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Food choices and diet costs: Food choices and diet costs: An economic analysis An economic analysis Adam Drewnowski, PhD Adam Drewnowski, PhD Director, Center for Public Health Nutrition Director, Center for Public Health Nutrition Director, NIH Roadmap Center for Obesity Research Director, NIH Roadmap Center for Obesity Research Professor of Epidemiology and Medicine Professor of Epidemiology and Medicine School of Public Health and Community Medicine School of Public Health and Community Medicine University of Washington University of Washington Poverty and Obesity: Disparities in Diet and Health Poverty and Obesity: Disparities in Diet and Health . . ECOR Interdisciplinary Forum, Seattle, WA, March 2, 2007 ECOR Interdisciplinary Forum, Seattle, WA, March 2, 2007

Food choices and diet costs: An economic analysis · 2017. 4. 1. · Drewnowski & Specter, Am J Clin Nutr 2004;79:6 -16. The Energy Density curve Drewnowski and Specter AJCN 2004:79:6-16

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  • Food choices and diet costs: Food choices and diet costs:

    An economic analysisAn economic analysis

    Adam Drewnowski, PhDAdam Drewnowski, PhD

    Director, Center for Public Health NutritionDirector, Center for Public Health Nutrition

    Director, NIH Roadmap Center for Obesity ResearchDirector, NIH Roadmap Center for Obesity Research

    Professor of Epidemiology and MedicineProfessor of Epidemiology and Medicine

    School of Public Health and Community MedicineSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine

    University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington

    Poverty and Obesity: Disparities in Diet and HealthPoverty and Obesity: Disparities in Diet and Health..ECOR Interdisciplinary Forum, Seattle, WA, March 2, 2007ECOR Interdisciplinary Forum, Seattle, WA, March 2, 2007

  • Disparities in diet and health:Disparities in diet and health:A new focus on money and timeA new focus on money and time

    Some basic points: Some basic points: •• EnergyEnergy--dense foods cost lessdense foods cost less

    •• NutrientNutrient--rich foods cost morerich foods cost more

    •• Healthier diets cost more per MJHealthier diets cost more per MJ

    •• There are inequities in food accessThere are inequities in food access

    •• Consumer food choices are driven byConsumer food choices are driven by

    •• Taste, cost, convenience, Taste, cost, convenience,

    health, varietyhealth, variety

  • Consumers care about food costsConsumers care about food costs

  • Some health professionals do not

  • Are healthy diets available to all?Are healthy diets available to all?

    Is this the perfect diet…………or is it economic elitism?

    The Harvard SPH Food Pyramid

  • Taste, cost, convenience = sugar + fat

    Food choices

    Energy density

    Health

    Taste

    Cost

    Variety

    Time/Con-venience

    Obesity

    Grains,Sugar/fat

    Sugar/fatGrains,

    Sugar/fat

    Grains,Sugar/fat

    Obesity

  • First questionFirst question

    Do energyDo energy--dense foods cost less?dense foods cost less?

    •• Energy density defined as MJ/kgEnergy density defined as MJ/kg

    •• Energy cost defined as $/MJ (Energy cost defined as $/MJ (€€/MJ)/MJ)

    •• Energy and nutrients from databasesEnergy and nutrients from databases

    •• Mean national food prices in France Mean national food prices in France

  • 0

    10

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    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

    water content (g/100g)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    MJ

    /kg

    )

    Fats Sw eets Grains Vegetables Fruit Meat Dairy

    grains

    butter

    oil

    vegetablesfruitPotato chips

    meats

    Energy density (MJ/kg) depends on thewater content of foods

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

    spreads

    Log scale!

  • 0

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    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    soft drinks

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    soft drinks

    grains

    bread

    pasta

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kcal/

    100g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    milk

    grainscheese

    yogurtpasta

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    milk

    grainscheese

    meat

    pasta

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    milk

    grainscheese

    fish/shellfish

    foie gras

    pasta

    meat

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    milk

    grainscheese

    fish/shellfishpasta

    meat

    vegetables

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    milk

    grainscheese

    fruit

    fish/shellfish

    vegetables

    nuts

    pasta

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    milk

    grainscheese

    fruit

    fish/shellfish

    vegetables

    nuts

    pasta

    Wine/alcohol

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost (Euros/1000kcal) – INCA study

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost (Euros/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    Disparity in food costs:Are “junk” foods simply cheaper?

    sugar

    desserts

    soda

    grains

    fruit

    fish

    vegetables

    High glycemic IndexHigh glycemic loadHydrogenated fatsTrans fatty acidsAdded sugarsAdded fatsEnergy dense foodsEmpty caloriesMinimal nutritional value

    Low energy densityHigh satiating power AntioxidantsPhytochemicalsFiberCLAVitaminsMinerals

  • Second questionSecond question

    Are energyAre energy--rich foods nutrientrich foods nutrient--poor?poor?

    •• EnergyEnergy--dense foods cost lessdense foods cost less

    •• Grains, fats, oils are more affordableGrains, fats, oils are more affordable

    •• EnergyEnergy--dense foods taste better dense foods taste better

    •• Palatability = energy densityPalatability = energy density

    •• Are lowAre low--cost, energycost, energy--dense foods low in dense foods low in

    key nutrients?key nutrients?

  • We need to create a nutrient density score for foods:

    • Nutrient Density Score is the ratio between the amount of nutrients in a food and the energy that the food provides

    NDS = (NAS/ED) * 100

    • Nutrient Adequacy Score is based on percent DVsfor N key nutrients as provided by 100 g of food

    NAS = (ΣΣΣΣ (Nutrienti/DVi) * 100)/N• Nutrient-to-price ratio NPR = NAS/price per 100g

    Work by Work by DarmonDarmon, Drewnowski, Monsivais, Drewnowski, Monsivais

  • 0

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    0.1 10 1000

    Nutrient Density Score/100 kcal

    En

    erg

    y D

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    Yes – energy dense foods have lower Nutrient Density Scores (NDS/100kcal)

    Fats/oils

    Darmon, Darmon, Maillot, Drewnowski JADA 2005

    F+V

    sugar

  • 0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    0.01 0.1 1 10

    Price (Euros/100g)

    Nu

    trie

    nt

    Ad

    eq

    ua

    cy

    Sc

    ore

    /10

    0g

    All foods F+V

    Higher nutrient-density (per 100g) usually means higher cost (also per 100g)

    Darmon, Darmon, Maillot, Drewnowski JADA 2005

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    10 100 1000

    Nutrient Density Score (NNR version)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    MJ

    /kg

    )

    vegetables fruit

    NNR scores for vegetables and fruit

    applesaucegrape juice

    raisins

    fried potatoes

    potato chips

    canned pears

    cantaloupemango

    tangerinesstrawberries

    grapefruitkiwi

    spinachromaine

    broccolitomato

    avocadoblueberries

    potatoes

    OJ

  • Third questionThird question::

    Do energyDo energy--dense dense dietsdiets cost less?cost less?

    •• French INCA study conducted by AFSSAFrench INCA study conducted by AFSSA

    •• Sample of 1,985 adults; 7Sample of 1,985 adults; 7--day food diariesday food diaries

    •• National prices for 650 foodsNational prices for 650 foods

    •• Diet costs measured in Diet costs measured in €€/d/d

    •• Energy cost measured in Energy cost measured in €€//10MJ10MJ

  • 0

    10

    20

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    40

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    70

    80

    90

    100

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    Energy density (KJ/g)

    Die

    t c

    os

    t (E

    uro

    s/w

    ee

    k)

    EI1

    At each intake quintile, At each intake quintile,

    higher energy density = lower cost higher energy density = lower cost ((€€/wk)/wk)

    INCA dataINCA data

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

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    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    Energy density (KJ/g)

    Die

    t c

    os

    t (E

    uro

    s/w

    ee

    k)

    EI1

    EI2

    At each intake quintile, At each intake quintile,

    higher energy density = lower cost higher energy density = lower cost ((€€/wk)/wk)

    INCA dataINCA data

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    Energy density (KJ/g)

    Die

    t c

    os

    t (E

    uro

    s/w

    ee

    k)

    EI1

    EI2

    At each intake quintile, At each intake quintile,

    higher energy density = lower cost higher energy density = lower cost ((€€/wk)/wk)

    EI3

    INCA dataINCA data

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    Energy density (KJ/g)

    Die

    t c

    os

    t (E

    uro

    s/w

    ee

    k)

    EI1

    EI2

    At each intake quintile, At each intake quintile,

    higher energy density = lower cost higher energy density = lower cost ((€€/wk)/wk)

    EI3

    EI4

    INCA dataINCA data

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    0 2 4 6 8 10

    Energy density (KJ/g)

    Die

    t c

    os

    t (E

    uro

    s/w

    ee

    k)

    EI1

    EI2

    At each intake quintile, At each intake quintile,

    higher energy density = lower cost higher energy density = lower cost ((€€/wk)/wk)

    EI3

    EI4

    EI5

    INCA dataINCA data

  • Spend less = Eat moreSpend less = Eat moreAre obesity and poverty linked by the low cost of energyAre obesity and poverty linked by the low cost of energy--

    dense foods that are both palatable and convenient? dense foods that are both palatable and convenient?

    Drewnowski & Specter, Am J Drewnowski & Specter, Am J ClinClin NutrNutr 2004;79:62004;79:6--1616

  • The Energy Density curve

    Drewnowski and Specter AJCN 2004:79:6-16

    0

    2 5

    Food costs (log)

    Sugar

    fat

    Energydensity

    Food energyrequirement

    Food energy

    Low quality High quality

    The paradox – it is possible to spend less and get moreBut the calories will be refined grains, added sugar and fat

  • 0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

    Energy intake (MJ/week)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    KJ

    /g)

    As dietary ED increases As dietary ED increases ––

    so do total energy intakesso do total energy intakes

    INCA dataINCA data

  • Last question:Last question:

    What happens when you stratify What happens when you stratify

    diets by energy diets by energy costcost??

    Food expenditures can be a proxy for SESFood expenditures can be a proxy for SES

  • An epidemiological dogma fallsAn epidemiological dogma falls

    The unshakeable relationship The unshakeable relationship

    between nutrients and calories between nutrients and calories

    disappearsdisappears

  • A principle of nutritional epidemiology

    • “Intakes of virtually all nutrients are positively correlated with total caloric intake”

    • “People who consume more total food have higher nutrient intakes”

    • “Nutrient intakes are biologically important in relation to caloric intakes”

    • Hence the need to correct for energy in epidemiologic studies

    •Willett and Stampfer in Nutritional Epidemiology, 2nd Ed, OUP 1998

  • The INCA (1998) data set

    • INCA is a nationally representative study of 1,985 French adults

    • Dietary intakes based on 7-day diet records.

    • More than 850 foods in the nutrient database

    • Mean national food prices supplied by the French government (INSEE); by market research agencies (SECODIP), as well as Paris websites

    • Diet costs estimated by multiplying unit price for each item by portion size and summing over all foods consumed by that person

    • That is the estimated cost of the diet – assuming that all foods are purchased and prepared at home

  • LowLow--cost diets: cost diets: Spend less Spend less –– but eat morebut eat more

    0.0001290277255237Folates (µµµµg/day)

    0.00012969290828242287ß-Carotene (mg/day)

    0.00018.07.57.26.9Vitamin E (mg/day)

    0.00012.92.82.42.2Vitamin D (µµµµg/day)

    0.000196857965Vitamin C (mg/day)

    0.00018.28.79.09.4Energy Intake (MJ/d)

    0.00015.76.06.16.4Energy Density (MJ/kg)

    0.0001Q4 (9.0) Q3 (6.9)Q2 (5.9)Q1 (4.9)

    P AnovaQuartiles of energy cost (€/10MJ)

    AndrieuAndrieu, , DarmonDarmon, Drewnowski, EJCN, 2006, Drewnowski, EJCN, 2006

  • 80

    100

    120

    140

    Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

    % o

    f Q

    1

    Energy Intake

    Vitamin C

    Vitamin Dß CaroteneFolates

    4.9 €/10MJ 5.9 €/10MJ 6.9 €/10MJ 9.0 €/10MJ4.5 €/d 5.3 €/d 6.0 €/d 7.4 €/d

    Energy Density

    Vit E

    Low cost diets: more energy, fewer nutrients

    Referent diet

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    % diet cost % dietary energy

    ValVal--dede--Marne: Contribution of Marne: Contribution of foodfood groups to groups to dietdiet energyenergy andand to to dietdiet costcost (Drewnowski & Darmon, AJCN, 2005)

    � The energy/price hierarchy is such that the lowest-cost food groups contribute the most to energy intakes

    Meat/Fish F+V Dairy Grains Sugar Fats/oils

  • Final question:Final question:

    What about food prices in Seattle?What about food prices in Seattle?

    •• We collected food prices in 2004 and 2006We collected food prices in 2004 and 2006

    •• Same supermarkets, same foods, same Same supermarkets, same foods, same

    package sizespackage sizes

    •• The foods were divided by energy densityThe foods were divided by energy density

    •• Low ED = vegetables and fruitLow ED = vegetables and fruit

    •• High ED = grains, sugars and fatsHigh ED = grains, sugars and fats

    •• Manuscript (Monsivais et al.) submitted to Manuscript (Monsivais et al.) submitted to

    JADAJADA

  • 0

    2

    4

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    10

    0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000

    Energy cost ($/1000kcal)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    kc

    al/

    10

    0g

    )

    oil

    butter

    sugar

    desserts

    milk

    grainscheese

    fruit

    fish/shellfish

    vegetables

    nuts

    pasta

    Energy density (kcal/100g) and energy cost ($/1000kcal) –Seattle 2006 Supermarket prices

  • Quintiles of Energy Density

    2004-2

    00

    6 P

    rice

    In

    flati

    on

    (%

    )

    *

    1 2 3 4 5-10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    ]

    ]

    ]

    ]

    ]

    The rising cost of low-energy-density foods

    Fruits and vegetablesFruits and vegetables

    Fats and sweetsFats and sweets

    Monsivais et al. submittedMonsivais et al. submitted

  • Access to healthy foodsAccess to healthy foods

    •• AffordabilityAffordability

    •• EnergyEnergy--dense foods are cheaperdense foods are cheaper

    •• AccessibiityAccessibiity

    •• EnergyEnergy--dense foods are closerdense foods are closer

    •• ConvenienceConvenience

    •• Fast foods take less time to prepareFast foods take less time to prepare

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    10 100 1000 10000 100000

    Energy cost (log cents/10MJ)

    En

    erg

    y d

    en

    sit

    y (

    MJ

    /kg

    )

    oilshortening

    margarine

    sugar cheese

    koolAid

    beans

    mayonnaise lettuce

    potatoes

    fresh tomatoescrackers

    ground beef

    white bread

    milk

    eggs

    zucchini squash

    green peppers

    What can you get for $100/week for a family of 4. The USDA Thrifty Food Plan: 1999

  • Is obesity an economic issue?Is obesity an economic issue?

  • A challenge for public health nutritionA challenge for public health nutrition

    Less expensive More expensive

    • High-fat energy-dense foods are often the cheapest options for the consumer •Editorial, The Lancet January 31, 2004

    • If a meal of grilled chicken, broccoli and fresh fruit costs more and is less convenient than a burger and fries, the battle against obesity will be lost •Editorial, The Lancet January 31, 2004

  • Food choices and diet costs: Food choices and diet costs:

    An economic analysisAn economic analysis

    Adam Drewnowski, PhDAdam Drewnowski, PhD

    Director, Center for Public Health NutritionDirector, Center for Public Health Nutrition

    Director, NIH Roadmap Center for Obesity ResearchDirector, NIH Roadmap Center for Obesity Research

    Professor of Epidemiology and MedicineProfessor of Epidemiology and Medicine

    School of Public Health and Community MedicineSchool of Public Health and Community Medicine

    University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington

    Poverty and Obesity: Disparities in Diet and HealthPoverty and Obesity: Disparities in Diet and Health..ECOR Interdisciplinary Forum, Seattle, WA, March 2, 2007ECOR Interdisciplinary Forum, Seattle, WA, March 2, 2007