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© 2009 IMD International. Not to be used or reproduced without permission. Greed and Corporate Failure CFA Society of Istanbul, April 15 th 2009 Professor Stewart Hamilton

Greed and Corporate Failure - Societies

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© 2009 IMD International. Not to be used or reproduced without permission.

Greed and Corporate FailureCFA Society of Istanbul, April 15th 2009Professor Stewart Hamilton

Greed and Corporate Failure 2© IMD 2007

The current crisis

Greed and Corporate Failure 3© IMD 2007

We don’t learn……….

“There can be few fields of human endeavour in which history counts for so little as in the world of

finance.”

J K Galbraith “A Short History of Financial Euphoria”

Greed and Corporate Failure 4© IMD 2007

A presentation at IMD twelve years ago………….

Barings BankMetalgesellschaftBankers TrustBCCIMaxwell pensionsNatWest Markets

Kidder PeabodyShowa ShellDaiwa BankSumitomoDeutsch Morgan Grenfell Asset Management

HOW SAFE IS YOUR COMPANY?Lessons from recent financial disasters

Greed and Corporate Failure 5© IMD 2007

The next high profile disasters

Enron WorldComGlobal CrossingTycoTXU EuropeMarconiSwissairParmalat HollingerHealthSouthAsia Pulp and PaperNorthern Rock

SkandiaAllied Irish Bank (Allfirst)AholdHIH AustraliaEquitable LifeAdelphiRefcoABBFannie MaeChina Aviation OilSociété Generale

No public accounting firm has clean hands!

Greed and Corporate Failure 6© IMD 2007

This time around, casualties so far include…………

Bear SternsLehman BrothersWachoviaWashington MutualMerrill LynchFannie Mae & Freddie MacAIGUBSRoyal Bank of ScotlandBradford & BingleyHBOSFortis DexiaHypo Real Estate

Greed and Corporate Failure 7© IMD 2007

Who or what is to blame? The list is long………..

Senior managementBoards & Audit CommitteesExternal AuditorsRegulators (Stock Exchanges & Central Banks)Rating Agencies & analystsPoliticiansVast increase in proprietary trading by banks (their own money at risk)Remuneration packages focused on short term “success”significantly increases risk takingNo penalty for failure

And, above all, GREED

© 2009 IMD International. Not to be used or reproduced without permission.(7000 legal entities in 150+ countries)

© 2009 IMD International. Not to be used or reproduced without permission.

Fannie Mae earnings manipulation

Greed and Corporate Failure 10© IMD 2007

Six Inter-linked Causes of Failure

Ineffectual or ineffective boardsPoor strategic decisionsOverexpansion and ill-judged acquisitionsDominant CEOsGreed, hubris and the desire for powerFailure of internal controls

Greed and Corporate Failure 11© IMD 2007

The Downwards Spiral

Ineffective Board

DISASTER

Trigger

Poor Strategy

Greed, hubrisIll-judged acquisitions Over-expansion

Dominant CEO

Inadequate control environment

Inadequate control environment

Greed and Corporate Failure 12© IMD 2007

Ineffective or ineffectual boards

EnronWorldComSwissairTycoParmalatBaringsFannie Mae

Greed and Corporate Failure 13© IMD 2007

Analysts’ Recommendations

0.2Strong sell

0.7Sell

29.7Hold

35.5Buy

33.9%Strong buy

Survey of 27,700 individual stock recommendations by analystsSource:First Call;Thomson Financial, October 1, 1999Quoted in the Financial Times, 27 October 1999

Greed and Corporate Failure 14© IMD 2007

The role of the Board of Directors in Enron’s collapse

Fiduciary failureHigh risk accountingInappropriate conflicts of interestExtensive undisclosed “off the books” activityExcessive compensationLack of independence

Source: Report of the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigationsof the Committee on Government Affairs, United States Senate July 8, 2002

Greed and Corporate Failure 15© IMD 2007

“RED FLAGS” KNOWN TO ENRON’S BOARD

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

0

JAN-99

MAR-99

MAY-99JUL-99

SEP-99

NOV-99

JAN-00

MAR-00

MAY-00

JUL-00

SEP-00

NOV-00JAN-01

MAR-01

MAY-01

JUL-01

SEP-01

NOV-01

12 3 4

5

6

78

9

10 1112

13

14

15

16

StockPrice

Prepared by U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, May 2002

10 – Fortune article questions Enron’s earnings and accounting11 – Board told 64% of international asset portfolio “Troubled” or “Not

Performing”; 45 million Enron shares at risk in Raptors andWhitewing

12 – Board told of $2.3 billion deficit in market value of Enron’sinternational assets

13 – Fastow sells interest in LJM to Kopper14 – Skilling resigns; Finance Committee told of $6.6 billion in prepays

and FAS 125 transactions15 – Lay defends use of SPEs in online session with employees16 – Finance Committee told of $800 million earnings write-down from

Raptors; Audit Committee told of closed investigation into theWatkins letter

1 – Audit Committee told Enron accounting practices “push limits”2 – Board approves Fastow’s Code of Conduct waiver for LJM13 – Whitewing moved off-balance sheet with $1.5 billion4 – Board approves second Fastow waiver for LJM25 – LJM2 update: “Q41999: 8 days/6 deals/$125 million”;

$2 billion in funds flow to Enron; Board approves Raptor 16 – Executive Committee approves Raptor II7 – “Project Summer” to sell $6 billion in assets fails;

Board approves Raptor III/IV8 – Board approves third Fastow waiver for LJM3; Board told $27

billion in assets off-balance sheet9 – Board told total revenues jump from $40 billion in 1999 to $100

billion in 2000; Audit and Finance Committees review LJMprocedures and FY2000 transactions

Greed and Corporate Failure 16© IMD 2007

A heavy agenda…

Report reviewing Enron’s GAAP compliance and internal controlsReport on adequacy of reserves and related party transactionsReport on disclosure of litigation risksReport on Enron’s 2000 financial statementsDiscussion of revision of Audit & Compliance committee charterReview of 2001 Internal Audit control planReview of policy for communication with analysts Impact of Regulation Fair Disclosure

Enron Audit Committee, 21 February 2001

Greed and Corporate Failure 17© IMD 2007

Internal audit

Board

CEO

Chairman

Senior management

Agenda setting etc.

Fiduciary role, risk appetite, boundaries, strategy review...

Strategy implementation, risk management & control, finance

ShareholdersLegi

slato

rs

External auditors

Rating agencies

Con

sulta

nts

Bankers

Lawyers

Do-gooders

Analysts

Audit Committee

© SH/AM

CompetitorsCustomers

CFO

Greed and Corporate Failure 18© IMD 2007

Rules as a threat to good governance?

“Boards need to ensure that they aremaking the most effective use of limited time

and knowledge in order to achieve their stated objectives rather than simply

complying with the letter of corporate governance codes”

Source: The Chartered Institute of Management Accountants “Enterprise Governance – Getting the Balance Right”

Greed and Corporate Failure 19© IMD 2007

Key lessons

Ethics matter!Manage expectations, not earnings:

Realistic target settingDon’t oversellClear and consistent message

If it looks too good to be true, it probably is!Link remuneration to long term objectivesDo your own homework (due diligence), especially in new areasInvest sufficiently in information and control systems

Greed and Corporate Failure 20© IMD 2007

Recommendations

Separate roles of Chairman and CEODon’t promote CEO to ChairmanImprove role of the audit committeeBreak up “Big Four” audit firmsRe-align executive compensation to longer term targets (more than one!) Increase shareholder participationEnd rating agencies oligopoly

Greed and Corporate Failure 21© IMD 2007

And the underlying lesson again….

“Profit is an opinion, cash is a fact”