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Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries - Does the CBD mechanism lead to an appropriate level of biodiversity protection?

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Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -. Does the CBD mechanism lead to an appropriate level of biodiversity protection?. Contents. Introduction „Adequate“ Provision of Biodiversity Financial Resources, Costs and Negotiations  Efficiency? Case study – CV - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Does the CBD mechanism lead to an appropriate level of biodiversity

protection?

Page 2: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Contents

• Introduction

• „Adequate“ Provision of Biodiversity

• Financial Resources, Costs and Negotiations Efficiency?

• Case study – CV

• Conclusion

Page 3: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Introduction I -Biodiversity as Global Public Good - Externalities

MC

MB [LDC]

Xopt

MB [global]

XQuantity of protected biodiversity

Xldc

Introdution

Page 4: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Introduction II – Idea of CBD

• CBD Article 20(2) “... new and additional financial resources....“

• Article 21(1):“... The contributions shall be such as to take into account the need for predictability, adequacy and timely flow ...“

Introduction

Page 5: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Adequate = Efficient Provision of Biodiversity

Provision by GEF = efficient?

MC

MB [LDC]

Xopt

MB [global]

XQuantity of biodiversity protection

Xldc ?

Adequate = Efficient

Page 6: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Efficient Level of Financial Support?

• Resources & Costs

• Negotiations on replenishment of GEF-Fund

Question

Page 7: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Financial Resources of GEF-Fund for Biodiversity Protection

Source Period Spending Annual spending

GEF 2002b 1992-2002

US$ 1.4 billion US$ 140 million

GEF (gefweb.org)

1991-1999

US$ 991 million (grants) plus US$ 1.5 million (co financing)

US$ 310 million

Financial Resources & Costs

Page 8: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Subject of protection

Annual costs

(US$ million)

Author

Traditional protection of tropical rain forests

170 Reid & Miller (1989)

2000 species (500 individuals per species)

1250 Reid & Miller (1989)

Comprehensive global conservation programme

300,000 James et al. (1999)

Global network of protected areas

27,500 James et al. (1999)

1.4% of the land surface of the earth

500 Myers et al. (2000)

Costs of (Global) Biodiversity Protection

Page 9: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Acceptance Costs Efficiency

XQuantity of protected biodiversity

MC (private & current)

MC (social)

MB (glb=social)

Xover

A

Xglb

C

B

Xpot

E

D

Resources & Costs

Page 10: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

• Every four years replenishment of GEF-Fund

• Representatives of donor countries negotiate

• National contributions (should reflect) economic power of nation*

• But…….

Negotiations on Replenishment - Facts

Negotiations

Page 11: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Nation Contribution in US$ million

GEF/GDP (%)

Sweden 72 0.03

Denmark 36 0.023

UK 190 0.012

Germany 264 0.012

Japan 423 0.011

France 163 0.011

… …. ….

USA 500 0.0023

Spain 19 0.0023

front-runner

leader

taillights

Contributions of Nations to the GEF-3 (extract)Negotiations

Page 12: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Characterisation of Conditions for Negotiations

• Reminder: Good in question global external effects

Need for global collective action • CBD global collective action• However: agents are representatives of

nations

Negotiations

Page 13: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Public Choice Theory Assumptions

• Governmental agents try to maximise their personal benefits

• Personal benefit = reelection

Negotiations

Page 14: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

View of National Agents on Financing Biodiversity Protection in LDC

• Aim: Solution of problems• Biodiversity not easy to protect• Important short term problems at home

(easier to solve than loss of biodiversity)

• Each nation little influence overall level of biodiversity protection

• Success difficult to communicate• Good will be provided anyway

Negotiations

Page 15: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Activity of Nations

• Spend a lot of money on national short term interests

• Spend hardly any money on global longterm interests

• In other words: Free-rider

• Why contribute to GEF at all?– International reputation– Not to lose international credibility

Negotiations

Page 16: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Undersupply Thesis

• Financial resources smaller than (possible) benefits

• Indicators:– Costs >>> financial resources

– Hardly any incentives for protection for national agents

Test of thesis Benefits of biodiversity protection for developed countries? CV-study

Undersupply Thesis

Page 17: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

CV-Study: Benefits of Biodiv Protection

• How to define „Biodiversity“– Genes?– Surface area?– Species?!

• Subject of valuation:„Protection of half of threatened species (animals

and plants) who would become extinct if nothing further would be done in the next ten years“

CV-Study

Page 18: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

(External) Benefit of Additional Biodiversity Protection

MC

MB [LDC]

MB [global]

Xldc

MB [MDC]

X Quantity of protected biodiversity

25.000 species

CV-Study

Page 19: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

• Basic population: residents in Germany (older than 18 years)

• Telephone inquiry

• WTP question format: dichotomous choice

• Payment vehicle: tax increase

• Frequency & duration: monthly for ten years

Characteristics of Case Study

CV-Study

Page 20: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Case Study – Results

• n = 1017

• 92% agree with payments: more developed countries less developed countries

• 62% ‚Yes‘ to WTP-Question

CV-study

Page 21: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

WTP Result & Discussion I

• Mean of sample: approx. 22 Euros per capita per month

• But: 59.6% of contacted people refused to participate or dropped out

• If they would pay 0 Euros 9 Euros (mean)

CV-Study

Page 22: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

WTP vs. GEF contributions Discussion II

• Overall benefit depends on size of basic population– Individuals (9 €) (66.4 million) Euros 7

billion– or households (9 €) (34,8 million) Euros 3.8

billion

CV-Study

Page 23: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

WTP – Annual Benefit

MC

MB [LDC]

MB [global]

Xldc

MB [MDC]

X Quantity of protected biodiversity

25.000 species

3.8 – 7 billion Euros

(annual)

Page 24: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Results of Related Studies

• Hanley, Spash & Walker (1995): WTP Britain contribute to (GEF)*~ 47-62 £ annual

• Kramer & Mercer (1997): WTP for additional 5% of tropical rain forest 21-35 US-$ (one-time)

• Horton, Colarullo, Bateman & Peres (2002): – Subjects: people from Italy and UK– Good: additional rain forest in Brasil 5% (20%)– WTP: 30 £ (39 £ ) annual WTP = 600 million in Italy and in UK

Page 25: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Overall Discussion I

• German actual expenditures for Global Environmental Facility US$ 60 million < 1 Euro per year per capita

• WTP >> 1 Euro per year per capita

• Study result: undersupply thesis: approved

Page 26: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Summary & Overall Discussion II

• Developed countries emphasise need of orientation at global benefit

• Developed countries interested in cost-sharing (incremental costs)

• No comparable instrument on MDC side• CV study: GEF contributions global

benefit of protection• Efficiency considerations higher

contributions to GEF

Page 27: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Page 28: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Methode stößt mit der fragestellung an seine grenze

Aber ich weiss keine bessere

Verleich der Zahlen mit Kosten!! Geht in gleiche Rtg.

Page 29: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Subject of protection

Annual costs

(US$ million)

Author

Traditional protection of tropical rain forests

170 Reid & Miller (1989)

2000 species (500 individuals per species)

1250 Reid & Miller (1989)

Comprehensive global conservation programme

300,000 James et al. (1999)

Rep. global network of protected areas

27,500 James et al. (1999)

1.4% of the land surface of the earth

500 Myers et al. (2000)

Page 30: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Explanatory Variables & Validity• self-efficacy (= belief in effect of payment) (+)• bid level (personal financial costs of contribution) (-)• responsibility (of the respondent for the protection of

species) (+) • age (-)• threat appraisal (perceived threat as consequence of loss of

biodiversity) (+)• Opinion: right of md countries to interfere in biodiversity

protection affairs of ld countries (+)• Pseudo-r2= .34 (Nagelkerkes)• Sample not representative: e.g. “education bias”

Page 31: Financial support for biodiversity protection in developing countries -

Susanne Menzel • Institute of Agricultural Economics • University of Göttingen

Graduiertenkolleg ‘Valuation and Conservation of Biodiversity‘

Case study – results II

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1 3 4 5 8 10 17 26 40amount in Euro

% a

cce

pta

nce