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Guadalupe River Small Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Tributaries Loading Study: Study: Do we continue? Do we continue? If so How!! If so How!! Lester McKee Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary Institute Item #3b

Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

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Page 1: Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

Guadalupe River Small Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Tributaries Loading Study:

Do we continue?Do we continue?If so How!!If so How!!

Lester McKeeLester McKeeSan Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA

San Francisco Estuary Institute

Item #3b

Page 2: Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

Sediment Load Variability in the Bay Area

y = 4.8675x1.3789

R2 = 0.904

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

1 10 100 1000

Flow variability (Dimensionless)

Se

dim

en

t lo

ad

va

ria

bili

ty (

Dim

en

sio

nle

ss)

Page 3: Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

Sediment Load Variability in the Bay Area

y = 4.8675x1.3789

R2 = 0.904

1

10

100

1000

10000

100000

1 10 100 1000

Flow variability (Dimensionless)

Se

dim

en

t lo

ad

va

ria

bili

ty (

Dim

en

sio

nle

ss)

Guadalupe sediment load variationpredicted to be 2,300x

Page 4: Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

Rainfall Intensity Hypothesis

Hg (mg/kg)

Page 5: Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

Measured Hg Loads Variation

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2003 2004 2005

Water Year

To

tal M

ercu

ry (

kg)

Page 6: Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

Estimated Hg Load Variability

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

10000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

Years of Averaging

Min

imu

m a

nd

Ma

xim

um

Lo

ad

(kg

)

Page 7: Guadalupe River Small Tributaries Loading Study: Do we continue? If so How!! Lester McKee San Francisco Estuary Institute, Oakland, CA San Francisco Estuary

Options for Continuation(see word document for details)

• Option 1: Discontinue– $0k

• Option 2: Continue Status Quo– $80k per year (local sponsor) + $50k per year (RMP) = $130k/y

• Option 3: Large Floods Only – Falling Stage– $35k per year (USGS) (every year ongoing)– $15k (SFEI labor) + $10k (Hg lab analysis) only when a large

flood occurs = $25k– $140k full study every 5 years (next time would be in water year

2011)