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From Last Time • How to solve/ make predictions for the game? • What is Iterated Elimination of Dominated Strategies? • What is a Nash Equilibrium?

Game theory 3

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Page 1: Game theory 3

From Last Time

• How to solve/ make predictions for the game?

• What is Iterated Elimination of Dominated Strategies?

• What is a Nash Equilibrium?

Page 2: Game theory 3

Nash Equilibrium

Nash Equilibrium:• A set of strategies, one for each player, such

that each player’s strategy is a best response to others’ strategies

Everybody is playing a best response• No incentive to unilaterally change my strategy

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BEST RESPONSE

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Solving the game

• How to solve the game when there are no dominated strategies?

Page 5: Game theory 3

Coordination Games

Opera Movie

Opera 2,1 0,0

Movie 0,0 1,2

Page 6: Game theory 3

Matching Pennies

L R

L 1,-1 -1, 1

R -1, 1 1,-1

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Best Response

• Form beliefs about what others will do

• If you believe opponent will play Opera: Best Response is to play Opera

• Similarly, if you believe opponent will play Movie: Best Response is to play Movies

Page 8: Game theory 3

Coordination Games

Opera Movie

Opera 2,1 0,0

Movie 0,0 1,2

Page 9: Game theory 3

Best Response

• Best Response: Action that gives highest payoff given a belief about others play

• Best Response changes with different beliefs about opponents play.

• There may be more than one Best Response for a belief

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L C

R

U 8, 3 0, 4 4,4

M 8,5 1,5 5,3

D 3,7 0,1 2,0

Page 11: Game theory 3

Forming Beliefs

• Forming one’s belief is the important part of strategy

• Success depends upon belief formation

Page 12: Game theory 3

Best Response Functions

Consider best response function of i:

Bi(a-i) = {ai is element of Ai: u I (ai,a-i ) ≥ ui(ai',a-i ) for all ai’ that is element of Ai}

• Set-valued, each member of Bi(a-i) is a best responseto a-i

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Best Response Functions

a* is a Nash equilibrium if and only if ai* is element of Bi(a-i*) for every i

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Best Response Function Examples

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Best Response Function Examples

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Best Response Function Examples

Player 2B1 B2 B3

Player 1 A1 10,10 14,12 14,15

A2 12,14 20,20 28,15

A3 15,14 15,28 25,25

•What is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’sstrategy of B1, B2 or B3?•What is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’sstrategy of A1, A2 or A3?

Page 17: Game theory 3

Best Response in 2-player game

Using best response function to find Nash equilibrium in a 2-player game

( s1,s2) is a Nash equilibrium if and only if

• player 1’s strategy s1 is her best response to player 2’s strategy s2 • player 2’s strategy s2 is her best response to player 1’s strategy s1

Page 18: Game theory 3

Battle of Sexes

•Ball is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Ball•Ball is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Ball•Hence, (Ball, Ball) is a Nash equilibrium•Theatre is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Theatre•Theatre is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Theatre•Hence, (Theatre, Theatre) is a Nash equilibrium

Player2

Ball Theatre

Player1 Ball 2,1 0,0

Theatre 0,0 1,2

Page 19: Game theory 3

Matching Pennies

•Head is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Tail•Tail is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Tail•Tail is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Head•Head is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Head•Hence, NO Nash equilibrium

Player2

Head Tail

Player1 Head -1,1 1,-1

Tail 1,-1 -1,1

Page 20: Game theory 3

ITERATED ELIMINATION OF STRICTLY DOMINATED STRATEGY

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Iterated Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies

X Y Z

A 3, 3 0, 5 0,4

B 0,0 3,1 1,2

Page 22: Game theory 3

Common Knowledge

• First Level: You and Opponent know the matrix• Second Level: -You know that Opponent knows the matrix-Opponent knows that you know the matrix• Third Level- You know that opponent knows that you know the

matrix- Opponent knows that you know that opponent knows

the matrix

Page 23: Game theory 3

Iterated Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies

X Y Z

A 3, 3 0, 5 0,4

B 0,0 3,1 1,2

Page 24: Game theory 3

Iterated Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies

• If a strategy is strictly dominated for some player, eliminate it

• Repeat, eliminating any strictly dominated strategies in reduced game

Page 25: Game theory 3

Dominance example

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Dominance exampleB is dominated for Player 1 After eliminating B,R is dominated for Player 2

Page 27: Game theory 3

IEDS Example

Page 28: Game theory 3

IEDS Example

Page 29: Game theory 3

IEDS Example

Page 30: Game theory 3

IEDS Example

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L C R

T 2,3 2,2 5,0

Y 3,2 5,3 3,1

Z 4,3 1,1 2,2

B 1,2 0,1 4,4

Page 32: Game theory 3

L C R

T 2,3 2,2 5,0

Y 3,2 5,3 3,1

Z 4,3 1,1 2,2

B 1,2 0,1 4,4

Page 33: Game theory 3

L C R

T 2,3 2,2 5,0

Y 3,2 5,3 3,1

Z 4,3 1,1 2,2

B 1,2 0,1 4,4

Page 34: Game theory 3

L C R

T 2,3 2,2 5,0

Y 3,2 5,3 3,1

Z 4,3 1,1 2,2

B 1,2 0,1 4,4

Page 35: Game theory 3

L C R

T 2,3 2,2 5,0

Y 3,2 5,3 3,1

Z 4,3 1,1 2,2

B 1,2 0,1 4,4

Page 36: Game theory 3

Another IEDS Example

Page 37: Game theory 3

Order of Elimination Question: Does the order of elimination matter?

Answer: Although it is not obvious, the end result of iterated strict dominance is always the same regardless of the sequence of eliminations.

Page 38: Game theory 3

Payoff Matrix for Bottled Water Game

Firm Coca Cola

Raise Decrease

Raise

Decrease

Firm Pepsi Co

+1, +1 -1, +2

0, 0+2, -1

Page 39: Game theory 3

ITERATED ELIMINATION OF WEAKLY DOMINATED STRATEGY

Page 40: Game theory 3

Weakly Dominated Strategies

ai weakly dominates a’i if for all strategy profiles a-i of the other players

ui(ai, a-i) ≥ui(a’i, a-i) and there is at least one a-i'

such that ui(ai, a-i') >ui(a’i, a-i')

Page 41: Game theory 3

Example A B C

I -1, 3 0, 3 3, 7

II -1, 4 2, 7 6, 5

Page 42: Game theory 3

Weakly Dominated Strategies

• A weakly dominated strategy can be chosen in a Nash equilibrium

Page 43: Game theory 3

Firm Coca Cola

Raise Decrease

Raise

Decrease

Firm Pepsi Co

+1, +1 0, 0

0, 00,0

Page 44: Game theory 3

Weakly Dominated Strategies

• A weakly dominated strategy can be chosen in a Nash equilibrium

• Order of eliminating weakly dominated strategies matters

Page 45: Game theory 3

Example A B C

I -1, 3 0, 3 3, 7

II -1, 4 2, 7 6, 5

Page 46: Game theory 3

Example A B C

I -1, 3 0, 3 3, 7

II -1, 4 2, 7 6, 5

• Eliminate I, • Eliminate A, I

Page 47: Game theory 3

A B

I 0,0 2,5

II 5,5 100,5

III 5,5 0,0

Page 48: Game theory 3

• I is weakly dominated by II• B is weakly dominated by A• (II,A) AND (III,A) are two possible outcomes

A B

I 0,0 2,5

II 5,5 100,5

III 5,5 0,0

Page 49: Game theory 3

• III is weakly dominated by II• A is weakly dominated by B• (II,B) is a possible outcome

A B

I 0,0 2,5

II 5,5 100,5

III 5,5 0,0

Page 50: Game theory 3

Order of Elimination

• If you eliminate a strategy when there is some other strategy that yields payoffs that are higher or equal no matter what the other players do, you are doing iterated weak dominance

• In this case you will not always get the same answer regardless of the sequence of eliminations.

•This is a serious problem, and this is the reason why iterated strict dominance is mostly used.