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Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania Performance influencing variables www.pwc.com/ro

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Page 1: formule de succes pentru cumparaturi in marile centre comericale

Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in RomaniaPerformance influencing variables

www.pwc.com/ro

Page 2: formule de succes pentru cumparaturi in marile centre comericale
Page 3: formule de succes pentru cumparaturi in marile centre comericale

04Executive Summary

10Romania’s Shopping Centre Market

06Economic Context

22Evaluation of Shopping Centres and Definition of Formulas for Success

Contents

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PwC and Sonae Sierra |4

Rapid pre-crisis growth propelled Romania into one of the fastest growing economies in Europe, which spurred high local and foreign investment in a number of industries, including retail.

However, the economic crisis coupled with austerity measures taken by the government in recent years have had a significant negative impact on Romania’s business environment with noticeable drops in the country’s GDP, employment and income. 2011 marked a return of moderate growth despite lingering economic uncertainty.

Modern retail growth in Romania was driven by higher demand due to change in lifestyle, rising discretionary income and higher indebtedness of customers. Consequently, retailers’ expansion plans resulted in a rapid increase of the country’s GLA (Gross Lettable Area) hinging on a high demand for commercial space. In 2012-2013, Romania is expected to extend its now existing GLA , but the shopping centre penetration will still lag far behind the European average. Romania’s modern retail space is likely to further expand hand in hand with the recovery from the global economic and financial situation.

The GDP and GLA indicators are strongly correlated in Europe. Countries with higher GDP per capita show a higher shopping centre penetration. The same correlation is visible in Romania, too. Most of the modern retail space is located in Bucharest and other major cities with high retail penetration and above country average salaries, while some counties/cities with lower income level are noticeably underdeveloped in terms of retail space.

Overall, small sized shopping centres are the most numerous, large and very large centres are mainly concentrated in Bucharest. Shopping centres with a low complexity, i.e. neighbourhood and community centres, represent around 50% of the total number. Regional or super-regional centres are located in larger cities, mainly Bucharest. Recently there has been a notable rise of power centres, i.e. shopping centres that use several high profile anchor tenants as their main attraction.

Shopping centre development was driven by a shortage of (modern) retail space. The result was a fragmented market. Out of 40 top-ranking shopping centres analysed, 5 account for approximately 38% of the total turnover, but only for 21% of the GLA. Moreover, competition has been historically low, ensuring financial success in most cases, despite a relatively low focus on relevant success criteria such as location, accessibility for all means of transport, tenant mix, management experience, catering and leisure components or marketing.

However, our study shows that the best performing shopping centres visibly outperform the average score on all analysed criteria. Smaller centres tend to perform better for criteria such as location and access for various means of transport, but lack a wide selection of catering and leisure options. Larger ones perform better at the latter set of criteria and they tend to have a more diverse assortment mix, but show less accessibility for various means of transport.

The main success criteria resulting from our analysis is professionalism of the shopping centre management. Historically, the management of most centres focused on administrative activities and revealed a convenient and inexpensive approach, but as competition intensifies and customers are expected to become more demanding, a professional approach to management will become increasingly important. Since professional management is deemed the main success criterion, it is important to understand how to define it.

Executive Summary

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5| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

A professional management team does not only care about collection, accounting and proper operation, i.e. security, cleaning, proper functioning and maintenance of the technical equipment, managing the marketing, internet presence, PR, etc. On top of these “everyday tasks”, professional management is about supervising and proactively managing the performance of the business’ clients, i.e. tenants as well as customers. In order to do so, customers’ background, purchase power and purchase behaviour need regular examination, each tenant’s assortment of goods and performance in comparison to another need permanent and steady monitoring, meaning that the targets for marketing and/or tenant mix must be pro-actively managed. A significant trend will be the shift towards experienced, professional managers who can add value in terms of tailored leasing contracts, tenant mix and the creation of a strong shopping-centre identity, shaping a destination and atmosphere customers will long for and enjoy.

Similarly, aspects such as character and identity are expected to become crucial in future retail developments, with shopping centres becoming increasingly complex. Shopping centre management is expected to be responsible for this change.

Moreover, evolving customer demand and behaviour will increase the importance of previously neglected criteria such as appealing design

(exterior as well as interior), adequate and user friendly parking space, quality of public spaces, shopping centre layout and ease of navigation in the shopping centre. While new shopping centres can benefit from this trend, it will be a much stronger challenge to revitalize existing shopping centres in order to ensure their success in the medium and long term.

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PwC and Sonae Sierra |6

The rapid pace of the pre-crisis growth turned Romania into one of the fastest growing economies in Europe and attracted increasing levels of foreign investment in many branches of the economy.

Retail was one of the sectors that benefited most from both foreign and local investment. This was driven by rising demand, in its turn sustained by the diversification of customer needs and behaviours, a rise in discretionary income due to higher wages and the high amount of private loans contracted by consumers.

The economic crisis had significant negative effects on the Romanian business environment. One of the underlying growth drivers before the crisis was excessive consumption sustained by consumer loans; with the credit crunch, consumption fell abruptly. Such an effect, compounded by the economic impact of the austerity measures taken by the government in 2010 and 2011, cascaded into a noticeable economic decline in recent years.

Chart 1. Romanian GDP per capita in 2010 and GDP evolution (bn. EUR, %, EUR/capita)

959

799

769

502

439

328

204

101Moldova

Ukraine

Bulgaria

Romania

Russia

Poland

Hungary

Czech Rep.

416

509

436 439468

500535

573613

+5%

2015f2014f2013f2012f2011e2010200920082007

Gross average monthly salary in Romania (EUR) Gross average monthly salary benchmark (EUR)

2013f

121.8

3.4 %

2012f

120.7

2.1 %

2011e

119.0

1.7 %

2010

116.2

-1.6 %

2009

130.6

-6.6 %

2008

133.9

201020092008

7.3 %

EU - 27 average 24.40

Ukraine 2.18

Bulgaria 4.80

Romania 5.80

Poland 9.27

Hungary 9.70

Czech Rep. 14.20

Slovenia 17.30

Italy 25.70

UK 27.40

Germany 30.30

GDP/Capita benchmark (thousand EUR) Romania’s GDP at market prices and year-to-year real GDP evolution (bn. EUR, %)

101

204

328

439

502

769

799

959

Hungary

Czech Rep.

Moldova

Ukraine

Bulgaria

Romania

Russia

Poland

Net average monthly salary in Romania and real growth rate (EUR) Gross average monthly salary benchmark (EUR)

419.4399.3380.6361.5348.6330.4321.2355.4

2015f2013f

1.6% 1.8%

2014f

1.4%

2012f

1.2%

2011e

0.5%

2010

-3.7%

2009

-1.5%

2008

16.5%

133.9 130.6 116.2127.1 136.0

146.1157.2

169.3

4.2%

2012f

7.3%

2011

-6.6%

2010

-1.6%

2009

2.5%

2008

1.7%

2014f

3.5%

2015f

4.4%

2013f

EU-27 avg. 24,8

Bulgaria 4,9

Romania 6,3

Poland 9,7

Hungary 9,9

Czech Rep. 14,4

Slovenia 17,2

Italy 25,7

UK 26,3

Germany 31,2

GDP/Capita benchmark in 2011 (thousand EUR)Romania’s GDP at market prices and year-to-yearreal GDP growth (bn. EUR, %)

Economic Context

Source: Eurostat, CNP, PwC analysis

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7| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

Chart 2. Gross monthly salary in Romania and in selected SEE countries (EUR)

959

799

769

502

439

328

204

101Moldova

Ukraine

Bulgaria

Romania

Russia

Poland

Hungary

Czech Rep.

416

509

436 439468

500535

573613

+5%

2015f2014f2013f2012f2011e2010200920082007

Gross average monthly salary in Romania (EUR) Gross average monthly salary benchmark (EUR)

2013f

121.8

3.4 %

2012f

120.7

2.1 %

2011e

119.0

1.7 %

2010

116.2

-1.6 %

2009

130.6

-6.6 %

2008

133.9

7.3 %

EU - 27 average 24.40

Ukraine 2.18

Bulgaria 4.80

Romania 5.80

Poland 9.27

Hungary 9.70

Czech Rep. 14.20

Slovenia 17.30

Italy 25.70

UK 27.40

Germany 30.30

GDP/Capita benchmark (thousand EUR) Romania’s GDP at market prices and year-to-year real GDP evolution (bn. EUR, %)

169.3157 .2

146.1144.5135.8

123.3119.0121.5

4.2%

2012f

7.3%

2011e

-6.6%

2010

-1.6%

2009

2.5%

2008

1.7%

2014f

3.5%

2015f

4.4%

2013fEU- 27 avg. 24,8

Bulgaria 4,9

Romania 6,3

Poland 9,7

Hungary 9,9

Czech Rep. 14,4

Slovenia 17,2

Italy 25,7

UK 26,3

Germany 31,2

GDP/Capita benchmark in 2011 (thousand EUR) Romania’s GDP at market prices and year-to-yearreal GDP growth (bn. EUR, %)

101

204

328

439

502

769

799

959

Hungary

Czech Rep.

Moldova

Ukraine

Bulgaria

Romania

Russia

Poland

Net average monthly salary in Romania and real growth rate (EUR) Gross average monthly salary benchmark (EUR)

419.4399.3380.6361.5348.6330.4321.2355.4

2015f2013f

1.6% 1.8%

2014f

1.4%

2012f

1.2%

2011e

0.5%

2010

-3.7%

2009

-1.5%

2008

16.5%

Romania’s GDP dropped by 6.6% in 2009 and by 1.6% in 2010. However, 2011 marked a return to growth, despite persisting economic uncertainty due to the emerging sovereign debt crisis in the Euro area.

Although Romania’s GDP/capita is slightly higher than in some of the neighbouring countries, like Ukraine and Bulgaria, it still lags significantly behind the EU average and more importantly, behind many other countries in the CEE area, such as Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic.

Employment conditions also underwent a difficult period, with unemployment rising to double digit levels in some areas. The harsher market conditions in the private sector correlated with cuts in the public sector wages caused average Romanian wages to drop under the 2009 levels, and are not expected to surpass pre-crisis levels until this year.

The same as GDP/capita, average salaries in Romania are low, compared to most CEE countries, but surpass Bulgaria and Romania’s non-EU member neighbours.

Source: National Bank of Romania, National Statistics Institute, CNP, PwC analysis and estimates

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PwC and Sonae Sierra |8

The Romanian consumer spending per capita is significantly lower than the EU-27 average and than most CEE countries, indicating a strong potential for further growth in the following years, as we emerge out of the crisis.

Household consumption in Romania has a skewed structure with food and non-alcoholic beverages accounting for 43% of total consumption, compared to only 13% the EU average.

The structure is explained mostly by low income levels and is likely to change as wages grow, with a higher share allocated to entertainment, catering, hotels, clothing and footwear expenditure.

Chart 3. Consumer spending dynamics in selected CEE countries (thousand EUR, %)

Chart 4. Household expenditure type and consumption structure (%)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Co

nsu

mer

sp

end

/ca

pit

a (2

010,

in t

ho

usa

nd

EU

R)

24

22

20

18

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

CAGR consumer spend (2004-2012)

Croatia

Serbia

Russia

Kazahstan

Ukraine

BelarusRomania

Turkey

Macedonia

Slovakia

Slovenia

PolandHungary

Lithuania

LatviaEstonia

Czech Republic

Bulgaria

European Union (27 countries)

Consumer spend per capita (thousand EUR)

15%

24%

13%

6%

5%

5%

11%

9%

9%

Education

Healthcare

Other

Restaurants and hotels

Recreation and culture

EU-27

Alcoholic beverages & tobacco

Clothing and footwear

6%

5%4%

1%

Romania

43%

8%

5%4%

4%3%

1%1%

Food and non-alcoholic beverages

Housing, water, electricity & fuels

Communications

Transportation

Furnishings, household equipment

13%

3%4%

3%

16%

10%

Taxes and contributions

Other

Investment

Householdproduction

1%

Consumption

70%

Note: CAGR consumer spend, or the Compound Annual Growth Rate for consumer spending is the year-to-year growth rate of the consumer spending over the specified time period.

Source: World Bank, Eurostat, PwC analysis and estimates

Source: National Institute of Statistics, Eurostat, PwC analysis and estimates

Page 9: formule de succes pentru cumparaturi in marile centre comericale

9| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

Chart 6. Consumer and retail confidence index in EU and Romania

Mirroring consumption trends, the Romanian retail turnover recorded an important contraction after 2008 but stabilized in 2011. However, both food retail and non-food retail continued to show higher growth rates than the EU average after 2007. Non-food retail industry grew at a faster pace, indicating changing consumer habits and proving the potential for further growth of this retail segment.

Food retailers were the first to come to Romania, while other segments started their expansion later. The crisis changed retail in two respects. First, many poorly adapted and unstructured local retailers and franchisees with only a few shops disappeared from the market, due to lack of efficient operational and strategic business, which placed surviving retailers in a favourable competitive position.

Even with a reduced market potential due to the decreased purchase power, retailers streamlined over-proportional business models, which left a higher share to those of them who survived. Secondly, international retail chains started entering Romania directly and no longer by franchising business models. However, retail shows a positive dynamic and, as mentioned above, it represents a business area with strong potential for growth.

Although Romanian consumers are currently pessimistic, even more so than in other countries, most retail segments show a potential for growth in the medium term. That is why retailers still invest in expansion, taking advantage of the relative low investment costs and, probably more important, of the overall reduced rent for retail spaces. While results may be under pressure in the short term, they are expected to improve with the recovery of the economy in the medium and long term.

Chart 5. Evolution of retail’s basic breakdown in Romania as compared to the EU average(2005=100, seasonally adjusted series)

0

RO - retail of non-food

RO - retail of food

RO - total retail

EU 27 - total retail 110

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

200

190

180

170

160

150

140

130

120

1.7.111.1.111.7.101.1.101.7.091.1.091.7.081.1.081.7.071.1.071.7.061.1.061.7.051.1.05

RO - Consumer

1.1.12

RO - Retail

EU - Retail

EU - Consumer

Source: National Institute of Statistics, Eurostat, PwC analysis and estimates

Source: National Institute of Statistics, Eurostat, PwC analysis and estimates

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PwC and Sonae Sierra |10

By size, shopping centres were segmented into:

• Smallsizecommercialspaces are centres with a GLA of less than 20,000 sqm;

• Mediumsizecommercialcentres have a total GLA between 20,000 and 40,000 sqm;

• Largesizecentres have between 40,000 and 80,000 sqm;

• Verylargesizeshoppingcentres have a GLA of more than 80,000 sqm.

Romania’s Shopping Centre Market

In segmenting Romanian and regional shopping centre markets, the analysed centres were grouped together by two main factors: size, expressed in total GLA and type, under the ICSC (International Council of Shopping Centres)classification.

Analysis Methodology

In order to assess the shopping centres market in Romania we developed a methodology based on five main criteria:

• Marketenvironment, including key demographics and concentration or polarisation of competition in the catchment area of the analysed shopping centres;

• Location in the host city and ease of access for customers;

• Operationaleffectiveness, driven by the GLA utilisation, number and diversity of tenants, quality of service, entertainment and food courts;

• FinancialPerformance, measured through key indicators such as turnover and revenue per square metre;

• Managementandmarketing, according to the definition set in the executive summary at page 4.

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11| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

Romania’s Shopping Centre Market

For each commercial centre analysed, we assessed and ranked centres based on a range of criteria for success. The six key criteria for success are:

1.Location in the host city;

2.Access and easy reach for customers, measured by transport time, transportation options and costs, etc.;

3.Assortmentandtenantmix based on the diversity and quality of anchors and merchants;

4.Cateringandleisure based on the availably, quality and diversity of entertainment and leisure options in the shopping centre;

5.Professionalism of centre’s management driven by the success of the management team to improve operational efficiency and maintenance, marketing, commercialization and legal management of centre’s needs;

6.Marketingandonlinepresence measured by the level of marketing activities, both direct and indirect and by the centre’s presence on various media channels, particularly online.

Each individual shopping centre in our sample was scored on a scale from 1 to 5 for each key criterion for success, where 1 represents poor performance and 5 represents very good performance on the relevant criterion (e.g. 1 - very poor location, 5 - very good location).

The resulting scores were subsequently used to identify correlations between each key criterion for success and the overall success of a shopping centre (measured in terms of revenue).

By type, shopping centres were split into:

• Neighbourhoodcentres are designed to provide convenience shopping for the daily needs of consumers living in their immediate vicinity or neighbouring areas. Most of them are anchored by a supermarket or a pharmacy.

• Communitycentres refer to those centres offering a wider range of commodities (including clothing and other goods) than neighbourhood centres, which might also include off-price retailers and a wider variety or anchors.

• Regionalcentres provide general merchandise and services in full depth and variety. Moreover, their main point of attraction is given by their anchors: traditional, mass merchant, discount department stores or fashion speciality stores.

• Super-regionalcentres are relatively similar to regional, but due to their larger size, they have more anchors, higher merchandise diversity and they address a larger customer base.

• Powercentres refer to centres dominated by a number of large anchors, including discount and off-price stores, warehouse clubs and others. Such a centre typically consists of several unconnected anchors and only a minimum amount of small speciality tenants.

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PwC and Sonae Sierra |12

The significant increase in total shopping space development in Europe after 2005 was almost entirely driven by strong increases in fast growing economies in CEE and Turkey.

After reaching a peak in 2008, new shopping space delivered in Europe fell sharply in 2009 and 2010 on account of the decline of retail space demand, caused by a mix of reduced consumer demand and a shortage of available bank financing (mostly due to tighter banking regulations in all countries. Still, statistics show a more favourable development for the coming years, with new investments expected in CEE and especially in Turkey.

Romania ranks 12th in Europe in terms of expected growth of retail space, but only 27th in terms of available shopping centre space per 1,000 inhabitants, which reflects a still very low degree of modern shopping centre space penetration.

Shopping Centre Development in Romania and the European Context

Chart 7. New shopping centre space in Europe between 1990 and 2012 (million sqm)

+8%

2007

8.1

2006

8.0

2005

6.1

2004

4.2

2003

5.1

2002

4.0

Western Europe

CEEand Turkey

2012

e

5.7

2011

e

6.8

2010

5.4

2009

7.5

2008

9.5

2001

3.8

2000

4.3

1999

3.9

1998

3.5

1997

2.7

1996

2.6

1995

3.4

1994

2.7

1993

3.1

1992

2.3

1991

2.3

1990

2.5

-12%

Source: Crushman & Wakefield, PwC analysis

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13| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

Chart 8. Estimated European shopping centre pipeline 2011/2012 (million sqm)

Romaniaranks7thinEuropeintermsofnewshoppingcentrespacedeliveredin2011/2012.RussialeadstheEuropeancountrieswithregardtotheestimatedshoppingcentredevelopmentpipeline,showingslightlylessthandoubleofthesurfaceoftherunner-up,Turkeywhich,initsturnaccountsforalmostdoubleofthesecondrunner-up,Italy.RussiaandTurkeytogetherrepresentalmost40%ofthepipeline,whereasCentralandEasternEuropeisestimatedtosumupapprox.63%ofnewshoppingcentrespaceinthe2011-2012timeframe.

0.0

SwitzerlandEstonia

Latvia

Finland

0.0

Bosnia Herz

Danemark 0.00.00.00.00.0

Belgium 0.0Lithuania 0.1

Serbia 0.1Grecee

Luxembourg

Spain 0.7France 0.9

Italy 1.0

0.6Poland

0.3UK0.3Germany0.3Croatia

0.30.3

Russia

Portugal

3.1

Romania

0.2

0.3

Czech Rep.

Ukraine

0.30.3Netherlands

Turkey 1.8

0.1Norway 0.1Ireland 0.1

Bulgaria 0.2Sweden 0.2Hungary 0.2

Austria 0.2Slovenia 0.2Slovakia

Source: Romanian Business Digest, Crushman & Wakefield, PwC analysis and estimates

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Chart 9. GLA allocation in selected CEE countries (% of national GLA) Shopping centre GLA in CEE increased by approximately 50% in the last three years, reaching a total surface of approximately 12 million sqm at the end of 2010. Although impressive, growth levels could have been even higher if the global financial crisis had not limited the developers’ expansion plans and significantly pressured customer purchasing power and confidence.

Poland has the highest GLA in CEE, but the pipeline in other countries is expected to change the allocation of the GLA in this region. The GLA increased rapidly in Romania, up to the second largest GLA in the region, very close to the Czech Republic. Although it is difficult to make a forecast, the GLA in Romania is likely to grow faster than in most of the other CEE countries.

Hungary

Czech Rep.

Poland

Romania

Slovakia

Bulgaria

2013f

100%

45%

13%

10%

18%

7%

7%

2010

100%

44%

16%

12%

16%

7%

5%

2007

100%

50%

18%

15%

9%

6%2%

Source: PMR publications, Shopping Centres in Central Europe 2011

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15| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

In most European countries, there is an apparent correlation between economic development and shopping centre space. The population in countries with high GDP per capita have a higher level of discretionary income and a more diverse spending structure, which results in a more developed retail market than in countries with lower GDP per capita.

The study shows that even at the current GDP level, the GLA per capita is somewhat lower in Romania than it should be; the overall medium and long-term potential is even bigger, because of the expected gradual alignment of its GDP with peer countries.

An important aspect for the development of shopping centres is the level of rental income, which varies between different retail types, predominantly high street locations and shopping centres.

The difference between the two types can vary significantly from one country to another, or even between cities. While generally in Central and Eastern Europe rental cost is higher in high-street locations, shopping centre prime rent levels in Bucharest are close to rent for high prime street spaces. Two reasons might have influenced this development: first, the high demand for shopping centres space in recent years and second, the significantly lower quality of available high-street space combined with a very unattractive and customer unfriendly high-street itself.

Chart 10. Correlation between GDP/capita and shopping centre GLA (sqm/1000 inhabitants, EUR/capita)

Chart 11. Main rental levels in selected CEE countries in Q3 2011 (EUR/sqm/month)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

80.00070.00060.00050.00040.00030.00020.00010.0000

Ukraine

BulgariaTurkeyRussia

Romania

Belgium

GDP/capita (EUR)

Consolidatingmarkets Mature marketsNew & expanding markets

GL

A (s

qm

)/10

00

inh

ab

ita

nts

Spain

FranceUKPortugal Finland

DenmarkAustria

NetherlandsEstonia LuxembourgIreland

Sweden

Norway

EU-27 Average

Germany

Italy

Slovenia

Czech Rep.

Lithuania

Latvia

Malta

Hungary

Croatia

Greece

Poland

Slovakia

6555

Romania

50

24

Bulgaria

65

170

CzechRepublic

35

92

Serbia

High Street Prime Rents

Shopping Centers Rents

85

Poland

78

100

Hungary

90

75

Croatia

32

Source: Eurostat, PwC analysis

Source: Cushman & Wakefield, European Retail Report, November 2011

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PwC and Sonae Sierra |16

Evolution of Romanian Retail Stock

Chart 12. Evolution of the Romanian shopping centre GLA (thousand sqm)

2009

Added space (1000 sqm)

Total existing space (1000 sqm)

292

37 55 24 55 64 114 87233

741

217324

767

330 384 408 462 526 640727

<1990 2011

1.701

20082007

1.918

2.243

200420001999

3.010

20102006

960

20032002 2005

Source: PwC analysis, Press releases

Since its transition from a state-controlled economy to a free market economy, Romania developed into one of the most active emerging markets, attracting foreign investors especially through its dynamic retail segment.

The first modern retail space was opened in Bucharest in 1999 and since then the pace of development has been fast, reaching more than 1.7 million sqm in 2008.

Despite the slowdown of retail caused by the economic crisis, shopping centre GLA continued to grow at an increasing annual rate, reaching an estimated 3 million sqm in 2011. Most of these new openings started development and secured financing before the crisis, but the pipeline for 2012-2013 remains strong.

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17| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

The largest share of modern retail space in Romania is located in Bucharest. Such an unbalanced geographical spread is mainly caused by the gap in economic development between Romanian regions.

Due to higher income levels and more sophisticated customer behaviour, as well as an important population, Bucharest is currently the largest market for modern retail.

Chart 13. Distribution of Romanian modern retail stock (% of GLA)

9%

8%

8%

6%4%

South WestCenter

South East

West

North West

North East

14%

South53%

8%

Bucharest92%

Rest ofSouthern Region

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates, Press release

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Romanian shopping centres are predominantly small sized. Large and very large sized ones are located in Bucharest and in a few other large cities. Small size shopping centres prevail in the rest of the country. The relatively few very large sized shopping centres sum up 27% of total GLA, almost as much as the more numerous small sized ones.

Neighbourhood and community centres account for approximately 50% of the total GLA, having a wider geographical spread than regional and superregional centres. However, the number of power centres (16% of the national GLA spread over all regions of the country) rose in recent years.

Chart 15. Distribution of GLA per type of commercial centre (%)

23%17%

16%

16%

Super-regional Centre

Regional CentreCommunity Centre

Neighbourhood Centre

27%

Power Centre

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates, Press releases

Chart 14. Distribution of GLA per type of commercial centre (sqm)

Small size

Medium size

Large size

Very large size

GLA per segment of commercial centre

100%

32%

21%

20%

27%

No. of commercial centresby size segmentation (%)

100%

65%

18%

13%

4%

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates, Press release

Neighbourhoodandcommunitycentresrepresentapproximately50%ofthetotalGrossLettableArea.

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19| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

Chart 16. Regional breakdown of GLA to GDP ratio (sqm/1000 inhabitants, EUR/capita)

GL

A (s

qm

)/10

00

inh

ab

ita

nts

600

550

500

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

GDP/capita (EUR)

16.00014.00012.00010.0008.0006.0004.0002.0000

VN

VS VLTL

TM

TR

SV

SB

SMPH

OT

NTMS

MHMM

IF + B

IS

IL

HD

GL

DJ

CT

CJ

BZ BV

BR

BTBN

BH

BC

AG

AR

AB

Above average

Below average

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates

Onaregionallevel,countieswithahigher

GDPpercapitashowhigherretailspaceper

capita.Buchareststandsoutwiththehighest

GDP(>15,000EURpercapita)andthehighest

GLA(560sqmpercapita).Quiteremarkable,

sinceTimisoara,thesecondrichesttownin

Romania,has60%ofBucharest’sGDPper

capita,butonly22%ofBucharest’sGLAper

capita.Aradistherunner-upintermsofGLA

percapita.ComparedtoBucharest,Arad’s

characteristicsareratherbalancedandevince

approximately45%ofBucharest’sGLAand

GDPlevel.Therearesomecountieswithvery

fewornoshoppingcentres,suchasCalarasi,

Dambovita,HarghitaandSalaj.

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From a size perspective, very large size commercial spaces are found almost exclusively in Bucharest, while in all other areas small size commercial spaces are predominant. For example, in the Central region of the country small size spaces account for around 94% of the total GLA and in the South West approximately 88%. Medium size commercial spaces are more dispersed geographically, but have the highest proportion in Bucharest and the South Eastern regions. Large size centres are more common in Bucharest and the Western area. The existing disparities in the geographical distribution of shopping centre space indicate that some areas are underdeveloped, while others show a high level of shopping centre penetration.

An important condition for success for future shopping centre projects will be to identify and target those areas with high or medium potential in terms of revenues (i.e. high density and/or high purchase power) but with low shopping centre space. The detailed analysis of the catchment areas will also call for adaptations in terms of shopping centre size, since small and medium sizes are most likely to proliferate over the next period. Large and very large size shopping centres will remain confined to Romania’s largest cities.

Chart 17. Distribution of commercial space per region, by size (%)

0%

12%

17%20%

35%

33%20%

6%12%

17%10%

20%

8% 13%20%

0%

20%

0%

Small size

Medium size

Large size

Very large size

West

60%

0%

South West

88%

0%

0%

South East

58%

Bucharest

25%

South

70%

0%

North West

67%

0%

North East

77%

0%

Center

94%

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates

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21| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

The distribution of the main shopping centre types is more balanced. Neighbourhood and community centres are predominant in most regions, with the exception of the Southern area, where Bucharest with its superregional and regional centres distorts the picture.

That is in no way surprising because Bucharest has 4 times as many inhabitants as the 2nd largest city and thus, cries for superregional attractiveness.

In recent years, power centres have spread across all regions. Due to a number of key developments in Bucharest and in other cities, such as Constanta, Pitesti and Braila, power centres are currently slightly better represented in the South East and South.

Up to 2008, the development of new shopping centres in Romania was increasingly seen as a favourable business opportunity by both local and foreign investors. Investment funds, for example, showed massive interest in pursuing new projects not just in Bucharest, but also in other areas of the country, with less coverage in terms of shopping centre space.

From 2009 until 2011, there were completed mainly those developments that secured financing before the crisis started. After the effects of the crisis began to be felt in Romania, construction works started for only a few new shopping centre developments (predominantly those developments done by hypermarkets or based on a forward purchase with a hypermarket).

It is the belief of the authors that the crisis has had and will continue to have a long-lasting influence on the real estate business. Due to the changes in banking regulations, long term investment loans will be limited to 50 to 60 % of the investment value, i.e. the developer and investors will need to contribute 40 to 50% of the investment value by equity. Commercial real estate faces a €400 to 700 bn financing gap, mainly from bank deleveraging1.

This will have long term and significant impact on the developers’ and tenants’ strategies. Real estate investors will be much more selective and will prefer high quality projects in dominant locations, which ensures the sustainability of future income and value.

Chart 18. Distribution of commercial space per region, by type (%)

6%

15% 25%

29%

8%

20%

19%

12%

18%

33%14%

20%

25%

31%

17%

14%

25%29%

30%

25%31%

50%

18%25% 29%

20%

North West

8%

North East

12%

Center

25%

Community Center

Neighborhood Centre

West

10%

South West

29%

South East

8%

South

21%

Superregional Center

Regional Center

Power Center

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates

1Banks Deleveraging and Real Estate, Morgan Stanley Blue Paper, 15th March 2012

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The study of the 40 top-ranking shopping centres shows that the top 5 shopping centres account for around 38% of total revenues altogether, but only for 21% of total GLA.

It is interesting to note that some shopping centres show relatively low turnover while having high revenues per sqm. That could be explained by a variety of reasons, such as the tenant mix or higher revenues from secondary sources. On the other hand, some high- ranking shopping centres have relatively low revenues per sqm despite high overall turnover.

Chart 19. Shopping Centres snapshot: turnover vs. GLA (mil. EUR, %)

Evaluation of Shopping Centres and Definition of Formulas for Success

GLA (’000 sqm)

Turn

ove

r (E

UR

mil.

)

Top 5 centres account for:•38% of revenue •21% of GLA

Next 15 centres account for:•35% of revenue •35% of GLA

Bottom 25 centres account for:•27% of revenue •44% of GLA

Revenues per GLA (EUR/sqm)

90

10

0

5

35

25

15

30

150 30

20

45 7560

30

35

25

Top 5 centres by revenues per GLA

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates

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23| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

The top 40 shopping centres in terms of turnover are mostly represented by small or medium sized centres, with a limited number of top performers recording very high revenues.

Chart 20. Shopping Centres snapshot: size vs. revenue per sqm (EUR/sqm, GLA in sqm)

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Smallsize

Mediumsize

Largesize

Very largesize

Best in class

Above average

Below average

EUR/sqm

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates

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The shopping centre market in Romania is still in an “opening” phase, far from the mature markets, like the US or Western Europe. Shopping centre development has been driven by the lack of or low penetration of modern retail space and resulted in a fragmented market. Competition levels have been historically low, facilitating financial success in most cases. Developers paid little attention to quality criteria such as assortment mix, parking space, design, layout or overall customer friendly

environment. The perspective for high and quick developer margins motivated inexperienced investors with the consequence that some centres perform quite badly.

However, with the increase in competition, the effects of the economic crisis and the advent of more selective and demanding customers, shopping centre operators will find it increasingly hard to attract revenues without focusing on the key success drivers.

As described in our chapter “Analysis Methodology”, for each shopping centre in our sample we measured the extent to which the identified success factors are addressed, by attributing each of them a score from 1 to 5.

As shown in chart 21, there is a high level of correlation between the overall score obtained by a shopping centre on the factors of our analysis and the shopping centre success, measured in revenues per square metre.

Chart 21. Impact of qualitative factors on shopping centre performance

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0

Rev

enu

e/sq

m

Average qualitative factors (average of all scores)

Significant degree of correlation

Source: PwC analysis, Sonae Sierra estimates

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25| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

Chart 23. Comparative results for best in class shopping malls vs. aggregate average (score)

Location

Acces

Completenessassortment and tenant

mix

Catering & Leisure

Professionalism of thecentre management

1

2

3

4

5

6

Scale: 0 (low) 5 (high)Best in class score

Average total score

Marketing andonline presence

Source: PwC analysis

Chart 22. Impact of key-success factors on shopping centre performance

Rank Factor Impact Remarks1 Professionalism of management Strongest correlation with overall performance

2 Assortment and tenant mix Critical impact on final results

3 Access Relevant aspect for a shopping centre’s success

4 Location in the city Important differentiating factor

5 Catering & leisure Slight impact on shopping centres’ overall results

6 Internet presence Relatively low influence on final performance

Source: PwC analysis

In-depth analysis reveals the hierarchy of key success factors in terms of their influence on shopping centre performance.

Chart 23 presents a comparison between the average of the 5 best-in-class shopping centres (in terms of revenue) and the average of the entire shopping centre sample, from the perspective of each individual success factor.

The analysis shows that the decisive criteria in differentiating best in class from the average pool of shopping centres are the existence of professional management, the completeness and diversity of the tenant mix as well as marketing and online presence.

Shoppingcentredevelopmenthasmostlybeendrivenbythelowpenetrationofmodernretailspaceandresultedinafragmentedmarket.

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The average performance of the reviewed shopping centres on each key factor varies significantly in the size segment. Small size centres perform better at factors such as access and location, while large and very large ones offer better leisure options as well as a more diverse tenant mix.

These results should be viewed in the light of location and access constraints. Downtown shopping centres are usually small, since space for large buildings is usually not available in downtown locations of Romanian cities. Surface limits the diversity of the tenant mix and in most cases, such centres do not have a food court or a cinema. However, they benefit from a very convenient location and easy reach by public transportation or on foot, which ensures in turn higher visitor rates. Locations further from downtown show a high penetration of work places, which justifies usually high customer frequencies and remarkable “chance purchases”.

Chart 24. Comparative results for shopping centres by size segments (score)

Small size

1

2

3

4

5

6

1

2

3

4

5

6

Medium size

1

2

3

4

5

6

1

2

3

4

5

6

Large size

1

2

3

4

5

6

1

2

3

4

5

6

Very large size

1

3

4

5

1

2

3

4

5

6

Scale: 0 (low) 5 (high)

1 Location

Access2

Completeness assortment and tenant mix3

Catering & Leisure4

Professionalism of the shopping centre management5

6 Marketing and online presence

Source: PwC analysis

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27| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

At the other end of the spectrum, large and very large shopping centres are usually positioned on the outskirts of the cities, i.e. those centres are usually accessed by car and less by public transportation.

The tenant mix in these shopping centres is nevertheless much broader than in their smaller counterparts and in most of the cases they have strong anchors - hypermarkets, specialized DIY stores or furniture retailers - which turn them into regional and super-regional centres, or even power centres, attracting shoppers from the adjacent regions as well.

Community centres have a similar score profile to super-regional shopping centres, while neighbourhood centres resemble regional centres.

Super-regional centres usually suffer from a poor online presence. Power centres also have a relatively uniform score profile, although with lower average scores than other categories, and substantially lower scores on location and access, which is plausible, as their size usually requires locations far away from the city centre.

In the past, most shopping centres were designed as regional centres, serving a wide area, as they had little or no competition. However, the fast development of shopping centres resulted in a much more competitive environment. Both existing and planned shopping centres need permanently to adapt to specific local aspects, mainly the customer’s purchase profile and behaviour.

The customer’s profile defines a sustainable tenant mix and the level of entertainment. For existing shopping centres refurbishment, GLA downsizing or upgrading options should be investigated seriously once the centre performance goes down.

Chart 25. Comparative results for shopping centres by types (score)

Scale: 0 (low) 5 (high)

1 Location

Access2

Completeness assortment and tenant mix

3

Professionalism of the shopping centre management

5

Catering & Leisure4

6 Marketing and online presence

Power centre

1

2

35

6

4

Super-regional centre

4

1

2

3

4

5

6

Regional centre

1

2

35

6

4

Neighbourhood centre

1

2

35

6

4

Community centre

1

2

35

6

4

Source: PwC analysis

Source: PwC analysis

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Professionalism of the shopping centre management appears to be closely connected to the success of the centre, both directly and by influencing other relevant factors.

In many cases, shopping centre management teams are focused on ensuring that maximum space is rented out, occupancy rates remain high and operational tasks are fulfilled. That is a convenient and inexpensive approach and the low degree of competition in the Romanian shopping centre market has placed until now little importance on other, more complex functions of the shopping centre management.

However, as the number of shopping centres increases and customers become more educated and demanding, shopping centre management will need to become more proactive in order to ensure continued success. On top of the “everyday tasks”, a professional

management team supervises and proactively manages the performance of its clients, i.e. tenants as well as customers.

In order to do so, customer background, purchase power and purchase behaviour need regular examinations (visitor rates as function of time, amongst others), a tenant’s assortment of goods and performance (the turnover, amongst others) in comparison to the others need permanent and steady monitoring, which consequently implies that the targets for marketing and/or tenant mix, shopping centre size and attractiveness must be pro-actively managed, and aspects that need improvement have to be identified. Additionally, a professional management team with an international background can have a better negotiating position with retailers and be able to achieve synergies in marketing and staff employment.

Furthermore, a professional management team finds and implements effective additional sources of income that complement the centres’ typology and offer. Throughout this process, the management team fine-tunes the efficiency level of its operation combined with Mall Income solutions that can add economic benefit to the asset.

In this light, a significant trend in the Romanian shopping centre landscape could be the shift from shopping centre administration towards a category of professional managers who can bring valuable contributions in terms of rental contract design, tenant mix and the creation of a strong shopping-centre identity.

ProfessionalismofManagement

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29| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

The assortment and tenant mix of a shopping centre are essential to ensuring long-term success and are compulsory to define the personality of the shopping centre that should be well linked to its targeted catchment area.

Specialist literature defines the tenant mix as a “variety of stores that work together to enhance the centre’s performance and operate successfully as individual businesses.”2 As shown by our study, this factor has the second strongest influence on the overall performance. Shopping centres recording high revenues per sqm also tend to have a large and more diverse mix of tenants. That reflects evolving customer tastes and preferences, mirrors the existing household consumption structure (see Chart 4) and pinpoints an area of high relevance for the future of shopping centres in Romania.

Well performing shopping centres need to pay increased attention to their tenant mix as a main lever for improving profitability by providing the optimum services to the community in which they are located. Tenant mix design thus ideally mirrors the range of products, services, catering and entertainment that appeals to the population in the catchment area of the shopping centre and gives the answer to all aspects of the customer demographics, preferences, lifestyles and income. Ultimately, the tenant mix defines which customers will visit the shopping centre, but besides providing appeal, the selected tenant mix has to offer products affordable for its target customer base.

Each Shopping Centre has its own catchment area with a specific purchase power. In case the GLA in one category is oversized, retailers belonging to that specific category tend to cannibalize each other. On the other hand, in case the GLA for a category is undersized, visitors tend to shift to other retail areas outside the shopping centres. Thus, the effective allocation of the tenant mix is indirectly linked to the tasks of the management team.

As competition tightens, the tenant mix will become a tool in the hands of the Romanian shopping centre managers enabling them to create a specific image and to differentiate from other shopping centres nearby.

The experience of more developed markets shows that anchors play the most important role in the positioning of a shopping centre, and these are usually large retailers operating at national or even international level. However, smaller, local independent traders that target local niches and have an offer adapted to specific tastes can also shape differentiation.

However, in adopting such a strategy, shopping centre managers must take into account the ability of such smaller retailers to pay the usually higher rents associated to prime shopping centre space. That may in turn involve tailoring rent agreements to specific tenants, in order to ensure a diverse mix of merchandise. Ideally, a customer finds everything he needs in a right tenant mix.

Similarly, targeting previously undeveloped areas in Romania will be conditioned not only by adaptation with regard of shopping centre size but also by striking the optimum tenant mix, adapted to the local customer habits and purchasing power. Another trend will be related to the development of niche/specialized shopping centres, which have a strong focus on selected customer profiles.

AssortmentandTenant-mix

2Greenspan J, Solving the tenant mix puzzle in your shopping centre, Journal of Property Management, 1987

Smallsizeshoppingcentresfarebetterintermsofeaseofaccessofcustomersandlocation.

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The location in the city and the access to the shopping centre can differentiate between a successful and a less successful shopping centre.

As expected, a critical factor for the shopping centre performance is the ease of access to the shopping centres, by either car, public transportation or on foot, which in turn is closely connected to the shopping centre’s location.

The two are not synonymous and yet a less attractive location (further from the city centre) can still be easily accessible (proximity to a subway station, near a large residential area). A shopping centre scoring well on these two factors performs better and an easy access attracts customers with the logical consequence of increased revenues.

As already mentioned, our study shows that small size shopping centres fare better in this respect than large or very large schemes, which are in most cases located on the boundary or outside the city. Presumably, a disadvantage in location overlaps substantially with the influence of existing or non-existing competition. Lack of competition allows suboptimal located shopping centres to perform satisfactory. The same influence can be attributed to the exclusive presence of some very few but extremely appealing retailers.

The access and location of a shopping centre is influenced significantly by whether sufficient parking space in a user-friendly quality exists. In crowded areas, such as Bucharest, the absence or insufficient provision of parking space is a very significant factor that can deter customers from visiting the shopping centre. This influence will become more

dominant with increasing competition. Since it is usually very difficult to improve or enlarge existing parking facilities, the number of lots and quality of parking are essential design challenges.

Generally, large centres tend to sell “for the weekly demand”, meaning that customers buy large quantities in order to satisfy a weekly demand. In such a case, accessibility by car becomes more important than public transport or pedestrian access.

Finally, as the market matures, positioning differentiation among Romanian shopping centres will surge and their targeted individual offer will be shaped for a stronger dominance in their catchment areas. In-town location will position for upscale customer and edge-of-town / out-of-town locations for mainstream and quantity sales driven shopping centres.

AccessandLocationintheCity

The centre marketing approach and its online presence can contribute to better positioning and profitability.

As shown in chart 26, there is a significant correlation between the marketing of a shopping centre and its financial performance. It is a relationship expected to play a growing role in an increasingly competitive landscape. Even if marketing activities are not profitable in themselves, they increase the publicity of a centre and inform the customer about offers, new tenants, unique activities, etc., thus they generate additional traffic and increase the sales of shopping centre tenants. It is the belief of the authors that a good marketing strategy supports the performance of a shopping centre.

Currently there is a significant gap in terms of online presence between best-in-class shopping centres and the average shopping centres subject to our study. For many Romanian shopping

centres, a complex website is not deemed necessary at this moment, as competition remains low and customers are likely to visit the shopping centre regardless of its online presence. However, well performing shopping centres have websites providing information on their location, opening hours, parking spaces as well as a list of retailers.

The World Wide Web has significantly changed our day-to-day life in the last 10 years and it will change retail in the next years. Internet retail gained a remarkable market share in the past and will undoubtedly continue to thrive. It is quite difficult to predict how this development will change the face of shopping centres, but some tendencies have become apparent. For example, some shops might witness a shift in their main purpose, from a direct sales function to showrooms and consultation and exhibition hubs.

Nevertheless, the existence of shopping centres is not endangered by the internet; there will always be a demand for “going shopping”. The bigger shopping centre owners are currently developing web applications that promote and support the attractiveness of the shopping centre in cooperation with the larger tenants.

It can be argued that marketing is an important tool in shopping centre differentiation, especially in more competitive areas, such as Bucharest and other larger cities. Its importance has grown over the recent period and will most likely evolve further, with the increase of competition. Furthermore, the existence of a well-designed website enhances visibility of a shopping centre and can contribute directly to the number of visitors, by offering detailed information about the opening hours, offer and facilities, promotions or themed events organized by the management.

Marketingandonlinepresence

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31| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

As expected, large and very large schemes perform better than small scheme shopping centres in respect of catering and leisure. However, we believe that this criterion should be at the forefront of shopping centre management concerns related to their tenant mix.

Indeed, it can be argued that ever since the development of the first mall in the 1950s, entertainment has always been a consistent part of it and today all shopping centres strive to include leisure and/or food amenities in their mix. This is mostly due to the evolving social function of the shopping mall, from a functional destination to a “lifestyle centre”, a space of socialisation and entertainment.

Empirical studies have shown that the presence of entertainment is closely linked to the profitability of a shopping centre and can improve other tenants’ activities as well.

Such influences can be proven; the absence or existence of a cinema causes a turnover variation in the food court, of up to 20%, particularly in the evening. Regardless of the motivation, entertainment brings people to the mall and thus increases profitability. Even more, some people regard shopping centres as a diversion from normal day-to-day activities and are likely to be attracted not only by entertainment facilities, such as cinemas, bowling, restaurants, fitness and spa centres, event and show areas etc. but also by the architecture, the interior design, events, exhibitions and the atmosphere in general.

Given the fact that entertainment opportunities are currently quite limited in most cities in Romania and are usually represented by cinemas, the positioning of the shopping centre as the local entertainment hub is increasing in importance and can represent a very efficient strategy to attract customers.

Some of the most successful Romanian shopping centres seek to provide additional leisure opportunities besides the traditional cinema, such as ice-skating, gaming or bowling areas, children playgrounds, etc. Having a well-developed food court adds to the overall shopping experience and increases the time spent by customers in the mall, the amount they spend and their willingness to return.

The relevance of entertainment and catering amenities will grow in the future. The Romanian shopping centre market is still in an early stage, and the development of complex value creating catering and leisure components has been hindered so far by low income and relatively less sophisticated customer expectations. However, in the light of future economic growth, customers will begin to seek in a shopping centre some value beyond the availability of products and goods and will choose shopping centres in relation to such aspects. Therefore, one of the main areas of relevance for shopping centre managers is to shift their focus from providing retail space to offering a complete experience targeting all areas of the customer’s lifestyle, including cinemas, restaurants, cafes, children playgrounds or exhibition and themed areas. In terms of offer, the distinction from competition is that unique factor that will shape the customer’s choice.

This singularity among shopping centres is particularly important in Bucharest, where most customers tend to perceive some locations more prone to entertainment, meaning that shopping centres in such areas are expected to focus more on leisure activities than others.

CateringandLeisure

Oneofthemainareasofrelevanceforshoppingcentremanagersistoshifttheirfocusfromprovidingretailspacetoofferingacompleteexperiencetargetedatthecustomer,includingcinemas,restaurants,cafes,children’splaygroundsorexhibitionandthemedareas.

Although still a moderate influence factor, the presence of entertainment in shopping centres is bound to gain more importance in the future, due to the expected increase in customer purchase power and a shift in the social value of the mall. Furthermore, lack of extra activities and leisure within the cities, allows Shopping Centres to perform a social function, to be at the same time a meeting point, cultural destination, entertainment area, unique food concepts location; all within a set offer that grouped in this way, cannot be found anywhere else.

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Conclusions regarding key success factors for shopping centres

With increased competition, character and identity will become a central consideration in retail developments, encouraging a move away from homogenized environments and clone towns.

Shopping centres features will evolve to become increasingly complex, focusing on specialization and customized services, with the shopping centre’s management having to drive this change.

Furthermore, the experience of more developed markets shows that after a time, shopping centres should focus on revitalisation in order to ensure their continued success and to adapt to customer behaviour. Such a trend will become relevant for Romania over the next decade. In fact, the first capital revamp of a Romanian shopping centre is expected to start in the near future, with plans for a complete redesign of the centre’s architecture, layout, atmosphere and functional aspects.

Evolving customer demands and the tendency towards convenience and shopping experience will bring to light previously neglected key features, such as extensive and user friendly parking space, quality of public spaces, shopping centre layout and ease of in-centre navigation. This is particularly important in Bucharest and in the largest cities where competitiveness is expected to increase with the number of shopping centres while the customer basis is not expected to change. This is expected to influence both the future development of shopping centres and the pending renovation of existing ones.

Moreover, key success factors such as location, access and leisure will continue to represent important growth drivers for shopping centres, but tight competition and changes in customers’ demand are expected to increase in the importance of professional management, tenant mix and marketing activities, which are crucial to attract customers and differentiate among shopping centres.

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33| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

The Romanian shopping centre market dynamics has accelerated over the past few years, a trend that will continue in the next years. In a world where the shopping centre represents no longer a means to satisfy functional necessities but constitutes a social environment of its own, shopping centre owners and managers must ask themselves whether they are well positioned for success and capturing future growth.

This study provides them with the means to identify the main factors that exert an influence on shopping centre performance and to assess the gaps between their current and desired positions.

A diverse assortment of tenants provides an optimum mix for the targeted demographics and it is crucial to create the centre’s brand and to differentiate from its competition in the area.

An efficient focus on accessibility can lead to steady visitor flows, creating higher revenues. This could is a key advantage in the competitive landscape of large cities, particularly in Bucharest.

The location of a shopping centre creates advantages in an increasingly competitive area by leveraging details such as position in the city or by leveraging cultural or historical aspects of the centre’s surroundings.

Entertainment, catering and leisure options in Romania are relatively limited and are expected to represent important growth drivers, as shopping centres will evolve from functional areas to lifestyle centres.

With the increase of competition, a shopping centre’s marketing activities, including its online presence can be effective differentiation tools, particularly in developed cities such as Bucharest.

Professionalism of management underlines all other factors and is expected to represent a critical success factor in coming years as competition increases and customers become more demanding.

Source: PwC analysis and estimates

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Contacts

Ingo NissenManaging DirectorSonae Sierra [email protected]

Bogdan BelciuPartner, Consulting ServicesPwC [email protected]

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35| Success Formulas for Shopping Centres in Romania

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© 2012 PwC. All rights reserved. Not for further distribution without the permission of PwC. “PwC” refers to the network of member firms of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited (PwCIL), or, as the context requires, individual member firms of the PwC network. Each member firm is a separate legal entity and does not act as agent of PwCIL or any other member firm. PwCIL does not provide any services to clients. PwCIL is not responsible or liable for the acts or omissions of any of its member firms nor can it control the exercise of their professional judgment or bind them in any way. No member firm is responsible or liable for the acts or omissions of any other member firm nor can it control the exercise of another member firm’s professional judgment or bind another member firm or PwCIL in any way.

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