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2006 Capital Markets Day John McKenna Asia 1 High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed

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Page 1: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

12006 Capital Markets Day

John McKennaAsia

1

High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed

Page 2: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

22006 Capital Markets Day

South Asia Exploration Interests

□ A long history in Asia− First licence in Pakistan in 1990

□ Current licence interests −Bangladesh (2)− India (3) − Pakistan (5)

□ Run by the Dublin office technical group−5 Geologists and 5 Geophysicists−2 Technical Support and other relevant disciplines −With a local technical group in Islamabad

Page 3: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

32006 Capital Markets Day

Core Plays: Current Exploration

Indus Basin

Cambay Basin

Bengal Basin

Assam Arakan

Potwar Basin

Fold Belts

Rift Basins

Salt Basins

Strat TrapsCO

RE

PLA

YS

Gulf of Kutch

□ All within Core Plays

□ Bangladesh− 2 exploration/appraisal licences − Fold Belt/Strat Traps

□ India − 3 exploration licences− Rift basins/Fold Belts

□ Pakistan − 8 exploration/development licences − Fold Belts

□ Asian exploration resourced to deliver− Appropriate expertise and core competencies− Recent recruitment− In-house expertise

• Seismic data acquisition• Complex seismic processing techniques

− Can call on Tullow’s Global expertise

Page 4: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

42006 Capital Markets Day

Bangladesh Block 9: Completed Activities

Highly Attractive Block

□ Second licensing round, signed in 2001

□ Known discoveries (Ring Fenced Zones)

□ Pipeline infrastructure through the Block

□ Bangora and Lalmai discoveries in 2004

Focused Appraisal in 2006□ Acquisition of 630 km2 3D seismic programme

□ Successful appraisal drilling

− Bangora–2 (July)

− Bangora-3 (Sept)

□ Bangora-4 spudded October 12

□ Tie-in the Bangora-1 / Bangora-2 wells into the national grid

□ Currently producing ~ 50 mmscfd

Page 5: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

52006 Capital Markets Day

Bangladesh Block 9: A Refinement of the Geological Model

Prospective Section

□ 2D / 3D Seismic Data Acquisition

□ G&G integration and integration with offset wells resulted in the identification of potential Hydrocarbon bearing targets

□ Plan and execute a drilling programme to test these targets

Prospective Section

Page 6: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

62006 Capital Markets Day

?

Gas sand Water-wet sand

A, B & C Sand’s

E SandD Sand (Upper & Lower

Bangladesh Block 9: Bangora-1 Discovery Well Interpretation

□ A and B sands apparently not filled to spill

□ D and E sands trapped in part stratigraphically by channel-fill

□ Gas column in D may be > mapped closure, E may have GDT

□ Apparently random distribution of gas and water sands “typical” of area

Page 7: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

72006 Capital Markets Day

Bangladesh Block 9: Bangora/Lalmai Discovery Appraisal Drilling

Upper D Sand Amplitude Map

Appraisal Wells

□ Bangora-1 & Bangora-2 from Bangora site

□ Bangora-3 from Gopalnagar site

□ Bangora-4 from Gumti site (currently mobilising)

Bangora-1

Bangora-2

GopalnagarBangora-3

Bangora-4 SubSurface Target

Gumti

Shale filledchannels

Page 8: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

82006 Capital Markets Day

□ Completion of the appraisal of the Bangora – Lalmai Discovery

□ Initiate full field development planning

□ Continue to integrate the well results

□ Further evaluate the remaining prospectivity in the Block

□ Possible new seismic programme

Bangladesh Block 9: 2007 Planned Activities

Page 9: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

92006 Capital Markets Day

□ 13,700 km2 high risk/high reward Block, Tullow 32%

□ Large structures on Sangu Trend (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

□ Material Oil prospects and active seeps SE of Block

□ Significant regional activity upgrades prospectivity

− (Bay of Bengal, Myanmar)

□ 2006 activities

− Negotiate farm out to Total

− Seek GOB approval to equity assignment and three year extension to the PSC (2009), under consideration

− Acquired 300 km 2D TZ programme in St. Martin’s Island area (Block 18)

Bangladesh Block 17 & 18

Page 10: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

102006 Capital Markets Day

BODC 1

PROFILE 2

TEKNAF ANTICLINE

NILA ANTICLINE

OKB97-1275-20-275-20-175-20-2ONSHOREOFFSHORE

OKF

UPPERMOST CHANNELLING

OKD

BOKABIL (3)TIPAM (2)

BHUBAN (4)

1

DUPITILA (1)

23

4

Bangladesh Block 17 & 18: Seismic Example

□ Intensity of deformation increases West to East

□ Low amplitude gentle anticlines in West with faulting only depth

□ High amplitude compressional features in East, fault bounded and with highly deformed cores

Page 11: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

112006 Capital Markets Day

Current Status

□ Awaiting Government approval to assign 60% interest to Total

□ Awaiting Government approval to extend the current period for an additional 3 years

2007 Activities

□ Initiate and complete 3D seismic programme

□ Extensive G & G work to integrate the new data into our existing understanding of the Block

Bangladesh Block 17 & 18

Page 12: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

122006 Capital Markets Day

□Excess demand of ~ 200 mmscfd−Current supply 1.4 bcf per day

− Forecast demand in 2011 is c. 2 bcfand in 2020 4 bcf

□Bangladesh Growth − Limited opportunities

□Ring Fenced Zones in Block 9−Srikail – BAPEX

−Bakhrabad etc

□New Licences−Block 11 (BAPEX)

− 3rd Round Blocks offshore Bay of Bengal

Asian New Ventures in Bangladesh

Page 13: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

132006 Capital Markets Day

□ Three exploration licenses−CB-ON/1

−GK-OS-5

−AA-ONJ/2

□High impact potential Cambay Basin

□Core plays −Rift basins - Cambay and Gujarat

− Fold belts - Assam

India Exploration Acreage

Page 14: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

142006 Capital Markets Day

India CB-ON-1: 2006 and 2007 Activity

□ 50% Equity

□ Operated by Reliance

2006 Activity

□ Focused on the acquisition of a 1500 km 2D seismic

□ Initial results encouraging

□ Confirm a number of leads in the Southern portion

□ Northern seismic acquisition ongoing

2006 Activity

□ G & G work towards identification and drilling multi-well campaign

Page 15: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

152006 Capital Markets Day

Palaeocene – Eocene

Tilted Fault Block Targets

Eocene - Miocene

Inversion Structure Targets

India CB-ON-1 Line 29 Recent Acquisition

□ Initial interpretation results of the current 2D programme are encouraging

□ Point towards the identification of a number of prospect for drilling in Q3 2007

Page 16: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

162006 Capital Markets Day

India CB-ON-1 Initial Results

□ Geological affinities− Barmer-Sanchor Basin to North

(3.6 Bboe in place)

− Cambay basin to South (2.8 Bbo and 5.2 BCFG initally in place)

□ Large tilted fault block structures analogous to Mangala and Bhagyam Fields in Barmer Basin

□ Increased depth to target in CB-ON-1 improves chances of oil quality being higher

□ Structural definition indicates presence of central basin high features analogous to Barmer Basin, acting as a locus for updipmigration and concentration of fields (egRaageshwari, Guda)

□ Robust inversion structures directly overlying hydrocarbon source kitchen. Similar to producing fields in Cambay Basin

□ Stratigraphic objectives in Cambay Shale highlighted by new seismic

Page 17: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

172006 Capital Markets Day

□ Recognised emerging market

□ Supply outstripping demand − both oil and gas

□ Indian growth− Licensing Round (NELP?)

− Farm-in

− Corporate Acquisition

□ Licensing Round (NELP)− unlikely to offer material exploration

opportunities and be hotly contested

− NELP evidence – 10 to 16 well bid on recent Blocks

□ Farm in – Acquisitions− opportunities where our “core play”

experience can be utilised

India New Ventures

Page 18: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

182006 Capital Markets Day

□ Five exploration licences1. Kohat

2. Bannu West

3. Block 28

4. Kohlu

5. Kohat

□ Three development leases1. Sara

2. Suri

3. Chachar

□ Core Play Fold Belts

Pakistan Exploration Acreage

Page 19: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

192006 Capital Markets Day

Pakistan Kohat and Bannu West: 2006 / 2007 Activity

Kohat (40% OP)

□ 2006 Activity – 2D seismic acquisition programme (300 km) / processing / interpretation.

□ 2007 Activity – processing / interpretation / prospect generation / drilling in Q3

Bannu West (40% OP)

□ 2006 – no activity due to security situation

□ 2007 Activity – unclear but security situation is unlikely to change significantly

Page 20: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

202006 Capital Markets Day

□Significant acreage position in emerging new play area

□ Large structural traps identified on existing seismic

□Close to multi-TCF discoveries

□Kohat – structural trend with reserve potential ~ 1 tcf

□Bannu West – 2 structural leads with reserve potential of ~ 900 bcf

Exploration Potential Pakistan: Kohat and Bannu West

Page 21: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

212006 Capital Markets Day

□Highly prospective acreage position, close to significant gas producing area

□ Licence areas ~ 11,000 km2, but security situation currently prevents access

□ Large untested structures

□Block 28 – 2 tcf/500 mmboe

□Kohlu / Kalchas – significant exploration upside

Exploration Potential Pakistan: Block 28/Kohlu/Kalchas

Page 22: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

222006 Capital Markets Day

Indonesia Licence Round and individual

farm in opportunities being evaluated

Asian Core Plays: ‘Step Out’ beyond the Sub-Continent

□ Focused ‘step out’ using core competencies and expertise

□New opportunities under review include

− Vietnam− Indonesia− PNG

− Philippines

Philippines Farm in opportunity being assessed

PNG Roadshow / Data Room in London early October

Vietnam Visit early October

Fold Belts

Rift Basins

Salt Basins

Strat TrapsCO

RE

PLA

YS

Page 23: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

232006 Capital Markets Day

2006Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2007Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2008Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

2009

Asia 2007 Drilling Summary

ExplorationDrilling/Seismic activity

Kohat

CB-ON-1

Block 9

Block 17 & 18

2D

2D

2D

Drilled well Currently drilling Planned well Probable well

Seismic acq. Seismic proc./reproc. End of current period End of licencePossible seismic acq.

Possible well

Pakistan

India

Bangladesh

Teknaf – Coral Dip 3D

Jan ‘08

Jan ’09 ?

2D

Kohat 2Kohat 1 April ‘08

Sept ‘08

Page 24: High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeedfiles.investis.com/twl/pdf/asia_b.pdf · High Impact Opportunities that are Focussed to Succeed. ... (Reju-1 drilled 1999)

242006 Capital Markets Day

Summary: Asia

Current Acreage

□ Continue to utilise Tullow’s core competencies

□ Focus on high impact exploration opportunities

□ Define and deliver a clear work programme

□ Targeting an aggressive drilling campaign in India and Pakistan in 2007

New Opportunities

□ Utilise our core competencies and core plays

□ Identify/deliver growth prospects in demand-led emerging energy markets

□ Focused ‘step-out’ beyond the boundaries of the Indian sub-continent