Final Progress Review 25 MAY 2011 UNCLASSIFIED Final Progress
Review 25 MAY 2011 UNCLASSIFIED SEA-17B Capstone Project
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2 UNCLASSIFIED
Slide 3
Click to edit Master title style Overview SEA-17B has developed
an Advanced Undersea Warfare System that enables control of the
future Undersea Battlespace using superior weapons, sensors, AND
communications. Flexible Scalable Tailorable 3 UNCLASSIFIED
Click to edit Master title style Tasking 6 UNCLASSIFIED Define
a system of capabilities that would be necessary to create and
sustain an underwater operational picture of areas of interest and
counter and engage adversary manned and unmanned systems when
required.
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Click to edit Master title style Systems Engineering Plan 7
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Systems Engineering Process
ProblemMissionNeedFunction Physical Alternatives Define Consider
Identify Analyze Evaluate Recommend Perform Address Accomplish
Solve 8 UNCLASSIFIED
Slide 9
Section 2 Problem Statement Stakeholder Analysis CONOP Needs
Analysis Problem Statement Stakeholder Analysis CONOP Needs
Analysis 9 UNCLASSIFIED
Slide 10
Click to edit Master title style Problem Statement Over the
next twenty years the capacity and capability of USW platforms will
not meet operational demands in non-permissive areas. Furthermore,
the emergence of near-peer competitor navies, the distributed
nature of the asymmetric maritime threat, and the development of
autonomous undersea threats present a unique challenge that current
platform-centric solutions are not ideally designed to confront. 10
Control the undersea battlespace with weapons and sensing
superiority! UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style EMERGING TECHNOLOGY THREAT
CAPABILITY & CAPACITY SHIPS AIRCRAFT SUBMARINES MINES DEPLOYED
SENSORS NEAR-PEER COMPETITOR TIME ASYMMETRIC (mines, diesel
submarines,) Future of USW in the Littorals (if we maintain status
quo) US NAVY A Visual Representation 11 UNCLASSIFIED CROSSOVER
POINT
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Click to edit Master title style EMERGING TECHNOLOGY THREAT
NEAR-PEER COMPETITOR TIME Harness Technology Future of USW in the
Littorals Closing the Capability Gap US NAVY Maintain Dominance 12
ASYMMETRIC (mines, diesel submarines,) CAPABILITY + CAPACITY SHIPS
AIRCRAFT SUBMARINES MINES DEPLOYED SENSORS AUWS UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Considering Mission Areas
Limited resources, evolving threats, and emerging technologies all
suggest leveraging the benefits of Mine Warfare in the undersea
environment. Limited Resources Evolving Threats Emerging Technology
Near-peer AsymmetricAutonomousISRASW Force Protection
DeterrenceShaping Enhanced capability Affordability Naval Mining +
Unmanned Tech + Distributed Networks Multiple Mission Technology is
neutral! 13 UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Stakeholder Analysis 14
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Stakeholder Matrix 15
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Shape Deter
SeizeDominateStabilize Concept of Operations 16 COVERT ISR
Clandestine insertion Battlespace preparation ISR for Intelligence
Operations SMART MINE THREAT Hold-at-risk Early Warning Show of
force ENGAGE- MENT Engage hostile targets as directed PERSISTENT
ASSET Area Denial Maintain persistent presence FORCE MULTIPLIER
Protect friendly assets Monitor area to contribute to COP
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Needs Analysis 17
UNCLASSIFIED
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Section 3 Functional Analysis Alternative Generation Design of
Experiments Functional Analysis Alternative Generation Design of
Experiments 18 UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Functional Analysis I/O 19
Controllable: Power Consumption Operator Inputs System Parameters
Mission Data Training Methodology Peer System Input AUWS
Uncontrollable: Contact Signature Unknown Threat Tactics Weather
Environmental INPUTS OUTPUTS Intended: Threat Classification Threat
Prioritized Mobilization of Kinetic Subsystem Automated Engagement
of Threat Threat Elimination Sensor Data Communication with Command
and Control BDA By-Products: Unintended Casualties Stray Signals
Impact to Ecosystem UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Functional Analysis - Decomp
20 UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style 21 AUWS Sensor Acoustic
Passive Active Visual EO IR Magnetic Pressure Seismic Communicator
(internal/external) Acoustic Digital Analog Connected Fiber Optic
Electrical Laser Physical Messenger Data Bubble Vehicle RF Weapon
Torpedo Mini Lightweight Embedded Warhead Explosive Limpet Fixed
Missile Soft Kill 3 elements, 7-8 variants Over 1 billion
possibilities Eliminated infeasible, least promising variants
Warfare Innovation Workshop 33,000 possibilities Made operational
assumptions 48 possibilities Work groups 7 preliminary concepts
Scoring and Screening 4 concepts selected Combined Only external
Alternative Generation UNCLASSIFIED
Slide 22
Click to edit Master title style Used as a validation tool
Goal: adequately cover the design space Critical elements (Factors)
Weapons, sensors, and communicators Levels Large/small
Centralized/distributed Smart/dumb Mobile/stationary
Combined/separate Led to a change from Swarm to LD-UUV 22
UNCLASSIFIED Design of Experiments
Click to edit Master title style V-CAP Diagram 24 Twin
torpedo-shaped autonomous UUVs Power High-capacity Battery
supplemented with wave-motion recharge unit Mobility Hybrid
Electric/OTTO fuel propulsor Communications LOS RF, Iridium, and
Acoustic modem (internal) Sensors Acoustic and EO sensors
Deployable distributed sensor nodes Armament 2x mini-torpedoes per
Killer unit UNCLASSIFIED Hunter Unit Killer Unit
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Click to edit Master title style V-CAP Deployment UNCLASSIFIED
25
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Click to edit Master title style V-CAP Employment 26
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style V-CAP Recovery 27
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Large Diameter UUV Diagram 28
Large Diameter autonomous undersea payload delivery and engagement
UUV Power High-capacity Battery Mobility Electric-drive propulsor
Communications LOS RF, Iridium, and Acoustic modem (internal)
Sensors Acoustic and EO sensors Deployable distributed paired
sensor nodes Armament 4x lightweight torpedoes UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style LD-UUV Deployment 29
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style LD-UUV Employment 30
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style LD-UUV Recovery 31
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Glider Diagram 32 Networked
Autonomous high- endurance UUVs Power Fuel cell with supplemental
solar cell recharge Mobility Adjustable ballast and control
surfaces with OTTO-fueled terminal homing propulsor drive
Communications LOS RF, Iridium, and acoustic modem (internal)
Sensors Passive sonar Armament 10 kg HE shaped charge
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Glider Deployment 33
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Glider Employment 34
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Glider Recovery 35
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Squid Diagram 36 Distributed
network of stationary weapons and comms nodes, each with onboard
sensors Power Non-rechargeable batteries Mobility N/A
Communications LOS RF and Iridium (external) and acoustic modem
(internal) Sensors Passive sonar mounted to Weapons and Comms nodes
Armament Multiple 1 kg HE sub-munitions Weapons Nodes Comms Node
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Squid Deployment 37
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Squid Employment 38
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Expendable design Disarm and
Self-neutralize on command or via timer Squid Recovery 39 Recovery
not Feasible No Internal Propulsion High Volume of Units
UNCLASSIFIED
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Section 5 Analysis of Alternatives Performance Cost Risk
Analysis of Alternatives Performance Cost Risk 40 UNCLASSIFIED
Click to edit Master title style MOE: Capability to Operate for
a Minimum of 30 Days Non-Stochastic Analyses 42 UNCLASSIFIED
ConceptEndurance in Days V-CAP123 LD-UUV126 GLIDER987 SQUID16 MOE:
Capability for Deployment from Current and Future Platforms MOE:
Capability for Recovery by Current and Future Platforms MOE:
Capability to Avoid Detection ConceptCapability Score (1-3)
V-CAP2.5 LD-UUV1.5 GLIDER1.0 SQUID1.0 ConceptCapability Score (0-3)
V-CAP3.0 LD-UUV1.5 GLIDER2.0 SQUID0.0 ConceptCapability Score (0-1)
V-CAP1.0 LD-UUV1.0 GLIDER0.25 SQUID0.5
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Click to edit Master title style Neutral/Friendly Surface
Vessel Threat Surface Vessel Enemy Submarine OPERATING AREA
Environmental Characteristics Sea State: 2-3 Winds:
Click to edit Master title style 1 LD-UUV, 16 sensor nodes, 4
Mk-50 torpedoes Sensor Range: 2.0 nm Comms Range: 1.2 nm Kill
Range: > 10 nm Cable: 1000 yds (8 pairs) At least 2 nodes
required for classification Nodes decide which contacts to report
(group based) UUV serves as gateway 45 LD-UUV Model
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style 17 Gliders Sensor Range: 2.7
nm Comms Range: 1.6 nm Speed: 2 kts Lateral Intercept Range: 0.55
nm (from Approaching Target Model) Coordinated Barrier Search (1.43
nm segments) Middle Gliders primarily for comms relay Gliders
decide which contacts to report Gliders surface for external
communications 46 Glider Model UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style 130 sensor/weapon nodes, 1
communications gateway Sensor Range: 1.35 nm Comms Range: 0.8 nm
Kill Range: 50 yds Squid nodes randomly placed (e.g. artillery, air
drop) Nodes must have path to gateway to be in network Must be in
network to report contacts and engage threats 126 nodes in network
on avg. Each node determines shortest path to Gateway Nodes report
all contacts and relay all messages 47 SQUID Model
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Avg TTC (min)PdPd PkPk
Glider13.3-15.00.74-0.750.16-0.22 LD-UUV2.9-3.10.80-0.810.33-0.43
Squid3.5-3.70.97-0.990.07-0.09 V-CAP4.5-4.70.80-0.820.54-0.65
M&S Results UNCLASSIFIED 48
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Click to edit Master title style Analytic Hierarchy Process 49
UNCLASSIFIED Needs Analysis Preference Ranking Pairwise
Analysis
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Click to edit Master title style QFD Function Wt. HOQ 1
Functions HOQ 2 MOE Quality Functional Deployment 50
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Performance Analysis Results
51 UNCLASSIFIED Non-Stochastic Analysis M&S
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Click to edit Master title style Cost Analysis Results 52
UNCLASSIFIED RDT&E Costs - excluded Production Costs Based on
Component Costs O&S Costs Consumables Fuel, Warheads,
Replacements Personnel (excluded) Disposal Costs - excluded 20-yr
Rough Cost Estimate AlternativeCost (FY2011$M) V-CAP359 LD-UUV690
GLIDER75 SQUID2418 V-CAP: Good balance LD-UUV: High per-unit cost
GLIDER: Low procurement & consumable cost SQUID: High cost due
to large number of expendables
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Click to edit Master title style Risk Analysis Results 53
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style AoA Results 54 UNCLASSIFIED
Factor Weighting
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Click to edit Master title style AoA Sensitivity 55
UNCLASSIFIED V-CAP LD-UUV GLIDER SQUID V-CAP LD-UUV GLIDER
SQUID
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Click to edit Master title style AoA CAIV 56 UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Options for the given scenario
Mines Surface Combatants Submarines Superior performance Cost is
debatable Assume AUWS provides no LCC savings! Operational risk is
unacceptable $2B strategic asset and hundreds of lives at risk Even
one SSN is overkill AUWS can be scaled to balance risk with
performance 57 UNCLASSIFIED Given that resources are not unlimited,
the dynamic of exchanging numbers for capability is perhaps
reaching a point of diminishing returns. A given ship or aircraftno
matter how capable or well equippedcan only be in one place at one
timeand, to state the obvious, when one is sunk or shot down, there
is one fewer of them. -Secretary Gates, 2009 Given that resources
are not unlimited, the dynamic of exchanging numbers for capability
is perhaps reaching a point of diminishing returns. A given ship or
aircraftno matter how capable or well equippedcan only be in one
place at one timeand, to state the obvious, when one is sunk or
shot down, there is one fewer of them. -Secretary Gates, 2009
Status Quo Alternative Courtesy of www.navy.mil
Click to edit Master title style Primary Concept: V-CAP 59
UNCLASSIFIED Pros: Best P k Good P d Ease of Deployment &
Recovery Follow-on Salvo Cost Cons: Slower Comms Shorter Endurance
Pros: Best P k Good P d Ease of Deployment & Recovery Follow-on
Salvo Cost Cons: Slower Comms Shorter Endurance
Click to edit Master title style Hybrid Recommendation 61
UNCLASSIFIED Double Deployment Improved P d, P k LD-UUV Paired
Nodes Improved Comms Double Deployment Improved P d, P k LD-UUV
Paired Nodes Improved Comms
Click to edit Master title style 63 UNCLASSIFIED Insights
Flexibility Network Integration Platform Integration Command &
Control Flexibility Network Integration Platform Integration
Command & Control Scalability Balance required w/ Cost &
Performance Trade-off w/ Flexibility (Physical size of units)
Unlike Current Systems Scalability Balance required w/ Cost &
Performance Trade-off w/ Flexibility (Physical size of units)
Unlike Current Systems Tailorability Mission-reconfigurable modular
design Optimal redundancy (heterogeneous vs. homogenous) Separation
& distribution yield tactical advantage Tailorability
Mission-reconfigurable modular design Optimal redundancy
(heterogeneous vs. homogenous) Separation & distribution yield
tactical advantage
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Click to edit Master title style AUWS Tradespace USN Mines
Squid Flexibility Scalability Tailorability SSN Glider LD-UUV V-CAP
This is the AUWS goal! UNCLASSIFIED 64
Slide 65
Click to edit Master title style Near Term (FYDP 2012-2016)
Continue detailed analysis of superior AUWS concepts Review and
update doctrine (ROE, tactics, training, etc.) Use this analysis to
help ONR define Science and Technology Gap ONR assigns Future Naval
Capabilities Manager for AUWS concepts R&D Get prototypes (of
any kind) in the hands of sailors! Mid Term (FYDP 2016-2020)
Develop Initial Capability Document based on this analysis Initiate
AUWS Program of Record based on current best assessment of
capability gap Do not wait for technology to advance to optimal
levels Far Term (FYDP 2020 ) Maintain a goal of achieving AUWS full
operational capability by 2030 65 UNCLASSIFIED Recommendations
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Section 8 Closing Remarks 66 UNCLASSIFIED
Slide 67
Click to edit Master title style Closing Remarks 67
UNCLASSIFIED The undersea battlespace of the future is a complex,
dynamic environment that cannot be divided neatly along platform or
community lines. Advanced Undersea Warfare Systems are just one
element of a comprehensive, unified approach to maintaining and
enhancing USW dominance in the future.
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Click to edit Master title style Questions 68 UNCLASSIFIED
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Backup Slides 69 UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Functional Analysis - FFBD 70
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Functional Analysis A0 71
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Functional Analysis - IDEF0 72
UNCLASSIFIED
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Click to edit Master title style Performance Sensitivity 73
UNCLASSIFIED V-CAP LD-UUV GLIDER SQUID V-CAP LD-UUV GLIDER
SQUID
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Click to edit Master title style Specific areas to focus
research of superior AUWS concepts Classified version Top level
requirements Autonomy (threat discrimination, in-stride
adjustability) Detailed design of system and subsystem components
Refinement of M&S (improved sensor model, higher realism) Life
cycle cost estimates Continue Glider R&D for non-tactical
missions (i.e. METOC) 74 UNCLASSIFIED Further Analysis