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Anticipated Acquisition by Poundland Group plc of 99p Stores Ltd
Findings from Customer Exit Surveys
Rob SheldonTel +44 (0)20 8742 2211
6 July © Accent 2015
Structure
Background
Method
Findings – Customer profiles
Findings – Choice of store
Findings – Trip details
Findings – Details of shopping activity
Findings – Diversion
Findings – Other customer profiles
Appendix
slide 2
Background
• The CMA has referred the anticipated acquisition by Poundland Group plc of 99p Stores Ltd for an in-depth merger investigation
• It is concerned that the merger may result in a substantial lessening of competition through a possible reduction in quality, fewer promotions or closure of stores
– 160+ Poundland stores are within a mile of the nearest 99p Stores and 140+ 99p Stores are within a mile of the nearest Poundland store
• The CMA commissioned research, the objectives of which are to:
– Identify the appropriate geographic area over which competition between Poundland and 99p Stores takes place
– Understand some of the characteristics of Poundland and 99p Stores customers
– Understand the shopping behaviour of Poundland and 99p Stores customers
– Test the validity of the nationwide online survey that has already been carried out by Poundland
slide 3
slide 4
Method
Method 1
• An exit survey of those who made a purchase at Poundland or 99p Stores in 15 sampled locations
• At each location, one Poundland and one 99p Stores or 99p Plus Stores, except in both Croydon and Leytonstone where we interviewed at one Poundland and two 99p Stores
• Total store sample of 32:
– 15 Poundland
– 15 99p Stores
– 2 99p Plus Stores
slide 5
Harlow
Method 2
• Face-to-face CAPI interviews undertaken on tablet computers, using a questionnaire designed by the CMA in consultation with the Parties and Accent
• Majority of interviews conducted on the street, adjacent to the store exit. Where shops were located in shopping malls, interviews were conducted inside the store, just before the exit
• Interviews were conducted for seven days per store. Interviewing shift start times were staggered to ensure that as far as possible each store’s full opening hours were covered (e.g. 0900-1500, 1300-1900)
• Interviewer discretion over respondent selection was restricted to every second or every third person after completing the previous interview
• Refusals, out of scopes and the number of interviews achieved per hour were recorded, along with any comments about factors which might affect fieldwork
slide 6
Method 3
• Questionnaire pilot in Croydon on 10 June 2015
– Questionnaire was found to work well; no signs that respondents had any problems understanding the questions
– Some respondents unhappy at being asked for their income and some upset by the idea that the store might close. For the main phase, we allowed non response for age and income questions and added the following text after the diversion questions to allay concerns
– “Just to make clear, those last few questions were asked only as “what ifs”. There are no plans for Poundland/99p Stores to close all its branches for several months for refurbishment”
• Supervisor and interviewer briefing (mix of face-to-face and telephone) on 11 June 2015, attended by two members of CMA staff
• Main stage fieldwork between 12 June and 1 July 2015
• Total of 5,459 interviews undertaken (minimum of 150 per store)
• Response rate of 32%
slide 7
Quality assurance
• During the 20 days of fieldwork, the CMA conducted spot-checks of 9 interviewers (17% of all interviewers working on the project/4% of all interviewing shifts)
• Of these, 5 spot-checks were conducted during days 1-5 of fieldwork
• The following issues were identified:
– 3 interviewers were not maintaining a complete paper record of refusals to take part in the survey
– 3 interviewers were not working their allotted interviewing hours/interviewing in every hour of their shift (2 started late, 1 started and left early)
– 2 interviewers did not read out one or more of the following questions verbatim: Q2, Q3c, Q3d, Q6
– 2 interviewers prompted the person interviewed at Q3f/Q3fb
– 1 interviewer did not always select every third person for interview
• The interviewers concerned were corrected in real time (during/at the end of the affected interviews), and there was a full re-brief of all Accent regional supervisors (cascaded in turn to all interviewers) on days 5 & 6 of fieldwork, at the CMA’s request
• Following the full re-brief, 4 further CMA spot-checks revealed no repeat of any of these issues or any other issues
• In addition to the CMA’s spot-checks, Accent regional supervisors undertook separate spot-checks of 9 interviewers and spot-check/accompaniments with 2 interviewers (21% of all interviewers working on the project/5% of all interviewing shifts), in line with Market Research Society/BS ISO 20252:2012 requirements.
slide 8
Interviews by day and time
Sales%
Inter-views
%Sales
%
Inter-views
%
Open-8.59am 1 * Monday 15 14
9.00am-9.59am 5 2 Tuesday 15 15
10.00am-10.59am 10 9 Wednesday 14 14
11.00am-11.59am 13 17 Thursday 14 15
12.00pm-12.59pm 14 17 Friday 16 14
13.00pm-13.59pm 14 17 Saturday 18 15
14.00pm-14.59pm 13 16 Sunday 9 14
15.00pm-15.59pm 11 12
16.00pm-16.59pm 9 7
17.00pm-17.59pm 6 2
18.00pm-18.59pm 2 *
19.00pm-19.59pm 1 -
8.00pm - Close 1 -
slide 9
Sales%
Inter-views
%Sales
%
Inter-views
%
08:00 2 * Monday 14 14
09:00 6 2 Tuesday 15 15
10:00 10 10 Wednesday 15 15
11:00 12 16 Thursday 14 15
12:00 13 17 Friday 15 14
13:00 13 17 Saturday 18 14
14:00 12 16 Sunday 9 14
15:00 11 12
16:00 9 6
17:00 7 2
18:00 3 *
19:00 2 -
20:00 * -
21:00 * -
Poundland 99p Stores
• There was a reasonable match between day of week and time of interviews conducted compared with day of week and sales per hour of opening for Poundland and 99p Stores respectively (based on the aggregate sales data supplied by the Parties)
• Consequently, the data have not been weighted
*= less than 0.5%
Interviews by location
Poundland 99p Stores 99p Plus Stores
Ayr 151 172
Basingstoke 175 185
Croydon 183 168 + 190
Dudley 167 161
Eastleigh 193 166
Great Yarmouth 176 167
Harlow 174 165
Haverfordwest 174 155
Hemel Hempstead 161 172
Leytonstone 153 166 + 160
Newcastle-under-Lyme 169 181
Ramsgate 198 164
Slough 152 155
Surrey Quays 171 184
Yate 186 165
slide 10
London storesNon-London stores
Questionnaire structure
• Choice of store– Frequency of shopping at store in past two weeks– Was shopping at this store the main or subsidiary reason for trip?– When visit to this store was decided (pre-trip or during trip)– Reason for shopping at this store (store attributes and main purpose of visit)
• Trip details– Trip origin– Mode of travel– Time taken to make the trip
• Details of shopping activity– Products purchased– Spend– Number of items purchased
• Diversion– Shopping behaviour if this shop was closed– Shop brand they would use in this scenario– Inconvenience caused
• Demographics
slide 11
slide 12
Findings – Poundland and 99p Stores customer profiles
Gender
•Over two thirds of shoppers are female
–52% of UK adults are female*
•London stores have a higher proportion of male shoppers
–Poundland: 34% London, 28% non-London are male
–99p Stores: 39% London, 30% non-London are male
slide 13
INTERVIEWER ASSESSED
Base: Poundland: 2,583
33
29
67
71
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
99p and 99p Plus Stores
Poundland
% Participants
Male Female
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
* Census: Annual Mid-year Population Estimates, 2014
Age
•Similar customer age range profile for both Parties with 15-18% in each ten year age band from 25 to 75 years
–Slightly older age profiles than UK adult population*
slide 14
QUESTION: “Which one of the following age groups do you belong to?”
Base: Poundland: 2,58399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
* Census: Annual Mid-
2
9
16 16 17 17 16
4 32
8
1816 17
1517
423
11
16 17 1714
11
4 6
0
10
20
30
40
16-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-79 80+
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
UK
year Population Estimates, 2014
• Similar household incomes for customers of both stores–18% of Poundland customers and 15% of 99p Stores customers have household incomes over £30k
• London stores have a higher proportion of higher income shoppers:– Poundland: London 23% / non-London 14% over £30k; 99p Stores London 20% / non-London 13% over £30k
Household income
slide 15
QUESTION: “Which of the following ranges best represents your household’s total income from all sources (incl. earnings, pensions, benefits and tax credits) over the last 12 months? Please tell us the amount your household receives before anything is taken away for income tax, national insurance,
6
11
1513 14
85
3 2
24
6
1315 15 14
8
42 1
22
0
10
20
30
40
Under
£4,999
£5,000 to
£9,999
£10,000 to
£14,999
£15,000 to
£19,999
£20,000 to
£29,999
£30,000 to
£39,999
£40,000 to
£49,999
£50,000 to
£74,999
£75,000 or
over
Refused/not
given
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
council tax etc?”
Base: Poundland: 2,58399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
Means*:• Poundland: £23k • 99p Stores: £20k
Medians:• Poundland: £10-£15k • 99p Stores: £10-£15k* Based on midpoints, low of £2.5k and high of £90k
Socio-Economic Group (SEG)
• Derived from occupation questions
• Fewer C1s and more DEs than adult population (England Wales)*
slide 16
Base: Poundland: 2,37299p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,650
* Census: https://www.nomisweb.co.uk/census/2011/QS613EW/view/2092957703?cols=measures
28
14
24
34
25
16
25
34
23
30
2225
0
10
20
30
40
AB C1 C2 DE
% P
arti
cip
ants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
UK
slide 17
Findings – Choice of store
27 26
14 12
5 5
2 2*
3 3
2926
13 12
75
1 2*
3 2
0
10
20
30
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11+
% Participants
Poundland 99p and 99p Plus Stores
Shopping frequency 1
• The majority (53% Poundland and 55% 99p Stores customers) have shopped once or twice a fortnight
slide 18
QUESTION: “Including your visit just now, how many times have you bought something from Poundland/99p Stores in the last two weeks?”
*= less than 0.5%. Base: Poundland: 2,583, 99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
2.6
3.7
3.0
3.6
4.0
3.5
2.8
3.3
3.3
• Mean frequency of visits (times per two weeks) was:
Poundland
99p Stores
• Lower SEG groups were more frequent visitors than higher SEG groups:
ABC1
C2DE
• Those who went to store as only reason for trip most frequent visitors:
Only
Main
Not main
• Those who planned their visit more frequent visitors than impulse shoppers:
Planned
Impulse
Shopping frequency 2
slide 19
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level except between Poundland and 99p Stores
Was shopping at Poundland/99p Stores main reason for trip?• For 35% of Poundland customers and 39% of 99p Stores customers, shopping there was the only or main reason for making the trip that day
• London shoppers much more likely to say visit was only reason for trip:– Poundland: London 23%, non-London 16%
– 99p Stores: London 39%, non-London 12%
• Male shoppers more likely to say visit was only or main reason for trip:– 44% male, 34% female
slide 20
QUESTION: “Was your visit to Poundland/99p Stores…?”
Base: Poundland: 2,566
20
17
19
18
61
65
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
99p and 99p Plus Stores
Poundland
% Participants
Your only reason for making a trip today
Your main reason for making a trip today
Not your main reason for making a trip today
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,863
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
When decided to visit
• If the visit was not the main reason* for making a trip that day, 49% at Poundland and 40% at 99p Stores decided to visit the store before setting out
• Total proportion of unplanned trips:
– 33% Poundland
– 37% 99p Stores
slide 21
QUESTION: “When did they decide to visit?”
Base: Poundland: 1,684
40
49
59
51
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
99p and 99p Plus Stores
Poundland
% Participants
Before setting out During the trip
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 1,770
* 65% of Poundland customers, 61% of 99p Stores customers
Main reason for shopping at Poundland/99p Stores• ‘It’s cheap’ was the main reason for shopping at both stores: 66% of Poundland and 62% of 99p Stores customers
• Range was also important: 18% of Poundland and 22% of 99p Stores customers
slide 22
QUESTION: “What is it about that made you want to shop here today?”
IT’S CHEAP(affordable; cheaper than other shops; don’t spend too much; promotions/deals/offers; saves me money; value for money etc.)
LOCATION(close to other shops/places I go; easy/convenient for me to get to; nearby; on my way etc.)
RANGE(availability/reliable supply/know I can get what I want; good variety of products to choose from; only place I can get these products; product quality is ok/good; stocks well-known brands etc.)
RETAILER’S REPUTATION(household name; trusted brand)
SHOPPING EXPERIENCE(good customer service; pleasant shopping environment; well-trained and helpful staff etc.)
SIMPLE OFFER(all products are the same price
66
9
18
* 2 1 2
62
11
22
* 1 1 10
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
It's cheap Location Range Retailer's reputation
Shopping experience
Simple offer Other
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
)
* = less than 0.5%Base: Poundland: 2,58399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
All reasons for shopping at Poundland/99p Stores 1• When main and other reasons are combined:
– ‘It’s cheap’ mentioned by 89% of Poundland and 86% of 99p Stores customers
– ‘Range’ mentioned by 61% of Poundland 64% of 99p Stores customers
– ‘Location’ mentioned by 31% of Poundland and 32% of 99p Stores customers
slide 23
QUESTION: “Anything else?”
IT’S CHEAP(affordable; cheaper than other shops; don’t spend too much; promotions/deals/offers; saves me money; value for money etc.)
LOCATION(close to other shops/places I go; easy/convenient for me to get to; nearby; on my way etc.)
RANGE(availability/reliable supply/know I can get what I want; good variety of products to choose from; only place I can get these products; product quality is ok/good; stocks well-known brands etc.)
RETAILER’S REPUTATION(household name; trusted brand)
SHOPPING EXPERIENCE(good customer service; pleasant shopping environment; well-trained and helpful staff etc.)
SIMPLE OFFER(all products are the same price)
Base: Poundland: 2,564
89
31
61
512
83
86
32
64
3
117
20
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
It's cheap Location Range Retailer's reputation
Shopping experience
Simple offer Other
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,859
86%
88%
30%
34%
59%
64%• Females more likely than males to mention ‘range’
Female
Male
• Males more likely than females to mention ‘location’Male
Female
• C2DEs more likely than ABC1s to mention ‘It’s cheap’
C2DE
ABC1
All reasons for shopping at Poundland/99p Stores 2
slide 24
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
Main reason for shopping at store 1• The main reason for about a quarter of customers at each store was topping up between main household shops
• 17% at Poundland and 14% at 99p Stores were buying a one-off item
slide 25
QUESTION: “From this list, which of the following best describes your main reason for shopping at Poundland/99p Stores today? ”
RANDOMISED LIST
No reason –just went in to browse/see what they had
To buy a one-off item
To buy a treat for you and/or someone else
To buy something to eat/drink straightaway
To buy something you couldn’t get anywhere else
To buy something you needed urgently (e.g. something you forgot to get somewhere else/you’d run out of and needed straightaway)
To do your main (weekly/monthly) household shop for a particular type of product (e.g. you prefer to buy all your cleaning products from Poundland/99p Stores even though you do your main food shopping somewhere else)
To ‘top up’ with items in between main (weekly/monthly) household shops)
Base: Poundland: 2,583
1
6
8
11
10
12
14
14
24
2
5
7
9
11
11
13
17
25
0 10 20 30 40
Another reason
To buy something you couldn't get anywhere else
To buy a treat for you and/or someone else
To buy something to eat/drink straightaway
To do your main (weekly/monthly) household shop for a particular type of product
No reason -just went in to browse/see what they had
To buy something you needed urgently
To buy a one-off item
To 'top up' with items in between main (weekly/monthly) household shops
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
22%
26%
8%
11%
8%
15%
21%
27%
Main reason for shopping at store 2• C2DEs more likely than ABC1s to be topping up
C2DE
ABC1
• Males more likely than women to buy something to eat/drink straightaway
Males
Females
• Females more likely than males to be doing main weekly/monthly shop
Females
Males
• Females more likely than males to be topping up
Females
Males
slide 26
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
slide 27
Findings – Trip details
Trip origin
• Four fifths of customers of both stores start their trip from home
• London Poundland shoppers less likely to start from home:
– 74% London, 83% non-London
slide 28
QUESTION: “To make this trip to Poundland/99p Stores today, where did you set out from?
81
10
2 3 4
80
82 5 5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Home Work / workplace / office
School / college / university
Other shops / service providers
Somewhere else
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
”
Base: Poundland: 2,58399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
Mode used 1
• Car/van, walk and bus were the dominant modes used
–For Poundland, 38% used car/van, 32% walked, and 23% used bus
–For 99p Stores, 34% walked, 33% used car/van and 26% used bus
slide 29
QUESTION: “How did you make this trip?”
Base: Poundland: 2,58399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
1
*
1
1
1
2
26
34
33
1
*
1
1
1
2
23
32
38
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Other
Motorbike
Tram
Taxi/minicab
Bicycle
Train (incl. underground/metro)
Bus
On foot/walked the whole way
Car/van
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
* = less than 0.5%
Mode used 2
• Public transport more likely to be used for London stores and Car/van more likely to be used for non-London stores
• Car/van more likely to be used if not main reason for visit:
slide 30
24
31
21
31
1
5
1
6
41
15
42
24
99p Stores non-London
99p Stores London
Poundland non-London
Poundland London
Bus Train Car/van
27%
40%
Main/only reason
Not main reason
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
Trip length 1
• For over half of customers their trip length was 10 minutes or under:
–54% Poundland
–52% 99p Stores
• The mean trip length was 15 minutes for Poundland customers and 16 minutes for 99p Stores customers
slide 31
QUESTION: “How long did the trip take?”
Base: Poundland: 2,583
2628
1715
10
5
24
28
16 1511
6
0
10
20
30
40
5 minutes or under
6-10 minutes 11-15 minutes
16-20 minutes
21-30 minutes
Over 30 minutes
% Participants
Poundland 99p and 99p Plus Stores
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
30 minutes
20 minutes
11 minutes
15 minutes
Train (incl. underground/metro)
Bus
On foot/walked the whole way
Car/van
Trip length 2
• Trip was longer if visit was not the main reason
• Trip was longer if not planned
• Public transport trips longer than car/van trips
slide 32
14 minutes
16 minutes
Main/only reason
Not main reason
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
14 minutes
17 minutes
Planned
Impulse
slide 33
Findings – Details of shopping activity
Product categories purchased
• Wide range of product categories purchased
• ‘Groceries for home’ and ‘household basics and cleaning’ were the two main product categories for each store
slide 34
QUESTION: “Which of the following product categories did you buy from Poundland/99p Stores today?” / “Anything else?”
RANDOMISED LIST
Base: Poundland: 2,58399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
Cards, gifts and flowers, stationery, crafting and party products
Clothing and accessories
DIY & gardening products
Food and drink to consume immediately
Groceries for home (incl. food and drink for home, chilled items, tins, packets, jars, soft drinks, snacks)
Health & beauty and baby products (toiletries, cosmetics, health/wellbeing, babyfoodand accessories)
Homewaresand pet (including pots and pans, baking implements, pet and bird food, pet toys)
Household basics and cleaning (incl. batteries, kitchen towels, toilet tissue, cleaning/washing products)
Toys and entertainment (books, games, CDs, DVDs, seasonal products e.g. Christmas, Halloween, Easter)
1
2
6
9
13
14
23
24
33
36
3
2
9
9
11
17
23
26
32
33
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90100
Other
Clothing and accessories
Cards, gifts and flowers, stationery, crafting and party products
Toys and entertainment
DIY & gardening products
Homewares and pet
Food and drink to consume immediately
Health & beauty and baby products
Household basics and cleaning
Groceries for home
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
Other
Spend 1
• Poundland customers tend to spend more than 99p Stores customers:
– 38% and 33% respectively spend over £5
slide 35
QUESTION: “How much did you spend in Poundland/99p Stores today?”
Base: Poundland: 2,576
13
28
2219 19
16
30
21
16 17
0
10
20
30
40
Up to £1 £1.01 to £3 £3.01 to £5 £5.01 to £9 £9.01+
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,863
£5.85
£6.67
£5.91
£5.89
£4.95
£5.89
£4.86
£5.09
£5.90
£5.73
£6.27
• The mean spend was £5.84 at Poundland and £5.33 at 99p Stores
• Mean spend was higher in London stores:
Poundland London
Poundland non-London
99p Stores London
99p Stores non-London
• Women spend more than men:Male
Female
• Mean spend largely correlates with household income:Under £10,000
£10,000-£19,999
£20,000-£29,999
£30,000-£39,999
£40,000
Spend 2
slide 36Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
Number of items purchased 1
• Poundland customers tend to buy more items than 99p Stores customers
–39% and 31% respectively buy 6+ items
• 99p Stores customers significantly more likely than Poundland customers to buy one item
–16% and 12% respectively
slide 37
QUESTION: “And how many items did you buy in Poundland/99p Stores today?”
Base: Poundland: 2,578
1215
1211 11
20 19
1617
1411 11
16 15
0
10
20
30
40
1 2 3 4 5 6-9 10+
% Participants
items
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,868
5.9
4.9
5.0
5.8
5.8
6.5
5.3
5.9
• Mean number of items purchased Poundland
99p Stores
• Mean number of items purchased was higher in London stores:Poundland London
Poundland non-London
99p Stores London
99p Stores non-London
• Women bought more items than men (which links to their higher spend):Males
Females
Number of items purchased 2
slide 38
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
slide 39
Findings – Diversion
Diversion questions 1
• Participants reminded of context, eg
–“Earlier, you told me that your visit to 99p Stores was your only reason for making a trip today”
–“Earlier, you told me you decided to visit Poundland today before you set out” etc
• Answer codes based on whether singleor multipleitems purchased, ie
slide 40
“If you had known before you set out today that Poundland/99p Stores was closed for several months for refurbishment, and so were all the other Poundland/99p Stores branches, what would you have done instead?”
– I would have bought all of the itemssomewhere else
– I would have bought some of the itemssomewhere else (even if I bought less or more of each item)
– I wouldn’t have bought any of the items
– I would have bought the item somewhere else
– I wouldn’t have bought the item
Diversion questions 2
• Of those who bought one item, 17% of Poundland and 18% of 99p Stores customers would not have purchased
• Of those who bought multiple items, 12% each of Poundland and 99p Stores customers would not have purchased
slide 41
Base: Poundland: 2,256, 99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,408
Base: Poundland: 317, 99p and 99p Plus Stores: 445
Single item
Multiple items
77
77
18
17
5
6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
99p and 99p Plus Stores
Poundland
% Participants
I would have bought the item somewhere else
I wouldn't have bought the item
Don't know
75
71
10
13
12
12
3
3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
99p and 99p Plus Stores
Poundland
% Participants
I would have bought all of the items somewhere else
I would have bought some of the items somewhere else (even if I bought less or more of each item)
I wouldn't have bought any of the items
Don't know
Diversion questions 3
•Those who bought multiple items, but would now buy fewer, were asked how many they would have bought
–Mean numbers of items was 4.1 for both stores, about half the number they did purchase
slide 42
QUESTION: “How many of those items would you have bought?”UNPROMPTED
Base: Poundland: 299
8.2
4.1
8.0
4.1
did buy
would buy
did buy
would buy
99p Stores
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 244
Diversion destinations
• Asked of those who would divert
–43% of Poundland customers would divert to 99p Stores
–49% of 99p Stores customers would divert to Poundland
slide 43
QUESTION: “Where would you have bought the item(s) instead?”UNPROMPTED
Base: Poundland: 2,15399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,389
Chart shows stores with 2% or more diverting to
2
2
2
2
2
4
3
6
5
7
12
3
49
2
2
2
2
2
1
5
6
6
8
15
43
3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Lidl
Poundstretcher
Home Bargains
Morrisons
B&M Bargains
Iceland
Sainsbury's
Poundworld
Asda
Wilkinson/Wilko
Tesco
99p Stores
Poundland
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
them
Overall Diversion ratios
• Spend weighted
– Poundland to 99p Stores 35%
– 99p Stores to Poundland 41%
• Not spend weighted
– Poundland to 99p Stores 35%
– 99p Stores to Poundland 42%
slide 44
Diversion ratios
slide 45
Spend weighted Not spend weighted
Poundland to 99p Stores
99p Stores to Poundland
Poundland to 99p Stores
99p Stores to Poundland
Ayr 43% 41% 32% 40%
Basingstoke 48% 22% 47% 25%
Croydon 22%CH 51%NE 44%
23%CH 48%NE 43%
Dudley 37% 30% 34% 32%
Eastleigh 29% 35% 27% 41%
Great Yarmouth 29% 39% 29% 43%
Harlow 37% 50% 42% 51%
Haverfordwest 24% 48% 28% 42%
Hemel Hempstead 39% 43% 40% 53%
Leytonstone 29%HR 52%WR 25%
25%HR 48%WR 22%
Newcastle-under-Lyme 41% 33% 40% 37%
Ramsgate 66% 60% 62% 58%
Slough 49% 46% 47% 43%
Surrey Quays 28% 47% 29% 49%
Yate 22% 39% 25% 32%
CH = Crown Hill, NE = North End, HR = High Road, WR = Woodgrange Road
Diversion ratios – Hemel Hempstead
slide 46
PoundlandSpend
weightedNot spend weighted
99p Stores 39% 40%
Poundworld 29% 27%
B&M Bargains 8% 8%
Tesco 6% 6%
Asda 4% 4%
Poundstretcher 2% 1%
Aldi 1% 1%
Boots 1% 2%
Wilkinson/Wilko 1% 1%
Other third party 3% 4%
Not spent 5% 7%
99p StoresSpend
weightedNot spend weighted
Poundland 43% 53%
Poundworld 42% 31%
B&M Bargains 3% 2%
Asda 1% 1%
Sainsbury’s 1% 1%
Sam99p 1% 1%
Tesco 1% 1%
Wilkinson/Wilko 1% 1%
Other third party 0% 3%
Not spent 7% 6%
Likely competitors: Asda, B&M, Iceland, Poundworld, Sainsbury's, Savers, Tesco(1)/Tesco Express(2), Wilkinson/Wilko
Note: rounding means that columns sum to 100% +/-1
Inconvenience of closure 1
• Over half of customers of each store would find it fairly or very inconvenient
–62% Poundland
–57% 99p Stores
slide 47
QUESTION: “Again imagining that Poundland/99p Stores was closed for several months for refurbishment, and so were all its other branches, for you personally would this be … ?”
ANSWER CODES REVERSED FOR HALF SAMPLE
Base: Poundland: 2,573
26
33
31
29
21
19
20
17
3
1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
99p and 99p Plus Stores
Poundland
% Participants
Very inconvenient Fairly inconvenient Not very inconvenient Not at all inconvenient Don't know
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,583
62%
56%
61%
57%
48%
66%
56%
65%
• Inconvenience* was higher if visit was main/only reason for trip
Main/only reason
Not main reason
• Inconvenience was higher if planned trip Planned
Impulse
• Inconvenience was higher for femalesMales
Females
• Inconvenience was higher for C2DEs
ABC1
C2DE
Inconvenience of closure 2
slide 48
Differences are significant at 95% confidence level
* Very inconvenient and fairly inconvenient
slide 49
Findings – Other customer profiles
Internet use
•Over a fifth of customers of both stores never use the internet
–21% Poundland and 22% 99p Stores
–This compares to 11% overall in the UK*
slide 50
QUESTION: “How often, if at all, do you personally use the internet?”
Base: Poundland: 2,583
22
1
1
2
4
7
6
58
21
2
1
1
3
8
4
60
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Never
Less than once a month
About once a month
Once a fortnight
Once a week
2-4 days a week
5-6 days a week
Every day
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
*Office of National Statistics, Internet Users 2015: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/rdit2/internet-users/2015/stb-ia-2015.html
Employment status
• About half the sample are employed:
–49% of Poundland customers and 51% of 99p Stores customers
• More retired and fewer employed than for adults in England and Wales overall**
slide 51
QUESTION: “What is your employment status?”
* = less than 0.5%Base: Poundland: 2,583
1
8
*
26
1
4
5
4
16
35
1
9
1
27
*
4
5
4
17
32
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Other
Looking after family/home
Retired unpaid voluntary work
Retired
Part-time student
Full-time student
Not working -not looking for work
Not working -looking for work
Working part-time (8-29 hours a week)
Working full-time (30+ hours a week)
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
99p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
Poundland 99p Stores UK
employedretirednot workingstudent
49%28%19%4%
51%26%17%5%
62%14%13%9%**2011 Census: Economic activity, local authorities in England and Wales
Occupation
•19% of shoppers of both stores retired
slide 52
QUESTION: “Which of the following best describes the occupation of the main income earner in your household?”(previous if retired on private pension or unemployed less than 6 months)
Base: Poundland: 2,58399p and 99p Plus Stores: 2,876
A
B
C1
C2
Previous occupation
D
E
Previous occupation
7
13
6
6
1
13
21
13
15
7
6
11
8
7
2
13
20
11
14
9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
None of above
Retired on state pension
Retired private pension
Unemployed for 6 months or more
Unemployed for less than 6 months
Semi-skilled worker; apprentice or trainee to skilled worker
Skilled manual worker; other manual worker with responsibility for other people; or self-employed with no employees
Junior management; or self-employed with 1-4 employees (in addition to self)
Middle management executive in large organisation; principal officer in local government and civil service; or self-employed
Work in a profession; very senior manager in business or commerce; top-level civil servant; or self-employed with 25+ employees
% Participants
Poundland
99p and 99p Plus Stores
E
slide 53
Appendix
Appendix A: Locations and hoursPoundland 99p Stores
Dudley31-32 High Street, Dudley, West Midlands, DY1 1PS
M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
228/233, High Street, Dudley DY11PQ M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
CroydonUnit 140 Whitgift Centre, Croydon, Greater London, CR0 1UT
M-S 07:30-19:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
43435, Crown Hill, Croydon, Surrey CR01RZ M-S 09:00-20:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
139 North End, Croydon, London, Surrey CR01TN
M-S 09:00-20:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
Harlow17 Harvey Centre, Harlow, Essex, CM20 1XR M-S 09:00-17:30
Sun: 10:00-16:0027-29, Broad Walk, Harlow, Essex CM201JF M-S 09:00-18:00
Sun: 10:00-16:00
Hemel HempsteadUnit 2 Town Square, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire, HP1 1BB
M-S 08:30-17:30Sun: 11:00-17:00
Edmonds Parade, 252-254 The Marlowes, Edmonds Prade, Hemel Hempstead HP11BL
M-S 08:30-18:00Sun: 10:00-18:00
Newcastle-under-Lyme
Unit 22 Castle Walk, Newcastle Under Lyme, Staffordshire, ST5 1AN
M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
94-96, High Street, Newcastle Under Lyme, Staffordshire ST51QF
M-S 09:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
Ramsgate21-23 High Street, Ramsgate, Kent, CT11 9AG M-S 08:30-18:00
Sun: 10:00-16:3012-14 High Street, Ramsgate, Kent CT119AE M-S 08:30-18:00
Sun: 10:00-16:00
AyrUnit 2, 88-104 High Street, Ayr, Ayrshire, KA7 1PQ
M-S 08:30-17:30Sun: 10:30-17:00
Unit 10, Central Shopping Centre, Kyle Street, Ayr, Scotland KA71TD
M-S 09:00-18:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
BasingstokeUnit 2-3 Chiswick House, Basingstoke, Hampshire, RG21 7LD
M-S 08:30-19:00Sun: 10:30-17:00
Westminster House, 106 Festival Place, Town Centre, Basingstoke RG217LS
M-S 09:00-19:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
Eastleigh19-23 Leigh Road, Eastleigh, Hampshire, SO50 9FF
M-S 08:30-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
MSU4, Swan Centre, Eastleigh, Southampton SO505SG
M-S 09:00-17:30Sun: 10:00-16:00
Slough192 High Street, Slough, Berkshire, SL1 1JS M-S 08:30-18:00
Sun: 10:30-16:30210-216 High Street, Slough, Berkshire SL11JS
M-S 09:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-18:00
Great Yarmouth23-24 Market Place Great Yarmouth NR30 1LY
M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
6, Regent Road, Great Yarmouth, Norfolk NR302AF
M-S 08:30-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
Haverfordwest21 Riverside Quay, Haverfordwest, Pembrokeshire, SA61 2LJ
M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
52 Castle Square, Haverfordwest, Dyfed, Pembrokeshire SA612AE
M-S 09:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
Yate7-11 South Walk, Yate Shopping Centre, Yate, Gloucestershire, BS37 4AU
M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
21, South Walk, Yate Shopping Centre, South Gloucestershire BS374AX
M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
Leytonstone650-652 High Road, Leytonstone, London, E11 3AA
M-S 08:30-19:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
628-632, High Road, Leytonstone, Greater London E11 3DA
M-S 09:00-20:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
22-26 Woodgrange Road Forest Gate E7 0QH
M-S 09:00-19:00 Sun 11.00-17.00
Surrey QuaysUnit LSU3, Surrey Quays Shopping Centre, Surrey Quays, London, SE16 7LL
M-S 09:00-19:00Sun: 11:00-17:00
Unit 1/2 (39/41) Surrey Quay Shopping Centre, Redriff Road, London, SE16 7LL
M-S 08:00-18:00Sun: 10:00-16:00
slide 54
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