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Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
sustainability townsustainability town--byby--towntown
• Highlight forces and trajectories
• Outline system synergies
• Apply to small island towns
• Anticipate planning scope and tools
Key Point: Community planners must extend kuleana to explicitly include food and energy security
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
Core In s ight sCore In s ight s FROM FROM SU STA INAB I L I TY TH INK INGSU STA INAB I L I TY TH INK ING
1. View sustainability as a place-based science.
2. Need solutions at scale, in time, for all.
3. Seek systems resolution for all challenges together.
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
thoughtthought -- l eader quote sl eader quote s “The major threats and opportunities of the sustainability transition
are not only multiple, cumulative, and interactive, but also place-‐based. In other words, it is in specific regions with distinctive social and ecological attributes
that the critical threats to sustainability emerge, and where a successful transition will need to be based.
A useful science for sustainability would need to balance
its conventional preference for universal truths with a deep commitment to engaging
the unique sustainability challenges of specific places.”
Our Common Journey: A Transition Toward Sustainability Board on Sustainable Development, National Research Council, National Academy of Sciences, 1999
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐
“We most need pathways to a sustainable future that deliver solutions which are at scale, in time, for all.”
MIT President Susan Hockfield, 2008 Keynote, Alliance for Global Sustainability
-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐-‐
“Too often, the cause of our problems is our solutions. We cannot resolve any one of these threats
without finding resolutions for all of them together.”
Amory Lovins, Chairman & Chief Scientist, Rocky Mountain Institute
How could S&T better support a transition toward sustainability? How could community planning?
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
sustainability thinkingsustainability thinking about about
...PLACES...PLACES
...SYSTEMS...SYSTEMS
...FARMS...FARMS
...AG LANDS...AG LANDS
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
island ‘places’island ‘places’
Based on 2010 Census
Pearl City
Hilo
Kahului
Kihei
Wahiawa
Kailua-‐Kona
Lihu`e
Hanapepe
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
scale of ‘places’ scale of ‘places’ ““Census designated plCensus designated plaaces” ces” 20102010
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
Island systems & strategic sustainability
80% ghg reduction asap
focus on four systems
squeeze out fossil fuels
redesign/retrofit all four simultaneously at town scale
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
sustainability mission: four systems TOGETHER
Homes and vehicles are plugged in
Structures integrated with
micro-grids
Food & energy farms
with soil-building
Grow, process & store near residences
Switch to renewables
Convert to electric
Squeeze out fossil fuels
Retrofit roofs
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
four Investmentsfour Investments in productive assetsin productive assets
• To help islands achieve "climate prosperity"
• Tackle largest parts of our ecological footprint * • Simultaneously bolster our community resilience
1. High-EROI renewable energy generation
2. Low-cost mobile/distributed energy storage
3. Grid-integrated vehicle/building conversion
4. Town-linked food production/distribution/storage
• $40,000 per household total investment with high IRR
• The first three investments are currently attractive to households/businesses • All four could also be financed by shifting equity out of pension/savings funds
[* energy, transport & food ]
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
Dominant model infinite competitive growth
MAXIMUM ENTROPY
bigger fish swallowing the smaller laying waste to everything in its path
like a hurricane
no closed cycle to hold resources within or to build up stable organized structures
Sustainable model life cycle of the organism
ZERO ENTROPY
self-similar fractal structure cycles turning within cycles
the secret of sustainability
dynamically closed cycle
enables stable organized structures to build up and in a balanced way
from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho
from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
Z ER O EM ISS IO N FO O D & EN ER G Y Z ER O EM ISS IO N FO O D & EN ER G Y ( ZE FE )(ZE FE ) FA RM S FA RM S C YC LES W ITH IN C YC LESC YC LES W ITH IN C YC LES
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
ZEFE Farm Sy s t emZEFE Farm Sy s t em Feasible composit ion at 200Feasible composit ion at 200 -‐-‐ acre scaleacre scale
from “Dream Farm” by physicist Mae-Wan Ho
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
ZEFE FarZEFE Far mm s on s on Kaua` iKaua` i Acreage required with ‘bio-intensive’ yields
Based on 2010 Census counts and John Jeavons’ crop yield “Master Charts”
* At bio-intensive productivity = 10 people per acre; Kauai needs ~30 ZEFE farms of 200 acres each
(plus another 10 farms for growth by 2030; plus another 6 farms for distributed population) NOTE: Karl Kim’s IAL study estimates Kauai’s non-meat diet can be grown on 15,000 acres.
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
KauaKaua`̀i Foodshed Mappingi Foodshed Mapping
10,000 residents
2,250 residents 5,000
residents
(987 acres needed)
(207 acres needed)
(476 acres needed)
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
Need 650 ZEFE farms statewide
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
hawai`I town solutionshawai`I town solutions
at scaleat scale •• Small townsSmall towns ZEFE farmsZEFE farms •• Long tailLong tail building blocksbuilding blocks
Pos s i b l e w i t h ava i l ab l e l andPos s i b l e w i t h ava i l ab l e l and
In timeIn time •• Fossil Fossil fuel freefuel free ‘smart money’ ‘smart money’ nownow •• Climate adaptationClimate adaptation moving targetmoving target
Syne rg i s t i c w i t h ‘ g r een ’ t r a j e c to r ySyne rg i s t i c w i t h ‘ g r een ’ t r a j e c to r y
For allFor all •• CoCo--op investmentsop investments switch consumptionswitch consumption •• TownTown--byby--towntown coconsensus plansnsensus plans
P l au s i b l e w i t h ‘ enab l e ’ s t r a t egyP l au s i b l e w i t h ‘ enab l e ’ s t r a t egy
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
ENABLING THE TRANENABLING THE TRANSITIONSITION
WHAWHAT IFT IF FOOD AND ENERGY FOOD AND ENERGY ARE EMERGING INARE EMERGING IN--TOWN LAND USES?TOWN LAND USES?
WHAT IF HOUSEHOLDS ARE INVEWHAT IF HOUSEHOLDS ARE INVESSTINGTING
IN COOP FARMS WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE?IN COOP FARMS WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE?
WHAT IF EACH TOWN FORGES ITWHAT IF EACH TOWN FORGES ITSS OWN OWN FOOD AND ENERGY PLAN?FOOD AND ENERGY PLAN?
WHAT IF CONNECTING ZEFE PARCELSWHAT IF CONNECTING ZEFE PARCELS
IS A KEY CHALLENGE?IS A KEY CHALLENGE?
WHAT IF FOODWHAT IF FOOD--RELATED RELATED TRIPSTRIPS (NOW 15(NOW 15% OF TOTA% OF TOTAL)L) LARGELY DISAPPEAR?LARGELY DISAPPEAR?
Local Food & Energy Systems Planning for Sustainability Town by Town HCPO Kaua`i 2011
The Kauaian Institute Ken Stokes kauaian.net
WHAT
Extend planning kuleana An t i c i pa t eAn t i c i pa t e commun i t y commun i t y r e s i l i ence i n i t i a t i ve s r e s i l i ence i n i t i a t i ve s
(especially food & energy)
WHY Enable sustainability transition
D r i ve co l l abo r a t i ve i nves tmDr i ve co l l abo r a t i ve i nves tm ee n t sn t s (especially ‘green’ infrastructure)
HOW Tool-up for ‘long tail’
C r ea te pa l l e t f o rC rea te pa l l e t f o r sma l l t own r e t r o sma l l t own r e t r o ff i t si t s (especially ‘opt-in’ process)