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GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

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Page 1: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAMAND FUTURE UPGRADES

Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

Page 2: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

BARWON WATER

Regional Water Corporation

South west of Melbourne

Page 3: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG DISTRICT SEWER CATCHMENT

Geelong

Page 4: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG DISTRICT SEWER CATCHMENT

Page 5: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG DISTRICT SEWER CATCHMENT

Page 6: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG DISTRICT SEWER CATCHMENT

Page 7: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

POPULATION GROWTH PREDICTION

GREATER GEELONG AREA2045 PREDICTION

New residents: between 88,000 and 142,000

Total ADWFs will increase by between 75ML/day and 100ML/day (over 50% increase)

Increase in ADWF to Black Rock WRP between 69ML/day and 92ML/day (over 50% increase)

Page 8: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG DISTRICT SEWER CATCHMENT

Page 9: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG TRUNK NETWORK

Trunk network in Geelong

- Relatively isolated from northern flows

- Relying on two main sewers

- Very difficult to upgrade (going through Geelong CBD

- High impact in case of failure

- Future servicing strategy relying on smart use of interconnections and current capacity.

Flow Retarding Facility

New WRP

Page 10: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG TRUNK NETWORK

How it works

Page 11: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

CURRENT PRACTICE

Current Status Quo

- Extensive use of WSAA code recommendations for smaller divisions- A current MIKE11/MOUSE trunk sewer model mainly used by

consultants- No in-house expertise on model/software package

Page 12: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MONITORING PROGRAM

Location of monitors

Monitoring for:- Level- Flow- EC- Rainfall

Monitoring Program:- Early phase of

implementation- May be enhanced by

temporary monitoring- 3 years long - Main scope is to provide

reliable data for the modelling project

Page 13: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MODELLING PROGRAM SCOPE

MAIN SCOPE- Prove 1 in 5 years compliance- Providing better network behavior understanding- Providing critical information for new Capital Works Expenditure- Providing option analysis tools (best value for money)- Providing information for maintenance purposes (high infiltration areas,

diversion flows, etc.)

ADDITIONAL SCOPE- Confirmation of sewer return ratios- Information regarding effects of water restriction on sewer flows- Confirmation of impact of repairs (e.g. sewer re-lining, de-silting) and

replacements- Better prediction of the impact of new developments- Flow profiles and their impact on sewer mining options- Impact of sewer mining on network- Infiltration level information (including saltwater infiltration)- Horizontal integration with BW’s GIS system

Will attempt to solve main issues we are facing such as:

- How much spare capacity we still have in the pipes

- How the interconnections will work and how the network will respond

- How the new WRP to the north of Geelong will influence the network behavior

- When we will need to upgrade the transport pipe from Geelong to Black Rock

Page 14: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MODELLING RESOURCING AND DELIVERY OPTIONS

Current ideas:DEVELOPMENT: Externally developed, internally maintained

- Provides best combination of risk mitigation and value for expenditure

MODEL TYPE:Detailed network

- Longer setup time of geographical network however far easier to set up parameters and loadings

- Corrected GIS data can be fed back into the GIS system- Less error prone to options analysis and inclusion of new developments

and demands (no bulk catchments)- Provide a good platform for the modelling of other smaller areas for

various purposes (infiltration modelling, sewer mining, flows diversions etc.)

- Easy to improve in the future

Page 15: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MODELLING RESOURCING AND DELIVERY OPTIONS

SUMMARY:

My recommendation is for the model to be:- Detailed network- Externally generated- Internally maintained

Page 16: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MODELLING PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION STEPS

1. Ensure stakeholders agreement and corporate support: Aug-Sept

2. Ask for capabilities statement and/or presentations from major software developers (i.e. write software requirements brief): Sept-Oct

3. Choose software package: Oct-Nov

4. Write consultants brief: Nov

5. Tender process: Nov-Dec

6. Project delivery: Early 2011 with yearly calibrations

7. Maintenance and training: 2011 onwards

Page 17: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MODELLING PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION STEPS

Discussion

Page 18: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MAIN OUTFALL SEWER DUPLICATION

Main Outfall Sewer as a part of the overall network:

MAIN OUTFALL SEWER DUPLICATION

Page 19: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

GEELONG DISTRICT SEWER CATCHMENT

Page 20: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MAIN OUTFALL SEWER

Characteristics:

- 10.5 km long

- 1650mm dia

- Strategic asset

- Very shallow slope (1 in 3000)

- Over 30 years old but in acceptable condition

Page 21: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

MAIN OUTFALL SEWER AND ITS DUPLICATION

MAIN OUTFALL SEWER

- Close to reaching capacity in wet weather

- We know it will need to be upgraded

- The modelling program will provide better estimates of future flows and upgrade timelines

- Running through major future development hence route needs to be decided before development occurs

- Current capacity: 2000L/s

- Predicted needed capacity (PWWF): 3600L/s

- Will continue to transport all DWFs

Development Boundary

Page 22: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

AUGMENTATION OPTIONS

Development Boundary

Same route has been decided

Three options:

1. Identical duplication (1650dia @ 1 in 3000 grade). Price: ~80 mil.

2. Rising main (1100mm dia). Price: ~40 mil.

3. Pressure gravity sewer (1100mm dia @ 1 in 3000). Can be pressurized. Price: ~60mil.

Page 23: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

DIFFERENCE IN PUMPED FLOW VOLUMES

Option 2: Rising main Option 3: Pressure Gravity Sewer

Page 24: GEELONG MODELLING PROGRAM AND FUTURE UPGRADES Mircea Stancu 25 June 2010

WINNING OPTION

NUMBER 3: Pressure gravity sewer

It provides significant advantages and very high flexibility, for a smaller price compared to an exact duplication.

• Questions?