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January 2015 From Idea to Investment Workshop and mentorship 1-day program Douglas Abrams

From Idea to Investment - TCELS · From Idea to Investment Day 1 9:00 AM Investment: why and how 10:30 AM Break 10:45 AM Key elements for success - value proposition and innovation

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January 2015

From Idea to Investment

Workshop and mentorship 1-day program

Douglas Abrams

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About the facilitator

• Wharton MBA

• JP Morgan – Vice President - IB Technology, Global Markets Internet Marketing

• Parallax Capital Management – Co-founder and MD - Venture Capital

• Extream Ventures – Co-founder and MD - S$20 million VC fund

• Expara – Founder and MD - IDM Ventures Incubator, fund, advisory, training

• NUS – Adjunct Associate Professor, Business School, Entrepreneurship

• Sasin – Visiting Professor, Venture Capital

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From Idea to Investment

Day 1

9:00 AM Investment: why and how

10:30 AM Break

10:45 AM Key elements for success - value proposition and innovation

12:30 PM Lunch

1:30 PM Case study

3:00 PM Break

3:15 PM Fund raising and financial plan

5:00 PM End

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From Idea to Investment

• Investment: why and how?

• Key elements for success

• Financial plan and fundraising

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Why do ventures seek investment?

• A big piece of a small pie?

• A small piece of a big pie?

• Risk and return?

Founder

Investors

Investors

Founder

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Why do investors invest in ventures?

• Risk and return are highly correlated

• You cannot increase return without taking more risk

Return

Risk

Potential outcomes

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Risk and return – small versus scalable business

• Small business: limited scope,

complication and risk. Slow

growth.

• Scalable business: significant

scope, complication, and risk.

Rapid growth.

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How do entrepreneurs fund growth?

• Internally generated

• Debt

• Hybrid

• Equity

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Cost, control, growth and risk

Internal

Debt

Equity

Source of funds

Cost Lose Control Growth $ Risk

Impact of funding

Low Somewhat High

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Financial leverage and firm value

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Companies founded with venture capital

www.nvca.org

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Industries created by venture capital

www.nvca.org

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How does a venture capital fund work?

Fund Investors

VC

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$ 10 mm

2

$ 10 mm

$ 58 mm

25%

75%

Fund size 10,000,000$

Life of the fund 7

Management fee 2.5%

Investable 8,250,000$

Investment size 1,031,250$

Companies 8

Fail 4 50%

Break even 2 25%

Exit 2 25%

Investor's required ROI 35%

Fund multiple return 5.76

Fund size at exit 57,600,000$

Carry @ 20% 9,520,000

Distribution 48,080,000$

Fund return multiple 4.81

Fund ROI 35%

Required return per exit 28 times

Equity per company F/D 15%

Required value of equity at exit 28,800,000$

Required co value at exit 192,000,000$

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Why invest in venture capital?

As of 31-Dec 2014 The Cambridge Associates LLC U.S. Venture Capital Index® is an end-to-end calculation based on data compiled from 1,569 U.S. venture capital funds (1,002

early stage, 175 late & expansion stage, 386 multi-stage and 6 venture debt funds), including fully liquidated partnerships, formed between 1981 and 2014.

1Pooled end-to-end return, net of fees, expenses, and carried interest. Sources: Cambridge Associates LLC, Barclays, Dow Jones Indexes, Frank Russell Company, Standard &

Poor's, Thomson Reuters Datastream, and Wilshire Associates, Inc. *Capital change only

Case Shiller Real Estate Index 4.1

Expara IDM Ventures (2) 47.00

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The investor’s decision tree

Innovative?

Yes

Value proposition?

Yes

Fast-growing market?

Yes

Exit

No

No

No

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Exit markets at an inflection point

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What should be in your business plan

1. Executive summary

2. Value proposition and

innovation

3. Market identification and

analysis

4. Marketing and sales strategy

5. Sustainable competitive

advantage

Overview, innovation, market

6. Company products and services

7. Team

8. Expansion plan

9. Operational plan

10. Finances – Revenue and cash

flow, valuation, funding required,

equity offered, ROI

Execution and financials

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Entrepreneur and investor communication

• Executive summary – 1-3 pages

• Business plan – 25 – 50 pages

• Investor presentation slides

• Verbal presentations to investors – informal and formal

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Getting to gatekeepers

• It’s not what you know; it’s who

you know

• Network, network, network

• Strong ties and loose ties

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Getting past gatekeepers

• Why are presentations important?

• Understand gatekeepers’ incentives

• Avoid raising red flags

• Attention to detail

• Get it right the first time

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Effective presentations are simple

• Your message needs to be clear, concise and simple

• Clean visual design – avoid chart junk and “design-itis”

• On presentation slides, less is more – slides, bullet points, text

• Use meaningful titles

• Do not read your slides

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Practice and test

• Analyze the details of your presentation, then master those details

by practice, practice, practice.

• Arrive early and if you are using any technology, test it

• If you can not get in early, try to test the night before

• It is OK to be nervous before you begin

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Nailing the Q&A

• Audience has a chance to ask you about what is on their mind.

• Q&A is do or die time.

• Prepare for Q&A by studying your material in-depth

• Anticipate likely difficult questions and formulate answers

• Note questions you are asked and if you did not have a good

answer to a specific question, formulate one for next time.

• Don’t disagree - agree

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From Idea to Investment

• Investment: why and how?

• Key elements for success

• Financial plan and fundraising

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Key elements for success

• Develop an innovative product – Innovation

• Solve a problem for customers – Value proposition

• Identify your customers – Market identification and analysis

• Reach your customers – Marketing strategy

• Compete when others enter - Sustainable competitive advantage

• Make money – Business model and financial plan

• Team – A team or B team

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Problem Solution

Key

Metrics

Cost drivers Revenue model

Value

proposition

and

innovation

Sustainable

competitive

advantage

Channels

Customer

segments

Market size

Customer

archetype High concept

Existing

solutions

Top 1-3 customer

problems

How are these

problems solved

today?

Your solutions to

customer

problems

Key numbers that

tell if you are

succeeding

What is innovative

about your

solution? Why are

you better than

existing solutions?

One sentence

that says it all

How will you

create barriers to

entry for

followers?

How will you get

your product to

customers?

Who are your

target

customers?

How big is your

market and how

fast is it growing?

Characteristics of

your key

customers

How do you

generate

revenue?

What are your

key cost drivers?

Expara Business Model Canvas

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Questions to answer

• Innovation

• Value proposition

• Market identification and analysis

• Marketing strategy

• Sustainable competitive advantage

• Financials

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Don’t go too early or too late

Measure of

performance

Measure of effort invested

The technology adoption S curve

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Value proposition and innovation

1. What is the painful problem you are solving for customers?

2. What is your product and what is innovative about it?

3. What are the shortfalls of the current solutions?

4. How do you solve this problem and can you quantify your benefit?

5. How does your innovation enable you to accomplish this?

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Diamond Rio versus iPod

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Disruptive business model or disruptive tech

• Diamond is the first mover in

portable MP3 in 1998

• Apple enters in 2003 and

captures 90% of the market

• Business model innovation –

hardware + software + service

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Business model innovation: Gillette to Google

• Gillette – razor and blade

• Southwest Airlines – budget airlines

• Dell Computer – mass customization

• Charles Schwab – on-line broker

• Amazon – ecommerce

• eBay – peer to peer marketplace

• Google – search-based advertising

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Market timing – entering at the inflection point

Measure of

performance

Measure of effort invested

The technology adoption S curve

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Types of markets

• Existing markets

• Re-segmented markets/niche market

• New market

• Clone market

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Top-down market sizing

Total addressable market

Target market

Target segment

Market share

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Bottom-up market sizing

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Market identification and analysis

1. What is your market type?

2. How big is your market and how fast is it growing?

– Top-down approach

– Bottom-up approach

3. What are trends in your market are favourable for you?

– Technological, social, demographic, regulatory

4. Who are your direct and indirect competitors?

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Case study: Value proposition

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From Idea to Investment

• Investment: why and how?

• Key elements for success

• Financial plan and fundraising

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In the financial section of the business plan

1. Business model – Revenue model – Cost structure

2. Financial projections

3. Valuation

4. Funding required and equity offered

5. Use of Proceeds

6. Exit Strategy and ROI

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Elements of a business model

• Revenue models

• Cost structures

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Calculate investor’s ROI including dilution

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Stages and sources of funds

Founder’s

Capital

Seed/

Angel

Series

A, B, CMezzanine Pre-Exit Exit

VC hurdle rates 60-100% 40-60% 20%

OM

F,F&F

Incubators

corporations

government

Customers, suppliers,

strategic partners

VCs, Banks for VC loans

R&D Establishment GTM/Rollout Accelerated Expansion Maturity

Enablement growth

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Cap table

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Key elements of a term sheet

• Board of directors

• Protective provisions

• Drag-along agreement

• Conversion

Control

• Price-per-share

• Valuation

• Amount of financing

• Liquidation preference

• Vesting

• Options pool

• Anti-dilution

• Pay-to-play

Economics

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Contact us

• Douglas Abrams

• Expara Pte. Ltd.

[email protected]

• www.expara.com

• 65-6323-3084, 65-9780-5381 (hp)

• Block 71 Ayer Rajah Crescent, #02-10/11 Singapore 139951