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Weekly New 03/01/2011 wsletter-Commodit www.capita ty alheight.com

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Page 1: Free Stock Tips | Intraday Tips | MCX Tips | Stock Market Tips

Weekly Newsletter03/01/2011

Weekly Newsletter-Commodity

www.capitalheight.com

Commodity

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Weekly Newsletter

Contents

Market Wrap

Technical Analysis

Gold ( Comex)

Silver ( Comex)

Crude ( Nymex)

Naturalgas ( Nymex)

Copper (Comex)

USD/INR

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MARKET WRAP

Second year of top gains set high hopes for 2011 in commodities

Silver is hottest commodity in CRB, rising 83 pct

Gold posts 10th annual gain

Copper caps 2010 with run of records

Oil hits 26-month high to end 2010 up 15 pct

Gold gained almost 30% this year and posted its tenth annual gain. Gold ended positive

for fifth consecutive week while posting one of the biggest weekly gains to end near its all

time of $1431.12. Gold gained $48 this week to end the year on positive note at $1421.15.

The surge in gold is due to languishing dollar and uncertain global economic stability.

Precious metals outlook in 2011 is positive while Gold will continue to rise in 2011 on the

back of strong fundamentals, inflationary pressures in China and abundant liquidity in the

global markets complimented by a weaker dollar. Though on a cautious note, holdings of

the world’s largest gold backed ETF, New York’s SPDR fell to 1,280.722 tonnes vs.

1,284.973 tonnes, it’s lowest since early June.

Crude oil ended positive for 3rd consecutive week hitting a fresh 28-month high of $92.03

while it gained 15% in 2010 though its weekly gain were comparatively less on smaller

than expected drop in crude oil inventories. Crude oil gained $0.57 this week to end at

$91.39 on the back of positive U.S economic data like jobless claims which came down at

388k & pending home sales up at 3.5%. The demand of crude in 2011 is expected to rise

as the OPEC is not clear over increasing the crude production in coming half year of 2011.

The crude inventories for the week came at (-) 1.3m vs. (-) 5.3m against expected at (-)

2.8m. Natural gas lost 20.9% this year while ended the week at $4.392 gaining 7.6% this

week. The natural gas storage came at (-) 136b.

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TECHNICAL

WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

GOLD 1554 1504 1454

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Bullish

Resistance:- 1438

Support:- 1402,13

Strategy:- Buy on dips

ECHNICAL VIEW GOLD

R2 R1 P S1 S2

1454 1438 1404 1388 1354

438,1480$

1371$

Buy on dips

GOLD WEEKLY

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S3 S4

1304 1254

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WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

SILVER 36.77 34.57 32.37

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Bullish

Resistance:- 31.60,32.40

Support:- 30.20,29.40

Strategy:- Buy on dips

SILVER

R2 R1 P S1 S2

32.37 31.60 30.17 29.40 27.97

31.60,32.40$

30.20,29.40$

Buy on dips

SILVER WEEKLY

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S3 S4

25.77 23.57

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WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

CRUDE 99.9 96.9 93.8

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 93.80

Support:- 89.10,85

Strategy:- Buy on dips

CRUDE

R2 R1 P S1 S2

93.8 92.6 90.8 89.6 87.8

Consolidate

93.80,98.90$

.10,85.20$

Buy on dips

CRUDE WEEKLY

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S3 S4

84.8 81.7

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WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

NG 5.49 5.09 4.69

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Bearish

Resistance:- 4.240,

Support:- 3.860,3.

Strategy:- Sell on high

NATURALGAS

R2 R1 P S1 S2

4.69 4.54 4.29 4.14 3.89

4.240,4.650$

3.520$

Sell on high

NATURALGAS WEEKLY

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S3 S4

3.49 3.09

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WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3

COPPER 510.1 485.3 460.5

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Bullish

Resistance:- 452,473

Support:- 421,399

Strategy:- Buy on dips

COPPER

R2 R1 P S1 S2

460.5 451.9 535.8 427.1 411.0

452,473

421,399

Buy on dips

COPPER WEEKLY

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S3 S4

386.2 361.5

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WEEKLY PIVOT

SCRIPT R4 R3 R2

INR 46.74 46.12 45.50

OUTLOOK

Trend:- Consolidate

Resistance:- 45.40

Support:- 44.50,43.90

Strategy:- Sell on high

USD/INR

R2 R1 P S1 S2

45.50 45.10 44.88 44.48 44.26

Consolidate

0,46.20

43.90

Sell on high

USD/INR WEEKLY

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S3 S4

43.64 43.02

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