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SINGTEL REGIONAL MOBILE INVESTOR DAY 3 DECEMBER 2008
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INDONESIAN TELCO INDUSTRY
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INDONESIAN TELECOM – Low Market Penetration
Big business opportunities:
• high productive age population
• continuous decline of handset price
Telecom Subscribers : 156 million
Full-mobility Penetration Rate : 56%
Estimated Penetration until 2010 : 150 million
Fixed line
8.6
Fixed-wireless
16.6
Full-mobility
130.9
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Subscribers Penetration rate
CAGR 00-07 = 59%
Source : Company Data & Market Research
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INDONESIAN TELECOM – Players in the Country September 2008
The Big 3 carry 82% of total
cellular subscribers
46% of full-mobility market
46% of full-mobility market
Note:
1. (e) = estimation from market research. The rest is taken from company releases.
2. Revenue shares are amongst big 3 only for 9M08. Revenues are calculated net of discounts.
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COMPETITIVE CLIMATE – Recent Developments
Q3-2007 - PRESENTBEFORE Q3-2007
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Low tariff – high MOU
Tariff GSM & tariff FWA are comparable
The Big 3 tariff is around US 2 cents
Network development focuses more on
increasing capacity and quality
High stimulation on data/contents or 3G-
related usage through aggressive promos
High tariff – low MOU
Tariff GSM > tariff FWA
The Big 3 tariff was around US 10 cents
Network development focused on rolling out
to new areas
Subtle 3G-related promos
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From Market Leader To Service Leader
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Solid shareholder’ structure brings stronger company value…
65% 35%
3 BOC membersPresiden DirectorFinance Director
Planning & Development Director
2 BOC membersCommerce DirectorOperation Director
Joint Venture Between Strong Incumbent and Dominant Regional Operator
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Complete Product Range Offering Various Services & Programs
------- J U L Y 2 0 0 8 -------
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simPATI price reduced40% from Rp 25/sec to Rp
15/sec on-net.Depending on the time of call,
customers can enjoy Rp 0.5/sec afterwards.
SMS Asik and Nelpon SipKartu As offered SMS packages
ranging from Rp 20 – Rp 50/SMS and Call promo with
only Rp 6.5/sec to all operators & PSTN.
Reduction on GPRS tariff to
Rp 5/kB from Rp 12/kBFor
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Complete Product Range Offering Various Services & Programs
------- A U G U S T 2 0 0 8 -------
Kartu As SpeakSpeakKartu As customers in Eastern Indonesia and Sumatera can
enjoy 1 hour talk (3,600 seconds) on-net by registering
Rp 3,000 which can be used from 02:00-17:00
TELKOMSEL BlackBerry@ Internet Service
is available for all Telkomsel’s
customers with unlimited
capacity (Rp 180,000/30 days).
Telkomsel 3G Babycam,
a video-surveillance-based
technology enables users to
monitor any valuable things
through mobile phones.
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Complete Product Range Offering Various Services & Programs
------- S E P T E M B E R 2 0 0 8 -------
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Kartu As Fressequipped with mobile
advertising platform, whereby users can receive different
information according to the category they chose.
simPATI TALKMANIAfor simPATI users in Greater Jakarta, Java, Bali and NTB.
By registering Rp 2,000, 1.5 hours free on-net call is
earned to be used from 00:00-18:00
simPATI users now have longer active period vouchers with
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Complete Product Range Offering Various Services & Programs
------- OCTOBER 2 0 0 8 -------
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Rp 0.5/second UnlimitedThis promo is extended until
Nov 30, 2008. Modified duration for time-band 2 and
off-net call.
Kartu As 1 Get 1Call/video call (on-net) for 1
minute and directly get 1 minute free, scheme repeats until end of call. Off-net call
Rp 13/second flat all day.
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Complete Product Range Offering Various Services & Programs
------- NOVEMBER 2 0 0 8 -------
Forever Kartu AsBy making a call/SMS minimum
Rp 10 usage within active period, Kartu As and Kartu As Fress customers earn another
30 days active period.
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STRATEGY – Support MOU Increase by Maintaining High Quality Network
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Total Outgoing MOU(billion minutes)
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5
10
15
20
25
30
Q3-2007 Q4-2007 Q1-2008 Q2-2008 Q3-2008
Voice Revenue Per Minute (in Rupiah)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Q3-2007 Q4-2007 Q1-2008 Q2-2008 Q3-2008
1 2
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5
12
3
4
5
1 Number 3 player started the price war
2 Telkomsel launched simPATI PeDe and has successfully met the company target for 2007
3 MOU increased 172% QoQ, which caused network quality issue
4 Telkomsel built its capacity to support the MOU increase, applying cyclical scheme
5 Back in the competition with simPATI PeDe Rp 15/sec and stronger fundamental
MOU Q3-2008 QoQ due to company’s focus on capacity building
The network was able to absorb at least 150-200 MOU/subscriber
Revenue per minute has gone down to Rp 200 range due to simPATI price cut, introduction of 4 time-bands, 50% cut on Kartu As price, and lower SMS tariff since April 2008.
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BUSINESS FUNDAMENTAL
BUSINESS FUNDAMENTALS
MARKET STANDPOINT
SUPPLY STANDPOINT
Comparable tariff
60.5 million subscribers
12.6 net adds in 9 months
Successful simPATI Pede21% growth revenue YoY
Successful traffic delivery
Sufficient capacity and quality
Network consolidations
Opex growth efficiency
New businessT-Cash, Broadband, Content
Successful new techologies
EBITDA 65%
Profitability150k/customer
Financing : DER = 40%
Capex/Line :- Multi vendors (lower price)
- Local products ($ lower)
Telkomsel Merah Putih
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COMPANY’S ACTIONS – Have Brought Good simPATI Results
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simPATIRevenue (in bn rupiah)
5,360 5,511
13,67516,585
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Q2-08 Q3-08 9M-07 9M-08
3%
21%
PRICE CUT
NET ADDQ3 2008
NET ADD9M 2008
VOICE SMS
-30% -65% 53 K 34 KkartuHALO
-47% -67% 8.5 Mn 14.1 MnsimPATI
(1.5 Mn)-25% -40% 488 KKartu As
simPATIMOU (in mn minutes)
51,036
11,018
23,495
8,710
010,000
20,00030,000
40,00050,000
60,000
Q2-08 Q3-08 9M-07 9M-08
170%
363%
simPATISMS (in mn records)
8,57410,451
12,708
23,918
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Q2-08 Q3-08 9M-07 9M-08
22%
88%
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FINANCIAL & OPERATIONAL RESULTS – 9M 2008
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9M 2007 9M 2008
OPERATIONAL DATANetwork Data
BTS installed (total) unit 19,767 25,089 27%
Net add BTS unit 3,710 4,231 14%
Overall network capacity mln subs 47.9 62.4 30%
Populated Area 95%
Customer base subs (000) 44,457 60,503 36%
Postpaid subs (000) 1,891 1,947 3%
Prepaid subs (000) 42,566 58,556 38%
Net adds subs (000) 8,860 12,613 42%
Postpaid subs (000) 229 34 -85%
Prepaid subs (000) 8,631 12,580 46%
MOU (minutes of use) billion min 17.6 58.8 234%
ARPU - blended IDR (000) 79 60 -24%
Number of Employees 4,037 4,074 1%
FINANCIAL RESULTSOperating revenues (net) IDR bln 26,497 27,391 3%
Operating expenses IDR bln 12,198 14,665 20%
EBITDA IDR bln 18,521 17,701 -4%
Net income IDR bln 9,721 9,026 -7%
EBITDA margin 70% 65% -5%
Net income margin 37% 33% -4%
ROA 33% 27% -6%
ROE 58% 54% -4%
Growth Efforts to manage opex growth have paid off
YoY 2008 < YoY 2007(Rp 2.47 tn) (Rp 3.30 tn)
Personnel growth 95% (233 bn)
O&M growth 7% (106 bn)
G&A growth 36% (11 bn)
Marketing growth 16% (31 bn)
Other opr. exp. growth 62% (159 bn)
Depreciation exp. growth 32% (359 bn)
Total oper. exp. growth 25% (836 bn)
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OUTLOOK 2008
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CUSTOMER BASE GROWTH 12-15 million customers
REVENUES will grow at low single digit
EBITDA MARGIN around 5% decline
CAPEX around US$ 1.5 billion
Telkomsel remains focus on revenue growth
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THANKYOU
THANKTHANKYOUYOU
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