32
The Gramercy Club Cooperative ~Valuation & Settlement ~ Opportunity Advisors, LLC

Gramercy Settlement

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Gramercy Settlement

The Gramercy Club Cooperative

~Valuation & Settlement~

Opportunity Advisors, LLC

Page 2: Gramercy Settlement

The Gramercy Cooperative Club of Edina

Page 3: Gramercy Settlement

VALUATION

SETTLEMENTISSUES

STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION

SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL

Page 4: Gramercy Settlement

VALUATION

SETTLEMENTISSUES

SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL

STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION

Page 5: Gramercy Settlement

Model Format: Discounted cash flow model Buy units today Sell units over time Factor in selling costs, carry costs Solve for value based on required return

VALUATION MODEL

Page 6: Gramercy Settlement

Assumptions: 90 units (128,250 total square feet) purchased 1,425 average square feet per unit Sell all units over 48 month period Gross sales price: $158 psf ($225,000 per unit) Selling costs: 8.2% of gross sales price Capex: $4,275 per unit Taxes: ~$300 per unit per month Dues: ~$500 per unit per month Property management fees: ~$10,700 per month Required investor IRR: 24%

VALUATION MODEL

Page 7: Gramercy Settlement

Original sales price of ~ $253 per square foot (~$240 psf adjusting for

upgrades)

Sales Price Considerations: General market decline

VALUATION MODEL

Page 8: Gramercy Settlement

Jan-

00

Jan-

01

Jan-

02

Jan-

03

Jan-

04

Jan-

05

Jan-

06

Jan-

07

Jan-

08

Jan-

09

Jan-

10100

120

140

160

180

200

MSPUS

MSP 29%

US 29%

Source: Standard & Poor’s

S&P / CASE-SHILLER HOME PRICE INDEX

Page 9: Gramercy Settlement

Original sales price of ~ $253 per square foot (~$240 psf adjusting for upgrades)

Sales Price Considerations: General market decline Tarnished project image Suburban Condo Large unit size Rentals Re-sales Last 10 units

Updated sales price of ~$158 per square foot Decline of 34%

VALUATION MODEL

Page 10: Gramercy Settlement

Conclusion: Assumptions dictate a bulk purchase price of

~$10,000,000

Assumes: • Taxes current• Conversion to condominiums• Adequate reserves• Standard basket of declarant rights

VALUATION MODEL

Page 11: Gramercy Settlement

SKYSCAPE vs. GRAMERCY

LocationDemographic

Image

Page 12: Gramercy Settlement

SKYSCAPE EXPERIENCE

SkyscapeMinneapolis, MN

Purchased 72 units in January of 2010

Bought in bulk at 45% discount to current prices

Sellers were BofA and Wells Fargo

Page 13: Gramercy Settlement

SUMMERCREST vs. GRAMERCY

LocationDemographic

Image

Page 14: Gramercy Settlement

Just bought a unit at $88 psf

SUMMERCRESET EXPERIENCE

Page 15: Gramercy Settlement

STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION

VALUATION

SETTLEMENTISSUES

SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL

Page 16: Gramercy Settlement

Time value of moneyHuge and continuing legal feesEliminate continuing risks

Collateral value Litigation risks

SETTLEMENT – WHY SETTLE

Page 17: Gramercy Settlement

A-Banks

B-Banks

Frana (et al)

Resident owners

SETTLEMENT – PRIMARY STAKEHOLDERS

Page 18: Gramercy Settlement

Primary Issues:Treatment of resident ownersSubordination of B-BanksFrana priority

Secondary Issues:Nancy NicholsTitle Insurer

SETTLEMENT – ISSUES

Page 19: Gramercy Settlement

SETTLEMENT – KEY ASSUMPTIONS

Collateral is 90 units90 units valued at ~$10 million in bulk‘A’ Banks’ investment: ~$20 million‘B’ Banks’ investment: ~$4 millionFrana’s services: ~$1.2 million

Page 20: Gramercy Settlement

SETTLEMENT – POSSIBLE SCENARIOS

‘B-Banks’ subordination: Subordination 100% 50% 0%

Frana’s recovery: Recover

$1,200,000 (100%) $600,000 (50%) $0 (0%)

Page 21: Gramercy Settlement

SUMMARY: B-BANKS

   

FRANA RECOVERY

$0 $600,000 $1,200,000

 B-BANKS

% SUBORDINAT

Fully subordinate

d 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%Half

subordinated 22.7% 21.4% 20.0%

Pari passu 41.7% 39.2% 36.7%

‘B-Banks’ Potential Recovery

Page 22: Gramercy Settlement

SUMMARY: FRANA

Frana’s Potential Recovery

   

FRANA RECOVERY

$0 $600,000 $1,200,000

 B-BANKS

% SUBORDINAT

Fully subordinate

d 0.0% 50.0% 100.0%Half

subordinated 0.0% 50.0% 100.0%

Pari passu 0.0% 50.0% 100.0%

Page 23: Gramercy Settlement

SUMMARY: A-BANKS

‘A-Banks’ Potential Recovery

   

FRANA RECOVERY

$0 $600,000 $1,200,000

 B-BANKS

% SUBORDINAT

Fully subordinate

d 50.0% 47.0% 44.0%Half

subordinated 45.5% 42.7% 40.0%

Pari passu 41.7% 39.2% 36.7%

Page 24: Gramercy Settlement

VALUATION

SETTLEMENTISSUES

SETTLEMENTPROPOSAL

STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATION

Page 25: Gramercy Settlement

?

??

A-BanksB-BanksFrana

How do we split up the pie?

SETTLEMENT – PRIMARY QUESTION

Page 26: Gramercy Settlement

Resident owners36 unit holders retain units, butAgree to:

Conversion to condominiums Per unit assessment at $7,500 Declarant rights for purchaser

SETTLEMENT PROPOSAL

Page 27: Gramercy Settlement

Frana receives: 50% on amount owing

B-Banks receive: 50% treatment as an ‘A-Bank’

Title insurer pays $250,000

Nancy Nichols pays $250,000

SETTLEMENT PROPOSAL

Page 28: Gramercy Settlement

Assuming: $10mm pie Frana owed $1.2mm A-Banks owed $20mm B-Banks owed $4mm

Frana gets $600,000 (50% on amount owed) A-Banks get $8,636,364 (43.2% on amount owed) B-Banks get $863,636 (21.6% on amount owed)

SETTLEMENT PROPOSAL

Page 29: Gramercy Settlement

All stakeholders allowed to participate as investors, at their option, on same terms as our partners

Up to $5mm in aggregateAllocated, if necessary, based on original

participation amount

PARTICIPATION

Page 30: Gramercy Settlement

10% preferred return80/20 profit split until 15% IRR70/30 profit split thereafter

PARTICIPATION

Page 31: Gramercy Settlement

If you agree, then: Indicate leadership support Get constituency support Enter into agreements to sell interests to Opportunity

Advisors Close in 30 days

Opportunity Advisors will lead process

IMPLEMENTATION

Page 32: Gramercy Settlement

The Gramercy Club Cooperative

~Valuation & Settlement~

Opportunity Advisors, LLC