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FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR

FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

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Page 1: FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR

Page 2: FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

Graphic 1 . Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs

Federal Funds

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Jan '08 Apr Jul Oct Jan '09 Apr Jul Oct

Percent

Bank of Indonesia (3 months)

Federal funds

Page 3: FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

Graphic 2.Money Supply (M1)

Percent

Page 4: FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

Graphic 3. Ratio of Export to GDP

(current price, 2008)

30%

37%

68%

76%

78%

104%

234%

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250%

Indonesia

Philippines

Brunai

Thailand

Vietnam

Malaysia

Singapore

Page 5: FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

Graphic 4. Comparative Dollar Bond Yield

(5 years tenor, 8/1/10)

2.57%

3.01%

3.89%

4.15%

4.32%

2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 4.50%

United State (T-Bond)

China

Philippines

Korea

Indonesia

Page 6: FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

Graphic 5. Local Currencies Bond Yield (tenors 10 years, 2/12/08)

1.3%

2.6%

2.7%

3.6%

3.8%

4.2%

4.3%

5.4%

8.0%

10.1%

11.3%

0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0%

Japan

Hongkong

Singapore

China

USA

Thailand

Myanmar

Korea

Philippines

Indonesia

Vietnam

Page 7: FINANCE AND REAL SECTOR. Graphic 1. Interest Rate : Bank of Indonesia vs Federal Funds 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Jan '08AprJulOctJan '09AprJulOct Percent Bank

Graphic 6.Balance of Trade Indonesia – China

(US$ Billion)

0.50 0.82 1.71 1.12

-3.61

-1.96

0.42

1.411.74

2.41

3.55

1.95

0.08-0.59

-0.04

-1.29

-7.16

-3.91

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Jan-Oct 09

Trade Balance

Oil and Gas

Non-Oil/Gas