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GYODER GÖSTERGE INDICATOR Turkey Real Estate Sector 2019 2 nd Quarter Report - Issue: 17 Sponsored by

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Page 1: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

GYODER GÖSTERGE

INDICATORTurkey Real Estate Sector 20192nd Quarter Report - Issue: 17

Sponsored by

Page 2: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

GYODER INDICATOR, TURKEY REAL ESTATE SECTOR 2019 Q2 REPORTIssue:17, 28 Aug 2019

EDITORIAL COORDINATIONNeşecan Çekici, Vice Chairman of GYODER

Prof. Ali Hepşen, Training, Publications, Information Production Committee Chairman Murat Berberoğlu, PhD, GYODER Secretary General

CONTENT PROVIDER INSTITUTIONS Council of Shopping Centers

Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions

EndeksaEpos Property Consulting and Valuation Plc.

EVA Real Estate Appraisal ConsultancyGaranti Mortgage

İTÜ Urban and Environmental Planning and Research Center JLL Turkey

Public Disclosure PlatformCentral Securities Depository Institution

REIDINServotel Corporation

SMR STRATEGY Strategy, Management, ResearchTSKB Real Estate Appraisal

EDITORIAL CONSULTANTS Prof. Emre Alkin, Altınbaş University Vice Chancellor

Prof. Ali Hepşen, Istanbul University, Faculty of Management, Department of Finance, Academic Member

EDITORŞeyma Şehirli

CORPORATE COMMUNICATION AND DATA COORDINATION Sinem Tekin, GYODER Corporate Communications Coordinator

GRAPHIC DESIGNMint Creative House

This publication belongs to

PUBLISHING SPONSOR

Please do not cite without making reference. All rights reserved. 2019

Disclaimer: The GYODER Indicator Report is prepared to inform all segments of the real estate sector. All data are taken from sources believed to be reliable by GYODER Real Estate Research and Report Generation Committee. The prices, data and information contained herein can not be guaranteed to be proper

and accurate. The report does not aim to create a basis for any investment decision. GYODER and the institutions contributing to the report are not responsible for any errors that may arise due to the use of this source. The contents of the report may be changed without prior notice.

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PRESENTATION AND EVALUATION

Page 4: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

The fact that the problems concerning global growth become a current issue again has accelerated the decision makers’ efforts in this regard. During the period since the 2008 crisis, the absence of a powerful economic performance in developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing countries being affected by their own structural problems, particularly the trade wars, have set off the alarm bells for the world economy.

According to the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) latest World Economic Outlook report published in Washington in July, it has downgraded the global growth outlook for 2019 and 2020 - currently the lowest level since the financial crisis. Warning that possible policy actions and missteps in global trade and Brexit-related issues may have a debilitating effect on the predicted economic leap, the organization has forecasted the global growth at 3.2 percent and 3.5 in 2019 and 2020, respectively. Such forecasts have been decreased by 0.1 percent compared to the April 2019 outlook report. IMF’s forecast for this year has been reduced several times and the global growth was projected to reach 3.9 percent in 2019. It is also remarkable that a global growth to realize at 3.3 percent or less is the weakest growth since 2009.

Keynesian approaches, which have been tried since the 1929 crash until today against the weakening world growth, have come on the agenda again and a period has started where central banks resort to lower interest rates in order to stimulate the economy. On the other hand, uncertainties led by economic and social processes around the world and the distinction seen in policy makers have been affecting both the demand-side and supply-side decision-making processes.

It is inevitable that the global economic situation that we have summarized above will have an effect on the real estate and particularly the housing sector. As of 2018, the housing markets of developed countries started to lose power. Nonetheless, the global housing index (according to

It is noteworthy that Turkey’s GDP grew by 2.6% as of the end of 2018 compared to the previous year, while its growth was negative in the second half of the year. The decline started in the second half of 2018 continued and according to the 2019 Q1 data, 2.6% decrease was recorded compared to the same quarter of the previous year. When the activities constituting Gross Domestic Product are examined, the total added value of the agriculture sector as the chained volume index in the first quarter of 2019 increased by 2.5%, while the industrial sector and construction sector decreased by 4.3% and 10.9%, respectively.

The high correlation between the construction sector and macro growth enables high rate of growth in times when the interest rates and input costs are low and in contrary cases this correlation emerges as economic recession. The construction turnover indices regressed at the end of 2018 and in the first quarter of 2019 show that the sector’s production and employment processes are affected negatively. However, both the introduction of interest rate cuts in the world and macroeconomic measures and the balancing process in the markets can be considered as the leading indicators that the construction sector may progress to a better point towards the end of the year.

Global Outlook and Turkey Overview

Turkey’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Fell by 2.6 percent in 2019 Q1

IMF data) continues to increase gradually above the highest level seen in 2006. According to the IMF study, Turkey is the country where housing real prices fell the most as of the last quarter of 2018. The rapid appreciation of foreign currency, high rate of inflation and the consumer demand cuts due to various expectations seem to be effectual in this process.

The fact that urbanization has reached a certain level of saturation in developed countries, and that this trend continues in developing countries, is considered critical for the global construction sector.

Presentation And Evaluation 4

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When the housing sales figures are examined, which is one of the important indicators of the real estate sector, it is observed that the trend has been constant to a certain extent despite all kinds of fluctuations. Housing sales reached 1.157.190 units in 2013, 1.165.381 units in 2014 and continued to increase in 2015 and reached 1.289.320 units. In 2016, despite Turkey’s internal systematic risks and the global issues, this figure increased to 1.341.453, pointing to a new record. In 2017, the number of housing sales was 1.409.314, while in 2018 such figure was 1.375.398.

In the first half of 2018, 646 thousand houses were sold, while in the first half of 2019, the number of housing sales was recorded as 505 thousand 796. In this decline of approximately 22%, the 59% decrease in mortgaged sales encountered in the same period was effective.

Following the regulation made on the sales of real estates to ‘foreign nationals’ in 2012, a severe interest in the foreigners has emerged mostly towards the houses in addition to other types of real estates. After this regulation for the real estate purchases of the foreign national real and legal persons, the interest of the foreigners increased and it seems to reach its peak with the granting of citizenship and residential permits.

Between the years 2011 and 2018, foreign investors purchased nearly US$ 29 billion worth of real properties from our country and earned us foreign exchanges. In 2015, 22.830 foreigners bought real properties, in 2016 this figure fell to 18.189 and in 2017 with the increasing interest, the figure rose to 22.234 again and it rapidly increased to 39.663 in 2018. Similar upward trend continued in the first half of 2019 as well.

Between January and June 2019, the number of housing sales to foreign nationals reached approximately 20 thousand and achieved an increase of 69% compared to the same period of the previous year. With the limit reduction to US$ 250 thousand in the regulation on citizenship and the appreciation in foreign currency seem to have increased the interest of foreigners even further.

Contraction in Housing Sales Continues

In these times where Turkey’s economy is in search of a new balance, all sectors, construction and real estate sectors being in the first place, had better focus on the concepts of ‘sustainable profitability and risk management’.

Important points of the agenda for the sector as of the first half of 2019 can be summarized as follows:

1. Immediate launch of alternative financing tools both for the contractors and consumers,

2. Making the required regulations on the legislation related with the securitization for enabling long term financing,

3. Building a market under the auspices of BIST where ‘real estates and real estate rights’ could be traded,

4. Adopting ‘import substitution’ production method for decreasing the construction costs,

5. The Emlak Bank’s becoming a ‘market builder’ in mortgage banking that provides long term loans similar to those in foreign countries,

6. Formation of structures related with ‘institutional risk’ management by the construction and housing companies, and the obligation for the companies with a certain business volume to acquire consultancy services,

7. Establishment of a promotion platform by the leading non-governmental organizations and actors of the sector for sales to foreigners under the coordination of the Ministry of Environment and Urbanization,

8. Relaunch of Amnesty on Reconstruction/Housing practice and granting this right at the first stage to individuals and institutions who have failed to apply, and using some of the resources to be obtained in this way for the national real estate promotion platform mentioned above,

Presentation And Evaluation 5

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9. Developing possible solutions by exchanging views more frequently between professional organizations and regulatory bodies,

10. Initiating to provide funds by both public and private sectors with the securities and funds to be developed along with the sales of immoveable properties.

Presentation And Evaluation

Sincerely yours,GYODER Training, Publications and

Information Production Committee

6

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EXPERT OPINION

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ON SECTOR’S FUTURE… Imbalance in the supply demand equilibrium is the greatest threat against an effectively functioning market. Especially the regression in the economic conditions (the stagnation in the income level of the household or the high level of loan costs) regarding the demand creates problems; however recovery in demand is possible depending on the improvement of conditions.

Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) slashed the policy interest rate by 425 basis points from 24 percent to 19.75 percent at the meeting dated July 25 and the decrease seen in the loan costs as a result revealed the expectation of recovery in demand and economic growth. When evaluated in terms of real estate sector, a critical threshold regarding the expectations has been passed. On the other hand, real estate production is different from the production of other goods and services and it extends to a rather longer period of time. It has to be conducted in line with a realistic financial planning. The excess supply that will emerge in the market after the completion of the production at the same time signals a loss due to the taxes that cannot be collected by the public administration. The supply should be scrutinized in line with a proper and realistic planning. If a possibility of a potential surplus in the region arises then it should not be allowed and severe and regulatory approach should

Decrease in Loan Rates will increase Real Estate Sales

Data Accessibility on Real Estate Sector should be increased

be assumed to this end. In fact, planning is essential in order to achieve the aforementioned and accordingly measurement is required for planning. Nothing is yours that cannot be measured; thus it would not be possible to make a plan on its future.

Our world has been surrounded with innovation and digitalization since the 2000s and more data is generated and accumulated every day. Considering this fact, it is of vital importance for the sector to adopt measures immediately regarding this issue that will certainly continue to proceed with such pace. This indicates the collection of all data sources and data types related with the real estate sector in minimum number of platforms and standards and their management allowing access to everyone. Adoption of all essential and critical modelling by the relevant institutions and associations will pave the way to the estimation activities that are required by the sector, shedding light to the future within a transparent and accessible data market. This is a deep and crucial subject and it will contribute to key suggestions and solutions towards a wide variety of issues from improvement areas to pricing modelling, from housing to agricultural areas, from shopping malls to commercial settlements. Being aware of the importance of the data, GYODER has been taking firm steps to this end and guiding the players of the sector with the reports it prepares.

Expert Opinion8

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Prof. Ali HepşenIstanbul University, Faculty of Management, Department of Finance, Academic Member

Cash Credit Volume Issued to the Construction Sector Topped to TRY 224 Billion as of the end of June

When the data provided within the scope of the monthly bulletin published by the Banking Supervision and Regulation Agency is examined, it is seen that the cash credit volume issued to the construction sector reached TRY 224 billion (TRY 47 billion of short term loans; TRY 177 billion of medium and long term loans) as of the end of June. The volume of non-performing credits was around TRY 15 billion and the ratio of non-performance is 6.69% (general average of all sectors 4.57%). There is no guarantee that these rates would not rapidly increase under the conditions of regression, and there is always a risk of default. Therefore, proper determination of developers, whether they are real or not, should be made in line with the rules. Similarly, enabling those having equity capital to generate projects in the market instead of developers’ finance model based on demand is essential. On the other hand, under current conditions where the access of financing is shrinking, it should be taken into consideration that the real estate sector should use the capital market instruments more intensely. In fact, critical steps for the integration of real estate and capital markets were taken within the scope of the Capital Market Legislation which became effective in 2012. Implementations such as the real estate investment fund and real estate certificate proved that in addition to merely earning income by owning real estate physically, investors were able to earn income

by investing in capital market instruments based upon real estate. When making projections on the future, one should also highlight the deficiencies identified in the past. At this point, the secondary market which was transferred by the Mortgage Law that became effective in 2007 has to be made functional. If the objective is to increase the access to the real estate at its present value, then the appropriate way to achieve this is to render the securitization mechanism and the related mortgage banking implemented in almost all countries’ markets effective. In the countries with developed real estate financing markets, the mortgage banks are merely established for providing and allocating funds for fulfilling the financing requirements of the real estate market. These type of institutions are usually focused on three groups of operations: “collecting and evaluating the mortgaged housing loans of the persons, then issuing them credits by identifying the required funds (Credit Operations); issuance of securities based on mortgaged housing loans by forming loan pools (Securitization Process); collecting the repayment of the mortgaged housing loans and making the principal payments and payments of interest regarding the securities issued (Operations on Loan Services)”. On account of such tasks they perform, the mortgage banks are playing active roles in first hand mortgage markets while contributing to the development and deepening of the second hand mortgage markets. Only when the aforementioned structure is built, a model could be achieved where all income groups may benefit from the access to real estates.

Expert Opinion 9

Page 10: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

15,72-2,6% -10,9% 13,0%

26,20 % 23,40%

914 billion 699 million TRY

$ €20%

15%

5%

10%

2016 2017 2018

24,93% 48.370 sqm

32$ / sqm / month

453 Shopping malls

Under Project 44 shopping malls13 million 444 thousand sqm GLA

164 sqm

311 108

6,35 million sqm10,7 billion $

Average SpendingPer Capita 630 $

Istanbul69,70%

Turkey63,80%

Total Stock10.226.141 sqm

Under Construction2.257.040 sqm

Under Project711.916 sqm

4,6%

2,7%4,4%

-45,87% 2,48138.896 qty 75.183 qty

-9,8% decrease180 billion 338 million TRY

Q1’18 End203.016 qty

Q1’19 End245.819 qty

Q1’19 EndQ1’18 End Q2’18 End

646.032 qty

Q2’19 End

505.796 qty

21,08% -21,71% 68,86%

19.952 qty

Q2’19 End

11.816 qty

Q2’18 End

1,69% 22,23%

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

APR’19

Q2’19END Q2’19

END

Q2’19END

Q2’19

Q2’19

Q2’19

Q2’19

Q2’19 Q2’19Q2’19

Ç2’19

52,941 sqm

JUN’19 JUN’19

JUN’19JUN’19

Q2’19END

Q2’19END

Q2’19END

Number of REITs Trading(Q2’19) 33 unit

REIT Market Value(Jul’19) 17.949,77 million TRY

Transaction Volume (Q2’19 End) 21.925,24 million TRY 2nd

QUA

RTER

AT

A G

LAN

CEMAIN ECONOMIC DATA

HOUSING

SHOPPING MALLS

Annual Growth (TRY) Inflation Unemployment RateConstruction SectorGrowth Rate*

GDP Exchange Rate Increase

*As chain volume index (2009=100)*As chain volume index (2009=100)

Construction Permits Occupancy Permits Housing Sales Housing Sales to Foreigners

Monthly Interest

Compound Interest

New HousingPrice Index Housing Loan

Stock

Total Stock Leasable Area Per 1.000 persons

Turnover Index Visitor Index

LOGISTICS

Vacancy Rates Leasing Transaction Volume

REITs

Ista

nbul

(Eur

ope)

Ista

nbul

(A

sia)

Koca

eli

Total Stock Leasing TransactionVolume

Vacancy Rates

OFFICE

Primary Rent

*Rates of change are given according to the same period of the previous year.

Number of Total Visitors Tourism Revenue Occupancy Rates

TOURISM AND HOTEL

18,07 millionto Turkey

6,77 millionto Istanbul

10 1st Quarter at a Glance

Page 11: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

15,72-2,6% -10,9% 13,0%

26,20 % 23,40%

914 billion 699 million TRY

$ €20%

15%

5%

10%

2016 2017 2018

24,93% 48.370 sqm

32$ / sqm / month

453 Shopping malls

Under Project 44 shopping malls13 million 444 thousand sqm GLA

164 sqm

311 108

6,35 million sqm10,7 billion $

Average SpendingPer Capita 630 $

Istanbul69,70%

Turkey63,80%

Total Stock10.226.141 sqm

Under Construction2.257.040 sqm

Under Project711.916 sqm

4,6%

2,7%4,4%

-45,87% 2,48138.896 qty 75.183 qty

-9,8% decrease180 billion 338 million TRY

Q1’18 End203.016 qty

Q1’19 End245.819 qty

Q1’19 EndQ1’18 End Q2’18 End

646.032 qty

Q2’19 End

505.796 qty

21,08% -21,71% 68,86%

19.952 qty

Q2’19 End

11.816 qty

Q2’18 End

1,69% 22,23%

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

Q1’19END

APR’19

Q2’19END Q2’19

END

Q2’19END

Q2’19

Q2’19

Q2’19

Q2’19

Q2’19 Q2’19Q2’19

Ç2’19

52,941 sqm

JUN’19 JUN’19

JUN’19JUN’19

Q2’19END

Q2’19END

Q2’19END

Number of REITs Trading(Q2’19) 33 unit

REIT Market Value(Jul’19) 17.949,77 million TRY

Transaction Volume (Q2’19 End) 21.925,24 million TRY 2nd

QUA

RTER

AT

A G

LAN

CE

MAIN ECONOMIC DATA

HOUSING

SHOPPING MALLS

Annual Growth (TRY) Inflation Unemployment RateConstruction SectorGrowth Rate*

GDP Exchange Rate Increase

*As chain volume index (2009=100)*As chain volume index (2009=100)

Construction Permits Occupancy Permits Housing Sales Housing Sales to Foreigners

Monthly Interest

Compound Interest

New HousingPrice Index Housing Loan

Stock

Total Stock Leasable Area Per 1.000 persons

Turnover Index Visitor Index

LOGISTICS

Vacancy Rates Leasing Transaction Volume

REITs

Ista

nbul

(Eur

ope)

Ista

nbul

(A

sia)

Koca

eli

Total Stock Leasing TransactionVolume

Vacancy Rates

OFFICE

Primary Rent

*Rates of change are given according to the same period of the previous year.

Number of Total Visitors Tourism Revenue Occupancy Rates

TOURISM AND HOTEL

18,07 millionto Turkey

6,77 millionto Istanbul

111st Quarter at a Glance

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MAIN ECONOMICDATA

Page 13: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Gross domestic product contracted by 2.6% on an annual basis in the first quarter of 2019. The contractionary effect of the slowdown in domestic demand as a result of the depreciation of TRY and the tightening in financial conditions in the second half of 2018 continued in the first quarter of 2019. On the other hand, a partial recovery was achieved as a result of the balancing of the financial markets in the first quarter, the decline in exchange rate volatility and the recovery in commercial loans. During this period, the ongoing decline in household consumption and investments was tried to be compensated by public expenditures and net export performance. However, the tightening in the financial situation and the increasing risk premium after April was felt during the second quarter. The recovery trend in industrial activities that started at the end of the first quarter slowed down during this period. The industrial activities that contracted by 4.7% on an annual basis in the first quarter of the year fell by 1.9% in the first two months of the second quarter.

On the other hand, the manufacturing industry purchasing manager’s index (PMI) rose to 47.9 in June and reached its highest level since July 2018, especially due to the increase in export orders. In this month’s data, the transfer of export orders to the growth area was noteworthy. Despite the partial slowdown signals regarding the global growth recently, especially in the European Union countries, the continuance of relatively strong external demand has been positive in terms of growth dynamics. Due to the slowdown in domestic demand, the tendency of companies towards foreign markets and the market diversification flexibility have supported the merchandise exports, while the effects of lagged exchange rate, loans and the slow progress in economic activities have limited the demand for imports.

The improvement in the external balance continued with the strong progress in tourism. The current account balance had a surplus of US$ 151 million in May and the cumulative current account deficit in the first five months of the year declined to US$ 3.1 billion. The current account balance, excluding gold and energy, recorded a deficit of US$ 1.2 billion in May of the previous year, while a surplus of US$ 3.5 billion was recorded in this month. In the light of the preliminary data of the Ministry of Commerce, it is anticipated that for the first time since 2002, the 12-month cumulative current balance will be positive together with the figures of June.

The consumer inflation in June declined to 15.72%, the lowest level of the last twelve months. The fall in consumer prices was mainly due to by the base effect and the decline in food prices. In addition, the effects of the developments in domestic demand and the monetary tightening supported the decline in inflation. The strong base effect’s downward pressure on inflation in September-October period is expected to have an upward effect on annual inflation in November and partially in December. According to the Central Bank’s Expectation Survey regarding July, it was observed that the inflation expectation in the market fell to 15% by the end of 2019. The monetary policy stance in both developed and developing countries has loosened compared to the previous months. While the interest rate cut cycle started in some developing countries, the markets positioned themselves for the expectation of interest rate cut by the U.S. and European Union central banks in the near future. The CBRT, which maintained its tight monetary stance at the meeting held on June 12 in order to limit the risks on pricing behavior and accelerate the disinflation process, is expected to lower the one-week repo rate below 24% at the July meeting.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)decreased by 2.6%

Main Economic Data 13

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In CPI (2003 = 100), there was an increase of 0.03% in June 2019 compared to the previous month, an increase of 5.01% compared to December 2018, 15.72% compared to the same month of the previous year and 19.88% on the average of 12 months.

Source: TurkStat*Data of Q1*Chain Volume Index (2009=100)

Q1 first estimate of Gross Domestic Product decreased by 2.6% in the first quarter of 2019 compared to the same period of the previous year as the chain volume index (2009 = 100).

GDP estimate by production method was TRY 914 billion 699 million in the first quarter of 2019 with an increase of 16% with current prices.

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Year GDP(million TRY)

Income perCapita (TRY)

GDP(million USD)

Income per Capita (TRY) Growth* (%)

Avarage rate during the

year2014 2.044.466 26.489 933.546 12.112 5,17 2,19

2015 2.338.647 29.899 861.467 11.019 6,09 2,71

2016 2.608.526 32.904 862.744 10.883 3,18 3,02

2017 3.106.537 38.680 851.490 10.602 7,44 3,65

2018 3.700.989 45.463 784.087 9.632 2,57 4,72

2019* 914.699 - 170.364 - -2,62 5,37

9,58 8,787,46 6,57 6,58 7,64

8,79 8,05 7,28 7,16 7,008,53

9,22 10,13

11,29 11,87

11,72 10,909,79 10,68 11,20 11,90

12,98 11,9210,35 10,26

10,23 10,85

12,15 15,39

15,8517,90

24,52 25,24

21,6220,3020,35 19,67 19,71

18,7115,72

19,50

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2016 2017 2018 2019

January February March April May June July August September October November December

Annual Inflation*

Main Economic Data

Gross Domestic Product by Expenditures at Current Prices

Source: TurkStat*Change according to the same month of the previous year

14

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The US Dollar, which closed the first quarter of the year with 5.64, rose to 5.77 in June 2019 and the Euro rose to 6.56 that closed the first quarter with 6.33.

When the housing price increases as well as the increase and return performances of financial investment instruments in the second quarter of 2019 are analyzed, it is observed that there was 11.35% return in Bullion. During this quarter, there were yields on US Dollars and Euro. The deposit interest, which yielded more regular returns to its investors, was higher than the inflation rate in the related period (CPI on quarter basis is 2.69%).

Period TR-81REIDIN*

REIDINGYODER

New HousePrice Index**

DepositRate

BIST 100 Index USD Euro Gold

(Bullion)

Goverment Debt

Securities

Q1’16 3,30 1,8 2,75 8,88 -1,09 0,98 14,86 4,45

Q2’16 1,95 0,41 2,63 0,77 1,66 1,42 6,14 2,38

Q3’16 1,08 -0,41 2,59 -1,31 17,92 10,98 2,63 -2,49

Q4’16 2,34 1,12 2,56 3,53 22 17,47 14,4 -2,44

Q1'17 3,14 1,22 2,55 17,5 4,97 6,35 11,77 2,38

Q2'17 3,08 0,86 2,62 10,27 -4,06 0,84 -1,44 4,46

Q3'17 2,33 1,03 3,03 7,16 -1,26 4,78 2,68 1,61

Q4'17 2,76 0,85 3,08 3,11 10,53 9,78 6,55 -1,84

Q1'18 2,55 0,90 3,18 6,58 1,25 5,51 5,93 2,08

Q2'18 1,73 0,78 3,27 -17,83 19,15 12,82 14,76 -6,29

Q3'18 0,82 0,50 3,79 -0,41 36,84 36,59 28,06 -8,12

Q4'18 0,58 0,77 5,26 -3,81 -16,2 -18,17 -12,18 15,4

Q1’19 0,97 0,27 5,53 9,89 2,72 2,04 7,03 5,81

Q2'19 1,97 0,92 4,79 -7,25 6,40 6,28 11,35 1,81

Q2’18 Q2’19Q3’18 Q4’18Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q1’19

4,14 4,15 4,20 4,40 4,69 4,52 4,68 4,65 4,88 4,90 5,25 5,325,76

7,676,96

6,25 5,88 6,04 6,00 6,07 6,33 6,69 6,54 6,56

3,53 3,45 3,56 3,78 3,96 3,78 3,76 3,80 3,96 4,054,49 4,57 4,90

6,566,00

5,51 5,17 5,27 5,22 5,225,64 5,97 5,87 5,77

1,17 1,20 1,18 1,16 1,18 1,20 1,24 1,22 1,23 1,21 1,17 1,16 1,18 1,17 1,16 1,13 1,14 1,15 1,15 1,16 1,12 1,12 1,11 1,14

0

2

4

6

8

Jun’

17

Jul’1

7

Aug

’17

Sep

’17

Oct

’17

Nov

’17

Dec

’17

Jan’

18

Feb’

18

Mar

’18

Apr

’18

May

’18

Jun’

18

Jul’1

8

Aug

’18

Sep

’18

Oct

’18

Nov

’18

Dec

’18

Jan’

19

Feb’

19

Mar

’19

Apr

’19

May

’19

Jun’

19

EURO/TRY DOLLAR/TRY EURO/DOLLAR

Main Economic Data

Exchange Rate*

Comparison of Investment Instruments (%)

Source: CBRT*By the last day of each month

Source:REIDIN and TurkStat*REIDIN Turkey Residential Property Price Index (81 province average)**REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index is calculated on 70 projects and with a monthly average number of 22.500 properties presented by 34 developers.

15

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Source: The Ministry of Treasury and Finance *Data of April

Source: The Ministry of Treasury and Finance *The end of April data

In April 2019, net direct international investment inflow (actual inflow) was realized as US$ 544 million. In January-April 2019, net direct international investment inflow (actual inflow) was US$ 3 billion 251 million. There was 0.2% increase compared to the same period of 2018 which was US$ 3 billion 245 million.

The number of unemployed of aged 15 and above in overall Turkey in April 2019 increased by 1 million 116 thousand compared to the same period of the previous year and reached 4 million 202 thousand. The unemployment rate rose to 13% with 3.9 points increase.

Feb’18 Mar’18 Apr’18 May’18 Jun’18 Jul’18 Aug’18 Sep'18 Oct’18 Nov’18 Dec'18 Jan’19 Feb’19 Mar’19 Apr’19

10,60 10,10 9,60 9,70 10,20 10,80 11,10 11,40 11,60 12,30 13,50 14,70 14,70 14,10 13,00

2.955

2.0092.686

3.1802.362

2.9413.420

4.440

2.707

5441.061 961 1.087 1.177 1.423

2.2281.470

4210

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19*

1.363 1.258

FDI FDI in Real Estate

13.337

19.274

13.95011.546 12.978

3.245 3.2514.321 4.156 4.643 5.915

1.432 1.8910

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2018* 2019*

3.890

FDI FDI in Real Estate

Foreign Direct Investment Inflow

Foreign Direct Investment (million USD)

Foreign Direct Investment (million USD)

Main Economic Data

Age 15+ Unemployment*

Monthly Average (%)

Source: TurkStat*Labour Force Status (Seasonally-adjusted)

16

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6,508,40

10,30 10,50 10,80 10,60 10,20 10,30 11,00

14,00

11,90

9,80 9,20 9,70 9,90 10,30 10,90 10,90 11,00

468

101214

16

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Annual Average

The population of İstanbul, where 18.4% of the country’s population resides, was recorded as 15.067.724 with an increase of 0.26%. Population growth in metropolitans indicates that the demand for the housing sector will continue to increase.

0500 5001.000 1.0002.000 2.0003.000 3.0001.500 1.5002.500 2.5003.500 3.500

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-89

90+ 41.139.980

40.863.902

82.003.882

The active population rate of 15-64 age group in our country is 67.84% of the total population in 2018. The share of the population aged 65 and over in the total population is 8.76%.

2015 2016 2017 2018Istanbul 14.657 14.804 15.029 15.068

Ankara 5.271 5.347 5.445 5.504

Izmir 4.168 4.224 4.279 4.321

Bursa 2.843 2.901 2.936 2.995

Antalya 2.288 2.329 2.364 2.426

Population Growth in Major Cities (thousand)

Population by Age Group and Gender, 2018

Main Economic Data

Annual Average

Source: TurkStat*Labour Force Status (Seasonally-adjusted)

Source: TurkStat

Source: TurkStat

MaleFemaleTotal

FemaleMale

17

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The construction sector’s share of GDP with production method at current prices on an annual basis was 6.0% in the first quarter of 2019. In 2019 Q1, while the construction sector regressed by 13.1%, the growth rate of real estate activities was 15.6%. In 2019 Q1, GDP increased by 16% compared to the previous year and reached TRY 914 billion 699 million.

Source: TurkStat*Data of Q1**Figures of year 2013 and earlier have been updated.

The Expectation Index rose to 102.5 in the second quarter of 2019 with 3.2% increase and the Confidence Index fell to 57.7 with 3% decrease compared to the previous quarter.

2017

2016

2018

2019

106,0099,30

102,50

106,80

106,50

98,40

108,10

112,40 111,60

103,30

90

100

110

120

67,00

59,50 57,70

69,40

74,30

63,40

71,30 70,00 68,7065,10

50

60

70

80

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

111,20

102,70

90,40 91,50

71,90 73,10

59,30

50,20

ConfidenceIndex

ExpectationIndex

4,6 4,5 4,6 5,3 5,6 6,3 6,8 6,8 5,6 6,1 7,2 7,5 8,1 8,1 8,2 8,6 8,6 7,2 6,0

25,7

42,8

33,0

42,3

21,9

32,6

20,013,7

-17,4

25,9

41,5

17,424,2

13,5 15,1 17,2 19,1

0,1

-13,1

-30-20-10

0102030405060

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

*

Sector Percentages (%) Growth Rate (%)

Share of Construction Received from the GDP by Production Approach at Current Prices

Share in GDP (%) - (on Annual Basis)

Expectation and Confidence Index

Main Economic Data

Source: CBRT

18

Page 19: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

7,8 7,9 7,7 8,0

6,0

8,39,3 9,1 8,48,0 8,3 8,8

6,58,4 8,6 8,5

6,2

02

468

1012

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

5,013,9 12,8

25,1

-13,1

17,2

26,5

12,9 11,514,99,5

31,6

-9,8

21,8 18,7 18,3

-17,0-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

13,3 12,15,5

15,6 15,1 16,3

24,919,2 21,5 20,5 22,2

13,416,013,9

26,5

9,5

18,712,8 12,9

31,6

18,325,1

11,5

-9,8-17,0

-13,1-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19

GSYH Buyume Oranı (%) İnsaat Sektoru Buyume Oranı (%)GDP Growth Rate (%) Construction Sector Growth Rate (%)

Share of Construction Received from the GDP by Production Approach at Current Prices

Share in GDP on Quarter Basis (%)

Construction Sector - National Income Growth Figures Comparison (%)*

Main Economic Data

Growth on Quarter Basis (%)*

Source: TurkStat

Source: TurkStat*Comparison with the same period of the previous year.

Source: TurkStat*Comparison with the same period of the previous year.

19

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HOUSING

Page 21: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

In the second quarter of 2019, house sales decreased by 27.1% compared to the same period of the previous year and recorded as 249.363. The slowdown in the rate of increase in the housing price index and the shrinkage in house sales continued to be discussed in the second quarter of the year.

In the second quarter of 2019, first-hand sales decreased by 38.6% and second-hand sales declined by 17.0% compared to the same period of the previous year. On the other hand, in mortgage sales, there was a decrease of approximately 60.2% on quantity basis compared to the same period of the previous year, while other sales except for mortgage sales fell by 10.9%. According to the data, it is seen that mortgage sales are the reason of shrinkage in demand.

The impact of the contraction in demand on housing prices continued to be seen. According to the CBRT data, the loss of momentum in housing price index increase in the first quarter of the year was also observed in the second quarter of 2019. The annual increase in the housing price index, which was 3.45% as of March, fell to the level of 1.57% in May.

Housing sales to foreigners increased by 58.5% compared to the same period of the previous year. In the second quarter, its share in total sales was recorded as 4.1%. İstanbul ranked first with 44.3% share of housing sales to foreigners and Antalya ranked second with 21.2%.

Number of Houses Sold in the First Half of 2019 is 505.796

Housing 21

Page 22: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

The building permits granted by the municipalities decreased by 42.5% on the basis of number of buildings, 37.7% on the basis of area, 19.8% on the basis of value and 45.9% on the basis of number of apartments in 2019 Q1 compared to the previous year.

The occupancy permits granted by the municipalities increased by 10% on the basis of number of buildings, 29.4% on the basis of area, 66.7% on the basis of value and 21.1% on the basis of number of apartments in 2019 Q1 compared to the previous year.

Year Housing Stock Rate of Change

2013 24.803.909 -

2014 28.252.598 14%

2015 28.727.506 2%

2016 29.340.118 2%

2017 32.802.435 12%

2018 35.040.843 7%

84,4

107,0

44,731,6

44,730,9 39,2

19,737,6 36,5

48,0 39,9 38,0 39,053,4 51,7

020

406080

100120

Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19

Construction permits Occupancy Permits

423,1

527,2

196,2138,9

216,4136,9 162,0

75,2

194,1 183,1251,5

203,0 196,5 199,0274,5 245,8

0100

200300400

500600

Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19

Construction permits Occupancy Permits

Building Permits Statistics and Percantage Changes

Source: TurkStat

Number of Flats (thousands)

Surface Area (million sqm)

Building Inventory Data

Source: TurkStat

Source: TurkStat

Housing22

Page 23: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Housing sales decreased nearly by 21.7% as of the end of 2019 Q2 compared to the same period of the previous year.

FirstSale

Second Hand Sale

TotalSales

MortgagedSales

Q1’16 139.860 163.604 303.464 95.861

Q2’16 152.305 175.030 327.335 105.223

Q3’16 142.585 162.427 305.012 102.297

Q4'16 196.936 208.706 405.642 146.127

2016 Total 631.686 709.767 1.341.453 449.508

Q1'17 145.826 179.954 325.780 125.093

Q2'17 150.397 178.186 328.583 120.282

Q3’17 180.466 195.899 376.365 117.852

Q4'17 183.009 195.577 378.586 109.872

2017 Total 659.698 749.616 1.409.314 473.099

Q1'18 138.777 165.100 303.877 89.380

Q2'18 160.100 182.055 342.155 112.425

Q3’18 167.198 189.161 356.359 54.478

Q4'18 185.497 187.510 373.007 20.537

2018 Total 651.572 723.826 1.375.398 276.820

Q1'19 107.859 148.574 256.433 38.189

Q2'19 98.295 151.068 249.363 44.696

Share of Mortgage Sales in Total Housing Sales

(%)

31,6

32,1

33,5

36,0

33,5

38,4

36,6

31,3

29,0

33,6

29,4

32,9

15,3

5,5

20,1

14,9

17,9

Housing Sales on Quarterly Basis (number)

Housing

Source: TurkStatFirst Sale: The first sale of a housing by producer or by people making an agreement with the producer in return for a flat.Second hand sale: Resale of the housing by the person obtaining the house from first sale.

23

Page 24: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Mortgaged sales decreased by 58.9% as of the end of 2019 Q2. The share of mortgaged sales in total sales was 31.2% as of the end 2018 Q2, and it fell to 16.4% in the same period of 2019.

As of the end of 2019 Q2, there was a decline of 31.0% in the first hand housing sales compared to the same period of the previous year, and a decrease of 13.7% in second hand sales.

119.

413

123.

878

105.

154

127.

327

146.

536

89.6

26 13

6.84

5

72.9

37

78.4

50

105.

046

96.0

71

91.9

37

61.3

55

47.6

48

30.4

05

12.7

43

11.3

30

8.06

5

5.32

4

7.14

8

6.53

7

8.89

0

22.7

62

22.4

61

14.9

16

7.31

9 0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

Jun’18 Jun’19Jul’18 Jul’19Aug’18 Sep’18 Oct’18 Nov’18 Dec’18 Jan’19 Feb’19 Mar’19 Apr’19

Total Housing Sales (qty) Mortgage Housing Sales (qty)

45.4

33

53.9

49

56.4

98

70.0

19

56.9

94

59.3

54

66.6

61

44.3

63

43.7

13

50.7

01

47.5

34

55.5

02

57.0

64

57.6

17

49.3

62

60.2

19

74.8

15

40.8

21

69.8

61

31.0

48

32.6

48

44.1

63

37.7

84

37.2

46

23.2

65

52.1

46

61.9

20

63.7

00

70.2

79

65.8

88

63.3

78

66.3

11

52.6

56

52.2

40

60.2

04

55.5

53

64.1

53

62.3

49

66.2

61

55.7

92

67.1

08

71.7

21

48.8

05 66

.984

41.8

89

45.8

02

60.8

83

58.2

87

54.6

91

38.0

90

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000H

az’1

7

Tem

’17

Au’

17

Eyl’1

7

Eki’1

7

Kas’

17

Ara’

17

Oca

’18

ub’1

8

Mar

’18

Nis

’18

May

’18

Haz

’18

Tem

’18

Au’

18

Eyl’1

8

Eki’1

8

Kas’

18

Ara’

18

Oca

’19

ub’1

9

Mar

’19

Nis

’19

May

’19

Haz

’19

10

5.04

6

96.0

71

91.9

37

97.5

79 115.

869

120.

198

140.

298

122.

882

122.

732

132.

972

97.0

19

95.9

53

110.

905

103.

087

119.

655

119.

413

123.

878

105.

154

127.

327

146.

536

89.6

26

136.

845

72.9

37

78.4

50

61.3

55

First Sale (number) Second Hand Sales (number)

Jun’

17

Jul’1

7

Aug

’17

Sep

’17

Oct

’17

Nov

’17

Dec

’17

Jan’

18

Feb’

18

Mar

’18

Apr

’18

May

’18

Jun’

18

Jul’1

8

Aug

’18

Sep

’18

Oct

’18

Nov

’18

Dec

’18

Jan’

19

Feb’

19

Mar

’19

Apr

’19

May

’19

Jun’

19

Source: TurkStat

Source: TurkStatFirst Sale: The first sale of a housing by producer or by people making an agreement with the producer in return for a flat.Second hand sale: Resale of the housing by the person obtaining the house from first sale.

Housing

Housing Sales on Annualy Basis (number)

Mortgage Housing Sales

24

Page 25: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

186,0

2,48%

0,54%

86,00%

185,2 203,7 223,5 233,3

050

100

150200250

Jun’16 Jun’17 Jun’18 Jun’19

233,3

4,38%

0,60%

133,30%

According to the REIDIN-GYODER New Housing Price Index, the price increase in June 2019 was 0.54% compared to the previous month and 2.48% compared to the same period of the previous year.

204,1

5,48%

1,24%

104,10%

173,1 179,9 193,5 204,1

0

50100

150200250

Jun’16 Jun’17 Jun’18 Jun’19

170,4 175,2 181,5 186,0

050

100150200

250

Jun’16 Jun’17 Jun’18 Jun’19

Housing Price Indexes (Country-wide)

REIDIN GYODER New Home Price Index (January 2010=100)*

Index Value: March 2019

Annual Nominal Change (%)

Monthly Nominal Change (%)

Nominal Change According to Start Period

REIDIN Turkey Residential Property Price Index (January 2012=100)**

REIDIN Residential Rent Value Index (Ocak 2012=100)**

Source: REIDIN*REIDIN-GYODER New Home Price Index is calculated on 70 projects and with a monthly average number of 22.500 properties presented by 34 developers.**REIDIN Turkey Residential Property Price Index (81 province average)

Index Value: March 2019

Annual Nominal Change (%)

Monthly Nominal Change (%)

Nominal Change According to Start Period

Index Value: March 2019

Annual Nominal Change (%)

Monthly Nominal Change (%)

Nominal Change According to Start Period

Housing 25

Page 26: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Housing Purchasing Power Index Turkey average increased by 8.6% compared to the previous quarter but decreased by 8.8% compared to the same quarter of the previous year and was recorded as 102 in the second quarter of 2019.

Q1’18 Q3’18 Q1’19 Q2’19Q4’18Q2’18

18,2 19,3 19,7 19,5

0

10

20

30

Jun’16 Jun’17 Jun’18 Jun’19

19,6 19,7 19,8 19,8 19,8 19,7 19,5 19,4 19,3 19,4 19,5 19,5 19,6 19,6 19,6 19,6 19,6 19,5

16

17

18

19

20

21

REIDIN Housing Investment Return Duration (Year)

Jan’

18

Feb’

18

Mar

’18

Apr

’18

May

’18

Jun’

18

Jul’1

8

Aug

’18

Sep

’18

Oct

’18

Nov

’18

Dec

’18

Jan’

19

Feb’

19

Mar

’19

Apr

’19

May

’19

Jun’

19

84 8590

95102

114 111 112 108 112

95

75

94

607080

90100110

120

Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4’17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19

TR-81 Real Estate Purchasing Power Index (120-Month Term Loan)

Q2'19

102

Real Estate Purchasing Power Index (120-Month Term Loan)

REIDIN Home Return on Investment Time (Year)**

Housing

Source: REIDIN*REIDIN Turkey Residential Property Price Index (81 province average)

Source: REIDIN

*It is an important economic indicator that measures whether a family lives in any 81 cities of Turkey with an average income can own a house by using a 120-month term housing loan or not. The index values of 100 and above indicate that one can own a house by using a 120-month term loan with the existing interest rate; values below 100 indicate that a family cannot own a house by using a housing loan under current financial terms.

26

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82,787,5

137,8 132,9 129,3

92,8 68,7106,3 104,0

92,0 85,0 94,0 98,075,0 76,0 84,3

95,6

0

50

100

150

Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19

Price Index Expectation

Last 2 years averageLast 1 years average

73,682,5

113,2 119,7 121,4

87,7 62,7

112,5 109,086,0

95,0 99,086,0 59,0 65,9 81,4 88,0

0

50

100

150

Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19

Confidence Index

Last 2 years averageLast 1 years average

%8,11

%13,44

In the third quarter of 2019, the Confidence Index, which was measured as 88.0, was announced as 82.5 as the average of the recent year, while the Price Expectation Index measured as 95.6, was announced as 87.5 as the average of the recent year.

Real Estate Confidence Index

Real Estate Price Expectation Index

Housing

Source: REIDIN*Rate of Increase given according to previous quarter

Source: REIDIN*Rate of Increase given according to previous quarter

27

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35,5

4

30,1

8

33,1

8

33,3

1

34,0

3

17,9

6

22,2

8 28,6

0 37,0

0

36,3

3

31,6

0 41,8

0 47,8

2

46,2

0

37,3

1

37,6

8

34,3

8

23,2

9

35,7

1

30,4

6

34,2

1

34,8

0

27,6

0 37,2

3

14,8

0

10,0

0

13,0

2

16,4

0

27,0

8

32,1

4

32,4

3 43,4

0

30,2

6

51,5

8

43,5

1

36,7

0

35,5

0

26,4

4

51,5

0

48,2

0

39,1

6

37,4

0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4’18 Q1'19 Q2'19

Down Payment Usage Rate (%) Bank Loan Usage Rate (%) Deed Usage Rate (%)

4,23 4,094,78

3,00

4,88

3,783,19 3,50

4,10

5,204,60 4,50

3,44

2,00

0

123

456

Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4’18 Q1'19 Q2'19

Destocking Rate (%)

29,1423,17 21,43

10,905,64 5,61 4,45 3,70 6,10 8,50

12,80 15,00

5,50 7,30

05

101520253035

Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4’18 Q1'19 Q2'19

Housing Sales Rate to Foreigners (%)

In 2019 Q2, consumers who purchased houses from branded housing projects mostly preferred to use down payment from the options of down payment, promissory note and bank loan. In the second quarter of 2019, the rate of destocking was 2.0%, while 7.3% of the sales of branded housing projects were made to foreign investors.

Destocking Rate

Payment Methods

Housing Sales to Foreigners

Source: REIDIN

Source: REIDIN

Source: REIDIN

Branded Housing Projects Indicators

Housing28

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Housing sales to foreigners was recorded as 19.952 units as of the end of the second quarter of 2019, with an increase of 68.86% compared to the same period of previous year.

3.1683.321

3.129

3.7203.925

2.689

1.742 1.7291.827

2.043

2.415

2.060

2.858

3.866

5.615

6.276

4.672 4.560

1.3861.306

1.578

1.6241.775 1.926 1.726

1.684

2.236

2.677

2.1522.164

1.462 1.5851.595 1.581 1.612

1.543

1.044

1.5121.276

1.5661.773

1.640

1.289

1.369

1.610

1.8471.982

2.2562.027 2.044

1.768

2.2362.119

2.283

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

2019 2018 2017 2016 2015

Jan Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecFeb

Number of House Sales to Foreigners in Turkey

Source: TurkStat

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Housing 29

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In 2019 Q2, the most preferred province by foreigners in real estate investments was İstanbul. When we examine all kinds of real estate investments of foreigners made in Turkey in 2018 and 2019, 119.2% increase was recorded in 2019 Q2 compared to the same period of 2018 on area basis, while 75.3% increase in the number of transactions.

Q2’19 Q2’18

Q2’19 Ranking (Q2’18 Ranking)

First 10Cities

Surface Area per Total Stock

(sqm)Total Number

of Transactions

Surface Area per Total Stock

(sqm)Total Number

of Transactions

1 (3) Istanbul 677.632 9.816 276.816 4.437

2 (1) Manisa 600.164 59 357.550 37

3 (-) Konya 558.887 130 33.994 126

4 (2) Antalya 512.200 4.757 311.331 3.194

5 (-) Karaman 341.936 8 272 3

6 (9) Kocaeli 320.270 231 78.344 159

7 (4) Eskişehir 281.047 168 267.816 90

8 (10) Sakarya 253.257 525 71.989 343

9 (-) Diyarbakır 249.430 9 17.664 7

10 (7) Muğla 243.152 621 121.869 462

- (5) Edirne 15.103 74 206.493 75

- (6) Bursa 123.294 1.108 149.843 941

- (8) Malatya 254 3 94.409 9

Other 1.252.569 4.932 487.922 2.916

Total 5.429.195 22.441 2.476.312 12.799

Housing

Top 10 Cities Preferred by Foreigners for Housing Purchase

Source: General Directorate of Land Registers Department of Foreign Affairs*Figures include all real estate sales.**Figures are annual cumulative values as of the end of Q2

30

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When we examine all kinds of real estate investments of foreigners made in Turkey, we observe that Egypt, Qatar, South Korea and Iran took part in top 10 countries that preferred Turkey in 2019 Q2, different from the same period of 2018.

Q2’19 Q2’18

Q2’19 Ranking (Q2’18 Ranking)

First 10 CountriesCitizen

Surface Area per Total Stock

(sqm)Total Number

of Transactions

Surface Area per Total Stock

(sqm)

Total Number of

Transactions

1 (2) Palestine 765.172 499 262.446 208

2 (4) Saudi Arabia 726.321 825 193.505 816

3 (1) Jordan 603.945 834 309.073 408

4 (-) Qatar 434.350 373 70.312 234

5 (6) Iraq 409.637 3.891 132.330 1.924

6 (-) Egypt 281.936 510 60.696 336

7 (-) Iranian 238.822 2.531 74.230 1.120

8 (-) Korea (South) 231.753 33 2.479 19

9 (3) Germany 171.384 886 195.707 590

10 (5) Yemen 156.013 610 160.443 270

- (7) Norway 17.069 269 120.527 164

- (8) Azerbaijan 85.575 599 101.110 431

- (9) Afghanistan 93.947 1.157 100.646 958

- (10) England 130.392 783 80.694 535

Other 1.082.881 8.552 612.113 4.761

Total 5.429.195 22.352 2.476.312 12.774

Gulf Countries 2.012.170 8.723 625.258 4.872

Ratio of Gulf Countries in Total Investments %37 %39 %25 %38

Housing

Top Ten Countries Preferring to Purchase Housing from Turkey*

Source: General Directorate of Land Registers Department of Foreign Affairs*Figures include all real estate sales.**Figures are annual cumulative values as of the end of Q2

31

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Commercial Real Estate Price Index (Overall Turkey)

Prominent Cities in Commercial Real EstateTablo Başlıkları

Endeksa Commercial Real Estate Price Index

136,3

2

136,2

5

134,9

0

133,4

2

132,1

9

130,5

2

129,5

0

129,2

5

129,2

9

129,9

013

0,9913

2,1513

3,7813

5,5913

6,9713

8,4613

9,9414

1,3214

2,8814

4,5814

6,0314

7,5914

8,97

149,4

414

9,55

149,4

4

149,1

5

148,6

4

147,8

4

147,0

1

120130140150160170180

Oca

’17

ub’1

7

Mar

’17

Nis'

17

May

'17

Haz

'17

Tem

’17

Au’

17

Eyl’1

7

Eki’1

7

Kas’

17

Ara’

17

Oca

’18

ub’1

8

Mar

’18

Nis'

18

May

'18

Haz

'18

Tem

’18

Au’

18

Eyl’1

8

Eki’1

8

Kas’

18

Ara’

18

Oca

’19

ub’1

9

Mar

’19

Nis'

19

May

'19

Haz

'19

Index

Jan’

17

Feb’

17

Mar

’17

Apr

’17

May

’17

Jun’

17

Jul’1

7

Aug

’17

Sep

’17

Oct

’17

Nov

’17

Dec

’17

Jan’

18

Feb’

18

Mar

’18

Apr

’18

May

’18

Jun’

18

Jul’1

8

Aug

’18

Sep

’18

Oct

’18

Nov

’18

Dec

’18

Jan’

19

Feb’

19

Mar

’19

Apr

’19

May

’19

Jun’

19

CityCommercial Real

Estate Average Unit Sale Price (TRY/m2)

Shop and Store Average Unit Sale

Price (TRY/m2)

Office AverageUnit Sale Price

(TRY/m2)

Istanbul 6.176 6.197 5.787

Izmir 4.814 4.816 4.963

Bursa 3.702 3.867 3.328

Antalya 3.660 3.917 2.971

Ankara 3.576 3.821 2.952

Kocaeli 3.455 3.484 3.467

Adana 3.023 3.643 2.377

Source: Endeksa

Source: Endeksa

Housing32

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Endeksa Commercial Real Estate Price Index (January 2014=100)*

147,01

4,03% 47,01%

-0,56%126,86 130,52 141,32 147,01

0

50

100

150

200

Jun’16 Jun'17 Jun'18 Jun'19

Source: Endeksa

Turkey Commercial Property Index was recorded at the level of 147.01 points as of the end of June. The index increased 5.69 points compared to the same month of the previous year and fell 0.83 points on monthly basis. Starting from 149.55 points in 2019, the index decreased by 2.54 points in the 6-month period.

Housing

Index Value: March 2019

Annual Nominal Change (%)

Monthly Nominal Change (%)

Nominal Change According to Start Period

33

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HOUSINGLOANS

Page 35: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

The upward trend in housing loan interest rates that started in March 2019 continued until the end of June. The housing loan interest rate of 1.32% at the end of March 2019 increased to 1.69% at the end of June 2019. The annual interest rate, which was 17.10% at the end of March, rose to 22.23% with 5 points increase at the end of June.

At the end of June 2019, the housing loan volume reached TRY 180.3 billion. While the share of public deposit banks in total housing loan volume was 47.1% in June 2018, it rose to 51.0% in June 2019. The share of domestic private and foreign deposit banks fell in

June 2019 compared to the same period of the previous year. The ratio of non-performing mortgage loans to total mortgage loans has been in an upward trend since the beginning of August 2018 and was recorded as 0.68% as of June 2019.

Total consumer loans were recorded at the level of TRY 402 billion in June. The share of housing loans in total consumer loans, which was 47.7% in June 2018, dropped to 44.9% with 3 points decrease as of June 2019. While total loans were recorded at an amount of TRY 2.53 trillion, the share of personal loans in total loans was 20.2%. This rate was 21.9% in June 2018.

As of the end of June 2019, Housing Loan Volume recorded as TRY 180.3 billion

Housing Loans 35

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The amount of housing loans used in the first quarter of 2019 decreased by 53.4% compared to the same period of the previous year and fell to TRY 5.920 million. The average loan amount provided in the first quarter of 2019 was recorded as TRY 140.000.

The share of housing loans in personal loans decreased in June 2019 compared to the same month of the previous year and was recorded as 35.2%.

Q4’18 Q1’19 Q2’19Q2’18 Q3’18

Period Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19

Total Credit Extension(million TRY)

11.223 13.280 13.215 19.378 18.815 17.790 16.343 15.501 12.713 17.303 7.368 1.837 5.920

Credit Extension Figure (number) 98.016 110.918 115.179 151.019 134.212 125.085 123.674 112.592 90.788 119.714 54.734 16.637 42.379

Ortalama Konut Kredisi (bin TL)

115 110120 115 128140 142 132 135138

0

50

100

150

200

Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18

Average Mortgage Loan Amount (thousand TRY/ number)

140 145

Q1’19

140

38,6% 38,5% 38,9% 38,6% 38,2% %37,9 37,9% 37,7% 37,3% 37,1% 36,9% 36,3% 36,1% 35,8% 35,2%

194

196

200

201

198

196

193

191

188

186

184

184

184

182

180

502,

79

508,

96

514,

34

519,

63

518,

69

516,

61

509,

78

506,

25

504,

13

500,

97

497,

41

507,

04

508,

90

509,

10

512,

62

0

200

400

600

800

Nis’18 May’18 Haz’18 Tem’18 A u’18 Eyl’18 Eki’18 Kas’18 Ara'18 Oca 19 ub 19 Mar’19 Nis’19 May’19 Haz’19

Mortgage Loan (billion TRY) Total Consumer Credits (billion TRY)

Sep’18 Oct’18 Nov’18 Dec’18 Jan’18 Feb’18 Mar’18Apr’18 May’18 Jul’18 Aug’18Jun’18 Apr’19 May’19 Jun’19

Source: The Banks Association of Turkey

Mortgage Loan - Total Consumer Credits Comparison

Average Mortgage Loan Amount (thousand TRY)

Housing Loans

Mortgage Extension

Source: Banking Regulation And Supervison Agency

36

Page 37: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

As of June 2019, monthly interest rate on housing loans was recorded as 1.69% and compound annual interest rate was 22.23%.

Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 Q2’19 Q3’19Q1’18

The total housing loan volume was around TRY 180 billion 338 million as of June 2019.

51 100% 180.338

168.606

91.962

45.102

31.542

1

11.730

93%

51%

25%

17%

0%

7%

32

21

13

3

8

6

Mortgage Loan Interest Rate (%)

Distribution of Mortgage Loan According to Banks

Housing Loans

Source: CBRT

1,10 1,15 1,17 1,17 1,03 1,03 1,49 1,75 2,08 2,16 2,10 2,04 1,87 1,63 1,32 1,33 1,66 1,69 1,63

14,08 14

,7014

,9614

,92

13,02 13

,1419

,48 23,20

28,00

29,28

28,38

27,39

24,93

21,47

17,10

17,22

21,86 22

,23

21,36

05

101520253035

Jan’

18

Feb’

18

Mar

’18

Apr’

18

May

’18

Jun’

18

Jul’1

8

Aug’

18

Sep’

18

Oct

’18

Nov

’18

Dec

’18

Jan’

19

Feb’

19

Mar

’19

Apr’

19

May

’19

Jun’

19

Jul’1

9

Monthly Interest Compound Interest

Distribution of Sector in General

Number of Banks

SectorShares

Distribution of Mortgage Loan Volume

(billion TRY)*

Total Banking Sector

Participation Banks

Public DepositMoney Banks

Deposit Banks withForeign Partners

Private DepositBanks

Total DepositBanks

Development andInvestment Banks

Source: Banking Regulation And Supervison Agency*The latest published data are the data of BDDK end of 2019 June.**The number of participation banks increased to 6 with Türkiye Emlak Katılım Bankası A.Ş. upon the official authorization received on February 27, 2019.

37

Page 38: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

The share of nonperforming loans in total housing loans was recorded as 0.68% as of June 2019.

Q1’19 Q2’19Q3’18 Q4’1820

0.55

9

198.

059

196.

046

193.

356

190.

783

188.

108

185.

694

183.

531

183.

803

183.

588

182.

276

180.

338

828 861 880 901 924 978 1.046 1.078 1.106 1.138 1.167 1.229

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

Ratio of Non-Performing Loans to Total Stock (%)

0,41% 0,43% 0,45% 0,46% 0,48% 0,52% 0,56% 0,59% 0,60% 0,62% 0,64% 0,68%

Total Stock (million TRY) Total Loans Under Supervision (million TRY)

Sep’18 Oct’18 Nov’18 Dec’18 Jan’19 Feb’19 Mar’19 May’19 Jun’19Apr’19Jul’18 Aug’18

Mortgage Loan Stock and Non-performing Loan*

Source: Banking Regulation And Supervison Agency*Cumulative total of Mortgage Loan Stock and Non-performing Loan

Housing Loans38

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As of the end of 2019 Q2, İstanbul was the city where the housing loans are mostly used in total housing loans with 30.2%. İstanbul was followed by Ankara with 11.7% and İzmir with 7.5%.

Kırşehir

Düzce

Eskişehir

Kütahya

Tekirdağ

Çorum

Çanakkale

İzmir

Muğla

Uşak

İçel

Kahramanmaraş

Iğdır

Ağrı

Gümüşhane

Bingöl

Şanlıurfa

Muş

Şırnak

Elazığ

Batman

İstanbul

Niğde

Ankara

Karabük

Çankırı

Kocaeli

Bursa Bilecik

Edirne

54.520

21.071

13.568

6.872 5.870 4.936 3.967 4.494 3.127 3.120

410

153

85

34 47 34 32 23 27 18

0,75%

0,73%

0,63%

0,49% 0,79% 0,70% 0,71% 0,58% 0,85% 0,57%

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

Istanbul Ankara Izmir Bursa Antalya Kocaeli Adana Mersin Gaziantep Tekirda

Ratio of Non-Performing Loans to Total Stock (%)Total stock (million TRY) Total of non-performing loans (million TRY)

Top 10 Cities Used Housing Loans

Source: BRSA-FinTürk*Q2’19 data**Cumulative total of Mortgage Loan Stock and Non-performing Loan

Housing Loans 39

Page 40: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Total Leasing Transactions in the First Half of 2019 Recorded Nearly as 133.700 m2

OFFICE

Page 41: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

There was 2.6% economic contraction in the first quarter of 2019. Despite the continuation of fragile recent outlook, the real sector confidence index rose slightly with 99.6 compared to the previous quarter, while the consumer confidence index decreased slightly compared to the previous quarter and was recorded as 57.63. On the other hand, the seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate continues to increase and was recorded as 13.8% in April 2019, while a slight relief was observed in the inflation rate in June compared to the previous quarter in line with the recent developments in the economy. Nevertheless, negative growth, high inflation and ongoing fluctuations in exchange rates continue to affect office leasing and investment activities.

In the second quarter, the overall supply in the İstanbul office market remained at the same level as 6.35 million m2. Total leasing transactions realized in the first half of 2019 were nearly 133.700 m2, while in the second quarter this figure was approximately 48.370 m2. Compared to the previous quarter and the same period of the previous year, leasing transactions in this quarter decreased significantly by 43.31% and 21.56%, respectively.

63.31% of the contracts on the basis of square meter were made at the Anatolian side, 32.30% at the Central Business Area (MIA) and the remaining was realized

at the European side other than Central Business Area (MIA). Leasing transactions in this area decreased substantially compared to the previous quarter.

The office vacancy rate realized as 24.93% in 2019 Q2 and the most critical new leasing transactions were as follows: Ceva Lojistik (7.140 m2, Emaar), Kolektif House (5.096 m2, Nidakule Ataşehir Batı), Gedik Yatırım (3.398 m2, Esas Maltepe), ÇiçekSepeti (2.300 m2, Istanbloom) and N11 (2.092 m2, Uniq İstanbul)

No major investment was realized in the second quarter but the investment activities in the office market are expected to gain impetus together with the increasing real estates for urgent sale.

Following the repeated local elections in İstanbul and Ramadan, demand for office investments is expected to increase with the effect of recent decline in inflation and a slight increase in GDP. The increase in the number of real estates for urgent sale will draw prices closer to buyer expectations in the short and medium term. Besides, leasing activities in the second quarter of the year were limited due to abovementioned factors, but the expected demand is anticipated to increase in the upcoming period with the continuation of the conditions in favor of the lessee in the near future.

Total Leasing Transactions in the First Half of 2019 Recorded Nearly as 133.700 m2

Office 41

Page 42: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

In 2019 Q2, the general supply increased compared to the previous quarter and reached 6.35 million m2. The leasing transactions reached nearly 48.370 m2. Compared to the previous quarter and the same period of the previous year, a significant decrease was recorded in leasing transactions by 43.31% and 21.56%, respectively.

EuropeanSide

Stock(thousand

sqm)

VacancyRate (%)

Prime Rent($/sqm/month)

Stock(thousand

sqm)

VacancyRate (%)

Prime Rent($/sqm/month)

Stock(thousand

sqm)

VacancyRate (%)

Prime Rent($/sqm/month)

Levent - Etiler 852 15,6 32 867 18,2 32 867 18,2 32

Maslak 838 19,8 23 862 22,8 19 872 22,8 19

Z.Kuyu - Sisli Line(Z.kuyu - Gayrettepe-

Esentepe - Mecidiyekoy - Sisli)

451 21 21 498 17,0 19 498 17,0 19

Taksim andsurrounding area (Taksim - Elmadağ

- Bomonti - Piyalepasa)

139 26,6 15 184 33,6 13 194 33,6 13

Kağıthane 259 18,33 17 292 30,9 13 292 30,9 13

Besiktas(Nisantası - Akaretler- Barbaros - Macka

- Tesvikiye)

102 20,7 16 103 16,2 13 103 16,2 13

Western Istanbul (Gunesli - Yenibosna -

Bakırkoy - Ikitelli)814 6,2 11 825 6,9 10 825 6,9 10

Cendere - Seyrantepe 458 71 15 422 73,5 13 422 73,5 13

AnatolianSide

Stock(thousand

sqm)

VacancyRate (%)

Prime Rent($/sqm/month)

Stock(thousand

sqm)

VacancyRate (%)

Prime Rent($/sqm/month)

Stock(thousand

sqm)

VacancyRate (%)

Prime Rent($/sqm/month)

Kavacık 131 17,9 15 105 26,6 13 105 26,6 13

Umraniye 714 14,8 20 751 16,0 17 751 16,0 16

Altunizade 59 1 20 84 29,7 17 84 29,7 16

Kozyatağı (Icerenkoy - Goztepe

- Atasehir)736 41,5 25 758 34,0 22 758 34,0 22

Eastern Istanbul (Kucukyalı - Maltepe

- Kartal - Pendik)446 21,5 12 579 29,8 9 579 29,8 9

Q2’18 Q2’19Q1’19

Office

Istanbul Office Market by Regions

Source: Office data were prepared by Cushman&Wakefield specifically for GYODER.

42

Page 43: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

The total leasing transaction in the second quarter of 2019 was 48.370 m². The vacancy rate was recorded as 24.93% in total.

Leasing Q2'18 Q1'19 Q2'19

Total Occurring Take-up Transactions(thousand sqm) 61,7 85,3 48,4

Prime Rent (USD/sqm/month) 32,0 32,0 32,0

Prime Yield (%) 7,3 7,5 7,8

Stock Vacancy Rate (%) 24,6 25,0 24,9

5.990 6.330 6.350

2.349 2.304 2.3041.479 1.554 1.554

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

Q2'18 Q1'19 Q2'19

Total Stock (thousand sqm) Future Supply (Under construction, thousand sqm)

Green building Certificate OfficeStock (thousand sqm)

Source: EVA Real Estate Appraisal Consultancy

Office - Current and Future Stock Information

Office

Source: Office data were prepared by Cushman&Wakefield specifically for GYODER.

43

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SHOPPING MALLS

Page 45: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

In accordance with the Law on the Protection of the Value of Turkish Currency adopted by the Presidency upon the fluctuations of the currency exchange rates in August, the rental contracts were converted into Turkish Lira from the foreign currencies. In addition to the rental contracts being converted into TRY, due to the considerable increase in the energy and labor costs, it is witnessed that the costs of the shopping mall investors increased in a higher rate than their incomes.

Rents, operational costs, general expenses of the retailers increase based on Consumer Price Index/ Inflation while their turnovers fail to increase in a satisfying rate. This case stands out as one of the most critical issues and it may become a risk in terms of sustainability. Some retailers determined certain ‘turnover/rent’ targets and started to implement their plans on closing unproductive stores in a more aggressive manner.

At this point, the turnovers should be analyzed and projected in a more meticulous manner by both the retailers and shopping mall investors.

The examination of the turnovers are crucial for the retailers for testing the balance between the turnover/ (rent + common area expenses) and it also bears importance for the shopping mall investors for measuring

the efficiency based on the difference between the turnover, rent, m2 and category following the switch into TRY. Moreover, in terms of sustainability, this process enables the retailers to identify their unproductive stores while allowing the shopping mall investors to launch the required operational interventions for the risk categories/ stores.

At this point, for identifying the effects of the communique no.32 on the shopping mall investors and tenants, both the rapidly increasing e-commerce, the fierce competition between the existing competing shopping malls, future shopping malls under construction and the shopping avenues should be taken into consideration. The positions and actions of the foreign funds owning the shopping malls and retailers with foreign capitals in the sector, especially in 2019, should be tracked.

At this stage, it would not be incorrect to claim that it would be a tough year for the shopping malls that fail to go through restructuring for their foreign currency debts as they cannot achieve any income over the current exchange rate due to the switch into TRY while the banks/ financial institutions conduct their lending process over the contract incomes based on foreign currencies.

Shifting to TRY Challenges theShopping Malls

Shopping Malls 45

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Kırşehir

Düzce

Eskişehir

Kütahya

Tekirdağ

Çorum

Çanakkale

İzmir

Muğla

Uşak

İçel

Kahramanmaraş

Iğdır

Ağrı

Gümüşhane

Bingöl

Şanlıurfa

Muş

Şırnak

Elazığ

3

3

3

3

18

26

5

4

99

4

610

10

6

6

11

1

2

6

4

45

4

23

2

2

3

2328

2

1

1

1

2

21

7

11

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

2

11

Batman

1

1

İstanbul

Niğde

147

3

Ankara

38

3

19

Karabük

3

3

124Çankırı

151 +

101-150m2

51-100m2

0-50m2

As of the end of 2019 Q2, the total number of shopping malls reached 453 and the total leasable area stock reached 13 million 444.000 m2. İstanbul constitutes approximately 39% of the total leasable area stock. In overall Turkey, the leasable area per 1.000 people is 164 m2.

4.0635.093 5.800 6.533

7.615 8.2299.247 10.023 10.799 11.359

12.611 13.444 13.444

0

4.000

8.000

12.000

16.000

145189 207 232 264

296 326 346 364 390 429 453 453

0

200

400

600

800

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019*

Opened Shopping Centers (number) Opened GLA (thousand sqm)

Source: EVA Real Estate Appraisal ConsultancyShopping Mall definition: Leasable area over 5.000 m2, at least 15 independent sections organized shopping areas that create synergy with centralized and common management approach*End of 2019 Q2

Shopping Malls

Growth of Shopping Mall in Turkey

GLA* Volume and Number of Shopping Malls according to Cities

Source: EVA Real Estate Appraisal Consultancy*Shopping mall area per 1,000 persons as of the end of June 2019

Shopping Malls Opened by Years and GLA

46

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199

184 19

7

208

216 23

6

223 24

5

216 23

7

241 27

6

244

210 23

0 246

246 29

1

273

319

284

277 29

3 320

267

248 28

1

281 30

3 347

0

100

200

300

400

Ocak ubat Mart Nisan Mayıs Haziran Temmuz A ustos Eylül Ekim Kasım Aralık

2017 2018 2019

Jan Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecFeb

Kaynak: AYD

The turnover index increased by 19.2% and reached 347 points in June 2019 compared to the same month of the previous year (not inflation-adjusted). Considering that the annual inflation rate announced for June 2019 is 15.7%, the turnover index was above the inflation rate. Shopping Mall Retail Turnover Index data increased by 19.1% in the second quarter of 2019 compared to the second quarter of the previous year.

When the June 2019 data is compared with the same period of the previous year, it was observed that the Visitor Index decreased by 5.5%. As of the second quarter of 2019, the number of visitors index decreased by 3.6% compared to the same period of the previous year.

106

99 103

100

98 100

99

106

95 100

98

111

110

93

99 99 95

110

100 104

97 97 98

108

105

91

99 96 94

104

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Ocak ubat Mart Nisan Mayıs Haziran Temmuz A ustos Eylül Ekim Kasım Aralık

2017 2018 2019

Jan Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecFeb

Shopping Malls

Revenue Index Turkey in General

Source: Council of Shopping Centers Turkey

Source: Council of Shopping Centers Turkey

Number of Visitors Index

47

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TOURISM AND HOTEL

Page 49: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

The expenditures of the 16.95 million foreign tourists visiting Turkey in the first half of 2019 indicate that an average spending per capita was US$ 630. Considering the fact that the aforesaid figure was at an average of US$ 629 in the first half of 2018, it can be said that per capita expenditures remained at the same level compared to last year.

According to the data obtained from the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, within the second quarter of 2018, the total number of foreign visitors coming to Turkey was nearly 15.96 million while it was 18.07 million in the second quarter of 2019.

37.5% of 18.07 million foreign tourists coming to Turkey in the first half of 2019 visited İstanbul, 29.6% came to Antalya and 6.1% to Muğla. These three cities were followed by İzmir and Ankara with 2.3% and 1.4%, respectively. When the number of tourists is compared with the figures of 2018 first half, approximately 13% increase is observed. This can be interpreted that the tourism sector, which went into a decline in 2016, continued its recovery trend in 2017 without slowing down.

When the number of the facilities with Operation Certificates and Investment Certificates are examined, it is seen that there are 3.964 facilities with operation certificates and a room capacity of 466 thousand, and 895 facilities with investment certificates with a room capacity of 96 thousand across Turkey. In respect of the breakdown of the facilities with operation certificates, Antalya is at the top of the list with 788 facilities and a room capacity of nearly 210 thousand, followed by İstanbul with 591 facilities and room capacity of nearly 59 thousand. Muğla has 399 facilities with operation certificates and the room supply of the city is nearly 51 thousand.

Taking into consideration the facilities with investment certificates, the greatest share is owned by İstanbul with 132 facilities and nearly 15 thousand rooms amongst 895 facilities which will be included in the existing hotel supply in the near future, and Muğla follows İstanbul with 100 facilities and nearly 10 thousand rooms. Antalya remains at the third rank with 91 facilities and nearly 19 thousand rooms.

The occupancy rate of the facilities across Turkey with operation certificates in 2018 was recorded as 57%. The city with the highest rate of occupancy was Antalya with 67.27%, followed by İstanbul and Muğla with 57.26% and 56.20%, respectively. İzmir and Ankara’s occupancy rates were approximately 50.29% and 41.24%. The occupancy rate of the facilities with operation certificates as of the first 5 months of 2019 was 44.09% across Turkey.

A severe fall was experienced in 2016 due to the regression in tourism and the occupancy rates and prices of the hotels across Turkey and İstanbul were affected. Although there was no increase in falling prices in 2017 due to the depreciation of the exchange rate, occupancy rates increased. This indicated that the tourism influenced negatively by the factors such as the agenda, terrorist incidents, foreign affairs, etc. started to recover in 2017. The occupancy rate of 66.7% in 2018 across Turkey continued its rise, and the occupancy rate of İstanbul was 71.1%. The average room price in the same period across Turkey was EUR 70.44 and EUR 82.73 in İstanbul. In the first quarter of 2019, the occupancy rate across Turkey was 63.8% while in İstanbul, it was 69.7%. The average room price in this period across Turkey was EUR 69.86 and EUR 83.90 in İstanbul.

16.95 million tourists visitedour country in the first half of 2019

Tourism And Hotel 49

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With Operating Permit With Investment PermitYatırım Belgeli

There are 3.964 facilities holding operation certificates with a total capacity of 466.184 rooms and 895 facilities holding investment certificates with 96.056 room capacity in overall Turkey.

37.5% of 18.7 million foreign tourists coming to Turkey as of the end of 2019 Q2 visited İstanbul, 29.6% came to Antalya and 6.1% preferred Muğla. These three cities were followed by İzmir and Ankara with 2.3% and 1.4%, respectively. When the number of tourists is compared with the same period of 2018, an increase of approximately 13% was observed. This can be interpreted that the tourism sector, which went into a decline in 2016, continued its recovery trend started in 2017 without slowing down.

Source: STR Global*Data of 2019 Q2 End

Antalya

Muğla

Istanbul

Izmir

Ankara

Other2015 Turkey 35,50

11,30 3,08 12,40 1,20 0,80 6,72

2017 Turkey 32,40

9,40 1,98 10,70 0,76 0,50 9,06

2018 Turkey 39,40

12,40 2,70 13,40 0,95 0,58 9,37

2019* Turkey 18,07

5,34 1,10 6,77 0,42 0,25 4,20

2016 Turkey 25,30

5,90 1,60 9,20 0,67 0,33 7,60

Facility Room Facility Room

Antalya 788 209.919 91 19.468

Muğla 399 50.817 100 10.222

Istanbul 591 58.643 132 13.148Izmir 213 19.476 62 4.619Ankara 183 14.057 26 1.937

Turkey 3.964 466.184 895 96.056

Number of Facilities with Investment and Operating Permits

Tourism and Hotel Performance

Total Number of Foreign Visitors (million people)

Tourism And Hotel50

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As of the end of 2019 Q2, it was recorded that tourism revenues were around US$ 10.68 billion and per capita expenditure was US$ 630.

Period Total ForeignTourist

Per CapitaExpenditure ($)

Q1'14 4.140.524 877

Q2'14 9.926.316 759

Q3'14 14.664.611 712

Q4'14 7.118.835 867

2014 35.850.286 775

Q1’15 4.314.332 884

Q2’15 9.637.458 691

Q3’15 14.761.540 670

Q4’15 6.878.830 737

2015 35.592.160 715

Q1'16 4.014.546 717

Q2'16 6.330.571 602

Q3'16 9.466.509 622

Q4'16 5.453.780 626

2016 25.265.406 633

Q1'17 3.772.293 637

Q2'17 7.675.032 570

Q3'17 13.770.308 634

Q4'17 6.861.894 687

2017 32.079.527 630

Q1'18 4.908.831 682

Q2'18 9.855.102 602

Q3'18 15.904.734 589

Q4'18 8.283.235 649

2018 38.951.902 617

Q1'19 5.460.380 678

Q2'19 11.499.211 607

Total Tourists & Expenditures

Tourism And Hotel

Source: TurkStat

51

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In 2018 in overall Turkey, bed occupancy rates of facilities with operation certificates were recorded as 57.91%. The city with the highest occupancy rate was Antalya with 67.27% followed by İstanbul and Muğla with 57.26% and 56.20%. Bed occupancy rates of İzmir and Ankara were nearly 50.29% and 41.24%, respectively. The bed occupancy rate in overall Turkey as of the end of May 2019 was 44.09%.

49,3632,18 34,37

14,42 7,5730,24

12,28

20,15 16,76

30,5630,17

20,76

010203040506070

Antalya Muğla Istanbul Izmir Ankara Turkey

2017 Foreign 2017 Local 2018 Foreign 2018 Local

57,4537,63 40,75

20,458,64

38,49

9,82

18,57 16,5129,84

32,60

19,42

61,64 67,2756,20 57,26

50,2941,24

57,9152,34 51,1244,98

37,74

50,99

Hotel Occupancy Rate (%)* and Average Daily Rate (ADR)

Tourism And Hotel

Source: Republic of Turkey Ministry of Culture and Tourism*Occupancy values published by Ministry of Tourism show bed occupancy instead of room occupancy.

52

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130,02 120,85

90,5176,33 82,73

105,33 105,4277,95

66,81 70,44

0

50

100

150

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019*

Istanbul Turkey

83,9069,86

65,0 64,949,6

62,571,1 69,7

62,3 61,750,8

60,2 66,2 63,8

0

20

40

60

80

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019*

Istanbul Turkey

As of the end of 2019 Q2, the occupancy rate of the hotels in Turkey was 63.8%, while the occupancy rate was 69.7% for İstanbul. During the same period, the average room price in Turkey was EUR 69.86, while in İstanbul it was EUR 83.90.

Source: STR Global*As of Q2 end

Source: STR Global* As of Q2 end

Tourism And Hotel

Turkey - Istanbul Yearly Room Occupancy (%)

Turkey - İstanbul Yearly ADR (EUR)

53

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LOGISTICS

Page 55: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

According to the available data, there is a logistic supply for commercial use of 6.46 million m2 in the total warehouse stock of 10.23 million m2 in the İstanbul-Kocaeli region, which is the primary logistics market. As of the first half of 2019, there is a vacancy of 12%. The volume of projects under construction was recorded nearly 712 thousand m2 and almost all of such projects appear to be the logistics supply for commercial use.

Following the enactment of the Presidential Decree, the use of TRY in leasing and sales transactions has been accepted widely. As of the first half of 2019, the primary rent in the logistics market was US$ 5.50 m2 / month on USD basis and remained stable at TRY 27.50 m2 / month on TRY basis.

It is expected that the political uncertainty, which has disappeared following the Municipal Elections, will bring dynamism to the logistics market in the second half of the year. It is foreseen that warehouse lessees and property owners will be more active in the leasing and sales processes, especially if TRY remains steady. Besides, foreign funds and investors are expected to increase interest in the Turkish Logistics Market also with the effect of appreciated exchange rate against TRY.

Leasing Transaction Volume Decreasedby 65% in the First Half of 2019

Logistics 55

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As of the second quarter of 2019, the current commercial logistics stock was 6 million 457.579 m2. While the project stock was recorded as 2 million 257.040 m2, the stock under construction was 691.916 m2.

As of the second quarter of 2019, the current commercial logistics stock was 6 million 457.579 m2. While the project stock was recorded as 2 million 257.040 m2, the stock under construction was 691.916 m2.

Istanbul Europe

Istanbul Europe

Istanbul Asia

Istanbul Asia

Kocaeli

Kocaeli

4.042 3.977 4.022 4.022 4.022

2.246 2.312 2.312 2.312 2.312

3.673 3.637 3.891 3.892 3.892

213 421 376 376 376

98 35 35 35 35

521 521 301 301 301

524 524 524 524 524

334 334 334 334 334

1.337 1.412 1.389 1.400 1.400

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1’19 Q2’19 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1’19 Q2’19 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1’19 Q2’19

Existing Stock Under Construction Under Project

2.071 2.093 2.111 2.1111.376 1.464 1.464 1.464

2.5392.880 2.883 2.883

410 374 374 374

35 27 27 27

521291 291 291

459 524 524 524

294 334 334 334

1.1921.389 1.400 1.400

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19

Existing Stock Under Construction Under Project

Logistics

Logistics Total Area (A, B, C Class (thousand sqm)

Source: Logistics data were prepared by Jones Lang Laselle specifically for GYODER.

Source: Logistics data were prepared by Jones Lang Laselle specifically for GYODER.

Commercial Logistics Total Stock (A, B, C Class (thousand sqm))

56

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The leasing transaction volume as of 2019 Q2 fell by 87.5% compared to the same period of the previous year and recorded as 4.250 m2.

As of the second quarter of 2019, 88.3% of the total stock is used. In the same period of the previous year, this rate was 86.8%.

224201

139

260

119

49

167

309

38

193

34 472

199

57111

66

141 162 13890

250

100

200

300

400

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

4,6 4,5 4,2 4,1

5,8 5,8

4,7 4,6 4,6 4,6

3,2 3,42,9 2,8 2,6 2,8 2,9 2,8 2,7 2,7

4,2 4,2 4,4 4,4 4,3 4,6 4,4 4,5 4,4 4,4

012

345

6

Q1’17 Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 Q2’19

Istanbul Europe Istanbul Asia Kocaeli

Logistics

Total Leasing Transactions (thousand sqm)

Free Space Ratio (%)

Source: Logistics data were prepared by Jones Lang Laselle specifically for GYODER.

Source: Logistics data were prepared by Jones Lang Laselle specifically for GYODER.

57

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REIT’s

Page 59: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

With the effect of increasing interest rates and foreign exchange rates, the recent decline in sales and recession in the real estate sector started to give way to deliberate optimism with the reduction of interest rates and exchange rate balancing in recent times. This situation will give positive momentum to the real estate sector in 2019 Q3 and Q4 through direct investments and capital market instruments. Besides, the launch of Emlak Participation Bank will make a positive contribution to the sector in terms of both structural regulation and financing.

We have included in our report the dividend and investor profiles data obtained from the Central Securities Depository (MKK) for this period. We have observed that the real estate investment trusts made a dividend payment of nearly TRY 5 billion between 2011 and 2019. It is important that REITs distributing dividends of TRY 1.1 billion in 2018 and TRY 478 million as of the end of July 2019 should achieve continuity in their profit distribution policies and share them with both domestic and foreign investors, in order to prevent particularly the discounted transactions.

Another significant data we presented this quarter is the investor profiles investing in REITs. In the first half of 2019, while the ratio of individual investors was 43% (42% of which was domestic individual), 57% consisted of institutional investors. When the distribution of institutional investors is examined, it is seen that the ratio of foreign funds was 6% and domestic funds 1.3%. Even though the proportion of foreign investors investing in the sector remained at 14%, it can be considered as important data that foreign institutional investors are mainly composed of western countries, especially the U.S., U.K. and Luxembourg. The increase in the ratio of foreign and institutional investors should be considered as an important parameter for the development of the sector. In addition, the real estate investment funds, real estate certificates, lease certificates and the real estate investment trusts’ being involved in an ecosystem supporting each other are important for the future of the sector.

Real Estate Investment Trusts – Critical Driving Force for the Sector’s Future

Reit’s 59

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Q1’18 Q2’18 Q2’19Q4’17 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

25 26 30 31 31 32 31 33 33

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

43% 38% 51% 52% 52% 51% 50% 53% 52%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

-151 273 -210 143 -19 130 -144 -39 -164

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

23% 25% 37% 37% 42% 39% 39% 38% 36%

The REIT index closed its course at 25.620 at the end of the second quarter which started at 29.289.

103.9

3011

3.024

103.5

5811

7.524

119.0

44

117.6

32

114.4

42

104.7

25

99.16

1

96.77

397

.210

93.21

598

.532

92.38

794

.974

88.88

3 102.9

58

103.2

87

95.41

5

90.58

996

.485

42.42

442

.954

39.56

344

.515

42.62

3

42.60

9

42.43

5

40.96

3

35.56

2

35.11

5

31.69

732

.342

31.74

1

30.93

331

.382

28.02

229

.075

29.28

9

28.94

4

25.06

625

.620

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000O

ct’1

7

Nov

’17

Dec

’17

Jan’

18

Feb’

18

Mar

’18

Apr’

18

May

’18

Jun’

18

Jul’1

8

Aug’

18

Sep’

18

Oct

’18

Nov

’18

Dec

’18

Jan’

19

Feb’

19

Mar

’19

Apr’

19

May

’19

Jun’

19

BIST100 Closing (TRY) XGMYO Closing (TRY)

BIST REIT Index Performance*

Source: BIST*Index closing prices for the first day of every month were taken into consideration.

Number of REITs in BIST

Free Float Rate

Free Float Rate (Actual Circulation)

Foreigner Transactions - Net Inflow Outflow (Million US$)

Source: Central Securities Depository Institution (CSD)All data obtained from CSD

Reit’s60

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2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 - 31 July

10.864 15.800 18.119 21.731 21.465 25.447 26.924 18.384 17.950

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 - 31 July

5.751 8.888 8.505 9.339 7.356 7.231 7.138 3.481 3.250

Value 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

Transaction Amount 19.912 13.739 15.669 18.255 14.587 15.356 32.351 26.699 16.192

Transaction Value (TRY) 44.373 26.873 34.113 38.088 33.581 37.003 74.348 49.160 21.925

Transaction Value (USD) 27.261 15.036 17.496 17.427 12.519 12.334 20.464 11.266 3.953

Citizenship 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

Foreign 9% 10% 16% 18% 22% 20% 14% 16% 12%

Local 91% 90% 84% 82% 78% 80% 86% 84% 88%

Citizenship 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

Foreign 1.500 2.715 3.673 4.875 4.601 5.618 5.040 3.075 2.426

Local 3.174 3.252 5.595 6.452 6.619 7.453 8.554 15.462 15.042

Total 4.674 5.967 9.268 11.328 11.221 13.071 13.594 18.536 17.468

Years 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

Foreign 1.002 1.135 1.390 1.406 1.402 1.378 1.250 1.057 1.071

Local 131.866 118.523 143.312 134.521 132.375 129.320 145.995 155.191 158.177

Total 132.868 119.658 144.702 135.927 133.777 130.698 147.245 156.248 159.248

Market Values on Nationality Basis (Million TRY)

Market Values (Million TRY)

Market Values (Million US$)

Transaction Volumes (Million)

Transaction Volume Distribution on the basis of Citizenship

Number of Investors on the basis of Citizenship (Qty)

Source: Central Securities Depository Institution (CSD)All data obtained from CSD

Reit’s 61

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Years 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-H1

Foreign 32% 46% 40% 43% 41% 43% 37% 17% 14%

Local 68% 54% 60% 57% 59% 57% 63% 83% 86%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Market Value Ratios on Nationality Basis

Corporate - Individual, Domestic - Foreign Investment Distribution According to Market Values (Million TRY)

2018-H1 2018 2019-H1

Foreign Individual 46 47 65

Foreign Fund 1.898 1.526 1.026

Foreign Corporate 1.723 1.502 1.345

Domestic Individual 8.950 7.337 7.467

Domestic Fund 290 262 224

Domestic Corporate 5.137 4.343 4.224

Domestic Investment Trust 622 529 839

Domestic Other 3.994 2.991 2.289

Total 22.660 18.536 17.478

2018-H1 2018 2019-H1

Foreign Individual 0,2% 0,3% 0,4%

Foreign Fund 8,4% 8,2% 5,9%

Foreign Corporate 7,6% 8,1% 7,7%

Domestic Individual 39,5% 39,6% 42,7%

Domestic Fund 1,3% 1,4% 1,3%

Domestic Corporate 22,7% 23,4% 24,2%

Domestic Investment Trust 2,7% 2,9% 4,8%

Domestic Other 17,6% 16,1% 13,1%

Total 100,0% 100,0% 100,0%

2018-H1 2018 2019-H1

Individual 39,7% 39,8% 43,1%

Corporate 60,3% 60,2% 56,9%

Total 100,0% 100,0% 100,0%

Reit’s62

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Total Dividend Amount (TRY)

REIT Total Share in the Total Dividend

Akis REIT 465.257.570 9,19%

Akmerkez REIT 329.996.012 6,52%

Alarko REIT 72.910.631 1,44%

Ata REIT 701.701 0,01%

Atakule REIT 2.171.941 0,04%

Deniz REIT 1.014.804 0,02%

Emlak Konut REIT 2.303.278.867 45,49%

Halk REIT 25.767.009 0,51%

Is REIT 345.634.625 6,83%

Martı REIT 5.708.206 0,11%

Mistral REIT 3.900.000 0,08%

Özak REIT 1.900.079 0,04%

Panora REIT 237.448.038 4,69%

Reysas REIT 1.135.609 0,02%

Saf REIT 391.323.255 7,73%

Servet REIT 2.388.675 0,05%

Sinpas REIT 104.597.723 2,07%

Torunlar REIT 194.726.434 3,85%

Vakıf REIT 677.056 0,01%

Yeni Gimat REIT 572.835.740 11,31%

Total 5.063.373.975 100%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019July Total

212.723.828 376.228.031 310.766.648 697.453.081 733.393.234 676.305.700 446.770.341 1.131.165.144 478.581.740 5.063.387.748

*Total dividend amount between 2011 and 2019 end of July.

Reit’s 63

Page 64: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Top 10 Countries as per the Addresses of Foreign Investors

30.06.2018

30.06.2019

31.12.2018

Country of Investor Market Value (TL)

United States of America 1.026.454.045

United Kingdom 627.264.769

Luxemburg 232.320.665

The Netherlands 230.379.042

Singapore 180.546.253

Bahrein 176.646.800

Ireland 164.796.082

Afghanistan 132.623.419

Saudi Arabia 109.186.411

Kuwait 107.383.557

Country of Investor Market Value (TL)

United States of America 758.628.955

United Kingdom 398.757.603

The Netherlands 232.676.909

Luxemburg 151.196.197

Italy 109.859.218

Afghanistan 101.916.867

Bahrein 98.430.756

Ireland 68.330.820

Kuwait 64.394.825

Saudi Arabia 63.236.130

Country of Investor Market Value (TL)

United States of America 866.224.008

United Kingdom 498.369.055

The Netherlands 242.590.503

Luxemburg 187.949.710

Bahrein 130.533.520

Kuwait 122.490.599

Georgia 117.500.000

Ireland 104.657.873

Italy 93.910.986

Singapore 90.823.790

Reit’s64

Page 65: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

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Reit’s 65

Page 66: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Sour

ce: C

entra

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rate

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Reit’s66

Page 67: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

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Reit’s 67

Page 68: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

REI

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Equi

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ALAR

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Reit’s68

Page 69: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Sour

ce: C

entra

l Sec

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Reit’s 69

Page 70: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Sour

ce: C

entra

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Page 71: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Sour

ce: C

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Reit’s 71

Page 72: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

Sour

ce: C

entra

l Sec

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72

Page 73: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

73

Page 74: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

NOTES

74

Page 75: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables
Page 76: GYODER GÖSTERGE · Cushman & Wakefield Dalfin Financial and Governance Solutions Endeksa ... developed economies except for the U.S., and the developing ... macro growth enables

With the Contributions of

Esentepe Mahallesi Büyükdere Caddesi Yonca Apt.C Blok No: 151-1 D: 43 Zincirlikuyu - Şişli / Istanbul

Tel: +90 (212) 282 53 65 - 325 28 25 Fax: +90 (212) 282 53 93www.gyoder.org.tr [email protected]