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Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011 The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net sustainability town sustainability town - - by by - - town town Highlight forces and trajectories Outline system synergies Apply to small island towns Anticipate planning scope and tools Key Point : Community planners must extend kuleana to explicitly include food and energy security

Hawaiian Sustainability Town by Town

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Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

sustainability townsustainability town--byby--towntown

• Highlight forces and trajectories

• Outline system synergies

• Apply to small island towns

• Anticipate planning scope and tools

Key Point: Community planners must extend kuleana to explicitly include food and energy security

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

Core In s ight sCore In s ight s FROM FROM SU STA INAB I L I TY TH INK INGSU STA INAB I L I TY TH INK ING

1. View sustainability as a place-based science.

2. Need solutions at scale, in time, for all.

3. Seek systems resolution for all challenges together.

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

thoughtthought -- l eader quote sl eader quote s “The  major  threats  and  opportunities  of  the  sustainability  transition  

are  not  only  multiple,  cumulative,  and  interactive,  but  also  place-­‐based.  In  other  words,  it  is  in  specific  regions  with  distinctive  social  and  ecological  attributes  

that  the  critical  threats  to  sustainability  emerge,  and  where  a  successful  transition  will  need  to  be  based.  

 A  useful  science  for  sustainability  would  need  to  balance  

its  conventional  preference  for  universal  truths  with  a  deep  commitment  to  engaging  

the  unique  sustainability  challenges  of  specific  places.”    

Our  Common  Journey:  A  Transition  Toward  Sustainability  Board  on  Sustainable  Development,  National  Research  Council,  National  Academy  of  Sciences,  1999  

-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐  

“We  most  need  pathways  to  a  sustainable  future  that  deliver  solutions  which  are  at  scale,  in  time,  for  all.”  

 MIT  President  Susan  Hockfield,  2008  Keynote,  Alliance  for  Global  Sustainability  

-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐-­‐  

“Too  often,  the  cause  of  our  problems  is  our  solutions.  We  cannot  resolve  any  one  of  these  threats  

without  finding  resolutions  for  all  of  them  together.”    

Amory  Lovins,  Chairman  &  Chief  Scientist,  Rocky  Mountain  Institute  

How  could  S&T  better  support  a  transition  toward  sustainability?  How  could  community  planning?  

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

sustainability thinkingsustainability thinking about about

...PLACES...PLACES

...SYSTEMS...SYSTEMS

...FARMS...FARMS

...AG LANDS...AG LANDS

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

island ‘places’island ‘places’

Based  on  2010  Census  

Pearl  City  

Hilo  

Kahului  

Kihei  

Wahiawa  

Kailua-­‐Kona  

Lihu`e

  Hanapepe  

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

scale of ‘places’ scale of ‘places’ ““Census  designated  plCensus  designated  plaaces”  ces”   20102010        

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

Island systems & strategic sustainability

80% ghg reduction asap

focus on four systems

squeeze out fossil fuels

redesign/retrofit all four simultaneously at town scale

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

sustainability mission: four systems TOGETHER

Homes and vehicles are plugged in

Structures integrated with

micro-grids

Food & energy farms

with soil-building

Grow, process & store near residences

Switch to renewables

Convert to electric

Squeeze out fossil fuels

Retrofit roofs

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

four Investmentsfour Investments in productive assetsin productive assets

• To help islands achieve "climate prosperity"

• Tackle largest parts of our ecological footprint * • Simultaneously bolster our community resilience

1. High-EROI renewable energy generation

2. Low-cost mobile/distributed energy storage

3. Grid-integrated vehicle/building conversion

4. Town-linked food production/distribution/storage

• $40,000 per household total investment with high IRR

• The first three investments are currently attractive to households/businesses • All four could also be financed by shifting equity out of pension/savings funds

[* energy, transport & food ]

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

Dominant model infinite competitive growth

MAXIMUM ENTROPY

bigger fish swallowing the smaller laying waste to everything in its path

like a hurricane

no closed cycle to hold resources within or to build up stable organized structures

Sustainable model life cycle of the organism

ZERO ENTROPY

self-similar fractal structure cycles turning within cycles

the secret of sustainability

dynamically closed cycle

enables stable organized structures to build up and in a balanced way

from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho

from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

Z ER O EM ISS IO N FO O D & EN ER G Y Z ER O EM ISS IO N FO O D & EN ER G Y ( ZE FE )(ZE FE ) FA RM S FA RM S C YC LES W ITH IN C YC LESC YC LES W ITH IN C YC LES

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

ZEFE Farm Sy s t emZEFE Farm Sy s t em Feasible  composit ion  at  200Feasible  composit ion  at  200 -­‐-­‐ acre  scaleacre  scale

from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

ZEFE FarZEFE Far mm s on s on Kaua` iKaua` i Acreage required with ‘bio-intensive’ yields

Based on 2010 Census counts and John Jeavons’ crop yield “Master Charts”

* At bio-intensive productivity = 10 people per acre; Kauai needs ~30 ZEFE farms of 200 acres each

(plus another 10 farms for growth by 2030; plus another 6 farms for distributed population) NOTE: Karl Kim’s IAL study estimates Kauai’s non-meat diet can be grown on 15,000 acres.

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

KauaKaua`̀i Foodshed Mappingi Foodshed Mapping

10,000  residents  

2,250  residents  5,000  

residents  

(987  acres  needed)  

(207  acres  needed)  

(476  acres  needed)  

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

Need  650  ZEFE  farms  statewide  

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

hawai`I town solutionshawai`I town solutions

at scaleat scale •• Small townsSmall towns ZEFE farmsZEFE farms •• Long tailLong tail building blocksbuilding blocks

Pos s i b l e w i t h ava i l ab l e l andPos s i b l e w i t h ava i l ab l e l and

In timeIn time •• Fossil Fossil fuel freefuel free ‘smart money’ ‘smart money’ nownow •• Climate adaptationClimate adaptation moving targetmoving target

Syne rg i s t i c w i t h ‘ g r een ’ t r a j e c to r ySyne rg i s t i c w i t h ‘ g r een ’ t r a j e c to r y

For allFor all •• CoCo--op investmentsop investments switch consumptionswitch consumption •• TownTown--byby--towntown coconsensus plansnsensus plans

P l au s i b l e w i t h ‘ enab l e ’ s t r a t egyP l au s i b l e w i t h ‘ enab l e ’ s t r a t egy

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

ENABLING THE TRANENABLING THE TRANSITIONSITION

WHAWHAT IFT IF FOOD AND ENERGY FOOD AND ENERGY ARE EMERGING INARE EMERGING IN--TOWN LAND USES?TOWN LAND USES?

WHAT IF HOUSEHOLDS ARE INVEWHAT IF HOUSEHOLDS ARE INVESSTINGTING

IN COOP FARMS WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE?IN COOP FARMS WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE?

WHAT IF EACH TOWN FORGES ITWHAT IF EACH TOWN FORGES ITSS OWN OWN FOOD AND ENERGY PLAN?FOOD AND ENERGY PLAN?

WHAT IF CONNECTING ZEFE PARCELSWHAT IF CONNECTING ZEFE PARCELS

IS A KEY CHALLENGE?IS A KEY CHALLENGE?

WHAT IF FOODWHAT IF FOOD--RELATED RELATED TRIPSTRIPS (NOW 15(NOW 15% OF TOTA% OF TOTAL)L) LARGELY DISAPPEAR?LARGELY DISAPPEAR?

Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011

The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net

WHAT

Extend planning kuleana An t i c i pa t eAn t i c i pa t e commun i t y commun i t y r e s i l i ence i n i t i a t i ve s r e s i l i ence i n i t i a t i ve s

(especially food & energy)

WHY Enable sustainability transition

D r i ve co l l abo r a t i ve i nves tmDr i ve co l l abo r a t i ve i nves tm ee n t sn t s (especially ‘green’ infrastructure)

HOW Tool-up for ‘long tail’

C r ea te pa l l e t f o rC rea te pa l l e t f o r sma l l t own r e t r o sma l l t own r e t r o ff i t si t s (especially ‘opt-in’ process)