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Global rail opportunities 6 March 2014

Global rail opportunities

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Page 1: Global rail opportunities

Global rail opportunities 6 March 2014

Page 2: Global rail opportunities

Douglas McCormick Managing director, Rail (UK)

Page 3: Global rail opportunities

Agenda

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• Safety • Worldwide rail market • Regional review

− UK and Europe − Middle East − Asia Pacific − North America

• Summary

Page 4: Global rail opportunities

Safety leadership, culture and engagement “Nothing is more urgent or important than safety and security at the workplace and on our project sites. Don’t hesitate for a second to tell a manager or act yourself if you think it is unsafe. Always ensure the safety of yourself, your colleagues and of the people whose lives and environments we touch.” Uwe Krueger

Page 5: Global rail opportunities

Worldwide rail markets

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Region CAGR (%)

Rail type (forward looking)

Europe (Western including UK, and Eastern)

1.9 (Western Europe) and

3.2 (East Europe)

Western Europe: High speed, and freight (enhancements/ upgrades). Eastern Europe: Mainline, light rail, and freight (enhancements/ upgrades).

North America 2.8 Freight and light rail/metro (enhancements/upgrades)

Asia-Pacific 1.9 High speed and metro/light rail (new build)

Middle East (including Africa)

8.1 Metro, light rail, freight, high speed (new build)

Latin America 7.0 Freight, monorail/light rail (new build, upgrades).

Source: UNIFE, 2012. Projected 2017 market

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22

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6 5

Accessible market £95bn

Europe

North America

Asia Pacific

Middle East

Latin America

Market drivers • urbanisation • environmental concerns • technological advances − automation − electrification − communications − design tools.

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Our international presence and resources

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Atkins’ USP • High technical capability • Complex projects • High margin consultancy • World class portfolio • Transferrable skills and

expertise.

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Rail is our most significant sector

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17%

18%

14% 11%

8%

8%

7%

7%

2% 8% Roads

Rail (including mass transit/metro)

Energy

Water/environment

Defence security

Buildings - commercial/residential

Urban development

Aerospace/aviation

Education

Other

Atkins’ revenue by end market (FY13)

NB excluding UK Highways services business

Page 8: Global rail opportunities

Atkins’ capabilities – across the infrastructure life cycle

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Asset management

Procurement of services and site supervision

Project management Design Project

planning Consultancy technical services

Industry navigator

Scheme identification and feasibility

Policy and standards advice

• Atkins has a strong brand and reputation

• We can leverage our Group resource and skillbase

• Local delivery is supported by our international expertise

• Strategic partnerships with clients, contractors and manufacturers.

Page 9: Global rail opportunities

Atkins’ rail value-volume pyramid

9 Volume

Valu

e

Mar

gin

Service offering • Business advisory, strategy and financial planning

including lenders technical advisor • Economic feasibility and options analysis • Preliminary design, planning and high-level modelling

strategic asset management safety, regulatory, standards and governance services

• Project management consultancy and programme

management • Rail infrastructure design (civils) • Rail systems design • Passenger systems design and implementation • Programme detailed specification

• Service/design verification, assurance.

Mgmt & strategy

consultancy

Planning, engineering, technical consultancy

Engineering, assurance implementation and operations services

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UK and Europe

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UK and Europe – rail market

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• CP5 in UK, Network Rail’s business plan (2014-19) for £38bn of spend

• Annual Scandinavian rail investment around £4bn of which consulting services account for c8%

Scale

Dynamics

• Renewals and enhancements

• Train control systems

• Electrification

• Stations

• Major investment programmes eg HS2, Crossrail 2.

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Atkins’ profile in UK and Europe

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• Consultancy leadership • Complete design spectrum across rail • Engineering design and implementation in signalling and

communications

• High technical competencies

• Scalability/capacity/complexity

• Strong brand

• Investment in innovation and technology capabilities

• Supporting international growth.

Capabilities

USP

Future

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Stafford Area Improvements Programme Steve Higham, Atkins managing director, rail engineering projects

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Stafford Alliance

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The problem • Major bottleneck on West Coast Main Line • Infrastructure prone to failure • Speed limitations over 30 miles

The alliance team:

The solution • £250m programme of works including:

• Line-speed improvements

• Re-signalling

• Elevated rail junction.

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Stafford Alliance

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Project scope • First rail industry alliance contract –

future direction of travel in UK

• 10km new track and electrification

• 12 new bridges

• 4 river diversions

• 80 new signal structures

Why Atkins? • Shortlisted from 50, tender won against

four alliances

• Tender award based on 30% price, 70% technical and behavioural

• Our multi-functional design and engineering capability

• Delivered from UK and our Indian offices.

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Middle East Julian Hill, managing director, Rail (Middle East)

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Middle East – rail market

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• Investing £70bn in rail projects through to 2020, with Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE representing the biggest markets (Frost & Sullivan)

• Qatar offers opportunities for UK companies with £140bn infrastructure forecast spend over the next 10 years (UKTI, July 2013)

• Urbanisation key driver – metro demand

• Minimal local technical competence – international expertise needed

• Freight railways linking critical mining/ manufacturing areas with ports/airports across the Middle East

• Design and build procurement strategy for new build metro systems

• Religious tourism is the driver around Makkah and Medina.

Scale

Dynamics

Page 19: Global rail opportunities

Atkins’ profile in the Middle East

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Capabilities

USP

Future

• Team of multidisciplinary metro experts each with 20+ years experience in complex design and build metro systems

• Proven value engineering at the tender stage • Chosen design partner for international contractors

• Core resources based in region – client facing • Strong brand, substantial credibility, proven delivery • Global design centre – capacity and capability to deliver major rail

projects

• Huge pipeline of metro opportunities – our focus in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and United Arab Emirates

• Intermodal transport networks • Diversification into systems and project management consultancy.

Page 20: Global rail opportunities

Pre-eminent position in the rail market

Page 21: Global rail opportunities

Dubai Metro Lusail LRT Al Mashaaer Metro Riyadh Metro Package 3

Doha metro systems/depots Dubai metro extensions

Makkah city metro

Doha metro red line south

Abu Dhabi metro

Future major rail projects

Past/current major rail projects

Working with international contractors

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Future Middle East metro opportunities

• Depot and stabling yard for 90 train sets • Rail systems & rolling stock for phase 1 of

Doha metro – 38 stations and 84 km of track

• 33km track • 26 stations (at-grade) • 7 stations (underground) • 1 depot, maintenance/storage facility

& test track

2.6 bn

4-6 bn

1.8 bn

Capital cost (£)

Doha metro depot & systems

Doha metro gold line

Lusail LRT

• 14 stations • Pedestrian subways and entrance pods • 14km of twin bored tunnels • Switch boxes / cross passages

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Future Middle East metro opportunities

• Phase 1 comprises 18km track • 4 underground stations • 8 elevated stations

Phase 1 • Two Civil works packages • 23km of tunnel and 9 underground

stations • 20km of viaduct, 10 elevated

stations and 1 depot

• Metro phase 1,2,3 • 152km track • 92 stations

2.6 bn

4.0 bn

10.6bn

Abu Dhabi metro

Makkah metro civil works

Jeddah metro

Capital cost (£)

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Asia Pacific

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Asia Pacific – rail market

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• By 2020 the urban rail market across Asia Pacific is expected to grow to £60bn (CAGR 5.6%)*

• Relatively mature rail consultancy market

• New build metro and light rail in highest demand

• Major rail infrastructure programmes starting in Malaysia and Vietnam

• Ongoing rail infrastructure development in Singapore.

Scale

Dynamics

* Frost & Sullivan, 2013

Page 26: Global rail opportunities

Atkins’ profile in Asia Pacific

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• Analysis, design and detailing of internal tunnel works for Hong Kong’s rail network

• Delivering multidisciplinary services including stations, tunnels and viaducts

• Transport orientated design

• Strong brand associated with quality and efficiency • Ability to bring international best practice • Complexity

• Partnering with local companies in South East Asia

• Broader geographic footprint

• Working with Chinese contractors.

Capabilities

USP

Future

Page 27: Global rail opportunities

Core capability – rail infrastructure

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Atkins has held lead design roles on the four major rail projects in Hong Kong: • Express rail link to mainland China • West Island line extension • South Island line • Shatin central link

Work includes: stations, tunnels, viaducts and significant utility and highway diversions

We are undertaking a feasibility study for the South Island line west which will start a new phase of metro development.

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Atkins’ role in Hong Kong’s current rail network expansion

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North America

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North America – rail market

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• By 2020 US rail transit market expected to grow towards £44bn* pa in capital expenditure, including over £6.5bn* in engineering services

• By 2017 approx. £22bn* will be accessible to European companies (around 50% of the market)

Scale

Dynamics

* Frost & Sullivan, 2013

• Mature market for engineering design consultancies

• PPP potential funding model given public funding constraints.

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Atkins’ profile in North America

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• Access to worldwide skills base, particularly in specialist engineering services

• Level of local knowledge

• Asset management

Capabilities

USP

Future

• Emerging brand image

• Leveraging Group capabilities particularly in brownfield projects

• Targeting advisory roles and technology use as a differentiator rather than a more commoditised role

• Developing metro market – urbanisation driver

• Focusing on key states/regions.

Page 32: Global rail opportunities

Summary

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Highly differentiated business with good growth and attractive margins

• Well positioned with strong market share in UK, and good exposure to stable Scandinavian markets

• Significant pipeline of Middle East metro opportunities – our focus in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and United Arab Emirates

• Expansion into South East Asia from historic MTRC client base in Hong Kong

• North America – future growth potential, particularly in brownfield projects

• Ability to leverage Group capabilities.

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Disclaimer

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The information in this presentation pack, which does not purport to be comprehensive, has been provided by Atkins and has not been independently verified. While this information has been prepared in good faith, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by Atkins as to or in relation to the accuracy or completeness of this presentation pack or any other written or oral information made available as part of the presentation and any such liability is expressly disclaimed. Further, whilst Atkins may subsequently update the information made available in this presentation, we expressly disclaim any obligation to do so.

The presentation contains indications of likely future developments and other forward-looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with, among other things, the economic and business circumstances occurring from time to time in the countries, sectors and business segments in which the Group operates. These and other factors could adversely affect the Group’s results, strategy and prospects. Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. They relate to events and/or depend on circumstances in the future which could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from those currently expected. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.