FROM DATA TO ELECTRICITY12th September

Jürgen Tzschoppe, Executive Vice President,

Market operations & IT, Statkraft

Scenarios show a greener energy supply and usage

2

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2015. Outcome space = IEA Current Policy Scenario – IEA 450ppm Scenario

…bending emission pathways earlierEnergy supply and usage greener…

IEA New

Policy

scenario

Statkraft

Low

Emissions

scenario

20352013

12

14

16

18

10

6

0

2

4

8

Renewables

23%

Today IEA

New Policy

Coal

Natural gas

Nuclear

Bio&waste

31% 27%

Statkraft Low

Emission

29%

21%

5%10%

17%

24%

7%

11%

World’s primary energy demand (Billions toe)

15%

25%

2%1%

Oil

3% Hydro7%

11%3%

4%

23%

World’s energy-related emissions (GtCO2e)

Outcome space

remains wide

Continuing

today’s RES

trends

Allowing for

clean-tech

trends in

transport and

other end-use

sectors

Assuming

policy-makers

tighten in

accordance

with Paris

5year cycle

Norway has a unique starting point: An emission free power sector

Germany UK Sweden Norway

2025

Germany UK Sweden Norway

2005

EU reference year

Renewable

Nuclear

Fossil

Electricity production

The second half of the green transition remains:Phasing out fossil fuel consumption

4Source: Global CO” emissions: McKinsey & Company: Pathways to Low-Carbon Economy

Norway’s CO2 emissions: SSB: 18.12.2015

1

11

Waste

Power prod.

4Buildings

6Transport

6

2

3

Other industry

Cement

Oil and gas

0

2

1

16

10

5

15

Power

production and

waste

Buildings

Industry

Transport

Agriculture and

forestry

Global GtCO2e

emissions 2005

Norway’s MtCO2e

emissions 2014

6

7

Agriculture

Forestry

4

-26

Centralized Decentralized

Yesterday’s power system was straight forward

Combined

Heat and

Power (CHP)

Power plant

Boiler

Gas

storage

Electricity

demand

Transport

demand

Heat

demand

Hydro

Nuclear

Fossil fuels

(coal, gas

and oil)

Meter

Electricity

Petrol/diesel

Heat

Gas

Boiler

5

Centralized Decentralized

Energy internet

…. but tomorrow’s system is complicated

Combined

Heat and

Power (CHP)

Power plant

Boiler

Heat pump/

El-boiler

Heat

storage

Gas

storage

Electrolyzer

Electricity

demand

Transport

demand

Electricity

storage

Heat

demand

Hydro

Wind

Solar

Biomass

and waste

Nuclear

Fossil fuels

(coal, gas

and oil)

Electricity

storage

Meter

Hydrogen

Heat pump/

El-boiler

Electricity

Petrol/diesel

Micro CHP

Heat

storage

Heat

Wind

Solar

Biomass/

-gas

Biofuel

Gas

Boiler

6

Digitalisation in the energy industry affects all elements in the value chain…

7

Generation Transmission DistributionWholesale

tradingRetail

Big data improves

capability of forecasting

output and managing

intermittent renewables

Smart grids provides big

data allowing for better

monitoring and operations

Big data and algorithmic

business provides

opportunities for predictive

maintenance

Big data and algorithmic

business provides

opportunities for predictive

maintenance

Mobile and web

infrastructure give workers

access to maps, data and

work orders

"Internet of Things" enables

smarter appliances, smarter

energy use and more

informed customers

Algorithmic trading has

started and will continue to

grow

Big data and algorithms will

increase the ability to

forecast

Mobile and web

infrastructure has already

and will continue to change

interaction with customers

Digitalisation in the energy industry affects all elements in the value chain…

8

Generation Transmission DistributionWholesale

tradingRetail

Big data improves

capability of forecasting

output and managing

intermittent renewables

Smart grids provides big

data allowing for better

monitoring and operations

Mobile and web

infrastructure give workers

access to maps, data and

work orders

"Internet of Things" enables

smarter appliances, smarter

energy use and more

informed customers

Algorithmic trading has

started and will continue to

grow

Big data and algorithms will

increase the ability to

forecast

Mobile and web

infrastructure has already

and will continue to change

interaction with customers

Big data and algorithmic

business provides

opportunities for predictive

maintenance

Big data and algorithmic

business provides

opportunities for predictive

maintenance

…but also disrupts the value chain

9

Generation

Transmission

Distribution

Wholesale

trading

Retail

Distributed generation

EV charging

Wholesale & retail

roles interminglingTransmission left out?

Storage

In line with market changes we have substantial innovation activities

10

Costumers

Virtual power plant leading the way

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Grønn kontakt

12

Tado

13

The smart energy solution for the future

14

www.statkraft.com

THANK YOU

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