Finolex Cables, 19th February, 2013

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    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

    Y/E March (` cr) 3QFY13 2QFY13 % chg (qoq) 3QFY12 % chg (yoy)Total operating income 534 586 (8.8) 499 7.0EBITDA 43 71 (39.1) 44 (2.4)

    EBITDA Margin (%) 8.0 12.0 (400)bp 8.8 (77)bp

    Adj. PAT 24 57 (58.3) 14 75.0Source: Company, Angel Research

    Finolex Cables (FCL) reported a mixed set of numbers for 3QFY2013. Its top-line

    reported a marginal growth of 7.0% yoy to`534cr, as compared to our estimate

    of `580cr. The EBITDA dipped marginally by 2.4% yoy to `43cr while EBITDA

    margin was down by 77bp on a yoy basis to 8.0%. Nevertheless the adjusted

    PAT grew by a whopping 75% yoy to `24cr vis--vis our estimate of `18cr, on

    the back of low interest cost (lower by 67.2% yoy) and exceptional item (lower by

    42.4% yoy) of losses derived from derivative contracts. PAT margin too expanded

    from 2.7% in 3QFY2012 to 4.5% in 3QFY2013.

    Growth in user industries to drive growth: FCL serves varied user industries,

    considering the wide usage of cables. With customers increasingly demanding

    high-quality and branded wires, FCL is poised to grow. The company, with its

    wide distribution reach and penetration in the market, is well poised to meet

    increase in demand. Further, we expect the companys initiatives like- 1) increase

    in advertisement spends 2) setting up of a solar power plant for captive

    consumption, and 3) reduction in sale of copper rods to third party, to boost its

    top-line and enhance profitability going forward.

    Outlook and valuation:We expect the companys sales to post an 11.3% CAGR

    over FY201214 to`2,559cr, and EBITDA to register a CAGR of 21.0% over the

    same period with margin at 10.0% in FY2014E. However, PAT is expected to post

    a higher CAGR of 25.6% over the same period owing to closure of the derivatives

    contracts (included in exceptional items). With the recent correction, FCL isavailable at PE of 5.0x for FY2014E and hence the stock is upgraded to Buy with atarget price of `61 based on target PE of 6x FY2014E earnings.Key financialsY/E March (` cr) FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014ENet Sales 2,036 2,064 2,268 2,559% chg 25.8 1.4 9.9 12.8

    Net Profit 87 98 137 155% chg 50.7 13.0 39.6 13.1

    EBITDA Margin (%) 7.5 8.5 9.5 10.0FDEPS (`) 7.4 8.0 9.0 10.1P/E (x) 8.9 7.8 5.6 5.0

    P/BV (x) 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7

    RoE (%) 12.1 12.3 14.8 14.6RoCE (%) 20.9 18.7 20.5 23.3

    EV/Sales (x) 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2

    EV/EBITDA (x) 3.6 3.7 2.9 2.3

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    BUYCMP `50

    Target Price `61

    Investment Period 12 Months

    Stock Info

    Sector

    Net Debt (155.3)

    Bloomberg Code

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters 35.7

    MF / Banks / Indian Fls 29.3

    FII / NRIs / OCBs 4.9

    Indian Public / Others 30.2

    Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

    Sensex 5.4 7.2 20.0

    Finolex (1.9) 40.3 (2.0)

    Nifty 5,686

    Reuters Code FNXC.BO

    FNXC.IN

    Avg. Daily Volume 81,501

    Face Value (`) 2

    BSE Sensex 19,468

    52 Week High / Low 64 / 29

    Cables-Power

    Market Cap (`cr) 770

    Beta 0.6

    Twinkle Gosar+91 22 3935 7800 Ext: 6848

    [email protected]

    Finolex CablesPerformance Highlights

    3QFY2013 Result update | Power Cables

    February 15, 2013

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

    February 15, 2013 2

    Exhibit 1:2QFY2013 performance highlightsY/E March (` cr) 3QFY13 2QFY13 % chg (qoq) 3QFY12 % chg (yoy) 9MFY2013 9MFY2012 % chgTotal operating income 534.3 586.0 (8.8) 499.5 7.0 1,638.3 1,459.2 12.3Net raw material 393.2 432.2 (9.0) 384.3 2.3 1,203.3 1,115.4 7.9(% of Sales) 73.6 73.8 76.9 73.5 76.4

    Employee cost 20.1 19.1 4.9 17.3 15.8 58.9 51.0 15.5

    (% of Sales) 3.8 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.5

    Other Expenses 78.1 64.1 21.8 53.9 45.0 213.8 174.6 22.5

    (% of Sales) 14.6 10.9 10.8 13.1 12.0

    Total expenditure 491.3 515.4 (4.7) 455.5 7.9 1,476.0 1,340.9 10.1EBITDA 42.9 70.5 (39.1) 44.0 (2.4) 162.3 118.3 37.2EBITDA Margin (%) 8.0 12.0 (400)bp 8.8 (77)bp 9.9 8.1 180bp

    Interest 2.6 2.2 22.8 8.1 (67.2) 8.3 17.6 (53.2)

    Depreciation 10.8 10.7 0.9 12.8 (16.1) 31.9 32.3 (1.2)

    Other income 1.6 14.2 (88.9) 4.0 (60.3) 17.6 27.0 (35.0)

    PBT (excl. exceptional items) 31.1 72.0 (56.7) 27.1 14.9 139.6 95.4 46.4Exceptional items 2.3 6.2 10.6 15.0 28.9PBT (incl. exceptional items) 28.8 65.8 (56.2) 16.5 74.6 124.6 66.4 87.7(% of Sales) 5.4 11.2 3.3 7.6 4.6

    Tax 4.8 8.3 (41.8) 2.8 72.2 18.1 12.8 42.0

    (% of PBT) 16.8 12.6 17.0 14.5 19.2

    Adjusted PAT 24.0 57.5 (58.3) 13.7 75.0 106.5 53.7 98.5PATM (%) 4.5 9.8 2.7 6.5 3.7

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 2:Actual v/s EstimatesActual v/s Angel's Estimates Actual (` cr) Estimate (` cr) % variationTotal Income (` cr) 534 580 (7.9)EBITDA (`cr) 43 50 (13.6)

    EBITDA Margin (%) 8.0 8.6 (53)bp

    Adjusted PAT (` cr) 24 18 34.7Source: Company, Angel Research

    FCL reported a mixed set of numbers for 3QFY2013. Its top-line reported a flatyoy growth of 7.0% to`534cr, as compared to our estimate of`580cr. The EBITDA

    dipped marginally by 2.4% yoy to`43cr while EBITDA margin was down by 77bp

    on a yoy basis to 8.0%. Raw material cost drop by 335bp yoy, however, was offset

    by total expansion of 336bp yoy in selling & administration and other expenses.

    Nevertheless the adjusted PAT grew by a whopping 75% yoy to`24cr on the back

    of low interest cost (lower by 67.2% yoy) and exceptional item (lower by 42.4% yoy)

    of losses derived from derivative contracts. The PAT margin too expanded from

    2.7% in 3QFY2012 to 4.5% in 3QFY2013.

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

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    Exhibit 3:Net sales growth trend

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 4:High Advertisement spends dent margin

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Segment-wise performance

    For 3QFY2013, the electrical cables segment reported a 12.3% yoy growth in

    sales to`469cr. The contribution of the segment stands at 88% in 3QFY2013 vis-

    -vis 84% in 2QFY2012. The EBIT for the segment came in at `49cr (`45cr in

    3QFY2012), 8.5% higher yoy. However, EBIT margin fell by 37bp yoy to 10.5%.

    The communication cables segment posted a growth of 13.1% yoy in its top-line,

    with sales of`46cr (`41cr in 3QFY2012) and contributed 9% to the total revenue.

    The margin of the segment expanded significantly by 564bp yoy to 11.8% from

    6.2% in same quarter previous year.

    The copper rods segment reported a decline of 11.1% in its top-line to `136cr(`153cr in 3QFY2012) during the quarter. The segments contribution has been

    declining gradually since the company is reducing its exposure to third party owing

    to thin margins. The EBIT for the segment came in at`0.8cr,while margin stood at

    4.1%, 233bp higher yoy.

    Exhibit 5:Segment-wise performanceY/E March (` cr) 3QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY12 % chg (qoq) % chg (yoy)Total RevenueA) Electrical Cables 469 514 417 (8.9) 12.3

    B) Communications Cables 46 48 41 (4.1) 13.1

    C) Copper Rods 136 175 153 (22.5) (11.1)

    D) Others 38 44 31 (12.0) 22.3

    Total 688 780 642 (11.8) 7.3

    Less: Inter-Segmental Rev. 154 194 142 (20.7) 8.4

    Net Sales 534 586 499 (8.8) 7.0

    EBIT Margin (%) bp chg bp chgA) Electrical Cables 10.5 12.2 10.9 (169) (37)

    B) Communications Cables 11.8 19.1 6.2 (732) 564

    C) Copper Rods 4.1 4.1 1.8 1 233

    D) Others (1.1) (1.5) (7.3) 39 613

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    513

    539

    461

    499

    499

    605

    518

    586

    534

    21.4

    16.3

    (6.6)

    1.7 (2.6)

    12.1

    12.4

    17.47.0

    (10)

    (5)

    0

    5

    1015

    20

    25

    -

    100

    200

    300

    400500

    600

    700

    3QFY11

    4QFY11

    1QFY12

    2QFY12

    3QFY12

    4QFY12

    1QFY13

    2QFY13

    3QFY13

    (%)

    (`cr)

    Revenue ( LHS) Revenue growth yoy ( RHS)

    51

    40

    34

    40

    44

    58

    49

    71

    43

    9.9

    7.4 7.58.0 8.8

    9.69.4

    12.0

    8.0

    0

    3

    6

    9

    12

    15

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    3QFY11

    4QFY11

    1QFY12

    2QFY12

    3QFY12

    4QFY12

    1QFY13

    2QFY13

    3QFY13

    (%)

    (`cr)

    EBIT DA (LH S) EBIT DA M argin (RH S)

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

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    Recent developments in the company

    Reducing third party sale of copper rods to boost margins

    The copper rods segment was initially set up as backward integration for thecables segment. The excess production after the captive consumption is sold off to

    third parties at market price. However, owing to thin and declining margins from

    third party transactions, FCL is gradually reducing its exposure in the segment. The

    contribution of the segment to the top-line has decreased from 21% in FY2010 to

    ~8% currently. This trend is expected to continue, thereby improving the overall

    EBIT margin of the company.

    Increasing ad spends to enhance brand visibility

    FCL is putting in efforts to improve its brand visibility by increasing its marketing

    expenses, which have risen steadily from 4.9% of the total sales in FY2009 to 6.7%

    in FY2012. FCL is expected to continue with such focus, thereby incurring higher

    expenses towards advertising and marketing. In 3QFY2013, S&A expenses as a

    percentage of sales rose by 130bp yoy to 6.6% on back of expenditure on TV

    advertisements during the airing of some recent cricket matches. These efforts are

    expected to transpire into a higher top-line for the company, going forward.

    New solar power plant to reduce power & fuel expenses by one-third

    FCL is setting up a solar power plant at its Urse manufacturing unit with a capex of

    ~`40cr, scheduled to be operational in the coming six months. This power plant is

    expected to reduce the power cost of the company by one-third which will add to

    the EBITDA margin.

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

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    Investment arguments

    Capex plans to complement rising demand

    FCL has its manufacturing facilities located at Pune, Goa and Roorkee. Excluding

    the older plants, the new plants with updated technology have been operating

    optimally at ~85-90% capacity utilisation. With customers increasingly demanding

    high-quality and branded wires, FCL is poised to grow. The company, with its wide

    distribution reach and penetration in the market, is well poised to meet increase in

    demand. The company has planned a total capex of ~`100cr over the next 18

    months (~`40-50cr in FY2013E) to expand the Roorkee plant and double its

    current capacity so as to support the rising demand. The same will lead to top-line

    growth for the company.

    Product portfolio additions to facilitate growth & widen reach

    FCL has a substantial market share of ~15-16% in both, electrical andtelecommunication cables segments. The company has a wide range of products

    in its offering, ranging within 1.1kv to 66kv. Moreover, the company launched a

    new range of speaker wires in the communication cables segment and latest

    versions of T5 tube lights and fittings were launched in the lighting division.

    Additions in the product portfolio by the company on the back of extensive

    research and development are expected to facilitate growth in top-line for the

    company going forward.

    Strong growth in user industry to drive top-line

    FCL serves varied user industries considering the wide usage of cables due to

    electrification. The contribution from the construction sector is the largest whileother segments include industrial, automotive, power and agriculture.

    The electrical cables segment contributes ~83% to the total revenue. Of this ~60%

    revenue comes in from channel sales and 40% through institutional sales. On the

    other hand, the telecommunication cables segment, which accounts for ~6-7% of

    the top-line, derives its revenues majorly from institutional sales. The balanced

    revenue mix in regards to user industry as well as institutional sales reduces the

    concentration risk.Closure of Forex contracts in current year

    FCL had entered into foreign exchange derivative contracts in FY2007, where it

    incurred huge losses in FY2008 and FY2009; which since then, the company has

    been writing off consistently. These contracts are to end in the current fiscal, as per

    the Management. With closure of these contracts and losses thereof, the profit

    margins are expected to improve.

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

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    Financials

    Exhibit 6:Key AssumptionsParticulars (%) FY2013E FY2014ETotal Sales Growth 9.9 12.8

    Finished ProductsVolume growthElectrical cables 12.7 11.0

    Telephone Cables-Jelly Filled 45.0 5.0

    Optical Fibre Cables 45.0 5.0

    Continuous Cast Copper Rod (45.0) (10.0)

    Realisation growthElectrical cables 3.0 3.0

    Telephone Cables-Jelly Filled 5.0 5.0

    Optical Fibre Cables 5.0 5.0Continuous Cast Copper Rod - -

    Raw MaterialVolume growth 7.0 9.5

    Realisation growth 1.6 3.4

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 7:Revised EstimatesY/E March Earlier estimates Revised estimates % changeFY2013E FY2014E FY2013E FY2014E FY2013E FY2014ENet Sales (`cr) 2304 2552 2268 2559 (1.6) 0.3EBITDA Margin (%) 9.9 9.1 9.5 10.0 (45)bp 90bp

    EPS (`) 9 10 9 10 1.9 1.1Source: Angel Research

    Net sales to grow at CAGR of 11.3% over FY2012-14E

    Owing to strong growth in varied user industries, additions in the product portfolio,

    and strategic alliances entered into by the company, the top-line is expected to

    post a CAGR of 11.3% over FY2012-14E to`2,559cr in FY2014E.

    Exhibit 8:User industry growth to drive volumes

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 9:Segmental contribution

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    1,6

    19

    2,0

    36

    2,0

    64

    2,2

    68

    2,5

    59

    20.7 25.8 1.49.9

    12.8

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E

    (%)

    (`cr)

    Net sales (LHS) Net sales growth (RHS)

    1,109

    1,407

    1,771

    2,055

    2,350

    176 204 207 236260362

    511

    205 112 101

    -

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E

    (`cr)

    Electrical cable s Communication CCC rods

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

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    Revenue from the electrical cables segment is assumed to grow at CAGR of 15.2%

    while the communication cables segment (telephone jelly cables and optic fibre

    cables) is expected to post a CAGR of 12.1% over FY2012-14E. CCC rods (net of

    inter segmental) contribution is however expected to dip by CAGR of 29.7% for thesame period.

    EBITDA to post CAGR of 21.0% over FY2012-14E

    FCLs EBITDA, on back of healthy top-line growth and improved operational

    efficiency is expected to post a CAGR of 21.0% over FY2012-14E. EBITDA is to rise

    from `175cr in FY2012 to `256 in FY2014E. EBITDA margins are expected to

    expand from 8.5% in FY2012 to 9.5% in FY2013E and further to 10.0% in

    FY2014E on account of lower contribution by copper rods segment and reduced

    power & fuel cost (owing to solar power plant).

    Exhibit 10:EBITDA margin to normalise

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 11:PAT and PAT growth

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Closure of derivative contracts to help surge in PAT by 25.6%

    A robust top-line coupled with healthy EBITDA is expected to aid PAT CAGR of

    25.6% over FY2012-14E. Moreover, derivatives contract are expected to be closed

    by FY2013 . However, tax rate is expected to increase from 10.1% in FY2012 to

    15.0% in FY2013E and 28.0% in FY2014E owing to end of 100% tax exemption

    on the Roorkee plant (30% exemption from FY2014E). As a result, the bottom-line

    is believed to rise from`98cr in FY2012 to`155cr in FY2014E.

    Strong balance sheet position

    The company has repaid an ECB of JPY3.5 billion which had been originally

    drawn in FY2007. The repayment was done out of internal accruals without

    resorting to any roll-over or substitute loan.

    195 173 175 214 256

    5.2 7.58.5

    9.510.0

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E

    (%)

    (`cr)

    EBITDA (LHS) EBITDA margin (RHS)

    58 87 98 137 155

    (262.4)

    50.7

    13.039.6 13.1

    (300)

    (250)

    (200)

    (150)

    (100)

    (50)

    0

    50

    100

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E

    (%)

    (`cr)

    PAT (LHS) PAT growth (RHS)

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

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    Concerns

    Competition from the un-organized sector is a concern since the productsavailable from them are relatively cheaper and thus cannibalize into market

    volumes.

    Fluctuation in the price of copper which is the essential raw material (~86% oftotal raw material) is a key concern as it would directly impact operational

    efficiency. Although prices have fallen recently, but the volatility in commodity

    market persists.

    Exhibit 12:Copper Prices on an uptrend; to dent margins

    Source: Bloomberg

    Competition

    The cables industry, both electrical and tele-communication, is highly competitive,

    with co-existence of both - organised and un-organised players. FCL has a market

    share of ~15-20% each in the electrical and telecommunication cables segments.

    Exhibit 13:Relative ValuationTTM- Dec12 Sales(` cr) OPM(%) PAT(` cr) EPS(`) ROIC(%) PE(x) PBV(x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x)FCL 2,243 8.7 174 11.4 21 4.4 0.9 3.2 0.3

    Torrent Cables 4,104 13.0 353 28.3 48 24.6 4.9 14.9 1.9

    KEI Inds 1,740 10.3 31 4.4 24 3.1 0.4 2.8 0.3

    Source: Capital Line, Angel Research

    360

    370

    380

    390

    400

    410

    420430

    440

    450

    460

    Nov-1

    1

    Dec-1

    1

    Jan-1

    2

    Feb-1

    2

    Mar-12

    Apr-12

    May-1

    2

    Jun-1

    2

    Jul-12

    Aug-1

    2

    Sep-1

    2

    Oct-12

    Nov-1

    2

    Dec-1

    2

    Jan-1

    3

    Feb-1

    3

    ('000`/MT)

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    Outlook and Valuation

    We remain positive on the companys prospects going ahead, given the strong

    growth in user industries, which shows no sign of abating. Strong growth in user

    industry, additions in product portfolio, and strategic alliance are all to aid the

    company in posting a CAGR of 11.3% in the top-line over FY2012-14E to

    `2,559cr in FY2014E. EBITDA is expected to post a CAGR of 21.0% while margins

    are to stabilize at 10.0% in FY2014E. PAT growth, owing to healthy operating

    performance, coupled with closure of derivative contracts in FY2013 is expected to

    post a CAGR of 25.6% over FY2012-14E. With the recent correction, FCL isavailable at PE of 5.0x for FY2014E and hence the stock is upgraded to Buy with atarget price of `61 based on target PE of 6x FY2014E earnings.Exhibit 14:One-year forward PE

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    Feb-0

    9

    Aug-0

    9

    Feb-1

    0

    Aug-1

    0

    Feb-1

    1

    Aug-1

    1

    Feb-1

    2

    Aug-1

    2

    Feb-1

    3

    (`)

    Price 4.0x 6.5x 9.0x 11.5x

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    Finolex Cables | 3QFY2013 Result update

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    About the company

    FCL is Indias largest manufacturer of electrical and communication cables. The

    company mainly operates through 4 divisions; 1) Electrical Cables (80%) 2)

    Communication cables (6.5%) 3) Continuous Cast Copper rods (9.5%) and 4)

    Others (4%)- comprising PVC sheets, switches and compact fluorescent lamps

    manufactured through its facilities set up at Roorkee, Goa, and Pune (at Pimpri,

    Urse).

    Exhibit 15:Segments detail

    Source: Company

    Exhibit 16:Applications of different types of cablesCables ApplicationsElectrical CablesLDEC

    Electrification in residential, commercial and industrialestablishments

    Power Cables Underground usage, main power supply

    Communication cablesCopper based LAN- high speed networks

    Coaxial- content input to TV sets

    PE Insulated to connect telephone instruments

    V-Sat- Dish to base station

    Optic Fibre/ glassbased

    Maximum bandwidth and high speed

    Trunk cables

    Distribution by telecom companies

    Multi service organisation and service provider

    Traditional JFTC Laid underground 4 connecting land line telephone to exchanges

    PVC Sheets Corrugated PVC SheetsRigid PVC Sheets

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Segments

    Electrical Cables

    LDEC

    Power Cables

    Communication

    Cables

    Copper Based

    Optic Fibre/Glass based

    TraditionalJFTC's

    Others

    PVC

    Switches

    CompactFluoroscent

    Lamps

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    Profit and loss statement

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY1204EGross sales 1,727 2,186 2,182 2,404 2,711Less: Excise duty 108 151 118 136 152Net Sales 1,619 2,036 2,064 2,268 2,559% chg 20.7 25.8 1.4 9.9 12.8

    Net Raw Materials 1,179 1,575 1,568 1,679 1,901

    % chg 13.8 33.6 (0.4) 7.1 13.2

    Personnel 59 65 69 82 92

    % chg 11.1 9.3 7.3 17.5 12.8

    Other Mfg costs 72 82 84 113 107

    % chg 15.1 14.7 2.6 34.3 (5.2)

    Other 114 140 167 179 202

    % chg 26.5 23.2 18.8 7.4 12.8

    Total Expenditure 1,424 1,862 1,889 2,053 2,303

    EBITDA 195 173 175 214 256% chg 95.6 (10.9) 0.8 22.7 19.4

    EBITDA Margin 5.2 7.5 8.5 9.5 10.0

    Depreciation& Amort. 37.23 39 39 44 46

    EBIT 157 135 135 171 210% chg 159.0 (14.5) 0.5 26.1 22.9

    (% of Net Sales) 9.7 6.6 6.6 7.5 8.2

    Interest & other Charges 19 19 26 12 14

    Other Income 24 26 36 27 22

    (% of Net Sales) 1.5 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.9Recurring PBT 139 116 109 159 196% chg 388.7 (16.8) (5.5) 45.1 23

    Exceptional Expense/(Inc.) 74 34 36 22 -

    PBT (reported) 89 107 109 163 217Tax 32 20 11 26 62

    (% of PBT) 35.4 19.0 10.1 15.0 28.0

    PAT (reported) 58 87 98 137 155ADJ. PAT 58 87 98 137 155% chg (262.4) 50.7 13.0 39.6 13.1

    (% of Net Sales) 3.6 4.3 4.8 6.0 6.1

    Basic EPS (`) 6.9 7.4 8.0 9.0 10.1Fully Diluted EPS ( ) 6.9 7.4 8.0 9.0 10.1% chg 169.6 7.2 8.5 12.0 13.1

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    Balance sheet

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014ESOURCES OF FUNDSEquity Share Capital 31 31 31 31 31Preference Capital - - - - -

    Reserves& Surplus 613 687 770 893 1,033

    Shareholders Funds 643 717 800 923 1,064Total Loans 275 126 155 147 136

    Other Long term liability - 54 35 45 18

    Net Deferred tax liability 32 31 33 33 21

    Total Liabilities 950 928 1,022 1,148 1,239APPLICATION OF FUNDSGross Block 802 826 871 915 970

    Less: Acc. Depreciation 384 422 442 486 532

    Net Block 419 403 429 429 438Capital Work-in-Progress 29 19 12 12 12

    Goodwill - - - - -

    Long term Loans & Adv. - 14 4 4 4

    Investments 280 245 237 259 277

    Current Assets 415 538 534 631 715

    Cash 37 21 49 46 49

    Loans & Advances 86 106 90 102 115

    Other 292 411 395 483 551

    Inventory 221 281 281 358 410

    Debtors 71 130 114 125 141

    Other current assets - - - - -

    Current liabilities 193 291 194 187 207

    Net Current Assets 222 247 340 444 508Mis. Exp. not written off - - - - -

    Total Assets 950 928 1,022 1,148 1,239

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    Cash flow statement

    Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY1204EProfit before tax 89 107 109 163 219

    Depreciation 37 39 39 42 44(Inc.)/ Dec. in Working Capital (24) (26) (36) (25) (22)

    Less: Other income (69) (40) (65) (107) (61)

    Direct taxes paid (32) (20) (11) (26) (63)

    Cash Flow from Operations 2 59 36 47 118(Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets (29) (13) (39) (44) (55)

    (Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments 34 21 18 (21) (18)

    Other income 24 26 36 27 22

    Cash Flow from Investing 29 34 16 (38) (51)Issue of Equity 0 0 0 0 0

    Inc./(Dec.) in loans (11) (96) 11 3 (50)

    Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) (9) (11) (12) (14) (14)

    Others (22) (109) (24) (11) (64)

    Cash Flow from Financing 9 (16) 28 (3) 3Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 28 37 21 49 46

    Opening Cash balances 37 21 49 46 49Closing Cash balances 89 107 109 27 22

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    Key ratios

    Y/E March FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY1204EValuation Ratio (x)P/E (on FDEPS) 13.4 8.9 7.8 5.6 5.0P/CEPS 8.1 6.1 5.6 4.3 3.8

    P/BV 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7

    Dividend yield (%) 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8

    EV/Sales 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2

    EV/EBITDA 3.7 3.6 3.7 2.9 2.3

    EV / Total Assets 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5

    Per Share Data (`)EPS (Basic) 14.4 25.0 6.4 9.0 10.1

    EPS (fully diluted) 14.4 25.0 6.4 9.0 10.1

    Cash EPS 17.2 28.2 9.0 11.8 13.2

    DPS 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8

    Book Value 42.1 46.9 52.3 60.4 69.6

    Dupont AnalysisEBIT margin 9.7 6.6 6.6 7.5 8.2

    Tax retention ratio 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7

    Asset turnover (x) 2.7 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.8

    ROIC (Post-tax) 16.9 17.0 16.8 17.4 16.8

    Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 4.4 12.3 15.2 7.0 7.5

    Leverage (x) (0.1) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2)

    Operating ROE 16.0 16.0 16.5 15.7 15.1

    Returns (%)ROCE (Pre-tax) 16.6 14.5 13.2 14.9 16.9

    Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 26.1 20.9 18.7 20.5 23.3

    ROE 9.0 12.1 12.3 14.8 14.6

    Turnover ratios (x)Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.0 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.6

    Inventory / Sales (days) 41 45 50 49 47

    Receivables (days) 15 18 16 16 16

    Payables (days) 47 47 47 47 47

    WC cycle (ex-cash) (days) 34 37 37 64 65

    Solvency ratios (x)Net debt to equity (0.1) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2)

    Net debt to EBITDA (0.2) (0.8) (0.8) (0.7) (0.7)

    Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int.) 8.4 7.0 5.2 14.1 14.8

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    Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com

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    Disclosure of Interest Statement Finolex Cables

    1. Analyst ownership of the stock No

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    Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)Reduce (-5% to -15%) Sell (< -15%)

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