Gem and NSETcollaboration for risk assessment and management in Nepal

"Beyond Physical Risk" – Looking through a socio-economic lens

GEM Booth, UR, London, Tuesday July 1, 2014

Amod Mani DixitAmod Mani DixitNepalNepal

www.nset.org.npwww.nset.org.np

National Society for Earthquake Technology-NepalNational Society for Earthquake Technology-Nepal

GEM & NSET collaboration for risk

assessment & management in Nepal


Nepal sits astride a plate Nepal sits astride a plate boundary!boundary!

•NEPALNEPAL

•TIBETTIBET

•INDIAINDIA


0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1800 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

Year

Pop

ulat

ion

Population Earthquakes with Intensity IX or greater

Earthquake Hazard and Risk of Earthquake Hazard and Risk of Kathmandu ValleyKathmandu Valley

Magnitude-Frequency Data (1911-1991)

41

17

10

2 125

8

40

81

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

5 to 6 6 to 7 7 to 7.5 7.5 to 8 >8

Magnitude, Richter

No

. of

Eve

nts

No. of Events

Approximate RecurrenceInterval, yr.

•In 2001•Population = 1.65 M

•Number of Household = 345 K


DeathDeath >100,000>100,000Critical InjuriesCritical Injuries

>>100,000100,000Moderate InjuryModerate Injury > >

200,000200,000Buildings destroyed/collapsedBuildings destroyed/collapsed > > 6060%%Homeless populationHomeless population

1,500,0001,500,000Bridges impassableBridges impassable >50%>50%Road length damagedRoad length damaged >10%>10%Water supply pipes damagedWater supply pipes damaged >95%>95%Telephone Exchange BuildingsTelephone Exchange Buildings mostmostTelephone linesTelephone lines >60%>60%Electric substationsElectric substations mostmostElectric linesElectric lines 40%40%

Estimated Damage by a MMI IX ShakingEstimated Damage by a MMI IX Shaking


Crazy Construction?Crazy Construction?

• > 50% of modern, engineered buildings in Kathmandu Valley do not fully comply with

NBC

• Problems not a slip or an error, but a serious lack in understanding of building behavior!


• Hazard & Risk assessmentsHazard & Risk assessments

• School and Hospital programsSchool and Hospital programs

• AwarenessAwareness

• Several success casesSeveral success cases

Yet … …. ..Yet … …. ..

Efforts and results in ERREfforts and results in ERR


• Do more, do fastDo more, do fast• Enhance efficiency .. .. .. Enhance efficiency .. .. ..

– Cost, time, standard, Cost, time, standard, • Scale up Scale up

– Save more people, more property at Save more people, more property at less cost per capitaless cost per capita

The Challenges are .. The Challenges are ..


• Science, technology and Science, technology and innovativenessinnovativeness

• Networking and Synergy Networking and Synergy development; Opennessdevelopment; Openness

• Collaboration and partnershipCollaboration and partnership• Enhance efficiencyEnhance efficiency

National & South Asia NeedsNational & South Asia Needs


• Proliferate the KnowledgeProliferate the Knowledge• Proliferate ERR ActionsProliferate ERR Actions• Proliferate networkingProliferate networking• Decentralize research Decentralize research • Training, piloting, adjusting, Training, piloting, adjusting,

updatingupdating• dissemination - Periodic meetings dissemination - Periodic meetings

Obvious Doable ActionsObvious Doable Actions


• On GEM in Beijing 2008; Member of SB On GEM in Beijing 2008; Member of SB

(2009+) and GB (2013+) (2009+) and GB (2013+)

• GEMSAM, GEMTRAIN, GEM in other WS GEMSAM, GEMTRAIN, GEM in other WS

• Collaborative research in SEI tools testingCollaborative research in SEI tools testing

• NSET professionals' training in Pavia, NSET professionals' training in Pavia,

more lined up >>> Instructors of GEM more lined up >>> Instructors of GEM

toolstools

• NSET – a Comprehensive GEM Centre?NSET – a Comprehensive GEM Centre?

GEM & NSETGEM & NSET


• Many initiatives ongoing, Many initiatives ongoing, investment increasing!investment increasing!

• Positive international and national Positive international and national environmentenvironment– HFA2, HFA2, – Mainstreaming effortsMainstreaming efforts

• Growing national and regional Growing national and regional knowledge - strengthknowledge - strength

Time for Action - NowTime for Action - Now


Thank You!Thank You!

Documents

Gem and NSETcollaboration for risk assessment and management in Nepal