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The Gramercy Club Cooperative
~Valuation & Settlement~
Opportunity Advisors, LLC
The Gramercy Cooperative Club of Edina
VALUATION
SETTLEMENTISSUES
STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION
SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL
VALUATION
SETTLEMENTISSUES
SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL
STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION
Model Format: Discounted cash flow model Buy units today Sell units over time Factor in selling costs, carry costs Solve for value based on required return
VALUATION MODEL
Assumptions: 90 units (128,250 total square feet) purchased 1,425 average square feet per unit Sell all units over 48 month period Gross sales price: $158 psf ($225,000 per unit) Selling costs: 8.2% of gross sales price Capex: $4,275 per unit Taxes: ~$300 per unit per month Dues: ~$500 per unit per month Property management fees: ~$10,700 per month Required investor IRR: 24%
VALUATION MODEL
Original sales price of ~ $253 per square foot (~$240 psf adjusting for
upgrades)
Sales Price Considerations: General market decline
VALUATION MODEL
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
Jan-
07
Jan-
08
Jan-
09
Jan-
10100
120
140
160
180
200
MSPUS
MSP 29%
US 29%
Source: Standard & Poor’s
S&P / CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICE INDEX
Original sales price of ~ $253 per square foot (~$240 psf adjusting for upgrades)
Sales Price Considerations: General market decline Tarnished project image Suburban Condo Large unit size Rentals Re-sales Last 10 units
Updated sales price of ~$158 per square foot Decline of 34%
VALUATION MODEL
Conclusion: Assumptions dictate a bulk purchase price of
~$10,000,000
Assumes: • Taxes current• Conversion to condominiums• Adequate reserves• Standard basket of declarant rights
VALUATION MODEL
SKYSCAPE vs. GRAMERCY
LocationDemographic
Image
SKYSCAPE EXPERIENCE
SkyscapeMinneapolis, MN
Purchased 72 units in January of 2010
Bought in bulk at 45% discount to current prices
Sellers were BofA and Wells Fargo
SUMMERCREST vs. GRAMERCY
LocationDemographic
Image
Just bought a unit at $88 psf
SUMMERCRESET EXPERIENCE
STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION
VALUATION
SETTLEMENTISSUES
SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL
Time value of moneyHuge and continuing legal feesEliminate continuing risks
Collateral value Litigation risks
SETTLEMENT – WHY SETTLE
A-Banks
B-Banks
Frana (et al)
Resident owners
SETTLEMENT – PRIMARY STAKEHOLDERS
Primary Issues:Treatment of resident ownersSubordination of B-BanksFrana priority
Secondary Issues:Nancy NicholsTitle Insurer
SETTLEMENT – ISSUES
SETTLEMENT – KEY ASSUMPTIONS
Collateral is 90 units90 units valued at ~$10 million in bulk‘A’ Banks’ investment: ~$20 million‘B’ Banks’ investment: ~$4 millionFrana’s services: ~$1.2 million
SETTLEMENT – POSSIBLE SCENARIOS
‘B-Banks’ subordination: Subordination 100% 50% 0%
Frana’s recovery: Recover
$1,200,000 (100%) $600,000 (50%) $0 (0%)
SUMMARY: B-BANKS
FRANA RECOVERY
$0 $600,000 $1,200,000
B-BANKS
% SUBORDINAT
E
Fully subordinate
d 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Half
subordinated 22.7% 21.4% 20.0%
Pari passu 41.7% 39.2% 36.7%
‘B-Banks’ Potential Recovery
SUMMARY: FRANA
Frana’s Potential Recovery
FRANA RECOVERY
$0 $600,000 $1,200,000
B-BANKS
% SUBORDINAT
E
Fully subordinate
d 0.0% 50.0% 100.0%Half
subordinated 0.0% 50.0% 100.0%
Pari passu 0.0% 50.0% 100.0%
SUMMARY: A-BANKS
‘A-Banks’ Potential Recovery
FRANA RECOVERY
$0 $600,000 $1,200,000
B-BANKS
% SUBORDINAT
E
Fully subordinate
d 50.0% 47.0% 44.0%Half
subordinated 45.5% 42.7% 40.0%
Pari passu 41.7% 39.2% 36.7%
VALUATION
SETTLEMENTISSUES
SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL
STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION
?
??
A-BanksB-BanksFrana
How do we split up the pie?
SETTLEMENT – PRIMARY QUESTION
Resident owners36 unit holders retain units, butAgree to:
Conversion to condominiums Per unit assessment at $7,500 Declarant rights for purchaser
SETTLEMENT PROPOSAL
Frana receives: 50% on amount owing
B-Banks receive: 50% treatment as an ‘A-Bank’
Title insurer pays $250,000
Nancy Nichols pays $250,000
SETTLEMENT PROPOSAL
Assuming: $10mm pie Frana owed $1.2mm A-Banks owed $20mm B-Banks owed $4mm
Frana gets $600,000 (50% on amount owed) A-Banks get $8,636,364 (43.2% on amount owed) B-Banks get $863,636 (21.6% on amount owed)
SETTLEMENT PROPOSAL
All stakeholders allowed to participate as investors, at their option, on same terms as our partners
Up to $5mm in aggregateAllocated, if necessary, based on original
participation amount
PARTICIPATION
10% preferred return80/20 profit split until 15% IRR70/30 profit split thereafter
PARTICIPATION
If you agree, then: Indicate leadership support Get constituency support Enter into agreements to sell interests to Opportunity
Advisors Close in 30 days
Opportunity Advisors will lead process
IMPLEMENTATION
The Gramercy Club Cooperative
~Valuation & Settlement~
Opportunity Advisors, LLC