FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 1 State of the...
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FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 1 State of the Federal Budgetary Environment Kim H. Burke Jones Lang LaSalle
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 1 State of the Federal Budgetary
Environment Kim H. Burke Jones Lang LaSalle December 10, 2013
Slide 2
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 2 Federal Spending Has Nearly Doubled
Since 2001 2013 Federal Spending Breakdown: All Other Activities:
33% Social Security: 22% Defense: 18% Medicare: 14% Medicaid: 7%
Interest: 6% Source: CATO Institute Total Federal Spending
($Trillions)
Slide 3
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 3 How Spending is Allocated Has Also
Changed Source: Bipartisan Policy Center
Slide 4
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 4 Budget Impasse Has America Living on the
Edge Havent gone over the fiscal cliff... but not yet out of the
woods either!
Slide 5
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 5 Space Reduction Budget Battles Fiscal
Cliff No-Net-New Consolidation DoD/Civilian BRAC(?) Continuing
Resolutions Fiscal Cliff Debt Ceiling Sequestration Budget Chaos
through the Eyes of a Federal Employee
Slide 6
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 6 Budget Gridlock Shutdown GDP grew 3.6%
in 3Q13 but 16-day shutdown may slow growth at a rate more harmful
than initially estimated Initial Estimates At least $300M/day
($4.8B over 16 days) in lost economic output, with daily impact
predicted to accelerate due to depressed business/consumer
confidence and spending (Source: IHS) Final Estimates Removed $24B
($1.5B/day) from U.S. economy and reduced projected 4Q13 GDP growth
from 3.0% to 2.4% (Source: S&P) Post-Mortem 6.6M days of lost
work, $2B in back-pay costs, and 120K lost private-sector jobs
(Source: Obama Administration)
Slide 7
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 7 Sequestrations Impact Across Federal
Government Total Projected Savings from Sequester: $1.2T
(2013-2021) Savings from Spending Cuts: $984B ($109B/year for 9
Years) Assumed Debt Service Savings: $216B 2014 Sequestration Cuts
Hit Defense and Non- Defense Equally Sequester Savings Breakdown
(2013-2021, in $B) Source: Bipartisan Policy Center
Slide 8
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 8 Sequestrations Impact to DoD
Sequestrations full impact not yet felt due to timing of when
appropriation cuts occur and when funds are actually spent (i.e.,
outlays)and more pain may be on the way Source: Bipartisan Policy
Center Because of the structure of defense spending, our national
security forces and defense industry have been able to continue
operating under sequestration, but not without permanent damage.
The full brunt of the cuts hasnt hit yet, and if we go down the
sequester path for too long, we wont be able to reverse the
devastating impacts. Merely Stupid to Dangerous: The Sequesters
Effects on National and Economic Security (Bipartisan Policy
Center)
Slide 9
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 9 Approach to the New Reality PROJECTED
FUNDING SHORTFALL PROJECTED FUNDING SHORTFALL REMAINING FUNDING
SHORTFALL COST CUTTING DECREASE FUNDING SHORTFALL REMAINING FUNDING
SHORTFALL ALTERNATIVE FINANCING DECREASE FUNDING GAP Increase
Available Funding (or Services In-Kind) ESPC EUL PPA UESC
Slide 10
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 10 OMB and CBO Positions on Alternative
Financing CBO Position on VA Leases Scored as capital leases,
requiring up-front funding for the full lease term and resulting in
the delay of 27 leases in FY 2013-2014 (24 clinical) OMB and ESPCs
Memo from Jack Lew (July 25, 1998) classified all budget authority
and outlays associated with ESPCs as discretionary and recognized
on annual basis CBO and ESPCs Treats contract as direct (mandatory)
spending but net savings in energy costs as a potential reduction
in discretionary spending Savings are not fully captured as most
are expected to occur beyond the five- and ten-year estimating
windows covered by CBOs cost estimates
Slide 11
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 11 Other Opportunities for Energy
Reduction and Cost Savings Scale of Federal portfolio presents
tremendous opportunity to reduce resource consumption and CO 2
emissions, increase tenant-agency satisfaction and decrease
operating expenses More than 42K federally owned and leased assets
categorized as office space in 2011encompassing nearly 800M SF in
space Two-thirds held or leased by civilian agencies One-third held
or leased by DoD and military departments Strategies for achieving
greater energy and cost savings: Consolidations, co-locations,
dispositions Portfolio right-sizing / optimization of existing
space (reconfigurations) Workplace strategies (telework, hoteling,
etc.) to reduce demand for space and energy resources GSA
Headquarters Space Before Renovation GSA Headquarters Space After
Renovation Source for Photos and Portfolio Metrics: GAO Report
14-41: Federal Real Property Selected Agencies Plan to Use
Workforce Mobility to Reduce Space, but Most Efforts are Too New to
Have Realized Savings (October 2013)
Slide 12
FOURTH ANNUAL FEDERAL ENERGY WORKSHOP & DEFENSE ENERGY
PARTNERSHIP FORUM | PAGE 12 Contact Kim H. Burke Managing Director,
Public Institutions Jones Lang LaSalle (202) 719-5613
[email protected]