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Geometric Spectral Albedo Hesan Ziar, Furkan Sonmez, Olindo Isabella, Miro Zeman 16 th of Sep 2019 BiFi Workshop, Amsterdam

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Page 1: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Geometric Spectral Albedo

Hesan Ziar, Furkan Sonmez, Olindo Isabella, Miro Zeman

16th of Sep 2019

BiFi Workshop, Amsterdam

Page 2: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

2

● Direct

● Diffuse

● Albedo

Irradiation components

Page 3: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Irradiation components

3

● Direct

● Diffuse

● Albedo

Page 4: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Albedo

4

● The ratio between reflected upwelling radiation and the global downwelling radiation incident at the measurement surface.

down

S

up

S

Page 5: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Importance of albedo for PV

5

● TWp PV era is coming…

● 20% share for bifacial by 2022.

● Bifaciality is an option to increase the PV energy yield with low additional cost.

● For bifacials, contribution of albedo component of sunlight becomes more significant.

TWp

Up to 30% more energy for Amsterdam and even more

Depends on 1) bifacial factor 2) albedo value

International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic, 9th edition, (2018).

R. Kopecek and J. Libal, Nature Energy, 3, (2018).

G. J.M.Janssen, et. al., Energy Procedia, 77, (2015).

Page 6: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Importance of albedo for PV

6

● TWp PV era is coming…

● 20% share for bifacial by 2022.

● Bifaciality is an option to increase the PV energy yield with low additional cost.

● For bifacials, contribution of albedo component of sunlight becomes more significant.

TWp

Accurate albedo modelling → Less error in yield prediction

International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaic, 9th edition, (2018).

R. Kopecek and J. Libal, Nature Energy, 3, (2018).

G. J.M.Janssen, et. al., Energy Procedia, 77, (2015).

Page 7: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Previous models

7

How should I

model it?

Beam/Diffuse albedo model

Nkemdirim model

Zonal albedo model

Average measured site albedo

Constant albedo assumption

Spectral albedo model

Temps & Coulson’s model

Isotropy assumption model

B. Y. Liu and R. C. Jordan, Solar Energy, 7, (1963).

P. Ineichen, et.al., Solar Energy, 39, (1987).

C. Gueymard, Solar Energy, 50, (1993).

L. C. Nkemdirim, Journal of Applied Meteorology, 11, (1972).

C. Gueymard, Solar Energy, 38, (1987).

J. E. Hay, Renewable energy, 3, (1993).

R. C. Temps and K. Coulson, Solar Energy, 19, (1977).

A. Baldridge, S. Hook, C. Grove, and G. Rivera, Remote Sensing of Environment, 113, (2009).

Page 8: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Complexity in albedo modelling

8

● Whatever is in an environment may influence albedo and the environment is changing all the time, so does albedo.

● Light source condition is influential.

● Previous models are neither right nor wrong. They are incomplete.

Dependency of albedo on many factors makes it a huge challenge to fed all the influential parameters into one coherent model.

P. Ineichen, et. al., Solar Energy, 44, (1990).

Page 9: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Complexity in albedo modelling

9

● Whatever is in an environment may influence albedo and the environment is changing all the time, so does albedo.

● Light source condition is influential.

● Previous models are neither right nor wrong. They are incomplete.

Dependency of albedo on many factors makes it a huge challenge to fed all the influential parameters into one coherent model.

P. Ineichen, et. al., Solar Energy, 44, (1990).

Page 10: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Main influential factors

10

● Surrounding environment can be explained by two main features:

● Material

● Geometry

● On top of that, to model albedo, we have to consider light source features as well.

Albedo

Page 11: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Main influential factors

11

● Surrounding environment can be explained by two main features:

● Material

● Geometry

● On top of that, to model albedo, we have to consider light source features as well.

Albedo

Page 12: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Main influential factors

12

● Surrounding environment can be explained by two main features:

● Material

● Geometry

● On top of that, to model albedo, we have to consider light source features as well.

Albedo

Page 13: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Main influential factors

13

● Surrounding environment can be explained by two main features:

● Material

● Geometry

● On top of that, to model albedo, we have to consider light source features as well.

Albedo

Page 14: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Coherent albedo model

14

● Now lets put all of them together:

1 1 2

1

1

1i i ii S A i S A S A

i N

ii

R C F C F FH

H. Ziar, et al., Applied Energy, 255, (2019)

Page 15: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Coherent albedo model

16

● Now lets put all of them together:

R

H. Ziar, et al., Applied Energy, 255, (2019)

Page 16: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Put the model into test

17

● Experiment

● Simulation

Material ASTER spectral library

Geometry LiDAR data Height map 3D software packages

Weather Meteorological stations Irradiation models

Albedo equation

Page 17: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Albedo model validation

18

● Low RMSEs of 0.012 and 0.032 good agreement between prediction and measurement.

H. Ziar, et al., Applied Energy, 255, (2019)

Page 18: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Applications of the proposed albedo equation

19

● Remote Sensing

● Local and Global Warming

● Geology and Agriculture

● Energy and Photovoltaics

● Computer Graphics

● Conceptual Application

Page 19: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Applications of the proposed albedo equation

20

● Remote Sensing

● Local and Global Warming

● Geology and Agriculture

● Energy and Photovoltaics

● Computer Graphics

● Conceptual Application

Page 20: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Applications of the proposed albedo model

21

● Energy and Photovoltaics

● Overestimation of (33 kWh/m2/year × average albedo before installation) in DC-yield prediction.

avoiding energy yield over-estimation

Page 21: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Summary of results

22

● A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo in one equation.

1 1 2

1

1

1i i ii S A i S A S A

i N

ii

R C F C F FH

● The model can calculate the albedo without the need for in-field measurements.

● The model can be deployed in many fields of research concerned with urban and solar energy.

Page 22: Geometric Spectral Albedo - nPV workshopnpv-workshop.com › fileadmin › layout › images › ...Ziar.pdf · A coherent model to cluster all the parameters which affect albedo

Thank you for your attention

Hesan Ziar, Delft University of Technology, the Netherlands. Email: [email protected]

Visit our online PV monitoring station: https://pvmonitoring.pvmd.tudelft.nl/