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FLOWBACK WATER CHEMISTRY
FORECASTING FLOWBACK WATER RECOVERY AND ITS SALINITYRESPONSE TO ADEQUATELY PREPARE FOR WATER RECYCLE AND
REUSE
JESSE D. WILLIAMS-KOVACS, UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY AND TAQA NORTH LTD.
CANADIAN BUSINESS CONFERENCES CANADIAN SHALE WATER RECYCLING AND REUSE CONGRESS 201516-17 SEPTEMBER 2015 • CALGARY, ALBERTA
Slide 2
DISCLAIMER
Please note that methods and discussions presented in this presentation
are related to work completed at the University of Calgary and are
therefore not representative of the views of TAQA North Ltd. Further,
examples presented in this presentation are not taken from TAQA North
Ltd. operations and were conducted external to the company.
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 3
OUTLINE
1. Quantitative Flowback Analysis Conceptual Model of Flowback and Analysis Procedure Case Study #1: Commingled Shale Gas Flowback
2. Flowback Water Salinity Factors Effecting Flowback Water Salinity Salinity Response of Select Western Canadian Unconventional Plays
3. Introduction of New Flowback Water Salinity Model4. Key Takeaways5. Discussion Points/Reference Material
6. Flowback Data Gathering and Assessment7. Case Study #2: Commingled Tight Oil Flowback8. Salinity Response of Additional Plays9. Additional Salinity Model Slides10. Load Fluid Recovery11. Impact of HC Breakthrough and Shut-Ins During Flowback
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 4
CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF FLOWBACK
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF FLOWBACKCONCEPTUAL MODEL OF FLOWBACKSlide 5
Simple Bi-Wing Planar
Fractures
Complex Fracture Network
Common Frac Shapes:1. Circular2. Elliptical3. Rectangular
Slide 6
CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF FLOWBACK
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 7
ANALYSIS PROCEDURE
• 2 PDA methods used in flowback analysis:1. Analytical Simulation History-match flowback data to estimate key frac parameters before
and after formation fluid breakthrough and estimate frac water recovery2. RTA and Type-Curves BBT single-phase: estimate key hydraulic fracture properties Fracture conductivity (radial flow) BBT half-length (fracture depletion)
• Analysis Procedure:
Deterministic Match
Stochastic Match
Comparison With Other
Data Sources
Diagnostic Plots and BBT RTA
Stochastic Output
• Marcellus Shale dry gas window
• Cased hole completion
• Hydraulically fractured with slickwater in 12 stages, with 3 perf clusters per stage
• Perf clusters spaced at ~ 100 ft
• 6,800 STB of frac fluid and 115 T pumped per stage
• Microseismic on off-setting wells suggests circular fractures with complex geometry (minimal overlap between stages) – Frac Geometry #3
CASE STUDY #1 – OVERVIEWSlide 8
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
a)
CASE STUDY #1 – RAW DATA AND DIAGNOSTICSSlide 9
Multi-Phase Depletion
b)
Linear Flow Becomes Dominant
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Gas production from onset of flowback
CASE STUDY #1 – DETERMINISTIC MATCHSlide 10
Frac FIP ~ 6,700 STB → Maximum
Load Fluid Recovery (~ 8%)
• Good history-match to both phases throughout the flowback period
• Stochastic simulation could be applied to assess the uncertainty associated with our key parameter estimates
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
c)
Good agreement With flowback half-length estimate
CASE STUDY #1 – ONLINE PRODUCTION DATA AND RTASlide 11
End of water rate measurements
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Pf
Slide 12
Minimal water production beyond ~100 days
Single-phase model over-predicts long-term production
CASE STUDY #1 – FORWARD FORECAST
Single-phase model over-predicts cum production by ~20%
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Comparable match between 7 and 200 days
Predicted Water Recovery ~ 5,900 STB (~ 7.2% Recovery, ~ 88% of Max)
CASE STUDY #1 – FORWARD FORECASTSlide 13
Multi-Phase Flowback Data CAN Be Quantitatively Analyzed to Estimate Key Frac Properties and Water
Recovery
CASE STUDY #1 – KEY TAKEAWAYSlide 14
Dissolution of salt at the fracture face or in the matrix From deposition or hydrogeological process causing crystallization
Diffusion/Dispersion of ions from high salinity matrix or secondary fractures Secondary fractures typically have higher surface area than primary fractures
(enhanced diffusion)
Advection due to bulk motion of fracture and formation fluids
Precipitation of salt within the fractures i.e. calcium carbonate – influenced by partial pressure of carbon dioxide
Production of high salinity formation water
Measuring individual ion ratios can indicate dominant mechanisms and lab experiments can help determine transport coefficients
Slide 15
FACTORS AFFECTING FLOWBACK WATER SALINITY
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Formation Breakthrough
Formation Breakthrough
Slide 16
SALINITY RESPONSE – NE BC MONTNEY TIGHT OIL
Significant Formation Water
Diffusion controlled BBT
Mixing controlled ABT
Frac complexity?
• WOR signature suggest formation water production
• Early-time salinity response suggests potential fracture complexity
• BBT salinity response diffusion dominated
• ABT salinity response dominated by mixing with hyper-saline formation water
• No definitive plateau reached
Approaching plateau at ~150,000 ppm?
Well 3 had 2-3x load fluid pumped leading to lower slope and later
plateau
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Sharak et al. (2014), SPE 168598-MS
Similar as above
Ghanbari et al. (2013), SPE 167165-MS
Slide 17
SALINITY RESPONSE – HORN RIVER SHALES
• Formation thought to produce minimal formation water
• Diffusion appears to be the dominant mechanism for mass transfer
• The salinity profile and plateau are similar for the Muskwa and Otter Park
• Salinity response in Evie may be due to higher fracture complexity and appears to plateau significantly higher
Plateau reached ~35,000 ppm
Diffusion controlled throughout
Approaching Plateau of ~70,000 ppm?
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 18SALINITY MODEL DEVELOPMENT – FULLY COUPLEDAPPROACH (RADIAL FRACTURES)
Repetitive Element
Matrix
Matrix
Matrix
Matrix
A-D-RMass Transfer
Fracture
A-D-RMass Transfer
A-D-RMass Transfer
A-D-RMass Transfer
A-D-RWith Matrix
Inflow
No
Flux
No
Flux
No
Flux
No
Flux
ye/2 wf/2z = 𝟎𝟎
xf
r = rwxe
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 19SALINITY MODEL DEVELOPMENT – FULLY COUPLEDAPPROACH (RADIAL FRACTURES)
Matrix: Linear Advection-Diffusion-Reaction Equation𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚 𝑧𝑧, 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡= 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕2𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝜕𝜕𝑧𝑧2
−𝑞𝑞𝑤𝑤,𝑚𝑚 𝑡𝑡
𝐴𝐴𝑚𝑚,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕
+ 𝑘𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚Accumulation Diffusion/
DispersionReaction/Dissolution
Fracture: Radial Advection-Diffusion-Reaction-InflowAdvection
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝑟𝑟, 𝑡𝑡𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡
=𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡𝑟𝑟
𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝑟𝑟
𝑟𝑟𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑟𝑟
−1𝑟𝑟𝑞𝑞𝑤𝑤,𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡𝐴𝐴𝑓𝑓,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑟𝑟
− 𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 +∅𝑚𝑚,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡∅𝑓𝑓,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡
𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚⁄𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓 2
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝜕𝜕𝑧𝑧
𝑧𝑧= ⁄𝑦𝑦𝑒𝑒 2
Accumulation Diffusion/Dispersion
Matrix-Fracture TransferAdvection Adsorption/Precipitation
Initial Condition:𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡 = 0 = 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚Boundary Conditions: 1) No Flux at Center of Matrix Block − �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓
𝜕𝜕𝑚𝑚 𝑧𝑧=0= 0
2) Contnuity at M � F Int − 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚 𝑧𝑧 = 𝑦𝑦𝑒𝑒2
, 𝑡𝑡 = 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓
Matrix Initial and Boundary Conditions
Initial Condition:𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡 = 0 = 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚Fracture Initial and Boundary Conditions
Boundary Conditions: 1) MB at Well − 𝑉𝑉𝑤𝑤,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡 �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡 𝑟𝑟=𝑟𝑟𝑤𝑤
= −𝐴𝐴𝑓𝑓,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡 𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡 �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑟𝑟 𝑟𝑟=𝑟𝑟𝑤𝑤
2) No Flux or Constant Point Source at Frac Tips− �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑟𝑟 𝑟𝑟=𝑚𝑚𝑓𝑓
= 0 OR 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕𝑓𝑓, 𝑡𝑡 = 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 20SALINITY MODEL DEVELOPMENT – FULLY COUPLEDAPPROACH (RADIAL FRACTURES)
System Cannot Be Solved Analytically Without MAJORSimplifications – Assuming No Mobile Water in The
Matrix, Constant Coefficients and Linear Fractures The Solution Would Not Fit on A Slide in 10 pt Font and
Likely Could Not Be Applied in the Real World!!!
So What Can We Do to Find a More Practical Solution?
Dimensionless Variables
Concentration: For BC 1a − 𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 =𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 − 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚 − 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚
For BC 1b − 𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 =𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 − 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚
Time: 𝑡𝑡𝐷𝐷 =𝐷𝐷𝑡𝑡
⁄𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓 2 2 =4𝐷𝐷𝑡𝑡
𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓2
Distance: 𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷 =𝜕𝜕⁄𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓 2
Slide 21SIMPLIFIED (UNCOUPLED) MODEL DEVELOPMENT –DIMENSIONAL FORM
Fractures: Linear Advection-Diffusion-Reaction Equation
Conceptual Model – Uncoupled Approach
x = ⁄𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓 2x = 0
𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡 = 0 = 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚
Matrix MatrixPrimary Fracture
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
∅𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡= 𝐷𝐷∅
𝜕𝜕2𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕2
−𝑞𝑞𝑤𝑤𝐴𝐴𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕
− 𝑘𝑘𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓Accumulation Diffusion/
DispersionAdvection Adsorption/
Precipitation
Assuming no formation water production for now and constant coefficients
Initial Condition:𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡 = 0 = 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚Boundary Conditions: 1a) 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕 = 0, 𝑡𝑡 = 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚
1b) �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡 𝑚𝑚=0
= 𝑘𝑘′ 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚
2) �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚=
𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓2
= 0
Initial and Boundary Conditions
2 Simple BC @ M-F Interface
Slide 22SIMPLIFIED (UNCOUPLED) MODEL DEVELOPMENT –DIMENSIONLESS FORM
Conceptual Model – Uncoupled Approach
xD = 1𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷 = 0
𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷, 𝑡𝑡𝐷𝐷 = 0 = 0
Matrix MatrixPrimary Fracture
Initial Condition:𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷, 𝑡𝑡𝐷𝐷 = 0 = 0Boundary Conditions: 1a)𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷 = 0, 𝑡𝑡𝐷𝐷 = 𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚 = 1
1b) �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡𝐷𝐷 𝑚𝑚𝐷𝐷=0
= 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚,2 1 − 𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚
2) �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑚𝑚𝐷𝐷 𝑚𝑚𝐷𝐷=1
= 0
Initial and Boundary Conditions
Dimensionless Groups
𝑃𝑃𝑒𝑒 =𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝑡𝑡𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 =
𝑞𝑞𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓2∅𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴
𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚,1 =𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴𝑟𝑟𝐴𝐴𝑡𝑡𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 =
𝑘𝑘𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓2
4∅𝐷𝐷
𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚,2 =𝑆𝑆𝐷𝐷𝑟𝑟𝐷𝐷𝑆𝑆𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 𝑅𝑅𝐴𝐴𝑆𝑆𝐴𝐴𝑡𝑡𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴
𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐷𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴 =𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓2
4𝐷𝐷
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷 , 𝑡𝑡𝐷𝐷𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡𝐷𝐷
=𝜕𝜕2𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷
2 − 𝑃𝑃𝑒𝑒𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝐷𝐷
− 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚,1𝐶𝐶𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓Accumulation Diffusion/
DispersionAdvection Adsorption/
Precipitation
Assuming Cm >> Cfi –frac water is typically quite fresh
Fractures: Linear Advection-Diffusion-Reaction Equation
Slide 23
SOLUTION PROCEDURE
• Utilizing Laplace Transform Method:
Solve Resulting ODE in Laplace
Space
Average Spatial Solution Over
Domain of Interest
Apply Forward Laplace Transform
to PDE
Numerically Invert Back to Time Domain Using
Stehfest Algorithm
Laplace Domain Solutions For All Boundary Conditions are UGLY!
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 24UNCOUPLED SALINITY MODEL – ADVECTION-DIFFUSION-REACTION WITH STATIC BOUNDARY CONDITION
Pure diffusion is a straight-line on the square-root of time plot
passing through the origin
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Type-Curve Set For Da = 0 (Advection-Diffusion Only)
Slide 25UNCOUPLED SALINITY MODEL – ADVECTION-DIFFUSION-REACTION WITH STATIC BOUNDARY CONDITION
Pure diffusion is a straight-line on the square-root of time plot
Advection increases mass
transfer rate
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Multi-phase flowback data can be quantitatively analyzed Estimate key frac properties and load fluid recovery
Salinity response from play to play can be highly variable Can also be variable for wells on the same pad
A new model was proposed for matching the salinity response of produced water during flowback Multiple mechanisms considered Simplified approach used to allow analytical solution
Future work will continue with development/application of salinity model More advanced/realistic boundary conditions Investigate additional approximate solution methods Additional simplifications to the fully coupled model
Slide 26
KEY TAKEAWAYS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS / THANK YOU / QUESTIONS / DISCUSSION POINTSJesse Williams-Kovacs would like to thank the University of Calgary, TAQA North
Ltd. AND Dr. Christopher Clarkson at the University of CalgaryDISCUSSION POINTS:1. Impact of shutting in wells during flowback and methods to avoid this2. Causes of high salinity of produced water3. Benefits of detailed water analysis
REFERENCE MATERIAL:1. Shale Gas: SPE 162593, SPE 164550, URTeC 21491832. Tight Gas Condensate: SPE 1672313. Tight Oil: SPE 166214, SPE 167232, SPE 175983, SPE 175893 (SPE URC-
Canada, Oct. 2015)4. Stage-by-Stage and Multi-Well Flowback: SPE 1715915. Tight Oil Case Study (flowback + long-term production): The Leading EDGE,
October 2014
CANADIAN BUSINESS CONFERENCES CANADIAN SHALE WATER RECYCLING AND REUSE CONGRESS 201516-17 SEPTEMBER 2015 • CALGARY, ALBERTA
Slide 28
FLOWBACK DATA GATHERING AND ASSESSMENT
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 29
FLOWBACK DATA GATHERING AND ASSESSMENT
Data Gathering
Flowback Specific:1) High-frequency rates and flowing pressures (hourly or more frequent – every 15-30 minutes desirable)2) Initial fracture pressure (frac modelling, other estimate – typically 20-50% greater than Pi)3) Indication of fracture geometry (microseismic, frac modelling, experience, etc.)
Optional:1) Method to allocate data to individual stages (i.e. spinner & tracer logs, fibre-optic techniques) 2) Sandface flowing pressures (downhole gauges)3) Salinity of frac fluid4) Estimate of fracture relative permeability curves (lab experiments)
Diagnostics
Quantitative Assessement
Other:1) Wellbore schematic, deviation survey and stimulation information 2) Fluid properties (oil, water and gas analysis)3) Formation temperature4) Estimate of initial reservoir pressure and matrix permeability (DFIT, pre-frac welltest, core)5) Estimates of net pay, porosity and fluid saturation (logs and core)
Optional:1) Detailed PVT analysis2) Estimate of matrix relative permeability curves (lab experiments)3) Offset well analysis
Base Plots:1) qw, qo and qg vs. t (stage-by-stage if available)2) Flowing pressure (surface, downhole or converted) and choke setting vs. t
Primary Diagnostic Plots:1) RNP vs. t or tca (water typically most diagnostic)2) RNP Derivative vs. t or tca (water typically most diagnostic)3) GWR vs. Gp (gas specific)
Other Diagnostic Plots:1) RNP vs. cumulative production (all phases)2) pcf vs. qw, qo and qg3) Gp or Np vs. Wp
Hydraulic Fracture Property Determination and Forecast:1) Rate-transient analysis (radial flow analysis, flowing material balance, Fetkovich type curve)2) Analytical simulation (history-match)3) Forecast long-term production
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
• Tight oil reservoir in the WCSB (NE BC)
• Cased hole completion
• Hydraulically fractured with hybrid water fracs in 18 stages
• Frac stages spaced at ~ 330 ft
• 1,350 STB of frac fluid and 45 T pumped per stage
• Microseismic suggests circular fractures with bi-wing planar geometry – Frac Geometry #1
CASE STUDY #2 - OVERVIEWSlide 30
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
CASE STUDY #2 – RAW DATA AND DIAGNOSTICSSlide 31
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
FcT ~ 150 md-ft
BBT FIP ~ 23,000 STBxf_BBT = 421 ft/stage
FcT ~ 150 md-ft
xf_BBT = 421 ftFcT ~ 150 md-ft
CAST STUDY #2 – RATE TRANSIENT ANALYSISSlide 32
Frac FIP ~ 23,000 STB → Maximum Load Fluid Recovery (~ 92%)
CASE STUDY #2 – DETERMINISTIC HISTORY-MATCHSlide 33
• Good match of water, oil and gas rate prior to gas breakthrough (~8 days)
• Significant uncertainty in analysis due to number of parameters being adjusted to achieve history-match (i.e. xf, fracture permeability, thickness, etc.)
Gas breakthrough into the fractures –oil and water rate over-predicted after this point
Cum
Gas
Pro
d (M
SCF)
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
CASE STUDY #2 – STOCHASTIC HISTORY-MATCHSlide 34
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 35
CASE STUDY #2 – STOCHASTIC HISTORY-MATCH
CASE STUDY #2 – PARAMETER DISTRIBUTIONSSlide 36
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
CASE STUDY #2 – FORWARD FORECASTSlide 37
Water recovery takes > 1,200 days!
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Formation Breakthrough
Formation Breakthrough
Slide 38SALINITY RESPONSE – NW AB MONTNEY LIQUIDS-RICHTIGHT GAS
• Desiccated formation – possible to have salt precipitated prior to stimulation
• WGR signature suggest negligible formation water production
• Possible salinity measurement error early in time
• Variable plateau reached – possibly due to fracture complexity or longer shut-in in Well 2
Minimal Formation Water
Diffusion/ Reaction
Measurement Issues?
Variable plateau reached
Well 1 ramps up faster
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Formation Breakthrough
Formation Breakthrough
Slide 39
SALINITY RESPONSE – CENTRAL AB MONTNEY TIGHT OIL
• WOR signature suggest formation water production
• BBT salinity response diffusion dominated
• ABT salinity response dominated by mixing with hyper-saline formation water
• Plateau appears to be reached at ~ 150,000 ppm
Significant Formation Water
Diffusion controlled
BBT
Mixing controlled
ABT
Approaching plateau at ~150,000 ppm
Well 2 had 25% more load fluid pumped Leading to lower slope and
later plateau
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Formation Breakthrough
Slide 40SALINITY RESPONSE – SOUTH PEMBINA CARDIUMTIGHT OIL
• No online water reported – thought to be negligible from off-sets
• Salinity response appears diffusion dominated both BBT and ABT
• Interpretation limited by data quality
• Plateau appears to be reached at ~ 20,000 ppm – likely below connate water salinity
Diffusion controlled throughout
Plateau reached ~20,000 ppmPoor data?
Well 1 ramps up Faster
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Formation Breakthrough
Formation Breakthrough
Slide 41SALINITY RESPONSE – HOADLEY GLAUCONITETIGHT GAS
• WGR signature suggest formation water production
• Early-time salinity response suggests possible measurement issues – missing BBT diffusion?
• ABT salinity response dominated diffusion
• Variable plateau reached – possibly due to fracture complexity and extent of formation water
Significant Formation Water
Measurement issues? –missing impact of BBT
diffusion
Variable plateau reached
Mixing likely dominant ABT
Well 1 ramps up faster
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 42SALINITY MODEL DEVELOPMENT – FULLY COUPLEDAPPROACH (LINEAR FRACTURES)
Repetitive Element
Matrix
Matrix
Matrix
Matrix
A-D-RMass Transfer
Fracture
A-D-RMass Transfer
A-D-RMass Transfer
A-D-RMass Transfer
A-D-RWith Matrix
Inflow
No
Flux
No
Flux
No
Flux
No
Flux
ye/2 wf/2z = 𝟎𝟎
xf
x = 𝟎𝟎 xe
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 43SALINITY MODEL DEVELOPMENT – FULLY COUPLEDAPPROACH (LINEAR FRACTURES)
Matrix: Linear Advection-Diffusion-Reaction Equation𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚 𝑧𝑧, 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡= 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕2𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝜕𝜕𝑧𝑧2
−𝑞𝑞𝑤𝑤,𝑚𝑚 𝑡𝑡
𝐴𝐴𝑚𝑚,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕
+ 𝑘𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚Accumulation Diffusion/
DispersionReaction/Dissolution
Fractures: Linear Advection-Diffusion-Reaction-InflowAdvection
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡
= 𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡𝜕𝜕2𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕2
−𝑞𝑞𝑤𝑤,𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡𝐴𝐴𝑓𝑓,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕
− 𝑘𝑘 𝑡𝑡 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 +∅𝑚𝑚,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡∅𝑓𝑓,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡
𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚⁄𝑤𝑤𝑓𝑓 2
𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝜕𝜕𝑧𝑧
𝑧𝑧= ⁄𝑦𝑦𝑒𝑒 2
Accumulation Diffusion/Dispersion
Matrix-Fracture TransferAdvection Adsorption/Precipitation
Initial Condition:𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡 = 0 = 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚Boundary Conditions: 1) No Flux at Center of Matrix Block − �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓
𝜕𝜕𝑚𝑚 𝑧𝑧=0= 0
2) Contnuity at M − F Int − 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚 𝑧𝑧 = 𝑦𝑦𝑒𝑒2
, 𝑡𝑡 = 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓
Matrix Initial and Boundary Conditions
Initial Condition:𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕, 𝑡𝑡 = 0 = 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝑚𝑚Fracture Initial and Boundary Conditions
Boundary Conditions: 1) MB at Well − 𝑉𝑉𝑤𝑤,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡 �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡 𝑚𝑚=0
= −𝐴𝐴𝑤𝑤,𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡 𝐷𝐷𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡 �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚=0
→ �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚=0
= 0 for 𝑉𝑉𝑊𝑊 = 0
2) No Flux or Constant Point Source - �𝜕𝜕𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓𝜕𝜕𝑡𝑡 𝑚𝑚=𝑚𝑚𝑓𝑓
= 0 OR 𝐶𝐶𝑓𝑓 𝜕𝜕𝑓𝑓, 𝑡𝑡 = 𝐶𝐶𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚
Slide 44UNCOUPLED SALINITY MODEL – ADVECTION-DIFFUSION-REACTION WITH STATIC BOUNDARY CONDITION
Extent of adsorption in fracture impacts max concentration
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 45UNCOUPLED SALINITY MODEL – ADVECTION-DIFFUSIONWITH REACTIVE BOUNDARY CONDITION
Increasing rate of surface reaction causes solution
to approach diffusion with static BC at CDmi (0,t) = 1
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 46UNCOUPLED SALINITY MODEL – ADVECTION-DIFFUSIONWITH REACTIVE BOUNDARY CONDITION
Increasing rate of surface reaction causes salinity to
increase more rapidly
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 47
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
WO
R (S
TB/S
TB)
Time (days)
NE BC Montney Long-Term WOR vs Time
NE BC MNTN Hybrid 1 NE BC MNTN Hybrid 2 NE BC MNTN Hybrid 3
Significant Formation Water
WATER RECOVERY – NE BC MONTNEY TIGHT OIL
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%72
Hou
rs
7 D
ays
14 D
ays
30 D
ays
90 D
ays
72 H
ours
7 D
ays
14 D
ays
30 D
ays
90 D
ays
72 H
ours
7 D
ays
14 D
ays
30 D
ays
90 D
ays
NE BC MNTN N2 Hybrid 1 NE BC MNTN N2 Hybrid 2 NE BC MNTN N2 Hybrid 3
Oil
Rec
over
y (M
STB
)
Wat
er R
ecov
ery
(%)
NE BC Montney Fluid Recovery
Water Recovery % Oil Recovery Volume
Slide 48
18 StagesSlickwater/Linear Gel Hybrid
22.9 MSTB Load10 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
18 StagesSlickwater/Linear Gel Hybrid
34.4 MSTB Load11 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
33 StagesSlickwater/Linear Gel Hybrid
61.3 MSTB Load4.5 Day Shut-InPlanar Fractures
WATER RECOVERY – NE BC MONTNEY TIGHT OIL
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
WG
R (S
TB/M
MSC
F)
Time (days)
NW AB Montney Long-Term WGR vs Time
NW AB MNTN N2 Foam 1 NW AB MNTN N2 Foam 2NW AB MNTN N2 Xlink 1 NW AB MNTN N2 Xlink 2
WATER RECOVERY – NW AB MONTNEY LIQUIDS-RICHTIGHT
Slide 49
Minimal Formation WaterPossible Frac
Communication With Water-Bearing Formation
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0100200300400500600700800900
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
72 H
ours
7 D
ays
14 D
ays
30 D
ays
90 D
ays
72 H
ours
7 D
ays
14 D
ays
30 D
ays
90 D
ays
72 H
ours
7 D
ays
14 D
ays
30 D
ays
90 D
ays
72 H
ours
7 D
ays
14 D
ays
30 D
ays
90 D
ays
NW AB MNTN N2Foam 1
NW AB MNTN N2Foam 2
NW AB MNTN N2XLink 1
NW AB MNTN N2XLink 2
Gas
Rec
over
y (M
MSC
F)
Wat
er R
ecov
ery
(%)
NW AB Montney Fluid Recovery
Water Recovery % Gas Recovery Volume
WATER RECOVERY – NW AB MONTNEY LIQUIDS-RICHTIGHT GAS
Slide 50
12 StagesN2 Foam
3.6 MSTB Load6 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
12 StagesN2 Foam
3.9 MSTB Load4 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
13 StagesN2 XLink Gel
11.2 MSTB Load4.5 Day Shut-InPlanar Fractures
13 StagesN2 XLink Gel
11.1 MSTB Load5 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
WO
R (S
TB/S
TB)
Time (days)
Central AB Montney Long-Term WOR vs Time
Central AB MNTN Foam 1 Central AB MNTN Foam 2
WATER RECOVERY – CENTRAL AB MONTNEY VOLATILETIGHT OIL
Slide 51
Significant Formation Water
Spikes in water production –measurement problems or frac’d
into water-bearing zone
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
72Hours
7 Days 14Days
30Days
90Days
72Hours
7 Days 14Days
30Days
90Days
Central AB MNTN N2 Foam 1 Central AB MNTN N2 Foam 2
Oil
Rec
over
y (M
STB
)
Wat
er R
ecov
ery
(%)
Central AB Montney Fluid Recovery
Water Recovery % Oil Recovery Volume
WATER RECOVER – CENTRAL AB MONTNEY VOLATILETIGHT OIL
Slide 52
23 StagesN2 Foam
25.6 MSTB Load3 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
20 StagesN2 Foam
30.5 MSTB Load1.5 Day Shut-InPlanar Fractures
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
WATER RECOVERY – SOUTH PEMBINA CARDIUM TIGHT OILSlide 53
Long-Term Water Data Not Gathered – Appears Minimal Based on Offset Production
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
72 Hours 5 days 72 Hours 5 days
South Pembina CRDM Foam 1 South Pembina CRDM Foam 1
Oil
Rec
over
y (M
STB
)
Wat
er R
ecov
ery
(%)
South Pembina Cardium Fluid Recovery
Water Recovery % Oil Recovery Volume
WATER RECOVERY – SOUTH PEMBINA CARDIUM TIGHT OILSlide 54
14 StagesN2 Foam
9.8 MSTB Load6 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
14 StagesN2 Foam
15.8 MSTB Load9 Day Shut-In
Planar Fractures
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
WG
R (S
TB/M
MSC
F)
Time (days)
Hoadley Glauc Long-Term WGR vs Time
Hoadley Glauc N2 Foam 1 Hoadley Glauc N2 Foam 2
WATER RECOVERY – HOADLEY GLAUCONITE TIGHT GASSlide 55
Significant Formation Water
Spikes in water production –measurement problems or frac’d
into water-bearing zone
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
72Hours
7 Days 14 Days30 Days90 Days 72Hours
7 Days 14 Days30 Days90 Days
Central AB MNTN N2 Foam 1 Central AB MNTN N2 Foam 2
Gas
Rec
over
y (M
MSC
F)
Wat
er R
ecov
ery
(%)
Hoadley Glauc Fluid Recovery
Water Recovery % Gas Recovery Volume
Slide 56
12 StagesN2 Foam
4.3 MSTB Load1 Day Shut-In
Planar/Complex Fractures
12 StagesN2 Foam
4.3 MSTB Load1 Day Shut-In
Planar/Complex Fractures
WATER RECOVERY – HOADLEY GLAUCONITE TIGHT GAS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
WG
R (S
TB/M
Msc
f)
Time (days)
Marcellus Shale Long-Term WGR vs Time
Marcellus Slickwater 1 Marcellus Slickwater 2
WATER RECOVERY – MARCELLUS SHALE GASSlide 57
Negligible Formation Water
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
0
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100
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200
250
300
350
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
72Hours
7 Days 14 Days30 Days60 Days 72Hours
7 Days 14 Days30 Days60 Days
Marcellus Shale Slickwater 1 Marcellus Shale Slickwater 2
Gas
Rec
over
y Vo
lum
e
Wat
er R
ecov
ery
(%)
Marcellus Shale Fluid Recovery
Water Recovery % Gas Recovery Volume
Slide 58
12 StagesSlickwater
84.3 MSTB Load60 Day Shut-In
Complex Fractures
12 StagesSlickwater
82.7 MSTB Load35 Day Shut-In
Complex Fractures
WATER RECOVERY – MARCELLUS SHALE GAS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
Slide 59
UNDERSTANDING LOAD FLUID RECOVERY
1. Long shut-ins reduce recovery Loss of frac energy Gravity segregation in fractures
2. Foam fracs increase water recovery Maximum frac energy Minimum water requirement Slickwater typically has lowest energy/recovery
3. Fracture complexity reduces recovery Water retention in secondary fractures (low conductivity)
4. Shales reservoirs have low load fluid recovery relative to sandstone/siltstone reservoirs Water imbibition into matrix due to capillary pressure Water intake by clays
5. High drawdowns typically increase load fluid recovery May damage fractures and impact long-term performance
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
QUANTITATIVE FLOWBACK ANALYSIS/SALINITY MODELING • JESSE WILLIAMS-KOVACS
IMPACT OF HYDROCARBON BREAKTHROUGH AND SHUT-INSSlide 60
Single-phase flow
Gas Break-through reduces xf,eff
Shut-in reduces xf,eff
Example From SPE 119894
Tight Gas
Shut-in reduces xf,eff
Tight Gas Condensate
a)
Gas Break-through reduces xf,eff
Oil Break-through reduces xf,eff
Tight Oil
b)
c)
d)
Slide 61
Flowback Operations Impact Long-Term Productivity
IMPACT OF HYDROCARBON BREAKTHROUGH AND SHUT-INS