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Financial Sector Integrity and Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.

Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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Page 1: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

Financial Sector Integrity and Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in BankingEmerging Risks in Banking

FDIC Conference 2005

João A.C. SantosFederal Reserve Bank of New York

The views expressed here are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.

Page 2: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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How bank regulation, supervision and lender identity impact loan pricing: A cross-country comparison

Hao, Nandy and Roberts

Foreign entry and bank competitionSengupta

Competition versus agency costs: An analysis of charter values in European banking

Jonghe and Vennet

Comments on:Comments on:

Page 3: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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How bank regulation, supervision and lender identity How bank regulation, supervision and lender identity impact loan pricing: A cross-country comparisonimpact loan pricing: A cross-country comparison

• Objective – Investigate if bank regulation, supervision and lender identity impact

banks’ loan pricing policy

• Methodology– Cross country study

• Main results– In countries where regulations allow banks to take equity stakes in

firms, domestic banks charge lower interest rates on loans while foreign banks charge higher rates

– The benefits of that link, however, do not hold in countries with concentrated banking markets

Page 4: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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How bank regulation, supervision and lender identity How bank regulation, supervision and lender identity impact loan pricing: A cross-country comparisonimpact loan pricing: A cross-country comparison

Comments• Objective

– Banking and commerce literature (Elston (1993) and Weinstein and Yafeh (1998))

• Methodology– International syndicated loan market is not fully integrated (Carey and

Nini 2003)– Controlling for firms’ equity stakes in banks – Controlling for banks’ equity stakes in banks (Santos and Wilson 2005)– Controlling for loan covenants– Firm controls (The case of risk)– Clustering

• Results– They should be read with caution

Page 5: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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Foreign entry and bank competitionForeign entry and bank competition

• Objective– Study how foreign entry affect competition in the domestic banking

market and funding costs of domestic borrowers

• Model– Incumbent bank has an information advantage

– Foreign bank has a funding advantage

– Two types of borrowers with unlimited access to collateral

– Pledging collateral is costly

– Banks compete on interest rates and collateral requirements

• Main results– Lower funding costs of foreign banks, stronger legal protection, and lower

costs of collateral liquidation facilitate foreign bank entry

– The lower the foreign bank’s funding costs the easier it will be for it to attract good borrowers

Page 6: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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Foreign entry and bank competitionForeign entry and bank competition

Comments • Objective

– The paper’s focus on foreign entry

• Model– Borrowers’ unlimited access to collateral– Foreign entrants’ cost advantage– Costs of collateral liquidation do not vary across domestic and foreign banks– Why would foreign banks choose to compete on collateral?

• Results– Who demands and who pledges collateral?– Does foreign entry in banking hurt the domestic economy?– “This model can explain the perceived bias that foreign (and large domestic)

banks lend more to large firms thereby neglecting small enterprises.”

Page 7: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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Competition versus agency costs: An analysis of charter Competition versus agency costs: An analysis of charter values in European bankingvalues in European banking

• Objective– Investigate the relative importance of competition, market structure, and

the efficiency hypothesis on banks’ market value

• Methodology– Cross country study

– Dependent variable: Adjusted Tobin’s Q

– Independent variables: market share, concentration, cost-to-income measure, assets, leverage……

• Main results– Market share and cost-to-income increase Q’, as does leverage up to a

certain limit

– Concentration does no affect Q’

– Size reduces Q’

Page 8: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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Competition versus agency costs: An analysis of charter Competition versus agency costs: An analysis of charter values in European bankingvalues in European banking

Comments• Objective

– Interesting, but quite difficult• Methodology

– Adjusting the Tobin’s Q– Accounting versus market data– B ank’s market share does not account for foreign activities– Size is not a good measure of scope economies – Size and market share are correlated – Need for bank fixed effects?

• Results– “Leverage is positively related to performance by reducing the agency

problem….”– “We find strong ... evidence for the Relative Market Power hypothesis.”

Page 9: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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What is common about the three papers?What is common about the three papers?

• The role of concentration in the banking industry on bank performance– Hao, Nandy and Roberts: concentration is beneficial to banks

– Sengupta: concentration is beneficial to banks

– Jonghe and Vennet: concentration is not beneficial to banks

• The role of foreign banks’ competition– Sengupta: foreign banks’ competition affects negatively domestic banks’

profits

– Jonghe and Vennet: foreign banks’ competition does not affect domestic banks’ charter values

Page 10: Financial Sector Integrity and Emerging Risks in Banking FDIC Conference 2005 João A.C. Santos Federal Reserve Bank of New York The views expressed here

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The caveats of cross-country studiesThe caveats of cross-country studies

• The difficulties of comparing data across countries

• Jonghe and Vennet:

“The regulatory environment in the European Union is quite harmonized an does not significantly affect banks operating in a particular country.”