167
GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES IN MALAWI AND NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES MSc. (GEOGRAPHY & EARTH SCIENCE) THESIS JABULANI NYENGERE UNIVERSITY OF MALAWI CHANCELLOR COLLEGE JANUARY, 2019

GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES IN

MALAWI AND NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES

MSc. (GEOGRAPHY & EARTH SCIENCE) THESIS

JABULANI NYENGERE

UNIVERSITY OF MALAWI

CHANCELLOR COLLEGE

JANUARY, 2019

Page 2: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES IN

MALAWI AND NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES

MSc. (GEOGRAPHY & EARTH SCIENCE) THESIS

By

JABULANI NYENGERE

BSc. (Forestry) –Bunda College of Agriculture (University of Malawi)

Submitted to the Department of Geography & Earth Sciences, Faculty of Science, in

fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science (Geography &

Earth Sciences)

University of Malawi

Chancellor College

January, 2019

Page 3: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

DECLARATION

I hereby declare that this thesis is the original research undertaken by me under the

guidance of my supervisors. No part of the study has been presented in any form for

any degree or certificate in another institute of study. I also declare that all references

and assistance received from various people have been duly acknowledged.

JABULANI NYENGERE

___________________________________________

Full Legal Name

________________________________________

Signature

________________________________________

Date

Page 4: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

CERTIFICATE OF APPROVAL

The undersigned certify that this thesis represents the student’s own work and effort

and has been submitted with our approval.

Signature____________________ Date_______________________________

Evance Mwathunga, PhD (Lecturer )

MAIN SUPERVISOR

Signature____________________ Date_______________________________

Zuze Dulanya, PhD (Senior Lecturer )

Co-SUPERVISOR

Page 5: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

DEDICATION

This thesis is dedicated to the Almighty God whose grace and mercies have seen me

successfully through my education; to my parents, Mr. Kinross Nyengere and Mrs.

Joyce Nyengere for their encouragement, prayers and immense contribution towards

my success in life; and to my siblings: Innocent, Ruth, Justin and the entire Nyengere

family.

Page 6: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

While I have written this thesis on my own, it would certainly not have been possible

without a number of people around me. Therefore, I would like to thank the following

people for their spiritual, financial and academic support.

My supervisors Drs. Evance Mwathunga and Zuze Dulanya, for introducing me to the

world of research and for providing feedback on my work. Professor Emmanuel

Kaunda, Dr Sloans Chimatilo, and LUANAR-Fish Node team for ever encouraging

comments and advice. This thesis is funded and supported by WorldFish Centre and

New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) and the African Union Inter-

African Bureau for Animal Resources (AU-IBAR).

A special thanks to the entire Nyengere Family for awesome love and inspiration. This

entire thesis has been written while listening.

And finally, thank you Allena Njala for providing love and inspiration of the best kind.

Page 7: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

vi

ABSTRACT

The study focused on the geographical analysis of informal fish trade routes in southern

Africa using Malawi and her bordering countries as a test case. Both qualitative and

quantitative approaches were employed. These included semi-structured questionnaires

through personal interviews, key informant interviews with fish border inspectors, and

capturing GPS locations of legal and illegal border post crossing points. Data was

analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to

identify significant factors influencing choice of trade route and destination by the fish

trader. Results of the Principal component analysis indicated that route distance,

presence of alternative destination, mode of transport, demand of the fish product, and

personal safety and risks were the factors influencing choice of both trade route and

destination by informal fish traders. Assessment of market attractiveness and market

share for fish products was done using Huff gravity model. The study found that

informal trade has high magnitude represented by 97% of the total annual fish trade

estimates. Fish volumes traded using informal routes are transported from sources to

destinations through routes that bypass the official border sites, thereby avoiding

procedures done at the official border post. Huff gravity model showed that fish traders

consider distance between interacting markets as an important factor in choosing the

final destination. The study also found that inability to carry bulky fish products and

poor infrastructure were the main challenges informal fish traders were facing when

using informal trade routes. The study recommends that informal traders should be

encouraged to trade formally through formal routes in order to maximize profits from

fish trading.

Page 8: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

vii

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................. vi

TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................. vii

LIST OF FIGURES ...................................................................................................... xi

LIST OF TABLES ......................................................................................................xiii

LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS .................................................... xv

CHAPTER ONE ............................................................................................................ 1

INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................... 1

1.1 Background Information ...................................................................................... 1

1.1.1 Informal cross border trade definitions ........................................................ 4

1.2 Problem statement ................................................................................................ 4

1.3 Study Objectives .................................................................................................. 5

1.3.1 Main Objective .............................................................................................. 5

1.3.2 Specific Objectives ........................................................................................ 6

1.4 Research Questions .............................................................................................. 6

1.5 Significance of the study ...................................................................................... 6

1.6 Organization of the study ..................................................................................... 7

CHAPTER TWO ........................................................................................................... 8

LITERATURE REVIEW .............................................................................................. 8

2.1 Chapter overview ................................................................................................. 8

2.2 Theorizing informal cross border trade ................................................................ 8

2.2.1 Behaviour theories ........................................................................................ 9

Page 9: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

viii

2.2.2 Political economy theories .......................................................................... 16

2.2.3 Spatial interaction theories ......................................................................... 17

2.3 GIS and its role in geographical analyses .......................................................... 21

2.4 Malawi fish production levels and growth trends .............................................. 24

2.5 Fisheries, Nutrition and Food Security .............................................................. 25

2.7 Fish trade flows .................................................................................................. 29

2.8 Constraints to African Fishery exports and imports .......................................... 34

2.9 Chapter summary ............................................................................................... 35

CHAPTER THREE ..................................................................................................... 38

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY................................................................................. 38

3.1 Chapter overview ............................................................................................... 38

3.2 Conceptual framework ....................................................................................... 40

3.3 Study location .................................................................................................... 41

3.4 Sampling design ................................................................................................. 44

3.5 Sample size ........................................................................................................ 46

3.6 Data collection ................................................................................................... 47

3.6.1 Primary data ............................................................................................... 47

3.6.2 Secondary data............................................................................................ 48

3.6.3 Pretesting/Pilot Survey ............................................................................... 49

3.7 Data analysis ...................................................................................................... 49

3.7.1 Mapping of fish trade routes from source to destination ............................ 49

3.7.2 Quantification of the magnitude of fish trade in informal routes ............... 50

3.7.3 Analysis of geographical factors influencing choice of fish trade route and

destination by the traders ............................................................................ 52

Page 10: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

ix

3.7.4 Analysis of the challenges fish traders are facing when using informal .......

trade routes .................................................................................................. 54

3.8 Research ethics................................................................................................... 54

3.9 Chapter summary ............................................................................................... 55

CHAPTER FOUR ........................................................................................................ 57

RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS ................................................................................ 57

4.1 Chapter overview ............................................................................................... 57

4.2 Characteristics of fish traders............................................................................. 57

4.2.1 Socio-economic characteristics .................................................................. 57

4.2.2 Fish trading documents possessed by fish traders ...................................... 60

4.2.3 Type of fish trader ....................................................................................... 62

4.2.4 Education level of household head ............................................................. 63

4.2.5 Nationality of fish traders ........................................................................... 63

4.2.6 Monthly income from fish trade by the trader ............................................ 64

4.2.7 Level of fish trader in the fish trade business ............................................. 66

4.3 Fish species traded along informal routes and mode of transport ..................... 67

4.3.1 Fish products mostly traded........................................................................ 67

4.3.2 The mode of transportation for fish traders ................................................ 71

4.4 Informal fish trade routes between Malawi and neighbouring countries .......... 73

4.4.1 Mwanza border site..................................................................................... 77

4.4.2 Mchinji border site ...................................................................................... 78

4.4.3 Karonga (Songwe) border site .................................................................... 80

4.4.4 Mulanje (Muloza) border site ..................................................................... 82

4.5 Overall magnitude of formal and informal cross border fish trade ................... 83

4.6 Factors influencing route choice and destination ............................................... 85

Page 11: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

x

4.6.1 Route choice factors .................................................................................... 85

4.6.2 Destination choice factors .......................................................................... 89

4.7 Challenges facing informal cross-border fish traders ...................................... 102

4.8 Chapter summary ............................................................................................. 105

CHAPTER FIVE ....................................................................................................... 107

CONCLUSIONS, IMPLICATIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ...................... 107

5.1 Chapter overview ............................................................................................. 107

5.2 Conclusions ...................................................................................................... 107

5.3 Implications of the study’s conclusion ............................................................ 110

5.4 The study’s recommendations ......................................................................... 111

REFERENCES .......................................................................................................... 113

APPENDICES ........................................................................................................... 125

Page 12: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

xi

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Structural view of informality ...................................................................... 10

Figure 2: Legalist view of informality ......................................................................... 12

Figure 3 : Rational choice view of informality ............................................................ 13

Figure 4: Rational legalist view of informality ........................................................... 14

Figure 5a & b: Artisanal fish Production in Malawi.................................................... 24

Figure 6: Map showing fish flows in East and Southern Africa for selected species .. 32

Figure 7: Underlying theories informing the study...................................................... 36

Figure 8: A flow-diagram describing the research model ........................................... 39

Figure 9: Conceptual framework showing the dependent and independent variables for

the study ........................................................................................................ 41

Figure 10: Map showing the border sites where data was collected............................ 43

Figure 11: Demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the respondents ....... 59

Figure 12: Household size of the respondents ............................................................. 60

Figure 13: Type of fish traders in cross border trade ................................................... 62

Figure 14: Highest education levels attained by the fish traders ................................. 63

Figure 15: Nationality of fish traders ........................................................................... 64

Figure 16: Level of the fish trader in cross border tradde ............................................ 67

Figure 17: Main fish products exported by Malawi..................................................... 68

Figure 18: Main imported fish products between Malawi and neighbouring countries

...................................................................................................................................... 69

Figure 19: Reasons for fish preferences among fish traders ........................................ 70

Figure 20: Available modes of transport used by fish traders ..................................... 72

Figure 21: Fish trade routes connecting fish sources and destinations ........................ 74

Page 13: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

xii

Figure 22: Informal fish trade routes in cross border fish trade (with extracts a, b, c and

d) .................................................................................................................................. 76

Figure 23: Factors influencing fish trader’s choice for informal trade routes and

destination .................................................................................................................... 94

Figure 24: Overall market attractiveness among the interacting locations .................. 99

Figure 25: Markets with highest total attractiveness per border post ........................ 101

Figure 26: Challenges fish traders are facing in cross border fish trade .................... 103

Page 14: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

xiii

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Export and import requirements for cross border fish trade .......................... 30

Table 2: Trading documents possessed by cross border fish traders ........................... 61

Table 3: Income from fish trade by the respondents.................................................... 65

Table 4: Annual informal trade volumes in cross border fish trade ............................ 84

Table 5: Annual formal trade volumes in cross border fish trade ................................ 85

Table 6: Final factors, items, loadings, communalities and Eigen values ................... 88

Table 7: Final factors, items, loadings, communalities and Eigen values ................... 89

Table 8: Huff gravity model market attractiveness and market share for cross border

fish trade ......................................................................................................... 95

Table 9: Challenges faced by fish traders .................................................................. 104

Page 15: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

xiv

LIST OF APPENDICES

Appendix 1: Research ethics ...................................................................................... 125

Appendix 2: Fish species and products mostly traded ............................................... 126

Appendix 3: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Mwanza) ...... 128

Appendix 4: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Mchinji). ...... 130

Appendix 5: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Karonga- Songwe)

................................................................................................................ 132

Appendix 6: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Muloza). ...... 134

Appendix 7: Magnitude of fish trade ......................................................................... 136

Appendix 8: Study Questionnaire .............................................................................. 140

Page 16: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

xv

LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS

FAO : Food and Agriculture Organization

NSO : National Statistical Office

ICBT : Informal cross-border trade

GoM : Government of Malawi

LDCs : Least Developed Countries

SSA : Sub-Saharan Africa

GPS : Geographic Positioning System

NEPAD : New Partnership for Africa's Development

AUIBAR : African Union – Interafrican Bureau for Animal Resources

COMESA : Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa

STR : Simplified Trade Regime

Page 17: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

1

CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background Information

Africa is rich in freshwater systems comprising natural lakes, man-made lakes or reservoirs

and rivers giving a backbone for the fisheries sector. The major lakes include Albert,

Bangwuelu, Chad, Chilwa, Edward, George, Kivu, Kyoga, Malawi (Nyasa), Mweru,

Tanganyika, Turkana, and Victoria (Ogutu-Ohwayo, 2004). The lakes provide several fish

species and products in different forms including frozen Tilapia, sun-dried sardines,

smoked catfish, and canned Tuna, among others. Fish and fishery products are ranked

among the most traded food commodities globally, with developing countries accounting

for the bulk of the world’s fish exports (FAO, 2012). Fish and fishery products exported

from developing countries comprise 20% of all agricultural and food processing exports

hence making the fish industry export-oriented. Malawi’s Engraulicypris sardella (Usipa)

is marketed largely in its sun-dried form, together with small pelagic species of other

African lakes as they contribute significantly to dietary protein throughout central and

southern Africa. However, for many years Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has

warned nations about the detrimental effects a too large export of fish may have on the

people around the lake for countries with large fish exports (Jansen, 1997).According to

National Statistical Office (NSO, 2016) the general trend in net fish exports and imports

Page 18: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

2

shows that Malawi imports more fish products than exports from neighbouring countries

like Zambia, Mozambique and Tanzania. Much as imports surpass exports, species specific

data has shown that Malawi export more small pelagic fish products. Mapping of fish flows

by Kirema-Mukasa (2012) indicated that Malawi is a net producer and exporter of fish

products for specific fish species but remain a net importer in terms of total cross border

fish trade. Although it is hitherto difficult to conclusively assess the impact of the export-

oriented fishing industry, there are sufficient indicators that substantial population groups

that depended on the traditional fisheries in the past have lost out on increased fish per

capita consumption (Fulgencio, 2009). Thus, the globalization of the fish industry has

heightened malnutrition and food insecurity within millions of poor people (Töpfer, 2002).

Therefore, the high demand of most African fish products from African countries has

resulted into withdrawal of these species from the local market onto the regional market

hence exacerbated food insecurity.

The export and import fish industry in Africa makes use of important trading corridors in

Africa, particularly in inland areas, where trade is less likely to enter the official statistics

hence informal trade. Those that enter into official statistics follow all the requirements to

export and import fish as well use formal routes passing through official border sites from

one country to another. Contrary to cross border formal trade, some fish traders enters in

Informal cross border trade (ICBT) using informal routes that bypasses the border post.

Informal cross-border trade (ICBT) refers to trade in legitimately produced goods and

services, which escapes the regulatory framework set by the government, as such avoiding

certain tax and regulatory burdens (OECD, 2007).In some areas, fish is an important part

Page 19: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

3

of this trade, with the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Nigeria being particularly

important markets. Important suppliers for ICBT in fish are Lake Victoria and various

coastal and inland West African countries (Gordon et al, 2011). Some of the ICBT follows

historic trading routes, and the same country may be both an important importer in one

district and an exporter from another. Data on ICBT are extremely poor and few relevant

studies exist. However, one study points to the potential significance of such trade. Neiland

and Béné (2004), cited in Neiland (2006), document trade flows of 100,000 metric tons per

year of dried fish from the Lake Chad fishery to cities in southern Nigeria. Unclear

evidence, specifically without fish species and quantities traded also reports significant

trade flows from northeast Zambia into Lubumbashi in southern DRC, and similar flows

are likely to cross borders into other countries within Africa. Fish imports to Malawi

include mainly sundried salted marine and freshwater products, frozen freshwater fish and

canned fish (GoM, 2014). Fish meal is one of the most stable import commodities in Africa

with 150-300 tons per year and most years contributing with about 25% of the total value

of imported fisheries products (Serangelli and Cirelli, 2010).

Against this background, the study aimed at investigating the fish trade routes, magnitude

of trade through informal routes that fish traders use in Malawi and neighbouring countries.

This will inform policy makers on movement of fisheries products across Africa region

and their impacts to local and international consumption. The findings will also contribute

to the few studies on informal fish trading and socio-economic development in Malawi and

Africa under the fish trade project and beyond.

Page 20: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

4

1.1.1 Informal cross border trade definitions

Nduru (2004) described ICBT as an important form of trade contributing a substantial

percentage of economic activity in the southern African economy even though it is almost

entirely undocumented. “Cross-border traders in southern Africa are called ‘informal’

because, generally, they travel with their goods, operate on a relatively small scale, do not

access preferential tariff agreements, often buy and/or sell in informal sector markets, do

not always pass through formal trade routes and may be involved in smuggling”(Peberdy,

2002).

Informal trade has been defined in different contexts depending on the scale of trade and

study interests (Tekere et al., 2000). This study adopted the concept of informal trade as

used by Scheele (2004) in relation to cross border trade who reported that “informal trade

relates mainly to border areas, undeclared overland trade between neighbouring countries”.

Informal trade, therefore, often invades taxation. Taxation has often been regarded as a

characteristic of formal trade rather than informal trade (MacGaffey, 1987). In this study

focusing on informal trade, formal trade routes are defined as the trade routes where the

fish traders follow all bureaucratic formalities and taxes to trade the fish products from one

place to another. (Odegaard, 2008).

1.2 Problem statement

Much of Malawi’s population is dependent on fisheries directly or indirectly as source of

food security, livelihood and income (GoM, 2014). Fish remain the biggest source of

animal protein with 70% contribution to the total animal protein consumed by Malawians

Page 21: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

5

(Nagoli et al, 2009). Despite its significance, the distribution of fish products in Malawi’s

outlets is uneven and most fish products are traded informally (Teklu, 2015). Availability

of fish products are not uniform among fish markets. This can partly be attributed to

economic, and geographical factors (Hodgson, 2004). Hodgson et al,(2004), geographical

factors e.g. route distance, route accessibility, mode of transport, location of the final

destination, and nature of the roads play a crucial role in a trader’s choice of routes from

one place to another. However, most studies on trade routes have focused on relevance of

the formal routes in the distribution of the fish products from sources to various destination

(Mussa et al, 2017). These studies do not often consider the nature and geography of the

cross border informal fish trade routes as well as respective magnitude of this trade between

Malawi and other countries (Makombe, 2011). It is against this background that the study

aimed at undertaking the geographical analysis of informal fish trade routes for cross

border trade in Malawi. The aim was to understand the network of informal trade routes,

magnitude of the informal trade, challenges faced by informal fish traders, and

geographical factors influencing the traders to use informal trade channels for policy

support.

1.3 Study Objectives

1.3.1 Main Objective

To examine the geography of informal fish trade routes in Malawi and the

neighbouring countries.

Page 22: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

6

1.3.2 Specific Objectives

To map informal fish trade routes between Malawi and her neighbouring countries.

To estimate the magnitude of fish products traded using informal fish trade routes

between Malawi and her neighbouring countries.

To analyse the geographical factors responsible for the choice of informal fish trade

routes and destinations between Malawi and her neighbouring countries.

To analyse the challenges fish traders face when using informal trade routes.

1.4 Research Questions

What are the informal fish trade routes that fish traders use between Malawi and

her neighbouring countries?

In terms of quantity and value, how much fish is traded using informal routes

between Malawi and her neighbouring countries?

What geographical factors influence the choice of informal fish trade routes and

destination by the traders?

What challenges do informal fish traders face when using informal trade routes

from various sources to destination?

1.5 Significance of the study

This study is significant considering that it documents the existing informal trade routes,

factors influencing fish traders to choose informal trade routes, magnitude of informal trade

and challenges fish traders faces when using informal trade routes. Knowledge of the status

of trade routes will promote establishment of interventions to strengthen transportation and

Page 23: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

7

products delivery to the final destinations to ensure availability of fish products to target

markets using formal routes.

In addition, the knowledge generated from the study will help inform policy makers and

the development partners on the formulation and implementation of appropriate policies

that will promote fish trade in Malawi and other countries by taking into account the status

of the trade routes fish traders are using so that the distribution should be even. The

mapping of the informal trade routes will help the government of Malawi to improve data

and revenue collections for all fish species involved in trade. The study will also contribute

to the few studies on informal fish trading and socio-economic development in Malawi and

Africa on existing fish trade scholarship and further debate on informal fish trade.

1.6 Organization of the study

This study is organized into five chapters. Chapter one deals with the background to the

study, discusses the research problem and research questions that arise. The aim, objectives

and the justification for the field based research component of this study are also given

attention in this study. Chapter two reviews the literature relevant to the study with the use

of informal trade theories. Chapter three details the design of the study and methodology

used. The fourth chapter presents and discusses the results of the study. The final chapter

makes conclusions of the study and also offers recommendations for further work based

on the findings in the research.

Page 24: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

8

CHAPTER TWO

LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1 Chapter overview

This chapter presents the literature, both empirical and theoretical that is relevant to this

study. The review helps bring out comparisons of the results of preceding studies and the

findings generated in this study. In terms of underlying theories, the study draws its

theoretical framework from the behavioural, political economic, and spatial theories for

cross-border trade. These theories measure trade concentration and flow directions as a

response to different economic and geographic factors. The theoretical framework that

explains the traders’ decision to operate through informal trade routes (informal economy)

is drawn from the theories of informality.

2.2 Theorizing informal cross border trade

The study reflected on theories resting on variables such as the behaviour of persons, or

economic, societal and political influences. The theories help in understanding the

arguments by different authors on informal cross border trade and also reveal the

theoretical framework of this study.

Page 25: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

9

2.2.1 Behaviour theories

Behavioural theories focus on the study of specific behaviours in a society. This is where

there is an understanding that behaviours can be conditioned in a manner that one can have

a specific response to specific stimuli. Building on the basis of this theory, cross border

traders show behaviours in response to situation they are facing along the routes from

sources to destination.

In this review, the fish traders respond to various stimuli that influence them to make

decisions when exporting and importing fish products from sources to destination. Various

behavioural theories including structuralist, legalist, rational choice, rational legalist and

survivalist were reviewed in understanding the growth of informal cross border trade.

These behavioural theories have shown perspectives that influences growth of informal

trade.

2.2.1.1 Structuralist theory

This approach emphasizes the importance of the informal sector to the global economic

system through the ability to keep the costs of labour under control. Structuralist theory

acknowledges the inter-connectedness and inter-dependency that make the informal sector

a necessary segment of economy both at national and international point of view. Scholars

argue that the structuralist theory is influenced by class-based assumptions of the neo-

marxist economic theories (Rakowski, 1994). The Marxism thought explains that rich

capitalists advance their personal interests by exploiting the poor hence making

structuralists explore the relationship existing between formal and informal traders

Page 26: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

10

(Gardener, 2008). This understanding therefore displays a positive relationship between

informality and inequality. According to Davey and Valodia (2009), the structuralist theory

is relevant because it enables governments to make policies that boost the formal economy,

however this shows how the exploitative nature of the capitalist system results in growth

of the informal economy.

Figure 1: Structural view of informality (Source: Jamela 2013: 23)

The structuralist view of informality argues that the problem lies in the nature of capitalist

system (Figure 1). The nature of the capitalist system allows those at the centre of economic

system to exploit those at the periphery in order to advance their own interests. This

understanding through structuralist theory justifies the situation where economic policies

that are made, mostly promote the formal economy while neglecting the informal economy.

According to Gardener (2008), the structuralist school stresses that, as a result of

exploitation, labour shifts from the formal into the informal sector which is characterized

by individuals that are usually self-employed and may have specialized functions within a

value chain. This identifies the cause of the unregulated nature of the informal sector

specifically in cross border fish products using various trade routes. In this research,

structuralist perspective helps to underscore the understanding that growth of informality

Capitalist

system

Informal

economy Exploitation

Page 27: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

11

in general, and informal fish trade, in particular, could be attributed to the exploitative

nature of the capitalist system.

2.2.1.2 Legalist theory

Jamela, (2013) reported that the legalist approach is based on a neo-liberal school of

thought arguing that the informal sector is a result of excessive and inefficient government

regulations. This means that traders fail to comply with the set bureaucracy thereby tending

to go informal (Kirshner, 2009). The legalists believe there is clear difference between

formal and informal trade and the informal trade will get absorbed by the formal sector

when it becomes effective and efficient (Jamela, 2013). Legalist approach focuses on the

negative aspects of informal sector. These negative aspects put informal trade as associated

with illegal activities and the governments believe that intervening through stringent

bureaucratic strategies could deal with informal activities and encourage the growth of

formal trade of the economy. Gardener (2013) highlighted that conducive economic

policies allow for the informal sector to serve as a start-up zone for businesses that will

eventually formalize and contribute to economic growth equality. On the other hand,

restrictive policies lead to an evasive informal economy and then stalled growth and

inequality. However, in effort to escape the deterring policies, the traders will cunningly

dodge formalizing their businesses. The dodging will hinder growth of the formal economy

while the informal continues one to grow. In this regard, informal fish traders escape formal

trading regulations through use of unchartered routes that bypass the border points

(Kirshner, 2009). Arguably, therefore, informal fish trade could be a product of excessive

Page 28: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

12

and inefficient government regulations. Figure 2 shows the legalist view of the informal

economy.

Figure 2: Legalist view of informality (Source: Gardener 2008)

2.2.1.3 Rational choice theory

Rational choice theory was basically developed to explain the behaviour of humans basing

on the assumption that individuals always act to maximize utility given the available

information on the costs and benefits of such action (Gardener, 2008). The theory suggests

that there are many reasons that influence the decision of the trader to choose formal and

informal trade (Schneider & Enste 2002). The influencing factors go beyond economic but

also personal and geographic factors hence the assumption that formal and informal sectors

are separate (Jamela, 2013). They conclude that explanations of entry into informal sector

should be considered from other angles instead of economics. Rational choice theory

Conducive

policies

Informal

economy

starts

Economic

growth

equity

Restrictive

policies

Informal

economy

evasion

Stalled

growth

inequality

: Legalist view of informality

Page 29: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

13

argues that traders make personal choices that will enable them to maximize the utilization

of the environment they find themselves in. Figure 3 demonstrates the rational choice view

of informality showing that economic factors combined with personal judgment of what

will benefit the actor more leads to traders entering in either the formal or informal sector

which are assumed to be separate entities. The involvement of the trader in informal sector

is therefore a natural result of personal choices to maximize utility(Kirshner, 2009).

Figure 3:Rational choice view of informality (Source: Gardener 2008)

2.2.1.4 Rational legalist theory

This approach takes into account the rational choice and the legalist theories as a combined

view towards informality. The rational legalist theory argues that actors consider all costs

(social and opportunity costs) involved before going through the process of formalizing.

This theory predicts the effect that the informal activity will have on a country’s overall

economic growth by showing that incentives provided by the economic environment

influence traders decision to use informal economy only as a start-up point and formalize

Constraints

and

incentives

Utility

maximization

Enter

formal

sector

Enter

informal

sector

Page 30: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

14

leading to economic growth. On the other hand, the constraints posed by economic

environment will influence traders to enter the informal sector with intention of escaping

the constraints of formalizing hence stagnating economic growth (Jamela, 2013). Rational

legalist theory views formal and informal economies as separate (figure 4). In this regard,

it can be argued that those engaged in informal fish trade make personal choices that have

potential to maximise their utilization of the environment.

Figure 4: Rational legalist view of informality (Source: (Gardener, 2008))

This study draws a lesson from rational legalist theory that the constraints posed by

economic environment will influence traders to enter the informal sector with intention of

escaping the constraints of formalizing. Traders, in this case informal fish traders, therefore

make choices to use informal trade routes basing on factors that maximize their utility

regardless of what is deemed legal or illegal by the law (Gardener, 2008). The theoretical

Evasive

informal

economy

Economic

growth

Stalled

growth

Incentives

and

Constraints

Start-up

informal

economy

Page 31: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

15

background highlighted in this section in relation to informal sector provides a basis for

the study and definition of informal cross border trade and trade routes.

2.2.1.5 Survivalist theory

The reviewed literature describes a survivalist trader as an uneducated individual (a school

dropout) who is pushed into business by unemployment and poverty (Davis, 2006). The

survivalist business is described as unprofitable, informal, unsustainable and as a buffer to

poverty and unemployment. Put differently, the business is a means of just providing for a

family, while it generates minimal income and no contribution to the economy as such.

According to Davis (2006), Informal entrepreneurship was seen as “largely unregulated,

low paid, precarious and insecure work conducted by marginalized populations excluded

from the formal economy” and, therefore, a survivalist practice remain an adaptive strategy

for those who could not find formal employment. This highlighted informal

entrepreneurship as a survival practice conducted out of necessity and as a substitute for

formal employment and pursued due to absence of other opportunities, hence taking the

trade as a survival mechanism (Valenzuela, 2001).

This study also obtained lessons from the survivalist theory whereby individuals use

informal entrepreneurship as a survival practice and substitute for formal employment. In

this regard, fish traders pursue survival mechanism due to absence of other opportunities.

Page 32: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

16

2.2.2 Political economy theories

Theories of political economy explain production and their links with custom, government

and law (Anderson, 2011).These theories show how competing groups in the community

determine courses of action that will give most beneficial results. Chandra et al (2010)

summarized that political economy theories talk about the different but linked approaches

to defining and studying economics and other related behaviours. With regards to political

economy theories, there was the need to examine the courses of action that informal traders

undertake to maximise outputs from trade of fish products through informal routes.

2.2.2.1 The neo-classical theory

The neo-classical theory of migration combines a macroscopic approach focused on the

structural determinants of flow of things from source to destination, and a microscopic

approach based on the study of individual behaviour. At macroscopic level, products flow

as a result of uneven geographical distribution of capital and population. This reflects

disparities in net profits, and movement of products is therefore generated by supply push

and demand pull. The neo-classic theory overlaps with the gravity model based on the

influence of supply and demand on flow of products from sources to destination.

The microscopic approach to the neo-classical theory postulated by Todaro and Borjas in

the 1960s and 1970s examines the reasons prompting individuals to respond to structural

disparities among countries by selling products to other markets. Choice of final destination

including market therefore flows from an individual decision taken by rational players

anxious to improve their profits by selling the products to places that offer higher utility. It

Page 33: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

17

is a voluntary decision taken in full awareness of the facts after a comparative analysis of

the costs and benefits of their actions. Migrants including fish traders will therefore choose

the destination where expected net benefits will be the greatest.

2.2.2.2 The dual labour market theory

The dual labour market theory shoulders two trade sectors with two dissimilar labour

markets thus formal and informal. In the formal sector workers and traders enjoy higher

earnings, better employment security and personal security of unions and necessary

working and trading infrastructure. On the other hand, Saint-Paul (1996), described

informal sector in relation to dual labour market theory as a sector comprising a large

portion of the unemployed; black women being the major participants in the informal

sector.

2.2.3 Spatial interaction theories

Spatial interaction is defined as a dynamic flow process from one location to another in

response to localized supply and demand. Rodrigue (2017), described a spatial interaction

as a realized movement of people, freight, goods or information between an origin and a

destination where there is a transport demand/supply relationship expressed over a

geographical space. It involves the movement of human beings such as intra-urban

commuters or intercontinental migrants but may also refer to traffic in goods such as fish

products (Ullman, 1980). Anderson and Yotov (2010) described spatial interaction as a

transportation supply and demand relationship that is often expressed over a geographical

space. There are three main principles for spatial interaction describing reasons for why

Page 34: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

18

things move namely: complementarity, transferability, and intervening opportunity

(Anderson, 2011).

Complementarity describes the presence of a demand or deficit at one location and a supply

or surplus at another thus a deficit of a good or product in one place and a surplus in another.

Complementarity is the main requirement for trade to take place: demand or surplus of a

desired product in one area and a shortage or demand for that same product in another area.

However, studies by Ullman (1980) indicate that the greater the distance, between trip

origin and trip destination, the less likelihood of a trip occurring and the lower the

frequency of trips in cross border trade.

Transferability explains the associated cost of overcoming distance measured in real

economic terms of either time or travel cost. It explains the likelihood of transport of the

good or product at a cost that the market will tolerate. Basing on the concept of

transferability, the cost of overcoming distance is known as the “friction of distance.” Thus,

if the friction of distance is too great, interaction will not occur in spite of a complementary

supply-demand relationship between the two locations. Friction of distance depends on

prevailing transportation technology and the price of energy. In this case, Haynes and

Fotheringham (1984) observed that the friction of distance has decreased over time which

is the prime factor in globalization.

Intervening opportunity states that the number of persons going a given distance is directly

proportional to the number of opportunities at that distance and inversely proportional to

the number of intervening opportunities (Stouffer, 1940). This theory is considered as the

Page 35: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

19

reason for a lack of interaction between two complementary locations. However,

complementarity will only generate a flow if there is no intervening, or closer, location.

The flow of goods that would otherwise occur between two complementary locations may

be diverted to a third location if it represents an intervening opportunity, a closer

complementary alternative with a cheaper overall cost of transportation (Rodrigue, 2017).

Fish traders will therefore target routes and destinations with potential of providing

opportunities with alternative markets that are associated with cheaper cost of transport.

2.2.3.1 Gravity model

The gravity model assumes that the trips produced at an origin and attracted to a destination

are directly proportional to the total trip productions at the origin and the total attractions

at the destination (Cheng & Wall, 2005). According to Constantin (2004), gravity models

in regional economics state that the interaction between two centres is in direct proportion

to their size and in inverse proportion to the distance (at a certain power) between them.

Gravity model finds its application in a wide variety of studies, such as those devoted to

migration, commodity flows, traffic flows, residence-workplace trips, and market area

boundaries.

2.2.3.2 Huff’s Model

Huff, (1964), was the first to propose Reilly’s law, a spatial-interaction model for

estimating retail trade areas. Huff argued that traders have a number of alternative

destinations, they may visit different destinations to maximize their utility rather than

restricting their patronage to one destination. Every destination within the geographic area

Page 36: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

20

with which the trader is familiar has some chance of being patronized from the source using

the chosen route. Thus, Huff conceived trade areas to be probabilistic rather than

deterministic, with each destination having some probability of being patronized. This one

is positively related to the size of the destination and decreases with distance.

The study adopted Huff gravity model when assessing market attractiveness and market

share of fish markets because of (1) its ease of use (Park et al., 2006; Luv et al., 2008) and

(2) the accuracy of its predictions (Drezner and Dressner, 2002). Huff model has been

recommended as the best model in predicting the market potential of shopping centres or

trading markets (Huff and Blue, 1966).

2.2.3.3 The Competing Destinations Model (CDM)

The competing destinations model was proposed by Fotheringham in 1983 through a

derived approach from spatial considerations. CDM provides dealing with challenges

associated with logit and nested logit models for choice models within spatial theories. The

competing destinations model assumes that there is a limit to an individual’s ability to

process large amounts of information. , spatial choice is likely to result from a hierarchical

information-processing strategy whereby a cluster of alternatives is first selected. A

different approach takes into account that the likelihood of a particular alternative being in

the restrictive choice set is a role of the dissimilarity of that alternative to all other available

choices (Vicéns, 1995).

The theories explain the reasons for thriving growth of informal trade over a geographical

space through informal routes. This understanding connect with the use of geographic

Page 37: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

21

information system in ascertaining interactions between products sources and destination

using preferred routes hence GIS playing crucial role in spatial analysis.

2.3 GIS and its role in geographical analyses

GIS is one of many information technologies that have transformed the ways geographers

conduct research and plan for activities in communities (Al-ramadn, 2002).It is a

technological tool for comprehending geography and making intelligent decisions (Sutton

et al, 2004).Through GIS, ability to input, analyse, and identify patterns makes geographers

relevant in conversations about transport, public health, urban planning, and protecting the

environment. GIS has so many areas of applications, for example, Gupta et al,(2003)opined

that geographers bring GIS tools to bear on environmental problems through mapping

sensitive environmental areas and identifying potential sources of pollution in the

proximity.

GIS finds its application in various fields like energy and climate change, community

mapping and analysis, spatial justice and social inequality, political redistricting and voting

rights, food production, access, and equity, health, housing, international development and

humanitarian relief, land and wildlife conservation, natural disasters - risk and vulnerability

analysis, urban growth management planning, water systems, science and society, trade

and communication(Bähr, 2000).In transport and urban planning, GIS technology has

opened up new horizons in transportation planning and especially in travel demand

modelling and routing(Alterkawi, 2001). This is where GIS provides the tool a

transportation planner would need to convey ideas and present implications of planning

Page 38: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

22

decision for non-planners visually. According to Gupta et al. (2003) GIS offers a means

of communication that allows for an interactive understanding between the

public and transportation professionals. Alterkawi, (2001) established that GIS technology

has developed an essential tool for the most effective use of spatial data.

GIS also find its apparent role in geography analysis by allowing users to merge data with

other datasets using the spatial linkage (Weber, 2000). Alterkawi, (2001) opined that the

first level is often to merge the data with basic topographic data such as roads and contours.

For instance, the study by Weber (2000) in a survey of mechanical peat digging in the

Sperrin mountains in Northern Ireland showed that when the locations were plotted on a

map it was easy to see that most were on the less steep and lower ground within the area.

However, using the additional functionality in a GIS it was also possible to establish buffer

analysis for more analysis of the features.

GIS also provides room for querying and analysis. Through querying, the stored

information either spatial data or associated tabular data can be retrieved with the help of

Structured/Sequential/Standard Query Language (SQL) (Clarke, 2000). SQL command

automatically accesses tables with relevant attributes specified by user’s query combining

them to form a temporary combined table. Once the query is finished, the table is deleted.

Both simple and sophisticated queries utilizing more than one data layer can provide timely

information for geographers and other analysts to have overall knowledge about the

situation for informed decision making.

Page 39: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

23

Overlay analysis is another analytical capability of GIS where different data layers are

integrated for geographical analysis. At its simplest, this could be a visual operation, but

analytical operations require one or more data layers to be joined physically. This overlay,

or spatial join, can integrate data on soils, slope, and vegetation, or land ownership

(Alfadhli et al, 2015). This will be helpful to understand the different behaviour of the

situation on different parameters. In proximity analysis, GIS software can support buffer

generation that involves the creation of new polygons from points, lines, and polygon

features stored in the database (King, 1998).

Furthermore, the ability of most GIS software to provide many basic transportation models

and algorithms may also be useful in specific situations including route mapping

(Alterkawi, 2001). According to Weber, (2000) the ability to link up to external procedures

and software also provides possible options, as these procedures can access data within the

GIS and present the results of analysis to the GIS for viewing and analysis of geographical

parameters. Understanding of the linkages between GIS and various fields including trade

through basic transportation model gave a basis of part of the study to adopt GIS Huff

Gravity model in assessing market attractiveness and associated market shares. The use of

GIS Huff gravity model considers fish sources to destination and distances, however,

attention to fish production levels and growth trends becomes important in interpreting the

interactions in relation to demand and supply.

Page 40: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

24

2.4 Malawi fish production levels and growth trends

Malawi’s fish production from the capture fisheries has been facing declining growth over

the years (GoM, 2014). The decline in the overall production is attributed to the drop in

catches in the main fishing bodies such as Lake Malawi (Figure 5a) following overfishing

caused by increased demand and the use of illegal gears such as mosquito nets (GoM,

2014). It is apparent nevertheless that whilst increases in production have been observed

in some of the periods, the general trend of production has been declining. The episodic

increase in the production levels is attributed to increased catch of Engraulicypris sardella

(Usipa) which is influenced by climatic changes at the lake (GoM, 2014).According to

CYE (2008) and Phiri et al (2014), overexploitation of the cichlid Oreochromis spp.

(Chambo) has been reported as the main reason for the decline in production levels from

the commercial small-scale fisheries.

Figure 5a & b: Artisanal fish Production in Malawi. (Source: (GoM, 2014))

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

2003 2008

Ton

s

Year

Total tonsLake Malawi ArtisanalLake ChilwaLake ChiutaLake Malombe

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

Lake Chilwa Lake Chiuta

Lake MalombeFigure: 5bFigure: 5a

Page 41: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

25

The overall decline in the production of capture fisheries has resulted in a gap arising

between supply and demand of fish thereby affecting trade in fish products. Figure 5b

shows the fluctuating pattern for capture fisheries production for small lakes within

Malawi. The low supply of fish has resulted in a lower per capita fish consumption level

of 5.46 kg, which is less than the recommended consumption level of 13-15kg per year by

WHO (GoM, 2014). The major fish species farmed by these fish farmers include Tilapia

rendalii (Chilunguni), Oreochromis shiranus (Makumba), O. karongae (Chambo) and C.

gariepinus (Mlamba) (Njaya, 2006). After catch from Malawian waters the fresh fish is

usually preserved in ice and transported to different selling points where they are sold at

open spaces, and few super markets (Kapute et al,, 2012).

2.5 Fisheries, Nutrition and Food Security

The fishery sector of most African countries consists of capture fisheries and aquaculture.

Capture Fisheries and aquaculture play an important role in providing food and income in

many developing countries (Kawarazuka and Béné 2011). The sector generates a variety

of benefits including nutrition and food security, livelihoods, employment, exports and

foreign currency and conservation and biodiversity value that are of global significance

(FAO–WHO, 2011). As of 2010, fishery production in Africa was estimated at 9.4 million

tonnes comprising of 4.9 million tonnes from marine capture fisheries, 2.7 million tonnes

from inland water fisheries and about 1.4 million tonnes from aquaculture (FAO–WHO,

2011). The aquaculture sector contributes negligibly to total fish supplies but growing at

about 10% per annum (Mapfumo, 2015). Fish and fishery products are highly nutritious

and contain high percentages of animal protein with several other nutrients such as vitamins

Page 42: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

26

A, B, E and K and they are good sources of some minerals like calcium, phosphorus and

iron (Dalin et al, 2013). In Malawi, fish and the fisheries sector are of great social and

economic importance due to their significant role as a source of nutrition, income and

employment. At country level, fish provides over 60% of the dietary animal protein intake

of Malawians and 40% of the total protein supply (Phiri et al, 2011).

Most fish products consumed in Africa falls into the “low-value” group commonly referred

as small pelagic fishes, as defined in Fish to 2020. However, Kurien (2005) pinpointed out

that the small pelagic fishes play important role in ensuring food and income security in

Africa by providing important sources of proteins and income. In terms of fish

consumption, the overall world fish consumption has been increasing over the years, with

per capita fish consumption estimated to be around 16% (Russell et al., 2008). However,

many African countries have per capita consumption rates well below world averages, and

those rates are declining (Speedy, 2003).

Abila (2002a) reported that catches of most species are showing downward trends due to

overfishing to meet the greater demand for fish in the export market and for fishmeal, as

well as for domestic consumption. This demand for improved quality products in

accordance with standards in international markets has a great influence on the local supply

chain organization (Thorpe and Bennett 2004). Such is the case in most African countries

following trade liberalization which has led to an increase of food imports into the country

and caused food dumping in local markets, hitting the country’s own farmers.

Liberalization has also led to an increase in the prices of fisheries products, putting them

Page 43: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

27

beyond the reach of most rural communities (Madeley, 2000). A similar trend has been

observed in Malawi where several studies have revealed that per capita fish consumption

has been declining over the years despite fish being one of the most important sources of

animal protein, accounting for an estimated 60% of the total animal protein consumed

(Russell et al., 2008). Per capita fish consumption in the 1970s was 13-14 kg, with the

current per capita consumption at 7.3kg per year which is less than what is recommended

by the World Health Organization (WHO) of 13-15kg per year (Kapute et al,, 2012).

2.6 Fish production and trade in fish products

Lakes and aquaculture farms provide significant supply of fish products in Africa.

Additionally, the large lakes of Eastern and Southern Africa are important natural resources

that are heavily utilized by their bordering countries for transportation, water supply,

fisheries, waste disposal, recreation and tourism (Odada & Olago 2002). The fisheries for

small pelagic fish in Africa’s Great Lakes are among the most important on the continent,

supplying dried fish (variously known as kapenta, usipa, dagaa or omena according to

species and region) to markets throughout much of East and central/southern Africa (Abila,

2002b).

The fish stocks of Malawian waters are undoubtedly among the most important natural

resources contributing 60% of animal proteins locally (Matiya et al., 2005). The largest

water body providing most of the capture fish is Lake Malawi. Other important water

bodies include Lake Chilwa, Lake Malombe, Lake Chiuta, and Shire River. About 45000

tons of fish are produced annually from Malawian water bodies (Phiri et al, 2011).

Page 44: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

28

However, the production of fish has lately been declining as a result of overexploitation of

fish, thereby decreasing fish products available for exports. For example, Kapenta from

Mozambique (Caborabassa dam) comprise the largest quantities of fish imported in Malawi

followed by Pilchards/sardines from South Africa, Namibia, China Thailand and Pakistan;

Oreochromis niloticus from Zimbabwe; Horse mackerel from Namibia; Tuna from

Thailand and China; Mussels from China; CrabsandOysters from Thailand and China and

Pink Salmon from the United States of America. Most of the Malawi fish imports uses road

transport through Mchinji, Dedza and Mwanza border posts (GoM, 2014). Imports from

neighbouring countries are transported through roads, air and water (GoM, 2014).

Fish products are highly traded, and developing countries are among the most important

exporters. Fish exports from low-income, food-deficient countries are equivalent to 50

percent of the cost of their food imports (Sonjiwe, et al 2015). According to FAO (2012),

developing countries accounted for 49 percent of world exports by value and 59 percent by

volume in 2006. Garcia and Grainger (2005) consider global economic development

patterns, population growth, and the state of the environment as the main drivers.

Globalization of markets affects trade and investment flows through factors such as trade

alliances to remove barriers; low-cost transport; interconnections between product, labor,

and financial markets; and deregulation of country economies. This set of factors affects

fisheries and aquaculture. For example, direct access to European markets through low-

cost transport and value chains governed by large European retailers and wholesalers has

created and sustained the export market for Nile perch from Lake Victoria (Abila, 2002a).

Page 45: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

29

2.7 Fish trade flows

Fish products in cross border trade are transported over a wide geographic range by a large

number of traders and processors through both formal and informal channels (Jagger and

Pender 2001). Traders using formal routes meets the set regulations for importing and

exporting fish products ranging from possession of trading documents like sanitary

certificate, trading permit and/or fish trading license as per country specific guides. In

Malawi, fish traders possessing sanitary certificate, passport/boarding pass, and Revenue

Authority Certification are regarded as formal traders (Table 1). The sanitary certificate

gives clearance that the fish products are proven fit for consumption by the Department of

Fisheries (GoM, 2014). Makombe, (2011) pinpointed that all these documents demand

processing fee and duty stamp fees. Based on criteria by the government of Malawi, the

possession of immigration mandatory documents like passport/border pass, sanitary

certificate for exporters, and fish trading permit and licences for importers qualifies a trader

to export and import fish products.

The revenue authority certificate is issued considering the quantities imported or exported

in accordance to the Common Market for East and Southern Africa Simplified Trade

Regime (COMESA STR) on trade of fish products. The COMESA STR was introduced to

expedite clearances for small scale cross border traders including fish traders. According

to Economic Commission for Africa (2010), the STR may be used by small scale cross

border traders who are importing and exporting goods worth $1000 or less per

consignment; with goods that are listed on the common list that qualifies under the

COMESA STR including fish related products.

Page 46: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

30

Table 1: Export and import requirements for cross border fish trade

Type of document Export Import

Sanitary certificate Required Required

Licence Not required Required

Export & Import permit Not required Required

Passport/Border pass Required Required

Revenue Authority Certification (quantities

more than $1000 worthy)

Required Required

Source: (GoM, 2014)

According to Jagger and Pender (2001), fish is delivered to consumers through different

channels including the direct sale of fish to households at landing points on lakes or rivers.

Some fish products are sold to households by head load carriers or bicycle traders that buy

fish from fishers at landing sites, wholesalers that collect fish with pickup trucks in fairly

large quantities delivering to retailers, and processors that salt, dry or smoke and then sell

their products to traders or directly to consumers. In addition, well-developed commercial

export channels also exist and these have been extensively studied for Nile perch in Kenya

and Tanzania (Schuurhuizen, et al, 2006; Gudmundssonet al, 2006).

Along the fish delivery channels, fish traders use various routes to transport fish products

from source to target destination making a marketing channel. In this context, Nayeem, et

al (2010) defined marketing as a connecting link between the producers and consumers

where through the marketing system, the fish products reach the consumers in acceptable

condition. The marketing system operates through a set of intermediaries all the way from

the producers to the final consumers. Reza et al (2005) reported that fish and fisheries

Page 47: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

31

products are marketed through many different channels and outlets depending on the

choice of the fish trader. The routing decisions by fish traders are often made based on

some criteria other than minimum distance, time or cost (Heye and Timpf, 2003). Bovy

and Stern (1990) describe three objective factors: the physical environment, the socio-

demographic environment and normative environment factors as key factors influencing

choice of trade route. In addition, a subjective factor influences the perception of the three

objective factors. In route choice, the physical environment has the largest influence (Bovy

and Stern 1990). Kirema (2012), mapped fish flows based on the routes for the regional

trade movement of freshwater fishery products within east and southern Africa (Figure 6).

The mapping showed different fish products being exported and imported from one country

to another. The fish species traded include Tanganyika perch, Nile Perch, Tilapia, Dagaa,

Chisense, Ragoogi, Muziri, Kapenta, Catfish, Lungfish, Alestes, and Bagrus (Kirema-

Mukasa, 2012). Most of these fish species being exported included those from the export-

oriented fisheries of Lake Victoria. This has been attributed to the rising demand from a

growing population hence increased consumption demand, depletion of stocks in fishing

waters of other developed countries, technical advances in preservation, processing and

transport, and poor regulation of the sector (Josupeit, 2011).

Page 48: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

32

Figure 6: Map showing fish flows in East and Southern Africa for selected

species

(Source: Smartfish working paper, 2012)

The fish products passing through the trade routes include fresh and processed fish

products. The processed products of the artisanal sector constitute a significant part of the

intra-regional trade specifically the small pelagic species. However, Failler, (2014)

reported that the official data still do not suitably reveal them because small pelagic species

activities are not recorded (while import and export of frozen products are recorded). The

fish processed by artisanal processors circulates especially over land, in trucks, vans,

Page 49: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

33

passenger vehicles, taxis, even motorcycles and cross borders sometimes without customs

declarations (Failler, 2014). From a trade perspective, Failler, (2014) reported that small

pelagics are affected by a double trend. On the one hand, stocks of demersal species (e.g.

sardinellas, mackerels, white fishes, shrimps, and cephalopods) are overexploited and

exported by African countries to Europe as high commercial value goods, and a

diminishing range of fishes remain available for local consumption: mainly small pelagics.

On the other hand, the new trade route of small pelagics to Asian countries absorbs growing

quantities of small pelagics the availability of which on the African market will sharply

decline. Least Developed Countries (LCDs) tend to supply unprocessed or minimally-

processed fish (Golub and Varma 2014). The most important fishing product from Sub

Saharan Africa (SSA) by far is canned tuna. Tuna fishing and canning has shifted from the

East to the West Coast of Africa, with Senegal replacing Mauritius as the largest African

exporter. Frozen fish fillets, mainly of South African and Namibian hake but also including

Nile perch from Lake Victori, are the second largest fish product from Africa (Josupeit,

2011).

Fish trader’s choice of a trade route is also reported to be influenced by fish price of the

target market. Prices of fish have been reported to vary considerably by season as well as

by country. For example, in the interior markets of Malawi, prices of fish products are

affected by seasonal competition from other sources of animal protein. Locations along the

lake shore, as well as the two largest urban centres, Blantyre and Lilongwe, exhibit lower

wholesale prices than elsewhere, particularly the hinterland markets of the region (Icrarm

Page 50: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

34

and Gtz 1991). This, therefore, guides traders to where and when to sell fish products

thereby determining the trade routes to be used by fish traders.

2.8 Constraints to African Fishery exports and imports

Inefficient transportation is a major constraint to fishery exports. Distance, of course, is the

biggest determinant of transportation costs so efficient and cheap transport is crucial for

exporters. The dearth of paved roads in Least Developed Countries (LDCs) has an

aggregate of 20.8 percent as compared to 46.9 percent in all developing countries. This

contributes to inconsistent delivery schedules and substantial fuel costs even for

transporting fish over small distances (World Bank 2013). The lack of investment and

maintenance of roads is compounded by excessive red tape at customs and border

checkpoints, resulting in costs and delays for fish exporters in LDCs (Biggs 2012).

Exporters in SSA are especially disadvantaged because their internal transport costs -

getting exports from production and processing areas to ports of departure - are often

greater than the costs of transporting goods between (Kapute et al., 2012).

Equally important, the lack of access to facilities for fresh products at landing areas in

LDCs severely limits the ability of artisanal fishers to participate in distribution chains that

supply to developed countries. The lack of refrigeration means that LDCs cannot

participate in the rising share of frozen and processed fish exports in world trade (Nayeem,

et al., 2010). Traditional processing and preservation techniques employed by artisanal

fishers in the absence of refrigeration - like the smoking of fish using kilns, firewood,

charcoal and gas amongst SSA fishing communities - can increase 23% the concentration

Page 51: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

35

of harmful chemicals in the atmosphere above limits specified by international regulations

(Akande at el, 2012). Informal cross-border traders face numerous challenges. According

to Ndlela, (2006), the challenges that informal traders face when using informal trade

routes from sources to final destination include exposure to corrupt border officials, lack

of knowledge of customs clearance and handling requirements, lack of recognition as

bonafide traders, inability to carry bulky products, and poor or inadequate infrastructure

(for example, lack of water and telephones).

2.9 Chapter summary

The literature has revealed the theories on the subject of the informal economy and informal

cross-border trade. Figure 7 display summary of the theories aiding understanding of the

reasons for the continued use of informal trade routes in cross border trade. The theories of

informal trade have helped the study to give more reflections to the different urgings

presented by scholars broadly.

Page 52: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

36

Figure 7: Underlying theories informing the study

In terms of GIS application in geographical analyses, it is noted that GIS has widely been

used in different fields including geography for decision making. Studies from scholars

showed that GIS provide a platform to input, analyze and identify geographical patterns

relevant in transport, public health, urban planning and environmental protection.

The review of literature also revealed that there is growth of informal fish trade. Fish traders

use informal routes based on choices related to behavior of the person, economic, societal

Explanation for thriving use of informal fish trade routes

Political economy theories

-The neo-classical

-The dual labour market

Behaviour theories

-Structuralist

-Legalist

-Rational choice

-Rational legalist

-Survivalist

Spatial interaction theories

-Gravity model

-Huff's model

-The competing destinations model

Page 53: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

37

and political, and spatial interaction. These theories, therefore, explained the variables that

influence choice of a trade route and destination as outlined in the conceptual framework.

However, in relation to the information gap existing regarding the informal trade routes,

and the supporting theories stated in this chapter, this study attempted to address that gap

by conducting a research on geographical analysis of informal fish trade routes between

Malawi and neighboring countries using a field based research methodology.

Page 54: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

38

CHAPTER THREE

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3.1 Chapter overview

This chapter contains a description of the study methodology that was used to collect data

from the studied sample size as outlined in figure 8. A mixed approach was adopted to

ensure that understanding is improved by integrating different ways of knowing as well as

balancing the limitations of one type of approach with the other. Methodological aspects

presented in this chapter include: data collection methods, data analysis, and research ethics

observed during the conduct of the research.

Page 55: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

39

Figure 8: A flow-diagram describing the research model

Page 56: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

40

3.2 Conceptual framework

The research is undertaken on the basis that trader’s use of informal trade routes when

transporting fish products from sources to destination can be attributed to several factors

ranging from those that are geographical in nature (e.g. location of the source and

destination, route distance, accessibility, seasons, nature of the route, presence of

alternative destination)to other non-geographic factors (e.g. personal safety risks, mode of

transport demand and fish product) that influence a traders final destination (Serangelli and

Cirelli, 2010). Choice of the trade route and final destinations (market) by the fish trader

are the dependent variables which were regressed against the set of various factors

including location of the source, location of the final destination, demand (population),

route distance, accessibility, seasons, nature of the route, personal safety risks, mode of

transport, fish product and presence of alternative destination (Figure 9).

Page 57: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

41

Figure 9: Conceptual framework showing the dependent and independent variables

for the study

3.3 Study location

Malawi is in the Sub Saharan Africa sharing boundaries with Zambia, Mozambique, and

Tanzania. Figure 10 shows the study border posts and boundaries of neighboring countries

focused on by the study to understand the cross-border fish trade in terms location of the

Page 58: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

42

sources and destinations as well as nature of the trade routes used. The four border posts

selected for the study were; Songwe (Karonga) bordering Malawi and Tanzania, Mwami

(Mchinji) bordering Malawi and Zambia, Muloza (Mulanje) and Mwanza bordering

Malawi and Mozambique. The border posts were selected based on availability of fisheries

inspector at the border post implementing fish trade project activities through fish export

and import monitoring (Mussa et al, 2017).

Page 59: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

43

Figure 10: Map showing the border sites where data was collected.

Page 60: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

44

3.4 Sampling design

A four-stage sampling technique was employed for the study. Firstly, a purposive selection

of the border posts was used in order to easily get a sample of subjects with specific

characteristics as per set selection criterion. The criteria for selection of the border posts

were based on availability of fisheries inspector at the border post implementing fish trade

project activities through which fish export and import monitoring is done.

The second stage employed a snowball technique to identify key informants who provided

information on the informal fish trade routes within the border posts. This is where key

informant persons within the Department of fisheries (border fisheries inspectors),

customs, immigration officers and border surrounding villages were identified and

interviewed to provide insights of trade routes that fish traders use when importing and

exporting fish products. The advantage of this method is that it helps in identifying informal

cross-border trade routes where other fish traders were identified for interviews. Snowball

sampling has been found to be economical, efficient and effective in several studies

including informal cross-border trade between countries (Ama & Mangadi, 2012). The

advantage of snowball method is that it is appropriate to use when the members of a

population are difficult to locate where it allows reaching populations that are inaccessible

or hard to find. In this case the few key informants were located and interviewed to provide

information needed to locate routes where informal fish traders were interviewed. The

drawback of this method is that, it hardly leads to representative sample.

Page 61: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

45

In the third stage, days to conduct the interviews for the sampled trade routes were

identified through randomization. This is where days of the week were numbered on small

pieces of paper 1 to 7 for Monday through Sunday respectively. The pieces of paper were

wrapped and mixed. The sampled routes for data collection were labelled using letters of

alphabet. Then, random selection from the mixed pieces of paper denoting days was used

to pick one at a time for respective letters in logical order denoting the trade routes for

example if first piece of paper with number 4 was randomly picked, then data collection

for route A will be done on 4th day of the week (Thursday). This was necessary to avoid

biases when collecting data along the exit and entry points for the available informal trade

routes (Langford et al, 2002).

Lastly, convenient sampling was employed where available fish traders using a particular

route for the assigned day of the week were interviewed using a semi-structured

questionnaire (Questionnaire attached in appendix section). Convenience sampling is a

non-probability sampling technique where subjects are selected because of their convenient

accessibility and proximity to the researcher (Krueger, 2000). Convenient sampling has

been chosen since the population of the traders is unknown. The study interviewed 440 fish

traders to get a representative sample size through convenient sampling

Page 62: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

46

3.5 Sample size

Total number of the respondents involved in the study was determined using the following

formula by Edriss (2013),

N = ………………………………………………………… (1)

Where; (n) is the sample size, (p) is an estimate of prevalence, (z) is the z-value

corresponding to the desired degree of confidence, and (e) is the margin of error allowed

for this study.

The allowable error that this study used is 5% and a confidence level of 95% with a

corresponding z-value of 1.96. An anticipated proportion of prevalence is mostly assumed

to be 50% (0.5) when there is no previous estimate hence using the formula provided by

Edriss (2013). Substituting the values in the formula gives a sample size of 364 fish traders

for Malawi border sites.

n = = 364 respondents …………………………………………… (2)

However, some questionnaires usually become invalid for analysis due to errors and some

also got missing during data collection in the field. Therefore, to cater for these anticipated

circumstances, an additional 21% of the sample size accounting for 76 respondents was

added to the sample size based on the researcher's own discretion (Ama et al, 2013). The

final sample size equal to 440 was used for the study. According to Hair et al (2010), a

sample size should preferably be more than 100 for a factor or multiple regression analysis

to be conducted.

Page 63: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

47

3.6 Data collection

The study used both primary and secondary data as follows:

3.6.1 Primary data

GPS surveying was done using handheld GPS devices to collect coordinates of the points

where traders cross the boundaries of Malawi using the chosen route. The coordinate point

data were used to identify the exact route being used when connecting the sources and

destinations. Google earth was used to get points for sources and destinations of fish

products away from the data collection sites through marking of placements on all

interacting points.

A semi-structured questionnaire was designed to collect data of the fish traders including

demographic characteristics, fish species/ products traded, forms of fish, sources,

destination, volume, means of transport, routes used, and marketing channels used.

According to Krueger, (2000), a semi-structured questionnaire is the best research

instrument consisting of a series of questions and other prompts for the purpose of

gathering information from respondents to be subjected to statistical analysis. Above all,

determinants of route choice were identified and captured through personal interviews with

fish traders. Data on demand for the route, distance, quantity of fish products, travelling

time, loading characteristics, means of transport, nature of the routes, frequency of trading,

and number of people involved were collected.

Page 64: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

48

Fish traders satisfying the regulatory framework set by government were interviewed at

the official border post on daily basis. Semi-structured questionnaire was administered to

the formal traders in order to identify the key routes and final destinations from the sources.

For the informal trade routes, data collection targeted the traders that are using other routes

than the official government borders and a questionnaire was administered to the informal

fish traders through direct interviews (Mussa et al, 2017). The questionnaire was pretested

by the enumerators before actual data collection. Primary data was collected for a period

of one month on exit and entry points that traders use when crossing the borders through

informal and formal routes.

Key informant interviews were done to probe more primary information on the nature of

trade along the study border sites in Malawi and other neighbouring countries. Fisheries

border inspectors, customs and immigration officers were interviewed as key informant for

the study. According to Edriss, (2013), a key informant interview is a loosely structured

conversation with people who have specialized knowledge about the topic under study.

3.6.2 Secondary data

Secondary data was obtained from government departments including Fisheries

Department, National Statistics Offices, and the Department of Geological Surveys. The

secondary data included map layers for the road networks in Malawi and neighbouring

countries, fish exports and imports for 2010-2016, and population for markets from

national census reports.

Page 65: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

49

3.6.3 Pretesting/Pilot Survey

Before the questionnaire was administered, a pilot study was conducted in June 2017 in

Mchinji-Mwami post bordering Malawi and Zambia. Pretesting help researchers to gauge

the meaning attributed to the survey questions before actual data collection (Grimm, 2008).

10 informal fish traders and 2 key informants were interviewed during pretesting along

informal routes in Mchinji. The results of the pilot study showed that the questions in the

questionnaire clear, useful and necessary.

3.7 Data analysis

3.7.1 Mapping of fish trade routes from source to destination

Route labelling method using data from the questionnaire and observation as described by

Ramming, (2002) was adopted and used for the study where GPS coordinates for boundary

entry and exit points were captured and uploaded in ArcGIS as a shape file. The point

features were converted to “KML” file format supported by Google Earth ® in ArcGIS to

assist in the identification of the exact routes used by fish traders. Route digitisation was

conducted by tracking the path from sources to destination following the responses of

traders as captured by the semi-structured questionnaire. Sources and destinations were

marked and labelled in Google Earth ® by adding the mark placement. The identified paths

containing place marks were finally re-exported to ArcGIS where route maps and their

characteristics captured from the questionnaire surveys were added as attributes for further

analyses.

Page 66: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

50

3.7.2 Quantification of the magnitude of fish trade in informal routes

The second objective sought to quantify the volume and value of cross-border fish trade

through informal routes. This was aimed at estimating the unrecorded trade of fish products

between Malawi and her neighbouring countries because these were usually not part of the

record of customs officials at the various cross-borders points. The study adopted the Fish

Trade Program research methodology used by World Fish, NEPAD, and AU IBAR for the

regional fish trade project (Mussa et al, 2017). A similar methodology has been applied by

Ackello-Ogutu (1996) for estimating informal trade (unrecorded) between the East Africa

countries and Southern Africa.

By observation and information from traders, it was found that informal trade routes

include the routes close to the border sides that traders use to escape the border site and

mainly joins the main roads after bypassing the border post. The informal routes are usually

around these border points rather than in the remote and porous border areas far from any

settlements. Border monitoring was therefore concentrated around the established crossing

points specifically at the crossing boundary points of Malawi and neighbouring countries.

The border districts selected for intensive monitoring were Karonga, Mwanza, Mchinji and

Mulanje border posts.

Page 67: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

51

The estimates of the fish products traded using informal trade routes were estimated by

using the following formula suggested by Ackello-Ogutu, (1996);

𝐴𝑇𝑉 = 𝑀 𝑁 [∑ 𝑄𝑑

𝑛

𝑖=1

𝑖] … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … (3)

𝐴𝐷𝑇𝑉 = [∑ 𝑄𝑑

𝑛

𝑖=1

𝑖/𝑗] … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … (4)

𝐴𝑉 = 𝑀 𝑁 [∑ 𝑄𝑑

𝑛

𝑖=1

𝑖] 𝑃 … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … (5)

Where:

N is days in a month a trader exported fish from the market;

M is the number of months in a year during which trader exported;

Qd is the Quantity (Kg) of fish exported per market day;

J is the total number of day’s data was collected;

P refers to the average price of fish per basket;

ADTV is average daily trade volume;

ATV is annual trade volume; and,

AV is annual trade value;

i is the trader index

Page 68: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

52

3.7.3 Analysis of geographical factors influencing choice of fish trade route and

destination by the traders

Principal component analysis was used to identify factors influencing fish trader’s choice

of a trade route and destination. Firstly, Bartlett's test of sphericity was performed for

determining whether all variables in the sample are uncorrelated and Kaiser's Measure of

psychometric Sampling Adequacy to see if the correlation matrix could be used for the

factor analysis. In addition, number of components with significant loadings was

determined by Kaiser Criterion test. Finally, component matrix was rotated to make the

results easier to distinguish using PASW’s VARIMAX algorithm (Tucker & Mac Callum,

1997). Thirteen items were factor analysed using Principal Component analysis after

ascertaining the appropriateness of Factor analysis (Malhotra, 2005) using the Bartlett's

Test of Sphericity (significant at 0.05 level) and Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin (KMO) statistic

(>0.6).

On choice of the final destination, Huff gravity model was used to assess market

attractiveness and share in order to ascertain the effect of distance and size of market on

choice of destination of fish products. In this model, the probability (P)that a fish trader (i)

selling products at location (j) depends upon two factors: the population of the market and

the distance it takes to travel to the market (Levy and Weitz, 2007)—the larger the market,

the greater the probability of selling the fish products, while the greater the distance, the

lower the probability. The mathematical formula is as follows (Huff, 1964):

Pij = (S j / Tijλ / (∑ S j / Tijλ) ………………………………………………….… (6)

Page 69: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

53

where (Pij) denotes the probability that fish trader (i)sells at location (j), (Sj) is the size of

the market at location (j), (Tij) is the distance for customer (i)to get to location (j), and (λ)is

a parameter that is to be estimated empirically to reflect the effect of distance on various

kinds of market trips.

Distance from interacting markets was calculated using Proximity Near Tool in ArcGIS

where each market was selected for distance calculation to all interacting markets. Taking

into account the distances and population of the market, attractiveness was calculated by

dividing the population of the market with the distance square for interacting markets. The

attractiveness of each market was summed up to find the total market attractiveness for fish

products. Lastly, the market share (probabilities for each market in terms of where fish

traders are most likely colonised) was calculated by taking the attractiveness score for each

market and dividing it by the total attractiveness.

Based on the Huff gravity model, this study adopted the definition of market attractiveness

and market share as defined by Huff, (1963) as follows:

Market attractiveness- The measure of potential value of a particular market in

relation to short term and long-term profit.

Market share- The measure of the probabilities where traders are most likely to go

for each interacting location.

Page 70: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

54

3.7.4 Analysis of the challenges fish traders are facing when using informal

trade routes

The responses by the informal and formal traders were coded in SPSS to tabulate the main

challenges fish traders face when using informal trade routes. This helps to make

distinction between categorical and quantitative measurements as they are supposed to be

treated in very different ways for the purposes of data analysis (Grimm, 2008). Frequencies

and percentages were used to isolate the challenges from the sampled respondents for

formal and informal trade. A two-sided z-test and Bonferroni correction were used to assess

significant challenges informal traders were facing when using informal trade routes.

3.8 Research ethics

The permission to administer semi-structured questionnaires was consensual. An

introductory letter about the research was obtained from the University of Malawi

Chancellor College (Appendix 1). This was made available to the target respondents before

administering the data collection tools. The purpose of the research was clearly explained

to the respondents that the data will only be used for the research and academic purposes.

Where the respondent demonstrated or articulated discontent, the interviews were

rescheduled or cancelled. Respondents were presented with the consent form requesting

for their authorization. In addition, they were informed earlier that should any parts of their

interview be used in a publication, their names will not be recorded and any details related

to their privacy were to be kept confidential. According to Edriss, (2013), the authorization

allow respondents to provide an appropriate explanation, seek the individual's assent,

Page 71: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

55

consider such persons' preferences and best interests, and obtain appropriate permission

from a legally authorized person.

The benefits from this study to the fish traders and the nation were well explained to the

respondents through dissemination conferences. After compilation of the final report,

copies were made available to those fish traders and fisheries border inspectors who

requested them.

3.9 Chapter summary

This chapter outlined the empirical methodology used in arriving at the results of the study

objective. Four border posts were purposively sampled based on the availability of the

fisheries inspectors. Snowball sampling technique was employed to identify informal trade

routes through key informants. Days to conduct the interviews for the sampled trade routes

were identified through randomization. Lastly, convenient sampling was employed where

available fish traders using a particular route for the assigned day of the week were

interviewed using a semi structured questionnaire.

A semi-structured questionnaire was designed and pretested to collect data of the fish

traders. A formula developed by Eddris (2013) was employed to get total number of

respondents involved in the study. In addition to this, a GPS handheld device was used to

collect coordinate point data to identify the exact route being used when connecting the

sources and destinations. Secondary data including shape files were obtained from

Department of Geological Survey. Data captured using questionnaire was analysed using

Page 72: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

56

SPSS, while coordinates were uploaded to google earth for identification of exact routes

used by fish traders. The paths and place marks were separately uploaded in ArcGIS

version 10.3.1 to form route layers for generating formal and informal routes from sources

to destinations. The estimates of the fish products traded using informal trade routes were

estimated by using a formula suggested by Ackello-Ogutu, (1996). Principal component

analysis was used to identify factors influencing fish trader’s choice of a trade route and

destination. Methodology outlined in this section resulted into successful data collection

and subsequent analysis providing results and discussion for the study.

Page 73: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

57

CHAPTER FOUR

RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS

4.1 Chapter overview

The overall goal of this field work based study was to examine the geography of informal

fish trade routes in Malawi and the adjoining (neighboring) countries. Specifically, the

research sought to map informal fish trade routes, estimate the magnitude of fish products

traded using informal fish trade routes, analyse the geographical factors responsible for the

choice of informal fish trade routes and destination, and analyse the challenges fish traders

face when using informal trade routes between Malawi and her neighbouring countries.

This chapter, therefore, presents findings of the study using the specific objectives in

chapter 1.

4.2 Characteristics of fish traders

4.2.1 Socio-economic characteristics

The demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the respondents are presented in

figure 11.Out of the 449 sampled fish traders, 59% and 41% were males and females

respectively. In terms of age, the mean age of the respondents for all border sites was 31+-

±.32 years. However, a further analysis of the age of the fish traders by quartiles revealed

that the majority of the respondents were in the age group of 21 to 30 years (56.7%). This

Page 74: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

58

confirms the studies by NSO (2010) which revealed that the economically active group in

Malawi is between 15 to 35 years where by they are involved in different income

generating activities including trade in fish products. There were no statistical differences

for the age groups (<20, 21-30, 31-40 and >40) among formal and informal fish traders

(p=0.123).

The study also indicated that, 84.6% were married, whereas 12.2, 2.7 and 0.4% of the fish

traders reported that they were single, divorced, and widowed respectively (Figure 11).

According to occupation of the respondents, majority (72%) consider fish business alone

as main source of income whereas 10%, 13% and 5% consider combined business ventures,

farming and transportation of fish as main occupation respectively. Respondents

represented by 5% of the sample were reported to be involved in cross border fish trade as

transporters of the products.

Page 75: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

59

Figure 11: Demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the respondents

An average household for the fish traders was 5±.08 members, which is almost similar to

that of the Malawi national household size (NSO, 2012). According to figure 12, 28.3% of

the respondents had four members, followed by fish traders with more than five members

in the house (20%).

a b

c d

Page 76: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

60

Figure 12: Household size of the respondents

4.2.2 Fish trading documents possessed by fish traders

Most of the fish traders (86.9 percent) were in possession of boarder pass as a travel

document when importing and exporting fish products from one country to another. It was

found that 14.3, 9.1, and 0.2% were in possession of sanitary certificate, trading permit and

license respectively (Table 3). However, majority of the traders 78.8% were trading the

fish products without necessary documents as required by Malawi government. One trader

narrated this and I quote:

“…you know sir, it is expensive to obtain the sanitary certificate costing

about MK5000 (6.6USD) every day from the department of fisheries which

is in Lilongwe, so I choose to use informal routes that will not demand

checking the fish products against the documents…”

1.95.6

20.6

28.3

20

23.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

One Two Three Four Five >Five

Per

cen

t

Household size

Page 77: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

61

This shows that the certificates are not accessible to small scale fish traders due to

additional expenses making the certificate seem expensive for small cross border fish

traders. This result confirms the study by COMESA (2007) that obtaining the required

documents is expensive and inaccessible to small traders making traders export and import

fish products informally using unchartered routes. A similar finding was reported by

Jamela, (2013) through the legalist theory that informal cross border trade is a result of

excessive and inefficient government regulations that traders fail to comply with. This

agrees with the legalist school of thought that growth of informal sector is mainly attributed

to excessive and prohibitive regulations that traders fails to comply (Gardener, 2008)

Table 2: Trading documents possessed by cross border fish traders

Travel document Frequency Percent

Sanitary certificate Yes 64 14.3

No 385 85.7

Export and Import permit Yes 41 9.1

No 408 90.9

Trading license Yes 1 0.2

No 448 99.8

Other Border pass 146 86.9

National ID 3 1.8

Passport 19 11.3

Among formal fish traders interviewed, the results also indicate that the traders are small

scale cross border traders who are importing and exporting fish products worth $1000 or

Page 78: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

62

less per consignment hence under duty free regime as provided by COMESA STR.

Therefore, the fish traders imported and exported the fish products without revenue

authority fee for their consignments but paid for possession of the sanitary certificate,

permits and immigration documents.

4.2.3 Type of fish trader

The study observed that most of the respondents (78.8%) were informal traders (Figure

13). This is where the fish products cross the border sites without required documents and

using other routes than the border sites where all official declarations are done. Formally,

only 21.2% of the fish traders sampled exported and imported the fish products following

all the set procedures.

Figure 13: Type of fish traders in cross border trade

21.2

78.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Formal Informal

Per

cen

t %

Type of fish trader

Page 79: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

63

4.2.4 Education level of household head

Education is one of the factors that affects decision making processes e.g. route and

destination choice decisions. The study shows that the average number of years spent in

school by the fish traders was 10±.12 with majority of them (63.4%) having attained

secondary education (Figure 14). The test statistic to test for differences in the qualification

levels between formal and informal fish traders revealed that there are significant

differences between them (P= 0.01), such that formal traders were more educated than

informal traders.

Figure 14: Highest education levels attained by the fish traders

4.2.5 Nationality of fish traders

The nationality of the traders was dominated by Malawians with 96%, whereas 2.0, 1.8

and 0.2% were from Zambia, Tanzania and Mozambique respectively (Figure 15).

Page 80: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

64

Figure 15: Nationality of fish traders

4.2.6 Monthly income from fish trade by the trader

On average, a fish trader earned monthly income of MK175 465±MK12 521 from fish

trade with an average of MK371 700 and MK130 867 for formal and informal fish traders

respectively. Further analysis of the overall income levels indicates that 32.4% were

earning about MK51 000- 100 000 per month (Table 4).

96

0.2 1.8 2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Malawi Mozambique Tanzania Zambia

Pe

rce

nt

(%)

Country

Page 81: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

65

Table 3: Income from fish trade by the respondents

Monthly income level (MK) Percentages

Overall Formal Informal

< 50 000 20.4 18.3 20.8

51 000-100 000 32.4 11.7 37.1

101 000-150 000 17.6 10.0 19.3

151 000-200 000 13.6 13.3 13.6

201 000-250 000 3.1 3.3 3.0

251 000-300 000 1.2 1.7 1.1

301 000-350 000 1.5 3.3 1.1

351 000-400 000 0.3 1.7 0

>400 000 9.9 36.7 3.8

Average income 175465.4 371700 130866.7

*** 1USD=MK730

However, majority of the formal traders (36.7%) were earning monthly income greater

than MK400 000 (548USD) from trade of fish products. On the other hand, majority of the

informal traders (37.1%) were reported to earn lower monthly income of about 51 000-100

000 Kwacha. The study further established that fish traders with high net income,

dominated by formal traders, obtained the phytosanitary certificates while traders with

lower monthly income of less than 100 000 Kwacha, being dominated by informal traders,

Page 82: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

66

failed to obtain the required cross border trading documents. This means that traders with

high net monthly income managed to afford the fees for the certificates unlike traders with

lower monthly income.

The study further revealed that formal traders earned relatively high monthly income than

informal fish traders due to their ability to carry huge volumes of fish products per trip.

This implies that informal fish traders are limited in terms of fish quantities to be exported

or imported from sources to destination which significantly affect their net income from

cross border fish trade. This result confirms the findings by Macamo, (1999) in

Mozambique who observed that individual informal cross border traders carry small

volumes of products because of poor infrastructure along informal routes hence limiting

their income per trip. One trader in Mulanje told the researcher that:

“…since I use the tertiary roads away from the border that are not good

for cars, my efficient means of transport is bicycle that can only carry

about 65kgs of fish when crossing Malawi to Mozambique, my income from

fish trade is limited due to quantities I can transport per trip”.

4.2.7 Level of fish trader in the fish trade business

Fish products are sold by traders at different levels including wholesaling, retailing and

both wholesaling and retailing. Figure 16 indicates that 69.2% of the informal fish traders

were trading the fish products as retailers. In addition, 11.7, 13.2 and 5.9% involved in

cross border fish trade are wholesalers, middle trader and transporters respectively. Gordon

et al, (2011) also found that a high percentage of the informal cross border fish traders are

retailers. Among the formal traders, the study established that transporters were not

Page 83: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

67

involved in trade of fish products. This is because transporters are mostly used along

informal routes when bypassing the official border site where thorough checking is done

on the fish products against required travel documents.

Figure 16: Level of the fish trader in cross border tradde

4.3 Fish species traded along informal routes and mode of transport

4.3.1 Fish products mostly traded

The study noted that the majority of fish products crossing the border sites passed through

four major forms of processing including smoking, drying, freezing and salting (Appendix

2). The study identified main fish products exported from Malawi through informal routes

include fresh Chambo, fresh and sundried Usipa, sundried Utaka, sundried Matemba, and

sundried Chikowa. Across the bordering districts, the study established that fresh Chambo,

fresh Usipa and sundried Utakawere the main fish products exported through Karonga

69.20

11.70

13.20

5.90

Retailer

Wholesaler

Middle trader

Transporter

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Leve

l of

trad

er

Page 84: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

68

whereas sundried Usipa dominated in Mwanza, sundried Matemba through Mchinji and

sundried Chikowa through Mulanje (Figure 17)

Figure 17: Main fish products exported by Malawi

In terms of imports, the main fish products imported by Malawi through informal routes

identified in this study were dry salted Bakayawo, dried Mutera, fresh Karapao, fresh

Pende, frozen mackerel, frozen tilapia, dry salted Kapenta, sundried Kiwilele, and sundried

Makwale. Dried Mutera, and dry salted Kapenta were the main fish products imported

through Karonga (Figure 18), whereas dry salted Bakayawo, fresh Pende, sundried

Makwale and frozen mackerel dominated in Mwanza, frozen tilapia through Mchinji, and

fresh Karapao and sundried Kiwilele through Mulanje. The study observed that the exports

and imports of fish species that were transported were dominated by low value species with

listing of Usipa, Matemba, Mutera, Makwale, and Kapenta. The results agree with the

assertion from other studies that quantities of Africa cross border fish trade are dominated

0.0 4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0 24.0

Fresh chambo

Fresh usipa

Sundried usipa

Sundried utaka

Sundried matemba

Sundried chikowa

Mulanje Mchinji Mwanza Songwe

Page 85: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

69

(over 50%) by imports and exports of low value pelagic species (Antwi– Asare and

Abbey, 2011).

Figure 18: Main imported fish products between Malawi and neighbouring

countries

The study identified varied reasons associated with trade of certain fish products by the

informal fish traders. Figure 19 indicates that high demand by customers was the main

reason for trade of fresh Karapao (61.8%), fresh Chambo (37.1%), frozen mackerel

(39.7%), frozen tilapia (32.3%), paraboiled Usipa (36.8%), smoked Utaka (40%) and

sundried Chikowa (43.8%).High demand of fish products was associated with various

factors including; (1) lower supply for fish products than customers demand for product

like fresh Chambo and (2) lower unit price of the fish products created demand for

products that were perceived to be affordable like smoked Utaka and paraboiled Usipa.

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0

Dry salted bakayawo

Dried mutera

Fresh karapao

Fresh pende

Frozen mackerel

Frozen tilapia

Dry salted kapenta

Sundried kiwilele

Sundried makwale

Percent

Fish

pro

du

ct

Mulanje Mchinji Mwanza Songwe

Page 86: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

70

The study also established that fresh Chambo (30.5%), fresh Usipa (36.7%) and frozen

Mackerel (22.9%) were preferred due to their ability in providing more profits to the

trader. Fish products with long shelf life including salted Bakayawo (33.3%), sundried

Usipa (23.8%) and sundried Kiwilele (31.3%) were also preferred by traders. In figure

17, dry salted Kapenta (28.6%), and sundried Makwale, Matemba, Usipa and Utaka with

33.4, 33.3, 33.3, and 30% respectively were reported to be mostly traded in cross border

informal fish trade routes due to high supply hence commonly found. This confirms the

assertion that majority of cross border fish traders prefer trading fish products that have

both long shelf life and high demand at the market to minimize the risk and get reasonable

profits (FAO, 2009).

Figure 19: Reasons for fish preferences among fish traders

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Fish product

Commonly found Long shelf life Good and easy to preserve

High demand by customers Cheap High profitabiity

Page 87: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

71

4.3.2 The mode of transportation for fish traders

The study established that the mostly used means of transport for the fish products from

sources to destination as presented in figure 20. The results indicate that majority (62.2%)

of fish traders used bicycle, whereas 46.3, 15.1, 13, 11.9, 5.6, 4.7 and 1.1% used minibus,

walking, boat, taxi, motorbike, truck, and own car respectively (Figure 20). This agrees

with the findings by Failer (2014) who reported that fish products traded informally

circulate especially over land, in trucks, vans, passenger vehicles, taxis, and motorcycles,

however bicycles remain mostly preferred due to nature of informal routes. These products

often times also cross borders without customs declarations using informal trade routes.

The reason for the majority of the traders considering bicycle as most efficient means of

transport was attributed to the fact that, most informal routes have small roads that are

bumpy for cars but easily accessible with bicycles. The second reason that accounted for

this was because bicycles are cheaper to transport the product when crossing the borders

and can carry the small volumes of fish products transported by informal traders per trip

(Hesse & Rodrigue, 2004).

Page 88: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

72

Figure 20: Available modes of transport used by fish traders

Fish traders change the transport mode along the routes based on compatibility of the

means of transport to the chosen route at any point by the fish trader. In respect to this

phenomenon, the study established that bicycles were mostly used along the small routes

that bypasses border posts and join the formal routes few meters after or before the border

site. This finding support results by Slack, (2004) who reported that no single mode of

transport has been solely responsible for economic growth and changes depend on choices

by users. On the other hand, formal traders were found to rely much on vehicles (67%)

when transporting fish products from sources to destination along the formal trade routes.

This result agrees with Abbott et al (2015) who opined that formal cross border fish traders

find passenger vehicles cheaper to transport bundles of fish collectively from sources to

destination.

Page 89: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

73

4.4 Informal fish trade routes between Malawi and neighbouring countries

The first specific objective was to map informal fish trade routes between Malawi and her

neighbouring countries.Firstly, the study mapped two main types of routes based on the

type of trade associated with the route(formal or informal).Fish products were imported

from sources in one country and transported to another country through formal and

informal routes. This agrees with ICSF (2002) who pointed that there is an extensive

movement of fish across the African sub-region. The study also established that the main

road network connecting markets within and outside Malawi plays a major role in

distribution of fish products from sources to destination. Figure 21 shows the road network

used by traders from the sources to destination during cross border trade passing through

border sites thereby representing formal routes used by fish traders.

Page 90: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

74

Figure 21: Fish trade routes connecting fish sources and destinations

The study further identified Mangochi, Salima and Karonga as primary sources of fish

products (Figure 21). The other markets were serving as secondary sources as well as final

destination of fish products. In terms of the main routes used, the study established that

traders use Salima – Luangwa route passing through Lilongwe, Mchinji, and Chipata.

Page 91: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

75

However, the study shows that Lilongwe market was the main secondary source of fish

products that were transported through Salima-Luangwa route. In Mwanza, fish products

were reported to be transported to Tete from Limbe and Mwanza market. The fish products

from Tete pass using the Mangochi – Limbe- Tete route via Mwanza. Again, fish products

from Mangochi and Limbe were reported to be transported to Milanje using the Mangochi-

Limbe-Milanje route via Thyolo, and Mulanje. Cross border trade in the northern region

of Malawi was reported to occur through Karonga-Mbeya route via Karonga border and

Kasumula in Tanzania.

Traders connect the sources and destinations using either formal or informal trade routes

depending on a trader’s choice. Traders involved in informal trade leave the formal routes

when approaching the border sites and use routes that bypass the border sites and rejoin

the main route after crossing the official border sites (Figure 22 a, b, c & d). Informal routes

used at each border site when bypassing the border sites have been displayed and described

per border sites in the next section;

Page 92: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

76

Figure 22: Informal fish trade routes in cross border fish trade (with extracts a, b, c

and d)

Page 93: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

77

4.4.1 Mwanza border site

The major informal routes that are essential for linking traders from sources to destination

are; Fight, Nthache and Kanyani (Figure 22a). Fight route were reported to be the busy

route with more fish traders transporting fish products from Mwanza market to Zobue than

Kanyani and Nthache routes. Although Fight route requires travelling longer distance to

escape the border post, traders reported to prefer the route because there is less likelihood

of being caught when using the route. At Fight route entry point from the main route; this

is what the fish trader said:

“…I feel safe when am using Fight route… the border officers rarely

visit this route hence low chances of being caught and charged for the

products unlike Nthache and Kanyani routes that are close to the border

and being monitored at times by border officers…”

The survey observed that Blantyre main market is the main source of fish products that are

exported to Mozambique through Zobue and Tete with usipa, chambo and utaka as major

export fish types. In terms of imports of fish products, Zobue to Mwanza market through

fight informal route was emphasized to be the best route in cross border informal trade.

The major fish sources in Mozambique for informal cross-border fish trade through

Mwanza were Tete and Zobue. However, the study indicates that Tete was involved in

trade mainly as the source of fish products. This may be attributed to its location in relation

to Zambezi River where fishers catch various fish species. The study further revealed that

fish traders obtain fish products from Tete and sell in Zobue a market close to the boundary

between Malawi and Mozambique thereby providing a secondary fish source for cross

border trade between Malawi and Mozambique. This agrees with studies by Constantin

Page 94: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

78

(2004) that each destination or sources have some chance of being patronized as distance

decreases.

In Malawi, Blantyre market, Mwanza, and Lunzu were the main sources of the fish

products which were exported through Mwanza border to Zobue. Fish species like

bakayawo, kapenta, mackerel, makwale, njole and pende from Mozambique were reported

to reach Blantyre, Lunzu and Mwanza markets as final destination (Appendix 3).

4.4.2 Mchinji border site

Several entry and exit points between Malawi and its neighbouring Zambia were observed

linking both approved and unapproved routes that traders were using for cross border fish

trade. The study identified Mchinji Chipata M1 road as the major route that traders were

using running through Salima to Chipata. However, secondary routes that connect with the

the major route were identified with entry and exit points before and after the official border

site. The secondary routes include Zalewa, Mkanda and Eleven route which lack check

points to monitor and document fish products crossing between Malawi and Zambia

(Figure 22b). While these secondary routes link to the main route passing through the

border, they remain informal as they are used by fish traders when escaping the official

border post.

In terms of volume, the findings revealed that 58% of the total volume of informal fish

trade through Mchinji went through Zalewa route, whereas 30.3 and 11.2% passed through

Mkanda and Eleven routes respectively. Zalewa route is few meters away from the border

Page 95: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

79

post and join the formal route after crossing the border post. Among other informal routes,

traders reported that Zalewa route is prefered due to short distances unlike other informal

routes like Mkanda and Fight that requires about 2 hours travelling when escaping the

border site. However, some traders indicated that although Mkanda route is associated with

large distances but the closeness to trader’s home and availablity of opportunities to sell

the fish products along the route specifically at Mkanda market influences them to use the

route.

Informal cross border fish trade through Mchinji border was dominated by exports of Usipa

and imports of Mackerel through Mkanda, Zalewa and Eleven informal routes. The study

also noted that sources of fish products crossing Mchinji border were reported to be

obtained from mere markets rather than actual fishing sites except 310kgs of Chambo

which were obtained directly from Salima (primary source). This is the case as the fish

value chain involves several actors from one place to another before delivering the product

to the final consumers. This agree with the findings by Nagoli et al, (2009) who found that

trade in fish products involves several actors along the fish value chain. However, Salima

and Luangwa in Malawi and Zambia respectively were the primary sources of the fish

products traded informally. Regardless of Salima being the lake shore area where a lot of

fishing activities are done, the study established that Lilongwe fish market acts as a main

secondary source of fish products involved in informal cross border trade. Lilongwe is

Malawi’s capital with a high real and potential demand for fish and fish products. In

addition, it is in close proximity to the main sources of fish; Salima and Mangochi, hence

assured of constant supply of fish and fish products. This agrees with report by GoM,(2014)

Page 96: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

80

that there is high demand for fish in the upland areas away from the lakes, and in the urban

centers hence attracting fish traders to supply fish products thereby creating secondary

sources of fish products.

4.4.3 Karonga (Songwe) border site

Figure 22c presents the cross-border trade routes used by fish traders between Malawi

and Tanzania. The mapping shows that traders were using routes that by-pass the official

border site when transporting the products from sources to destination. Interestingly, it

was shown that traders were using the bypasses when approaching the border site as a

way to escape border checking process of their products. Fish traders indicated that the

mostly used routes when trading fish products informally through Karonga (Songwe

border) were; Songwe bypass, Nyasa, January and Timothy routes. The study further

observed that 55.2% of the total volume traded informally through Karonga were

transported using Timothy route followed by January (26%), Nyasa (14%) and Songwe

bypass (4.8%).The study ascribe this to the fact that fish traders escape the route passing

through the border site due to lack of required travel documents for importing and

exporting fish products on the other hand avoiding taxes. This assertion was further

confirmed by the traders in Karonga. In an interview at Timothy route junction from the

main M1 road, a trader said:

“…you know my friend, transporting fish products through the border direct

route requires certificates from fisheries department costing about MK5000

per trip, so using Timothy route to Kasumulu in Tanzania becomes affordable

in my business as the cost of obtaining the travel document is skipped...”

Page 97: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

81

In addition, fish trade routes connecting to Kasumulu were preferred as the traders sell

the products at Kasumulu on their way to Mbeya. Further analysis revealed that routes

close to the homes of the traders and with less likelihood of being caught were preferred

by informal fish traders.

The study also identified that the main sources of fish products in Malawi traded through

Songwe border were Karonga market, Kaporo, Ngala, Kambwe and Songwe border

market. Much as the study identified several sources of fish products, it is important to note

that Karonga market and Mbeya were the main source of fish products. Malawi exported

monthly volume of 2,058 kgs from Karonga and imported about 3, 834kgs from Mbeya.

This can be attributed to the fact that Karonga market is the active trading point where fish

traders obtain products from fishing grounds of Lake Malawi along Karonga. Secondly,

Karonga Township has well established marketing infrastructure with active economic

activities that generate supply and demand of fish products. The markets in Karonga

provides destinations for fish products obtained from nearby fishing sites without high cost

of transport. The findings support the results from a study byLakshmanan, et al (2001) that

a movement occurs between an origin and a destination when the costs incurred by a spatial

interaction are lower than the benefits derived from such an interaction.

In terms of destination of the fish products, Kasumulu and Karonga market in Tanzania

and Malawi respectively were the main destination for the traded fish products. However,

Mzuzu as one of the cities of Malawi was reported as destination of sundried salted kapenta

and sundried makwale worthy 2 424 and 100 kgs per month respectively from Mbeya.

Page 98: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

82

Kapenta and makwale fish species are in the group of low value small pelagic fish

species.Mzuzu is the Malawi’s city in northern region with a high real and potential

demand for fish and fish products. The trend for low value pelagic fish species imported

from Mbeya to Mzuzu shows a supply-demand relationship between these two interacting

points. This agrees with the study by Failler, (2014) that the low value small pelagic species

plays a crucial role in increasing fish accessibility to low income households within areas

with high and real demand of fish products.

4.4.4 Mulanje (Muloza) border site

In Mulanje, informal fish traders were transporting the fish products using Muloza bypass,

Mtambalika, Maliera and Zumbira routes (Figure 22d).The figure 22d shows that fish

products from Malawi were mainly sent to Milanje in Mozambique through exit and entry

points that receive no attention by customs and immigration officers hence linked to

informal routes. While using the informal routes, traders explained thatthe informal trade

routes demand crossing Muloza River using a boat as the exit and entry points between

Malawi and Mozambique are bordered by the river. This implies that, vehicles cannot be

used as there are no bridges along the Muloza River hence using convenient means of

transport in accordance with the nature of the route. This agrees with the findings of

Chandra et al (2010) that posited that informal tarders use any possible exit and entry points

to escape the tarrifs associated with cross border.

Basing on volumes traded, it was noted that Limbe market is a major fish market in the

Malawi’s commercial city (Blantyre) with a high real and potential demand for fish and

Page 99: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

83

fish products. Limbe market serves as a collection and distribution point for fish and fish

products from different sources in the southern region of Malawi hence acting as secondary

source and destination of fish products involved in informal cross border trade. The

assertion supports the basic assumption of spatial interaction theories that a transportation

supplies and demand relationship expressed over a geographical space influences

movement of products from origin to destination (Anderson et al, 2010). Limbe has a well-

connected road network linking primary fish sources including Mangochi, Salima, and

Zomba (Lake Chilwa catchment area). This allows fish traders to supply high volumes of

fish products in response to the real and potential demand of fish products. This finding

agrees with assertion by Hodgson and Tight (2004) who reported that attributes of transport

system generate and attract movement of information, products and people.

The study further identified Milanje in Mozambique as the main source of fish products

Malawi is importing through informal routes. These included Karapao as major product

(8, 160 kgs), Kiwerere (920kgs), Chikowa (660kgs) and Tilapia (80kgs) per month. In

terms of destinations, Limbe and Blantyre main market were the main destinations for fish

products (Appendix 6).

4.5 Overall magnitude of formal and informal cross border fish trade

The second specific objective was to estimate the magnitude of fish products traded using

informal fish trade routes between Malawi and her neighbouring countries. The following

results (Table 5) were obtained. The annual informal fish volume traded between Malawi

Page 100: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

84

and her neighbouring countries was estimated at 77,129 metric tonnes valued at

US$127,494,491.39.

Table 4: Annual informal trade volumes in cross border fish trade

Border site Volume Value

Kgs Tons MK USD

Karonga 20,487,900 20,487.9 32,919,961,971.8 44,486,435.10

Mwanza 11,794,500 11,794.5 15,130,110,000 20,446,094.59

Mchinji 24,921,224 24,921.2 24,384,275,353.3 32,951,723.45

Mulanje 19,925,289 19,925.3 21,911,576,305.3 29,610,238.25

Total 77,128,913 77,128.9 94,345,923,630.4 127,494,491.39

On the other hand, the study established that the annual formal fish volume was estimated

at 1,870.4 metric tonnes valued at 3,835,910 dollars (Table 5). The reason for this total

difference in annual volumes is contributed to the fact that majority of fish traders (78.8%)

opted that informal routes rather than formal routes when transporting their fish products

from sources to destination. The result also affirmed the study of Ama & Mangadi (2013)

that observed that majority of fish trade in most developing countries goes through informal

routes hence not recorded in national statistics.

Page 101: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

85

Table 5: Annual formal trade volumes in cross border fish trade

Border post Volume Value

Kgs Tons MK USD

Karonga 83,880 83.88 142,449,224 192,499

Mwanza 425,812.4 425.8124 633,544,006 856,140.5

Mchinji 1,360,671 1,360.671 2,062,579,974 2,787,270

Total 1,870,364 1,870.364 2,838,573,204 3,835,910

4.6 Factors influencing route choice and destination

The third specific objective was to analyse the geographical factors responsible for the

choice of informal fish trade routes and destination between Malawi and her neighbouring

countries. This section presents the factors influencing choice of the route and destination

being discussed separately as follows;

4.6.1 Route choice factors

Characteristics of the model (Table 6) present the main factors influencing choice of a trade

route by fish traders taking into account the factor loadings, communalities, eigen values

and percent of variance.

Page 102: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

86

Component 1: The first component should be the most important as it explains about 23.5%

of the variability for the total data. High and positive factorial loads were observed for the

variable route distance (0.782) and mode of transport (0.716). It can be stated that

component 1 represents choice of the route by the fish trader that is strongly associated to

route distance and available mode of transport. The results on influence of route distance

on trader’s choice agrees with the assertion from other studies that the interaction between

two centres is in direct proportion to their size and in inverse proportion to the distance

(Cheng and Wall, 2005; Constantin, 2004). The study observed that fish traders prefers

routes that are shorter and directly targeting planned final destination without considering

the official check points for cross border trade. Road type is another significant variable

influencing traders to choose a route from sources to destination with a factor loading of

0.611. According to Hodgson et al, (2004), road type can impose a natural convergence of

routes that will create a certain degree of centrality and may assist traders in choosing the

route to use from sources to destination as topography can complicate, postpone or prevent

the activities.

Component 2: The second component explains about 17.4% of data variability. There were

high and positive values for the two variables. According to factorial loads observed in

component 2, high and positive values for season and climate indicate that, favourable

seasons and climate positively influences the fish trader to choose a trade route from source

to destination. The result agrees with the assertion by Failler, (2014) that the major

components of climate including temperature, wind and precipitation influence traders or

travellers to use certain routes from sources to destination.

Page 103: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

87

Component 3 explains about 10.3% of the data variability, and it has a slightly high and

positive factorial load value for customer’s demand (along the route) variable. However,

high and negative value for choice of a trade route related to monetary transport cost was

observed. Intuitively it is expected that expensive routes, in terms of transport costs remain

less preferred by business operators. According to the negative factorial load for transport

cost variable, the study suggests that the higher the monetary cost of using a trade route,

the lower the probability of fish traders travelling using the route. This confirmed the result

of Schneider & Enste (2002) that cost of using a route negatively and significantly affect

route choice decisions by traders.

Component 4: The fourth component explains about 8.4% of data variability where

presence of alternative destination was observed with high and positive factor load. This

variable shows that increase in possible destinations where fish products can be sold

associated with a particular trade route influences fish trader to choose a route from sources

to destination. This result is consistent with the study of Rodrigue, (2017) that established

that traders get attracted with opportunities to sell the product in other markets before the

target destination.

Page 104: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

88

Table 6: Final factors, items, loadings, communalities and Eigen values

Component Significant variables Factor

loadings

Communalities Eigen

values

% of

variance

1 Route distance 0.782 0.658 3.062 23.555

Road type 0.611 0.624

Location of the final

destination

0.618 0.589

Mode of transport 0.716 0.563

Personal safety risks 0.529 0.648

2 Quality of roads 0.701 0.655 2.26 17.388

Seasons 0.82 0.748

Climate 0.807 0.776

3 Demand population of

customers

0.579 0.563 1.341 10.313

Monetary transport

cost

-0.649 0.664

4 Presence of alternative

destinations

0.669 0.515 1.092 8.403

Page 105: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

89

4.6.2 Destination choice factors

Characteristics of the model (Table 7) include factor loadings, communalities, Eigen values

and percent of variance expressed by the components and individual factors.

Table 7: Final factors, items, loadings, communalities and Eigen values

Component Significant variables Factor

loadings

Commun

alities

Eigen

values

% of

varianc

e

1 Route distance 0.761 0.704 3.323 27.693

Mode of transport 0.646 0.63

Demand or

population of

customers

0.543 0.624

Monetary transport

cost

0.687 0.571

2 Season 0.847 0.764 2.347 19.555

Climate 0.776 0.751

3 Personal safety risks 0.537 0.712 1.474 12.28

4 Presence of

alternative

destinations

0.798 0.75 1.053 8.772

From the principal component estimation, not all the variables were statistically significant.

The significant variables are route distance, mode of transport, demand of the product by

customers, monetary cost of transport, season, climate, personal safety risks, and presence

of alternative destinations.

The first component should be the most important as it explains about 27.7% of the

variability for the total data. The principal component output shows that high and positive

Page 106: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

90

factorial loads were observed for the variable route distance (0.761) and monetary transport

cost (0.687). According to results in table 7, it can be stated that component 1 represents

choice of the destination by the fish trader that is strongly associated to route distance and

monetary transport cost. Anderson, (2011) argued that route distance and cost of transport

plays a role in transportability of products from sources to destination. Hesse & Rodrigue,

(2004) also reported that ease of movement is related to transport costs as well as to the

attributes of what is being transported (fragility, perishability, and price).

The second component explains about 19.6% of data variability. There were high and

positive value for the two variables. According to factorial loads observed in component 2,

high and positive values for season and climate indicate that, favourable seasons and

climate positively influences the fish trader to choose a destination. Failler, (2014)

observed the similar trend where season and climate were reported to have an effect to the

trader regarding choice of routes and destination.

About 10.3% of the data variability is explained in component three of the principal

component analysis. Personal safety and risks had slightly high and positive factor load of

0.537. This entails that personal safety and risks by fish traders has significant role for the

trader to choose destination such that the safer the destination, the higher the chances for

the fish trader to choose the destination to sell the fish products. This confirmed the results

of Texas Transportation Institute (2002) that the choice of destinations becomes important

and depends on a number of factors such as the safety of the traders, nature of the goods,

the available infrastructures, origins and destinations, technology, and particularly their

respective distances.

Page 107: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

91

The fourth component explains about 8.4% of data variability where presence of alternative

destination was observed with high and positive factor load. This variable shows that

increase in possible destinations where fish products can be sold associated with a

particular destination influences fish traders to choose a destination among the available

destinations. This finding relates to principal component one where route distance emerged

having significant influence indicating that traders may prioritise presence of alternative

destination regardless of the distance. This result is consistent with the study of Rodrigue,

(2017) that established that availability of other potential destinations influences traders to

choose a particular destination with plans of visiting the other destinations if anything

changes for the target destination.

Despite having specific factors influencing choice of a trade route and destination, the

study further established that route distance, presence of alternative destination, mode of

transport, demand of the fish product, and personal safety and risks were the factors

influencing choice of both trade route echoing results by other authors (Rodrigue, 2017;

Anderson & Yotov 2010; Jamela, 2013; Gardener, 2008). The factors are as follows:

All other things equal, distance of route from the sources to destination have an

influence of fish trader’s choice for the route and destination of the product.

Increase in the distance of route increase the cost of transport for the product from

sources to destination. Fish traders opted for routes that are short to reduce travel

time and cost of transport instead of direct formal routes passing through the border

Page 108: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

92

sites that are associated with more costs. This agrees with the finding by Ullman,

(1980) who reported that individuals choose destinations that are closer to their

locations in order to reduce cost of transport from the origin to final destination.

In relation to presence of alternative destination, an increase in possible destinations

where fish products can be sold associated with a particular trade route influences

fish trader to choose a route from sources to destination. This support the concept

of intervening opportunities, a third component of spatial interaction theory that

flow of goods that would otherwise occur between two complementary locations

may be diverted to a third location if it represents an intervening opportunity

(Rodrigue. 2017; Constantin, 2004). Thus, presence of a closer complementary

alternative with a business advantage will influence trade to choose trade routes

and destination.

Informal fish traders consider mode of transport as an important factor as it

determines the cost of transporting the fish products from sources to destination

along the informal fish trade routes. Traders choose mode of transport that will

minimise cost and maximise net profits. This relate to the assumptions by neo-

classical theory postulated that decision on the mode of transport remain voluntary

and individuals opt for options where expected net benefits will be the greatest

(Chandra et al, 2010)

The finding on role of demand of the fish product, it was established that traders

transport fish products from locations with surplus supply to locations with a deficit

of the product. This allowed us to agree with complementarity component of the

spatial interaction theories that surplus of a desired product in one area and a

Page 109: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

93

shortage or demand for that same product in another area is the main requirement

for trade to take place (Andeson J., 2011). This reflects disparities in net profits,

and movement of fish products is therefore generated by supply push and demand

pull for the interacting locations.

As informal fish traders operate without necessary trading documents using

informal routes from sources and destination, the study showed that personal safety

and risks associated with the route and target destination remain significant factor

when making various decisions. The study revealed that safety for the fish traders

including the aspect where they are not caught by the immigration officers and

being charged as the informal trade remain key factor in choosing routes and

destination in cross border fish trade. This confirms the assumptions of behaviour

theories that individual behaviours can be conditioned in a manner that one can

have specific response to specific stimuli (Davie & Valodia, 2009.

In general, the results of the studied informal fish traders demonstrated that route distance,

presence of alternative destination, mode of transport, demand of the fish product, and

personal safety and risks are the main factors influencing choice of a trade route and

destination for the product. The study further developed a framework showing the factors

influencing choice a trade route and destination by fish trader (Figure 23)

Page 110: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

94

Figure 23: Factors influencing fish trader’s choice for informal trade routes and destination

4.6.2.1 Huff’s gravity model market attractiveness and market share

Huff gravity model was used to assess the market attractiveness and share in relation to

their role in influencing choice of a market by fish traders. Table 8 presents the market

attractiveness of interacting markets and probability of fish traders at different location

travelling to a particular destination. The bigger the size of the market, represented by a

point, the more attractive the market is for trade of fish products.

Page 111: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

95

Table 8: Huff gravity model market attractiveness and market share for cross border fish trade

Location Attractiveness Market share (%)

Border Market Total

attractiveness

Marketshare

1

Marketshare

2

Marketshare

3

Marketshare

4

Marketshare

5

Mwanza Mangochi 5.97 --- 29.6 29.5 30.7 10.2

Limbe 81.1 8 --- 31.7 46.9 7

Zobue 121.6 0.2 1 --- 97.8 0.6

Mwanza 466 0.3 1.6 97.6 --- 0.5

Tete 67.93 6.9 18 39.5 35.3 ---

Mulanje Mangochi 5.5 21.8 25.7 25.2 27.3

Thyolo 203.4 9.4 --- 12.4 21.6 56.6

Mulanje 267.2 18.1 13.1 --- 10.1 58.7

Milanje 46.3 22.6 18.3 8 --- 51

Limbe 261.2 9 17 26.2 47.5 ---

Page 112: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

96

Location Attractiveness Market share (%)

Karonga Mzuzu 162.4 --- 50.6 32.5 17

Karonga 47.3 5.7 --- 84.5 10

Kasumulu 161.9 3.3 76.2 --- 20.5

Mbeya 149.6 5.5 28.6 65.9 ---

Mchinji Lilongwe 195.2 --- 3 10.8 29.7 48.8

Luangwa 3.3 12.1 --- 6.4 0.3 20.9

Mchinji 21.7 1.2 4.2 --- 8.6 83.1

Salima 9 22.3 58.4 11.2 --- 8.2

Chipata 15.4 8.6 63.4 0.5 7.6 ---

Note: --- means no market share as the market acted as a source of fish products

Page 113: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

97

Depending on the market shares, the study showed that there is high probability of fish

traders in Mangochi, Limbe and Zobue to interact with Mwanza as a target destination of

fish products by 30.7%, 46.9% and 97.8% respectively. This implies that fish traders

obtaining products from Mangochi, Limbe and Zobue have a greater chance to patronize

Mwanza. However, the study established that Zobue and Mwanza registered a strong

interaction as there is 97.8% chance followed by Limbe with 46.9% and lastly Mangochi

with 30.7%. This shows that a trader has more chance of choosing Zobue as final

destination when exporting fish products from Malawi whereas Karonga market remain

the most likely market a trader can choose when exporting fish products from Tanzania.

Taking into account the distances between the locations, it was established that probability

of a fish trader visiting a particular market is inversely related to the distance between the

interacting locations.

In terms of traders using Mulanje border, it was observed that Malawi exports and imports

fish products to and from Milanje in Mozambique. Thyolo, Mulanje, Limbe and Mangochi

are the main markets interacting with Milanje as sources and destinations of fish products.

Basing on the market share, the results in table 8 indicate that there is 51% chance of

choosing Limbe as final destination by traders obtaining fish products from Milanje. The

rest of other markets having a market share of 22.6%. 18.3% and 8% for Mangochi, Limbe

and Mulanje respectively. This shows that Limbe had a higher probability of being chosen

as a final destination by fish traders than short distance markets like Mulanje and Thyolo.

This may be accounted for as a result of the increase in the demand for fish products due

to high population in Limbe hence possibilities of making high profits.

Page 114: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

98

The value for market attractiveness for markets along Mzuzu-Mbeya route through

Karonga (Songwe) border post showed that Mzuzu and Kasumulu were the most attractive

markets for fish products. Mzuzu is a capital city in the northern region of Malawi and has

high demand for fish products unlike Karonga (Matiya et al., 2005). Even though Mzuzu

registered high market attractiveness, Karonga showed a high market share (84.5%) for

fish products Malawi imports from Tanzania. This implies that a fish trader has a greater

chance (84.5%) to transport fish products to Karonga than Mzuzu (3.3%). On the other

hand, Kasumulu reported to have high market share of 76.2% than Mbeya with 20.5%

showing that trader stands more chance of choosing Kasumulu than Mbeya as a destination

to sell the fish products.

For fish traders using Mchinji border post, the results indicate that Lilongwe is more

attractive to fish traders than Mchinji, Chipata and Luangwa markets. In terms of market

share between Lilongwe and other markets, the study established that Chipata had a

relatively high market share of 48.8%. A fish trader has a greater chance (48.8%) to export

fish products to Chipata than Luangwa (3%) in Zambia.

Figure 24 shows sizes of markets in relation to the computed total attractiveness value by

the Huff gravity model.

Page 115: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

99

Figure 24: Overall market attractiveness among the interacting locations

Overall market attractiveness from the Huff gravity model shows that Mwanza, Limbe,

Mzuzu, Kasumulu, Thyolo and Lilongwe have more potential of being colonized by fish

traders (importing and exporting) between Malawi and neighboring countries than other

Page 116: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

100

markets as witnessed by high market attractiveness value in the range of 203.4 to 466.

Limbe has two dots as it is interacting with Mozambique through Tete and Milanje hence

the model assessed its attractiveness from the two markets outside Malawi.Limbe, followed

by Thyolo showed to be more attractive to traders using routes to Milanje as having more

potential of being colonized for trade of fish products. Considering the markets with high

total market attractiveness, Figure 25 shows the markets with high market value in each

border post among the interacting locations for the specified trade route. Kasumulu and

Mzuzu had high market attractiveness for locations interacting through Karonga (Songwe)

border, Lilongwe for Mchinji border, Mwanza market for Mwanza border and Limbe for

Mulanje border post. Much as Mwanza, Limbe, Mzuzu, Kasumulu and Lilongwe displayed

high values for overall market attractiveness, fish trader’s choice for a location for the fish

products was computed by considering the market shares for each interacting location as

explained in the next section.

Page 117: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

101

Figure 25: Markets with highest total attractiveness per border post

The finding from Huff gravity model stresses on the role of distance and population of an

area in influencing choice of a final destination to sell the fish products. The results suggest

Page 118: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

102

that population of an area creates demand for fish products which influences attractiveness

of the market for trading activities. However, choice of the actual destination relies much

on the distance a trader will travel to sell the product. This is the case as market share for

locations that are close to each other showed high probability while low probability was

observed with locations that are far from each other. This is because distance determines

the cost incurred for transport with a direct relationship. However, some factors not

captured by Huff gravity model but PCA includes monetary transport cost, personal risks

and accessibility of the fish market play significant role for a trader to choose trade route

and destination.

This result validates the study of Ullman (1980) that revealed that the greater the distance,

between trip origin and trip destination, the less likelihood of a trip occurring and the lower

the frequency of trips. Levy and Weitz, (2007) emphasized that distance has a greater

influence over store size on shopping probability than other factors including population.

By considering the overall findings from the huff gravity analysis, we find that fish traders

are more sensitive to distance followed by demand for a particular location.

4.7 Challenges facing informal cross-border fish traders

The fourth specific objective was to analyse the challenges fish traders face when using

informal trade routes. To ensure that this objective is met, data were collected using a semi-

structured questionnaire on challenges fish traders face when using informal routes. The

responses by the traders were coded in SPSS to tabulate the main challenges fish traders

face when using informal trade routes. A two-sided z-test and Bonferroni correction were

Page 119: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

103

used to assess significant challenges informal traders were facing when using informal

trade routes. On the basis of the analysis, the following were the results;

According to figure 26, results of the study indicated that fish traders face various

challenges including corruption (11.9%), lack of knowledge regarding cross border trade

requirements (13.7%), lack of licences (16.3%), inability to carry bulky goods (14%), poor

or inadequate infrastructure (13.4%), sexual harassment (7.6%), delays at border post

(13.7%) and crime (9.5%). The study indicated that lack of recognition and licences was

the major challenge among the sampled traders.

Figure 26: Challenges fish traders are facing in cross border fish trade

However, the test statistic for differences in challenges faced by formal and informal

traders using z-test showed that inability to carry bulky goods and poor infrastructure were

11.9

13.7

16.3

14.0

13.4

7.6

13.7

9.5

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0

Corruption

Lack of knowledge

Lack of recognition and lisences

Inability to carry bulky goods

Poor or inadequate infrastructure

Sexual harrassment

Delays at border post

Crime and theft

Percent of the respondents

Ch

alle

nge

s

Page 120: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

104

significant challenges informal fish traders were facing when using informal trade routes

(Table 9).

Table 9: Challenges faced by fish traders

Challenges faced Type of fish trader

Formal [(%) frequency] a or

b

Informal [(%) frequency] a or

b

Corruption (72) 67 a (64) 222 a

Lack of knowledge (71) 66 a (77.4) 267 a

Lack of recognition and

licences

(91.4) 85 a (90.4) 312 a

Inability to carry bulky

goods

(88.2) 82 a (74.8) 258 b

Poor or inadequate

infrastructure

(57) 53 a (78.8) 272 b

Sexual harassment (40.9) 38 a (42.3) 146 a

Crime and theft (53.8) 50 a (52.8) 182 a

Significant difference traced basing on subscript a and b where items with the same

subscript are not significantly different at p = 0.05

Inability to carry bulky goods was another major challenge faced by informal traders when

using informal trade routes. To this effect a trader at Karonga was quick to state that:

Page 121: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

105

“… if we carry large volumes of fish, movement becomes a challenge… the

roads are small hence limited to use of bicycles and motorcycles, and not

vehicles… so we carry small volumes per trip from sources to destination”

This result confirmed the study by Morris and Dadson (2000) that identified inability to

carry bulky goods as a main challenge informal fish trader’s face in cross border fish trade.

Empirical evidence has also revealed that the poor or inadequate infrastructure along

informal trade routes challenges the informal traders to operate properly from sources to

destination. This finding agrees with report by the Strategic Business partnership for

Growth in Africa (2007) for the study conducted in Johannesburg which highlighted that

poor infrastructure like accommodation and transport facilities along informal routes are

some of main challenges faced by informal traders.

4.8 Chapter summary

The foregoing chapter offered the qualitative, descriptive and empirical analysis of the

study. Firstly, the study observed 78.8% of the fish traders are informal. Informal fish

traders choose to trade their fish products through other routes than border sites where

official documentation and clearances are made. The study also revealed that annual

informal fish volume traded between Malawi and her neighbouring is estimated at 77,128.9

metric tonnes and valued at $127,494,491.39 dollars. Choice of the trade route by fish

traders were based on the following factors which are significant: route distance, road type,

location of final destination, season, climate, mode of transport and personal safety. Route

distance, mode of transport, demand or population of customers, monetary transport cost,

Page 122: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

106

season, climate, personal safety risks and presence of alternative destinations were the main

factors influencing fish traders to choose a destination for the fish products. Even though

there is much preference on informal trade routes by most fish traders, challenges are

inevitable. The study indicate that 16% lack recognition and licences as a main setback.

However, statistics (Z-test) show that inability to carry bulky fish and poor infrastructure

are the significant challenges the fish traders are facing when using informal routes. The

findings and discussions provide throughout explanation on existing routes, choice factors

and challenges faced by informal traders along informal routes driving study conclusions

and subsequent policy recommendations.

Page 123: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

107

CHAPTER FIVE

CONCLUSIONS, IMPLICATIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

5.1 Chapter overview

This chapter concludes the study and presents its contribution to the existing body of

knowledge about geographical analysis of informal fish trade routes in Malawi and

adjourning countries. The chapter constitutes three main sections: the study conclusions,

implications, and recommendations.

5.2 Conclusions

In terms of informal fish trade routes used by fish traders, the study mapped various

informal trade routes bypassing the official border post including Songwe bypass, Nyasa,

January and Timothy routes in Karonga; Fight, Nthache and Kanyani routes in Mwanza;

Mkanda, Zalewa and Eleven routes in Mchinji; and Mtambalika, Maliera and Zumbira

routes in Mulanje. The main informal routes identified by the study were the small roads

joining the main route immediately before and after passing the official border posts. The

use of informal trade routes by fish traders is mainly as a result of inaccessibility of trading

certificates due to additional expenses hence making the certificate look expensive for

small cross border fish traders.

Page 124: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

108

Much of the export and imports of fish products between Malawi and neighbouring

countries are through informal routes. Overall magnitude shows that an annual estimate of

77,128.9 metric tonnes worth US$127,494,491.39 is expected to be traded informally using

informal routes against a formal annual estimate of 1,870.4 metric tonnes valued at

US$3,835,910 dollars. Informal fish trade routes allow significant quantities of fish

products to be traded informally with domination of small pelagic fishes. This study has

therefore established that cross border fish trade is dominated by informal trade which is

entirely undocumented.

Fish traders choose informal trade because of cross-border regulations that are perceived

to be restrictive for example to export fish products, a trader is required to possess a sanitary

certificate, export and import permit, COMESA Simplified Trade Regime, and all these

documents demand processing fee and duty stamp fees which most traders could not afford.

Fish traders therefore use alternative way by trading fish products informally using

informal routes. Distances from sources to destination also influences fish traders to trade

informally. Fish traders were reported to choose routes with short distances unlike long

distance routes that are passing through the official border post. Short distances cut down

the cost of transportation for fish traders, which undoubtedly constitute a significant portion

of the overall cross-border transaction cost for fish traders.

Geographical factors were found to influence fish trader’s choice of a trade route and

destination. The critical factors influencing choice of a trade route were; route distance,

season, localised demand of fish products, and presence of alternative destinations

Page 125: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

109

associated with the route. Regarding choice of a destination by the fish trader, consideration

on route distance, location of the destination, personal safety and risks, and presence of

alternative destination proved having significant influence on the choice of destination by

fish traders.

The study has also been able to establish that inability to carry bulky fish products and poor

infrastructure associated with informal routes are the major challenges informal traders

face when using informal routes from sources to destination. Fish traders carry small

quantities of fish products from sources to destination depending on the nature of informal

routes per trip.

From the Huff gravity model, the study further concludes that fish traders are more

sensitive to distance between interacting markets such that the closer the points the higher

the likelihood of the two locations in serving as source and destination of fish products

which influences the exact route to be used. The trader’s choice of a route and destination

in relation to distance also encompass other accompanying factors like the conditions of

the route. However, Limbe market violate the basic assumption of Huff gravity model

because the study proved Limbe to be more attractive regardless being located far from

main fish sources. This showed that demand of fish products is considered as very

important pull factor when choosing final destination.

Page 126: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

110

5.3 Implications of the study’s conclusion

As it appears, informal trade in fish products through informal routes is far greater (over

90%) than formal trade for both imports and exports. This reveals that government is losing

revenues that could have helped in boosting the country’s economy. So, if such situation

is left unchecked, growth of informal fish trade might significantly reduce the contribution

of fisheries sector to economic development of the country. Informal trade will ultimately

reduce the total government collections from cross border fish trade because the

government does not collect taxes from ICBT.

Knowledge on the critical geographical factors influencing choice of trade routes provide

a better understanding on how fish traders choose trade route and destination. More

importantly, insights on route characteristics linked to transport of fish products by traders

can guide Government and non-governmental organisations to device more effective

transport strategies and service delivery to traders’ actual needs when using the routes from

sources to destination.

The limitation of fish traders to carry large volumes of fish due to poor road conditions

hinders growth of individual businesses. Traders have no chance to increase their

businesses beyond certain volumes as they are guided by condition of the roads.

Page 127: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

111

5.4 The study’s recommendations

The study therefore derived the following key recommendations:

a) Government and Non-Governmental Organizations’ (NGOs) responsible for the

growth of the fisheries sector should deploy vehicles to border posts for regular

patrols along informal fish trade routes. This will help tracking fish products being

traded informally and decide interventions to promote or barn informal fish trade.

b) Fishery Authorities and Non-Governmental Organizations’ (NGOs) in the fisheries

sector should assist informal fish traders to obtain trading documents for cross

border fish trade by reducing certification fees and introducing certification sites at

the borders.

c) Capacity-building through educating the informal cross-border fish traders on the

existing regional trade agreements for instance tariff regimes and product

standards. Fish traders should also be civic-educated on the relevance of formal fish

trade for food safety and development of the country.

d) Improvement in road infrastructure should be done to allow informal fish traders to

transport large volumes of fish products from sources to destination along chosen

routes.

e) Huff gravity model considers a multiplicative utility function with only two

variables, size of market and travel time (distance). This results into a potential bias

as choice of a market may be influenced by several other factors beyond market

size and distance hence further studies need to pay more attention on other

influencing variables. For example, the model assessed attractiveness and market

share for Limbe fish market taking into account distance from the fish sources and

Page 128: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

112

demand in Limbe leaving other factors that may as well attract traders to colonize

Limbe.

f) Future research can look at the economic factors influencing informal cross border

fish trade along informal routes connecting Malawi and neighboring countries.

g) Trader route choice behavior can be used as an important tool in assessing market

potential for further market infrastructure development.

Page 129: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

113

REFERENCES

Abbott, J.G., Hay, C.J., T.F. Næsje, Tweddle, D., and Van der Waal, B.C.W. (2015). The

evolution of a Fish Marketing Channel in aRapily Changing Region of Southern

Africa. Journal of Southern African Studies, 41(1), 29-45. Retrieved from

http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03057070.201 5.991619

Abila, R. (2002a). Fish Trade and Food Security: Are they reconcilable in Lake Victoria?.

Kisimu, Kenya: Kenya Marine and Fisheries Research Institute.

Abila, R. (2002b). Socio-economic Analysis of the Fishery Co-operatives of Lake Victoria

(Kenya) (Doctoral dissertation). University of Hull, UK

Akande, R. G., Olusola, A.O, Adeyemi, R.S., Salaudeen, M.M. and Abraham-Olukayode,

A.O. (2012, November 22-25). Proximate composition and levels of polycyclic

aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in catfish (Clarias gariepinus) using different

smoking systems. Third Workshop on Fish Technology, Utilization and Quality

Assurance In Africa. Victoria, Mahe, Seychelles

Al-ramadn, B. (2002). Introduction to Geographic Information Systems Technology and

Its Applications. In College of Environmental Design, KFUPM, Dhahran,, 113-120.

Alterkawi, M. (2001). Application of GIS in Transportation Planning: The Case of Riyadh,

the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: King Saud University.

Ama, N.O., and Mangadi KT (2013). Informal cross-border trade between Botswana and

the neigbouring countries (South Africa, Namibia, Zimbabwe, Zambia). A Research

Report Submitted to the Office of Research and Development, University of

Botswana.

Page 130: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

114

Ama, N.O., Mangadi, K.T., Okurut, F. N., and Ama, H. A. (2013). Profitability of the

informal cross-border trade: A case study of four selected borders of Botswana.

African Journal of Business Management., 7(201), 4221 -4232.

Anderson, J.E. (2011). The Gravity Model. Annual Review of Economics, 3, 133-60.

Anderson, J. E. (2010). The Changing Incidence of Geography. American Economic

Review, 100, 2157-86.

Antwi– Asare, T. O. and Abbey, E. N. (2011). Fishery Value Chain Analysis. UN, Rome:

FAO.

Bähr, H.P. (2000). Imaage segmentation for change detection in urban environments,

GISDATA 9. Taylor and Francis, 95-113.

Béné, C., R., Lawton, R. and Allison, E. H. (2010). Trade matters in the fight against

poverty”: narratives, perceptions, and (lack of) evidence in the case of fish trade in

Africa. World Development 38(7), 933-954.

Bovy, P.H.L., and Stern, E. (1990). Route Choice: Wayfinding in Transport Networks.

Studies in Operational Regional Science. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Chandra, A., Head, K. & Tappata, M. (2010). The Economics of Border Crossings.

University of British Columbia Manuscript, 1 -40.

Cheng, I., and Wall, H.J. (2015). Controlling for Heterogeneity in Gravity Models of Trade

and Integration. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 87, 49–63.

COMESA, C. M. (2007). Report of the Regional Consultative Meeting on the

Implementation of the COMESA Simplified Trade Regime. CS/TCM/STR/I/2.

Constantin, D. (2004). The Use of Gravity Models for Spatial Interaction Analysis.

Bucharest: Academy of Economic Studies.

CYE Consult (2009). Value Chain Analysis of Selected Commodities Institutional

Development across the Agri Food Sector (IDAF) – 9 ACP Mai 19 (Final Report).

Retrieved from

Page 131: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

115

http://www.standardsandtradefacility.org/Files/EconAnalysis/Malawi/07%20EU%2

0Value%20Chain%20Analysis%20Selected%20Commodities%20Malawi.pdf.

(2017, February 09)

Dalin, M., Saritha, K. and Jansi (2013). Post harvest Handling and Traditional Processing

of Marine Fishes and the Quality of the End Products. 5. World Journal of Fish and

Marine Sciences, 5(1), 56-62.

Davey, R. and Valodia, I. (2009). Formal-informal economy linkages: what implications

for poverty in South Africa. PLAAS: Working paper 8. School of Development

Studies University of KwaZulu Natal.

Davis, M. (2006). Economic Commission for Africa, “The Development of Trade Transit

Corridors in Africa’s Landlocked Countries,” in Assessing Regional Integration in

Africa (ARIA IV), 2014, 248 economies in post-Soviet Ukraine Social and Cultural

Geography. Planet of the Slums, 9(2), 171 -185.

Drezner, T., and Dressner, Z. (2002). Validating the gravity-based competitive location

model using inferred attractiveness. Ann. Oper. Res, 111(1), 227–241.

Economic Commission for Africa (2010). Assessing Regional Integration in Africa

IV:Enhancing Intra-African Trade. Economic Commission for Africa. Retrieved

from http://mcli.co.za/mcli-web/downloads/ARIA4/toc.pdf

Edriss, A. K. (2013). Smart Research Methods (For Economics, Business, Health and

Development). Canada: International i-Publishers.

Ullman, E. L. (1980). Geography as Spatial Interaction. In R. Boyce (Ed.), Geography as

Spatial Interaction(pp. 13-27)University of Washington Press, 1980..

Failler, P. (2014). Climate Variability and Food Security in Africa: The Case of Small

Pelagic Fish in West Africa. J Fisheries Livest Prod 2(1), 122. doi:10.4172/2332-

2608.1000122

FAO, (2012). State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture 2012. . Rome: Author

Page 132: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

116

FAO–WHO. (2011). Report of the Joint FAO–WHO Expert Consultation on the Risks and

Benefits Associated with Fish Consumption. FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture

Technical Paper 978. Fulgencio, K. (2009). Globalisation of the Nile perch:

Assessing the sociocultural implications of the Lake Victoria fishery in Uganda.

African Journal of Political Science and International Relations,3 (1 0), 433-442.

Garcia, S.M., and Grainger, R.J.R.. (2005). Gloom and doom? The future of marine

capture fisheries. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Retrieved 25th

June 2017 from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1636098/

Gardener, S. (2008). Exploring informality: An empirical analysis of the informal

economy (Honours' thesis). The college of William and Mary, Virginia, USA.

Retrieved 23rd September, 2016 from

https://scholarworks.wm.edu/honorstheses/823

Golub, S. and Varma, A. (2014). Fishing Exports and Economic Development of Least

Developed Countries: Bangladesh, Cambodia, Comoros, Sierra Leone and Uganda

Retrieved 9th October, 2018 from

https://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/aldc2017d2_en.pdf

GoM. (2014). Annual Economic Report. Lilongwe: Ministry of Finance, Economic

Planning and Development.

Gordon, A., Pulis, A., and Owusu-Adjei, E. (2011). Smoked marine fish from Western

Region Ghana: a value chain assessment.Ghana: The WorldFish Center

Grimm, V., (2008). Individual-based models. In S.E. Jørgensen, B.D. Fath (Eds.),

Ecological Models of Encyclopedia of Ecology (3(1), 5(1), pp. 1959-1968) Elsevier,

Oxford: Elsevier

Gudmundsson, E., Asche, F. and Nielsen, M. (2006). FAO Fisheries Circular No .1019.

Rome: FAO.

Page 133: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

117

Gupta, P., Jain, N., Sikdar, P.K., and Kumar, K. (2003). Geographical Information System

in Transportation Planning..New Delhi, India: Map Asia Conference.

Mussa, H., Kaunda, E., Chimatiro, S., Kakwasha, K., Banda, L., Nankwenya, B., and

Nyengere, J. (2017). Assessment of Informal Cross-Border Fish Trade in the

Southern Africa Region: A Case of Malawi and Zambia. Journal of Agricultural

Science and Technology B 7 (2017), 358-366. Retrieved 18 FEbruary 2018 from

http://dx.doi.org/10.17265/2161-6264/2017.05.009

Hair, J.F. Black, W.C., Babin, B.J., & Anderson, R.E.(2010). Multivariate data analysis

(7th ed.). New York: Pearson,.

Hesse, M. and Rodrigue, J.P. (2004). The Transport Geography of Logistics and Freight

Distribution. Journal of Transport Geography, 12(3), 171 –184.

Heye, C. and Timpf, S. (2003, August). Factors influencing the physical complexity of

routes in public transportation networks. Paper presented at the 10th International

Conference on Travel Behaviour Research, . Lucerne, Switzerland. Retrieved

October 29, 2011, from http://www.fao.org/fishery/countrysector/naso_malawi/en

Hodgson, F.C., Page, M. and Tight, M.R. (2004). A reviewof factors which influence

pedestrian use of the streets: Task 1 report for an EPSRC funded project on

measuring pedestrian accessibility. Working Paper. Leeds, UK: Institute of

Transport Studies, University of Leeds.

Huff D.L, Blue L. (1966). A Programmed Solution for Estimating Retail Sales Potentials

Lawrence. Retrieved 6 July 2018 from

https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39076005811760;view=1up;seq=7Huff,

D.L (1964). Defining and Estimating A Trading Area. J. Mark, 28(7), 34-38.

Icrarm and Gtz (1991). The context of small-scale intergrated agriculture-aquaculture

systems in Africa: A case study of Malawi. Retrieved 23rd December, 2017 from

http://www.joyhecht.net/mulanje/refs/ICLARM-Aquaculture-1991.pdf

Page 134: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

118

Institute of Texas Transportation (2002). The 2003 Urban Mobility Study, College Station,

TX. Retrieved from http://mobility.tamu.edu/

Jagger, P. and Pender, J. (2001). Markets, Marketing and Production Issues for

Aquaculture in East Africa: The Case of Uganda. Naga. The ICLARM Quarterly,

24(1), 42-51.

Jamela, T. (2013). Experiences and coping strategies of women informal cross-border

traders in unstable political and economic conditions: The case of Bulawayo

(Zimbabwe) Traders (Masters' thesis). .South Africa, University of Johannesburg.

Jansen, E. (1997, September). Rich fisheries –poor fisher folk: Some preliminary

observations about the effects f trade aid in the Lake Victoria fisheries’. Socio-

economics of the Lake Victoria fisheries. IUCN Report No.1 .

Josupeit, H. (2011). Challenges to Sub-Saharan African Fish Exports. Third Workshop On

Fish Technology, Utilization And Quality Assurance In Africa. (pp. 157-170). Rome:

FAO.

Kapute, F., Likongwe, J., Kang’ombe, J., Kiiyukia, C., and Mpeketula, P. (2012). Quality

Assessment of Fresh Lake Malawi Tilapia (Chambo) Collected from Selected Local

and Super Markets in Malawi. Internet Journal of Food Safety, 14, 113-121.

Kawarazuka, N. and Béné, C. (2011). The potential role of small fish species in improving

micronutrient deficiencies in developing countries: building evidence. Public Health

Nutrition, 14(11), 1927-1938.

Kim P.J, Kim W.K., Chung W.K. and Youn M.K. (2011). A using new Huff model for

predicting potential retail market in South Korea. African Journal of Business

Management, 5(5), 1543-1550.

Kirema-Mukasa, T. C. (2012). Regional fish trade in eastern and southern Africa‐

Products and Markets: A Fish Traders Guide. SmartFish Working Papers No 013.

Page 135: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

119

Kirshner, J. (2009, October 2). City of rings: Migration, informalization and public space

in Santa Cruz, Bolivia. Paper presented at the Sociology, Anthropology and

Development Studies Seminar . Johannesburg: University of Johannesburg.

Krueger, R. A., & Casey, M. A. (2000). A practical guide for applied research. Thousand

Oaks, Calif. : Sage Publications.

Lakshmanan, T.J., U. Subramanian, W. Anderson and F. Leautier. (2001). Integration of

Transport and Trade Facilitation: Selected Regional Case Studies. Washington, DC:

World Bank.

Langford, B. E., Schoenfeld, G., & Izzo, G. (2002). Nominal grouping sessions vs focus

groups. Qualitative Market Research: An International Journal, 5(1), 58-70.

Levy M. and Weitz BA (2007). Retailing Management. NY: McGrawHill/Irwin.

Macamo, J. (1999). Estimates of unrecorded cross-border trade between Mozambique and

her neighbours (Technical Paper No. 88). Mozambique: World Vision International.

MacGaffey, J. (1987). Entrepreneurs and Parasites: The struggle for indigenous

capitatism in Zaire. UK: Cambridge University Press.

Madeley, J. (2000). Hungry for Trade: How the Poor Pay for Free Trade. London: Zed

Books.

Makombe, P. F. (2011). Informal Cross-Border Trade and SADC: The Search for Greater

Recognition. RSA: Open Society Initiative for Southern Africa .

Matiya, G., Wakabayashi, Y., and Takenouchi, N. (2005). Factors Influencing the Prices

of Fish in Central Region of Malawi and itsimplications on the Development of

Aquaculture in Malawi. Journal of Applied Sciences, 5(8), 1424-1429.

Nagoli, J., Mwendo, Phiri, E., Kambewa, E. & Jamu, D. (2009). Adapting Integrated

Agriculture Aquaculture for HIV and AIDS-Affected Households: The case of

Malawi. Working Paper 1957. Penang, Malaysia: WorldFish.

Page 136: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

120

Nayeem, M.P., Pervin, K., Reza, M.S., Islam, M. N., and M. Kamal. (2010). Marketing

System of Traditional Dried and Semi-Fermented Fish Product (Chepa Shutki) and

Socio-Economic Condition of the Retailers in Local Markets of Mymensingh Region.

Bangladesh Research Publications Journal, 41(1), 41-46.

Ndlela, D. (2006). Informal cross-border trade: The case of Zimbabwe. Johannesburg:

Instituteof Global Dialogue.

Nduru, M. (2004). Women who engage in transactional sex and mobile populations in

southern Africa. Washington, D.C: Academy for Educational Development.

Njaya, J. F. (2006, August 21-24). Overview of fisheries and aquaculture in Malawi. Paper

presented at the Workshop on Fisheries and Aquaculture in Southern Africa:

Development and Management, Windhoek. Namibia.

Odada E. O. and Olago O.O. (2002). The East Afican great lakes: Limnology,

Palaeolimnology and biodiversity. Kenya: University of Nairobi. doi:10.1007/978-

0-306-48201-4.

Odegaard, C. (2008). Informal Trade, Contrabands and Prosperous socialites in Arequipa,

Peru. Ehnos, 73(2), 241 -266.

OECD. (2007). IPTV: Market Developments and Regulatory Treatment. OECD Digital

Economy Papers, No. 137, OECD Publishing. Retrieved 23rd August, 2017 from

http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/230651165186 Ogutu-Ohwayo, R. and Balirwa, J.S.

(2004). Management Challenges of Freshwater Fisheries in Africa. Uganda.: Jinja.

Park, C.J., Ko Y.B, Youn, M.K., Kim, W.K. (2006). Prediction of Estimated Sales Amount

through New Open of Department Store. Journal of Distribution Science., 4(2), 5-20.

Page 137: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

121

Peberdy, S. (2002, April 23). Hurdles to Trade? South Africa’s Immigration Policy and

Informal Sector Cross-border Traders in the SADC. Paper presented at

SAMP/LHR/HSRC Workshop on Regional Integration, Poverty and South Africa's

Proposed Migration Policy. Pretoria.

Phiri, L. Y., Dzanja, J., Kakota, T., and Hara, M. (2011). Value Chain Analysis of Lake

Malawi Fish: A Case Study of Oreochromis spp (Chambo). International Journal of

Business and Social Science, 4(2), 170-81.

Rakowski, C.A (1994). Contrapunto: The informal sector debate in Latin America. The

informal sector debate, part 2: In Rakowski C.A (ed), 1984-1993. New York: Sunny

Press

Reza, M. S., Bapary, M.A.J., Azimuddi, K. M. Nurullah, M. and Kamal, M. (2005). Studies

on the traditional drying activities of commercially important marine fishes of

Bangladesh. Pakistan Journal of Biological Sciences., 8, 1303-1310.

Round, J., Williams, C. (2017). Spatial Interactions and the Gravity Model. New York:

Routledge .

Russell, A.J.M., Grötz, P.A., Kriesemer, S.K. and Pemsl, D.E. (2008). Recommendation

Domains for Pond Aquaculture. Country Case Study: Development and Status of

Freshwater Aquaculture in Malawi. WorldFish Center Studies and Reviews No. 1869.

Retrieved Otober 09, 2016, from

http://pubs.iclarm.net/resource_centre/WF_1102.pdf.

Page 138: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

122

Saint-Paul, G. (1996). Dual Labor Markets (Working Paper). Cambridge: Massachusetts

Institution of Technology..

Scheele, J. (2004). Tribus, Etats et fraude: la region frontaliere algero-malierine’, 2009/2

No 184

Schneider, F. and Entse, D.H. (2002). The shadow economy: An international survey.

Cambridge. UK: Cambridge University Press.

Schuurhuizen, R., Van Tilburg, A. and Kambewa, E. (2006). Fish in Kenya: The Nile Perch

Chain. In R. Ruben, M. Slingerland, and H. Nijhoff (Eds.), Agro-food chains and

networks for development (pp. 155-164). London: Springer

Serangelli, C. and Cirelli, M. (2010). COMESA comparative legislation study for South

Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Lusaka: COMESA

Slack, B. (2004). Corporate Realignment and the Global Imperatives of Container S

hipping. In D. Pinder and B. Slack (Eds.), Transport in the Twenty-First Century (pp.

25-39). London: Routledge .

Sonjiwe, A., Musuka, G. C., and, Haambiya, L. (2015). The Contribution of Artisanal

Fisheries towards Livelihoods and Food Security among Communities of Chanyanya

Fishing Camp in Kafue District of Lusaka Province. International Journal of

Forestry and Horticulture (IJFH), 1(2), 22-32.

Speedy, A. W. (2003). Global production and consumption of animal source foods. Journal

of Nutrition 133(11),4048S–4053S.

Page 139: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

123

Stouffer, S. A. (1940). Intervening Opportunities: A Theory Relating to Mobility and

Distance". American Sociological Review. American Sociological Association, 5(6),

845–867. doi:2307/2084520

Strategic Business partnership for Growth in Africa (2007). SBP Roundtable Crossborder

African shoppers and traders in Johannesburg. Retrieved October 11, 2017, from

http://led.co.za/sites/led.co.za/files/SBP_Cross_Border_Shopping_Roundtable_Rep

ort.pdf

Sutton, J.C., Cevllos, F., Faria, D., Kamler, B., Millan, L., Palmerlee, T., …..Wiggins,

W.(2004). Geographic Information Systems Applications in Transit. Great Britain:

Taylor & Francis.

Tekere, M., Nyatanga, P. and Mpofu, S. (2000). Informal Cross-border Trade: Salient

Features and Impact on Welfare: Case Studies of Beitbridge and Chirundu Border

Posts and Selected Households in Chitungwiza. Harare: Friedrich-Ebert-

Stiftung/Trade & Development Studies Centre.

Teklu, D. (2015). Determinant Factors For Wasted Fish During Harvesting At Amerti And

Fichawa Reservoirs Oromia/Ethiopia. Journal of Fisheries Sciences, 9(4), 12-15.

Thorpe, A. and Bennett, E. (2004). Market-Driven International Fish Supply Chains: The

Case of Nile Perch from Africa’s Lake Victoria. International Food and Agribusiness

Management Review, 7(4), 40-57.

Page 140: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

124

Töpfer, K. (2002, May). Fisheries subsidies and Trade liberalisation In UNEP Briefs on

Economics, Trade and Sustainable Development Information and Policy Tools from

the United Nations Environment Programme.

Tucker, L.R. & Mac Callum, R.C. (1997). Exploratory Factor Analysis, book manuscript.

Retrieved April 20, 2017, from http://www.unc.edu/-rcm/book/factornew.htm.

Valenzuela, A. (2001). Day labourers as entrepreneurs. Journal of Ethnic and Migration

Studies, 27(2), 335–352.

Vicéns, J. (1995). Modelos con Variables Cualitativas Dicotómicas. Instituto Lawrence R

Klein, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, documento 95/5; noviembre, 1995.

Weber, C. (2000). Urban agglomeration delimitation using remote sensing data,

GISDATA 9. USA: CRC Press

World Bank, (2013). Agriculture for Development. World Development Report 2008.

Washington: Author .

Page 141: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

125

APPENDICES

Appendix 1: Research ethics

Page 142: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

126

Appendix 2: Fish species and products mostly traded

Local

name

Scientific Name Fish product / Form in market

1 Carapau Scomber spp Fresh, Sundried, Dried and salted, Dried

2 Usipa Engraulicypris sardella Fresh, Sundried, Smoked, Dried,

Paraboiled, Fried

3 Mackerel Scomber scombrus Fresh, Frozen

4 Chambo Oreochromis spp Fresh

5 Tilapia Tilapia spp. Fresh, Frozen, Dried, Fried

6 Utaka Copadichromis species Fresh, Sundried, Smoked, Dried and

salted, Dried, Paraboiled, Fried

7 Kiwirere Unidentified Fresh, Sundried, Dried and salted, Dried

8 Mutella Mutela alata Sundried, Smoked, Dried, Fried

9 Chikowa Unidentified Sundried, Smoked, Dried and salted

10 Kapenta Clupeids species Sundried, Dried and salted

11 Bakayawo Unidentified Fresh, Sundried, Dried and salted

12 Matemba Barbus paludinosus Sundried, Dried, Paraboiled, Fried

13 Mcheni Rhamphochromis spp Fresh, Sundried, Frozen, Smoked, Fried

Page 143: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

127

14 Pende Unidentified Fresh, Smoked

15 Bonya Unidentified Sundried, Smoked

16 Makwale Haplochromis spp Sundried

17 Ngoshola Unidentified Fresh, Smoked

18 Sanjika Opsaridium microlepis Fresh

19 Catfish Clarias gariepinus Fresh, Sundried, Smoked, Dried

20 Madfish Unidentified Fried

21 Makakana Oreochromis

mossambicus

Dried

22 Sango Unidentified Fresh, Smoked, Dried

23 Masoghur Bathyclarias species Fresh

24 Mbuvu Bargus meridionalis Fresh

25 Kampango Bargus meridionalis Fresh

Page 144: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

128

Appendix 3: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Mwanza)

Species Source Distination Quantity (kgs)

Bakayawo

Tete Mwanza market 110

Zobwe Mwanza market 80

Zobwe Mwanza market 20

Tete Lunzu 45

Chikowa Tete Mwanza market 30

Kapenta

Zobwe Mwanza market 25

Tete Blantyre market 120

Tete Mwanza market 45

Chambo Blantyre Tete 40

Pende Tete Mwanza market 25

Tilapia Tete Mwanza market 45

Usipa Blantyre Mwanza market 40

Mackerel

Tete Mwanza market 1050

Tete Blantyre 210

Tete Zalewa 240

Tete Lunzu 120

Makwale

Tete Mwanza market 40

Tete Blantyre market 170

Mcheni

Limbe Zobwe 120

Blantyre Zobwe 50

Blantyre Tete 25

Blantyre Tete 75

Njole Limbe Zobwe 50

Pende

Tete Lunzu 25

Tete Blantyre market 30

Tete Zalewa 25

Tilapia Tete Blantyre market 45

Page 145: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

129

Tete Mwanza market 80

Usipa

Blantyre Zobwe 40

Blantyre Zobwe 55

Blantyre Zobwe 80

Lunzu Tete 90

Blantyre Tete 235

Blantyre Tete 15

Utaka

Limbe Zobwe 69

Blantyre market Zobwe 50

Blantyre market Zobwe 25

Page 146: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

130

Appendix 4: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Mchinji).

Species Source Destination Quantity

Chambo Kamwendo Chipata 100

Salima Chipata 310

Lilongwe Chipata 40

Mackerel Luangwa Mchinji 140

Zambia border Lilongwe 40

Chipata Mchinji 110

Chipata Lilongwe 9330

Chipata Mkanda 190

Matemba Kwamwendo Chipata 18

Mkanda Chipata 160

Mchinji Chipata 90

Mcheni Salima Chipata 90

Tilapia Chitipa Mchinji 230

Chitipa Kamwendo 40

Chitipa Mkanda 100

Page 147: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

131

Usipa Kapiri Chipata 10

Zambia border Kamwendo 40

Lilongwe Chipata 59

Mchinji Chipata 250

Kamwendo Chipata 204

Mkanda Chipata 90

Utaka Kapiri Chipata 14

Mchinji Chipata 294

Kamwendo Chipata 7

Mkanda Chipata 160

Page 148: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

132

Appendix 5: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Karonga-

Songwe)

Species Source Destination Quantity (kgs)

Chambo

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 180

Kapolo Kasumulu 168

Karonga market Kasumulu 490

Ngala Kasumulu 30

Kapenta

Kyela Karonga market 1020

Mbeya Mzuzu 2,424

Mbeya Karonga market 170

Madfish

Karonga market Kasumulu 38

Karonga market Kasumulu 65

Makwale Mbeya Mzuzu 100

Masoghunju Karonga market Kasumulu 75

Mbuvu Mayovya Kasumulu 50

Mutella

Mbeya Karonga market 410

Kyela Karonga market 190

Mbeya Karonga market 400

Mbeya Karonga market 50

Mbeya Karonga market 280

Ngoshola

Karonga mrket Kyela 110

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 40

Songwe border market Kasumulu 40

Sango

Kapolo Mbeya 430

Karonga mrket Kyela 250

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 50

Page 149: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

133

Karonga mrket Mbeya 115

Mponda Kasumulu 20

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 35

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 35

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 65

Sanjika

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 20

Karonga mrket Mbeya 60

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 65

Usipa

Kabwe Kasumula 551

Kapolo Kasumulu 356

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 200

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 50

Karonga mrket Mbeya 215

Kapolo Mbeya 250

Karonga mrket Kasumulu 95

Songwe border market Kasumulu 30

Page 150: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

134

Appendix 6: Fish species, sources, destination and quantities traded (Muloza).

Species Source Destination Quantity

Tilapia Milanje Bangwe 80

Chikowa

Milanje Thyolo 180

Milanje Blantyre 250

Milanje Luchenza 50

Milanje Bangwe 130

Milanje Blantyre 50

Karapao

Milanje Thyolo 650

Milanje Bangwe 560

Milanje Blantyre 750

Milanje Bvumbwe 200

Milanje Chikuse 700

Milanje Chilobwe 160

Milanje Chinakanaka 390

Milanje Chirimba 40

Milanje Chisambo 140

Milanje Chisitu 50

Milanje Chitakale 1,000

Milanje Blantyre 270

Milanje Goliath 150

Milanje Limbe 110

Milanje Limbuli 380

Milanje Lujeri 290

Milanje Machewe 190

Milanje Maveya 150

Milanje Mbayani 350

Milanje Minimini 90

Page 151: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

135

Milanje Mkando 320

Milanje Mpholiwa 260

Milanje Ruo 590

Milanje Soza 90

Milanje Thabwa 280

Kiwerere

Milanje Blantyre 140

Milanje Blantyre 90

Milanje Chitakale 50

Milanje Limbuli 215

Milanje Luchenza 50

Milanje Mkando 220

Milanje Limbuli 50

Milanje Thyolo 50

Milanje Blantyre 55

Page 152: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

136

Appendix 7: Magnitude of fish trade

Karonga

Volume Value

Chambo Annual Est 1,279,968.75 4,079,900,390.63

Tons & USD 1,279.97 5,513,378.91

Kapenta Annual Est 3,382,704.00 6,224,175,360.00

Tons & USD 3,382.70 8,411,047.78

Madfish Annual Est 92,700.00 97,798,500.00

Tons & USD 92.70 132,160.14

Makwale Annual Est 288,000.00 489,600,000.00

Tons & USD 288.00 661,621.62

Masoghunju Annual Est 216,000.00 259,200,000.00

Tons & USD 216.00 350,270.27

Mbuvu Annual Est 108,000.00 108,000,000.00

Tons & USD 108.00 145,945.95

Mutella Annual Est 2,656,800.00 4,250,880,000.00

Tons & USD 2,656.80 5,744,432.43

Sango Annual Est 2,248,061.54 2,420,989,349.11

Tons & USD 2,248.06 3,271,607.23

Sanjika Annual Est 417,600.00 292,320,000.00

Tons & USD 417.60 395,027.03

Usipa Annual Est 9,302,165.58 13,953,248,372.09

Tons & USD 9,302.17 18,855,741.04

Ngoshola Annual Est 495,900.00 743,850,000.00

Tons & USD 495.90 1,005,202.70

Total 20487899.9 32919961971.8

20487.9 44091408.1

Page 153: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

137

Mwanza

Fish species Volume Value

Bakayawo Annual Est (kgs) 771,120.00 1,156,680,000.00

Tons & USD 771.12 1,563,081.08

Chambo Annual Est (kgs) 172,800.00 570,240,000.00

Tons & USD 172.80 770,594.59

Chikowa Annual Est (kgs) 333,000.00 444,222,000.00

Tons & USD 333.00 600,300.00

Kapenta Annual Est 1,058,400.00 2,646,000,000.00

Tons & USD 1,058.40 3,575,675.68

Mackerel Annual Est 4,435,200.00 3,193,344,000.00

Tons & USD 4,435.20 4,315,329.73

Makwale Annual Est 403,200.00 685,440,000.00

Tons & USD 403.20 926,270.27

Mcheni Annual Est 1,044,900.00 1,609,146,000.00

Tons & USD 1,044.90 2,174,521.62

Njole Annual Est 144,000.00 86,400,000.00

Tons & USD 144.00 116,756.76

Pende Annual Est 240,000.00 840,000,000.00

Tons & USD 240.00 1,135,135.14

Tilapia Annual Est 675,000.00 810,000,000.00

Tons & USD 675.00 1,094,594.59

Usipa Annual Est 2,484,720.00 2,608,956,000.00

Tons & USD 2,484.72 3,525,616.22

Utaka Annual Est 272,160.00 479,682,000.00

Tons & USD 272.16 648,218.92

Total 11794500 15130110000

11794.5 20446094.6

Page 154: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

138

Mchinji

Volume Value

Mcheni Annual Est 19,440.00 40,824,000.00

Tons & USD 19.44 55,167.57

Chambo Annual Est 972,000.00 3,207,600,000.00

Tons & USD 972.00 4,334,594.59

Mackerel Annual Est 20,748,000.00 15,768,480,000.00

Tons & USD 20,748.00 21,308,756.76

Tilapia Annual Est 690,218.18 828,261,818.18

Tons & USD 690.22 1,119,272.73

Usipa Annual Est 1,439,501.54 2,560,651,775.15

Tons & USD 1,439.50 3,460,340.24

Matemba Annual Est 337,680.00 717,570,000.00

Tons & USD 337.68 969,689.19

Utaka Annual Est 714,384.00 1,260,887,760.00

Tons & USD 714.38 1,703,902.38

Total 24,921,224 24,384,275,353

24,921.2 32,951,723.5

Mulanje

Volume Value

Chikowa Annual Est 783,000.00 1,044,522,000.00

Tons & USD 783.00 1,411,516.22

Carapao Annual Est 17,341,389.47 18,607,310,905.26

Tons & USD 17,341.39 25,145,014.74

Kiwilele Annual Est 1,628,100.00 2,035,125,000.00

Tons & USD 1,628.10 2,750,168.92

Mikhamba Annual Est 90,000.00 126,000,000.00

Page 155: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

139

Tons & USD 90.00 170,270.27

Tilapia Annual Est 79,200.00 95,040,000.00

Tons & USD 79.20 128,432.43

Bakayao Annual Est 3,600.00 3,578,400.00

Tons & USD 3.60 4,835.68

Total 19,925,289.47 21,911,576,305

19,925.3 29,610,238.3

Page 156: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

140

Appendix 8: Study Questionnaire

SECTION A: PREAMBLE

Name of Enumerator:

Date of interview:

Checked by:

Dear correspondent (Ethics statement),

I/We am/are doing a survey on geographical analysis of informal fish trade routes in

Malawi and other countries under the Africa Fish Trade Program. The data we collect will

be only used for research purposes and will help come up with policy recommendations to

improve benefits from fish trade in the country, region and Africa as a whole. We hope that

you will be free to provide me/us with true and accurate data and information. Please feel

free to ask any questions or raise any issues you might have. You can terminate this

interview at any point should you wish so. I/We hope that I/we can come back to give the

results of these surveys to your group, both for your information and your further inputs.

Thank you for your participation.

SECTION B: IDENTIFICATION

1) Country (Nationality of the

trader)…………….......……………………………

Page 157: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

141

2) Location of

respondent……………………………………………………..…………

3) Name of border………………….....…...………………….....…...…

4) Contacts ………………….....…...………………….....…...…

SECTION C: DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS

5) Type of respondent’s activity/

occupation…………………………………..………...

6) Respondent gender (male/female)

………………….………………………...………

7) Age of

respondent…………………...………………………………………………...

8) Marital

status…………………...………………………………………………...........

9) Household

size…………………...………………………………………………........

10) Highest Education level (Number of years spent in school)

…………………............................................................…...

11) Total income from fish trading per

month………………….....…...………………….....…...…

Page 158: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

142

SECTION D: FISH PRODUCTS TRADED, TRADING DOCUMENTS AND

MEANS OF TRANSPORT

12) Please indicate fish species traded (start with the mostly traded species)

Species

Product Source

(Capture/Aquacul

ture)

Country of origin

(if you know)

Country of

destination (if

you know)

13) What trading documents are you possessing? (Tick all that apply)

Document type Tick

Phyto-sanitary certificate (Food safety and sanitary

certificate)

Export/import permit

License (Fishing and trading fisheries products

license)- importers only

Page 159: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

143

Other (specify)

Comment □Formal □Informal

14) What level of fish trader are you?

□ Retailer □ Wholesaler □ Middle trader □Other Specify ____

15) What means of transport do you usually use to trade your fish across

boarders? (Tick all that apply)

□Bicycle □Truck □walking □Bus □Own car □Other Specify ____

16) Which transportation means among the mentioned above is the most efficient

and cheap?

□Bicycle □Track □walking □Bus □Own car □Other Specify ____

17) Which fish product (i.e dried chambo) do YOU usually trade in? (Starting

with the most traded)

Fish product

Quantity

per trip

(kgs)

Reasons for preference of that particular species

(1) Commonly found (2) long shelf life (3) Good and easy to preserve (4) High demand

by customers (5) Cheap (6) High profitability (7) Other (Specify)

Page 160: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

144

SECTION E: FISH TRADE ROUTES USED BY THE TRADER AND CHOICE

FACTORS.

18) What routes do YOU use from source to destination? (starting with most

frequently used route)

Source

(Exact

place)

Mai

n

cent

ers

alon

g the

rout

e (1)

Mai

n

cent

ers

alon

g the

rout

e (2)

Actual

destinat

ion

(Exact

place)

Reas

ons

for

using

the

route

(use

codes

)

Reasons for

choosing the

destination (use

codes)

Tim

e to

reac

h the

desti

natio

n

(Min

/hou

rs/da

ys)

Ho

w

lon

g

doe

s it

take

to

use

this

rout

e?

How

man

y

time

s do

you

use

this

route

per

mont

h?

Quantities

traded

using the

route per

month?

Page 161: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

145

(1) Location of the source (2) Location of the final destination (3) Demand (population)

(4) Route distance (5) Accessibility (road type, quality of roads) (6) Seasons (7) Nature of

the route (8) Personal safety risks (9) Mode of transport (10) Fish product (11) Presence

of alternative destination (12) Monetary cost of transport (13) Travel time (14) other

factors (specify).

19) What are the main stop points along the route from sources to destination?

Stop points (Place) Activity done at the stop point

20) What alternative destinations for the fish products are available when using

the chosen route? (starting with most frequently used route)

Note: Routes other than the one using currently

Route Main

centers

along

the

Main

centers

along

the

Alternative

destinations

Reasons for

choosing this

alternative

destination

Time to reach the

alternative

destination(Min/hours/days)

Page 162: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

146

route

(1)

route

(2)

(Refer to

answer codes)

(1) Location of the source (2) Location of the final destination (3) Demand (population)

(4) Route distance (5) Accessibility (road type, quality of roads) (6) Seasons (7) Nature of

the route (8) Personal safety risks (9) Mode of transport (10) Fish product (11) Presence

of alternative destination (12) Monetary cost of transport (13) Travel time (14) other

factors (specify).

Fish trade routes and seasonality

21) Does seasonality affect you in the choosing the trade route from sources to

destination?

□ Yes □ No

22) If yes, what factors do you consider when choosing a trade route in the

following seasons of the year? What are the main activities done along the

route in these seasons?

Season Factor Main activities per season

Page 163: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

147

Cold season

Hot season

Rainy

season

(1) Location of the source (2) Location of the final destination (3) Demand (population)

(4) Route distance (5) Accessibility (road type, quality of roads) (6) Seasons (7) Nature of

the route (8) Personal safety risks (9) Mode of transport (10) Fish product (11) Presence

of alternative destination (12) Monetary cost of transport (13) Travel time (14) other

factors (specify).

Trader’s perceptions on geographical factors and choice of fish trade route.

Page 164: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

148

23) How would you rate the importance of the following aspects of a trade route

when making a decision about the choice of final destination?

Very

important

Important Neutral Not

important

Not

important

at all

A Location of the

source

B Location of the

final destination

C Demand

(population)

D Route distance

E Road type

F Quality of roads

G Travel time

H Monetary cost of

transport

I Presence of

alternative

destination

J Seasons

K Mode of transport

Page 165: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

149

L Personal safety

risks

M Climate

24) How would you rate the importance of the following aspects of a destination

when making a decision about the choice of final destination?

Very

important

Important Neutral Not

important

Not

important

at all

A Location of the

source

B Location of the

final destination

C Demand

(population)

D Route distance

E Road type

F quality of roads

G Travel time

H Monetary cost of

transport

Page 166: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

150

I Presence of

alternative

destination

J Seasons

K Mode of transport

L Personal safety

risks

M Climate

SECTION F: CHALLENGES IN CROSS BORDER FISH TRADE.

25) What challenges do YOU face when using a chosen trade route? (Tick)

□ Exposure to corrupt border officials because of lack of knowledge about their rights

(Extortion and bribery)

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Lack of knowledge of customs clearance and handling requirements.

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Lack of recognition and licenses.

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Inability to carry bulky products, some of which require specialized handling and

shipping.

Page 167: GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF INFORMAL FISH TRADE ROUTES … · 2020-01-22 · Data was analysed through various techniques. The Principal component analysis was used to identify significant

151

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Poor or inadequate infrastructure (for example, lack of water and telephones).

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Sexual harassment

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Delays at the border post

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Crime and theft

(1) Agree (2) Strongly agree (3) Neutral (4) Disagree (5) Strongly disagree

□ Other (specify) _________________________________

Thank you for your co-operation