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Generating Investment Income
Disclaimer
This presentation was prepared by SuperIQ Pty Ltd (ABN 27 147 105 164) (“SIQ”). Material contained in this presentation is a summary only and is based on information believed to be reliable and received from sources within the market. The information is believed to be accurate at the time of compilation and is provided by SIQ in good faith. However, the statements including assumptions and conclusions are not intended to be a comprehensive statement of relevant practice or law that is often complex and can change. It is not the intention of SIQ that this presentation be used as the primary source of readers’ information but as an adjunct to their own resources and training. To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information. SuperIQ does not guarantee the performance of any fund or the return of an investor's capital. No representation is given, warranty made or responsibility taken as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of any information or recommendation contained in this publication and SIQ will not be liable to the reader in contract or tort (including for negligence) or otherwise for any loss or damage arising as a result of the reader relying on any such information or recommendation (except in so far as any statutory liability cannot be excluded). Individual circumstances, in particular relating to self managed superannuation funds, may vary greatly. This presentation has been prepared for general information purposes only and not having regard to any particular person’s investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Accordingly, no recommendation (express or implied) or other information should be acted upon without obtaining specific advice from an authorised representative.
Introduction
3 Month $10,000 Term Deposit Rates
Source: RBA
Agenda
Fixed Income Outlook – Elizabeth Moran FIIG
Equities Outlook – Tim Bowers, Evans & Partners
Break
Property Outlook – Paul Castran, Castran & Gilbert
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au FIIG Securities Limited | ABN 68 085 661 632 | AFS Licence No. 224659
Make your cash work harder
Elizabeth Moran - Director Education and Research
November 2014
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
FIIG Securities Limited (‘FIIG’) provides general financial product advice only. As a result, this document, and any informat ion or advice, has been provided by
FIIG without taking account of your objectives, financial situation and needs. Because of this, you should, before acting on any advice from FIIG, consider the
appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If this document, or any advice, relates to the acquisition, or
possible acquisition, of a particular financial product, you should obtain a product disclosure statement relating to the product and consider the statement before
making any decision about whether to acquire the product. Neither FIIG, nor any of its directors, authorised representatives, employees, or agents, makes any
representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy, or completeness, of this document or any advice. Nor do they accept any liability or responsibility arising
in any way (including negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, this document or advice. FIIG, its staff and related parties earn fees and revenue from dealing
in the securities as principal or otherwise and may have an interest in any securities mentioned in this document. Any reference to credit ratings of companies,
entities or financial products must only be relied upon by a ‘wholesale client’ as that term is defined in section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth). FIIG
strongly recommends that you seek independent accounting, financial, taxation, and legal advice, tailored to your specific objectives, financial situation or needs,
prior to making any investment decision. FIIG does not make a market in the securities or products that may be referred to in this document. A copy of FIIG’s
current Financial Services Guide is available at www.fiig.com.au/fsg.
An investment in notes or corporate bonds should not be compared to a bank deposit. Notes and corporate bonds have a greater risk of loss of some or all of
an investor’s capital when compared to bank deposits. Past performance of any product described on any communication from FIIG is not a reliable indication of
future performance. Forecasts contained in this document are predictive in character and based on assumptions such as a 2.5% p.a. assumed rate of inflation,
foreign exchange rates or forward interest rate curves generally available at the time and no reliance should be placed on the accuracy of any forecast
information. The actual results may differ substantially from the forecasts and are subject to change without further notice. FIIG is not licensed to provide foreign
exchange hedging or deal in foreign exchange contracts services. The information in this document is strictly confidential. If you are not the intended recipient of
the information contained in this document, you may not disclose or use the information in any way. No liability is accepted for any unauthorised use of the
information contained in this document. FIIG is the owner of the copyright material in this document unless otherwise specified.
FIIG Securities Limited | ABN 68 085 661 632 | AFS Licence No. 224569
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au PAGE 7
Term deposit rates – the past
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9% FIIG All TD Maturities Index versus cash rate
AllMats TDIndex CashRateSource: FIIG Securities
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
2.40%
2.50%
2.60%
2.70%
2.80%
2.90%
3.00%
3.10%
3.20%
3.30%
Australian BBSW/SWAP Yield Curve
Forward 90 day bank bill yield Current Cash rateSource: FIIG Securities
PAGE 8
Cash rate versus BBSW – future rate expectations
0.47%
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
OECD Pension Fund Statistics - 2012
PAGE 9
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
• Earn more than cash for a small
increase in risk
• Lock in higher returns for longer
• Three types of bonds provide protection
no matter what happens to the
economy
• Capture increases in rate expectations
without having to shop around for term
deposit rates by investing in floating
rate bonds
Bonds will improve your returns over deposits
PAGE 10
Interest payments are quarterly for Floating rate and Inflation linked
bonds and half yearly for Fixed rate bonds providing greater scope for
compounding
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
What is a bond?
PAGE 11
Bonds
Guaranteed by
company unless they
go into wind up
Shares
Shares bought in
company
Owner
Expectation of growth
in share price and
dividends
No guarantee of
dividend payment or
return of capital
vs
Interest repayments
and principal at
maturity
Banker
Loan/IOU
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
Qantas bonds versus shares
• Qantas bonds
• Believe Qantas will survive
• $3bn in cash on balance sheet
• Circa $600m in undrawn bank facilities
• Many assets that it can sell
• Issued USD bonds
• Fixed rate 2020 paying around 6.1%
available to retail
• Fixed rate 2021 and 2022 paying circa
6.5% available to sophisticated only
• Qantas shares
• Full year $646m underlying loss ($2.8bn
statutory) - no growth
• Dividend has not been paid for three
years
• Share price high of $1.70 and low 95
cents in last year
PAGE 12
Bonds provide known income
and return of capital at maturity;
shares do not have that certainty
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
• Vast majority of bonds are “investment grade”
• Added protection of regulatory oversight of banks (APRA) and insurers
What gives analysts (and investors) confidence?
PAGE 13
Tip: FIIG has a dedicated fixed income research team. They are sector
specialists and follow companies in their sector daily. Any change in view is
reported to the Middle Markets Team who will then email or call you.
• Capital structure buffer of
shares which take on
first loss position in a
wind-up
• As long as the company
continues to operate,
you will be paid $100
face value at maturity
• Companies will protect
bondholders at the
expense of shareholders
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
• Australia’s largest fixed income specialist - Over 15 years’ experience
• Over 5000 clients - SMSFs, Advisors, Middle Markets and Not for Profits, Super funds and
Corporations
• Offices in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth - $11 billion funds under investment
About FIIG
PAGE 14
FIIG. CREATING ACCESS TO INVESTMENTS YOU CAN TRUST © 2014 FIIG Securities Limited | www.fiig.com.au
1. Register to receive The WIRE
• Our weekly e-newsletter produced by the
FIIG Research Team dedicated to fixed
income
2. Learn more by:
• Requesting your free copy of “Corporate
Bonds Made Simple”
• Attending a seminar or webinar
• Visit our website www.fiig.com.au
3. Start investing!
Next steps
PAGE 15
Visit www.fiig.com.au
Equity Markets
November 2014
16
• Evans & Partners established in November 2007.
• Australian owned independent investment house
• We are 100% staff owned – delivering a strong client focus.
• Our service is delivered via the design and monitoring of individually tailored
investment strategies.
• We have a team of ~100 staff across Melbourne and Sydney
• Experienced professional staff; investment advisers average ~18 years /
research analysts ~20 years.
• We prefer a direct approach to investing for income maximization /
predictability, strategic flexibility, transparency, fee efficiency & tax efficiency.
17
Evans & Partners
18
Investing in Equities for Income
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
$220,000
$240,000
$260,000
Investing For Income - Cash vs Dividends (pre-franking benefit) (Annual income from a $1.0mn investment in December 1996)
BHP CCL RIO WES CSL CBA ANZ WOW ORI WBC CASH
Source: IRESS
1998 1997 1999 2000 200 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
10 stock equity portfolio. $100,000 in
each stock as at 31 December 1996.
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1. Considerations Prior to Investing
2. A quick look back
3. Where we are now
4. Outlook – Where to from here
5. Investing in Equities for Income
19
Agenda
1. Return Objectives
2. Risk Profile
3. Time Horizon
4. Liquidity
5. Flexibility
6. Simplicity
7. Appropriate Entity / Structure – Trust, Super Fund, Company
8. A strategic asset allocation framework - Diversification.
9. Tax
10.Seek Professional Advice
20
Considerations Prior to Investing.
21
Unprecedented Monetary Stimulus
1. Unprecedented Monetary Stimulus from central banks –
Result of GFC 1. To drive growth / inflation
2. Most powerful driver investment performance in markets
2. Consequence: low global interest rates 1. Forced Investors up the risk curve
2. Equities (domestic & international)
3. Low growth environment 1. Focus on strong balance sheet / capital management
2. Cost out strategy
22
A quick look back
23
Earnings expectations and forward PE’s:
ASX200 & MSCI World Index
ndex
23
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Jan 07 Jul 07 Jan 08 Jul 08 Jan 09 Jul 09 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14
Rolling 12mth Forward EPS ExpectationsWeekly to 24 October
MSCI World ASX200
Jan 07=100
Source: IBES, Datastream, Evans & Partners
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14
Australian and MSCI World Index Forward PE RatiosWeekly to 24 October
MSCI World Index - 12mth fwd PE Ratio S&P/ASX 200 - 12mth fwd PE Ratio
12 mthfwd PER
Source: Datastream
24
ASX Industrials PE Multiple
ndex
24
25
Global Fixed Interest: Expensive (despite equity outperformance)
Timing & pace of a tightening in US Monetary Policy a key marker
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
71
18
76
18
81
18
86
18
91
18
96
19
01
19
06
19
11
19
16
19
21
19
26
19
31
19
36
19
41
19
46
19
51
19
56
19
61
19
66
19
71
19
76
19
81
19
86
19
91
19
96
20
01
20
06
20
11
US Long Government Bond Yield %(10 year T-Note post 1953) %%
Source: Robert Schiller, Yale University
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
Jan-95 Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13
Relative Performance: Global Equities vs Global Bonds (Monthly Data USD Terms)
Index
Equities Outperform
Source : MSCI, JPMorgan
1. Slow global growth environment to continue 1. But stronger in North America
2. Low interest environment for longer 1. QE in Japan & Europe
3. Central banks likely to continue to support asset price inflation 1. To support the financial system
2. The Mistake of 1937
26
Outlook
Australian equities to provide high single digit total returns
1. Focus on quality companies in strong industries
2. Strong balance sheets and capital management focused companies.
3. Growth as opposed to cyclical industries
1. Health (HSO)
2. Regulated Monopolies (SYD/TCL)
3. International earnings (BXB)
4. Market Position (WES)
27
Australian Equities Outlook
Preference for international equities , especially U.S. equities
1. Corporate quality & strategic opportunity is far superior offshore
2. Flight of capital into the US
3. Lower input prices – Wages and energy
4. Long residential cyclical recovery in the U.S.
28
International Equities
29
Global Equities:
The case for international equity diversification
• Australia comprises only 1% of world GDP and a little over 3% of global equities by capitalisation.
• The Financials and Materials sectors comprise over 60% of our index; compared to 1% for the IT sector.
• The top ten Australian stocks by market capitalisation comprise over half our index.
1. The hunt for yield continues 1. Cash returns are not material
2. Bond yields impacted by QE
3. Investors looking to equities generate returns – capital & income
4. Inflation adjusted returns are critical – Equities are a good inflation hedge.
2. Appropriate asset allocation allows for diversified income sources – fixed income
equities
3. Fully franked dividend yields 1. Benefit for zero tax payers
2. Low tax rate payers – SMSF’s
4. Key considerations 1. Sustainable and growing dividends
2. The quality of the industry
3. The quality of the company
4. Market position / competitive advantage
5. Absolute and relative valuation
30
Investing in Equities for Income
31
Investing in Equities for Income
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
$220,000
$240,000
$260,000
Investing For Income - Cash vs Dividends (pre-franking benefit) (Annual income from a $1.0mn investment in December 1996)
BHP CCL RIO WES CSL CBA ANZ WOW ORI WBC CASH
Source: IRESS
1998 1997 1999 2000 200 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
10 stock equity portfolio. $100,000 in
each stock as at 31 December 1996.
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1. Asset Allocation – Critical risk management strategy
2. Ensure you understand what you want to achieve prior to investing – 10 key points
3. Sustainable and growing cash flows over the long term are critical to investment
returns
32
Key Takeaways
33
Current Representative Balanced Asset Allocation Tactical Tilt: Unchanged since April 2014 when we reduced to “Neutral” (Growth v Defensive Assets)
Evans & Partners: Asset Allocation Strategy
Tactical
Tilt
CASH 8.0% 16% 8%
FIXED INTEREST 38% 30% -8%
Government Debt 75% 29% 15% 5% -24%
Corporate Debt 25% 10% 85% 26% 16%
EQUITIES - Australia 34% 24% -10%
Industrials 79% 27% 81% 19% -7%
Resources 21% 7% 19% 5% -3%
REITs 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
EQUITIES - Global 20% 30% 10%
Currency Hedged 50% 10% 10% 3% -7%
Currency Unhedged 50% 10% 90% 27% 17%
100% 100%
Note: This is a generic portfolio. Please consult your Adviser for a benchmark appropriate to your individual circumstances.
Source: Evans & Partners
Strategic
Allocation
Tactical
Allocation
• GENERAL RESEARCH DISCLAIMER, WARNING & DISCLOSURES
• This document is provided by Evans and Partners ABN 85 125 338 785, holder of AFSL 318075.
• The information is general advice only and does not take into consideration an investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on the advice, investors should consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation and needs. If the advice relates to a financial product that is the subject of a Product Disclosure Statement (e.g. unlisted managed funds) investors should obtain the PDS and consider it before making any decision about whether to acquire the product.
• The material contained in this document is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the purchase or sale of securities. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. Investors should be aware that past performance is not an infallible indicator of future performance and future returns are not guaranteed.
• Any opinions and/or recommendations expressed in this material are subject to change without notice and Evans and Partners is not under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. References made to third parties are based on information believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as being accurate.
• This document is provided to the recipient only and is not to be distributed to third parties without the prior consent of Evans and Partners.
• EVANS AND PARTNERS DISCLOSURE OF INTERESTS
• Evans and Partners and its respective officers and associates may have an interest in the securities or derivatives of any entities referred to in this material. Evans and Partners does, and seeks to do, business with companies that are the subject of its research reports.
• EVANS AND PARTNERS CORPORATE RELATIONSHIP DISCLOSURE
• Company
• Nature of Relationship
• Company Nature of Relationship
• ANI Evans and Partners arranged, managed or co-managed a public offering of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• ASH Evans and Partners arranged, managed or co-managed a public offering of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• AUI The Issuer has appointed Evans and Partners as Broker to an on-market buy-back. Accordingly, Evans and Partners is unable to give Sellers advice in respect to a sale of this security.
• BEN Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• DUI The Issuer has appointed Evans and Partners as Broker to an on-market buy-back. Accordingly, Evans and Partners is unable to give Sellers advice in respect to a sale of this security. Evans and Partners has been appointed as Placement Agent in respect of the company’s renounceable rights issue and will receive fees for acting in this capacity.
• HSO Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• IDR Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• IMF, IMFHA Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• MBLPA Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• MQG A director of Evans and Partners Pty Ltd is a director of Macquarie Group Limited.
• NAB Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• PGH Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• PNC Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• REG Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• SAR Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• SPO Evans and Partners has arranged, managed or co-managed an offering of securities of the company or its affiliates in the past 12 months.
• SWM A director of Evans and Partners Pty Ltd is a director of Seven West Media Limited
• DISCLAIMER
• Except for any liability which cannot be excluded, Evans and Partners, its directors, employees and agents accept no liability or responsibility whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind, direct or indirect, arising out of the use of all or any part of this material. All information is correct at the time of publication; additional information may be available upon request.
34
Important Disclosures
RESIDENTIAL
PROPERTY AS A
SUITABLE ASSET
PRESENTED BY
PAUL CASTRAN, CEO OF CASTRAN GILBERT (AUST) PTY LTD
“THE BIGGEST RISK IS
NOT TAKING ANY RISK.”
MARK ZUCKERBERG
36
WHY INVEST IN REAL ESTATE?
• There is no reason why residential real estate should
not be part of your superannuation portfolio.
• It is fundamental – we all need water, food and
shelter.
• It is a long term asset and the returns are
compelling.
• Look BEYOND the headlines – good news stories
don’t sell newspapers.
• Do your own research and look at cold hard facts.
37
WHY INVEST IN REAL ESTATE?
• Tangible
• Low Volatility
• Taxation Benefits
• Dual Investment Return
• Off-The-Plan Advantages
38
HISTORICAL DATA
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014
Thousands
Th
ou
sa
nd
s
Median House Price
Source: REIV
1982: Major
Recession
1987: Stock Market
Crash
1990: Pyramid Disaster
1990: Asian Financial
Crisis
2000: Millennium Bug
2001: Tech Bust & 9/11
2008: GFC
39
FACTORS THAT DRIVE THE MARKET
• Wages
• Interest Rates
• Australian Dollar
• Employment
• Population & Migration
• Auction Results
• Construction Costs & Land Value
• Overseas Demand
40
WAGES
• Wages growth is a driver of values
• In the twelve months to May 2014, Trend series Full-Time
Adult Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings increased by
2.4% to $1,453.90 (ABS).
• The Full-Time Adult Average Weekly Total Earnings in May
2014 were $1,516.90, a rise of 2.3% from the same time last
year (ABS).
Higher Wages More Super
41
WAGES
Source: ABS
$1,360
$1,380
$1,400
$1,420
$1,440
$1,460
$1,480
$1,500
$1,520
$1,540
May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13 Nov-13 Feb-14 May-14
Average Weekly Earnings Trend
42
WAGES
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012
Index Wage Price Index Annual Growth
Source: ABS
43
WAGES
TOTAL ASSETS IN SUPERANNUATION:
$1,853.5 billion (approx.) (Source: APRA Statistics – June Quarter 2014)
TOTAL ASSETS IN SELF-MANAGED SUPER FUNDS:
$550 billion (approx.) (Source: APRA Statistics – March 2014)
44
INTEREST RATES & AUD
• Record low interest rates – 2.5% for the 16th consecutive
month
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Aug-90 Aug-93 Aug-96 Aug-99 Aug-02 Aug-05 Aug-08 Aug-11 Aug-14
% RBA Cash Rate
Source: RBA
45
INTEREST RATES & AUD
Source: Yahoo!7
46
INTEREST RATES & AUD
Source: global-rates.com
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
USA Europe Australia Britain Japan
Interest Rates (%)
Interest Rates (%)
47
EMPLOYMENT
• Number of jobs in Australia rose by 24,100 to 11.59 million
in the past month on a seasonally adjusted basis. (ABS)
Source: ABS
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013
% Unemployment Rate
48
POPULATION
• Australia’s population is set to double to 46 million by 2075.
(ABS)
• Driven by strong growth in Victoria and New South Wales
49
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037 2042 2047 2052 2057 2062 2067 2072 2077 2082 2087 2092 2097
Mill
ion
s
Australian Population Growth Forecast
Higher End Current Trends Lower End
POPULATION
Source: ABS
50
MIGRATION
• Net Overseas Migration (NOM) is forecasted to continue to
increase until 2016.
Source: Department of Immigration and Border Protection
240,000
242,000
244,000
246,000
248,000
250,000
252,000
254,000
256,000
Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15
NOM Forecast
51
POPULATION
Source: ABS
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 2033 2036 2039 2042 2045 2048 2051 2054 2057 2060
Mill
ion
s
Capital City Population Growth
ACT Adelaide Brisbane Darwin Hobart Melbourne Perth Sydney
52
MIGRATION
• Interstate migration into Victoria at a record high
• National leader for interstate migration with a net 2,468 more residents moving to the state from other parts of Australia.
(Property Observer, 27th October 2014)
53
AUCTION RESULTS
• Strong auction results demonstrate strong buyer sentiment
and healthy demand.
Source: REIV
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014
% REIV Auction Clearance Rate
54
AUCTION RESULTS
Source: The Domain Group
55
Super Saturday 25th October 2014
More Than 1500 Properties Went
Under the Hammer
Most Auctions Held on a Single Day
Since The City’s First Public Auction in
1837
75% Clearance Rate
CONSTRUCTION COSTS & LAND VALUE
Source: ABS
56
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
1987-88 1997-98 2007-08
VIC
AUSTRALIA
• The average cost of building a house in Australia almost quadrupled in the twenty years to June 2008, rising from $65,000 in 1987-88 to $236,000 in 2007-08.
CONSTRUCTION COSTS & LAND VALUE
Source: HIA
57
NON-RESIDENT APPETITE FOR
MELBOURNE REAL ESTATE
58
TOP 3 DESTINATIONS FOR CHINESE
BUYERS
Australia
Melbourne
Sydney
Gold Coast
United States
Canada
Sixty-three million Chinese have sufficient wealth to
purchase international property, including 2.8 million
high-net-worth individuals.
Over 60% of these high-net-worth Chinese are already
engaged in overseas investment, immigration
or education.
Australia, United States & Canada are the most popular
destinations for Chinese buyers. Melbourne properties
receive more enquiry from Chinese buyers than
properties in any other Australian city.
Source: Juwai.com
NON-RESIDENT APPETITE FOR
MELBOURNE REAL ESTATE
59
Overseas demand for Australian properties to rise:
• In February 2014, Canada axed a 28-year-old visa scheme
designed to attract wealthy foreigners to the country.
• The United States has halted the popular EB-5 immigration
visa program until October 2015.
• More Chinese expected to apply for Australia’s Significant
Investment Visa and buy Australian property.
• Falling Australian dollar makes Australia cheaper to invest
in.
FACTORS THAT WILL DRIVE YOUR ASSET
WAGES GROWTH,
MORE SUPER
LOW INTEREST RATES
CONSTRUCTION COSTS & LAND
VALUE
EMPLOYMENT GROWING
POPULATION HOUSING DEMAND
OVERSEAS DEMAND
60
CASE STUDY
17 VALE STREET, ST KILDA
1 BEDROOM UNIT
(SOLD BY CASTRAN GILBERT)
Purchased in
1994
$69,000
Sold in 2014 $280,000
Held For 20 years
Capital Growth $211,000
Percentage
Growth
406%
Growth Per
Annum
20.3% p.a.
Plus Rental Income
61
108 GREVILLE STREET,
PRAHRAN
2 BEDROOM UNIT
Purchased in
1995
$187,000
Sold in 2014 $650,000
Held For 19 years
Capital Growth $463,000
Percentage
Growth
348%
Growth Per
Annum
18.3% p.a.
Plus Rental Income
CASE STUDY
62
CASE STUDIES
305/ 1C Michael Street,
Brunswick
1 BEDROOM UNIT IN A NEW BUILDING
Purchase Price $345,000
Date of Purchase 2/11/2012
Settled 7/5/2013
Current Value (RP Data)
Med - High
$377,113 -
$418,375
Income Received
$18,247
(Rental - $380
pw)
Management Fees $1,405.02
Water Rates $640.00
Council Rates $1,070.00
Owners Corporation $1,292.00
Total Outgoings $4,407.02
Financial Year 2013-14
Cash Outgoings
Cash Profit (Gross) $13,839.98
Depreciation Schedule
Allowance
(provided by landlord)
$8,854.00
Taxable Profit (Net) $4,985.98
63
CASE STUDIES
305/ 1C Michael Street,
Brunswick
1 BEDROOM UNIT IN A NEW BUILDING
Off-The-Plan Purchase $1,820.00
Established $15,770.00
SAVINGS $13,950.00
STAMP DUTY
64
“THE LONGER YOU
WAIT, THE MORE
YOU PAY.”
65
Paul Castran (CEO) 0418 313 038