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FORECASTING THE FUTURE. BY: Christian Sango Jonathan Bautista Arturo Ensalada Johnny Anuego Jeffrey John Catacutan. Forecasting the Future. MITOCHONDRIA ON PIAPI: An Investigation on community’s Discernible Features. How we gathered the data?. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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FORECASTING THE FUTURE
BY:Christian Sango
Jonathan BautistaArturo EnsaladaJohnny Anuego
Jeffrey John Catacutan
Forecasting the Future MITOCHONDRIA ON PIAPI: An
Investigation on community’s Discernible Features
How we gathered the data? First, we come up with a plan and we
choose a certain barangay to be the focus of our study, and we’ve decided to study the population of Barangay 21-C
Second, we choose different tasks to perform such as the Data/Research analyst, Demographer, Statistician, Mathematician and Multi-Media Designer.
History of Barangay 21-C (Piapi Boulevard) Located along Barangay 31-C Boulevard, Davao
City Started as a squatters area in the late 1940’s and
early 50’s In 1981 their was an accident happened in which
all the houses were burned out. After that accident the government awarded the land to the residents.
Majority of its population are composed of small scale businessman.
Tabular Presentation of Population According to Age Group
Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Children 931 1011 1250 1517 1917 2197
Adolescence 1504 1605 1403 2114 2773 3993
Adult 378 411 517 699 794 891
Total 2813 3027 3170 4330 5484 7081
Graphical Presentation of Population According to Age Group
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008
Children
Adolescence
Adult
Tabular Presentation of Over-all Population
Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Total 2813 3027 3170 4330 5484 7081
Graphical presentation of the Overall Population
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Population3-D Column 23-D Column 3
Computations Solution: Formula
P2 = P1 ert
Average constant rate = 0.261725Time = 1 yearYear 2009
P2 = P1 ert = (7081) e 0.261725
= (7081) (1.29917) = 9199
Population Projection from 2009-2013
Year Population
2009 9199
2010 11951
2011 15526
2012 20171
2013 26206
Projective profile of the Population of Barangay 21-C from 2003-2013
Age Group 2003 2013
Children 931 9020
Adolescence 1504 13,389
Adult 378 3,797
Total 2,813 26,206
Projective profile of the Population from 2003 to 2013
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2003 2013
ChildrenAdolescenceAdult
Tabular Presentation of the Top 5 Diseases in year 2003
Age Group Diarrhea Skin Diseases
Dengue Malnutri-
tion
Tubercu
losis
Children 49 53 0 11 0
Adolescence 31 39 1 2 0
Adult 13 7 0 0 39
Total 93 7 0 0 39
Projective profile on the Top 5 Diseases affecting the barangay
Diseases 2003 2013
Diarrhea 93 63
Skin Disease 104 44
Dengue 1 -1
Malnutrition 13 23
Tuberculosis 39 -12
Graphical Presentation of Projective profile on the Top 5 Diseases affecting the barangay
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2003 2013
DiarrheaSkin DiseasesDengueMalnutritionTuberculosis
Analysis & Interpretation of Data After thorough investigation and gathering of data we come
up with the following analysis and interpretation:1. There is a sudden increase in population from year 2003-
20082. There is a constant change in population of adolescence from
2003-2005.3. There is a decrease in population of adolescence between
the year 2004-2005. according to the residents the misunderstanding between the adolescent are very rampant and it results to riot and encounters that sometimes causes death.
Analysis & Interpretation of Data4. The number of adults of the said barangay
is too small compared to the adolescents, this only proves that the life span of the people on that area is short.
5. The great number of adolescence only proves that the labor force of that community is strong.
6. The disease like diarrhea and skin problems are very rampant at all ages.
Analysis & Interpretation of Data7. There are cases of malnutrition in children, there
is an increase of malnutrition cases and it’s growing until 2013.
8. The case of tuberculosis are only present in adults, this shows that TB occurs during adult ages and can be totally eliminated through the help of the Department of Health.
9. There is a decrease in number of cases of all diseases.
ConclusionFrom the result of computations, graphical and tabular presentation of data and analysis of it we conclude that:
1. The population grows exponentially.2. The rate of increase in population of
barangay 21-C is 0.261725.3. Mathematics help us to understand better
on how to compute the growth of population.
Conclusion
4. The increase in population is affected by factors such as time, diseases and change.
5. The increase in population affects the health of the community.
RecommendationsWe recommend the following as initial remedy to
the problems of barangay 21-C:FOR THE GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS1. Must conduct seminar on population education
and inform that it has a big impact on the economy. Focusing on responsible parenthood and natural family planning.
2. Must do something like coming up with a program to help the problem such as health program.
Recommendations
FOR THE CITIZENS
1. They should cooperate with the program of the government.
2. Need to discipline themselves to have peaceful community.
3. A regular visit to health centers.
ReflectionWith the help of this project we develop our
self-confidence, patience and mathematical abilities. We also develop our analytical abilities and skill in multimedia designing.
Through this project we also determine the importance of statistics and mathematics in our daily lives. The gathering of data and by making a survey to a Barangay, our awareness in an urban community expanded.
ReflectionTeamwork is very important to each group
and without this we cannot develop our values to adjust to different situations. We need the cooperation of each member to make our project faster, easier and well-organized.
We learned also on how to deal with other peoples such as the officials and the people in health centers.
References
Population Resource Program, resource Book in Population Education, 1983 pp 97-100
McConnell, J,W. and others (1998). Algebra (Integrated Mathematics), The University of Chicago School of Mathematics Project, Scott, Foresman and Company, Glenview, illinois
Resource persons:
Mrs. Pacita Sevillano
Barangay Captain Odelon Yayo and officials
Barangay health Workers