that interest rate differentials tend to reflect exchange rate expectation.

    @n the other hand, the purchasing& power parity theory relates exchange rates to inflationary

    pressures. n its absolute version, this theory states that the e!uilibrium exchange rate e!uals the

    ratio of domestic to foreign prices. The relative version of the theory relates changes in the

    exchange rate to changes in price ratios.

    overnment 0ebtovernment debt is public debt or national debt owned by the central government. + country

    with government debt is less likely to ac!uire foreign capital, leading to inflation. Foreign

    investors will sell their bonds in the open market if the market predicts government debt within a

    certain country. +s a result, a decrease in the value of its exchange rate will follow.

    Terms of Trade

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    9/36

    Eelated to current accounts and balance of payments, the terms of trade is the ratio of export

    prices to import prices. + country$s terms of trade improves if its exports prices rise at a greater

    rate than its imports prices. This results in higher revenue, which causes a higher demand for the

    country$s currency and an increase in its currency$s value. This results in an appreciation of

    exchange rate.

    EecessionBhen a country experiences a recession, its interest rates are likely to fall, decreasing its chances

    to ac!uire foreign capital. +s a result, its currency weakens in comparison to that of other

    countries, therefore lowering the exchange rate.

    METHODS OF 0UOTING RATE

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    10/36

    xchange rate is a rate at which one currency can be exchange in to another currency, say *'0

    Es.7A. This rate is the rate of conversion of *' dollar in to ndian rupee and vice versa.

    X-+: G*@T+T@:

    0E-T :0E-T

    H+E+8 *:T H+E+8 *:T

    @I -*EE:-; F@E: -*EE:-;

    There are two methods of !uoting exchange rates.

    2) 0irect methods

    Foreign currency is kept constant and home currency is kept variable. n direct !uotation, the

    principle adopted by bank is to buy at a lower price and sell at higher price.

    6) n direct method>

    ome currency is kept constant and foreign currency is kept variable. ere the strategy used by

    bank is to buy high and sell low. n ndia with effect from august 6, 2CC? all the exchange rates

    are !uoted in direct method.

    t is customary in foreign exchange market to always !uote two rates means one for buying and

    another rate for selling. This helps in eliminating the risk of being given bad rates i.e. if a party

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    11/36

    comes to know what the other party intends to do i.e. buy or sell, the former can take the letter

    for a ride.

    There are two parties in an exchange deal of currencies. To initiate the deal one party asks for

    !uote from another party and other party !uotes a rate. The party asking for a !uote is known as%

    asking party and the party giving a !uotes is known as !uoting party.

    The advantage of twoJway !uote is as under

    i. The market continuously makes available price for buyers or sellers

    ii. Two way price limits the profit margin of the !uoting bank and comparison of one

    !uote with another !uote can be done instantaneously.

    iii. +s it is not necessary any player in the market to indicate whether he intends to buy

    or sale foreign currency, this ensures that the !uoting bank cannot take advantage by

    manipulating the prices.

    iv. t automatically insures that alignment of rates with market rates.

    v. Two way !uotes lend depth and li!uidity to the market, which is so very essential for

    efficient market.

    K

    n two way !uotes the first rate is the rate for buying and another for selling. Be should

    understand here that, in ndia the banks, which are authori/ed dealer always, !uote rates. 'o the

    rates !uoted& buying and selling is for banks point of view only. t means that if exporters want

    to sell the dollars then the bank will buy the dollars from him so while calculation the first rate

    will be used which is

    8uying rate, as the bank is buying the dollars from exporter. The same case will happen inversely

    with importer as he will buy dollars from the bank and bank will sell dollars to importer.

    I"'$-u!"#$

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    12/36

    -onsider a hypothetical situation in which +8- trading co. has to import a raw material for

    manufacturing goods. 8ut this raw material is re!uired only after three months. owever, in

    three months the price of raw material may go up or go down due to foreign exchange

    fluctuations and at this point of time it can not be predicted whether the price would go up or

    come down. Thus he is exposed to risks with fluctuations in forex rate. f he buys the goods in

    advance then he will incur heavy interest and storage charges. owever, the availability of

    derivatives solves the problem of importer. e can buy currency derivatives. :ow any loss due

    to rise in raw material price would be offset by profits on the futures contract and vice versa.

    ence, the derivatives are the hedging tools that are available to companies to cover the foreign

    exchange exposure faced by them.

    De#"#$ $& De'#*"#e%

    0erivatives are financial contracts of predetermined fixed duration, whose values are derived

    from the value of an underlying primary financial instrument, commodity or index, such as >

    interest rate, exchange rates, commodities, and e!uities.

    0erivatives are risk shifting instruments. nitially, they were used to reduce exposure to changesin foreign exchange rates, interest rates, or stock indexes or commonly known as risk hedging.

    edging is the most important aspect of derivatives and also its basic economic purpose. There

    has to be counter party to hedgers and they are speculators.

    0erivatives have come into existence because of the prevalence of risk in every business. This

    risk could be physical, operating, investment and credit risk.

    0erivatives provide a means of managing such a risk. The need to manage external risk is thus

    one pillar of the derivative market. 9arties wishing to manage their risk are called hedgers.

    The common derivative products are forwards, options, swaps and futures.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    13/36

    1. F$'*'- C$"'*!"%

    Forward exchange contract is a firm and binding contract, entered into by the bank and its

    customers, for purchase of specified amount of foreign currency at an agreed rate of exchange

    for delivery and payment at a future date or period agreed upon at the time of entering into

    forward deal.

    The bank on its part will cover itself either in the interbank market or by matching a contract to

    sell with a contract to buy. The contract between customer and bank is essentially written

    agreement and bank generally stand to make a loss if the customer defaults in fulfilling his

    commitment to sell foreign currency.

    + foreign exchange forward contract is a contract under which the bank agrees to sell or buy a

    fixed amount of currency to or from the company on an agreed future date in exchange for a

    fixed amount of another currency. :o money is exchanged until the future date.

    + company will usually enter into forward contract when it knows there will be a need to buy or

    sell for an currency on a certain date in the future. t may believe that today%s forward rate willprove to be more favourable than the spot rate prevailing on that future date. +lternatively, the

    company may =ust want to eliminate the uncertainty associated with foreign exchange rate

    movements.

    The forward contract commits both parties to carrying out the exchange of currencies at the

    agreed rate, irrespective of whatever happens to the exchange rate.

    The rate !uoted for a forward contract is not an estimate of what the exchange rate will be on the

    agreed future date. t reflects the interest rate differential between the two currencies involved.

    The forward rate may be higher or lower than the market exchange rate on the day the contract is

    entered into.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    14/36

    Forward rate has two components.

    'pot rate

    Forward points

    Forward points, also called as forward differentials, reflects the interest differential between the

    pair of currencies provided capital flow are freely allowed. This is not true in case of *' 1 #

    rupee rate as there is exchange control regulations prohibiting free movement of capital from #

    into ndia. n case of *' 1 # rupee it is pure demand and supply which determines forward

    differential.

    Forward rates are !uoted by indicating spot rate and premium # discount.

    n direct rate,

    Forward rate spot rate L premium # & discount.

    xample>

    The inter bank rate for ?2stIarch is 77.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    15/36

    77.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    16/36

    +dvantages of using forward contracts>

    They are useful for budgeting, as the rate at which the company will buy or sell is fixed

    in advance.

    There is no up&front premium to pay when using forward contracts.

    The contract can be drawn up so that the exchange takes place on any agreed working

    day.

    0isadvantages of forward contracts>

    They are legally binding agreements that must be hounored regardless of the exchange

    rate prevailing on the actual forward contract date.

    They may not be suitable where there is uncertainty about future cash flows. For

    example, if a company tenders for a contract and the tender is unsuccessful, all

    obligations under the Forward -ontract must still be honored

    .

    2. OPTIONS

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    17/36

    +n option is a -ontractual agreement that gives the option buyer the right, but not the obligation,

    to purchase (in the case of a call option) or to sell (in the case of put option) a specified

    instrument at a specified price at any time of the option buyer%s choosing by or before a fixed

    date in the future. *pon exercise of the right by the option holder, and option seller is obliged to

    deliver the specified instrument at a specified price.

    The option is sold by the seller (writer)

    To the buyer (holder)

    n return for a payment (premium)

    @ption lasts for a certain period of time J the right expires at its maturity

    @ptions are of two kinds

    2.) 9ut @ptions

    6.) -all @ptions

    9*T @9T@:'

    The buyer (holder) has the right, but not an obligation, to sell the underlying asset to the

    seller (writer) of the option.

    -+ @9T@:'

    The buyer (holder) has the right, but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset from

    the seller (writer) of the option.

    Te% $& O"#$%

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    18/36

    + -all @ption is an option to buy a fixed amount of currency.

    + 9ut @ption is an option to sell a fixed amount of currency.

    8oth types of options are available in two styles >

    2. The +merican style option is an option that can be exercised at any time before its expiry date.

    6. The uropean style option is an option that can only be exercised at the specific expiry date of

    the option.

    O"#$ 'e,#u,%

    8y buying an option, a company ac!uires greater flexibility and at the same time receives

    protection against unfavorable changes in exchange rates. The protection is paid for in the form

    of a premium.

    xample>

    + company has a re!uirement to buy *'0 2DDDDDD in one months time.

    Iarket parameters>

    -urrent 'pot Eate is 2,

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    19/36

    8ut a call option with a strike rate of 2.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    20/36

    B+T +E 'B+9'P

    + contract between two parties, referred to as counter parties, to exchange two streams of

    payments for agreed period of time. The payments, commonly called legs or sides, are calculated

    based on the underlying notional using applicable rates. 'waps contracts also include other

    provisional specified by the counter parties. 'waps are not debt instrument to raise capital, but a

    tool used for financial management. 'waps are arranged in many different currencies and

    different periods of time. *' 1 swaps are most common followed by Mapanese yen, sterling and

    0eutsche marks. The length of past swaps transacted has ranged from 6 to 63 years.

    S* M*'+e" P*'"#!#*"#$%

    'ince swaps are privately negotiated products, there is no restriction on who can use the market>

    however, parties with low credit !uality have difficulty entering the market. This is due to fact

    that they cannot be matched with counter parties who are willing to take on their risks. n the

    *.'. many parties re!uire their counter parties to have minimum assets of 1 2D million. This

    re!uirement has become a standardi/ed representation of Qeligible swap participantsR.

    The following list includes a 'ample of 'waps Iarket 9articipants>

    2. Iultinational -ompanies.

    'hell, 8I, onda, *nilever, 9rocter S amble, 9epsi -o.

    6. 8anks

    8anks participate in the swap market either as an intermediary for two or more parties or as

    counter party for their own financial management.

    ?. 'overeign and public sector institutions

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    21/36

    Mapan, Eepublic of taly, lectricity de France, 'allie Iae (*.'. 'tudent oan Iarketing

    +ssociation).

    7. 'uper nationals

    Borld 8ank, uropean nvestment 8ank, +sian 0evelopment 8ank.

    3. Ioney Ianagers

    nsurance companies, 9ension funds.

    The'e *'e *%#!*// "$ "e% $& %* "'*%*!"#$%

    nterest Eate 'wap

    -urrency 'wap

    1. INTEREST RATE S7APS

    The most common type of interest rate swaps are Qplain vanillaR E'. ere, one party +, agrees

    to pay to the other party 8, cash flows e!ual to interest at a predetermined fixed rate on anotional principal for a number of years. 'imultaneously, + agrees to pay party 8 cash flows

    e!ual to interest at a floating rate on the same notional principal for the same period of time. The

    currencies of the two sets of interest cash flows are the same. Ioreover, only the difference in

    the interest

    payments is paid#received" the principal is used only to calculate the interest amounts and is

    never exchanged.

    t is an arrangement whereby one party exchanges one set of interest payment for another e.g.

    fixed or floating.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    22/36

    +n exchange between two parties of interest obligations (payment of interest) in the same

    currency on an agreed amount of notional principal for an agreed period of time.

    2. CURRENC8 S7APS

    ach entity has a different access and different long term needs in the international markets.

    -ompanies receive more favorable credit ratings in their country of domicile that in the country

    in which they need to raise capital. nvestors are likely to demand a lower return from a domestic

    company, which they are more familiar with than from a foreign company. n some cases a

    company may be unable to raise capital in a certain currency.

    -urrency swaps are also used to lower than risk of currency exposure or to change returns on

    investment into another, more favorable currency. Therefore, currency swaps are used to

    exchange assets or capital in one currency for another for the purpose of financial management.

    + currency swap transaction involves an exchange of a ma=or currency against the *.'. dollar. n

    order to swap two other non&*.'. currencies, a dealer may need to arrange two separate swaps.

    +lthough, any currency can be used in swaps, many counter parties are unable to exchange of the

    principals takes place at the commencement and the termination of the swaps in addition to

    exchange of interest payments on agreed intervals. The exchange of principal and interest is

    necessary because counter parties may need to utili/e the respective exchanged currencies.

    The uses of currency swaps are summari/ed below>

    owering funding cost

    ntering restricted capital markets

    Eeducing currency risk

    'upply&demand imbalances in the markets

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    23/36

    F$//$#( *'e '#%+% *%%$!#*"e- #"h %*%

    nterest rate risk

    xchange rate risk

    0efault risk

    'overeign risk

    Iismatch risk (for dealers only)

    FUTURES

    n a futures contract there is an agreement to buy or sell a specified !uantity of financial

    instrument in a designated Future month at a price agreed upon by the buyer and seller.

    + Future contract is evolved out of a forward contract and posses many of the same

    characteristics. n essence, they are like li!uid forward contracts. *nlike forward contracts

    however, futures contracts trade on organi/ed exchanges called futures markets.

    The characteristics of a future contract are

    'tandardi/ation

    The future contracts are standardi/ed in terms of !uantity and !uality and future delivery date.

    Iargining

    The other characteristics of a futures contract are the margining process. The margin differs fromexchange to exchange and may change as the exchange%s perception of risk changes. This is

    known as the initial margin. n addition to this there is also daily variation margin and this

    process is known as marking to market.

    9articipants

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    24/36

    The ma=ority of users are large corporations and financial institutions either as traders or hedgers.

    Futures are exchange traded

    n futures market there is availability of clearing house for settlement of transactions.

    CURRENC8 FUTURES

    -urrency futures markets were developed in response to the shift from fixed to flexible exchange

    rates in 2C42. They became particularly popular after rates were allowed to float free in 2C4?,

    because of the resulting increased volatility in exchange rates.

    + currency future is the price of a particular currency for settlement in a specified future date. +

    currency future contract is an agreement to buy or sell, on the future exchange, a standard

    !uantity of foreign currency at a future date at the agreed price. The counterpart to futures

    contracts is the future exchange, which ensures that all contracts will honored. This effectively

    eliminates the credit risk to a very large extent.

    -urrency futures are traded on futures exchanges and the most popular exchange are the ones

    where the contracts are fungible or transferable freely. The 'ingapore nternational Ionetary

    xchange ('IX) and the nternational Ionetary Iarket, -hicago (II) are the most

    popular futures exchanges. There are smaller futures exchanges in ondon, 'ydney, Tokyo,

    Frankfurt, 9aris, 8russels, urich, Iilan, :ew ;ork and 9hiladelphia.

    P'#!#( $& Fu"u'e% C$"'*!"

    Futures 9rice 'pot 9rice L -ost of -arrying (nterest)

    -ost of carrying is the sum of all costs incurred to carry till the maturity of the futures contract

    less any revenue, which may result in this period.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    25/36

    n ndia there is no futures market available for the ndian -orporates to hedge their currency

    risks through futures.

    The advantages of Future -ontract

    ow -redit Eisk> n case of futures the credit risk is low as the clearing house is the

    counter party to every future.

    earing> @nly small margin money is re!uired to hedge large amounts.

    The disadvantages of Future -ontract

    8asic Eisk> +s futures contract are standardi/ed they do not provide a perfect hedge.

    Iargining 9rocess> The administration is difficult.

    t is observed that a futures contract is a type of forward contract, but there are several

    characteristics that distinguish from forward contracts.

    'tandardi/ed Hs. -ustomi/ed -ontract >

    Forward contract is customi/ed while the future is standardi/ed.

    -ounter 9arty Eisk >

    n case of futures contract, once the trade is agreed upon the exchange becomes the counter

    party. Thus reducing the risk to almost nil. n case of forward contract, parties take the credit risk

    to each other.

    i!uidity >

    Futures contract are much more li!uid and their price is much more transparent as compared

    to forwards.

    '!uaring @ff>

    + forward contract can be reversed only with the same counter party with whom it was

    entered into. + futures contract can be reversed with any member of the exchange.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    26/36

    -@:TE8*T@: @F 0EH+TH' : T E@BT @F F@EX I+EUT'.

    The tremendous growth of the financial derivatives market and reports of ma=or losses associated

    with derivative products have resulted in a great deal of confusion about these complex

    instruments. +re derivatives a cancerous growth that is slowly but surely destroying global

    financial marketsP +re people who use derivative products irresponsible because they use

    financial derivatives as part of their overall risk management strategyP

    Those who oppose financial derivatives fear a financial disaster of tremendous proportions a

    disaster that could paraly/e the world%s financial markets and force governments to intervene to

    restore stability and prevent massive economic collapse, all at taxpayers% expense. -ritics believe

    that derivatives create risks that are uncontrollable and not well understood.

    9eople have certain believes about derivatives which hampers the growth of the derivatives

    market. They are>

    0erivatives are new, complex, high&tech financial products.

    0erivatives are purely speculative, highly leveraged instruments.

    The enormous si/e of the financial derivatives market dwarfs 8ank -apital, Thereby

    Iaking 0erivatives Trading an *nsafe and *nsound 8anking 9ractice.

    @nly large multinational corporations and large banks have a purpose for using

    derivatives.

    Financial derivatives are simply the latest risk management fad.

    0erivatives take money out of productive processes and never put anything back

    @nly risk&seeking organi/ations should use derivatives

    The risks associated with financial derivatives are new and unknown

    0erivatives ink market participants more tightly together, thereby increasing systematic

    risks.

    This is what some people believe, but it%s not the case.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    27/36

    +ctually the financial derivatives have changed the face of finance by creating new ways to

    understand, measure, and manage financial risks. *ltimately, derivatives offer organi/ations the

    opportunity to break financial risks into smaller components and then to buy and sell those

    components to best meet specific risk&management ob=ectives. Ioreover, under a market&

    oriented philosophy, derivatives allow for the free trading of individual risk components, thereby

    improving market efficiency. *sing financial derivatives should be considered a part of any

    business%s risk&management strategy to ensure that value&enhancing investment opportunities can

    be pursued.

    Thus, financial derivatives should be considered for inclusion in any corporation%s risk&control

    arsenal. 0erivatives allow for the efficient transfer of financial risks and can help to ensure that

    value&enhancing opportunities will not be ignored. *sed properly, derivatives can reduce risks

    and increase returns.

    0erivatives also have a dark side. t is important that derivatives players fully understand the

    complexity of financial derivatives contracts and the accompanying risks. *sers should be

    certain that the proper safeguards are built into trading practices and that appropriate incentives

    are in place so that corporate traders do not take unnecessary risks.

    The use of financial derivatives should be integrated into an organi/ation%s overall risk&

    management strategy and be in harmony with its broader corporate philosophy and ob=ectives.

    There is no need to fear financial derivatives when they are used properly and with the firm%s

    corporate goals as guides.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    28/36

    7HAT IS THE NEED FOR FOR7ARD EXCHANGE CONTRACT9

    The risk on account of exchange rate fluctuations, in international trade transactions increases if

    the time period needed for completion of transaction is longer. t is not uncommon in

    international trade, on account of logistics" the time frame cannot be foretold with clock

    precision. xporters and importers alike cannot be precise as to the time when the shipment will

    be made as sometimes space on the ship is not available, while at the other, there are delays on

    account of congestion of port etc.

    n international trade there is considerable time lag between entering into a sales#purchase

    contract, shipment of goods, and payment. n the meantime, if exchange rate moves against the

    party who has to exchange his home currency into foreign currency, he may end up in loss.

    -onse!uently, buyers and sellers want to protect them against exchange rate risk. @ne of the

    methods by which they can protect themselves is entering into a foreign exchange forward

    contract.

    E'U I+:+I:T FE@I X9@ETE%' 9@:T @F HB

    f on the 2st Manuary 6DDD exporter signs an export contract. e expects to get the dollar

    remittance during the Mune. :ow let%s assume that on first Manuary exchange rate between dollar

    and rupee is 7A.43DD and due to the adverse fluctuation of exchange rate the actual rate in Mune is

    7A.3DD so we can infer from the above that the export may lose 63 paisa per dollar. +s per

    instrument available in ndia exporter may enter a forward exchange contract with a bank. Bhile

    entering the contract with bank, bank will give him a forward rate for Mune adding the premium

    to the spot rate of first Manuary. et suppose it is 7A.A7DD so exporter can earn C paise my

    exchange rate between dollar and rupee is 7A.43DD and due to the adverse fluctuation of

    exchange rate the actual rate in Mune is 7A.3DDD so we can infer from the above that the export

    may lose 67 paisa per dollar. +s per instrument available in ndia exporter may either a forward

    exchange contract with a bank. Bhile entering the contract with bank, bank will give him a

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    29/36

    forward rate for Mune adding the premium to the spot rate of first Manuary. et suppose its

    7A.A7DD so exporter can earn C paisa may cancel and rebook the contract as many as times they

    want.

    IMPORTER:S POINT OF VIE7

    et suppose on first Manuary an importer signs a deal with foreign party. e expects to pay the

    bill in Iarch on first Manuary the exchange rate is 73.43DD and the importer expects that the

    dollar will depreciate in the month of Iarch. 'o the importer will enter into the agreement with

    bank for the forward exchange contract. The bank will give him the forward rate. f the rate is

    lower than the today%s rate then the importer will enter into the contract with bank and the rate is

    high then he will not enter into the contract.

    n ndia importers cannot cancel the contract. They can cancel the contract at once and roll over

    for the future date. This way importers and exporters can minimi/e the risk due to the adverse

    foreign exchange rate movement.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    30/36

    RISK MANAGEMENT PROCESS

    2. dentify the Eisks> as a group, list the things that might inhibit your ability to meet your

    ob=ectives. ;ou can even look at the things that would actually enhance your ability to meet those

    ob=ectives eg. a fund&raising commercial opportunity. These are the risks that you face eg. loss of

    a key team member" prolonged T network outage" delayed provision of important information

    by another work unit#individual" failure to sei/e a commercial opportunity etc.

    6. dentify the -auses> try to identify what might cause these things to occur eg. the key team

    member might be disillusioned with his#her position, might be head hunted to go elsewhere" the

    person upon whom you are relying for information might be very busy, going on leave or

    notoriously slow in supplying such data" the supervisor re!uired to approve the commercial

    undertaking might be risk averse and need extra convincing before taking the risk etc etc.

    ?. dentify the -ontrols> identify all the things (-ontrols) that you have in place that are aimed at

    reducing the ikelihood of your risks from happening in the first place and, if they do happen,

    what you have in place to reduce their impact (-onse!uence) eg. providing a friendly work

    environment for your team" multi&skill across the team to reduce the reliance on one person"

    stress the need for the re!uired information to be supplied in a timely manner" send a reminder

    before the deadline" provide additional information to the supervisor before he#she asks for it etc.

    7. stablish your ikelihood and -onse!uence 0escriptors, remembering that these depend upon

    the context of your analysis ie. if your analysis relates to your work unit, any financial loss or

    loss of a key staff member, for example, will have a greater impact on that work unit than it will

    have on the *niversity as a whole so those descriptors used for the whole&of&*niversity

    (strategic) context will generally not be appropriate for the Faculty, other work unit or the

    individual eg. a loss of 1?DDDDD might be considered nsignificant to the *niversity, but it could

    very well be -atastrophic to your work unit.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    31/36

    3. stablish your Eisk Eating 0escriptors> ie. what is meant by a ow, Ioderate, igh or

    xtreme Eisk needs to be decided upon ahead of time. 8ecause these are more generic in

    terminology though, you might find that the *niversity$s 'trategic Eisk Eating 0escriptors are

    applicable.

    generally speaking, any risk that is rated as igh or xtreme should have

    additional controls applied to it in order to reduce it to an acceptable level. Bhat the appropriate

    additional controls might be, whether they can be afforded, what priority might be placed on

    them etc. is something for the group to determine in consultation with the ead of the work unit

    who, ideally, should be a member of the group doing the analysis in the first place.

    4. Iake a 0ecision> once the above process is complete, if there are still some risks that are rated

    as igh or xtreme, a decision has to be made as to whether the activity will go ahead. There

    will be occasions when the risks are higher than preferred but there may be nothing more that

    can be done to mitigate that risk ie. they are out of the control of the work unit but the activity

    must still be carried out. n such situations, monitoring the circumstances and regular review is

    essential.

    A. Ionitor and Eeview> the monitoring of all risks and regular review of the unit$s risk profile is

    an essential element for a successful risk management program.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    32/36

    Te% $& '#%+ # &$'e#( e)!h*(e

    1. P$%#"#$ R#%+

    The exchange risk on the net open F$'e)position is called the position risk. The position can be

    a long#overbought position or it could be a short#oversold position. The excess of foreign

    currency assets over liabilities is called a net long position whereas the excess of foreign

    currency liabilities over assets is called a net short position. 'ince all purchases and sales are at a

    rate, the net position too is at a net#average rate. +ny adverse movement in market rates wouldresult in a loss on the net currency position.

    For example, where a net long position is in a currency whose value is depreciating, the

    conversion of the currency will result in a lower amount of the corresponding currency resulting

    in a loss, whereas a net long position in an appreciating currency would result in a profit. iven

    the volatility in F$'e)markets and external factors that affect FX rates, it is prudent to have

    controls and limits that can minimi/e losses and ensure a reasonable profit.

    The ,$%" $u/*' !$"'$/%;/#,#"% $ $e $%#"#$ '#%+% *'e

    D*/#(h" L#,#" Eefers to the maximum net open position that can be built up a trader

    during the course of the working day. This limit is set currency&wise and the overall position of

    all currencies as well.

    Oe'#(h" L#,#" Eefers to the net open position that a trader can leave overnight J to

    be carried forward for the next working day. This limit too is set currency&wise and the overall

    overnight limit for all currencies. enerally, overnight limits are about 235 of the daylight

    limits.

    2. M#%,*"!h R#%+;G* R#%+

    Bhere a foreign currency is bought and sold for different value dates, it creates no net position

    i.e. there is no FX risk. 8ut due to the different value dates involved there is a QmismatchR i.e.

    the purchase#sale dates do not match. These mismatches, or gaps as they are often called, result

    in an uneven cash flow. f the forward rates move adversely, such mismatches would result in

    losses. Iismatches expose one to risks of exchange losses that arise out of adverse movement in

    the forward points and therefore, controls need to be initiated.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    33/36

    The /#,#"% $ G* '#%+% *'e

    I-##-u*/ G* L#,#" This determines the maximum mismatch for any calendar

    month" currency&wise.

    A(('e(*"e G* L#,#" s the limit fixed for all gaps, for a currency, irrespective of theirbeing long or short. This is worked out by adding the absolute values of all overbought and all

    oversold positions for the various months, i.e. the total of the individual gaps, ignoring the

    signs. This limit, too, is fixed currency&wise.

    T$"*/ A(('e(*"e G* L#,#" s the limit fixed for all aggregate gap limits in all

    currencies.

    3. T'*%/*"#$ R#%+

    Translation risk refers to the risk of adverse rate movement on foreign currency assets andliabilities funded out of domestic currency.

    The'e !*$" e * /#,#" $ "'*%/*"#$ '#%+ u" #" !* e ,**(e-

    2 Funding of Foreign -urrency +ssets#iabilities through money markets i.e. borrowing or lending

    of foreign currencies

    6 Funding through FX swaps

    ? edging the risk by means of -urrency @ptions

    7 Funding through Iulti -urrency nterest Eace 'waps

    4. Oe'*"#$*/ R#%+

    The operational risks refer to risks associated with systems, procedures, frauds and human errors.

    t is necessary to recogni/e these risks and put ade!uate controls in place, in advance. t is

    important to remember that in most of these cases corrective action needs to be taken post&event

    too. The following areas need to be addressed and controls need to be initiated.

    Se('e(*"#$ $& "'*-#( *- *!!$u"#( &u!"#$% The execution of deals is a function

    !uite distinct from the dealing function. The two have to be kept separate to ensure a proper

    check on trading activities, to ensure all deals are accounted for, that no positions are hidden

    and no delay occurs.

    F$//$

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    34/36

    Se""/e,e" $& &u-% Timely settlement of funds is necessary not only to avoid delayed

    payment interest penalty but also to avoid embarrassment and loss of credibility.

    Oe'-ue !$"'*!"% -are should be taken to monitor outstanding contracts and to ensure

    proper settlements. This will avoid unnecessary swap costs, excessive credit balances and

    overdrawn :ostro accounts.

    F/$*" "'*%*!"#$% @ften retail departments and other areas are authorised to create

    exposures. 9roper measures should be taken to make sure that such departments and areas

    inform the authorised persons#departments of these exposures, in time. + proper system of

    maximum amount trading authorities should be installed. +ny amount in excess of such

    maximum should be transacted only after proper approvals and rate.

    5. C'e-#" R#%+

    -redit risk refers to risks dealing with counter parties. The credit is contingent upon theperformance of its part of the contract by the counter party. The risk is not only due to non

    performance but also at times, the inability to perform by the counter party.

    The !'e-#" '#%+ !* e

    C$"'*!" '#%+Bhere the counter party fails prior to the value date. n such a case, the

    Forex deal would have to be replaced in the market, to li!uidate the Forex exposure. f there

    has been an adverse rate movement, this would result in an exchange loss. + contract limit is

    set counter party&wise to manage this risk.

    C/e* '#%+ Bhere the counter party fails on the value date i.e. it fails to deliver thecurrency, while you have already paid up. ere the risk is of the capital amount and the loss can

    be substantial. Fixing a daily settlement limit as well as a total outstanding limit, counter party&

    wise, can control such a risk.

    S$e'e#( R#%+ refers to risks associated with dealing into another country. These risks

    would be an account of exchange control regulations, political instability etc. -ountry limits are

    set to counter this risk.

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    35/36

    T8PES OF EXPOSURES IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET

    There are ? types of exposures existing in a foreign exchange market.

    1. T'*%*!"#$ e)$%u'e

    Transaction exposures are the most common. 'uppose that a company is exporting in euro and,

    while costing the transaction, materiali/es, i.e. the export is affected and the euros sold for

    rupees, the exchange rate has moved to Es. 7D per euro. n this case, the profitability of the

    export transaction can be completely wiped out by the movement in the exchange rate. This is

    termed as the transaction exposure which arises whenever a business has foreign currency

    denominated receipts or payments.

    2. T'*%/*"#$ e)$%u'e

    Translation exposures arise from the need to translate foreign currency assets or liabilities into

    the home currency for the purpose of finali/ing the accounts for any given period. + typical

    example of a translation exposure is the treatment of foreign currency loans.

    -onsider that a company has taken a medium term dollar loan to finance the import of capital

    goods worth 1 2mn. Bhen the import materiali/ed, the exchange rate was Es. 7D per dollar. The

    imported fixed asset was, therefore, capitali/ed in the books of company at Es. 7DD lacks, for

    finali/ing its accounts for the year in which asset was purchased. owever, at the time of

    finali/ation of accounts, exchange rate has moved to Es. 73 per dollar, involving translation loss

    of Es. 3D lacs, in this case, under the income tax act, the loss cannot be written off" it has to be

    capitali/ed by increasing the book value of fixed asset purchased by drawing upon the loan. The

    book value of asset thus becomes Es. 73D lacs and conse!uently higher depreciation will have to

    be provided for thus reducing the net profit. f the foreign currency loan is use for working

  • 7/24/2019 final foreign exchange.docx

    36/36

    capital. n that case the entire transaction loss would have to be debited to profit and loss a#c in

    the year in which it occurs.

    The effect of transaction and translation exposure could be positive as well if the amount is

    favorable. The translation exposure of course becomes a transaction exposure at some stage the

    dollar loan has to be repaid by undertaking the transaction of purchasing dollars against rupees.

    3. E!$$,#! E)$%u'e

    8oth transaction and translation exposures are accounting concepts whereas economic exposure

    is different than an accounting concept. + company could have an economic exposure to the euro

    " rupee rate even if it does not have any transaction or translation euro currency " this will be

    the case when its competitors are using uropean imports. f the euro weakens, the company

    loses its competitiveness against the competitors and vice versa. enerally, all businesses have

    economic exposures to exchange rates. conomic exposure to an exchange rate is the risk that a

    change in the rate affects the company%s competitive position in the market, or costs, and hence

    indirectly, its bottom line. Thus, economic exposures affect the profitability over a longer time

    span than transaction exposure.