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www.alexbank.com The Weekly Week ending Sunday 27 April 2014 Issue : 17/2014 Higher Natural Gas Prices The Cabinet issued a decree doubling the prices of natural gas used in households and commercial activities similar to households starting May, with exempting the subsidized bread bakeries. The prices will be determined according to the following segments of consumption : below 25 cubic metres of gas per month will be charged at EGP 0. 4 per cubic metre, between 25 and 50 cubic metres per month will pay EGP1 per cubic metre, while consumpon above 50 cubic metres per month will be charged at EGP1.5 per cubic metre starng May. The amended prices is expected to increase the state’s revenues by EGP800 million to EGP1 billion per annum. The government intends to start restructuring energy subsidies as of July, coinciding with the coming fiscal year 2014/15 with no effect on the price of butane gas cylinders or electricity consumption charges for medium and low segments. In another scenario, government may postpone the rise in petroleum product prices until the smart card system will be completed by the end of the year 2014. * ($1=EGP7.01025, €1=EGP9.695255) “ The new decree raises gas prices to 20% of the internaonal price for natural gas, as compared to 7 percent now” Faisal Aboul-Ezz Egypt Gas Chairman Ahram Online 23 April 2014 “The revenues will be used in delivering the natural gas to the deprived areas as a part of a plan to expand the networks to more housing units to decrease the burdens on the citizens and reducing their needs to the butane gas cylinders” Ibrahim Mehleb Prime Minister Moheet.com 23 April 2014 "The new rise on petrol prices will be the first in eight years, the actual cost of fuel hasn't been moved up since 2006, but in 2008 the petroleum products' prices were raised due to the imposition of a sales tax" Osama Kamal Former oil minister Ahram Online 27 April 2014 1

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Page 1: Higher Natural Gas Prices - srm-med.com€¦ · Week ending Sunday 27 April 2014 Issue : 17 /2014 Higher Natural Gas Prices • The Cabinet issued a decree doubling the prices of

www.alexbank.com

The Weekly Week ending Sunday 27 April 2014

Issue : 17/2014

Higher Natural Gas Prices

• The Cabinet issued a decree doubling the prices of natural gas used in

households and commercial activities similar to households starting May,

with exempting the subsidized bread bakeries.

• The prices will be determined according to the following segments of

consumption : below 25 cubic metres of gas per month will be charged at

EGP 0. 4 per cubic metre, between 25 and 50 cubic metres per month will

pay EGP1 per cubic metre, while consump(on above 50 cubic metres per

month will be charged at EGP1.5 per cubic metre star(ng May.

• The amended prices is expected to increase the state’s revenues by

EGP800 million to EGP1 billion per annum.

• The government intends to start restructuring energy subsidies as of July,

coinciding with the coming fiscal year 2014/15 with no effect on the price

of butane gas cylinders or electricity consumption charges for medium and

low segments. In another scenario, government may postpone the rise in

petroleum product prices until the smart card system will be completed by

the end of the year 2014.

* ($1=EGP7.01025, €1=EGP9.695255)

“ The new decree raises gas prices to

20% of the interna�onal price for

natural gas, as compared to 7 percent

now”

Faisal Aboul-Ezz

Egypt Gas Chairman

Ahram Online 23 April 2014

“The revenues will be used in delivering

the natural gas to the deprived areas as

a part of a plan to expand the networks

to more housing units to decrease the

burdens on the citizens and reducing

their needs to the butane gas cylinders”

Ibrahim Mehleb Prime Minister

Moheet.com 23 April 2014

"The new rise on petrol prices will be

the first in eight years, the actual cost of

fuel hasn't been moved up since 2006,

but in 2008 the petroleum products'

prices were raised due to the imposition

of a sales tax"

Osama Kamal

Former oil minister

Ahram Online 27 April 2014

1

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The Weekly Week ending Sunday 27 April 2014

2

Controversial Law

• The Interim President, Adly Mansour issued a decree for regulating

appeals on state contracts where the law prohibits any third party from

issuing appeals against any contracts signed between the government and

the investors, except for those with in rem and in persona rights.

• Once issued, the law was faced with many criticisms stating that it is a

clear contradic(on to ar(cle 34 of the cons(tu(on and it curbs the public

supervision on the government’s decisions, where the first appeal against

the law was presented few days after the law was issued.

“The government aimed by this decree to

enhancing investment climate and

stimulating economic activity along with

providing procedural system that guarantees

the stability of the government’s contracts

and protecting the contractor within the

context of Legality and rule of law”

Presidency Statement

Ahram Newspaper 22 April 2014

“The law protects the corruption during

Mubarak’s Era and the regimes followed

with some businessmen”

Salwa Soliman

Professor Of Economics At The Faculty Of

Economics And Political Science

Al Shorouk News 25 April 2014

Demonstrations Continue

• Last Saturday, Non-Islamist opposition groups and movements marched to

Ittihadiya presidential palace demanding scrapping the controversial

protest law and the release of detainees. The demonstrations followed a

sit-in by group of women activists outside the Ittihadiya last week.

• On Friday, at least two persons were killed during clashes between

security forces and supporters of ousted President Mohamed Morsi in Al

Fayoum governorate as protest continued in several parts of Egypt against

interim authorities.

"We are here at the presidential palace

against the protest law which detains all our

fellow activists and revolutionaries at a time

when all the thieves and corrupt figures are

being released”

Khaled Ali

The Former Presiden.al Hopeful at 2012

Elections

Ahram Online 26 April 2014

Other Headlines

• The Presidential Election Committee (PEC) announced that the final

presidential candidates are the ex-army chief, Abdel Fattah El-Sisi and the

leftist, Hamdeen Sabahi, after examining the documents of both

candidates and found them satisfying the eligibility requirements set by

the commi:ee. The elec(ons will be held on the 26th and 27th of May

2014, while Egyp(ans living abroad will vote on the 15th (ll the 18th of

May.

“The PEC is considering allowing the

eliminated domestic organisations to

participate in the monitoring process

through granting them a "guest status", the

same status granted to the National Council

for Human Rights (NCHR) and the National

Council for Women”

Abdel Aziz Salman

Spokesman of the PEC

Ahram Online 27 April 2014

• Prime Minister Ibrahim Mehleb took his first tour in Africa visiting Chad

and Tanzania in an attempt to gain support for lifting of Egypt’s

suspension from the African Union. Also, discussions involved increasing

bilateral relations and signing agreements in the fields of agriculture and

petroleum.

"We will protect our rights to the Nile water

with the support of the world and African

countries, and with our efforts"

Ibrahim Mehleb

Prime Minister

Ahram Online 26 April 2014

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The Weekly Week ending Sunday 27 April 2014

3

• US started to ease restrictions on military aid to Egypt imposed after the

ous(ng of President Mohamed Morsi last year by commi>ng to send 10

Apache helicopters to support counterterrorism operations in Sinai in

addi(on to releasing $650 million in military assistance upon Congressional

approval.

* ($1=EGP7.01025, €1=$1.3833)

“We believe these new helicopters will help

the Egyptian government counter extremists

who threaten US, Egyptian, and Israeli

security”

Rear Admiral John Kirby

Pentagon Spokesman

Daily News Egypt 23 April 2014

• The security forces arrested 6 terrorists considered to belong to the

Moslem Brotherhood Group as they were accused of forming a terrorism

cell that carried violence acts against policemen and police facilities.

“The cell members were attracting youth and

universities’ students who belong to the

Brotherhood group and assigning them to

monitor police officers and personnels and

some police installations in an attempt to

spread chaos and terrorism”

Statement of Alexandria Security Directorate

Al Mesryoon Newspaper 21 April 2104

• Suez Canal revenues increased by 8.5 per cent in March 2014 reaching

$441.9 million compared to $407.4 million in March 2013.

* ($1=EGP7.01025, €1=$1.3833)

• Tourism revenues shrunk by 43 percent during the first quarter of 2014 to

register only $1.3 billion compared to same quarter last year, as a result of

terrorism attacks in major tourists destinations.

* ($1=EGP7.01025, €1=$1.3833)

“The decline is seen as a consequence of the

Taba attack in February that killed three

South Korean tourists”

Adella Ragab

Economic Advisor Of The Minister Of Tourism

Ahram Online 16 April 2014

• During a press conference,National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) announced

rebranding its subsidiary in Egypt, Al-Watany Bank of Egypt (AWB), under

the new name NBK -Egypt.

"Working under the name of National Bank

of Kuwait Bank will enhance the bank's

position in Egypt thanks to the prestigious

position enjoyed by the National Bank of

Kuwait on the regional arena"

Essam Al-Sager

Egypt Chairman

El qabas 27 April 2014

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The Weekly Week ending Sunday 27 April 2014

4

EGP Exchange Rates*

Egyptian Stock Market Indices

Macroeconomic Indicators FY 2011/2012*** FY 2012/2013*** 2013 (July-December)

Real GDP Growth Rates 2.2% 2.1% 1.2%

Budget Deficit (EGP Billion) 166.7 239.9 89.4

Budget Deficit as % of GDP 10.8% 13.8% 4.4%

Balance of Payments (USD Billion) -0.1 0.24 1.99

Gross Domestic Debt (EGP Billion) 1,155.3 1,446.6 1,651. 8

Gross Domestic Debt as % of GDP 74.9% 83.4% 80.6%

Average Headline Inflation 8.7% 6.9% 10.9%

Average Unemployment Rate 12.4% 13% 13.4%

*Average exchange rates on the last working day of the week in Egypt.

**Morgan Stanley Capital International Emerging Markets Index.

***Fiscal year ending 30 June.

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6,94 7,00 7,03 7,02 7,00 6,91 6,90 6,90 6,95 6,98 6,98 6,98 7,01

9,179,27 9,33 9,33 9,37 9,41 9,51 9,47 9,51 9,51 9,54 9,61 9,69

10,75 10,81 10,93 10,82 10,95 11,19 11,18 11,39 11,38 11,52 11,61 11,59 11,79

5,00 5,50 6,00 6,50 7,00 7,50 8,00 8,50 9,00 9,50

10,00 10,50 11,00 11,50 12,00

Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14

EGP per USD EGP per Euro EGP per Pound Sterling

35

40

45

50

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14

MS

CI

EM

EG

X

EGX 30 EGX 70(Rel.) EGX 100(Rel.) MSCI EM**