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Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

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Page 1: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Page 2: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

About ISDR and DRR

Page 3: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

• Successor programme of the IDNDR (International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction, 1989-1999)

• GA Res 54/219 and 56/195 establish the secretariat, under the authority of the USG for Humanitarian Affairs, and the IATF-DRR

• GA Res A/RES/61/198 transforms the IATF-DR into the Global Platform for DRR, thus including Governments

ISDR: International Strategy for Disaster Reduction

Page 4: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

What is Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)?

• A conceptual framework consisting of ways and means:– To minimize vulnerabilities and disaster risks.– To avoid (prevention) or to limit (mitigation and

preparedness) the adverse impacts of hazards within the broad context of sustainable development.

Page 5: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

World Conference on Disaster Reduction

Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015 (HFA) - Building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters

• 168 Governments, 78 regional and int’l orgs, and 161 NGOs attended

• Integrate disaster risk reduction into policies, plans and programmes of sustainable development and poverty reduction

• Recognize risk reduction as both a humanitarian and development issue – in the context of sustainable development

• Focus on national and local implementation, with bilateral, multilateral, regional and international cooperation

Page 6: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

World Conference on Disaster Reduction

Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015 (HFA)

• Three strategic goals:•The integration of disaster risk reduction into sustainable development policies and planning•The development and strengthening of institutions, mechanisms and capacities to build resilience to hazards•The systematic incorporation of risk reduction approaches into the implementation of emergency preparedness, response and recovery programmes

Page 7: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

World Conference on Disaster Reduction

Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015 (HFA)

• Five priorities for action:•Governance: ensure that disaster risk reduction is a national and local priority with strong institutional basis for implementation•Risk identification: identify, assess and monitor disaster risks and enhance early warning•Knowledge: use knowledge, innovation and education to build a culture of safety and resilience at all levels•Reducing the underlying risk factors in various sectors (environment, health, construction, etc.)•Strengthen disaster preparedness for effective response

Page 8: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Build a disaster risk reduction

movement – ISDR system Our objective: To reduce disaster risk,

worldwide, focussing on nations and communities

The instrument: Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015

The vehicle: ISDR system - ‘movement ’

Page 9: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

About the GAR

Page 10: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Global Assessment Reports (GAR)

• Both a product and process – for evidence generation and policy engagement

• Engaging partners from governments, UN agencies, international organisations, civil society organisation, academic institutions and many more since 2007

• Two iterations, in 2009 and 2011• Both launched by UN Secretary General and received highest level of attention

• Informed the 2nd and 3rd session of the Global Platform

Page 11: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Global Assessment Report (GAR)

• More than 500,000 chapter down loads• More than 10,000 copies distributed• More than 130 governments participated in reviewing their progress in DRR

• More than 25 countries developed national disaster loss databases

• More than 30 organizations participated in research and analysis

Page 12: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

GAR 2009: Risk and poverty in a changing climate

• Focused on the identification of drivers of risk and what needs doing

• Increase our understanding of the causal factors of risk and of it’s consequences for human and economic development

• Propose policy initiatives to address gaps and challenges

Page 13: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

GAR 2011: Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

• Focused on drivers of risk reduction and on how to address the challenges in doing so

• Provided policy recommendations for governments to adapt and use public investment planning, social protection and other development instruments to upscale risk reduction

• Revealed some new and key aspects of disaster risk and trends in risk reduction

Page 14: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

GAR 2009 Main Findings

Page 15: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011
Page 16: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Disaster risk is intensively concentrated

Page 17: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

it’s unevenly distributed…..

22.5 million exposed per year

GDPcap. US$31,267

HDI =0.953

Mortality ratio = 1

16 million exposed per year

GDP cap. US$5,137

HDI = 0.771

Mortality ratio = 17

Page 18: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

…… is increasing globally

Page 19: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

and….. hits small countries hardest.

Page 20: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Global risk is driven by poverty and weak governance

Page 21: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Risk is also extensively spread …..

Page 22: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

………….and increasing rapidly

Page 23: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

….. feeds back into poverty

Page 24: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

driven by…….. deficient urban and local governance

Page 25: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

...vulnerable rural livelihoods

Page 26: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

and ... declining ecosystem services

Page 27: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

……magnified by climate change

Page 28: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

Mixed progress in reducing risk

Page 29: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

the key message

In order to:

Reduce disaster risk and achieving the Hyogo Framework of ActionAdapt to climate changeAchieve the Millennium Development Goals Goals

Address the underlying risk drivers:

poor urban governance; ecosystem decline; vulnerable rural livelihoods

Page 30: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

GAR 2011 Main Findings

Page 31: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Growing losses – insignificant investment

in disaster risk management

Disaster losses by Presidential period Mexico 1982 – 2009

Page 32: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Increased exposure of people and economic activities to weather-

related hazards

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Population exposed to tropical cyclones, China coast section

Page 33: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Falling mortality – rising economic loss risk

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Cyclone mortality risk

Flood economic loss risk

Page 34: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

A real-time window on investment in risk

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Page 35: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Risk – the future. Synchronic failures and sequential crisis ?

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Populations and economies exposed to tsunamis

Page 36: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Mixed progress towards achieving the HFA

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Page 37: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Low investment in vulnerability reduction

Page 38: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Systematically account for disaster losses

Number of education facilities damaged (1970-2009) Kilometers of road damaged (1970-2009)per province (Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Venezuela)

Page 39: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

What is destroyed and by what type of disaster?

Intense and strong but rare disasters

Weak and extensive but common disasters

Page 40: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Typhoon severity, and causes of disasters

Vulnerability

Exposure

Stronger typhoons

The stronger the typhoon, the less effective vulnerability reduction is

Page 41: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Use public investment planning

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

“Prevention is better than cure”

Planning is better than relocation or retrofitting

Page 42: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

… be selective in corrective investments

Targeted investment in a few infrastructure projects yields more benefits

Page 43: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Protect the most vulnerable

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Employment Guarantee Programmes

Conditional Cash Transfers

Page 44: Global Assessment Report for Disaster Risk Reduction 2011

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development

Reform risk governance

2011 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction Revealing Risk, Redefining Development