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Globalization Chances and Risks Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 1 Lecture by Melanie Hiller (Written by Dr. Christopher Stehr) Faculty of Mathematics and Economics University Ulm polymundo - Consultancy for Globalization

Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

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Page 1: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Chances and Risks

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 1

Lecture by Melanie Hiller(Written by Dr. Christopher Stehr)

Faculty of Mathematics and Economics University Ulmpolymundo - Consultancy for Globalization

Page 2: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Content

1. Globalization - What is that?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 2

1. Globalization - What is that?

2. Globalization - Who makes it?

3. Globalization - Designable?!

Page 3: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

9. November 1989

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 3

Page 4: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

11. September 2001

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 4

11. September 2001

Page 5: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

11. December 2001

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 5

11. December 2001

Page 6: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 6

Page 7: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Worldwide Developments

EnvironmentEnvironmentNNRESSOURCECONFLICTS

RESSOURCECONFLICTS

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 7

Global CitiesGlobal Cities

SS

CAPITALCAPITAL

ABC-WeaponsABC-Weapons

Page 8: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

"Globalization is the continuous interlinking process of different worldwide happening

Definition Globalization

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 8

process of different worldwide happening occurrences in the fields of economy, technique, politics, culture and social aspects of nations with interlinked inter-dependenciesand consequences.“

Stehr, C. (2003), S. 47

Page 9: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Not a “new” „Phenomena“

Not fixed to one single State

What is Globalization?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 9

Not fixed to one single State

But a continuous Process

Increase, Consolidation, Condensation of cross-frontier Activities

Increase of Transnational Players

Page 10: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

First of all economical „Phenomena“

What is Globalization?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 10

economical „Phenomena“

Worldwide Opening of Marketsfor Goods, Currency and Work Force

Interlocking and Dependencyof different Markets

International/Global (?)Value added Chain

Page 11: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Forms of Globalization

World Production

World Trade

World Market

World Communication

World InformationEconomy

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 11

Environment

Environmental Consciousness

World Culture

World Society

World Politics

Environmental Crisis

World Standards

Economy

Technique

Ecology

Politics

Page 12: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Speed

Interlinkage

The “new” Globalization

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 12

Interlinkage

Change of Power

Placeless, Timeless

Change of Hierarchy

Page 13: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Index

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 13

Konjunkturforschungsstelle ETH Zürichhttp://globalization.kof.ethz.ch

Page 14: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

What is measured?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 14

Page 15: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

What is measured?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 15

Page 16: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Schwellenländer (BRICS)

Multinationale Unternehmen

What is measured?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 16

Multinationale Unternehmen

Supranationale Organisationen

Internationale KMU und NGO´s

Kapitaleigentümer (>1Mrd. US$)

Page 17: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Degree - World

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 17

Page 18: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 18

Page 19: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Degree - World

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 19

Page 20: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization - Top 15

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 20

Page 21: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization - Last 15

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 21

Page 22: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Index total: Nr. 15

Economical Globalization: Nr. 40

Globalization Degree - Germany

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 22

Economical Globalization: Nr. 40

Social Globalization: Nr. 16

Political Globalization: Nr. 6

Page 23: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Degree - Germany

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 23

Page 24: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Degree - ComparisonUSA - Germany

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 24

Page 25: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization Degree - ComparisonJapan - Germany

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 25

Page 26: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Summary

What is Globalization?Forms of Globalization

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 26

Forms of GlobalizationGlobalization IndexWhat is measured?Globalization Degree WorldIndex: Top 15 - Last 15Globalization Degree Germany, USA, Japan

Page 27: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Content

1. Globalization - What is that?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 27

1. Globalization - What is that?

2. Globalization - Who makes it?

3. Globalization - Designable?!

Page 28: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Economy

Player of the Globalization

Nations

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 28

Economy

Technique

Ecology

Politics

Enterprises

Nations

Individuals

Page 29: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

USA

Japan

Old Player

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 29

Japan

G7, G8, G12

Old vs. New Europe

United Nations (Council)

Page 30: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Emerging Countries (BRICS)

Global Cities and Regions

New Player

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 30

Global Cities and Regions

Multinational Enterprises (MNE)

Supranational Organizations

International SME and NGO´s

Capital Owner (>1Billion US$)

Page 31: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

BRICS - Status Quo

Brazil:MaterialsResources

China:FactoryWorkshop

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 31

Resources

India:GenericProductsSoftware

Russia:Crude Oiland NaturalGasoline

Workshopof the World

Page 32: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

AT

TA

C

Quantitative Dimensions

EURUS

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 32

AT

TA

C

SM

ENGO´s

LA

ASEAN

USA

IMF

MNE

JAPAN

CHINAWTO

Page 33: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

AT

TA

C

EURUS

EnvironmentEnvironmentNNRESSOURCECONFLICTS

RESSOURCECONFLICTS

+ Qualitative Dimensions

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 33

AT

TA

C

SM

ENGO´s

LA

ASEAN

USA

IMF

MNE

JAPAN

CHINAWTO

Global CitiesGlobal Cities

SS

CAPITALCAPITAL

ABC-WeaponsABC-Weapons

Page 34: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Summary

Player of the GlobalizationOld Player

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 34

Old PlayerNew PlayerEmerging Countries (BRICS)Quantitative DimensionsQualitative Dimensions„Globalization Accelerators“

Page 35: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Content

1. Globalization - What is that?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 35

1. Globalization - What is that?

2. Globalization - Who makes it?

3. Globalization - Designable?!

Page 36: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Solutions

1993 Wien – World Human Rights

1992 Rio – World Eco Conference

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 36

1998 to 2007 Follow Up Conf.

1997 Kyoto – World Climate

1993 Wien – World Human Rights

1994 Cairo – World Population

1995 Copenhagen – World Social

1995 Peking – World Women C.

Page 37: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Global Player (Transnationality Index)

Small/Medium Enterprises (SME)

New Player - Enterprises

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 37

Small/Medium Enterprises (SME)

Hidden Champions

International SME

Grown Global SME

„Born Globals“(Export orientated)

Page 38: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

High

LeadershipSetting UpEnterprise

Going Global - Strategies

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 38

Level of Needs Ressources

Possibility of Control

Low

HochLow

Cooperation

Representation

EnterpriseMerger & Acquisitions

Joint Venture

Franchising LicensingExport

Page 39: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Going Global - Strategies

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 39

Page 40: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Internationalization

Globalization

Globalization Branch Luxury

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 40

Globalization

Value Added Chain and(Sourcing, Production, Sales)

other Areas of Operation (HR, F)

Glocalisation (Adaptation/Innovation)

Global Concentration

Page 41: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Challenges I

Management Employee

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 41

Organization Finance

Globalization

Page 42: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Challenges II

Reform People

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 42

Stability Innovation

Globalization

Page 43: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

More Globalization

Countries/Players

Globalization - even more?!

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 43

Countries/Players

Distribution/Deregulation

Global Competition:

Work, Ground, Capital

Knowledge and Innovation

Page 44: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Globalization - even more?!

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 44

Page 45: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

„Achieving States“

Goals:

The Asiatic Century ?!

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 45

Goals:

Development

Human Resources

Welfare

„Important Role/World“

Page 46: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Chances in the Future?!

44.500

35.000

The Economies in 2050

GDP ( Basis 2003 in Billion US$)

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 46

3.500 3.300 2.700 2.000

35.000

27.500

6.500 6.000 5.500

Chi

na

USA

Indi

en

Japa

nBra

silie

nR

ussl

and

UK

Deu

tsch

land

Frank

reic

h

Italie

n

Quelle: Goldman Sachs, 2003

GDP ( Basis 2003 in Billion US$)

Page 47: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

70.000

80.000

90.000

Development GDP - BRICS

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 47

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

70.000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

BRICs

G6

Quelle: Goldman Sachs, 2003

GDP (in Billion. US$)

Page 48: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Super Power

Unilateralism

The American Dream

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 48

Unilateralism

Liberal Empire

Enemy Projection

Values = Security

Missionary Task

World built after US-Values

Page 49: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Global Responsibility

Civil Society

The European Dream

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 49

Civil Society

Peace and Freedom

Sustainability

Human Rights

Welfare State

Page 50: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Glocalisation

“Second modernity ”

Chances and Risks

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 50

“Second modernity ”

Instability/Conflicts

Ecological Questions

Democracy/Welfare

Income Distribution

Page 51: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Global SolutionsGoing Global Strategies (SME)

Summary

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 51

Going Global Strategies (SME)Challenges I + IIThe Asiatic CenturyChances in the FutureThe American DreamThe European DreamChances and Risks

Page 52: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Summary

1. Globalization - What is that?

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 52

1. Globalization - What is that?

2. Globalization - Who makes it?

3. Globalization - Designable!?

Page 53: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Thank you very much

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 53

Thank you very much

for your attention

Page 54: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Success -

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 54

Success -

in your global future!

Page 55: Globalization 572010 [Kompatibilitätsmodus] · Solutions 1993 Wien – World Human Rights 1992 Rio – World Eco Conference Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller

Sources� Stehr, C. (2003): Stehr, Christopher, Globalisierung und Destabilisierungstendenzen

innerhalb des Internationalen Systems: eine Indikatorenanalyse für ausgewählte Nationalstaaten, Berlin, 2003.

Globalization University Ulm ISP 05.07.2010 Melanie Hiller 55