17
4 th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey SWS MEDIA RELEASE 21 January 2020, page 1 of 17 52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Website: www.sws.org.ph Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465 Fax: 920-2181 pr20200121 - SWR2019-IV Satisfaction with the President_Opinion on his promises and health (media release).doc Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of his promises 72% worry a great deal/somewhat about PRRD’s health 61% say PRRD’s state of health is a public matter Social Weather Stations The Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey, conducted from December 13-16, 2019, found 82% of adult Filipinos satisfied, 8% undecided, and 10% dissatisfied with the performance of Rodrigo R. Duterte as President. Compared to September 2019, gross satisfaction with Pres. Duterte rose by 4 points from 78%, gross undecided fell by 1 point from 9%, and gross dissatisfaction fell by 3 points from 13% [Chart 1, Tables 1 and 2]. This gives a net satisfaction rating of +72 (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied), classified by SWS as excellent. This is 7 points above the very good +65 in September 2019, and a new personal record that surpassed the previous record very good +68 in June 2019. The SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69, "very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable". 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of his promises The December 2019 survey found 52% of adult Filipinos expecting President Duterte to fulfill all or nearly all/most of his promises. The survey asked, "Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni Pang. Rody Duterte ang posibleng matutupad? [Lahat o halos lahat sa mga pangako, Karamihan sa mga pangako, Mga ilan sa mga pangako, Halos wala o wala sa mga pangako] (In your opinion, how many of the promises of Pres. Rody Duterte can be fulfilled? [All or nearly all of the promises, Most of the promises, A few of the promises, Almost none or none of the promises])".

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Page 1: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 1 of 17

52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City

Website: www.sws.org.ph

Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465

Fax: 920-2181

pr20200121 - SWR2019-IV Satisfaction with the President_Opinion on his promises and health (media release).doc

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey:

Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72

• 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of his promises

• 72% worry a great deal/somewhat about PRRD’s health

• 61% say PRRD’s state of health is a public matter

Social Weather Stations

The Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey, conducted from December 13-16, 2019,

found 82% of adult Filipinos satisfied, 8% undecided, and 10% dissatisfied with the performance of

Rodrigo R. Duterte as President.

Compared to September 2019, gross satisfaction with Pres. Duterte rose by 4 points from

78%, gross undecided fell by 1 point from 9%, and gross dissatisfaction fell by 3 points from 13%

[Chart 1, Tables 1 and 2].

This gives a net satisfaction rating of +72 (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied), classified by

SWS as excellent.

This is 7 points above the very good +65 in September 2019, and a new personal record that

surpassed the previous record very good +68 in June 2019.

The SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69,

"very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor";

-30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable".

52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of his promises

The December 2019 survey found 52% of adult Filipinos expecting President Duterte to

fulfill all or nearly all/most of his promises.

The survey asked, "Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni Pang. Rody Duterte ang

posibleng matutupad? [Lahat o halos lahat sa mga pangako, Karamihan sa mga pangako, Mga

ilan sa mga pangako, Halos wala o wala sa mga pangako] (In your opinion, how many of the

promises of Pres. Rody Duterte can be fulfilled? [All or nearly all of the promises, Most of the

promises, A few of the promises, Almost none or none of the promises])".

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4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 2 of 17

To this, 16% answered all or nearly all, 36% answered most, 42% answered a few, and 5%

answered none or almost none [Chart 2].

The latest proportion of 52% expecting nearly all/most of Pres. Duterte's promises to be

fulfilled is 4 points above the 48% (13% all or nearly all, 35% most) in December 2018.

When first asked in June 2016, 63% expected nearly all/most of his promises to be fulfilled,

before it declined to 56% in September 2016 and 52% in March 2017.

It fell to a personal record-low of 35% in September 2017, just after Pres. Duterte’s one-

year mark in office, before recovering to 46% in March 2018, 48% in December 2018, and 52% in

December 2019.

Those expecting PRRD to fulfill almost none of his promises give him a "neutral" net

satisfaction rating

Those expecting at least a few of Pres. Duterte’s promises can be fulfilled gave him higher

net satisfaction ratings than those expecting almost none or none.

Pres. Duterte’s net satisfaction rating was an excellent +87 among those who say Pres.

Duterte can fulfill all or nearly all of his promises, an excellent +90 among those expecting he can

fulfill most of his promises, and a very good +60 among those who say he can fulfill a few of his

promises.

These figures are all higher than their September 2017, March 2018, and December 2018

counterparts [Chart 3].

However, it was a neutral -6 among those expecting almost none of Pres. Duterte's promises

can be fulfilled.

This is similar to the neutral levels of -8 and -7 in March 2018 and December 2018,

respectively, and higher than the poor -29 in September 2017.

72% worry a great deal/somewhat about PRRD’s health

The December 2019 survey found 72% of adult Filipinos saying they are worried

(consisting of 25% worried a great deal and 47% somewhat worried) and 28% saying they are not

worried (15% somewhat not worried, 13% not worried at all) about Pres. Duterte’s health

[Chart 4].

This is similar to June 2019 when 74% were worried and 26% were not worried about the

President’s health.

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21 January 2020, page 3 of 17

Higher public satisfaction with PRRD among those worried about his health

Net satisfaction with Pres. Duterte was higher among those who are worried about his

health, at an excellent +79 (4 points up from excellent +75 in June 2019), compared to those who

are not worried about it, at very good +54 (6 points up from good +48 in June 2019) [Chart 5].

61% say PRRD’s state of health is a public matter

The December 2019 survey also found 61% saying “Pres. Duterte’s state of health is a

public matter that is why the public should be informed of everything about this”, compared to 37%

saying “Pres. Duterte’s state of health is a private matter that is why the public does not need to be

informed of everything about this” [Chart 6].

This is similar to September 2018 when 61% said the President’s state of health is a public

matter, and 33% said it is a private matter.

Net satisfaction with PRRD up in areas outside Metro Manila

The 7-point rise in President Duterte's net satisfaction rating from September 2019 to

December 2019 was due to increases in Balance Luzon, the Visayas, and Mindanao, combined with

a steady score in Metro Manila.

Pres. Duterte’s net satisfaction rating stayed very good in Balance Luzon, at a new record

+66 in December 2019, up by 12 points from +54 in September 2019. This surpassed the previous

record very good +65 in June 2019 [Chart 7].

It stayed excellent in Mindanao, at +81 in December, up by 5 points from +76 in September.

It stayed excellent in the Visayas, at a new record +79 in December, up by 4 points from the

previous record +75 in September.

It stayed at the record very good +66 in Metro Manila from September 2019 to December

2019.

Up in both urban and rural areas

Urban net satisfaction with Pres. Duterte rose from very good to excellent, at a new record

+75 in December 2019, up by 9 points from +66 in September 2019. This surpassed the previous

record +68 in June 2017 [Chart 8].

Rural net satisfaction stayed very good, at +69 in December, up by 5 points from +64 in

September. This matches the record very good +69 in March 2019.

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21 January 2020, page 4 of 17

Up in all classes especially class E

Pres. Duterte’s net satisfaction rating rose from very good to excellent in class E, at +71 in

December 2019, up by 14 points from +57 in September 2019 [Chart 9].

It also rose from very good to excellent in class D or the masa, at +72 in December, up by 6

points from +66 in September.

It stayed excellent in class ABC, at +76 in December, up by 6 points from +70 in

September.

Up among both men and women

Pres. Duterte's net satisfaction rating rose from very good to excellent among men, at +73 in

December 2019, up by 7 points from +66 in September 2019 [Chart 10].

It also rose from very good to excellent among women, at +71 in December, up by 7 points

from +64 in September.

Up in all age groups

The President's net satisfaction rating rose from very good to excellent among 18-24 year

olds, at +73 in December 2019, up by 9 points from +64 in September 2019 [Chart 11].

It stayed very good among 25-34 year olds, at +67 in December, up by 3 points from +64 in

September.

It rose from very good to excellent among 35-44 year olds, at +78 in December, up by 15

points from +63 in September.

It stayed very good among 45-54 year olds, at +64 in December, up by 1 point from +63 in

September.

It rose from very good to excellent among those 55 years old and older, at +77 in December,

up by 9 points from +68 in September.

Up among elementary graduates and above

Pres. Duterte's net satisfaction rating rose from very good to excellent among elementary

school graduates, at +78 in December 2019, up by 18 points from +60 in September [Chart 12].

It rose from very good to excellent among high school graduates, at +70 in December, up by

3 points from +67 in September.

It also rose from very good to excellent among college graduates, at +73 in December, up by

6 points from +67 in September.

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SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 5 of 17

It stayed very good among non-elementary school graduates, at +64 in December, down by

1 point from +65 in September.

Expectation that PRRD can fulfill nearly all/most of his promises rises in all areas

The 4-point increase in the national proportion of those saying Pres. Duterte can fulfill

nearly all/most of his promises was due to increases in all areas.

It rose in Metro Manila, at 47% in December 2019, up by 6 points from 41% in December

2018 [Chart 13].

It rose in Balance Luzon, at 52% in December 2019, up by 3 points from 49% in December

2018.

It rose in the Visayas, at 51% in December 2019, up by 5 points from 46% in December

2018.

It rose in Mindanao, at 54% in December 2019, up by 4 points from 50% in December

2018.

Worry about PRRD’s health is highest in Mindanao

Those worried about PRRD’s health remained high in Mindanao at 77%, followed by Visayas

at 75%, Metro Manila at 73%, and Balance Luzon at 69%.

Compared to June 2019, those worried about Pres. Duterte’s health fell in Mindanao, down by

8 points from 85% [Chart 14].

It fell in the Visayas, down by 4 points from 79%.

However, it rose in Metro Manila, up by 7 points from 66%.

It hardly changed in Balance Luzon, down by 1 point from 70%.

Survey background

The Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey was conducted from December 13-16,

2019 using face-to-face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in

Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national

percentages, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao).

The area estimates were weighted by the Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population

projections for 2019 to obtain the national estimates.

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4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 6 of 17

The Social Weather Survey items on the people’s satisfaction with the President, their

expected fulfillment of his promises, and their concern for his health, were non-commissioned.

They were included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service.

The survey question on public satisfaction with the President is as follows: “Maaari po

bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pagganap ng tungkulin ni

RODRIGO DUTERTE bilang Presidente ng Pilipinas. Kayo ba ay lubos na nasisiyahan, medyo

nasisiyahan, hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi, medyo hindi nasisiyahan, lubos na hindi

nasisiyahan, o wala pa kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol kay RODRIGO

DUTERTE? [Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with the performance of

RODRIGO DUTERTE as President of the Philippines. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied,

undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied, or you have not ever

heard or read anything about RODRIGO DUTERTE?].

SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, “excellent”; +50 to +69,

“very good”; +30 to +49, “good”; +10 to +29, “moderate”, +9 to –9, “neutral”;

–10 to –29, “poor”; –30 to –49, “bad”; –50 to –69, “very bad”; –70 and below, “execrable.” SWS

considers the movement from one classification to another as either an “upgrade” or

“downgrade.”

On people’s expected fulfillment of the President's promises, the question was: "Sa inyong

palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni Pang. Rody Duterte ang posibleng matutupad? [Lahat o halos

lahat sa mga pangako; Karamihan sa mga pangako; Mga ilan sa mga pangako; Halos wala o wala

sa mga pangako] (In your opinion, how many of the promises of Pres. Rody Duterte can be

fulfilled?) [All or nearly all of the promises; Most of the promises; A few of the promises; Almost

none or none of the promises])".

On the people’s concern for the President’s health, the exact questions were:

a. “Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng mga problema sa kalusugan si Pang.

Rodrigo Duterte? Kayo po ba ay… (SHOWCARD: Talagang nababahala; Medyo nababahala;

Medyo hindi nababahala o talahang hindi nababahala)? [How worried are you that Pres. Rodrigo

Duterte will have health problems? Are you… (SHOWCARD: Worried a great deal; Somewhat

worried; Not too worried or not worried at all)?]”

b. “Alin sa dalawang pangungusap na ito ang pinakamalapit sa inyong opinyon tungkol sa

lagay ng kalusugan ni Pang. Duterte? (SHOWCARD: Ang lagay ng kalusugan ni Pang. Duterte ay

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21 January 2020, page 7 of 17

pampublikong paksa kung kaya’t dapat ipaalam sa mamamayan ang lahat ng bagay tungkol dito;

Ang lagay ng kalusugan ni Pang. Duterte ay pribadong paksa kung kaya’t hindi kailangang

ipaalam sa mamamayan ang lahat ng bagay tungkol dito; Walang sapat na kaalaman upang

makapagbigay ng opinyon) [Which of these two statements is closest to your opinion about the state

of health of Pres. Duterte? (SHOWCARD: Pres. Duterte’s state of health is a public matter that is

why the public should be informed of everything about this; Pres. Duterte’s state of health is a

private matter that is why the public does not need to be informed of everything about this; Do not

have enough knowledge to give an opinion – volunteered response)]”

SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing,

and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo

S. Laroza and Fernel Ted A. Paguinto.

#

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4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

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21 January 2020, page 8 of 17

Chart 1

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

+

+

+

+

+

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS:

PHILIPPINES, MAY 1986 TO DEC 2019

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

+72Aug 1989

3 ¼ yrs.

Dec 1994

2 ¼ yrs.

No honeymoon

Jun 1999

¾ yr.Jun 2014

3 ¾ yrs.

**

**

Table 1

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

C. AQUINO Net*

May 86 +53

Oct 86 +72

Ave. 1986 +63

Mar 87 +69

Oct 87 +36

Ave. 1987 +53

Feb 88 +64

Aug 88 +57

Sep 88 +50

Ave. 1988 +57

Feb 89 +37

Aug 89 +32

Sep 89 +29

Ave. 1989 +33

Mar 90 +24

Apr 90 +37

Nov 90 +7

Ave. 1990 +23

Apr 91 +24

Jul 91 +10

Nov 91 +10

Ave. 1991 +15

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded.

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS:

PHILIPPINES (page 1 of 2)

C. AQUINO

(cont) Net*

Feb 92 +13

Apr 92 +7

Ave. 1992 +10

Ave. C. Aquino +35

RAMOS Net*

Sep 92 +66

Dec 92 +60

Ave. 1992 +63

Apr 93 +66

Jul 93 +69

Sep 93 +62

Dec 93 +65

Ave. 1993 +60

Apr 94 +67

Aug 94 +55

Nov 94 +49

Dec 94 +50

Ave. 1994 +55

Mar 95 +24

Jun 95 +26

ESTRADA

Sep 98 +60

Nov 98 +61

Ave. 1998 +61

Mar 99 +67

Jun 99 +65

Oct 99 +28

Dec 99 +5

Ave. 1999 +41

Mar 00 +5

Jul 00 +13

Sep 00 +19

Dec 00 +9

Ave. 2000 +12

Ave. Estrada +33

ARROYO Net*

Mar 01 +24

Apr 01 +17

May 01 +18

Jul 01 +16

Sep 01 +15

Nov 01 +27

Ave. 2001 +20

ARROYO

(cont) Net*

Mar 02 +16

May 02 +4Aug 02 +28

Sep 02 +18

Nov 02 +6Ave. 2002 +14

Mar 03 -14

Jun 03 +14Sep 03 +2

Nov 03 -3

Ave. 2003 0

Jan 04 +8Feb 04 +15

Mar 04 +30

Jun 04 +26Aug 04 +12

Oct 04 -6

Dec 04 -5

Ave. 2004 +11Mar 05 -12

May 05 -33

Aug 05 -23

RAMOS

(cont) Net*

Oct 95 +1

Dec 95 +2

Ave. 1995 +13

Apr 96 +17

Jun 96 +19

Sep 96 +21

Dec 96 +24

Ave. 1996 +20

Apr 97 +50

Jun 97 +49

Sep 97 +35

Dec 97 +40

Ave. 1997 +44

Jan 98 +13

Feb 98 +20

Mar 98 +15

Mar-Apr 98 +30

Apr 98 +19

Ave. 1998 +19

Ave. Ramos +38

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SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 9 of 17

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

ARROYO

(cont) Net*

Dec 05 -30

Ave. 2005 -25

Mar 06 -25

Jun 06 -13

Sep 06 -11

Nov 06 -13

Ave. 2006 -16

Feb 07 -4

Jun 07 -3

Sep 07 -11

Dec 07 -16

Ave. 2007 -9

Mar 08 -26

Jun 08 -38

Jul 08 -50

Sep 08 -27

Dec 08 -24

Ave. 2008 -33

Feb 09 -32

Jun 09 -31

Sep 09 -38

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded.

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRESIDENTS:

PHILIPPINES (page 2 of 2)

ARROYO(cont) Net*

Dec 09 -38

Ave. 2009 -35

Mar 10 -53

Jun 10 -17

Ave. 2010 -35

Ave. Arroyo - 7

B. AQUINO

Sep 10 +60

Nov 10 +64

Ave. 2010 +62

Mar 11 +51

Jun 11 +46

Sep 11 +56

Dec 11 +58

Ave. 2011 +53

Mar 12 +49

May 12 +42

Aug 12 +67

Dec 12 +55

Ave. 2012 +53

B. AQUINO

(cont) Net*

Mar 13 +59

Jun 13 +64

Sep 13 +49

Dec 13 +49

Ave. 2013 +55

Mar 14 +45

Jun 14 +25

Sep 14 +34

Dec 14 +39

Ave. 2014 +36

Mar 15 +11

Jun 15 +30

Sep 15 +41

Dec 15 +32

Ave. 2015 +29

Apr 16 +27

Jun 16 +29

Ave. 2016 +28

Ave. B. Aquino +45

DUTERTE

Sep 16 +64

Dec 16 +63

Ave. 2016 +64

Mar 17 +63

Jun 17 +66

Sep 17 +48

Dec 17 +58

Ave. 2017 +59

Mar 18 +56

Jun 18 +45

Sep 18 +54

Dec 18 +60

Ave. 2018 +54

Mar 19 +66

Jun 19 +68

Sep 19 +65

Dec 19 +72

Ave. 2019 +68

Table 2

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

PUBLIC SATISFACTION WITH PRESIDENT

RODRIGO DUTERTE: JUN 2019 TO DEC 2019 (page 1 of 2)

Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied Net*

Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19

Total PH (100%) 80% 78% 82% 9% 9% 8% 12% 13% 10% +68 +65 +72

NCR (14%) 73 78 79 13 9 9 14 13 12 +59 +66 +66

Bal. Luzon (45%) 78 71 77 9 12 11 13 17 11 +65 +54 +66

Visayas (19%) 77 84 87 11 6 4 12 9 8 +66 +75 +79

Mindanao (22%) 88 85 88 4 6 5 8 9 7 +81 +76 +81

Urban (48%) 79 78 83 9 9 8 12 13 8 +67 +66 +75

Rural (52%) 80 77 80 9 9 8 11 13 11 +68 +64 +69

ABC (7%) 76 79 84 6 12 9 18 9 7 +58 +70 +76

D (75%) 79 79 82 10 9 8 11 13 10 +68 +66 +72

E (18%) 81 73 81 6 11 9 13 16 10 +68 +57 +71

Note: Figures in parentheses are Fourth Quarter 2019 national proportions.

* % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of RODRIGO DUTERTE as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

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4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

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21 January 2020, page 10 of 17

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

PUBLIC SATISFACTION WITH PRESIDENT

RODRIGO DUTERTE: MAR 2019 TO DEC 2019 (page 2 of 2)

Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied Net*Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19

Total PH (100%) 80% 78% 82% 9% 9% 8% 12% 13% 10% +68 +65 +72

Men (50%) 80 78 83 8 9 8 12 13 10 +67 +66 +73

Women (50%) 79 77 81 10 9 9 11 13 10 +69 +64 +71

18-24 (12%) 74 77 82 10 11 9 17 13 9 +57 +64 +73

25-34 (20%) 82 77 77 7 9 12 10 13 11 +72 +64 +67

35-44 (21%) 81 77 87 10 8 4 8 14 9 +73 +63 +78

45-54 (19%) 75 76 77 10 10 11 14 14 13 +61 +63 +64

55 + (28%) 81 80 85 8 9 7 11 12 8 +70 +68 +77

Some Elem (14%) 81 78 79 6 9 7 13 13 14 +68 +65 +64

Some HS (28%) 76 74 86 10 11 7 14 14 8 +62 +60 +78

Some Voc/Coll (47%) 82 79 80 9 8 10 9 12 10 +74 +67 +70

Coll. Grad (11%) 76 79 83 11 9 7 13 12 10 +63 +67 +73

Note: Figures in parentheses are Fourth Quarter 2019 national proportions.

* % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Dont Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of RODRIGO DUTERTE as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

Chart 2

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

EXPECTED FULFILLMENT OF THE PRESIDENT’S PROMISES:

PHILIPPINES, SEP 2001, SEP 2010, AND JUN 2016-DEC 2019

% o

f ad

ult

s

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Refused responses.

Q. Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni [Pres. Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo/Pres. Noynoy Aquino/Pres. Rody Duterte]ang posibleng matutupad? (SHOWCARD) [LAHAT O HALOS LAHAT SA MGA PANGAKO; KARAMIHAN SA MGA PANGAKO;MGA ILAN SA MGA PANGAKO; HALOS WALA O WALA SA MGA PANGAKO)

All or nearly all

Most

A few

Almost none or none

Pres. Gloria Pres. Macapagal- Noynoy

Arroyo Aquino Pres. Rody Duterte

Page 11: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 11 of 17

Chart 3

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

Among those who say that Pres. Duterte

can fulfill… of his promises

SATISFACTION WITH PRES. DUTERTE, BY EXPECTED

FULFILLMENT OF HIS PROMISES: PHILIPPINES,

SEP 2017, MAR 2018, DEC 2018, AND DEC 2019

* Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Refused responses.

Q. Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni Pang. Rody Duterte ang posibleng matutupad? (SHOWCARD) [LAHAT O HALOS LAHAT SA MGA PANGAKO, KARAMIHAN SA MGA PANGAKO, MGA ILAN SA MGA PANGAKO, HALOS WALA O WALA SA MGA PANGAKO]

% o

f ad

ult

s

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

Undecided

Net *

TotalPH

All or nearly all Most A few

Almost none or none

Chart 4

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

EXTENT OF WORRY ABOUT PRRD’S HEALTH:

PHILIPPINES, SEP 2018 TO DEC 2019

Note: Don’t know and non-responses are not shown. Figures may not add up due to rounding errors.

Q8: Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng mga problema sa kalusugan si Pang. Rodrigo Duterte? Kayo po ba ay…

(SHOWCARD: Talagang nababahala, Medyo nababahala, Medyo hindi nababahala, Talagang hindi nababahala)?

18 22 25 25

38

4449 47

22

16

15 15

23 1811 13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

55%

44%

66%

34%

74%

26% 28%

72%

Not worried at all

Somewhat

Not Worried

Worried a great deal

Somewhat Worried

% o

f ad

ult

s

Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Dec 2019Jun 2019

Page 12: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 12 of 17

Chart 5

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

SATISFACTION WITH PRES. DUTERTE,

BY EXTENT OF WORRY ABOUT PRRD’S HEALTH:

TOTAL PH, SEP AND DEC 2018 (Row %)

Satisfied DissatisfiedUndecided Net*

+79

+68

• % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied, correctly rounded.

• Don’t Know, No Answer, None, and Refused Responses are not shown.

+71

+54

+75

+48

+38

+36

Chart 6

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

37

33

61

61

Dec 2019

Sep 2018

OPINION ON WHETHER PRDD’S HEALTH IS A

PUBLIC MATTER OR PRIVATE MATTER:

PHILIPPINES, SEP 2018 AND DEC 2019

Note: Don’t Know, No Answer, None, and Refused Responses are not shown.

Q9: Alin sa dalawang pangungusap na ito ang pinakamalapit sa inyong opinyon tungkol sa lagay ng kalusugan ni Pang.

Duterte? (SHOWCARD) (ANG LAGAY NG KALUSUGAN NI PANG. DUTERTE AY PAMPUBLIKONG PAKSA

KUNG KAYA’T DAPAT IPAALAM SA MAMAMAYAN ANG LAHAT NG BAGAY TUNGKOL DITO, ANG LAGAY NG KALUSUGAN

NI PANG. DUTERTE AY PRIBADONG PAKSA KUNG KAYA’T HINDI KAILANGANG IPAALAM SA MAMAMAYAN ANG

LAHAT NG BAGAY TUNGKOL DITO, WALANG SAPAT NA KAALAMAN UPANG MAKAPAGBIGAY NG OPINYON)

Public matterPrivate matter

Those who think that PRRD’s health is a…

Page 13: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 13 of 17

Chart 7

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100+

+

+

+

+

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE:

BY AREA, SEP 2016 TO DEC 2019

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

NCR, +66Bal. Luzon, +66

Visayas, +79Mindanao, +81

Total PH NCR

Bal Luz Vis Min

Sep 16 +64 +58 +57 +62 +85Dec 16 +63 +59 +60 +61 +74Ave. 16 +64 +59 +59 +62 +80

Mar 17 +63 +64 +51 +62 +87Jun 17 +66 +63 +58 +73 +75Sep 17 +48 +44 +36 +43 +76Dec 17 +58 +55 +50 +53 +80Ave. 17 +59 +57 +49 +58 +80

Mar 18 +56 +54 +39 +65 +82Jun 18 +45 +34 +33 +47 +76Sep 18 +54 +36 +49 +49 +77Dec 18 +60 +58 +52 +62 +73Ave. 18 +54 +46 +43 +56 +77

Mar 19 +66 +61 +56 +69 +88Jun 19 +68 +59 +65 +66 +81Sep 19 +65 +66 +54 +75 +76

Dec 19 +72 +66 +66 +79 +81

Ave. 19 +68 +63 +60 +72 +82

Chart 8

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

+

+

+

+

+

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE:

BY LOCALE, SEP 2016 TO DEC 2019

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

Total PH Urban Rural

Sep 16 +64 +63 +67

Dec 16 +63 +66 +61

Ave. 16 +64 +65 +64

Mar 17 +63 +63 +63

Jun 17 +66 +68 +63

Sep 17 +48 +48 +47

Dec 17 +58 +63 +54

Ave. 17 +59 +61 +57

Mar 18 +56 +56 +56

Jun 18 +45 +38 +52

Sep 18 +54 +42 +62

Dec 18 +60 +64 +57

Ave. 18 +54 +50 +57

Mar 19 +66 +62 +69

Jun 19 +68 +67 +68

Sep 19 +65 +66 +64

Dec 19 +72 +75 +69

Ave. 19 +68 +68 +68

Rural, +69

Urban, +75

Page 14: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 14 of 17

Chart 9

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE:

BY CLASS, SEP 2016 TO DEC 2019

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100+

+

+

+

+

Total PH ABC D E

Sep 16 +64 +56 +65 +65

Dec 16 +63 +52 +64 +61

Ave. 16 +64 +54 +65 +63

Mar 17 +63 +56 +64 +60

Jun 17 +66 +59 +66 +67

Sep 17 +48 +57 +49 +35

Dec 17 +58 +66 +57 +65

Ave. 17 +59 +60 +59 +57

Mar 18 +56 +63 +57 +48

Jun 18 +45 +66 +43 +52

Sep 18 +54 +41 +56 +45

Dec 18 +60 +62 +58 +65

Ave. 18 +54 +58 +54 +52

Mar 19 +66 +69 +68 +58

Jun 19 +68 +58 +68 +68

Sep 19 +65 +70 +66 +57

Dec 19 +72 +76 +72 +71

Ave. 19 +68 +68 +69 +64

D, +72ABC, +76

E, +71

Chart 10

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE,

BY SEX, SEP 2016 TO DEC 2019

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

+

+

+

+

+

Total

PH Men Women

Sep 16 +64 +71 +58

Dec 16 +63 +66 +61

Ave. 16 +64 +69 +60

Mar 17 +63 +65 +61

Jun 17 +66 +63 +69

Sep 17 +48 +49 +46

Dec 17 +58 +61 +55

Ave. 17 +59 +60 +58

Mar 18 +56 +58 +54

Jun 18 +45 +46 +45

Sep 18 +54 +55 +53

Dec 18 +60 +63 +57

Ave. 18 +54 +55 +52

Mar 19 +66 +68 +65

Jun 19 +68 +67 +69

Sep 19 +65 +66 +64

Dec 19 +72 +73 +71

Ave. 19 +68 +69 +67

Women, +71Men, +73

Page 15: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 15 of 17

Chart 11

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE,

BY AGE GROUP, SEP 2016 TO DEC 2019

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100+

+

+

+

+

Tot PH

18-

24

25-

34

35-

44

45-

54 55+

Sep 16 +64 +55 +73 +71 +61 +58

Dec 16 +63 +70 +66 +65 +65 +56

Ave. 16 +64 +63 +70 +68 +63 +57

Mar 17 +63 +59 +71 +59 +64 +61

Jun 17 +66 +59 +67 +72 +58 +68

Sep 17 +48 +40 +53 +45 +53 +45

Dec 17 +58 +46 +63 +63 +52 +58

Ave. 17 +59 +51 +64 +60 +57 +58

Mar 18 +56 +48 +69 +52 +56 +54

Jun 18 +45 +50 +43 +46 +47 +44

Sep 18 +54 +49 +59 +54 +56 +50

Dec 18 +60 +62 +64 +62 +52 +59

Ave. 18 +54 +52 +59 +53 +53 +52

Mar 19 +66 +70 +66 +70 +68 +61

Jun 19 +68 +57 +72 +73 +61 +70

Sep 19 +65 +64 +64 +63 +63 +68

Dec 19 +72 +73 +67 +78 +64 +77

Ave. 19 +68 +66 +67 +71 +64 +69

18-24, +7325-34, +67

35-44, +78

45-54, +64

55+, +77

Chart 12

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

+

+

+

+

+

NET SATISFACTION RATINGS* OF PRES. RODRIGO DUTERTE,

BY EDUCATIONAL LEVEL, SEP 2016 TO DEC 2019

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines. Are you Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, Very dissatisfied?

Total PH

Some Elem

Some HS

Some Voc/

Some Coll.

Coll. Grad

Sep 16 +64 +54 +57 +71 +65Dec 16 +63 +57 +56 +68 +72Ave. 16 +64 +56 +57 +70 +69Mar 17 +63 +60 +64 +60 +76Jun 17 +66 +68 +66 +62 +76Sep 17 +48 +41 +38 +56 +48Dec 17 +58 +63 +54 +56 +69Ave. 17 +59 +58 +56 +59 +67Mar 18 +56 +58 +53 +54 +69Jun 18 +45 +50 +40 +46 +52Sep 18 +54 +57 +59 +49 +54Dec 18 +60 +58 +56 +62 +65Ave. 18 +54 +56 +52 +53 +60Mar 19 +66 +71 +60 +67 +74Jun 19 +68 +68 +62 +74 +63Sep 19 +65 +65 +60 +67 +67Dec 19 +72 +64 +78 +70 +73Ave. 19 +68 +67 +65 +70 +69

Coll Grad, +73Some Coll, +70Some Elem, +64

Some HS, +78

Page 16: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 16 of 17

Chart 13

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

EXPECTED FULFILLMENT OF PRES. RODY DUTERTE’S

PROMISES: BY AREA, JUN 2016 TO DEC 2019 (1/2)

All or nearly all

Most

A few

Almost none or none

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Refused responses.

Q. Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni Pres. Rody Duterte ang posibleng matutupad? (SHOWCARD) [LAHAT OHALOS LAHAT SA MGA PANGAKO; KARAMIHAN SA MGA PANGAKO; MGA ILAN SA MGA PANGAKO; HALOS WALA OWALA SA MGA PANGAKO)

Metro BalanceManila Luzon

% o

f ad

ult

s

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

EXPECTED FULFILLMENT OF PRES. RODY DUTERTE’S

PROMISES: BY AREA, JUN 2016 TO DEC 2019 (2/2)

All or nearly all

Most

A few

Almost none or none

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Refused responses.

Q. Sa inyong palagay, ilan sa mga pangako ni Pres. Rody Duterte ang posibleng matutupad? (SHOWCARD) [LAHAT OHALOS LAHAT SA MGA PANGAKO; KARAMIHAN SA MGA PANGAKO; MGA ILAN SA MGA PANGAKO; HALOS WALA OWALA SA MGA PANGAKO)

Visayas Mindanao

% o

f ad

ult

s

Page 17: Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's ... · Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction at new record "Excellent" +72 • 52% expect PRRD to fulfill nearly all/most of

4th Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

21 January 2020, page 17 of 17

Chart 14

Fourth Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportDecember 13-16, 2019 National Survey

EXTENT OF WORRY ABOUT PRRD’S HEALTH,

BY AREA, SEP 2018 TO DEC 2019

WorriedNot worried

Note: Don’t know and non-responses are not shown.

Q8: Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng mga problema sa kalusugan si Pang. Rodrigo Duterte? Kayo po ba ay…

(SHOWCARD: Talagang nababahala, Medyo nababahala, Medyo hindi nababahala, Talagang hindi nababahala)?

% o

f ad

ult

s

TOTAL PH

Metro Manila

Balance Luzon

Visayas

Mindanao