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© 2009 IMD International. Not to be used or reproduced without permission.
Greed and Corporate FailureCFA Society of Istanbul, April 15th 2009Professor Stewart Hamilton
Greed and Corporate Failure 3© IMD 2007
We don’t learn……….
“There can be few fields of human endeavour in which history counts for so little as in the world of
finance.”
J K Galbraith “A Short History of Financial Euphoria”
Greed and Corporate Failure 4© IMD 2007
A presentation at IMD twelve years ago………….
Barings BankMetalgesellschaftBankers TrustBCCIMaxwell pensionsNatWest Markets
Kidder PeabodyShowa ShellDaiwa BankSumitomoDeutsch Morgan Grenfell Asset Management
HOW SAFE IS YOUR COMPANY?Lessons from recent financial disasters
Greed and Corporate Failure 5© IMD 2007
The next high profile disasters
Enron WorldComGlobal CrossingTycoTXU EuropeMarconiSwissairParmalat HollingerHealthSouthAsia Pulp and PaperNorthern Rock
SkandiaAllied Irish Bank (Allfirst)AholdHIH AustraliaEquitable LifeAdelphiRefcoABBFannie MaeChina Aviation OilSociété Generale
No public accounting firm has clean hands!
Greed and Corporate Failure 6© IMD 2007
This time around, casualties so far include…………
Bear SternsLehman BrothersWachoviaWashington MutualMerrill LynchFannie Mae & Freddie MacAIGUBSRoyal Bank of ScotlandBradford & BingleyHBOSFortis DexiaHypo Real Estate
Greed and Corporate Failure 7© IMD 2007
Who or what is to blame? The list is long………..
Senior managementBoards & Audit CommitteesExternal AuditorsRegulators (Stock Exchanges & Central Banks)Rating Agencies & analystsPoliticiansVast increase in proprietary trading by banks (their own money at risk)Remuneration packages focused on short term “success”significantly increases risk takingNo penalty for failure
And, above all, GREED
© 2009 IMD International. Not to be used or reproduced without permission.(7000 legal entities in 150+ countries)
© 2009 IMD International. Not to be used or reproduced without permission.
Fannie Mae earnings manipulation
Greed and Corporate Failure 10© IMD 2007
Six Inter-linked Causes of Failure
Ineffectual or ineffective boardsPoor strategic decisionsOverexpansion and ill-judged acquisitionsDominant CEOsGreed, hubris and the desire for powerFailure of internal controls
Greed and Corporate Failure 11© IMD 2007
The Downwards Spiral
Ineffective Board
DISASTER
Trigger
Poor Strategy
Greed, hubrisIll-judged acquisitions Over-expansion
Dominant CEO
Inadequate control environment
Inadequate control environment
Greed and Corporate Failure 12© IMD 2007
Ineffective or ineffectual boards
EnronWorldComSwissairTycoParmalatBaringsFannie Mae
Greed and Corporate Failure 13© IMD 2007
Analysts’ Recommendations
0.2Strong sell
0.7Sell
29.7Hold
35.5Buy
33.9%Strong buy
Survey of 27,700 individual stock recommendations by analystsSource:First Call;Thomson Financial, October 1, 1999Quoted in the Financial Times, 27 October 1999
Greed and Corporate Failure 14© IMD 2007
The role of the Board of Directors in Enron’s collapse
Fiduciary failureHigh risk accountingInappropriate conflicts of interestExtensive undisclosed “off the books” activityExcessive compensationLack of independence
Source: Report of the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigationsof the Committee on Government Affairs, United States Senate July 8, 2002
Greed and Corporate Failure 15© IMD 2007
“RED FLAGS” KNOWN TO ENRON’S BOARD
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
0
JAN-99
MAR-99
MAY-99JUL-99
SEP-99
NOV-99
JAN-00
MAR-00
MAY-00
JUL-00
SEP-00
NOV-00JAN-01
MAR-01
MAY-01
JUL-01
SEP-01
NOV-01
12 3 4
5
6
78
9
10 1112
13
14
15
16
StockPrice
Prepared by U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, May 2002
10 – Fortune article questions Enron’s earnings and accounting11 – Board told 64% of international asset portfolio “Troubled” or “Not
Performing”; 45 million Enron shares at risk in Raptors andWhitewing
12 – Board told of $2.3 billion deficit in market value of Enron’sinternational assets
13 – Fastow sells interest in LJM to Kopper14 – Skilling resigns; Finance Committee told of $6.6 billion in prepays
and FAS 125 transactions15 – Lay defends use of SPEs in online session with employees16 – Finance Committee told of $800 million earnings write-down from
Raptors; Audit Committee told of closed investigation into theWatkins letter
1 – Audit Committee told Enron accounting practices “push limits”2 – Board approves Fastow’s Code of Conduct waiver for LJM13 – Whitewing moved off-balance sheet with $1.5 billion4 – Board approves second Fastow waiver for LJM25 – LJM2 update: “Q41999: 8 days/6 deals/$125 million”;
$2 billion in funds flow to Enron; Board approves Raptor 16 – Executive Committee approves Raptor II7 – “Project Summer” to sell $6 billion in assets fails;
Board approves Raptor III/IV8 – Board approves third Fastow waiver for LJM3; Board told $27
billion in assets off-balance sheet9 – Board told total revenues jump from $40 billion in 1999 to $100
billion in 2000; Audit and Finance Committees review LJMprocedures and FY2000 transactions
Greed and Corporate Failure 16© IMD 2007
A heavy agenda…
Report reviewing Enron’s GAAP compliance and internal controlsReport on adequacy of reserves and related party transactionsReport on disclosure of litigation risksReport on Enron’s 2000 financial statementsDiscussion of revision of Audit & Compliance committee charterReview of 2001 Internal Audit control planReview of policy for communication with analysts Impact of Regulation Fair Disclosure
Enron Audit Committee, 21 February 2001
Greed and Corporate Failure 17© IMD 2007
Internal audit
Board
CEO
Chairman
Senior management
Agenda setting etc.
Fiduciary role, risk appetite, boundaries, strategy review...
Strategy implementation, risk management & control, finance
ShareholdersLegi
slato
rs
External auditors
Rating agencies
Con
sulta
nts
Bankers
Lawyers
Do-gooders
Analysts
Audit Committee
© SH/AM
CompetitorsCustomers
CFO
Greed and Corporate Failure 18© IMD 2007
Rules as a threat to good governance?
“Boards need to ensure that they aremaking the most effective use of limited time
and knowledge in order to achieve their stated objectives rather than simply
complying with the letter of corporate governance codes”
Source: The Chartered Institute of Management Accountants “Enterprise Governance – Getting the Balance Right”
Greed and Corporate Failure 19© IMD 2007
Key lessons
Ethics matter!Manage expectations, not earnings:
Realistic target settingDon’t oversellClear and consistent message
If it looks too good to be true, it probably is!Link remuneration to long term objectivesDo your own homework (due diligence), especially in new areasInvest sufficiently in information and control systems
Greed and Corporate Failure 20© IMD 2007
Recommendations
Separate roles of Chairman and CEODon’t promote CEO to ChairmanImprove role of the audit committeeBreak up “Big Four” audit firmsRe-align executive compensation to longer term targets (more than one!) Increase shareholder participationEnd rating agencies oligopoly