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GRAMBLING STN CAROLINA A&TTROYNORTH TEXASWKUGEORGIA STBOISE STOREGONH MARSHALLCOLORADO STMIDDLE TENNARKANSAS STH AKRONFAULOUISIANA TECHSMUTEMPLEH FIUH UABOHIO

Celebration Bowl16-Dec

New Orleans Bowl16-Dec

Cure Bowl16-Dec

Las Vegas Bowl16-Dec

New Mexico Bowl16-Dec

Camellia Bowl16-Dec

Boca Raton Bowl19-Dec

Frisco Bowl20-Dec

Gasparilla Bowl21-Dec

Bahamas Bowl22-Dec

CENT MICHIGANWYOMINGTEXAS TECHUSFSAN DIEGO STARMYH APPALACHIAN STTOLEDOFRESNO STHOUSTONUTAH WEST VIRGINIADUKENORTHERN ILLINOISHH KANSAS STUCLASOUTHERN MISSFLORIDA STIOWA BOSTON COLLEGE

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl22-Dec

Birmingham Bowl23-Dec

Armed Forces Bowl23-Dec

Dollar General Bowl23-Dec

Hawaii Bowl24-Dec

Heart of Dallas Bowl26-Dec

Quick Lane Bowl26-Dec

Cactus Bowl26-Dec

Independence Bowl27-Dec

Pinstripe Bowl27-Dec

USC OHIO STATEH LOUISVILLEMISSISSIPPI STIOWA STATEMEMPHISWASHINGTONH PENN STATEWISCONSINMIAMIMICHIGANSOUTH CAROLINAUCFAUBURNNOTRE DAMELSUGEORGIAOKLAHOMAH H ALABAMACLEMSON

Cotton Bowl29-Dec

Taxslayer Bowl30-Dec

Liberty Bowl30-Dec

Fiesta Bowl30-Dec

Orange Bowl30-Dec

Outback Bowl1-Jan

Peach Bowl1-Jan

Citrus Bowl1-Jan

Rose Bowl1-Jan

Sugar Bowl1-Jan

Texas Bowl27-Dec

Foster Farms Bowl27-Dec

Military Bowl28-Dec

Camping World Bowl28-Dec

Alamo Bowl28-Dec

Holiday Bowl28-Dec

Belk Bowl29-Dec

Sun Bowl29-Dec

Music City Bowl29-Dec

Arizona Bowl29-Dec

HHTEXASMISSOURIARIZONAHPURDUEVIRGINIANAVYVIRGINIA TECHHOKLAHOMA STSTANFORDTCUWASHINGTON STMICHIGAN STWAKE FORESTTEXAS A&MNC STATEH ARIZONA STKENTUCKYNORTHWESTERNNEW MEXICO STUTAH STATE

NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Monday January 8th

151 ALABAMA 8:10 p.m.

152 GEORGIA

FCS CHAMPIONSHIP Saturday January 6th

367 North Dakota St 12:00 p.m.

368 James Madison

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 98 9/2 59-14 W 125 97 81 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 105 108 9/2 13-24 L 66 63 85 53 86 1131-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 112 9/9 32-54 L 102 98 81 31 101 127 0-1 0-0 105 9/9 34-7 W 98 61 851-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 100 123 9/16 14-31 L 85 89 58 64 24 34 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/16 27-24 W 80 55 102 47 99 1201-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 101 96 9/23 46-43 W 81 89 89 115 92 112 #53 #85 2-1 1-2 1-0 0-0 105 97 9/23 22-17 W 82 56 97 113 98 1142-2 2-1 1-0 0-0 100 110 9/30 43-28 W 62 88 46 71 70 92 #22 #34 3-1 3-1 1-0 0-1 104 126 25 9/30 24-21 W 69 55 105 29 5 373-2 2-0 105 10/7 61 81 52 #19 #48 4-1 1-0 109 10/7 68 55 1043-2 3-1 2-0 0-1 105 111 10/14 29-26 W 54 80 16 67 50 42 #20 #50 4-1 1-4 1-0 0-1 109 98 10/11 8-19 L 71 56 107 122 86 534-2 3-3 3-0 2-0 107 110 10/21 31-69 L 54 80 27 56 95 38 #109 #12 4-2 3-2 1-1 2-0 104 101 10/21 34-10 W 82 53 115 114 111 1164-3 2-5 3-1 0-3 103 95 10/28 45-38 W 56 97 14 128 106 113 #107 #14 5-2 0-6 2-1 0-2 107 87 10/28 38-16 W 76 43 114 126 119 355-3 4-4 4-1 2-2 103 107 11/4 24-23 W 52 103 12 75 89 85 #64 #70 6-2 3-5 3-1 2-2 107 97 11/2 24-21 W 68 46 113 107 114 916-3 0-9 5-1 0-5 105 88 11/11 45-10 W 54 101 20 130 119 91 #97 #27 7-2 1-8 4-1 105 87 11/11 42-17 W 59 48 94 125 123 867-3 8-2 6-1 1-0 107 117 11/18 52-49 W 50 97 10 67 95 24 #106 #11 8-2 1-0 107 11/18 68 43 748-3 1-10 6-1 1-6 110 91 11/25 30-14 W 51 107 12 113 115 119 #83 #13 8-2 2-9 1-0 1-6 107 90 11/25 62-8 W 66 47 76 120 114 1249-3 3-3 7-1 2-0 110 110 12/2 17-41 L 48 103 7 56 95 38 #50 #32 9-2 7-3 2-0 6-1 111 112 12/2 32-25 W 57 47 54 39 44 339-4 7-2 108 12/2 78 105 7 -8 +4 10-2 3-0 114 12/9 71 46 63

10-2 3-0 114 12/16 71 46 63 9-4 7-2 108 12/16 78 105 7Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Lamar 59-14 402 16 1 31 60-436 7.3 17-24 232 2 15 33-86 2.6 20-41 180 2 at Boise St 13-24 -142 -8 -1 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4at SMU 32-54 0 2 -2 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 Alabama St 34-7 446 18 -1 32 36-257 7.1 33-42 354 0 14 32-85 2.7 15-28 80 3at Iowa 14-31 -130 -11 0 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 at New Mexico St 27-24 94 8 0 26 38-190 5.0 25-41 286 1 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 UAB 46-43 153 12 0 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 Akron 22-17 126 1 2 24 29-179 6.2 28-42 314 1 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2at Southern Miss 43-28 125 6 -2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 2 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 at LSU 24-21 -65 -5 2 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 Bye Bye UTSA 29-26 52 0 -1 19 32-87 2.7 20-35 354 3 19 41-174 4.2 13-25 215 1 South Alabama 8-19 75 6 -3 18 20-30 1.5 25-47 269 2 12 44-48 1.1 11-20 176 4at Florida Atlantic 31-69 -384 -12 -3 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 at Georgia St 34-10 150 4 -1 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4 Old Dominion 45-38 74 3 1 24 41-151 3.7 25-36 309 1 21 48-205 4.3 21-36 181 1 GA Southern 38-16 74 -3 1 16 30-241 8.0 10-20 142 0 19 62-227 3.7 6-12 82 1at Louisiana Tech 24-23 100 7 -1 26 41-204 5.0 23-37 211 2 19 41-147 3.6 16-28 168 2 Idaho 24-21 17 -2 -2 20 36-183 5.1 20-31 212 1 22 32-90 2.8 24-35 288 6 UTEP 45-10 241 12 0 27 39-259 6.6 23-35 213 0 15 32-100 3.1 16-32 131 1 at Coastal Carolina 42-17 123 8 1 24 36-122 3.4 21-33 259 1 16 37-94 2.5 14-28 164 5 Army West Point 52-49 -72 0 0 25 33-103 3.1 24-36 386 2 25 67-534 8.0 1-3 27 0 Byeat Rice 30-14 101 12 0 25 44-188 4.3 18-25 195 4 13 42-175 4.2 6-16 107 3 Texas St 62-9 341 8 4 22 31-154 5.0 26-35 487 0 14 45-153 3.4 14-21 147 3at Florida Atlantic 31-69 -384 -12 -3 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 at Arkansas St 32-25 -313 -18 2 14 25-47 1.9 23-41 246 1 32 44-169 3.8 31-50 437 4 Bye Bye† Troy † North Texas

Average 36-34 35.8 3.9 -0.6 25 38-176 4.7 63.9% 291 7.1% 21 42-208 4.9 53.3% 223 5.6% Average 30-18 77.2 1.4 0.3 20 31-151 4.8 62.6% 267 3.3% 19 38-115 3.0 60.6% 225 9.4% Conference 34-32 29.6 4.9 -0.8 25 39-174 4.4 62.7% 283 7.0% 20 40-194 4.9 53.6% 234 5.7% Conference 33-18 70.1 1.4 0.3 20 30-136 4.6 61.6% 280 2.1% 19 39-111 2.8 62.5% 235 10.8% Away 27-37 -54.9 1.1 -1.3 24 35-138 4.0 64.2% 290 8.9% 22 42-219 5.2 55.3% 264 5.9% Home 31-15 179.8 4.7 0.2 22 30-174 5.7 65.4% 296 1.8% 17 42-117 2.8 57.7% 174 12.2%

Lamar Mason Fine 15-21-224-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 12-176-14.7-3 Michael Lawrence 3-70-23.3-1 at Boise St Brandon Silvers 17-33-139-0-1 Jordan Chunn 11-41-3.7-0 Damion Willis 2-27-13.5-0at SMU Mason Fine 32-47-424-3-2 Jeffery Wilson 13-36-2.8-1 Jalen Guyton 3-109-36.3-2 Alabama St Brandon Silvers 32-40-345-0-1 Jamarius Henderson 8-107-13.4-2 Damion Willis 7-93-13.3-0at Iowa Mason Fine 16-26-167-0-1 Jeffery Wilson 12-95-7.9-1 Turner Smiley 4-74-18.5-0 vs. at New Mexico St Brandon Silvers 25-41-286-1-0 Jordan Chunn 20-87-4.4-1 Deondre Douglas 7-101-14.4-0 UAB Mason Fine 15-29-261-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 26-211-8.1-1 Kelvin Smith 4-82-20.5-0 Akron Brandon Silvers 28-41-314-1-0 Jordan Chunn 16-106-6.6-1 Deondre Douglas 7-92-13.1-1at Southern Miss Mason Fine 24-40-366-2-1 Jeffery Wilson 30-148-4.9-3 Jalen Guyton 14-211-15.1-1 at LSU Brandon Silvers 16-28-157-0-0 Jordan Chunn 30-191-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-46-15.3-0 Bye vs. Bye UTSA Mason Fine 20-34-354-3-1 Jeffery Wilson 16-83-5.2-0 Jalen Guyton 8-182-22.8-2 South Alabama Brandon Silvers 24-46-263-0-1 Jordan Chunn 10-28-2.8-0 Emanuel Thompson 6-67-11.2-0at Florida Atlantic Mason Fine 31-47-283-2-2 Jeffery Wilson 11-49-4.5-1 Michael Lawrence 11-112-10.2-0 at Georgia St Brandon Silvers 25-35-335-2-1 Josh Anderson 13-57-4.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-67-22.3-0 Old Dominion Mason Fine 25-36-309-1-1 Nic Smith 18-71-3.9-2 Rico Bussey 7-111-15.9-1 vs. GA Southern Brandon Silvers 9-18-102-1-0 Josh Anderson 15-96-6.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-53-17.7-1at Louisiana Tech Mason Fine 22-36-203-1-1 Jeffery Wilson 20-165-8.3-2 Michael Lawrence 4-47-11.8-0 Idaho Brandon Silvers 20-30-212-1-1 Jordan Chunn 18-113-6.3-2 Damion Willis 3-60-20.0-0 UTEP Mason Fine 23-35-213-4-0 Jeffery Wilson 20-144-7.2-1 Rico Bussey 3-65-21.7-1 at Coastal Carolina Brandon Silvers 18-30-206-1-1 Josh Anderson 9-58-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-66-22.0-1 Army West Point Mason Fine 24-36-386-4-1 Jeffery Wilson 19-72-3.8-2 Turner Smiley 3-123-41.0-2 vs. Byeat Rice Mason Fine 18-25-195-1-1 Nic Smith 26-178-6.8-1 Rico Bussey 3-71-23.7-1 Texas St Brandon Silvers 22-30-380-4-0 Jordan Chunn 10-80-8.0-1 Emanuel Thompson 4-97-24.3-0at Florida Atlantic Mason Fine 28-44-356-1-2 Nic Smith 14-50-3.6-0 Rico Bussey 8-109-13.6-0 at Arkansas St Brandon Silvers 23-41-246-2-0 Jordan Chunn 13-33-2.5-0 Deondre Douglas 7-74-10.6-1 Bye vs. Bye† Troy † North Texas

Mason Fine 293-456-3741-28-13 Jeffery Wilson 188-1215-6.5-16 Jalen Guyton 48-764-15.9-9 Brandon Silvers 259-413-2985-13-6 Jordan Chunn 153-770-5.0-10 Deondre Douglas 48-628-13.1-4Quinn Shanbour 4-6-34-1-0 Nic Smith 131-659-5.0-6 Michael Lawrence 56-749-13.4-3 vs. Kaleb Barker 8-13-143-1-0 Josh Anderson 71-331-4.7-4 Damion Willis 31-485-15.6-1TEAM 0-3-0-0-0 Evan Johnson 37-213-5.8-3 Rico Bussey 43-613-14.3-6 John Johnson 2-2-72-1-0 Jamarius Henderson 38-302-7.9-4 Emanuel Thompson 37-404-10.9-0

Category2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Texas - 62.5 7 20 43-186Troy - -1.5 14 19 30-108 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

North Texas Coaches

Troy Coaches

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Troy

North Texas Troy 454 yards

North Texas 36 points

Team Schedule StrengthNorth Texas Troy

Troy

103

74

28 points

430 yardsProjected Final Score

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

† Troy

Old Dominionat Louisiana Tech UTEP Army West Point

North Texas Pts

Troy Pts

Phil's Forecast:

North Texas

Troy Leaders

Troy tied for the SBC title, while NT got to the CUSA title game. I give a slight edge at QB to Mason Fine, who improved in his 2nd year as a starter. The Mean Green has a slight edge at WR. Notre Dame transfer Jalen Guyton (PS#39), led with 749 yards. NT has a good-sized edge on ST’s. NT has faced the tougher sked. With the Mean Green’s top RB Jeffery Wilson out, I give Troy the edge, led by the schools all-time rushing leader, Jordan Chunn. Troy’s biggest edge is at DL. Troy has an edge at LB, DB, and HC Neal Brown is 1-0 in bowls, while Seth Littrell is 0-1. I give the Trojans a slight crowd edge in their second trip to Louisiana this year. I like Troy to win the game as they have a significant edge on defense.

0.44

North Texas OL1.13

0.95

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

1.04

2.23

Troy DLNorth Texas DL

North Texas ST's

Troy ST's

Troy OL

North Texas QB/WR

Troy DB's

Phil Steele

3.27

North Texas K

Troy K

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOEFOE

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Pass Def

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing138 yards

Team & Margin

290 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

North Texas DB's

Troy

6-17-2

at LSU Bye South Alabamaat Georgia St

at Boise St Alabama Stat New Mexico St Akron

Texas Stat Arkansas St

293 yards

NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS

North Texas

Rush Off

Troy

Pass Off

Comp-Att-Yds 12-29-23629-44-274

at Riceat Florida Atlantic Bye

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

128

0.75

North Texas

Troy

6.43

35Experience Rankings

North Texas 164 yards

North Texas Troy

Troy LB's

Bye UTSAat Florida Atlantic

Lamarat SMUat Iowa UAB

9-4vs. CUSA

Rush Def

Score OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Nor

th T

exas

Mea

n G

reen

Troy

Tro

jan

s

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

Total Def

Receiving

North Texas Leaders

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Troy TrojansTrojans LogsMean Green Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

10-2vs. SUN

TEAMFOE +/-

APFOE

FOE

North Texas Mean Green

Troy by 11

North Texas LB'S

Troy By 7

62 Points

Troy By 6.5

at Southern Miss

Troy 38 North Texas 27

Troy 35-28

By 3.16 Points

Troy

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Bye† North Texas

GA Southern Idahoat Coastal Carolina Bye

Position by Position Edges

Troy QB/WR

1.20

North Texas RB's

Troy By 2.2

Troy 454-430

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Troy RB's

1.81

0.15

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

NetScore


COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TROY UNT 129 rush yd 171 303 pass yd 277 25 pts 36 -8 ytd to +4 #117 sked #94

CHECKLIST TROY UNT edge edge

– QB 1/2 4 RB – – WR 1/2 – OL – 444 DL – 4 LB – 41/2 DB – 4 CCH – 1/2 SITE – 41/2 MTCH – – INT 4

– ST 4 4

– SKED 4

OVERALL

TROY BY 4’ 4’s

Saturday, December 16, 2017 • 1:00 pmESPN • Mercedez-Benz Superdome • New Orleans, LA

NEW ORLEANS BOWLTROY (10-2)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 3-9

NORTH TEXAS (9-4)ATS: 8-5 O/U: 7-6

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 96 8/31 10-17 L 126 112 130 0-0 0-0 124 9/2 31-17 W 52 77 20-1 0-0 93 9/9 124 117 130 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/9 7-20 L 78 74 2 96 93 990-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 93 139 5 9/16 0-56 L 126 118 104 6 9 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/16 22-23 L 96 79 24 74 100 420-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 92 91 9/23 28-0 W 127 122 129 122 120 104 #117 #130 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 113 103 9/23 33-21 W 114 75 4 95 121 641-2 0-0 97 9/30 126 116 123 #31 #9 2-2 0-1 113 9/30 114 74 21-2 0-0 97 92 10/7 27-21 W 125 114 129 126 126 112 #86 #65 2-2 0-5 0-1 0-1 113 88 10/7 15-14 W 116 72 2 130 128 762-2 3-2 1-0 3-0 97 101 10/14 47-37 W 124 115 122 83 110 83 #119 #82 3-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 109 90 10/14 45-14 W 120 76 20 117 121 813-2 4-2 2-0 1-1 101 104 10/21 10-34 L 114 111 116 82 53 115 #58 #125 4-2 2-4 2-1 0-2 110 93 10/20 35-31 W 108 81 19 127 104 1133-3 3-4 2-1 2-1 98 103 10/26 21-13 W 117 110 118 120 80 49 #46 #77 5-2 4-3 3-1 3-0 108 114 10/28 28-42 L 107 92 25 43 89 304-3 0-7 3-1 0-3 101 87 11/4 21-17 W 118 102 118 127 122 39 #93 #37 5-3 3-5 3-2 0-5 106 112 11/4 17-31 L 105 94 66 98 65 1225-3 2-7 4-1 1-4 100 88 11/11 33-30 W 118 105 122 120 110 123 #62 #50 5-4 6-3 3-2 3-2 105 111 11/11 23-30 L 112 100 76 67 36 346-3 5-1 99 11/18 116 102 114 #55 #69 5-5 5-5 3-3 3-3 105 102 11/17 41-38 W 112 93 83 107 83 536-3 6-4 5-1 5-1 99 103 11/25 10-31 L 112 102 119 47 64 78 #107 #129 6-5 6-4 4-3 4-3 105 101 11/25 17-41 L 108 95 75 89 115 716-4 3-8 5-2 2-5 95 95 12/2 10-24 L 112 109 129 118 101 121 #77 #58 6-6 4-4 100 12/16 109 95 896-5 5-3 91 12/9 116 106 128 -6 -6 6-6 6-5 4-4 5-3 100 91 12/16 110 92 90 116 106 128

6-6 4-4 100 12/16 110 92 90Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Tennessee St 10-17 -110 -7 -4 14 29-49 1.7 18-23 224 3 21 42-238 5.7 12-25 145 1 Eastern Kentucky 31-17 19 -2 -1 20 40-100 2.5 20-31 264 4 22 22-25 1.1 29-48 320 1 Bye at Illinois 7-20 -56 -5 -1 14 16-6 0.4 28-43 238 2 19 50-193 3.9 14-25 107 1at Penn St 0-56 -206 2 -5 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 Louisiana Tech 22-23 -61 3 1 23 41-141 3.4 25-35 226 4 20 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1at Charlotte 28-0 96 8 3 22 40-119 3.0 26-37 250 0 14 34-94 2.8 16-29 179 1 Ball St 33-21 -3 5 1 22 30-52 1.7 28-44 319 4 17 31-107 3.5 18-36 267 1 Bye Byeat Coastal Carolina 27-21 -2 5 -1 22 40-91 2.3 18-30 273 1 17 32-127 4.0 18-26 239 2 at UTEP 15-14 -5 3 0 18 33-74 2.2 24-37 208 2 15 36-163 4.5 12-22 124 0at ULM 47-37 239 12 1 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7 Charlotte 45-14 318 25 0 34 34-121 3.6 43-58 506 2 9 34-248 7.3 9-19 61 2 Troy 10-34 -150 -4 1 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0 at Old Dominion 35-31 -32 3 2 23 33-73 2.2 25-35 343 3 20 48-268 5.6 17-25 180 0 South Alabama 21-13 -29 1 1 16 34-114 3.4 17-31 195 0 15 23-41 1.8 27-48 297 1 Florida Atlantic 28-42 9 11 -3 32 33-99 3.0 32-56 371 2 21 55-368 6.7 10-24 93 0at GA Southern 21-17 32 -4 2 15 24-49 2.0 22-37 319 4 19 50-189 3.8 22-28 147 0 at Vanderbilt 17-31 -45 3 0 22 30--6 -0.2 33-53 355 6 19 35-174 5.0 14-21 220 1at Texas St 33-30 140 -2 -1 21 41-162 4.0 26-40 368 2 23 25-75 3.0 35-55 315 1 at Marshall 23-30 34 -1 -1 21 19-34 1.8 28-42 334 3 22 49-144 2.9 17-28 190 2 Bye Middle Tennessee 41-38 107 -2 -1 25 33-53 1.6 39-54 485 5 27 33-137 4.2 27-46 294 1 Appalachian St 10-31 -138 -6 1 14 26-91 3.5 22-35 201 2 20 46-323 7.0 15-23 107 0 at FIU 17-41 28 5 -3 23 28-46 1.6 30-49 355 5 18 34-122 3.6 18-27 251 0 Idaho 10-24 60 8 -4 26 39-164 4.2 27-45 271 3 18 40-147 3.7 16-30 228 4 Bye Bye † Georgia St† WKU

Average 20-25 -6.2 1.2 -0.5 20 36-115 3.2 63.6% 270 6.0% 19 34-149 4.4 62.8% 242 4.9% Average 26-27 26.1 4.0 -0.5 23 31-66 2.1 66.1% 334 7.8% 19 38-173 4.5 57.5% 201 2.8% Conference 22-26 19.0 1.3 0.0 20 35-118 3.4 62.5% 291 5.8% 19 34-143 4.1 64.0% 248 5.3% Conference 28-29 49.8 5.9 -0.6 25 32-80 2.5 67.2% 354 7.1% 19 40-197 4.9 57.4% 187 2.6% Away 26-27 49.8 3.5 -0.2 22 39-133 3.4 64.5% 304 5.2% 19 34-128 3.8 66.2% 259 5.9% Home 33-26 64.8 6.7 -0.5 26 35-94 2.7 67.3% 362 7.6% 19 34-168 4.9 54.2% 224 2.8%

Tennessee St Conner Manning 14-17-159-0-0 Taz Bateman 11-31-2.8-0 Taz Bateman 6-74-12.3-1 Eastern Kentucky Mike White 20-31-264-1-0 Marquez Trigg 16-61-3.8-1 Lucky Jackson 5-144-28.8-1 Bye at Illinois Mike White 28-43-238-0-1 D'Andre Ferby 7-14-2.0-0 Nacarius Fant 10-110-11.0-0at Penn St Conner Manning 16-29-133-0-3 Taz Bateman 29-100-3.4-0 Penny Hart 7-56-8.0-0 vs. Louisiana Tech Mike White 25-35-226-0-0 Quinton Baker 19-79-4.2-1 Xavier Lane 5-54-10.8-0at Charlotte Conner Manning 26-37-250-1-0 Glenn Smith 31-90-2.9-2 Penny Hart 11-141-12.8-1 Ball St Mike White 28-44-319-1-2 Jakairi Moses 12-56-4.7-1 Xavier Lane 6-86-14.3-0 Bye Byeat Coastal Carolina Glenn Smith 0-0-0-0-0 Tra Barnett 0-0-0.0-0 Tra Barnett 0-0-0.0-0 vs. at UTEP Mike White 24-37-208-0-0 Jakairi Moses 19-50-2.6-0 Lucky Jackson 3-56-18.7-0at ULM Conner Manning 18-30-273-1-1 Glenn Smith 23-74-3.2-0 Penny Hart 8-132-16.5-1 Charlotte Mike White 33-47-398-5-0 Quinton Baker 14-74-5.3-0 Kylen Towner 6-111-18.5-1 Troy Conner Manning 26-35-446-4-0 Kyler Neal 14-65-4.6-1 Penny Hart 11-190-17.3-3 at Old Dominion Mike White 24-34-304-5-1 Quinton Baker 14-48-3.4-0 Quin Jernighan 6-81-13.5-1 South Alabama Conner Manning 25-40-255-1-1 Glenn Smith 11-19-1.7-0 Tamir Jones 5-75-15.0-0 vs. Florida Atlantic Mike White 32-56-371-2-2 Jakairi Moses 11-42-3.8-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 6-70-11.7-1at GA Southern Conner Manning 17-31-195-2-0 Glenn Smith 17-73-4.3-0 Penny Hart 6-98-16.3-1 at Vanderbilt Mike White 31-50-324-0-0 D'Andre Ferby 12-19-1.6-0 Lucky Jackson 7-135-19.3-0at Texas St Conner Manning 22-37-319-2-1 Glenn Smith 11-49-4.5-0 Penny Hart 8-191-23.9-1 at Marshall Mike White 28-41-334-3-1 D'Andre Ferby 13-39-3.0-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 9-99-11.0-1 Bye Conner Manning 26-40-368-2-0 Glenn Smith 22-98-4.5-0 Devin Gentry 3-120-40.0-2 vs. Middle Tennessee Mike White 39-54-485-5-0 D'Andre Ferby 21-64-3.0-0 Lucky Jackson 5-109-21.8-1 Appalachian St Conner Manning 22-35-201-0-1 Tra Barnett 5-42-8.4-0 Penny Hart 5-61-12.2-0 at FIU Mike White 30-49-355-2-0 D'Andre Ferby 12-54-4.5-0 Cameron Echols-Luper 8-101-12.6-0 Idaho Conner Manning 27-44-271-0-0 Glenn Smith 18-79-4.4-1 Tamir Jones 6-82-13.7-0 Bye Bye vs. † Georgia St† WKU

Conner Manning 239-375-2870-13-7 Glenn Smith 147-521-3.5-3 Penny Hart 73-1094-15.0-8 Mike White 342-521-3826-24-7 D'Andre Ferby 112-362-3.2-3 Nacarius Fant 67-634-9.5-4Aaron Winchester 6-9-102-1-1 Kyler Neal 61-181-3.0-4 Glenn Smith 43-342-8.0-1 vs. Drew Eckels 8-11-86-0-1 Jakairi Moses 60-249-4.2-2 Lucky Jackson 37-592-16.0-3Glenn Smith 0-1-0-0-1 Taz Bateman 52-180-3.5-0 Tamir Jones 30-328-10.9-0 Nacarius Fant 2-2-51-1-0 Quinton Baker 65-233-3.6-1 Deon Yelder 47-576-12.3-5

Category2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.WKU - -18.5 44 25 46-203Georgia St - 57 28 18 27-85 0

vs.

vs.

vs. Wku 424-366

WKU Leaders

Net

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score Georgia St ST's2.08

WKU ST's

Georgia St Leaders

Ret

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120 yards Georgia St

Phil SteeleWKU by 11

Team & Margin

Team Schedule Strength

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineWku By 6.5

Georgia St RB'sWKU DB's

0.87

† WKUNet Defense

Geo

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Ypg Diff Idaho


WK

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Georgia St WKU

Offense

Bye Bye Total TO's † Georgia St

Georgia St QB/WR

0.68WKU LB's

WKU DL

WKU RB's0.41

at Illinoisat Penn St Louisiana Tech

Bye Score Def Middle Tennessee Appalachian St Sks By at FIU

at GA Southern Pass Def at Vanderbiltat Texas St Total Def at Marshall

Troy Sks Allowed at Old Dominion South Alabama Rush Def Florida Atlantic

Georgia St OL

Georgia St DL0.68

WKU OL

FOE +/-AP

FOE FOETEAM

WKU HilltoppersPanthers Logs vs. SUN vs. CUSA Hilltoppers Logs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

REC5-3 4-4FOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

ReceivingPassing Rushing

DefenseScore Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

REC

at Coastal Carolina Total Off at UTEPat ULM Score Off Charlotte

at Charlotte Rush Off Ball St Bye Pass Off Bye

Tennessee St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Eastern Kentucky Bye Georgia St WKU

Georgia St WKU 373 yards

WKU 51 yardsGeorgia St K

WKU KGeorgia St Coaches

WKU

Projected Rushing

424 yards


WKU Coaches366 yards Georgia StProjected Yardage Total

Georgia St 26 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score1.9621 points WKU

Experience Rankings

126 Georgia St WKU 127

18 Georgia St 80WKUComputer Points

Computer YardsGeorgia St Pts

5.65

WKU

Both teams got here by beating bad teams as WKU defeated teams that were a combined 18-53, while GSt vanquished foes that combined for a 16-56 record. While both teams come in with 6 wins, the Panthers losses were by an avg of 29 ppg vs FBS foes. WKU avg just 326 ypg and 21.6 ppg their F/5 games, but over the L/7 games, improved to 453 ypg and 29.4 ppg. WKU has the edge on OFF, D, and ST’s and needs a win to avoid a losing season. GSt is 6-5 and just happy to be in a bowl. WKU was +23 ypg vs the 5 bowl teams they faced, while GSt was -165 ypg vs the 3 bowl teams they faced.

Phil's Forecast:

53.5 Points

+/- Ratings

0.18

Wku By 9.0

Game GradeWku By 3.2

WKU Pts

0.04

Las Vegas Total

Georgia St LB'S

2.66WKU QB/WR

Georgia St DB's

Wku 26-21

WKU 28 Georgia St 17By 3.68 Points

OVERALL:6-5 6-6Georgia St Panthers OVERALL:

Comp-Att-Yds 18-29-24126-41-325

Saturday, December 16, 2017 • 2:30 pmCBS • Camping World Stadium • Orlando, FL

CURE BOWLWKU (6-6)ATS: 4-8 O/U: 7-5

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WKU GST 55 rush yd 131 387 pass yd 245 27 pts 21 -6 ytd to -7 #128 sked #124

CHECKLIST WKU GST edge edge

4 QB – – RB – 4 WR – – OL 4

– DL – 4 LB – 4 1/2 DB – – CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 4 4 ST – – SKED –

GEORGIA ST (6-5)ATS: 4-6-1 O/U: 3-8

OVERALL

WKU BY 5’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 123 9/2 77-21 W 8 42 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 105 9/2 24-13 W 53 86 113 66 63 851-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 128 115 9/9 42-35 W 1 37 19 50 32 42 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 20 9/9 44-47 L 66 62 113 18 50 732-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 127 107 9/16 49-13 W 1 34 19 114 102 123 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 111 103 9/14 28-14 W 69 45 71 65 104 133-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 130 113 24 9/23 35-37 L 3 32 59 60 61 106 #8 #90 2-1 2-1 1-0 0-0 111 108 9/22 23-42 L 76 45 49 90 60 1053-1 3-1 0-1 0-1 126 119 9/30 45-24 W 5 25 59 83 46 83 #97 #44 2-2 1-0 106 9/30 88 61 474-1 5-0 1-1 2-0 128 127 11 10/7 10-38 L 6 19 50 27 38 61 #25 #64 2-2 1-4 1-0 0-3 106 102 10/6 24-7 W 88 62 54 119 61 914-2 4-2 1-2 3-1 123 132 23 10/14 7-49 L 8 17 43 5 32 6 #18 #38 3-2 6-0 1-0 2-0 111 122 19 10/14 31-14 W 94 59 14 85 53 344-3 3-3 1-3 1-2 119 116 10/21 14-31 L 14 20 68 15 58 86 #45 #80 4-2 4-2 2-0 2-0 116 109 10/21 24-14 W 93 48 7 122 88 724-4 4-3 1-4 1-3 115 120 10/28 41-20 W 19 22 76 50 29 13 #26 #20 5-2 4-4 3-0 2-2 119 111 10/28 41-14 W 94 51 7 101 94 35-4 7-1 2-4 4-1 120 136 12 11/4 3-38 L 16 20 84 28 4 37 #76 #44 6-2 1-7 4-0 1-3 123 104 11/4 41-14 W 83 44 6 88 119 1115-5 2-5 117 11/11 20 25 98 #41 #23 7-2 6-4 5-0 4-2 124 112 11/11 59-52 W 75 52 5 31 105 465-5 7-3 2-5 5-2 117 126 11/18 48-28 W 19 25 103 6 67 75 #77 #35 8-2 4-6 6-0 3-3 124 106 11/18 44-19 W 59 60 1 63 124 686-5 1-10 3-5 0-8 122 104 11/25 69-10 W 18 21 93 95 110 98 #23 #31 9-2 8-3 7-0 6-1 124 113 25 11/25 17-28 L 58 60 7 76 70 477-5 4-5 126 12/2 14 20 92 #23 #38 9-3 8-3 7-1 6-1 120 113 25 12/2 17-14 W 58 61 10 76 70 477-5 10-3 4-5 8-1 126 120 12/16 10 20 92 73 58 12 +1 +12 10-3 8-1 120 25 12/9 73 58 12

7-5 4-5 126 25 12/16 10 20 92Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Southern Utah 77-21 338 12 0 37 52-348 6.7 23-27 355 1 25 38-99 2.6 25-48 266 5 Troy 24-13 142 8 1 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 Nebraska 42-35 205 3 2 22 44-201 4.6 25-33 365 0 19 29-109 3.8 19-41 252 2 at Washington St 44-47 -54 -6 -1 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5at Wyoming 49-13 375 22 -1 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2 New Mexico 28-14 -13 -6 2 12 32-127 4.0 15-19 137 1 18 51-198 3.9 8-16 79 1at Arizona St 35-37 -88 -3 0 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 Virginia 23-42 -57 1 -1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 California 45-24 196 7 1 24 56-328 5.9 17-22 131 0 17 29-8 0.3 23-43 255 7 Bye Washington St 10-33 -92 -7 -1 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4 at BYU 24-7 62 7 1 19 47-158 3.4 13-20 142 0 12 23-66 2.9 20-37 172 1at Stanford 7-49 -195 -13 -1 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 at San Diego St 31-14 -12 -1 1 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 5at UCLA 14-31 -88 2 -2 24 62-246 4.0 8-15 74 4 22 37-142 3.8 21-36 266 2 Wyoming 24-14 101 6 2 21 43-166 3.9 18-24 177 3 15 34-111 3.3 12-27 131 4 Utah 41-20 32 -1 0 19 49-347 7.1 10-13 69 2 20 30-91 3.0 25-43 293 4 at Utah St 41-14 254 14 0 27 45-163 3.6 24-34 370 3 13 27-93 3.4 18-34 186 0at Washington 3-38 -173 -3 -1 16 55-247 4.5 7-13 31 2 19 39-247 6.3 11-19 204 0 Nevada 41-14 177 7 3 24 35-140 4.0 25-34 339 0 17 29-142 4.9 24-37 160 1 Bye at Colorado St 59-52 71 0 0 33 39-310 7.9 23-45 331 2 33 52-261 5.0 29-43 309 2 Arizona 48-28 258 -3 1 24 50-353 7.1 14-21 235 1 27 45-171 3.8 18-35 159 2 Air Force 44-19 132 1 3 19 29-90 3.1 18-26 338 0 18 51-181 3.5 7-13 115 4 Oregon St 69-10 366 13 3 28 49-311 6.3 16-26 266 1 15 36-98 2.7 12-23 113 0 at Fresno St 17-28 -30 1 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0 Bye Fresno St 17-28 -30 1 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0† Boise St Bye

† Oregon Average 37-28 94.5 2.4 0.1 23 50-268 5.4 64.4% 186 7.6% 20 36-130 3.6 55.2% 230 7.6% Average 32-22 63.7 2.5 0.9 21 37-146 3.9 63.5% 254 6.7% 18 36-126 3.5 58.5% 211 6.9% Conference 30-30 24.0 -0.9 0.0 20 49-262 5.4 60.0% 141 9.7% 21 37-137 3.7 58.1% 242 7.5% Conference 34-20 81.7 2.4 1.3 21 36-155 4.3 65.6% 263 5.5% 19 39-145 3.8 55.8% 192 7.1% Away 22-34 -33.8 1.0 -1.0 21 51-239 4.7 53.8% 134 11.3% 20 40-179 4.4 59.2% 228 5.4% Home 31-19 80.3 2.8 1.7 20 35-117 3.4 65.4% 259 6.4% 17 39-146 3.7 55.8% 150 9.6%

Southern Utah Justin Herbert 17-21-281-1-0 Royce Freeman 23-150-6.5-4 Charles Nelson 5-99-19.8-0 Troy Brett Rypien 13-23-160-0-1 Alex Mattison 13-82-6.3-1 Cedrick Wilson 4-65-16.3-0 Nebraska Justin Herbert 25-33-365-3-1 Royce Freeman 29-153-5.3-2 Charles Nelson 8-117-14.6-1 at Washington St Montell Cozart 12-20-161-2-1 Montell Cozart 14-72-5.1-1 Cedrick Wilson 9-147-16.3-2at Wyoming Justin Herbert 18-29-251-1-1 Royce Freeman 30-157-5.2-3 Dillon Mitchell 6-65-10.8-0 vs. New Mexico Montell Cozart 15-19-137-2-0 Montell Cozart 9-71-7.9-1 Cedrick Wilson 3-64-21.3-0at Arizona St Justin Herbert 19-35-281-3-0 Royce Freeman 15-81-5.4-1 Jacob Breeland 4-95-23.8-0 Virginia Brett Rypien 24-42-285-0-1 Robert Mahone 3-21-7.0-0 Cedrick Wilson 13-209-16.1-1 California Justin Herbert 7-8-86-1-0 Kani Benoit 18-138-7.7-2 Brenden Schooler 1-37-37.0-1 Bye Washington St Braxton Burmeister 15-27-145-1-2 Royce Freeman 12-62-5.2-0 Brenden Schooler 5-61-12.2-0 vs. at BYU Brett Rypien 12-19-125-1-1 Alex Mattison 29-118-4.1-2 Cedrick Wilson 3-43-14.3-0at Stanford Braxton Burmeister 3-8-23-0-2 Royce Freeman 18-143-7.9-0 Brenden Schooler 2-15-7.5-0 at San Diego St Brett Rypien 11-19-72-1-0 Alex Mattison 23-128-5.6-1 Cedrick Wilson 2-60-30.0-0at UCLA Braxton Burmeister 8-15-74-0-1 Royce Freeman 29-160-5.5-0 Charles Nelson 4-40-10.0-0 Wyoming Brett Rypien 12-17-104-0-0 Alex Mattison 17-91-5.4-0 Cedrick Wilson 5-66-13.2-1 Utah Braxton Burmeister 9-12-47-1-0 Royce Freeman 20-139-7.0-0 Jacob Breeland 1-22-22.0-1 vs. at Utah St Brett Rypien 19-27-260-3-0 Alex Mattison 19-110-5.8-0 Cedrick Wilson 6-94-15.7-1at Washington Braxton Burmeister 7-13-31-0-1 Royce Freeman 24-122-5.1-0 Charles Nelson 4-18-4.5-0 Nevada Brett Rypien 20-27-258-2-0 Alex Mattison 12-64-5.3-2 Cedrick Wilson 5-80-16.0-1 Bye at Colorado St Brett Rypien 23-43-331-4-1 Alex Mattison 23-242-10.5-3 Cedrick Wilson 3-73-24.3-0 Arizona Justin Herbert 14-21-235-1-1 Royce Freeman 19-135-7.1-4 Charles Nelson 4-74-18.5-0 vs. Air Force Brett Rypien 16-22-300-3-0 Alex Mattison 17-42-2.5-0 AJ Richardson 3-123-41.0-1 Oregon St Justin Herbert 13-23-251-3-0 Royce Freeman 19-122-6.4-2 Dillon Mitchell 6-119-19.8-2 at Fresno St Brett Rypien 22-31-278-0-0 Alex Mattison 15-63-4.2-1 Cedrick Wilson 7-134-19.1-0 Bye Fresno St Brett Rypien 16-30-246-0-0 Ryan Wolpin 11-50-4.5-1 Cedrick Wilson 8-148-18.5-0† Boise St vs. Bye

† OregonJustin Herbert 113-170-1750-13-3 Royce Freeman 244-1475-6.0-16 Charles Nelson 30-392-13.1-1 Brett Rypien 195-308-2495-14-4 Alex Mattison 209-1074-5.1-12 Cedrick Wilson 73-1290-17.7-6Braxton Burmeister 44-77-330-2-6 Kani Benoit 80-573-7.2-10 Dillon Mitchell 33-374-11.3-4 vs. Montell Cozart 61-95-767-10-1 Ryan Wolpin 99-377-3.8-4 AJ Richardson 33-494-15.0-2Taylor Alie 19-27-134-0-1 Tony Brooks-James 86-485-5.6-2 Jacob Breeland 17-311-18.3-5 Cedrick Wilson 2-2-46-0-0 Montell Cozart 86-361-4.2-4 Jake Roh 39-410-10.5-9

CategoryNone vs.

vs.

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FOE +/-AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Oregon Leaders

OffenseNet† Oregon

Ore

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Rushing Receiving

Boise St DB's

Score

Oregon OL

1.02Oregon DL

Boise St OL

0.86

By Game Yardage LeadersOregon

111 yards


Boise St

34 points

at San Diego St

Nebraska Oregon

at Arizona St Rush Off

Boise St

Pass Off

Fresno St

Net OffenseDefense

† Boise St Total TO's Bye

Arizona Score Def Air Force Oregon St Sks By at Fresno St

at Washington Pass Def Nevada Bye Total Def at Colorado St

at UCLA Sks Allowed

Washington St Total Offat Stanford Score Off

FOE REC

vs. PAC 12 vs. MTW Broncos LogsOregon Ducks

Ducks Logs

TM REC FOE REC

ReceivingBoise St

Passing RushingPosition by Position Edges

NCAA RANKINGS FOETEAM --PS RANK-- AP

TM +/-FOE 4-5

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

New Mexico Virginia

at Washington St

FOE +/-FOE CONF

8-1 TM REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Troy

WyomingRush Def at Utah St

Byeat BYU

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Wyoming

California

FOE

Boi

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Oregon QB/WR1.47

Bye Ypg Diff

Projected Final Score434 yards Oregon

Oregon

Score

2.52Boise St LB's

Oregon RB's

Southern Utah

Utah

7.82Oregon Pts

Experience RankingsBoise St

Boise St Pts

Boise St DL

236 yards OregonProjected Rushing

Boise St RB's1.95

Oregon LB'S

Oregon Boise St

Ret

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Projected Box ScoreLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Oregon


21 Oregon Boise St

Oregon by 7 Oregon 34 Boise St 27By 5.05 Points

Oregon By 5.0

Oregon By 5.0

119

Boise St 350 yards

27 points


239 yards

77Team Schedule Strength

Oregon 434-350

Computer Points

Computer Yards

+/- Ratings

Phil Steele63 Oregon Boise St

OVERALL:

Phil's Forecast:

Boise St Leaders

2.27Oregon ST's Team & Margin

Boise St ST's

Oregon DB's0.02

Boise St QB/WR

BSt got off to a slow start this year. Their OFF avg just 337 ypg the F/7 games. Over the L/6 games, BSt improved to 474 ypg overall and won the MWC. Top RB Alex Mattison inj’d his ankle and is questionable. BSt’s top WR is the dangerous Cedrick Wilson and that is the only position that they have an edge on OFF or D. BSt does have a veteran HC in Bryan Harsin, who is 2-1 in bowls. Oregon HC Willie Taggart left for FSU, but the new HC was already on staff in Mario Cristobal. He is 1-1 in bowls. While BSt has the edge statistically on D, the Ducks took on much more potent OFF’s. I give Oregon a small edge on the DL with good sized edges at LB and DB. The biggest wild card is QB Justin Herbert, who started the F/5 games, but was inj’d and missed 5. Without Herbert, Oregon avg just 15 ppg, but in his 7 games they avg an amazing 52.1 ppg! I like Oregon to win the game.

Game Grade

0.23

Oregon Coaches0.25

Boise St K

Oregon K

Boise St Broncos7-5 10-3OVERALL:

Oregon By 7Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total61 Points

2.77

Oregon 34-27

Boise St Coaches

Saturday, December 16, 2017 • 3:30 pmABC • Sam Boyd Stadium • Las Vegas, NV

LAS VEGAS BOWLBOISE STATE (10-3)ATS: 7-6 O/U: 5-8

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS BOISE OREG 109 rush yd 250 244 pass yd 191 26 pts +35 +12 ytd to +1 #68 sked #58

CHECKLIST BOISE OREG edge edge

– QB 4

– RB 44 1/2 1/2 WR – – OL 44

– DL 1/2 – LB 41/2 – DB 41/2 41/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 444

41/2 INT – 44 ST – – SKED 4

OREGON (7-5)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4

OVERALL

OREGON BY 7’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 116 9/2 31-26 W 86 44 55 97 79 92 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 120 8/26 58-27 W 42 95 47 59 64 1041-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 104 122 9/9 20-37 L 93 43 55 29 19 36 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 118 9/1 3-17 L 52 96 47 32 71 941-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/16 21-0 W 92 46 12 129 122 46 1-1 0-0 120 9/9 38-10 W 53 96 622-1 0-0 106 9/23 91 47 22 #104 #29 2-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 119 142 1 9/16 23-41 L 61 93 29 4 1 282-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 106 111 9/30 38-21 W 95 54 17 111 89 91 #57 #24 2-2 0-0 119 9/23 60 93 363-1 0-5 0-0 0-1 110 89 10/7 14-3 W 93 51 38 114 121 114 #94 #10 2-2 2-2 0-0 0-1 121 98 9/30 51-21 W 44 94 39 57 119 1304-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 109 96 10/14 35-3 W 86 44 32 126 99 89 #81 #29 3-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 122 111 10/7 27-14 W 38 87 59 104 104 295-1 3-4 2-0 1-2 112 102 10/20 38-10 W 77 34 40 104 77 55 #2 #2 4-2 1-5 2-0 1-1 118 100 10/14 44-42 W 31 86 45 107 106 1096-1 4-2 3-0 2-1 116 101 10/28 30-41 L 74 28 29 96 111 62 #19 #86 5-2 3-3 3-0 1-2 117 107 10/20 27-24 W 31 91 52 76 99 536-2 5-3 3-1 4-0 111 116 11/3 25-30 L 66 38 30 43 85 17 #47 #96 6-2 3-4 4-0 2-2 112 108 10/28 28-45 L 30 99 47 53 125 406-3 5-4 3-2 3-2 111 105 11/11 30-23 W 67 36 34 112 100 76 #25 #91 6-3 5-3 4-1 3-1 112 113 11/4 13-16 L 33 102 46 124 69 647-3 5-4 4-2 2-4 111 105 11/18 7-9 L 72 37 19 85 49 30 #17 #73 6-4 7-2 4-2 5-0 112 124 11/11 52-59 L 31 105 46 75 52 57-4 7-4 4-3 5-2 109 104 11/25 27-28 L 77 35 15 45 67 62 #48 #61 6-5 1-10 4-3 0-6 111 80 11/18 42-14 W 26 97 54 121 128 457-5 4-4 107 12/2 77 38 17 #54 #33 7-5 5-3 111 11/25 27 100 537-5 7-5 4-4 5-3 107 111 12/16 87 37 17 24 101 53 -6 0 7-5 7-5 5-3 4-4 111 107 12/16 24 101 53 87 37 17

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Miami, OH 31-26 -162 -10 0 15 25-59 2.4 20-30 208 1 25 42-131 3.1 23-44 298 2 Oregon St 58-27 69 8 3 31 43-191 4.4 26-39 334 0 23 29-152 5.2 27-47 304 1at NC State 20-37 -34 -5 -2 18 25-101 4.0 26-43 350 1 23 33-144 4.4 29-36 341 2 † Colorado 3-17 52 4 -1 23 33-88 2.7 24-47 309 2 19 38-143 3.8 21-29 202 5 Kent St 21-0 122 9 0 23 33-158 4.8 23-43 223 0 14 44-142 3.2 7-17 117 7 Abilene Christian 38-10 272 12 0 30 38-268 7.1 25-40 337 0 18 26-62 2.4 26-45 271 1 Bye at Alabama 23-41 -96 -1 -2 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0at Cincinnati 38-21 17 1 2 22 44-133 3.0 21-34 233 0 21 26-138 5.3 22-45 211 0 Byeat Charlotte 14-3 192 14 -1 23 42-212 5.0 19-28 192 0 9 26-80 3.1 10-26 132 2 at Hawaii 51-21 98 4 1 25 37-259 7.0 18-22 351 0 21 21-150 7.1 31-47 362 1 Old Dominion 35-3 174 5 2 18 40-195 4.9 12-23 176 1 13 36-81 2.3 14-27 116 3 at Utah St 27-14 297 15 0 29 52-216 4.2 22-31 293 0 14 29-63 2.2 18-34 149 7at Middle Tennessee 38-10 93 6 2 21 45-198 4.4 16-24 168 0 15 31-53 1.7 14-33 220 6 Nevada 44-42 44 0 -1 23 34-224 6.6 26-37 384 0 23 31-56 1.8 25-42 508 1 FIU 30-41 104 8 -3 29 29-142 4.9 33-52 363 0 21 48-224 4.7 14-18 177 1 at New Mexico 27-24 -39 2 1 23 35-180 5.1 17-33 231 1 21 48-318 6.6 7-19 132 2at Florida Atlantic 25-30 28 4 -4 21 41-128 3.1 20-39 253 1 17 45-189 4.2 12-18 164 0 Air Force 28-45 -42 -8 -2 22 23-166 7.2 17-31 269 1 30 74-413 5.6 2-4 64 0 WKU 30-23 -34 1 1 22 49-144 2.9 17-28 190 2 21 19-34 1.8 28-42 334 3 at Wyoming 13-16 51 0 1 18 55-235 4.3 8-14 110 2 18 34-156 4.6 10-20 138 1at UTSA 7-9 -126 -11 -1 12 23-40 1.7 16-23 189 1 23 39-88 2.3 26-39 267 1 Boise St 52-59 -71 0 0 33 52-261 5.0 29-43 309 2 33 39-310 7.9 23-45 331 2 Southern Miss 27-28 11 1 -2 23 26-74 2.8 26-44 308 1 22 45-201 4.5 16-35 170 0 San Jose St 42-14 267 10 0 26 45-301 6.7 26-32 305 0 16 33-131 4.0 17-33 208 3 Bye Bye† Colorado St † Marshall

Average 26-19 32.1 1.9 -0.5 21 35-132 3.8 60.6% 238 1.9% 19 36-125 3.5 56.6% 212 7.1% Average 34-28 75.2 3.8 0.0 25 41-211 5.2 63.6% 290 2.0% 22 37-183 5.0 57.0% 243 6.2% Conference 26-18 55.3 3.5 -0.8 21 37-142 3.8 60.9% 230 2.3% 18 36-119 3.3 56.3% 198 6.7% Conference 36-29 75.6 2.9 0.0 25 42-230 5.5 67.1% 282 2.5% 22 39-200 5.2 54.5% 237 7.0% Away 24-18 28.3 1.5 -0.7 20 37-135 3.7 61.8% 231 1.6% 18 33-115 3.5 57.4% 223 5.6% Home 44-33 89.8 3.7 0.0 28 39-235 6.0 67.1% 323 1.4% 24 39-187 4.8 55.6% 281 3.7%

Miami, OH Chase Litton 20-30-208-1-1 Trey Rodriguez 18-54-3.0-0 Willie Johnson 7-88-12.6-0 Oregon St Nick Stevens 26-39-334-3-1 Dalyn Dawkins 15-67-4.5-1 Michael Gallup 11-134-12.2-0at NC State Chase Litton 26-43-350-2-1 Keion Davis 8-74-9.3-0 Tyre Brady 11-248-22.5-1 † Colorado Nick Stevens 24-47-309-0-2 Dalyn Dawkins 14-43-3.1-0 Detrich Clark 5-72-14.4-0 Kent St Chase Litton 23-43-223-1-1 Tyler King 14-101-7.2-1 Marcel Williams 8-79-9.9-1 vs. Abilene Christian Nick Stevens 25-40-342-3-1 Izzy Matthews 12-94-7.8-0 Michael Gallup 10-108-10.8-1 Bye at Alabama Nick Stevens 21-38-247-2-2 Dalyn Dawkins 10-59-5.9-0 Michael Gallup 4-70-17.5-0at Cincinnati Chase Litton 21-34-233-4-0 Keion Davis 20-93-4.7-1 Ryan Yurachek 6-77-12.8-3 Byeat Charlotte Chase Litton 19-28-192-2-0 Keion Davis 23-122-5.3-0 Tyre Brady 6-88-14.7-2 vs. at Hawaii Nick Stevens 18-22-351-4-0 Dalyn Dawkins 17-130-7.6-1 Michael Gallup 8-212-26.5-1 Old Dominion Chase Litton 12-23-176-3-0 Tyler King 13-77-5.9-1 Tyre Brady 5-76-15.2-2 at Utah St Nick Stevens 22-31-293-2-0 Dalyn Dawkins 21-121-5.8-0 Michael Gallup 7-88-12.6-0at Middle Tennessee Chase Litton 16-24-168-0-0 Tyler King 23-129-5.6-2 Willie Johnson 3-55-18.3-0 Nevada Nick Stevens 26-37-384-4-0 Dalyn Dawkins 17-191-11.2-1 Michael Gallup 13-263-20.2-3 FIU Chase Litton 33-52-363-3-2 Keion Davis 11-85-7.7-0 Tyre Brady 9-101-11.2-1 vs. at New Mexico Nick Stevens 17-33-231-2-0 Izzy Matthews 21-116-5.5-1 Olabisi Johnson 5-77-15.4-1at Florida Atlantic Chase Litton 20-39-253-2-4 Tyler King 22-72-3.3-0 Marcel Williams 4-122-30.5-0 Air Force Nick Stevens 17-31-269-2-3 Dalyn Dawkins 13-141-10.8-1 Michael Gallup 7-161-23.0-1 WKU Chase Litton 17-28-190-0-1 Tyler King 22-102-4.6-1 Willie Johnson 4-48-12.0-0 at Wyoming Nick Stevens 8-14-110-0-0 Dalyn Dawkins 29-154-5.3-0 Dalton Fackrell 2-61-30.5-0at UTSA Chase Litton 16-23-189-1-1 Keion Davis 12-41-3.4-0 Obi Obialo 6-80-13.3-0 vs. Boise St Nick Stevens 29-43-309-2-1 Dalyn Dawkins 32-161-5.0-2 Michael Gallup 11-102-9.3-1 Southern Miss Chase Litton 26-44-308-4-1 Tyler King 9-48-5.3-0 Hyleck Foster 5-87-17.4-0 San Jose St Nick Stevens 26-32-305-3-0 Dalyn Dawkins 24-138-5.8-1 Cameron Butler 3-79-26.3-1 Bye Bye† Colorado St vs. † Marshall

Chase Litton 249-411-2853-23-12 Tyler King 152-714-4.7-6 Tyre Brady 56-777-13.9-7 Nick Stevens 259-407-3484-27-10 Dalyn Dawkins 216-1349-6.2-8 Michael Gallup 93-1339-14.4-7Keion Davis 161-671-4.2-5 Marcel Williams 41-512-12.5-2 vs. Izzy Matthews 122-588-4.8-8 Olabisi Johnson 35-476-13.6-2Anthony Anderson 30-123-4.1-0 Willie Johnson 36-443-12.3-4 Rashaad Boddie 44-254-5.8-4 Detrich Clark 37-456-12.3-4

CategoryNone vs.

vs.

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FOE +/-

Receiving


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61 Marshall Colorado St


Marshall Leaders

Offense Defense

Mar

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Bye Ypg Diff Bye† Colorado St Total TO's † Marshall

at UTSA Score Def Boise St Southern Miss Sks By San Jose St

at Florida Atlantic Pass Def Air Force WKU Total Def at Wyoming

at Middle Tennessee Sks Allowed Nevada FIU Rush Def at New Mexico

at Charlotte Total Off at Hawaii Old Dominion Score Off at Utah St

at NC State Marshall Colorado St † Colorado Kent St Abilene Christian

Miami, OH 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Oregon St

Marshall Thundering HerdRams Logs

7-5 Colorado St RamsOVERALL:

Score Score

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing

Net

APThundering Herd Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS4-4 5-3 TM REC FOE

RECTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Bye Rush Off at Alabamaat Cincinnati Pass Off Bye

Marshall OL

Colorado St DL

0.49Marshall RB's

Colorado St LB's

0.64

Colorado St Leaders

Team & Margin

Marshall DL0.08

Colorado St OL

2.87Las Vegas Line

0.67Colorado St RB'sMarshall DB's

0.87Colorado St QB/WR

Marshall ST's

Marshall LB'S

Phil's Forecast:

Colorado St By 5.5

58 PointsLas Vegas Total

Colorado St By 6.0

Colorado St By 3.1

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Computer YardsColorado St 445-411

1.66143 yards MarshallProjected Passing

Projected Rushing Marshall KColorado St

Colorado St K

411 yards Marshall Colorado St 445 yards

268 yards Marshall0.80Projected Yardage Total

Colorado St

Marshall Colorado St 3.27

Marshall Coaches

Colorado St Coaches

277 yards

97 Marshall by 1

Computer Points

6.61Marshall Pts

Colorado St Pts28 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score27 points

Marshall

This game features a couple of teams that started out fast and both had solid hopes of winning their conferences, but they combined to finish 3-7 over the L/5 games of the season. CSt has the clear OFF edge at RB and Biletnikoff finalist Michael Gallup at WR. Marshall has the clear edge on D. Marshall also ranks #58 in my pass D rankings (Rams #90). CSt is used to altitude and played in this stadium this year. The final 3 factors all favor the Herd. Marshall faced the tougher sked and is #16 in my ST ratings, while CSt is #55. Doc Holiday is a perfect 4-0 in bowl games and Mike Bobo is 0-2. I will take the points in a possible upset.22 Colorado St 28-27

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

91 Marshall Colorado St

169 yards


Best Bet: ★ Marshall 28 (+) Colorado St 27By 3.34 Points

Colorado St

FOEFOE


AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

1.82Marshall QB/WR

Colorado St DB's

Marshall

vs. CUSA vs. MTW7-5

OVERALL:

Colorado St ST's

Saturday, December 16, 2017 • 4:30 pmESPN • Dreamstyle Stadium • Albuquerque, NM

NEW MEXICO BOWLMARSHALL (7-5)ATS: 8-4 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MAR CSU 148 rush yd 181 257 pass yd 265 26 pts 26 -6 ytd to 0 #99 sked #114

CHECKLIST MAR CSU edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB 44

– WR 4

– OL 4

44 DL – 4 LB – 41/2 DB – 41/2 CCH – – SITE 44

– MTCH – – INT – 4 ST – 4 SKED –

COLORADO ST (7-5)ATS: 4-8 O/U: 6-6

OVERALL

MARSHALL BY 1’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 119 9/2 6-28 L 56 88 50 65 54 70 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 115 9/2 36-43 L 101 49 63 55 33 420-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 98 114 9/9 30-23 W 92 90 50 67 58 68 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 84 55 631-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 103 124 9/16 3-34 L 101 78 41 82 38 10 0-1 0-0 112 9/16 48-3 W 75 64 961-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 102 96 9/23 24-13 W 121 86 63 112 126 31 #92 #76 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 111 113 9/23 21-44 L 65 69 66 40 104 1242-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 102 104 9/30 20-38 L 108 77 73 75 114 49 #45 #6 1-2 0-0 108 9/30 61 73 682-3 3-1 0-1 2-0 100 99 10/7 37-17 W 108 78 73 103 111 80 #68 #11 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 108 92 10/4 43-25 W 58 75 57 128 120 783-3 3-2 1-1 1-1 103 100 10/14 23-25 L 102 77 72 110 93 127 #93 #15 2-2 1-0 109 92 10/14 51-17 W 65 79 46 125 123 1123-4 5-1 1-2 2-0 102 112 10/20 10-38 L 104 77 55 77 34 40 #64 #80 3-2 3-3 2-0 2-1 111 100 10/19 47-3 W 51 89 13 94 117 823-5 1-3 98 10/28 114 85 46 #34 #35 4-2 3-4 3-0 1-2 115 104 10/28 37-21 W 39 75 16 40 96 1303-5 0-8 1-3 0-4 98 91 11/4 30-3 W 115 87 45 130 120 107 #46 #92 5-2 4-0 116 11/4 42 55 214-5 1-8 2-3 1-4 101 91 11/11 35-21 W 113 80 41 109 113 74 #30 #56 5-2 3-6 4-0 2-3 116 97 11/11 19-24 L 40 51 22 122 89 475-5 5-5 3-3 3-3 102 105 11/17 38-41 L 107 83 53 112 93 83 #45 #51 5-3 2-8 4-1 1-5 111 89 11/18 30-12 W 55 44 9 119 114 1225-6 5-6 3-4 3-4 103 98 11/25 41-10 W 102 79 52 128 104 113 #55 #19 6-3 4-6 5-1 4-3 110 102 11/25 67-50 W 57 40 9 67 122 436-6 4-4 107 12/2 89 81 45 #43 #15 7-3 9-2 6-1 2-0 112 111 12/2 25-32 L 39 44 33 57 47 546-6 7-4 4-4 6-2 107 109 12/16 81 82 44 37 40 43 -12 -1 7-4 6-2 109 12/9 37 40 43


Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Vanderbilt 6-28 -152 -1 -1 14 26-49 1.9 18-31 166 5 15 35-71 2.0 20-28 296 1 at Nebraska 36-43 34 7 -2 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1at Syracuse 30-23 55 -5 -1 20 33-94 2.8 22-36 269 1 25 49-126 2.6 27-44 182 6 Byeat Minnesota 3-34 -113 -7 -2 11 15-46 3.1 25-42 184 1 18 47-221 4.7 11-18 122 1 Ark Pine Bluff 48-3 213 14 5 26 37-137 3.7 26-34 356 3 12 39-56 1.4 15-26 224 4 Bowling Green 24-13 249 13 -3 27 43-243 5.7 24-32 290 1 14 29-1 0.0 21-35 283 3 at SMU 21-44 -150 -11 -2 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 31 54-311 5.8 16-32 266 2at Florida Atlantic 20-38 15 -6 -3 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 Bye FIU 37-17 120 4 2 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4 at GA Southern 43-25 -112 -5 -1 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4at UAB 23-25 -40 5 -1 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0 Coastal Carolina 51-17 47 3 1 27 37-189 5.1 24-37 286 1 24 38-197 5.2 13-29 231 3 Marshall 10-38 -93 -6 -2 15 31-53 1.7 14-33 220 6 21 45-198 4.4 16-24 168 0 Louisiana 47-3 301 13 1 30 43-262 6.1 24-40 309 1 17 41-91 2.2 15-36 179 5 Bye at New Mexico St 37-21 161 14 0 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 5 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 UTEP 30-3 263 12 -1 18 36-210 5.8 13-30 190 1 6 32-89 2.8 10-23 48 3 Byeat Charlotte 35-21 101 5 1 21 41-202 4.9 18-31 255 2 16 32-98 3.1 18-30 258 2 at South Alabama 19-24 25 5 -5 23 33-66 2.0 28-45 299 4 18 32--3 -0.1 25-46 343 3at WKU 38-41 -107 2 1 27 33-137 4.2 27-46 294 1 25 33-53 1.6 39-54 485 5 Texas St 30-12 281 14 1 25 61-240 3.9 20-33 229 1 11 30-85 2.8 8-25 103 2 Old Dominion 41-10 281 16 -2 30 50-320 6.4 21-30 266 2 14 33-185 5.6 15-27 120 1 at ULM 67-50 191 4 3 31 44-261 5.9 26-38 520 2 27 39-136 3.5 21-37 454 2 Bye Troy 25-32 313 18 -2 32 44-169 3.8 31-50 437 4 14 25-47 1.9 23-41 246 1† Arkansas St Bye

† Middle Tennessee Average 25-24 48.2 2.7 -1.0 21 33-144 4.3 60.0% 253 5.5% 19 39-137 3.5 62.9% 212 6.9% Average 39-25 118.5 6.9 -0.1 27 39-158 4.1 62.8% 341 5.9% 20 39-138 3.5 51.1% 242 9.4% Conference 29-24 67.5 4.0 -0.6 23 35-162 4.6 58.6% 265 5.4% 19 38-153 4.0 62.7% 208 6.0% Conference 40-23 150.9 8.3 -0.3 27 42-172 4.1 61.5% 337 6.5% 19 38-115 3.1 49.6% 242 9.9% Away 25-30 -14.8 -1.0 -0.8 21 30-113 3.8 59.0% 275 3.6% 22 43-168 4.0 64.6% 235 6.8% Home 35-13 231.0 12.4 1.2 28 44-199 4.5 64.4% 323 5.2% 16 35-95 2.8 47.1% 197 9.6%

Vanderbilt Brent Stockstill 18-31-166-1-1 Maurice Gordon 7-26-3.7-0 Richie James 10-112-11.2-1 at Nebraska Justice Hansen 46-68-415-3-2 Warren Wand 12-69-5.8-0 Kendrick Edwards 8-100-12.5-1at Syracuse Brent Stockstill 22-36-269-3-1 Ty Lee 18-50-2.8-1 Richie James 8-96-12.0-1 Byeat Minnesota John Urzua 19-34-135-0-2 Richie James 2-25-12.5-0 Patrick Smith 6-46-7.7-0 vs. Ark Pine Bluff Justice Hansen 24-31-336-5-0 Warren Wand 9-62-6.9-1 Justin McInnis 2-84-42.0-1 Bowling Green John Urzua 24-32-290-2-1 Jocquez Bruce 16-115-7.2-1 Brad Anderson 6-98-16.3-1 at SMU Justice Hansen 16-26-234-2-0 Warren Wand 13-75-5.8-1 Blake Mack 5-102-20.4-1at Florida Atlantic John Urzua 31-51-359-2-3 Brad Anderson 13-44-3.4-0 Ty Lee 8-136-17.0-1 Bye FIU John Urzua 25-31-250-1-0 Brad Anderson 11-112-10.2-0 Ty Lee 7-67-9.6-0 vs. at GA Southern Justice Hansen 12-26-316-4-4 Warren Wand 11-61-5.5-2 Chris Murray 5-188-37.6-2at UAB John Urzua 23-42-268-1-2 Brad Anderson 15-81-5.4-0 Brad Anderson 9-137-15.2-1 Coastal Carolina Justice Hansen 24-37-286-5-0 Justice Hansen 9-68-7.6-0 Justin McInnis 4-63-15.8-0 Marshall John Urzua 14-30-220-1-1 Brad Anderson 13-51-3.9-0 Ty Lee 4-95-23.8-0 Louisiana Justice Hansen 23-37-275-2-0 Justice Hansen 13-121-9.3-1 Blake Mack 5-65-13.0-0 Bye vs. at New Mexico St Justice Hansen 25-40-297-4-1 Jamal Jones 7-38-5.4-0 Justin McInnis 7-68-9.7-0 UTEP Brent Stockstill 13-30-190-3-1 Tavares Thomas 9-68-7.6-1 Ty Lee 6-80-13.3-1 Byeat Charlotte Brent Stockstill 18-31-255-3-0 Tavares Thomas 29-195-6.7-2 Ty Lee 6-121-20.2-1 at South Alabama Justice Hansen 27-44-285-2-4 Justice Hansen 18-37-2.1-0 Blake Mack 5-94-18.8-0at WKU Brent Stockstill 27-46-294-1-0 Tavares Thomas 18-92-5.1-2 Ty Lee 11-114-10.4-0 vs. Texas St Justice Hansen 20-33-229-1-0 Warren Wand 29-145-5.0-1 Omar Bayless 3-45-15.0-0 Old Dominion Brent Stockstill 21-30-266-3-2 Terelle West 26-170-6.5-2 Ty Lee 8-70-8.8-0 at ULM Justice Hansen 26-38-520-4-1 Warren Wand 21-173-8.2-1 Justin McInnis 9-211-23.4-0 Bye Troy Justice Hansen 31-50-437-2-3 Johnston White 9-65-7.2-0 Blake Mack 6-104-17.3-0† Arkansas St vs. Bye

† Middle TennesseeJohn Urzua 136-220-1522-7-9 Brad Anderson 89-491-5.5-0 Ty Lee 74-916-12.4-5 Justice Hansen 274-430-3630-34-15 Warren Wand 124-667-5.4-6 Justin McInnis 42-693-16.5-3Brent Stockstill 119-204-1440-14-5 Tavares Thomas 77-458-5.9-8 Brad Anderson 33-338-10.2-3 vs. Logan Bonner 9-21-70-1-1 Johnston White 85-407-4.8-3 Chris Murray 45-645-14.3-9Kyle Banks 6-11-49-0-0 Terelle West 47-243-5.2-3 Patrick Smith 29-329-11.3-2 Chauncey Mason 1-1-34-0-0 Justice Hansen 115-380-3.3-6 Blake Mack 46-609-13.2-7

Category2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Middle Tenn - 63 0 12 29-89Arkansas St - -12 45 26 47-274 2

vs.

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Bye Rush Def at New Mexico St

Passing

1.37Arkansas St DL

† Middle TennesseeNet Offense Defense

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Bye Ypg Diff Troy† Arkansas St Total TO's Bye

Passing Rushing ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders

FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOEFOETEAM --PS RANK--

Middle Tenn Leaders

7-4OVERALL: OVERALL: Arkansas St Red Wolves6-6

DefenseScore Score

TM +/-

FIUat UAB

Bowling Greenat Florida Atlantic Pass Off Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Nebraskaat Syracuse Middle Tenn Arkansas St Byeat Minnesota Ark Pine Bluff

Vanderbilt

at WKU Score Def Old Dominion Sks By at ULM

UTEP Pass Def Byeat Charlotte Total Def at South Alabama

Marshall Sks Allowed

TM +/-6-2 FOE

Total Off at GA SouthernScore Off Coastal Carolina

Rush Off at SMU

APTM REC FOE

REC

Texas St

vs. CUSA vs. SUN Red Wolves Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF FOEFOE +/-

TEAM4-4

Louisiana

Middle Tenn

Arkansas StExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score24 points

278 yards

Arkansas St By 3.7

ReceivingMiddle Tenn Arkansas St

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

0.06Middle Tenn RB's

Arkansas St LB's

0.46Middle Tenn QB/WR

Arkansas St DB's

Middle Tenn DL0.03

Arkansas St OL

Middle Tenn OL

Projected Yardage Total317 yardsMiddle Tenn

Projected Passing

Arkansas St Coaches

Projected Rushing127 yards

Arkansas St RB's0.10

Middle Tenn LB'S

15-26-114


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2.77 Arkansas St Leaders

Middle Tenn ST's

Arkansas St ST's

Middle Tenn DB's

Arkansas St QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Middle Tenn K

Arkansas St

Middle Tenn Coaches

Middle Tenn Arkansas St 31 points

1.47

Arkansas St


Arkansas St Pts

ASt might have been the best team in the SBC, but did not share the title. MT came into the season in great shape with its pass game, but QB Brent Stockstill was inj’d after 2 games, missed 6, and his top WR Richie James was lost for the year after 8 games. With Stockstill in the lineup, MT avg 30 ppg, but without him avg just 19.5 ppg. ASt has a legitimate DL led by Javon Rolland-Jones and Bama transfer Dee Liner. I give MT the edge at LB, but ASt has the DB edge with a #31 ranking in my pass D rankings (Blue Raiders #94). I like ASt to win the game.

Arkansas St 444-390

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

1.47Team & Margin

Arkansas St By 3.5

63.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Computer Yards2.09

Middle Tenn Pts5.94

0.30

+/- RatingsArkansas St By 2.0

69 97

Arkansas St by 7130Team Schedule Strength

115 Middle Tenn Arkansas St

Middle Tenn

Arkansas St 37 Middle Tennessee 30By 3.85 Points

Arkansas St 34-30

Phil Steele

Arkansas St

Arkansas St

444 yards

113 yards

390 yards Middle Tenn

Arkansas St K

Comp-Att-Yds

Middle Tenn Blue RaidersBlue Raiders Logs

TM REC FOE REC

19-21-238

Saturday, December 16, 2017 • 8:00 pmESPN • Crampton Bowl • Montgomery, AL

CAMELLIA BOWLMIDDLE TENN (6-6)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 4-8

ARKANSAS ST (7-4)ATS: 6-5 O/U: 4-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MTSU A-ST 111 rush yd 161 292 pass yd 326 28 pts 31 -12 ytd to -1 #122 sked #130

CHECKLIST MTSU A-ST edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 4

– OL – – DL 4 1/2 4 LB – – DB 4 1/2 – CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 4

4 INT – – ST – – SKED –

OVERALL

ARKANSAS ST BY 4 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 137 6 9/2 0-52 L 89 83 94 4 18 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 97 117 9/1 19-42 L 64 113 93 84 101 410-1 0-0 99 9/9 52-3 W 117 97 94 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 96 139 9 9/9 14-31 L 76 119 93 41 11 381-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/16 14-41 L 115 97 117 50 82 47 0-2 0-0 100 9/16 45-0 W 91 120 1011-2 2-1 0-0 1-0 97 105 9/23 17-22 L 113 98 114 82 56 97 #119 #6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 106 9/23 31-34 L 78 113 55 108 109 1281-3 0-4 0-0 0-0 98 96 9/30 34-23 W 107 102 121 113 126 28 #74 #81 1-3 2-2 0-0 0-0 104 102 9/30 38-20 W 75 114 49 108 77 732-3 2-3 1-0 0-1 101 99 10/7 31-3 W 118 99 127 105 113 94 #118 #14 2-3 2-2 1-0 0-0 106 100 10/7 58-28 W 63 108 58 124 87 1003-3 4-2 2-0 2-0 105 117 10/14 14-13 W 114 90 123 82 78 7 #103 #9 3-3 2-0 110 10/14 64 105 354-3 5-1 3-0 2-0 109 117 10/21 21-48 L 119 79 122 53 82 36 #109 #14 3-3 4-2 2-0 3-0 110 107 10/21 69-31 W 56 95 38 54 80 274-4 3-5 3-1 1-3 106 105 10/28 21-20 W 118 87 126 109 112 103 #100 #66 4-3 5-2 3-0 3-1 114 108 10/28 42-28 W 43 89 30 107 92 255-4 3-6 4-1 2-3 106 105 11/7 14-24 L 119 90 123 100 91 86 #83 #94 5-3 6-2 4-0 3-1 116 111 11/3 30-25 W 43 85 17 66 38 305-5 8-2 4-2 5-1 106 114 11/14 37-34 W 116 90 126 45 61 11 #99 #78 6-3 4-5 5-0 2-3 116 105 11/11 48-23 W 47 79 18 81 86 736-5 2-9 5-2 1-6 105 89 11/21 24-14 W 120 91 128 129 109 122 #60 #44 7-3 6-3 6-0 4-2 119 102 11/18 52-24 W 43 80 20 81 112 787-5 6-2 109 11/25 119 90 129 #92 #21 8-3 1-10 7-0 1-6 120 86 11/25 31-12 W 39 72 18 115 120 727-5 5-1 6-2 2-0 107 117 12/2 28-45 L 119 83 126 53 82 36 #117 #29 9-3 4-2 8-0 3-0 118 107 12/2 41-17 W 35 69 24 54 80 277-6 6-3 107 12/9 119 85 129 +10 +13 10-3 9-0 120 12/9 33 63 15


Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sksat Penn St 0-52 -410 -12 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 Navy 19-42 -200 -7 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 Ark Pine Bluff 52-3 296 15 2 27 44-267 6.1 17-26 197 0 12 34-41 1.2 14-25 127 5 at Wisconsin 14-31 -316 -20 2 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 Iowa St 14-41 -177 -4 -3 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 5 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 Bethune-Cookman 45-0 502 25 0 32 58-439 7.6 19-32 180 2 7 33-61 1.8 9-22 56 4at Troy 17-22 -126 -1 -2 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 24 29-179 6.2 28-42 314 1 at Buffalo 31-34 -46 -6 -1 22 37-262 7.1 17-29 150 1 28 57-204 3.6 18-27 254 2at Bowling Green 34-23 -15 2 1 19 40-178 4.5 14-25 183 1 17 41-181 4.4 24-38 195 2 Middle Tennessee 38-20 -15 6 3 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 Ball St 31-3 7 -3 3 19 31-134 4.3 18-31 249 2 22 44-155 3.5 24-46 221 5 at Old Dominion 58-28 139 9 2 29 69-453 6.6 13-22 97 2 20 36-248 6.9 16-39 163 2at Western Michigan 14-13 -211 -12 0 14 31-88 2.8 13-24 127 2 26 53-244 4.6 17-29 182 2 Byeat Toledo 21-48 -293 -12 -1 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 North Texas 69-31 384 12 3 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 Buffalo 21-20 -92 -9 0 19 25-76 3.0 21-29 286 1 28 34-141 4.1 34-50 313 1 at WKU 42-28 -9 -11 3 21 55-368 6.7 10-24 93 0 32 33-99 3.0 32-56 371 2at Miami, OH 14-24 -147 -8 2 18 30-55 1.8 19-38 218 6 26 36-185 5.1 17-30 235 0 Marshall 30-25 -28 -4 4 17 45-189 4.2 12-18 164 0 21 41-128 3.1 20-39 253 1 Ohio 37-34 48 -5 3 18 32-121 3.8 22-38 322 0 23 43-282 6.6 10-23 113 0 at Louisiana Tech 48-23 -97 -13 -1 19 33-194 5.9 14-17 221 0 32 45-186 4.1 30-51 326 2 Kent St 24-14 -55 2 2 15 39-122 3.1 6-20 69 6 13 45-161 3.6 9-19 85 5 FIU 52-24 269 9 -1 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4 Bye at Charlotte 31-12 308 21 -2 31 63-318 5.0 18-22 245 0 10 30-84 2.8 10-22 171 4† Toledo 21-48 -293 -12 -1 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 North Texas 69-31 384 12 3 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 Bye Byeat Florida Atlantic Akron

Average 24-26 -103.1 -4.1 0.8 19 32-108 3.3 54.5% 221 7.7% 23 39-197 5.0 61.0% 235 4.9% Average 40-24 83.6 1.3 1.0 24 47-283 6.1 64.2% 209 4.5% 23 40-166 4.1 56.2% 243 7.0% Conference 25-25 -102.6 -5.7 1.4 18 32-103 3.3 53.7% 225 8.0% 24 42-212 5.0 58.7% 219 5.0% Conference 45-23 127.4 2.8 1.3 26 50-315 6.3 67.1% 217 2.3% 23 34-124 3.6 57.0% 281 7.0% Away 18-32 -195.3 -7.0 0.4 18 32-93 2.9 50.8% 208 8.0% 25 39-228 5.8 63.0% 268 2.1% Home 42-23 158.3 5.3 1.4 26 45-283 6.3 66.3% 252 3.5% 20 38-140 3.7 57.7% 237 8.5%

at Penn St Thomas Woodson 12-23-71-0-1 Kato Nelson 9-39-4.3-0 AJ Coney 2-25-12.5-0 Navy Daniel Parr 19-30-281-2-1 Kerrith Whyte 6-36-6.0-0 Willie Wright 3-92-30.7-1 Ark Pine Bluff Thomas Woodson 15-21-166-1-0 Warren Ball 20-146-7.3-3 Tra'Von Chapman 5-55-11.0-0 at Wisconsin Daniel Parr 9-19-142-1-0 Devin Singletary 17-68-4.0-1 De'Andre McNeal 3-103-34.3-1 Iowa St Thomas Woodson 25-40-240-2-1 Warren Ball 11-40-3.6-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-76-25.3-1 vs. Bethune-Cookman Daniel Parr 15-26-165-1-1 Gregory Howell Jr 13-175-13.5-1 De'Andre McNeal 4-70-17.5-0at Troy Thomas Woodson 20-40-268-1-2 Warren Ball 28-112-4.0-1 Kwadarrius Smith 4-103-25.8-1 at Buffalo Jason Driskel 17-29-150-0-1 Devin Singletary 22-156-7.1-3 Willie Wright 4-43-10.8-0at Bowling Green Thomas Woodson 13-24-168-2-1 Van Edwards 14-70-5.0-1 Austin Wolf 3-68-22.7-1 Middle Tennessee Jason Driskel 22-29-187-1-0 Devin Singletary 24-133-5.5-4 Harrison Bryant 7-93-13.3-1 Ball St Thomas Woodson 17-30-211-2-0 Deltron Sands 6-52-8.7-1 AJ Coney 6-90-15.0-0 vs. at Old Dominion Jason Driskel 13-22-97-0-1 Devin Singletary 26-194-7.5-2 Harrison Bryant 3-41-13.7-0at Western Michigan Thomas Woodson 13-24-127-1-1 Manny Morgan 12-53-4.4-1 AJ Coney 3-38-12.7-0 Byeat Toledo Thomas Woodson 18-33-205-2-1 Van Edwards 9-25-2.8-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-72-24.0-1 North Texas Jason Driskel 24-35-357-2-0 Devin Singletary 17-123-7.2-3 Willie Wright 8-141-17.6-1 Buffalo Thomas Woodson 21-29-291-3-1 Deltron Sands 7-70-10.0-0 AJ Coney 7-91-13.0-0 vs. at WKU Jason Driskel 10-24-93-1-1 Devin Singletary 36-244-6.8-4 Willie Wright 4-63-15.8-1at Miami, OH Kato Nelson 19-38-218-1-0 Manny Morgan 10-41-4.1-0 Kwadarrius Smith 6-69-11.5-0 Marshall Jason Driskel 11-17-104-0-0 Devin Singletary 28-203-7.3-1 Devin Singletary 2-72-36.0-1 Ohio Kato Nelson 22-38-322-4-0 Manny Morgan 14-55-3.9-1 Kwadarrius Smith 2-125-62.5-2 at Louisiana Tech Jason Driskel 14-17-221-2-0 Devin Singletary 18-104-5.8-3 Kalib Woods 3-118-39.3-1 Kent St Kato Nelson 6-20-69-1-1 Van Edwards 9-55-6.1-0 Kobie Booker 1-25-25.0-1 vs. FIU Jason Driskel 18-25-239-4-1 Devin Singletary 25-164-6.6-2 Kalib Woods 7-172-24.6-2 Bye at Charlotte Jason Driskel 18-22-245-2-0 Devin Singletary 19-108-5.7-2 Willie Wright 9-103-11.4-1† Toledo Kato Nelson 8-18-177-2-0 Manny Morgan 11-51-4.6-1 Kwadarrius Smith 3-114-38.0-1 North Texas Jason Driskel 15-27-269-1-0 Devin Singletary 26-164-6.3-3 Kalib Woods 6-208-34.7-1 Bye vs. Byeat Florida Atlantic Akron

Thomas Woodson 159-278-1782-14-9 Manny Morgan 99-393-4.0-4 Kwadarrius Smith 33-719-21.8-7 Jason Driskel 166-253-1977-13-4 Devin Singletary 275-1796-6.5-29 Willie Wright 49-586-12.0-4Kato Nelson 61-125-909-8-2 Van Edwards 93-348-3.7-2 AJ Coney 41-523-12.8-3 vs. Daniel Parr 43-75-588-4-2 Gregory Howell Jr. 103-690-6.7-5 Kalib Woods 20-540-27.0-4Robbie Kelley 12-20-186-2-0 Warren Ball 75-332-4.4-4 Tra'Von Chapman 51-463-9.1-2 Kamrin Solomon 2-2-82-2-0 Jason Driskel 71-360-5.1-6 Harrison Bryant 32-408-12.8-5

CategoryNone vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Florida Atlantic AkronNet Offense Defense

Akr

on Z

ips

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

FAU

Ow

ls

Net Offense

North Texas Bye Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff† Toledo

0.44Akron QB/WR

FAU DB's

Akron FAU

Akron OL0.99

TM REC FOE REC

Owls LogsAkron Zips OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM CONF


FAU Owls7-6 10-3Zips Logs vs. MAC vs. CUSA

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--6-3 9-0 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

AP

Ball St Total Off at Old Dominionat Western Michigan Score Off Bye

at Troy Rush Off at Buffaloat Bowling Green Pass Off Middle Tennessee

Navy Ark Pine Bluff Akron FAU at Wisconsin Iowa St Bethune-Cookman

Kent St Score Def FIU Bye Sks By

Akron FAUProjected Final Score

Akron FAU

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE

TM +/- FOE +/-AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

at Charlotte

at Miami, OH Pass Def Marshall Ohio Total Def at Louisiana Tech

at Toledo Sks Allowed North Texas Buffalo Rush Def at WKU

at Penn St

Computer Yards11.581.29

Akron Pts

Akron LeadersAkron DB's

0.78FAU QB/WR

FAU Leaders


Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score Akron ST's

20 points Akron FAU 38 points

Projected Rushing302 yards

Projected PassingAkron FAU 226 yards

Projected Yardage Total528 yards326 yards

Akron RB's1.32

FAU LB's

Akron LB'S1.35

FAU RB's

Akron DL2.23

FAU OL

3.02Team & Margin

Akron K

FAU K

FAU DL

Las Vegas Total63.5 Points

+/- RatingsFau By 15.0

Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineFAU ST's Fau By 22.5

89 yards Akron FAU

237 yards

Experience Rankings FAU Pts1

FAU 100

Fau 38-20Team Schedule Strength FAU

FAU by 14 Best Bet: ★ Akron 24 (+) FAU 38 By 10.28 Points


This is the largest point spread in a bowl game in 20+ yrs and it is deserved. FAU won 10 games and 7 were by 24+. FAU outgained conf foes by 127 ypg and Akron, despite going 6-2 versus the weak MAC East, was actually outgained by 103 ypg. Akron QB Thomas Woodson was susp’d a couple of games. Kato Nelson completed just 49%. Akron lost their top RB, Ohio St transfer Warren Ball early. FAU RB Devin Singletary will be the best player on the field and my computer calls for the Owls to rush for 301 yards and pass for 226. FAU’s biggest edge is on ST’s. Akron does have the edge of being a huge bowl ‘dog as they should be highly motivated with no one giving them a chance to win. I like the Zips to keep this within the huge spread.

1.89

27

Fau By 17.90.85

Akron Coaches

Phil Steele

Fau 528-326

83 Akron

Computer Points

FAU Coaches

Tuesday, December 19, 2017 • 7:00 pmESPN • FAU Stadium • Boca Raton, FL

BOCA RATON BOWLAKRON (7-6)ATS: 6-6-1 O/U: 3-10

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS AKRON FAU 80 rush yd 308 245 pass yd 224 21 pts 39 +10 ytd to +13 #81 sked #89

CHECKLIST AKRON FAU edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB 444

– WR – – OL 444

– DL 4

– LB – – DB 4

4 CCH – – SITE 444

– MTCH 44

4 INT – – ST 44444

– SKED –

FAU (10-3)ATS: 9-3-1 O/U: 6-7

OVERALL

FAU BY 16’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 114 9/2 52-24 W 77 87 44 0-0 0-0 110 9/2 58-14 W 43 115 1271-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 121 9/9 21-57 L 69 87 44 34 34 107 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 101 9/9 54-32 W 31 101 127 102 98 811-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/16 23-22 W 74 100 42 96 79 24 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 129 20 9/16 36-56 L 36 91 124 13 10 392-1 2-1 1-0 1-1 112 118 9/23 16-17 L 79 101 65 52 23 119 #55 #44 2-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 111 9/23 44-21 W 40 104 124 65 69 662-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 113 98 9/30 34-16 W 81 95 65 122 91 86 #64 #16 3-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 116 92 9/30 49-28 W 28 103 125 82 96 1173-2 2-2 1-0 0-1 113 97 10/7 22-23 L 66 86 71 107 96 115 #57 #13 4-1 3-1 1-0 1-0 115 123 10/7 22-35 L 23 97 122 51 45 633-3 1-1 110 10/14 68 88 87 #63 #8 4-2 1-1 115 10/14 27 95 1013-3 4-2 1-1 2-1 110 109 10/21 27-34 L 69 90 93 49 68 114 #64 #38 4-2 2-5 1-1 0-3 115 103 10/21 31-28 W 29 96 103 109 101 13-4 1-6 1-2 1-2 107 92 10/28 42-28 W 78 84 75 121 107 103 #80 #113 5-2 2-6 2-1 1-3 114 107 10/27 38-34 W 32 100 95 59 128 644-4 5-3 2-2 4-1 107 103 11/4 23-24 L 75 89 85 52 103 12 #56 #121 6-2 7-0 3-1 4-0 113 127 15 11/4 24-31 L 27 98 90 10 45 234-5 6-3 2-3 5-0 105 116 11/11 23-48 L 81 86 73 47 79 18 #64 #122 6-3 5-3 3-2 3-3 113 113 11/11 40-43 L 27 99 89 32 109 704-6 0-10 2-4 0-6 102 85 11/18 42-21 W 73 92 99 130 120 109 #66 #113 6-4 8-1 3-3 5-1 113 126 18 11/18 45-66 L 28 108 97 29 84 125-6 6-4 3-4 3-4 102 107 11/25 20-6 W 63 93 103 94 50 31 #97 #31 6-5 5-6 3-4 3-4 112 108 11/25 41-38 W 27 117 104 90 112 1016-6 4-4 106 12/2 67 84 105 #65 #69 7-5 4-4 112 12/2 31 118 1096-6 7-5 4-4 4-4 106 112 12/20 65 83 106 25 116 109 +7 +10 7-5 6-6 4-4 4-4 112 106 12/20 25 116 109 65 83 106


Northwestern St 52-24 108 0 0 22 37-221 6.0 18-35 276 1 22 33-133 4.0 20-40 256 3 SF Austin 58-14 246 10 2 25 48-243 5.1 12-23 222 0 15 35-75 2.1 16-31 144 2 Miss St 21-57 -144 -1 -2 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0 North Texas 54-32 0 -2 2 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5at WKU 23-22 61 -3 -1 20 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1 23 41-141 3.4 25-35 226 4 at TCU 36-56 -156 -11 1 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3at South Carolina 16-17 -77 -6 1 17 28-80 2.9 23-33 281 1 23 32-143 4.5 22-35 295 2 Arkansas St 44-21 150 11 2 31 54-311 5.8 16-32 266 2 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 South Alabama 34-16 146 10 1 26 33-162 4.9 24-39 317 3 16 22-98 4.5 21-45 235 1 Connecticut 49-28 98 10 1 28 41-218 5.3 27-39 280 3 18 36--8 -0.2 22-28 408 8at UAB 22-23 -3 -1 0 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1 at Houston 22-35 81 3 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0 Bye Bye Southern Miss 27-34 -136 -15 1 15 34-161 4.7 11-28 194 2 30 45-190 4.2 32-53 301 0 at Cincinnati 31-28 -3 0 1 26 44-140 3.2 26-37 295 3 26 42-249 5.9 22-35 189 2at Rice 42-28 -17 5 4 24 39-180 4.6 21-32 237 2 19 46-247 5.4 7-17 187 1 Tulsa 38-34 123 -3 1 19 30-215 7.2 20-34 366 1 22 53-246 4.6 9-25 212 1 North Texas 23-24 -100 -7 1 19 41-147 3.6 16-28 168 2 26 41-204 5.0 23-37 211 2 UCF 24-31 -126 -2 2 21 37-206 5.6 27-52 283 0 23 36-203 5.6 23-40 412 2 Florida Atlantic 23-48 97 13 1 32 45-186 4.1 30-51 326 2 19 33-194 5.9 14-17 221 0 at Navy 40-43 -133 -3 0 21 31-165 5.3 16-30 261 2 24 72-559 7.8 0-1 0 0at UTEP 42-21 136 10 1 28 49-343 7.0 15-28 203 2 18 36-164 4.6 11-25 246 3 at Memphis 45-66 -187 -4 0 28 37-259 7.0 15-35 218 1 32 46-333 7.2 22-28 331 1 UTSA 20-6 93 4 0 19 37-193 5.2 7-21 101 2 15 45-110 2.4 9-16 91 3 Tulane 41-38 -7 -3 -2 24 33-103 3.1 24-33 375 2 27 43-171 4.0 18-31 314 3 Bye Bye† SMU † Louisiana Tech

Average 29-27 13.7 0.8 0.6 22 38-175 4.6 55.2% 232 6.1% 21 38-177 4.7 58.6% 216 5.4% Average 40-36 7.2 0.5 0.8 24 37-186 5.0 58.3% 308 4.2% 24 42-213 5.0 62.9% 273 8.2% Conference 28-26 16.4 0.8 0.9 22 39-186 4.8 54.3% 218 5.9% 22 40-179 4.4 61.2% 209 6.0% Conference 36-38 -19.3 -0.3 0.4 25 35-182 5.2 61.4% 309 4.4% 25 46-252 5.5 63.0% 258 7.9% Away 29-22 20.0 1.0 1.0 22 36-176 4.9 60.9% 247 5.0% 21 38-175 4.6 59.7% 228 7.6% Home 44-28 69.1 3.0 1.1 24 40-199 5.0 58.3% 312 4.3% 21 37-128 3.5 58.4% 314 9.8%

Northwestern St J'Mar Smith 18-35-276-2-0 Jarred Craft 16-86-5.4-2 Boston Scott 4-55-13.8-0 SF Austin Ben Hicks 9-19-112-2-0 Braeden West 6-86-14.3-0 Brandon Benson 1-72-72.0-1 Miss St J'Mar Smith 10-23-140-0-1 Boston Scott 13-96-7.4-0 Marcus Gaines 3-104-34.7-0 North Texas Ben Hicks 20-39-312-4-1 Xavier Jones 13-74-5.7-2 Courtland Sutton 8-163-20.4-4at WKU J'Mar Smith 22-39-306-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-81-5.8-0 Rhashid Bonnette 3-140-46.7-1 vs. at TCU Ben Hicks 17-37-305-2-2 Ke'Mon Freeman 12-57-4.8-2 Trey Quinn 7-116-16.6-1at South Carolina J'Mar Smith 23-33-281-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 10-110-11.0-1 Arkansas St Ben Hicks 16-32-266-2-0 Xavier Jones 19-146-7.7-0 James Proche 3-131-43.7-2 South Alabama J'Mar Smith 24-39-317-3-0 Boston Scott 6-76-12.7-1 Teddy Veal 5-88-17.6-1 Connecticut Ben Hicks 27-37-280-4-0 Xavier Jones 13-72-5.5-1 Trey Quinn 15-116-7.7-2at UAB J'Mar Smith 17-29-209-2-0 Boston Scott 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 5-74-14.8-1 vs. at Houston Ben Hicks 41-58-397-1-2 Xavier Jones 13-99-7.6-0 Courtland Sutton 11-160-14.5-0 Bye Bye Southern Miss J'Mar Smith 11-28-194-0-1 Boston Scott 11-106-9.6-1 Marlon Watts 5-121-24.2-0 at Cincinnati Ben Hicks 26-37-295-2-1 Xavier Jones 15-80-5.3-1 Trey Quinn 17-186-10.9-0at Rice J'Mar Smith 21-32-237-1-0 Boston Scott 17-87-5.1-3 Teddy Veal 11-118-10.7-0 vs. Tulsa Ben Hicks 19-32-338-2-0 Braeden West 2-89-44.5-1 Courtland Sutton 6-136-22.7-0 North Texas J'Mar Smith 16-28-168-0-0 Boston Scott 16-64-4.0-1 Rhashid Bonnette 6-77-12.8-0 UCF Ben Hicks 27-51-283-1-0 Xavier Jones 19-84-4.4-1 James Proche 7-173-24.7-1 Florida Atlantic J'Mar Smith 30-51-326-1-0 Boston Scott 19-87-4.6-1 Teddy Veal 6-112-18.7-1 at Navy Ben Hicks 16-29-261-4-1 Xavier Jones 18-106-5.9-1 Courtland Sutton 7-123-17.6-2at UTEP J'Mar Smith 15-28-203-2-0 Jaqwis Dancy 15-135-9.0-1 Teddy Veal 6-66-11.0-1 vs. at Memphis Ben Hicks 15-34-218-4-0 Xavier Jones 20-175-8.8-2 James Proche 4-70-17.5-0 UTSA J'Mar Smith 7-21-101-0-1 Boston Scott 20-138-6.9-1 Rhashid Bonnette 4-64-16.0-0 Tulane Ben Hicks 24-33-375-4-2 Ke'Mon Freeman 15-41-2.7-2 Trey Quinn 6-139-23.2-2 Bye Bye† SMU vs. † Louisiana Tech

J'Mar Smith 214-386-2758-13-5 Boston Scott 163-937-5.7-8 Teddy Veal 68-828-12.2-5 Ben Hicks 257-438-3442-32-9 Xavier Jones 170-1019-6.0-9 Trey Quinn 106-1191-11.2-12Westin Elliott 3-6-23-1-0 Jarred Craft 111-516-4.6-3 Rhashid Bonnette 32-576-18.0-2 vs. Rafe Peavey 4-4-116-1-0 Ke'Mon Freeman 126-527-4.2-11 Courtland Sutton 62-1017-16.4-12Team 0-1-0-0-0 J'Mar Smith 110-356-3.2-5 Marlon Watts 22-319-14.5-0 DJ Gillins 1-4-76-1-0 Braeden West 65-512-7.9-2 James Proche 40-816-20.4-6

CategoryNone vs.

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Net Offense Defense

LA T

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2.49LA Tech QB/WR

SMU DB's

LA Tech SMU

1.20LA Tech OL

SMU DL

North Texasat WKU at TCU

Arkansas St South Alabama Pass Off Connecticutat South Carolina Rush Off

Bye† SMU Total TO's † Louisiana Tech

Ypg Diff Bye

at UTEP Score Def at Memphis UTSA Sks By Tulane

North Texas Pass Def UCF Florida Atlantic Total Def at Navy

TM REC FOE REC

Miss St LA Tech

7-5

SF Austin Northwestern St

OVERALL: OVERALL:6-6

Bulldogs Logs Mustangs Logs

FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TEAM --PS RANK--4-4 4-4 TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGSTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-

SMU Mustangsvs. CUSA vs. AAC

LA Tech Bulldogs

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE


APTM CONF


DefenseScore

Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Southern Miss Sks Allowed at Cincinnatiat Rice Rush Def Tulsa

at Houston Bye Score Off Byeat UAB Total Off

SMU

1.44LA Tech RB's

SMU LB's

LA Tech LB'S1.22

SMU RB's

LA Tech DL0.48

SMU OL

470 yards LA Tech SMU 505 yards

LA Tech Leaders


265 yards LA TechSMU K

311 yards

205 yardsProjected Passing

0.70LA Tech SMU 194 yards

SMU

Projected Rushing

SMU Leaders

Team & Margin

2.19

LA Tech KLas Vegas Total

SMU QB/WR

LA Tech DB's

LA Tech ST's

SMU ST'sLas Vegas Line

SMU 42 points

LA Tech Phil Steele113 LA Tech SMU 72

Phil's Forecast:0.51 Chad Morris did a great job getting SMU to a bowl for the first time s/’12. They played

at just a 79.75 avg game grade the L/4 games. LT needed to win their L/2 to get to 6 wins, but only played at an avg game grade of 80.05 the L/4 games. Morris has left for Arkansas so SMU will be led by former LT HC Sonny Dykes. LT’s Skip Holtz is 3-0 in bowls with the Bulldogs. SMU has the edge at all 4 areas on OFF. SMU avg 70 ypg more than their opponents allow on avg. LT has the edge on D in all 3 areas. The ST’s are even. SMU will have the crowd edge as they were the first choice of the Frisco Bowl all season. LT did lead SC almost the entire game, missed a tying PAT vs UAB, led SM by 11 with under 2 minutes left, and led NT late 3Q. SMU did win every game they were favored in, and lost every game they were a ‘dog. They were 4-3 ATS as a favorite. I like the over 70 in this one.

Smu By 5

Smu By 7.5

Smu By 7.5

70 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Smu 505-4707.03LA Tech Pts

4.41SMU Pts

Computer Points

Computer Yards

120

SMU by 9 SMU 44 Louisiana Tech 35By 2.62 Points

9 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Smu 42-34

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Projected Final Score34 points LA Tech

SMU Coaches1.20

LA Tech Coaches


Experience RankingsLA Tech SMU


Wednesday, December 20, 2017 • 8:00 pmESPN • Toyota Stadium • Frisco, TX

FRISCO BOWLLOUISIANA TECH (6-6)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS LT SMU 221 rush yd 190 238 pass yd 313 34 pts 41 +7 ytd to +10 #103 sked #67

CHECKLIST LT SMU edge edge

– QB 4

– RB 1/2 – WR 44 1/2 – OL 1/2 4 DL – 4 LB – 41/2 DB – 4 4 CCH – – SITE 44

– MTCH – – INT – – ST – – SKED 44

SMU (7-5)ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 7-5

OVERALL

SMU BY 3 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 130 9/2 16-49 L 93 68 23 14 27 49 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 109 8/31 17-61 L 111 99 82 70 67 330-1 0-0 114 9/9 16-13 W 95 77 23 0-1 0-0 100 9/9 17-10 W 115 111 821-1 0-3 0-0 0-0 113 97 9/15 29-21 W 98 90 45 103 108 121 1-1 0-0 100 9/16 118 110 1102-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 21 9/21 7-43 L 96 81 24 42 24 64 #99 #65 1-1 1-2 0-0 1-0 100 97 9/23 13-7 W 116 115 107 117 100 1042-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 107 124 9/30 13-20 L 120 81 52 54 51 60 #46 #56 2-1 0-4 1-0 0-0 102 86 9/30 30-29 W 119 106 95 124 121 842-3 1-4 0-2 1-1 108 95 10/7 34-10 W 120 77 36 106 130 128 #79 #62 3-1 2-3 2-0 0-1 99 100 10/7 17-37 L 103 111 80 108 78 733-3 1-4 1-2 0-3 111 89 10/14 24-28 L 118 74 51 96 111 118 #92 #74 3-2 3-2 2-1 1-1 96 114 10/14 23-10 W 105 112 80 88 101 793-4 5-2 1-3 0-0 106 112 10/21 28-31 L 117 70 57 85 105 65 #38 #50 4-2 2-1 101 10/21 99 113 613-5 1-3 108 10/28 111 70 82 #84 #79 4-2 6-1 2-1 3-0 101 116 10/28 41-30 W 96 111 62 74 28 293-5 5-2 1-3 3-2 108 116 11/2 34-26 W 111 75 100 21 104 95 #42 #95 5-2 5-2 3-1 2-2 106 108 11/4 14-7 W 90 110 68 70 43 284-5 3-6 2-3 1-4 111 106 11/10 35-24 W 110 82 107 95 97 111 #63 #83 6-2 3-6 4-1 1-4 107 95 11/11 30-37 L 93 104 77 128 107 1175-5 9-0 3-3 6-0 113 125 14 11/18 19-45 L 105 85 102 10 51 21 #74 #80 6-3 7-3 4-2 6-0 102 119 11/18 24-52 L 81 112 78 43 80 205-6 2-9 3-4 1-6 110 108 11/25 43-22 W 107 87 96 72 127 70 #23 #83 6-4 6-5 4-3 4-3 101 105 11/25 41-17 W 89 115 71 108 95 756-6 4-4 115 12/2 104 88 93 #76 #81 7-4 4-7 5-3 0-2 106 105 12/2 63-45 W 82 107 66 72 97 1266-6 8-4 4-4 5-3 115 109 12/21 97 81 93 77 111 67 -6 -1 8-4 5-3 109 12/9 77 111 67


Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sksat Notre Dame 16-49 -276 -8 0 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 at UCF 17-61 -252 -18 -2 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 Villanova 16-13 -49 -2 1 17 27-79 2.9 20-34 274 1 19 30-20 0.7 27-41 382 3 Alcorn St 17-10 196 14 -1 26 40-137 3.4 21-33 328 2 12 25-78 3.1 22-34 191 2 UMass 29-21 -71 -5 1 20 34-119 3.5 24-39 268 2 25 33-81 2.5 23-39 377 9 Byeat USF 7-43 -323 -15 -4 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 at Rice 13-7 23 -1 0 18 33-99 3.0 17-28 172 5 19 41-100 2.4 16-27 148 2 Houston 13-20 -64 -1 -2 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 Charlotte 30-29 -29 -3 -1 20 41-234 5.7 15-27 241 0 23 49-349 7.1 16-28 155 1at East Carolina 34-10 236 9 0 24 46-179 3.9 21-33 344 0 15 22-34 1.5 20-38 253 4 at Middle Tennessee 17-37 -120 -4 -2 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 Connecticut 24-28 229 13 0 28 29-117 4.0 33-55 356 2 15 38-139 3.7 18-28 105 2 Tulane 23-10 199 5 0 23 44-218 5.0 17-31 220 0 18 40-203 5.1 5-16 36 3at Army West Point 28-31 117 5 1 24 37-217 5.9 21-31 289 2 19 50-248 5.0 8-18 141 1 Bye Bye at Marshall 41-30 -104 -8 3 21 48-224 4.7 14-18 177 1 29 29-142 4.9 33-52 363 0 Navy 34-26 31 0 0 20 28-104 3.7 22-30 289 0 20 52-136 2.6 13-19 226 5 UTSA 14-7 54 -1 -1 18 37-100 2.7 18-25 215 0 19 40-156 3.9 13-22 105 4at Cincinnati 35-24 24 4 -1 25 43-205 4.8 19-30 224 1 21 35-184 5.3 21-37 221 1 Old Dominion 30-37 48 6 -2 27 35-164 4.7 35-50 323 2 21 36-199 5.5 17-24 240 3 UCF 19-45 13 2 -5 19 35-196 5.6 17-42 201 1 17 40-130 3.3 18-28 254 2 at Florida Atlantic 24-52 -269 -9 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1at Tulsa 43-22 82 -5 3 20 34-193 5.7 21-29 258 1 25 54-314 5.8 6-19 55 2 WKU 41-17 -28 -5 3 18 34-122 3.6 18-27 251 0 23 28-46 1.6 30-49 355 5 Bye UMass 63-45 126 0 1 26 49-379 7.7 20-25 295 3 26 24-156 6.5 34-49 392 1† FIU Bye

† Temple Average 25-28 -4.3 -0.3 -0.5 20 35-136 3.9 57.4% 252 4.5% 21 41-182 4.4 57.8% 210 9.1% Average 28-29 -13.0 -2.0 -0.1 21 38-165 4.4 64.9% 239 6.1% 23 36-174 4.8 65.4% 243 5.6% Conference 26-27 28.5 0.9 -1.1 21 36-142 4.0 55.9% 243 3.8% 20 42-176 4.2 57.3% 180 7.6% Conference 26-27 -53.1 -3.1 0.1 20 37-139 3.8 65.7% 227 6.6% 23 38-188 5.0 65.1% 232 6.2% Away 27-30 -23.3 -1.7 -0.2 20 38-146 3.8 59.0% 242 6.6% 21 45-252 5.6 49.4% 158 6.8% Home 31-22 80.9 2.3 -0.1 23 40-193 4.8 66.1% 268 3.2% 20 35-170 4.9 61.7% 211 8.6%

at Notre Dame Logan Marchi 19-35-245-2-0 Ryquell Armstead 19-67-3.5-0 Isaiah Wright 4-79-19.8-0 at UCF Alex McGough 18-29-201-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 4-61-15.3-1 Thomas Owens 4-99-24.8-1 Villanova Logan Marchi 20-34-274-0-0 David Hood 4-21-5.3-0 Ventell Bryant 7-79-11.3-0 Alcorn St Alex McGough 21-33-328-0-0 Alex Gardner 20-102-5.1-1 Julian Williams 5-129-25.8-0 UMass Logan Marchi 22-37-248-3-0 Ryquell Armstead 17-91-5.4-0 Isaiah Wright 4-69-17.3-1 vs. Byeat USF Frank Nutile 4-12-57-0-1 Rob Ritrovato 5-24-4.8-0 Adonis Jennings 2-33-16.5-0 at Rice Alex McGough 17-28-172-1-1 Alex Gardner 17-80-4.7-0 Tony Gaiter IV 4-54-13.5-0 Houston Logan Marchi 20-41-182-1-3 Ryquell Armstead 14-63-4.5-0 Isaiah Wright 5-53-10.6-0 Charlotte Alex McGough 14-26-206-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 5-76-15.2-0 Thomas Owens 7-101-14.4-1at East Carolina Logan Marchi 19-31-321-2-1 David Hood 20-106-5.3-1 Isaiah Wright 6-91-15.2-1 vs. at Middle Tennessee Alex McGough 20-31-209-1-1 Alex Gardner 10-42-4.2-0 Thomas Owens 11-162-14.7-1 Connecticut Logan Marchi 33-54-356-1-1 Ryquell Armstead 9-31-3.4-1 David Hood 8-91-11.4-0 Tulane Alex McGough 17-31-220-1-2 Alex Gardner 20-79-4.0-0 Thomas Owens 6-152-25.3-0at Army West Point Frank Nutile 20-29-290-1-0 Ryquell Armstead 18-151-8.4-2 Isaiah Wright 3-79-26.3-0 Bye Bye vs. at Marshall Alex McGough 14-18-177-2-0 Napoleon Maxwell 11-93-8.5-1 Thomas Owens 7-114-16.3-2 Navy Frank Nutile 22-30-289-4-1 Isaiah Wright 4-40-10.0-0 Adonis Jennings 5-127-25.4-2 UTSA Alex McGough 18-25-215-2-1 Shawndarri Phillips 11-45-4.1-0 Thomas Owens 8-72-9.0-1at Cincinnati Frank Nutile 19-30-224-1-1 David Hood 23-108-4.7-1 Ventell Bryant 4-62-15.5-0 Old Dominion Alex McGough 35-50-323-2-0 Alex Gardner 15-95-6.3-1 Thomas Owens 11-87-7.9-0 UCF Frank Nutile 17-40-201-2-4 David Hood 12-81-6.8-0 Adonis Jennings 2-88-44.0-1 vs. at Florida Atlantic Alex McGough 20-32-218-2-0 Alex Gardner 10-56-5.6-1 Sherman Thornton 2-55-27.5-1at Tulsa Frank Nutile 20-28-262-3-0 David Hood 14-84-6.0-1 Adonis Jennings 3-89-29.7-1 WKU Alex McGough 17-26-227-1-0 Shawndarri Phillips 17-69-4.1-2 Pharoah McKever 3-62-20.7-1 Bye UMass Alex McGough 20-25-295-3-1 Alex McGough 11-108-9.8-1 Bryce Singleton 6-111-18.5-3† FIU vs. Bye

† TempleLogan Marchi 136-245-1658-9-8 David Hood 116-562-4.8-4 Adonis Jennings 39-691-17.7-7 Alex McGough 231-354-2791-17-8 Alex Gardner 171-765-4.5-6 Thomas Owens 59-887-15.0-6Frank Nutile 104-171-1346-11-7 Ryquell Armstead 141-553-3.9-4 Isaiah Wright 41-595-14.5-3 vs. Thomas Owens 1-1-35-1-0 Shawndarri Phillips 98-453-4.6-4 Pharoah McKever 26-294-11.3-3Todd Centeio 2-2-20-0-0 Isaiah Wright 23-194-8.4-1 Keith Kirkwood 39-575-14.7-7 Stone Wilson 1-1-24-1-0 Napoleon Maxwell 70-425-6.1-5 Tony Gaiter IV 31-293-9.5-1

Categoryvs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

† TempleNet Offense Defense

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Rushing Receiving Passing

2.44Temple QB/WR

FIU DB's

Temple FIU

0.08Temple OL

UMass† FIU Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff Bye

UCF Score Def at Florida Atlanticat Tulsa Sks By WKU

Navy Pass Def UTSAat Cincinnati Total Def Old Dominion

at Army West Point Sks Allowed Bye Bye Rush Def at Marshall

at Middle Tennessee Connecticut Score Off Tulane at East Carolina Total Off

Bye

at Notre Dame 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Rice Houston Pass Off Charlotteat USF Rush Off

TM REC FOE REC

at UCF Villanova Temple FIU Alcorn St UMass

FIU Golden Panthers6-6 8-4Owls Logs vs. AAC vs. CUSA

Temple Owls OVERALL: OVERALL:

Golden Panthers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--TEAM4-4 5-3 TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE


APTM CONF


DefenseScore Score


FIU DL

0.74Temple RB's

FIU LB's

0.54Temple DL

FIU OL

FIU Leaders

Temple LB'S0.18

FIU RB's

Temple LeadersTemple DB's

1.93FIU QB/WR

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Temple Coaches1.50

Temple K

Temple By 3.0

0.47FIU K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

412 yards Temple FIU 385 yards FIU Coaches

FIU 244 yards

TempleProjected Final Score

Experience RankingsFIU 28 points

Temple FIU111 4

Temple 412-385


3.80Temple Pts

4.43

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Projected RushingTemple FIU 142 yardsProjected Passing

250 yards Temple

By 0.64 Points

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Projected Box Score Temple ST's0.35

FIU ST's

FIU

31 points

FIU by 1 Best Bet: H FIU 31 (+) Temple 30

Temple looked like they were going to miss the postseason in their first year under new HC Geoff Collins. QB Frank Nutile started the L/5 and the Owls won 3 of their L/4 games. They avg 19.8 ppg the F7, but 31.8 ppg in Nutile’s starts. Butch Davis did a great job his first year as FIU doubled its win total and pulled off 5 outright upsets. The Panthers veteran QB Alex McGough opened slow, but had a 12-2 ratio his L/6 games. Temple has the edge at WR, while FIU has the slight edge at RB. Temple has the edge on D in all 3 areas, but FIU doesn’t have to leave the state and will have the crowd edge. FIU also has the ST’s edge. Despite getting over a td, FIU could pull the upset.

Temple By 7.5


+/- RatingsTemple By 4.0

Phil Steele

162 yards

FIU Pts

Computer Yards

Temple 31-28Team Schedule Strength

79 Temple FIU 110

Thursday, December 21, 2017 • 8:00 pmESPN • Tropical Field • St Petersburg, FL

GASPARILLA BOWLTEMPLE (6-6)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TEMP FIU 169 rush yd 160 256 pass yd 227 34 pts 30 -6 ytd to -1 #78 sked #105

CHECKLIST TEMP FIU edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB 4

41/2 WR – – OL 1/2 4 DL – 1/2 LB – 41/2 DB – – CCH 44

– SITE 41/2 4 MTCH – – INT – – ST 4

4 SKED –

FIU (8-4)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4

OVERALL

EVEN 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 95 9/2 38-7 W 128 114 121 0-0 0-0 109 9/2 59-0 W 94 66 221-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 97 101 9/9 31-51 L 128 95 121 109 124 59 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 113 9/8 21-44 L 87 47 22 83 63 791-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 96 9/16 30-23 W 124 94 127 125 127 100 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 110 103 9/16 42-30 W 89 59 17 87 98 972-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 96 101 9/23 43-46 L 115 92 112 81 89 89 #37 #17 2-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 110 109 9/23 27-20 W 77 66 11 99 83 962-2 0-1 97 9/30 110 98 128 #106 #96 3-1 0-5 1-0 0-1 112 101 9/30 58-50 W 76 66 14 97 110 1192-2 3-2 0-1 1-0 97 113 10/7 23-22 W 107 96 115 66 86 71 #98 #39 4-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 112 100 10/7 23-26 L 71 67 16 73 91 1213-2 3-3 1-1 1-1 100 103 10/14 25-23 W 110 93 127 102 77 72 #55 #14 4-2 1-5 1-1 1-1 108 98 10/14 48-30 W 66 66 3 103 126 314-2 0-7 2-1 0-3 100 89 10/21 24-25 L 97 85 128 113 122 98 #58 #20 5-2 2-5 2-1 1-2 110 98 10/21 48-3 W 60 63 10 130 103 954-3 5-2 2-2 3-1 98 105 10/28 30-12 W 89 82 127 45 59 92 #72 #10 6-2 3-5 3-1 2-2 114 105 10/31 45-28 W 51 64 6 99 90 885-3 1-7 3-2 1-3 103 89 11/4 52-21 W 86 80 128 114 117 108 #22 #109 7-2 8-1 4-1 5-0 114 123 11/8 38-10 W 46 66 7 28 69 76-3 5-3 4-2 2-3 106 107 11/11 24-19 W 80 84 129 79 46 39 #36 #49 8-2 5-5 5-1 4-2 114 106 11/14 34-37 L 45 61 11 116 90 1267-3 3-6 5-2 3-5 108 115 11/18 7-36 L 88 79 124 62 40 54 #46 #57 8-3 5-2 119 11/18 41 56 147-4 0-11 5-2 0-7 105 84 11/25 28-7 W 97 80 125 130 121 107 #101 #39 8-3 5-6 5-2 3-4 115 105 11/24 24-31 L 42 61 6 79 106 1028-4 6-2 105 12/2 100 80 122 #70 #39 8-4 5-3 112 12/2 43 64 98-4 8-4 6-2 5-3 105 112 12/22 105 76 123 52 66 9 +4 -4 8-4 8-4 5-3 6-2 112 105 12/22 52 66 9 105 76 123


Alabama A&M 38-7 240 14 0 23 59-258 4.4 12-22 165 3 9 33-45 1.4 13-29 138 3 Hampton 59-0 312 15 1 22 53-248 4.7 13-19 172 0 7 32-47 1.5 6-24 61 3at Ball St 31-51 127 0 -2 24 49-336 6.9 15-24 168 3 24 44-160 3.6 23-35 217 0 at Purdue 21-44 -162 -2 -2 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 25 44-263 6.0 16-24 295 1 Coastal Carolina 30-23 -53 -5 2 18 47-169 3.6 8-15 105 2 23 49-227 4.6 9-23 100 1 Kansas 42-30 -1 -1 0 22 42-196 4.7 16-22 254 1 23 32-108 3.4 30-47 343 5at North Texas 43-46 -153 -12 0 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 at Eastern Michigan 27-20 18 4 -1 19 46-171 3.7 19-31 197 4 15 27-45 1.7 29-49 305 2 Bye at UMass 58-50 -71 -5 2 25 40-298 7.5 13-24 181 2 30 37-147 4.0 33-58 403 2 Louisiana Tech 23-22 3 1 0 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2 Central Michigan 23-26 33 3 -3 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 Middle Tennessee 25-23 40 -5 1 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 at Bowling Green 48-30 19 -4 2 18 43-335 7.8 7-22 105 0 22 47-229 4.9 17-43 192 2at Charlotte 24-25 -32 3 0 18 33-162 4.9 21-29 182 0 15 49-222 4.5 14-28 154 0 Kent St 48-3 308 16 1 23 43-336 7.8 9-20 138 3 7 37-102 2.8 7-17 64 4at Southern Miss 30-12 70 7 1 21 49-209 4.3 16-29 208 3 14 26-81 3.1 19-38 266 0 Miami, OH 45-28 -5 5 2 26 36-149 4.1 21-33 294 0 21 23-98 4.3 28-51 350 1 Rice 52-21 -24 4 3 21 36-242 6.7 20-21 197 0 17 35-236 6.7 14-24 227 1 Toledo 38-10 216 9 -1 23 56-393 7.0 7-15 139 1 14 23-53 2.3 24-35 263 4at UTSA 24-19 -34 -2 1 16 53-216 4.1 8-13 49 2 18 36-137 3.8 17-37 162 3 at Akron 34-37 -48 5 -3 23 43-282 6.6 10-23 113 0 18 32-121 3.8 22-38 322 0at Florida 7-36 -229 -17 -4 8 18-3 0.2 14-20 177 3 25 50-257 5.1 15-30 152 2 Bye UTEP 28-7 126 13 2 23 45-175 3.9 15-25 159 2 10 30-101 3.4 8-20 107 4 at Buffalo 24-31 74 4 -2 20 43-159 3.7 15-30 265 2 16 26-56 2.2 19-30 294 2 Bye Bye† Ohio † UAB

Average 30-24 6.7 0.1 0.3 19 42-190 4.5 61.6% 174 7.7% 19 39-170 4.4 51.4% 188 5.2% Average 39-26 57.7 4.1 -0.3 22 44-244 5.6 54.8% 187 5.4% 18 33-111 3.4 56.8% 262 6.2% Conference 31-22 -0.5 1.1 1.0 20 42-190 4.6 62.0% 185 5.6% 19 36-169 4.7 51.4% 206 5.2% Conference 36-23 76.9 5.3 -0.6 22 44-252 5.8 51.2% 176 5.9% 16 31-97 3.1 57.4% 255 5.7% Away 27-32 -41.8 -3.5 -0.7 17 40-167 4.2 60.3% 184 9.9% 21 42-191 4.6 52.3% 202 3.0% Home 43-16 143.8 7.8 0.0 23 45-252 5.6 59.3% 193 5.0% 15 30-79 2.7 57.4% 222 9.1%

Alabama A&M AJ Erdely 11-20-152-2-0 Carlos Stephens 15-76-5.1-0 Collin Lisa 3-43-14.3-0 Hampton Quinton Maxwell 7-9-100-1-1 AJ Ouellette 12-63-5.3-0 Cameron Odom 4-75-18.8-0at Ball St AJ Erdely 15-24-168-0-0 Spencer Brown 17-151-8.9-0 Sederian Copeland 2-45-22.5-0 at Purdue Nathan Rourke 16-23-224-1-0 Julian Ross 9-55-6.1-1 Papi White 6-98-16.3-0 Coastal Carolina AJ Erdely 7-14-102-0-0 Spencer Brown 16-51-3.2-2 Collin Lisa 2-43-21.5-0 vs. Kansas Nathan Rourke 11-16-152-2-0 AJ Ouellette 10-102-10.2-1 Brendan Cope 5-104-20.8-0at North Texas AJ Erdely 17-36-321-4-1 Spencer Brown 17-50-2.9-1 Andre Wilson 5-150-30.0-2 at Eastern Michigan Nathan Rourke 19-32-197-2-0 AJ Ouellette 26-145-5.6-0 Cameron Odom 5-56-11.2-1 Bye at UMass Nathan Rourke 13-24-181-2-0 AJ Ouellette 12-125-10.4-1 Brendan Cope 7-126-18.0-1 Louisiana Tech AJ Erdely 21-32-188-0-0 Spencer Brown 25-165-6.6-1 Andre Wilson 8-105-13.1-0 vs. Central Michigan Nathan Rourke 17-31-160-0-1 Nathan Rourke 13-105-8.1-3 Brendan Cope 6-58-9.7-0 Middle Tennessee AJ Erdely 16-31-174-1-1 Spencer Brown 31-167-5.4-1 Ronnie Turner Jr. 6-54-9.0-0 at Bowling Green Nathan Rourke 7-22-105-1-2 Nathan Rourke 8-143-17.9-3 Andrew Meyer 3-84-28.0-1at Charlotte AJ Erdely 21-29-182-1-0 Spencer Brown 16-71-4.4-0 Sederian Copeland 2-47-23.5-0 Kent St Nathan Rourke 8-17-132-2-0 Dorian Brown 13-108-8.3-1 Papi White 2-82-41.0-0at Southern Miss AJ Erdely 16-29-208-1-0 Spencer Brown 33-209-6.3-1 Xavier Ubosi 1-60-60.0-0 vs. Miami, OH Nathan Rourke 21-33-294-3-0 AJ Ouellette 20-80-4.0-0 Brendan Cope 5-89-17.8-1 Rice AJ Erdely 20-21-197-3-0 Spencer Brown 17-140-8.2-3 Donnie Lee 5-84-16.8-1 Toledo Nathan Rourke 7-15-139-1-1 Dorian Brown 17-142-8.4-2 Papi White 3-91-30.3-0at UTSA AJ Erdely 8-13-49-1-1 Spencer Brown 27-128-4.7-0 Ronnie Turner Jr. 2-16-8.0-1 at Akron Nathan Rourke 9-22-110-0-2 Nathan Rourke 15-165-11.0-2 Papi White 6-68-11.3-0at Florida AJ Erdely 14-19-177-1-1 Spencer Brown 8-17-2.1-0 Xavier Ubosi 1-74-74.0-1 vs. Bye UTEP AJ Erdely 15-25-159-2-0 Spencer Brown 22-98-4.5-0 Collin Lisa 7-76-10.9-1 at Buffalo Nathan Rourke 15-30-265-1-1 Julian Ross 19-81-4.3-0 Cameron Odom 2-85-42.5-1 Bye Bye† Ohio vs. † UAB

AJ Erdely 181-293-2077-16-4 Spencer Brown 236-1289-5.5-10 Andre Wilson 48-619-12.9-6 Nathan Rourke 149-275-2031-15-7 AJ Ouellette 185-985-5.3-7 Papi White 31-520-16.8-2Tyler Johnston III 1-2-13-0-0 AJ Erdely 116-297-2.6-13 Collin Lisa 29-384-13.2-1 vs. Quinton Maxwell 14-24-220-2-2 Nathan Rourke 134-877-6.5-21 Brendan Cope 35-494-14.1-4Collin Lisa 1-1-3-0-0 James Noble III 49-271-5.5-0 Xavier Ubosi 9-208-23.1-1 Brendan Cope 1-1-3-1-0 Dorian Brown 99-592-6.0-7 Andrew Meyer 29-433-14.9-2

CategoryNone vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

UA

B B

laze

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Oh

io B

obca

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Net Offense

0.89UAB QB/WR

Ohio DB's

UAB Ohio

UAB OL0.62

Ohio DL

Receiving Passing

UAB

0.89Ohio 34 points

407 yards

at Bowling Green Louisiana Tech Total Off

Kansas

Alabama A&M 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Eastern Michigan Bye Pass Off at UMassat North Texas Rush Off

Bye† Ohio Total TO's † UAB

Ypg Diff Bye

at Florida Score Def Bye UTEP Sks By at Buffalo

Rice Pass Def Toledoat UTSA Total Def at Akron

TM REC FOE REC

Hamptonat Ball St UAB Ohio at Purdue Coastal Carolina

Blazers LogsUAB Blazers

UAB LB'S0.49

Ohio RB's

Ohio Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UAB ST's3.81

Team & Margin

UAB LeadersOhio QB/WR

UAB DB's

Projected Box Score

vs. MAC

OVERALL: OVERALL:8-4 8-4 Ohio Bobcats

Bobcats LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. CUSATEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE


APTM CONF


DefenseScore Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

at Charlotte Sks Allowed Kent Stat Southern Miss Rush Def Miami, OH

Central Michigan

6-2 5-3 TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Middle Tennessee Score Off

213 yards 215 yardsUAB

1.00Ohio Coaches

Game Grade

58 PointsProjected Passing Ohio K

UAB K0.70

Las Vegas Total

UAB RB's0.06

Ohio LB's

0.60

UAB DL1.73

Ohio OL

348 yards

Ohio Phil Steele129 UAB Ohio

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

Ohio by 3

Ohio

UAB Ohio By 7.0

Ohio By 11.6

+/- RatingsUAB Coaches

Ohio 407-348Projected Final Score

28 points UABUAB Pts

9.02Computer Yards

Best Bet: ★ UAB 28 (+) Ohio 31 By 8.13 Points

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135 yardsProjected Yardage Total

Ohio

Ohio

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Bill Clark is up for most national COY awards. OU turned the OFF over to Canadian Nathan Rourke in week 2. OU WR Papi White will be the most explosive player on the field. OU has the edge on both the OL and DL’s, and at LB. UAB has the edge in 1 area, the DB’s, where they were #38 in my pass D numbers, led by first team CUSA Darious Williams. Frank Solich has the bowl game experience edge, but it must be noted that he is just 4-9 in bowl games. OU’s biggest edge in this game is ST’s. UAB pulled 5 outright upsets and is getting over a td.

Ohio ST's Ohio By 5Projected Rushing

Ohio 76 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Ohio 34-28Team Schedule Strength

116

193 yards

130 UAB

Friday, December 22, 2017 • 12:30 pmESPN • Thomas Robinson Stadium • Nassau Bahamas

BAHAMAS BOWL UAB (8-4)ATS: 8-3-1 O/U: 4-8

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UAB OHIO 114 rush yd 237 190 pass yd 178 27 pts 35 +4 ytd to -4 #129 sked #119

CHECKLIST UAB OHIO edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB – – WR 1/2 – OL 41/2 – DL 4

– LB 1/2 41/2 DB – – CCH 4

– SITE – – MTCH – 4 INT – – ST 4441/2 – SKED 1/2

OHIO (8-4)ATS: 8-4 O/U: 8-4

OVERALL

OHIO BY 6’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 106 8/31 30-27 W 75 90 110 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 120 9/2 3-24 L 98 85 119 69 30 401-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 108 9/9 45-27 W 71 89 110 89 94 100 0-1 0-0 108 9/9 27-0 W 111 91 1192-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 109 9/16 14-41 L 57 83 115 70 56 49 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 107 127 9/16 13-49 L 114 102 123 1 34 192-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 108 9/23 14-31 L 56 88 108 109 84 80 #93 #120 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/23 28-21 W 124 100 94 66 115 1302-2 1-3 0-1 0-2 101 111 9/30 8-28 L 64 90 118 94 50 66 #48 #101 2-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 104 86 9/30 45-10 W 121 104 96 127 119 1202-3 4-1 0-1 1-0 100 112 10/7 26-23 W 73 91 121 71 67 16 #71 #126 3-2 1-0 106 10/7 121 93 933-3 4-1 1-1 1-0 104 115 10/14 10-30 L 81 89 130 53 96 26 #53 #108 3-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 106 110 10/14 28-23 W 123 92 62 108 103 43-4 2-4 1-2 0-2 102 95 10/21 56-9 W 90 87 127 121 108 99 #32 #58 4-2 4-2 2-0 2-0 109 116 10/21 14-24 L 122 88 72 93 48 74-4 2-2 106 10/28 91 73 123 #91 #75 4-3 3-4 2-1 1-3 109 108 10/28 42-3 W 125 81 68 70 95 584-4 5-3 2-2 3-1 106 114 11/1 35-28 W 92 70 126 57 67 8 #23 #5 5-3 6-3 3-1 4-1 113 112 11/4 16-13 W 124 69 64 33 102 465-4 3-6 3-2 1-4 110 115 11/8 42-30 W 86 66 127 104 87 120 #54 #21 6-3 4-5 4-1 3-2 113 108 11/11 28-14 W 124 64 48 62 128 666-4 2-8 4-2 1-5 113 89 11/14 42-23 W 86 62 127 129 103 112 #68 #13 7-3 7-3 5-1 5-1 115 110 11/18 7-13 L 124 64 50 71 71 557-4 8-3 5-2 6-1 113 117 11/24 31-24 W 82 68 127 87 37 77 #27 #39 7-4 1-11 5-2 0-7 112 85 11/25 17-20 L 122 66 49 123 124 418-4 6-2 115 12/2 80 63 123 #66 #95 7-5 5-3 107 12/2 121 60 578-4 7-5 6-2 5-3 115 107 12/22 76 68 124 118 62 56 +8 +16 7-5 8-4 5-3 6-2 107 115 12/22 118 62 56 76 68 124


Rhode Island 30-27 107 9 2 24 50-246 4.9 28-54 253 2 15 31-108 3.5 21-40 284 1 at Iowa 3-24 -30 -1 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2at Kansas 45-27 120 -3 1 26 35-123 3.5 28-37 467 0 29 34-147 4.3 32-62 323 2 Gardner-Webb 27-0 198 7 1 19 28-65 2.3 22-32 328 0 12 52-173 3.3 2-7 22 3at Syracuse 17-41 -197 4 0 22 34-105 3.1 23-46 277 0 18 44-300 6.8 19-35 279 0 Oregon 13-49 -375 -22 1 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 Miami, OH 14-31 -49 -1 -2 19 38-117 3.1 20-39 228 0 20 40-177 4.4 11-19 217 2 Hawaii 28-21 -181 -13 2 11 29-177 6.1 9-19 92 2 24 38-170 4.5 29-40 280 2at Boston College 8-28 -13 1 -1 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 Texas St 45-10 71 2 1 18 35-84 2.4 15-26 249 2 16 52-135 2.6 11-23 127 4at Ohio 26-23 -33 -3 3 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2 Bye Toledo 10-30 -155 -5 -2 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 at Utah St 28-23 -70 -9 4 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3at Ball St 56-9 247 8 0 22 45-256 5.7 16-23 199 2 14 41-81 2.0 20-34 127 8 at Boise St 14-24 -101 -6 -2 15 34-111 3.3 12-27 131 4 21 43-166 3.9 18-24 177 3 Bye New Mexico 42-3 125 5 7 18 32-75 2.3 16-28 234 0 13 40-115 2.9 10-25 69 2at Western Michigan 35-28 50 -2 2 15 35-164 4.7 12-31 243 1 17 54-315 5.8 6-18 42 3 Colorado St 16-13 -51 0 -1 18 34-156 4.6 10-20 138 1 18 55-235 4.3 8-14 110 2 Eastern Michigan 42-30 4 -10 4 12 42-177 4.2 11-18 155 4 22 36-124 3.4 23-39 204 2 at Air Force 28-14 -149 -6 2 16 43-100 2.3 11-15 129 3 22 61-203 3.3 10-22 175 2at Kent St 42-23 -44 -9 0 16 30-152 5.1 15-23 298 1 25 47-174 3.7 16-30 320 7 Fresno St 7-13 -25 -3 -1 12 28-77 2.8 20-33 231 1 15 45-147 3.3 14-23 186 1 Northern Illinois 31-24 121 -3 1 16 33-139 4.2 20-39 247 3 19 40-137 3.4 20-36 128 3 at San Jose St 17-20 37 3 0 17 43-187 4.3 18-38 170 2 14 43-146 3.4 15-29 174 2 Bye Bye† Wyoming † Central Michigan

Average 30-27 13.2 -1.2 0.7 18 36-144 4.0 55.6% 248 4.2% 20 43-191 4.4 54.6% 188 8.1% Average 22-18 -45.9 -3.6 1.3 15 34-108 3.2 55.9% 179 7.0% 19 48-172 3.6 56.0% 161 9.6% Conference 32-25 17.6 -3.1 0.8 16 34-142 4.1 55.3% 225 5.3% 19 44-189 4.3 54.7% 161 12.4% Conference 23-16 -51.9 -3.6 1.4 15 35-121 3.5 55.3% 167 7.8% 19 45-164 3.6 57.4% 175 7.9% Away 33-26 18.6 -0.6 0.7 20 35-141 4.0 59.2% 273 3.8% 20 45-204 4.6 53.7% 191 9.5% Home 25-16 -34.0 -3.4 1.4 15 31-107 3.4 55.7% 191 4.4% 19 50-183 3.7 56.8% 149 9.9%

Rhode Island Shane Morris 25-49-226-1-1 Jonathan Ward 19-147-7.7-1 Mark Chapman 5-88-17.6-0 at Iowa Josh Allen 23-40-174-0-2 Milo Hall 9-30-3.3-0 Austin Conway 7-47-6.7-0at Kansas Shane Morris 28-37-467-5-0 Jonathan Ward 11-59-5.4-0 Mark Chapman 8-168-21.0-3 Gardner-Webb Josh Allen 22-32-328-2-0 Kellen Overstreet 14-33-2.4-1 Austin Conway 11-135-12.3-1at Syracuse Shane Morris 22-45-279-2-2 Kumehnnu Gwilly 6-44-7.3-0 Cameron Cole 3-75-25.0-1 vs. Oregon Josh Allen 9-24-64-0-1 Milo Hall 11-43-3.9-0 Austin Conway 4-27-6.8-0 Miami, OH Shane Morris 15-33-195-1-2 Jonathan Ward 22-56-2.5-0 Eric Cooper 6-81-13.5-1 Hawaii Josh Allen 9-19-92-1-0 Trey Woods 15-135-9.0-1 Tyree Mayfield 2-27-13.5-0at Boston College Shane Morris 21-42-171-0-3 Kumehnnu Gwilly 12-61-5.1-1 Tony Poljan 3-61-20.3-0 Texas St Josh Allen 14-24-219-3-0 Trey Woods 21-53-2.5-0 CJ Johnson 4-57-14.3-2at Ohio Shane Morris 25-35-249-2-1 Tony Poljan 5-24-4.8-0 Tyler Conklin 10-136-13.6-2 vs. Bye Toledo Shane Morris 17-37-182-1-2 Jonathan Ward 10-32-3.2-0 Mark Chapman 5-71-14.2-0 at Utah St Josh Allen 18-26-208-1-1 Trey Woods 15-40-2.7-0 James Price 4-72-18.0-0at Ball St Shane Morris 16-21-199-4-0 Jonathan Ward 13-97-7.5-2 Corey Willis 5-98-19.6-3 at Boise St Josh Allen 12-27-131-1-2 Josh Allen 18-62-3.4-1 Austin Conway 5-33-6.6-0 Bye vs. New Mexico Josh Allen 16-28-234-4-0 Trey Woods 11-25-2.3-0 James Price 4-68-17.0-0at Western Michigan Shane Morris 12-30-243-2-0 Jonathan Ward 18-130-7.2-1 Corey Willis 5-148-29.6-1 Colorado St Josh Allen 10-20-138-0-0 Josh Allen 12-60-5.0-0 CJ Johnson 2-35-17.5-0 Eastern Michigan Shane Morris 11-18-155-3-0 Jonathan Ward 19-159-8.4-2 Corey Willis 6-71-11.8-2 at Air Force Josh Allen 8-11-70-1-0 Trey Woods 11-47-4.3-1 Trey Woods 1-38-38.0-0at Kent St Shane Morris 14-22-297-2-1 Jonathan Ward 13-80-6.2-1 Tyler Conklin 4-104-26.0-0 vs. Fresno St Nick Smith 20-32-231-1-0 Kellen Overstreet 10-31-3.1-0 Austin Conway 7-105-15.0-0 Northern Illinois Shane Morris 19-37-247-3-1 Jonathan Ward 21-159-7.6-1 Mark Chapman 3-74-24.7-1 at San Jose St Nick Smith 17-37-171-1-2 Kellen Overstreet 17-139-8.2-0 CJ Johnson 4-106-26.5-1 Bye Bye† Wyoming vs. † Central Michigan

Shane Morris 225-406-2910-26-13 Jonathan Ward 167-988-5.9-9 Mark Chapman 54-805-14.9-5 Josh Allen 141-251-1658-13-6 Trey Woods 133-474-3.6-2 Austin Conway 58-520-9.0-2Tony Poljan 10-17-61-0-0 Kumehnnu Gwilly 52-202-3.9-2 Corey Willis 42-625-14.9-9 vs. Nick Smith 40-74-471-2-2 Kellen Overstreet 88-386-4.4-3 CJ Johnson 26-459-17.7-6Jonathan Ward 1-2-9-0-0 Romello Ross 51-197-3.9-1 Tyler Conklin 28-406-14.5-5 Austin Conway 2-2-22-0-0 Josh Allen 84-207-2.5-5 James Price 16-254-15.9-1

CategoryNone vs.

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Net Offense Defense

C M

ich

igan

Ch

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Net Offense

0.85C Michigan QB/WR

Wyoming DB's

C Michigan Wyoming

0.03C Michigan OL

Wyoming DL

C Michigan RB's

Rush Def New Mexico

at Ohio Total Off Bye Toledo Score Off at Utah St

Miami, OH Rush Off Hawaiiat Boston College Pass Off Texas St

Bye† Wyoming Total TO's † Central Michigan

Ypg Diff Bye

at Kent St Score Def Fresno St Northern Illinois Sks By at San Jose St

at Western Michigan Pass Def Colorado St Eastern Michigan Total Def at Air Force

TM REC FOE REC

Rhode Island 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

OVERALL: OVERALL: Wyoming Cowboys8-4 7-5

FOE +/-TM CONF


vs. MAC vs. MTW Cowboys Logs

TM REC FOE REC

APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Wyoming Leaders

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOENCAA RANKINGS

TEAM --PS RANK--6-2 5-3


DefenseScore Score


at Iowaat Kansas C Michigan Wyoming Gardner-Webbat Syracuse Oregon

at Ball St Sks Allowed at Boise St Bye

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

1.15Las Vegas Total

1.46Las Vegas Line

Even

44.5 Points

+/- Ratings

The big question for this bowl is whether NFL prospect Josh Allen will be healthy enough to play. CM has the edge on OFF. Wyoming has a slight edge on D. Wyoming’s biggest edges is with their ST’s unit, and the site. Wyoming is used to altitude and played at this stadium this year. This game looks like a toss-up and that is where the line is. 2 factors will have me leaning with the MAC squad. Over the L/4 games, CM played to an avg game grade of 82.2 and Wyoming to just a 74.7 grade. Wyoming beat 2 bowl teams, but trailed in the 4Q in those wins. CM beat a Big 12 team on the road, while also beating 3 bowl teams. CM was -6 ypg vs the 5 bowl teams they faced, while Wyoming was -109 ypg vs their 6 bowl foes.

Wyoming ST's

Game GradeC Michigan By 3.3

0.35

C Michigan 353-290

C Michigan By 6.0

C Michigan 21-20Computer Points

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) C Michigan ST's

C Michigan LeadersC Michigan DB's

0.05Wyoming QB/WR

Chippewas LogsC Michigan Chippewas

0.40Wyoming LB's

0.81C Michigan LB'S

Wyoming RB's

0.83C Michigan DL

Wyoming OL

Projected Passing167 yards C Michigan Coaches

C Michigan K

Wyoming K

Wyoming Coaches

123 yards

290 yards

Projected Rushing

21 points C Michigan Wyoming

128 yards

353 yards C Michigan

Wyoming

Wyoming

Wyoming

45

3.41Wyoming Pts

2.52C Michigan Pts

20 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Wyoming Phil Steele

95 C Michigan Wyoming C Michigan by 3 Central Michigan 21 Wyoming 18By 0.89 Points

C Michigan

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55 C Michigan Wyoming

111

Projected Yardage Total225 yards C Michigan

Friday, December 22, 2017 • 4:00 pmESPN • Albertson’s Stadium • Boise, ID

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO CENTRAL MICH (8-4)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-5-1

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS CM WYO 142 rush yd 133 224 pass yd 174 24 pts 19 +8 ytd to +16 #107 sked #111

CHECKLIST CM WYO edge edge

41/2 QB – 4 RB – 4 WR – – OL – – DL – – LB 4

4 DB – – CCH 4

– SITE 44

– MTCH – – INT – – ST 441/2 1/2 SKED –

WYOMING (7-5)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 3-9

OVERALL

WYOMING BY 1’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 120 9/2 56-10 W 47 105 59 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 103 19 8/26 42-22 W 38 36 48 115 111 521-0 0-0 125 9/9 40 79 59 1-0 0-0 119 19 9/2 31-17 W 53 36 481-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 9/16 52-45 W 31 66 129 61 57 121 2-0 0-0 119 21 9/9 52 36 922-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 123 121 9/23 27-24 W 29 70 53 50 49 72 #96 #9 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 109 22 9/15 47-23 W 44 37 86 102 65 683-0 3-1 0-0 0-1 124 136 15 9/30 34-41 L 23 63 69 6 35 97 #11 #54 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 21 9/21 43-7 W 42 24 64 96 81 243-1 1-3 0-1 0-1 124 102 10/7 65-19 W 32 63 81 69 112 82 #17 #9 4-0 1-3 1-0 1-0 125 95 18 9/30 61-31 W 31 20 40 105 130 1274-1 3-2 1-1 1-1 128 122 24 10/14 35-46 L 26 57 82 9 64 100 #26 #16 5-0 2-0 125 18 10/7 35 22 574-2 4-2 1-2 2-1 125 125 10/21 13-31 L 21 52 97 67 47 41 #72 #32 5-0 2-4 2-0 0-2 126 104 18 10/14 33-3 W 32 17 42 106 98 1044-3 6-1 1-3 3-1 120 133 10 10/28 27-49 L 25 58 90 3 32 80 #53 #22 6-0 3-3 3-0 1-1 125 109 16 10/21 34-28 W 30 20 51 88 110 924-4 4-4 1-4 2-3 119 121 11/4 35-42 L 25 76 99 44 40 1 #124 #58 7-0 4-3 4-0 2-2 121 117 17 10/28 24-28 L 31 22 65 52 49 734-5 1-8 1-5 1-5 117 114 11/11 38-24 W 21 77 112 74 91 52 #100 #28 7-1 3-5 4-1 2-3 120 95 11/4 37-20 W 25 21 30 114 112 1175-5 8-2 2-5 5-2 119 133 11 11/18 3-27 L 24 78 92 21 8 32 #94 #37 8-1 5-1 120 22 11/11 25 22 285-6 6-5 2-6 5-3 116 131 11/25 27-23 W 28 78 97 33 10 36 #107 #21 8-1 2-8 5-1 1-5 118 105 23 11/16 27-20 W 25 23 30 61 129 586-6 3-6 121 12/2 33 72 99 #51 #7 9-1 10-0 6-1 7-0 119 128 22 13 11/24 42-49 L 24 25 51 14 45 176-6 9-2 3-6 6-2 121 119 12/23 29 72 101 30 26 51 +11 +10 9-2 6-2 119 23 12/2 30 26 51

6-6 3-6 121 23 12/23 29 72 101Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Eastern Washington 56-10 325 13 3 32 40-177 4.4 31-35 449 2 19 36-81 2.3 23-36 220 1 at San Jose St 42-22 161 11 3 29 74-315 4.3 13-26 233 3 18 38-109 2.9 25-50 278 1 Bye Stony Brook 31-17 110 7 1 21 49-153 3.1 19-32 186 2 14 36-92 2.6 17-34 137 5 Arizona St 52-45 121 6 0 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 Byeat Houston 27-24 94 -8 4 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 Illinois 47-23 326 23 2 38 66-376 5.7 17-32 304 3 15 15-67 4.5 20-40 287 2 Oklahoma St 34-41 -213 -7 0 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1 Temple 43-7 323 15 4 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5at Kansas 65-19 235 13 2 30 52-313 6.0 22-27 290 3 17 33-112 3.4 23-43 256 1 at East Carolina 61-31 161 2 1 25 50-390 7.8 13-21 185 1 23 36-108 3.0 21-46 306 1at West Virginia 35-46 117 -1 0 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4 Bye Iowa St 13-31 -64 4 -2 24 41-129 3.1 31-41 207 2 20 36-208 5.8 22-36 192 0 Cincinnati 33-3 129 4 2 25 53-212 4.0 17-30 190 0 21 33-95 2.9 21-37 178 3at Oklahoma 27-49 -180 -7 0 24 34-115 3.4 22-36 322 2 31 47-336 7.1 22-34 281 1 at Tulane 34-28 90 4 0 25 52-378 7.3 10-24 127 0 21 47-194 4.1 9-19 221 2 Kansas St 35-42 119 2 0 26 31-122 3.9 34-53 405 1 24 36-145 4.0 18-28 263 2 Houston 24-28 65 5 1 21 55-137 2.5 23-38 325 4 16 48-255 5.3 14-25 142 5† Baylor 38-24 -186 -13 3 18 30-91 3.0 24-29 246 2 31 29-106 3.7 43-63 417 1 at Connecticut 37-20 278 6 -1 28 40-217 5.4 24-37 385 1 22 41-148 3.6 21-28 176 4 TCU 3-27 38 4 -1 21 41-174 4.2 18-36 153 3 17 42-204 4.9 6-17 85 1 Byeat Texas 27-23 7 -2 2 16 34-62 1.8 20-45 333 3 18 33-116 3.5 29-51 272 1 Tulsa 27-20 64 -1 -2 21 45-279 6.2 11-28 142 0 22 55-166 3.0 14-28 191 5 Bye at UCF 42-49 120 -5 -1 27 39-150 3.8 24-45 503 3 32 40-160 4.0 29-44 373 0† USF Bye

† Texas Tech Average 34-32 34.4 0.3 0.9 24 35-142 4.0 66.6% 327 5.4% 24 37-154 4.2 63.3% 280 3.8% Average 38-23 166.1 6.5 0.9 26 53-265 5.0 53.8% 243 5.4% 19 38-126 3.3 52.7% 216 8.8% Conference 31-34 -14.1 -0.8 0.4 23 36-139 3.9 63.6% 290 5.4% 24 37-166 4.5 63.2% 277 3.4% Conference 38-23 153.8 3.8 0.5 24 50-259 5.2 53.5% 244 4.1% 21 42-140 3.4 54.0% 210 9.9% Away 37-31 14.5 -3.0 1.8 22 36-162 4.5 63.8% 306 6.3% 25 34-137 4.1 63.7% 316 3.5% Home 34-16 169.5 8.8 1.3 25 55-245 4.4 52.8% 207 5.6% 16 37-112 3.1 49.2% 171 13.2%

Eastern Washington Nic Shimonek 26-30-384-3-0 Desmond Nisby 6-57-9.5-0 Derrick Willies 4-126-31.5-1 at San Jose St Quinton Flowers 11-22-212-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 22-99-4.5-2 Marquez Scantling 6-91-15.2-0 Bye Stony Brook Quinton Flowers 19-32-186-2-1 Quinton Flowers 18-67-3.7-0 Tyre McCants 2-74-37.0-1 Arizona St Nic Shimonek 37-50-543-6-0 Justin Stockton 12-47-3.9-0 Keke Coutee 12-186-15.5-1 vs. Byeat Houston Nic Shimonek 29-45-321-2-1 Justin Stockton 10-102-10.2-0 Keke Coutee 11-161-14.6-1 Illinois Quinton Flowers 15-27-280-4-1 Quinton Flowers 25-106-4.2-1 Marquez Scantling 4-96-24.0-1 Oklahoma St Nic Shimonek 29-46-330-1-1 Justin Stockton 12-28-2.3-1 Cameron Batson 6-84-14.0-0 Temple Quinton Flowers 8-20-96-0-0 Darius Tice 15-117-7.8-2 Tyre McCants 2-29-14.5-0at Kansas Nic Shimonek 19-24-233-2-1 Justin Stockton 15-161-10.7-1 Keke Coutee 8-87-10.9-1 vs. at East Carolina Quinton Flowers 10-18-160-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 16-111-6.9-2 Marquez Scantling 6-94-15.7-1at West Virginia Nic Shimonek 24-39-323-4-1 Justin Stockton 15-96-6.4-0 T.J Vasher 2-113-56.5-2 Bye Iowa St Nic Shimonek 31-41-207-0-1 Tre King 20-82-4.1-0 Keke Coutee 8-72-9.0-0 Cincinnati Quinton Flowers 16-29-184-0-0 Quinton Flowers 15-80-5.3-1 Deange Antoine 3-50-16.7-0at Oklahoma Nic Shimonek 22-36-322-4-1 Tre King 24-113-4.7-0 T.J Vasher 5-98-19.6-0 vs. at Tulane Quinton Flowers 10-24-127-2-1 Darius Tice 13-141-10.8-1 Darnel Salomon 3-50-16.7-1 Kansas St Nic Shimonek 34-53-405-4-1 Tre King 16-71-4.4-1 Keke Coutee 12-189-15.8-2 Houston Quinton Flowers 23-38-325-0-0 Darius Tice 26-92-3.5-0 Marquez Scantling 10-186-18.6-0† Baylor Nic Shimonek 24-29-246-2-0 Tre King 20-67-3.4-1 Dylan Cantrell 11-94-8.5-0 at Connecticut Quinton Flowers 24-37-385-3-1 Quinton Flowers 16-131-8.2-0 Marquez Scantling 6-152-25.3-1 TCU Nic Shimonek 17-33-137-0-1 Justin Stockton 21-124-5.9-0 Dylan Cantrell 7-55-7.9-0 vs. Byeat Texas McLane Carter 16-37-237-0-2 Justin Stockton 7-45-6.4-0 Keke Coutee 9-168-18.7-0 Tulsa Quinton Flowers 11-28-142-2-1 Quinton Flowers 17-119-7.0-0 Darnel Salomon 2-44-22.0-1 Bye at UCF Quinton Flowers 24-45-503-4-1 Quinton Flowers 20-102-5.1-1 Tyre McCants 9-227-25.2-1† USF vs. Bye

† Texas TechNic Shimonek 296-434-3547-30-8 Justin Stockton 114-694-6.1-4 Keke Coutee 82-1242-15.1-9 Quinton Flowers 171-320-2600-21-6 Quinton Flowers 182-972-5.3-10 Marquez Scantling 50-746-14.9-5McLane Carter 23-46-359-2-2 Tre King 121-588-4.9-4 Dylan Cantrell 67-790-11.8-6 vs. Brett Kean 7-11-64-0-0 Darius Tice 162-878-5.4-11 Tyre McCants 30-598-19.9-5Jett Duffey 2-2-16-0-0 Desmond Nisby 61-274-4.5-7 Cameron Batson 55-464-8.4-5 Chris Oladokun 1-1-12-0-0 D'Ernest Johnson 177-745-4.2-7 Darnel Salomon 28-465-16.6-4

CategoryNone vs.

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† Texas TechNet Offense Defense

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Net Offense

Texas Tech RB's0.29

USF LB's

0.87Texas Tech QB/WR

USF DB's

Texas Tech OL0.54

USF DL

USF RB's

Rush Off Illinois Oklahoma St Pass Off Templeat Houston

at UCF† USF Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff Bye

TCU Score Def Byeat Texas Sks By Tulsa

Kansas St Pass Def Houston† Baylor Total Def at Connecticut

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at San Jose St Eastern Washington

APTM CONF


vs. AAC Bulls Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: USF Bulls6-6 9-2vs. BIG 12Red Raiders Logs

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETM REC FOE

RECFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--3-6 6-2 TM REC FOE

RECAP TEAM

Bye Texas Tech USF Stony Brook Arizona St Bye

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

DefenseScore Score

Passing ReceivingRushingTexas Tech USF


Iowa St Sks Allowed Cincinnatiat Oklahoma Rush Def at Tulane

Total Off at East Carolinaat West Virginia Score Off Byeat Kansas

Texas Tech DB's1.97

USF QB/WR

133 yards Texas TechProjected Passing

Ret

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Projected Box Score

13 Texas Tech USF 112

36

USF34 points

118 Texas Tech

Texas Tech 33 pointsExperience Rankings

After a slow start, USF dominated 4 straight foes, but lost their L/4 regular season games ATS. USF has a nice matchup edge with my #18 rated pass D vs the pass heavy TT OFF. Nik Shimonek is your typical first year TT QB. USF QB Quinton Flowers is dangerous. TT has a slight edge on OFF and USF a slight edge on D. Charlie Strong and his Tx squad was 2-1 vs Kingsbury. USF has the edge on ST’s. USF went just 1-2 vs bowl teams. TT beat AZSt, Hou, and Tx, and had close losses to OKSt, WV (blew 35-17 lead) and KSt (OT). I will go with the more battle tested team to pull off the upset.

USF ST's Usf By 2.5

67 Points

Texas Tech ST's Team & Margin

Texas Tech By 2.0

Phil's Forecast:

USF Leaders

1.09

0.14Texas Tech LB'S

Texas Tech DL

459 yards

+/- RatingsUSF K

Game Grade

Texas Tech K2.46

Las Vegas Total

467 yards Texas Tech USF Coaches

Texas TechProjected Yardage Total

USF 228 yards0.50

USF

Texas Tech Coaches


Texas Tech Leaders

231 yardsProjected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

1.20USF OL

Texas Tech 467-459Projected Final Score

2.60Computer Yards

Texas Tech Pts6.45

USF Pts

334 yards

Texas Tech By 2.2

USF

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech 34-33Computer Points


Phil SteeleTexas Tech by 1 Texas Tech 36 USF 35By 3.85 Points

USF

USFTeam Schedule Strength

Saturday, December 23, 2017 • 12:00 pmESPN • Legion Field • Birmingham, AL

BIRMINGHAM BOWLTEXAS TECH (6-6)ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 5-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TTECH USF 150 rush yd 226 326 pass yd 229 36 pts 33 +11 ytd to +9 #14 sked #120

CHECKLIST TTECH USF edge edge

– QB – 1/2 RB – 4 WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 4

– LB 1/2 – DB 4

1/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 4

– INT – – ST 41/2 44444 SKED –

SOUTH FLORIDA (9-2)ATS: 5-6 O/U: 4-7

OVERALL

USF BY 1’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 117 9/2 38-17 W 92 41 10 0-0 0-0 110 9/1 64-6 W 62 100 1161-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 112 9/9 30-20 W 79 49 10 47 48 90 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 102 9/9 21-17 W 42 92 116 123 108 1252-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 127 19 9/16 20-17 W 73 50 6 12 28 16 2-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 113 133 8 9/16 7-38 L 76 93 78 7 4 223-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 120 112 22 9/23 28-24 W 83 51 9 57 107 62 #12 #1 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 112 110 9/23 17-21 L 88 105 98 94 96 684-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 120 115 19 9/30 34-28 W 87 60 34 103 62 101 #118 #130 2-2 0-4 0-0 0-1 112 86 9/30 35-21 W 101 110 72 129 128 895-0 2-2 1-0 1-0 120 101 19 10/7 41-10 W 90 58 17 38 127 113 #55 #85 3-2 1-4 0-0 1-1 109 91 10/7 49-12 W 82 109 87 116 104 1086-0 3-2 2-0 1-0 122 111 19 10/14 14-31 L 85 53 34 94 59 14 #48 #52 4-2 2-3 0-0 0-2 113 110 10/14 28-27 W 92 107 55 115 68 1056-1 4-2 2-1 3-0 117 112 10/21 3-27 L 87 55 44 72 84 77 #95 #1 5-2 3-4 0-0 1-3 112 106 10/21 31-28 W 85 105 65 117 70 576-2 3-4 2-2 1-3 112 95 10/28 28-7 W 95 61 41 56 128 130 #8 #67 6-2 0-0 111 10/28 81 109 507-2 1-8 3-2 0-4 113 83 11/4 52-7 W 93 47 56 123 126 26 #27 #24 6-2 4-4 0-0 3-2 111 113 11/4 21-0 W 76 108 35 45 125 428-2 4-2 117 11/11 83 42 69 #11 #35 7-2 4-5 1-0 1-5 116 116 11/11 21-16 W 69 103 31 82 28 968-2 2-8 4-2 2-4 117 107 11/18 42-23 W 78 42 67 84 116 96 #15 #28 8-2 7-3 1-0 6-1 117 107 11/18 49-52 L 67 95 24 50 97 109-2 3-8 5-2 1-6 118 97 11/25 35-10 W 71 44 56 99 108 46 #68 #68 8-3 1-0 114 11/25 62 96 32

10-2 6-2 118 12/2 61 45 56 #19 #56 8-3 6-5 1-0 4-4 114 115 12/9 14-13 W 60 96 30 40 102 7910-2 9-3 6-2 2-0 118 114 12/23 58 44 55 42 96 46 +8 +4 9-3 2-0 114 12/16 42 96 46


Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks UC Davis 38-17 198 11 1 27 52-276 5.3 17-23 237 2 16 27-57 2.1 19-24 258 1 Fordham 64-6 207 2 0 22 47-513 10.9 0-2 0 0 20 34-66 1.9 28-41 240 3at Arizona St 30-20 10 -1 1 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5 Buffalo 21-17 27 8 2 19 66-322 4.9 2-8 17 0 11 23-119 5.2 9-16 193 2 Stanford 20-17 99 11 3 21 49-166 3.4 21-29 187 6 10 22-174 7.9 10-21 80 4 at Ohio St 7-38 -308 -14 -1 16 58-259 4.5 2-8 19 0 30 32-270 8.4 29-37 316 2at Air Force 28-24 114 5 0 19 41-187 4.6 10-16 180 1 14 60-220 3.7 2-6 33 0 at Tulane 17-21 15 7 -2 22 69-371 5.4 0-5 0 0 15 30-253 8.4 10-22 103 2 Northern Illinois 34-28 -154 -12 4 10 36-127 3.5 10-20 136 1 22 45-155 3.4 23-38 262 4 UTEP 35-21 171 6 -1 22 50-353 7.1 3-7 80 0 16 37-152 4.1 9-18 110 2at UNLV 41-10 191 15 -1 27 46-302 6.6 14-24 172 1 12 31-106 3.4 12-28 177 3 at Rice 49-12 81 4 5 21 65-418 6.4 1-3 9 0 17 37-200 5.4 9-21 146 2 Boise St 14-31 12 1 -1 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 5 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 Eastern Michigan 28-27 49 0 1 21 61-413 6.8 0-5 0 0 21 26-135 5.2 19-27 229 0 Fresno St 3-27 -120 -1 -1 14 39-165 4.2 11-23 90 5 15 38-199 5.2 10-16 176 0 Temple 31-28 -117 -5 -1 19 50-248 5.0 8-18 141 1 24 37-217 5.9 21-31 289 2at Hawaii 28-7 222 9 -1 21 53-334 6.3 5-11 83 1 12 23-35 1.5 19-33 160 3 Byeat San Jose St 52-7 448 23 2 31 71-554 7.8 6-7 94 1 8 21-33 1.6 12-22 167 2 at Air Force 21-0 202 8 0 20 59-392 6.6 0-0 0 0 12 34-95 2.8 6-13 95 2 Bye Duke 21-16 15 -5 1 17 57-226 4.0 1-1 42 0 22 33-89 2.7 19-30 164 4 Nevada 42-23 46 7 1 25 48-289 6.0 15-23 205 0 18 18-34 1.9 33-55 414 1 at North Texas 49-52 72 0 0 25 67-534 8.0 1-3 27 0 25 33-103 3.1 24-36 386 2 New Mexico 35-10 214 8 0 19 37-265 7.2 14-21 198 3 11 34-82 2.4 16-30 167 0 Bye Bye † Navy 14-13 -55 3 0 15 49-221 4.5 1-1 20 0 12 46-294 6.4 1-2 2 0† Army West Point Bye

† San Diego St Average 30-18 106.7 6.3 0.7 20 46-252 5.5 59.5% 158 12.4% 14 32-110 3.5 57.8% 193 7.0% Average 30-21 29.9 1.2 0.3 20 58-356 6.1 31.1% 30 1.6% 19 34-166 5.0 62.6% 189 7.8% Conference 30-17 140.9 8.4 -0.1 22 47-272 5.8 57.2% 158 11.2% 13 32-112 3.5 55.4% 177 4.2% Conference 18-7 73.5 5.5 0.0 18 54-307 5.7 100.0% 10 0.0% 12 40-195 4.9 46.7% 49 13.3% Away 36-14 197.0 10.2 0.2 22 51-331 6.5 57.9% 120 10.5% 12 33-88 2.6 53.3% 167 10.7% Home 33-19 58.7 1.0 0.3 20 55-346 6.3 34.1% 47 2.4% 19 32-130 4.1 64.4% 204 8.0%

UC Davis Christian Chapman 16-21-220-2-1 Rashaad Penny 21-197-9.4-2 Kahale Warring 5-74-14.8-1 Fordham Ahmad Bradshaw 0-2-0.001-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 9-177-19.7-2 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0at Arizona St Christian Chapman 9-18-73-1-0 Rashaad Penny 18-216-12.0-1 Rashaad Penny 4-38-9.5-1 Buffalo Ahmad Bradshaw 2-8-17-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 25-147-5.9-1 Jordan Asberry 1-18-18.0-0 Stanford Christian Chapman 21-29-187-1-0 Rashaad Penny 32-175-5.5-1 Mikah Holder 7-85-12.1-0 vs. at Ohio St Ahmad Bradshaw 2-7-19-0-0 Darnell Woolfolk 15-74-4.9-1 Kell Walker 1-10-10.0-0at Air Force Christian Chapman 10-16-180-1-0 Rashaad Penny 20-128-6.4-3 Mikah Holder 2-46-23.0-0 at Tulane Ahmad Bradshaw 0-3-0.001-0-1 Andy Davidson 26-130-5.0-0 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 Northern Illinois Christian Chapman 10-19-136-2-0 Rashaad Penny 25-107-4.3-0 Kahale Warring 3-39-13.0-1 UTEP Ahmad Bradshaw 3-5-80-1-0 Andy Davidson 14-100-7.1-1 Jordan Asberry 1-42-42.0-1at UNLV Christian Chapman 14-24-172-0-0 Rashaad Penny 27-170-6.3-2 Mikah Holder 9-144-16.0-0 vs. at Rice Kelvin Hopkins 1-1-9-0-0 Kell Walker 10-127-12.7-3 Kjetil Cline 1-9-9.0-0 Boise St Christian Chapman 12-27-240-1-0 Rashaad Penny 21-53-2.5-1 Fred Trevillion 2-128-64.0-1 Eastern Michigan Ahmad Bradshaw 0-3-0.001-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 19-171-9.0-1 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 Fresno St Christian Chapman 10-20-77-0-0 Rashaad Penny 15-69-4.6-0 Mikah Holder 4-35-8.8-0 Temple Ahmad Bradshaw 3-5-74-0-0 Darnell Woolfolk 18-132-7.3-3 Kell Walker 3-59-19.7-0at Hawaii Christian Chapman 5-11-83-1-1 Rashaad Penny 30-253-8.4-2 Mikah Holder 3-55-18.3-1 vs. Byeat San Jose St Christian Chapman 4-5-77-1-1 Rashaad Penny 20-234-11.7-3 Fred Trevillion 1-40-40.0-0 at Air Force Ahmad Bradshaw 0-0-0.001-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 23-265-11.5-1 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 Bye Duke Ahmad Bradshaw 1-1-42-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 20-96-4.8-1 Kell Walker 1-42-42.0-0 Nevada Christian Chapman 15-23-205-1-0 Rashaad Penny 24-222-9.3-2 Mikah Holder 5-85-17.0-1 vs. at North Texas Ahmad Bradshaw 1-3-27-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 27-244-9.0-2 John Trainor 1-27-27.0-0 New Mexico Christian Chapman 14-21-198-2-1 Rashaad Penny 22-203-9.2-2 Fred Trevillion 2-67-33.5-1 Bye Bye † Navy Ahmad Bradshaw 1-1-20-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 21-94-4.5-1 Calen Holt 1-20-20.0-0† Army West Point vs. Bye

† San Diego StChristian Chapman 140-234-1848-13-4 Rashaad Penny 275-2027-7.4-19 Mikah Holder 43-602-14.0-2 Ahmad Bradshaw 13-40-279.004-1-2 Ahmad Bradshaw 210-1566-7.5-12 Kell Walker 5-111-22.2-0Ryan Agnew 4-7-47-0-0 Juwan Washington 122-715-5.9-7 Fred Trevillion 9-293-32.6-2 vs. Kelvin Hopkins 6-18-76-1-1 Darnell Woolfolk 136-725-5.3-12 Jordan Asberry 3-78-26.0-1Team 0-1-0-0-0 Chase Jasmin 33-137-4.2-2 Kahale Warring 18-248-13.8-3 Zach Potter 0-1-0.1-0-0 Kell Walker 81-592-7.3-6 Jeff Ejekam 2-48-24.0-0

Category2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.San Diego St - -6 42 21 42-228Army West Point - 49.5 7 18 62-282 -3

vs.

vs.

vs.

† Army West Point

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

San

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1.29San Diego St QB/WR

Army DB's

San Diego St DL1.71

Army OL

2.08

† San Diego St

Score Def at North Texas New Mexico Sks By Bye

† Navy

Pass Def at Air Force Bye Total Def Dukeat San Jose St

San Diego St Army

1.06San Diego St OL

Army DL

1.95San Diego St RB's

Army LB's

0.16San Diego St LB'S

Army RB's

Bye Fresno St

Total Off at Rice Boise St Score Off Eastern Michiganat UNLV

Rush Off at Tulane Northern Illinois Pass Off UTEPat Air Force

Total TO's ByeYpg Diff Bye

TM REC FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Fordham UC Davis

TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Army Black Knights10-2 9-3

TEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAMFOE

vs. MTW vs. IND Black Knights LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF

San Diego St AztecsAztecs Logs


Receiving

FOEFOE NCAA RANKINGS

FOE 6-2 2-0 TM REC FOE REC

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

DefenseScore

Passing Rushing

--PS RANK--

Nevada

at Arizona St San Diego St Army Buffalo Stanford at Ohio St

Sks Allowed Templeat Hawaii

0.70San Diego St Army

Phil's Forecast:

Army has a nice edge of having played just 2 weeks ago. Army did win their first CIC trophy s/’96 and is attempting to get a rare 10 win season. Army has the edge in only 2 areas. Rashaad Penny will have success vs an Army D allowing 5.0 ypc. Army figures to have the crowd edge, with a good portion of their roster originating from Tx. SDSt is the more talented team, but their biggest edge is that Rocky Long’s D’s always do well vs the option. He is 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS vs option teams. This year the Aztecs held AF to 178 yards below their season avg, and then held NM to 121 yards below their season avg. They have the bowl practices to help prep for the option and in the ‘14 bowl held Navy to a season low 271 yards, which was 161 ypg below the Middies’ season avg.

Army ST's

46.5 PointsArmy K

Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

San Diego St Coaches

24 pointsProjected Final Score

Army Coaches

San Diego St 355-328

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

3.97Experience Rankings Army Pts

San Diego St

42 yards

355 yards

141 yards ArmySan Diego St

San Diego St DB's0.18

Army QB/WR

Las Vegas LineSan Diego St By 6.5

1.68San Diego St K3-9-50


Army

TM CONF


San Diego St Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Rushing214 yards San Diego St 285 yards

Projected Passing

Army Leaders

San Diego St ST's

14-21-215

Score


Rush Def

AP

22 points 6.85

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: San Diego St 24-22

102

San Diego St By 3.0

San Diego St By 1.6Game Grade

115 8San Diego St

Phil SteeleSan Diego St Army 87 San Diego St by 10 San Diego St 27 Army 17By 2.88 Points

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nts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength San Diego St

328 yards

Army

Army

San Diego St Pts

ARMED FORCES BOWLSaturday, December 23, 2017 • 3:30 pm

ESPN • Amon G Carter Stadium • Fort Worth, TX

SAN DIEGO ST (10-2)ATS: 8-4 O/U: 4-7-1

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS SDST ARMY 208 rush yd 288 150 pass yd 55 27 pts 24 +8 ytd to +4 #97 sked #100

CHECKLIST SDST ARMY edge edge

– QB – 44 RB – 4 WR – – OL 44

41/2 DL – 4 LB – 44 DB – 1/2 CCH – – SITE 4

444 MTCH – – INT 4

– ST 4

– SKED –

ARMY (9-3)ATS: 5-7 O/U: 6-6

OVERALL

SAN DIEGO ST BY 6 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 112 8/31 47-13 W 44 91 56 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 125 15 9/2 10-31 L 49 61 85 9 7 581-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 110 9/9 37-24 W 49 73 56 112 113 109 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 54-7 W 63 66 852-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 116 9/16 54-51 W 54 75 16 43 117 85 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 83 9/16 20-13 W 60 70 98 130 123 1193-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 131 14 9/23 30-52 L 47 85 26 9 21 12 #26 #28 2-1 3-0 1-0 1-0 109 126 9/23 19-20 L 68 79 60 69 46 213-1 0-0 116 9/30 51 97 22 #21 #72 2-2 1-0 111 9/30 77 76 783-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 116 109 10/7 20-15 W 50 103 22 112 73 79 #8 #33 2-2 2-3 1-0 0-1 111 103 10/7 45-31 W 75 74 84 41 92 1164-1 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 104 10/14 30-10 W 53 96 26 81 89 130 #11 #33 3-2 2-3 2-0 1-1 110 100 10/14 23-20 W 72 70 73 104 113 935-1 4-3 2-0 3-0 117 109 10/21 48-21 W 53 82 36 119 79 122 #32 #2 4-2 3-0 110 90 10/21 37-29 W 75 59 85 123 123 1246-1 2-5 3-0 0-3 120 91 10/26 58-17 W 38 79 17 124 113 85 #68 #44 5-2 1-6 4-0 0-1 107 105 10/28 27-30 L 62 60 108 72 95 1247-1 6-2 4-0 4-0 123 116 11/2 27-17 W 33 72 5 94 37 120 #49 #45 5-3 3-5 4-0 3-3 107 96 11/4 45-52 L 58 60 101 71 121 498-1 7-2 5-0 4-1 123 114 11/8 10-38 L 28 69 7 46 66 7 #55 #39 5-4 0-8 4-1 0-4 103 88 11/9 27-6 W 51 67 92 127 118 378-2 2-8 5-1 2-4 118 98 11/15 66-37 W 34 81 8 100 123 11 #56 #33 6-4 5-1 103 11/18 46 63 779-2 6-5 6-1 4-3 120 111 11/24 37-10 W 30 75 10 85 69 21 #83 #19 6-4 6-3 5-1 5-1 103 99 11/25 31-10 W 47 64 78 112 102 119

10-2 4-3 7-1 3-0 122 109 12/2 45-28 W 30 70 8 119 79 122 #13 #31 7-4 5-6 6-1 4-3 107 96 12/2 63-14 W 47 58 70 81 108 8511-2 8-1 122 12/2 28 71 8 +5 +8 8-4 7-1 111 12/9 39 51 66


Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Elon 47-13 378 18 -1 25 41-239 5.8 19-34 314 2 7 40-128 3.2 3-14 47 1 at Georgia 10-31 -84 -6 2 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1at Nevada 37-24 40 6 2 28 60-194 3.2 19-27 232 0 22 24-109 4.5 19-37 277 1 Savannah State 54-7 505 21 -2 27 47-274 5.8 16-22 345 1 6 33-77 2.3 5-18 37 3 Tulsa 54-51 131 0 -1 29 33-221 6.7 22-33 458 1 29 68-423 6.2 12-20 125 2 at Texas St 20-13 -102 -2 0 19 29-116 4.0 17-28 167 1 21 37-125 3.4 23-35 260 4at Miami, Fl 30-52 -158 -4 0 23 35-85 2.4 29-50 344 4 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 Wake Forest 19-20 150 9 0 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 Bye Bye Eastern Michigan 20-15 93 3 2 24 42-130 3.1 23-34 289 4 21 23-73 3.2 24-40 253 0 New Mexico St 45-31 -107 -11 3 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 356 4at Central Michigan 30-10 155 5 2 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0 at Idaho 23-20 -36 0 0 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6 Akron 48-21 293 12 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 Coastal Carolina 37-29 115 9 2 27 35-122 3.5 23-39 427 1 18 30-102 3.4 17-29 332 2at Ball St 58-17 293 0 -1 16 34-335 9.9 8-18 267 0 16 46-204 4.4 18-37 105 3 at UMass 27-30 -32 -1 1 15 47-234 5.0 14-29 133 0 16 39-209 5.4 20-33 190 4 Northern Illinois 27-17 97 -2 1 23 40-166 4.2 23-31 361 1 25 40-185 4.6 24-44 245 2 at ULM 45-52 -61 -3 0 25 36-169 4.7 20-29 339 3 28 38-213 5.6 24-32 356 1at Ohio 10-38 -216 -9 1 14 23-53 2.3 24-35 263 4 23 56-393 7.0 7-15 139 1 GA Southern 27-6 226 4 0 19 47-256 5.4 7-14 161 0 15 38-111 2.9 10-18 80 3at Bowling Green 66-37 246 12 1 32 53-389 7.3 14-20 248 0 20 33-82 2.5 18-31 309 4 Bye Western Michigan 37-10 180 7 1 22 38-155 4.1 19-29 300 1 15 31-95 3.1 13-29 180 1 at Georgia St 31-10 138 6 -1 20 46-323 7.0 15-23 107 0 14 26-91 3.5 22-35 201 2† Akron 48-21 293 12 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 Louisiana 63-14 239 9 3 27 47-357 7.6 18-23 251 0 18 35-162 4.6 15-26 207 3 Bye Bye† Appalachian St † Toledo

Average 39-26 130.5 4.2 0.4 24 41-218 5.3 63.7% 292 4.6% 20 36-166 4.7 52.7% 213 5.2% Average 33-22 79.3 2.9 0.7 21 40-215 5.4 61.1% 223 2.4% 18 37-147 4.0 57.8% 212 9.7% Conference 38-21 145.1 3.8 0.6 23 41-233 5.7 64.8% 272 4.4% 19 34-139 4.1 51.3% 221 5.1% Conference 36-22 51.5 1.5 0.9 21 40-227 5.7 63.7% 210 2.9% 20 35-137 3.9 60.5% 249 9.9% Away 39-29 75.0 2.3 0.3 22 43-231 5.4 62.0% 250 4.4% 20 34-174 5.1 52.5% 233 6.4% Home 41-18 188.0 6.8 1.0 24 42-247 5.9 58.7% 272 1.2% 17 36-133 3.7 52.4% 198 9.5%

Elon Logan Woodside 19-31-314-0-0 Shakif Seymour 11-102-9.3-1 Cody Thompson 5-112-22.4-0 at Georgia Taylor Lamb 18-27-128-0-0 Taylor Lamb 10-66-6.6-1 Jalin Moore 4-34-8.5-0at Nevada Logan Woodside 19-27-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 27-101-3.7-2 Cody Thompson 8-101-12.6-1 Savannah State Taylor Lamb 12-15-327-5-0 Terrence Upshaw 10-86-8.6-1 Collin Reed 3-106-35.3-2 Tulsa Logan Woodside 22-33-458-6-1 Terry Swanson 19-139-7.3-1 Cody Thompson 9-178-19.8-3 vs. at Texas St Taylor Lamb 17-28-167-1-0 Terrence Upshaw 14-60-4.3-1 Malik Williams 4-68-17.0-0at Miami, Fl Logan Woodside 28-48-342-3-0 Terry Swanson 20-79-4.0-0 Cody Thompson 5-114-22.8-0 Wake Forest Taylor Lamb 26-50-372-2-0 Terrence Upshaw 15-86-5.7-0 TJ Watkins 3-102-34.0-1 Bye Bye Eastern Michigan Logan Woodside 23-34-289-0-0 Art Thompkins 15-94-6.3-1 Diontae Johnson 8-97-12.1-0 vs. New Mexico St Taylor Lamb 10-21-48-0-2 Jalin Moore 19-241-12.7-2 Thomas Hennigan 6-66-11.0-1at Central Michigan Logan Woodside 10-18-89-0-0 Terry Swanson 23-145-6.3-2 Diontae Johnson 2-32-16.0-0 at Idaho Taylor Lamb 19-26-155-3-1 Jalin Moore 17-49-2.9-0 Ike Lewis 6-101-16.8-2 Akron Logan Woodside 17-24-304-5-1 Terry Swanson 20-123-6.2-0 Jon'Vea Johnson 5-102-20.4-2 Coastal Carolina Taylor Lamb 23-39-427-2-0 Malik Williams 15-72-4.8-2 Jalen Virgil 5-186-37.2-2at Ball St Logan Woodside 8-17-267-3-0 Terry Swanson 11-105-9.5-1 Diontae Johnson 4-170-42.5-2 vs. at UMass Taylor Lamb 14-28-133-2-1 Marcus Williams Jr. 25-125-5.0-0 Ike Lewis 5-87-17.4-1 Northern Illinois Logan Woodside 23-31-361-0-0 Terry Swanson 29-116-4.0-3 Diontae Johnson 10-166-16.6-0 at ULM Taylor Lamb 20-29-339-4-0 Jalin Moore 21-114-5.4-2 Ike Lewis 7-87-12.4-3at Ohio Logan Woodside 24-35-263-1-0 Shakif Seymour 11-77-7.0-0 Diontae Johnson 9-144-16.0-1 GA Southern Taylor Lamb 7-13-161-2-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 28-130-4.6-0 Ike Lewis 3-67-22.3-1at Bowling Green Logan Woodside 13-18-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 23-192-8.3-0 Diontae Johnson 3-75-25.0-1 vs. Bye Western Michigan Logan Woodside 19-29-300-2-1 Terry Swanson 21-94-4.5-1 Jon'Vea Johnson 4-96-24.0-0 at Georgia St Taylor Lamb 15-23-107-2-2 Jalin Moore 32-239-7.5-1 Ike Lewis 5-43-8.6-1† Akron Logan Woodside 23-37-307-4-2 Terry Swanson 21-180-8.6-2 Diontae Johnson 9-118-13.1-2 Louisiana Taylor Lamb 17-22-242-4-0 Daetrich Harrington 17-118-6.9-1 Thomas Hennigan 5-99-19.8-4 Bye vs. Bye† Appalachian St † Toledo

Logan Woodside 248-382-3758-28-5 Terry Swanson 231-1319-5.7-14 Diontae Johnson 72-1257-17.5-13 Taylor Lamb 198-321-2606-27-6 Jalin Moore 161-912-5.7-9 Ike Lewis 47-666-14.2-8Michael Julian 2-6-21-0-0 Shakif Seymour 113-704-6.2-12 Jon'Vea Johnson 41-675-16.5-5 vs. Zac Thomas 6-10-33-0-0 Taylor Lamb 70-539-7.7-5 Thomas Hennigan 44-556-12.6-7Mitchell Guadagni 1-6-16-0-1 Art Thompkins 102-618-6.1-2 Cody Thompson 28-537-19.2-4 Malik Williams 1-2-27-1-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 73-360-4.9-0 Jalen Virgil 19-351-18.5-3

Category2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Appalachian St - -1 31 25 49-297Toledo - 60 28 14 28-127 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

† ToledoNet Offense Defense

Tole

do

Roc

kets

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ap

pal

ach

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St

Mou

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rs

Net Offense

1.35Toledo QB/WR

Appalachian St DB's

Toledo Appalachian St

0.59Toledo OL

Appalachian St DL

0.45

Louisiana Bye Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff† Akron

Total Def GA SouthernScore Def Bye

Western Michigan Sks By at Georgia St

Sks Allowed Coastal Carolinaat Ball St Rush Def at UMass

Pass Def at ULM

at Central Michigan Score Off at Idaho Eastern Michigan

Savannah State Tulsa at Texas St

Elon

Rush Off Wake Forest

FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Georgia

Byeat Miami, Fl

Total Off New Mexico St

FOE--PS RANK--vs. MAC

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

8-1 7-1

11-2 8-4vs. SUNRockets Logs

at Bowling Green

† Appalachian St

at Ohio

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Mountaineers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Appalachian St Mountaineers--PS RANK--AP

Toledo ST's

4.59Toledo Pts

33 points Toledo

DefenseScore Score

AP TEAMFOE

TM REC FOE REC

at Nevada Toledo

PassingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Appalachian St

Bye Pass Off

ReceivingRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Akron

Northern Illinois

62.5 Points

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineToledo By 7.5

+/- RatingsToledo By 9.5

Phil's Forecast:

App St had a disappointing year, despite sharing the league title. They were favored in every game except their opener with UGA, but only went 8-4. These teams are very evenly matched as I rate their RB’s, OL’s, LB’s, and DB’s all even. Both teams have veteran QB’s. The biggest edge at any position is on ST’s with Toledo at #8 and App St at #66. Toledo is playing with revenge after losing a tight game by 3 in last year’s Camellia Bowl. I expect a very similar game, but this time App St is getting over a td after being a slight favorite last year.

184 yards ToledoProjected Passing Appalachian St K

0.37

Appalachian St ST's

Toledo By 6.6Projected Yardage Total

30 pointsAppalachian StProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings Appalachian St Pts

Toledo 460-3983.46Computer Yards

Computer PointsToledo 33-30

216 yards

Toledo

79 Toledo

Appalachian St Leaders

Game Grade460 yards Appalachian St Coaches

0.80Appalachian St 183 yards Toledo Coaches

Toledo 398 yardsAppalachian St

276 yards

Toledo by 3 Best Bet: ★ Appalachian St 30 (+) Toledo 33By 1.13 Points

Appalachian St

Appalachian St 125ToledoR

etu

rn t

o Ta

ble

of

Con

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Appalachian StProjected Rushing

Phil Steele

34 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

0.61Appalachian St RB's

Toledo DL1.19

Appalachian St OL

0.86Toledo LeadersToledo DB's

Appalachian St QB/WR

14-33-11918-26-247 Toledo K

Comp-Att-Yds 1.83

Team Schedule Strength105 Toledo

Toledo RB's

Appalachian St LB's

Toledo LB'S


Toledo RocketsFOE

FOE +/-TEAM

Saturday, December 23, 2017 • 7:00 pmESPN • Ladd-Peebles Stadium • Mobile, AL

DOLLAR GENERAL BOWLAPPALACHIAN ST (8-4)ATS: 5-7 O/U: 5-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS APP ST TOL 218 rush yd 184 172 pass yd 276 26 pts 33 +8 ytd to +5 #126 sked #102

CHECKLIST APP ST TOL edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB – – WR 4

– OL – 4 DL – – LB – – DB – 1/2 CCH – 4 1/2 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – – ST 44

– SKED 4

TOLEDO (11-2)ATS: 7-6 O/U: 7-6

OVERALL

TOLEDO BY 1’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 119 9/2 39 52 71 0-0 0-0 99 9/2 66-0 W 110 121 390-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 115 9/9 19-16 W 43 54 71 22 102 97 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 144 1 9/9 10-41 L 88 103 39 9 1 241-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 119 99 9/16 38-3 W 48 58 30 110 106 95 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 105 138 6 9/16 16-48 L 88 107 37 17 18 532-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 123 9/23 24-27 L 50 49 72 29 70 53 #54 #79 1-2 0-0 105 9/23 92 110 502-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 124 107 9/30 20-13 W 54 51 60 120 81 52 #38 #66 1-2 0-4 0-0 0-0 105 100 9/30 41-21 W 93 113 62 118 101 793-1 4-1 1-0 1-0 123 115 10/7 35-22 W 51 45 63 23 97 122 #35 #83 2-2 1-5 1-0 0-2 107 88 10/7 27-10 W 81 106 72 121 118 564-1 1-5 2-0 0-2 123 107 10/14 17-45 L 47 49 68 45 129 67 #67 #78 3-2 3-2 2-0 1-1 107 112 10/14 38-0 W 84 100 69 73 91 484-2 5-1 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 38-42 L 62 51 73 37 83 8 #14 #5 4-2 6-1 3-0 2-1 112 117 10/21 27-3 W 72 84 77 87 55 444-3 7-0 2-2 4-0 117 121 17 10/28 28-24 W 52 49 73 31 22 65 #47 #15 5-2 2-5 4-0 1-3 117 96 10/28 16-26 L 66 77 57 55 129 1225-3 2-6 3-2 1-3 120 96 11/4 52-27 W 47 42 63 109 130 114 #119 #38 5-3 2-7 4-1 0-4 112 100 11/4 20-13 W 73 79 60 119 71 1026-3 4-2 120 11/11 39 44 62 #84 #16 6-3 3-6 4-1 1-5 110 95 11/11 31-21 W 72 78 43 75 126 1256-3 4-6 4-2 2-4 120 105 11/18 17-20 L 42 46 61 92 111 115 #39 #9 7-3 7-3 5-1 5-1 110 115 11/18 13-7 W 71 71 55 124 64 506-4 6-4 4-3 4-3 116 116 11/24 24-14 W 37 52 63 38 101 68 #83 #23 8-3 9-2 6-1 7-0 113 124 25 11/25 28-17 W 76 70 47 58 60 77-4 5-3 117 12/2 40 50 64 #63 #36 9-3 9-2 7-1 7-0 117 124 25 12/2 14-17 L 83 71 40 58 60 77-4 9-4 5-3 7-2 117 117 12/24 38 48 64 96 67 45 -2 +8 9-4 7-2 117 12/9 96 67 45


Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sksat Bye Incarnate Word 66-0 488 18 2 26 40-199 5.0 23-37 414 0 8 27--30 -1.1 15-31 155 2at Arizona 19-16 12 -3 0 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 at Alabama 10-41 -224 -10 -1 18 22-57 2.6 26-41 216 2 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 Rice 38-3 242 8 3 22 37-130 3.5 34-38 354 2 14 35-129 3.7 11-25 113 3 at Washington 16-48 -107 -3 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 194 1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 Texas Tech 24-27 -94 8 -4 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2 Byeat Temple 20-13 64 1 2 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1 Nevada 41-21 190 6 0 22 38-192 5.1 25-33 312 1 16 23-61 2.7 31-49 253 3 SMU 35-22 -81 -3 0 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2 at San Jose St 27-10 143 5 4 17 51-212 4.2 15-26 136 0 12 33-108 3.3 15-26 97 4at Tulsa 17-45 -12 5 -2 25 47-146 3.1 25-41 258 3 20 53-288 5.4 9-18 128 1 New Mexico 38-0 204 3 1 17 36-227 6.3 13-23 299 1 14 37-109 2.9 15-30 213 2 Memphis 38-42 53 -3 -1 25 54-239 4.4 29-41 315 1 28 23-30 1.3 33-53 471 2 at San Diego St 27-3 120 1 1 15 38-199 5.2 10-16 176 0 14 39-165 4.2 11-23 90 5at USF 28-24 -65 -5 -1 16 48-255 5.3 14-25 142 5 21 55-137 2.5 23-38 325 4 UNLV 16-26 -36 -3 -1 19 34-140 4.1 16-27 152 1 22 44-173 3.9 17-29 155 0 East Carolina 52-27 -32 -17 3 16 26-142 5.5 15-22 330 0 33 24-36 1.5 54-74 468 1 BYU 20-13 -26 -5 1 16 40-136 3.4 14-20 174 0 21 27-122 4.5 23-43 214 2 Bye at Hawaii 31-21 129 8 0 24 36-175 4.9 19-36 226 0 16 37-118 3.2 18-31 154 5at Tulane 17-20 28 -1 -1 22 33-220 6.7 18-26 225 0 23 47-166 3.5 17-25 251 2 at Wyoming 13-7 25 3 1 15 45-147 3.3 14-23 186 1 12 28-77 2.8 20-33 231 1 Navy 24-14 89 -3 -1 16 32-103 3.2 21-27 277 2 19 60-217 3.6 3-8 74 3 Boise St 28-17 30 -1 0 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 Bye at Boise St 28-17 30 -1 0 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2† Fresno St Bye

† Houston Average 28-23 18.5 -1.2 -0.2 21 38-175 4.6 70.1% 261 4.1% 23 39-149 3.8 61.8% 268 5.2% Average 27-17 67.8 1.7 0.6 19 37-157 4.3 60.6% 230 2.3% 17 33-117 3.5 60.3% 202 7.7% Conference 29-26 5.5 -3.3 -0.1 21 39-192 4.9 67.9% 246 4.5% 25 41-145 3.6 63.1% 287 5.0% Conference 26-14 83.3 2.4 0.6 18 38-170 4.5 59.4% 221 2.4% 16 34-114 3.3 58.5% 194 9.0% Away 20-24 5.4 -0.6 -0.4 21 39-188 4.8 66.9% 215 5.0% 21 46-177 3.8 56.9% 221 5.6% Home 35-13 141.7 3.0 0.5 20 36-166 4.6 64.8% 281 1.7% 17 32-90 2.9 57.8% 214 5.0%

at Bye Incarnate Word Chason Virgil 16-29-246-1-0 Ronnie Rivers 9-60-6.7-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-120-17.1-0at Arizona Kyle Allen 25-32-225-1-2 Dillon Birden 14-83-5.9-1 Steven Dunbar 6-72-12.0-0 at Alabama Chason Virgil 21-34-180-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 9-29-3.2-0 Da'Mari Scott 7-67-9.6-0 Rice Kyle Allen 31-33-309-2-0 Mulbah Car 11-59-5.4-1 Linell Bonner 10-132-13.2-0 vs. at Washington Chason Virgil 11-20-98-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 10-29-2.9-0 KeeSean Johnson 4-51-12.8-0 Texas Tech Kyle Allen 24-39-217-1-2 Kyle Postma 4-52-13.0-1 Steven Dunbar 6-83-13.8-0 Byeat Temple Kyle Postma 25-36-226-1-1 Kyle Postma 15-81-5.4-0 Steven Dunbar 6-78-13.0-0 Nevada Marcus McMaryion 24-32-296-2-1 Ronnie Rivers 12-82-6.8-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-104-14.9-3 SMU Kyle Postma 19-27-176-2-2 Duke Catalon 22-177-8.0-2 Steven Dunbar 6-65-10.8-0 vs. at San Jose St Marcus McMaryion 15-26-136-0-0 Ronnie Rivers 19-105-5.5-2 KeeSean Johnson 2-52-26.0-0at Tulsa Kyle Postma 25-41-258-0-2 Dillon Birden 11-82-7.5-1 Steven Dunbar 10-107-10.7-0 New Mexico Marcus McMaryion 13-23-299-3-0 Josh Hokit 14-70-5.0-1 Jamire Jordan 3-108-36.0-2 Memphis Kyle Postma 29-40-315-1-1 Dillon Birden 21-106-5.0-1 Linell Bonner 8-121-15.1-0 at San Diego St Marcus McMaryion 10-16-176-0-0 Jordan Mims 21-112-5.3-0 Da'Mari Scott 3-57-19.0-0at USF D'Eriq King 12-20-137-1-0 Mulbah Car 18-137-7.6-1 Courtney Lark 2-69-34.5-1 vs. UNLV Marcus McMaryion 16-27-152-0-0 Jordan Mims 12-68-5.7-2 Derrion Grim 4-68-17.0-0 East Carolina D'Eriq King 15-21-330-3-0 Duke Catalon 9-77-8.6-1 Steven Dunbar 6-171-28.5-1 BYU Marcus McMaryion 14-20-174-0-0 Josh Hokit 13-59-4.5-0 Da'Mari Scott 4-61-15.3-0 Bye at Hawaii Marcus McMaryion 19-36-226-4-2 Jordan Mims 12-55-4.6-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-91-15.2-2at Tulane D'Eriq King 18-26-225-0-1 D'Eriq King 10-141-14.1-2 Linell Bonner 7-100-14.3-0 vs. at Wyoming Marcus McMaryion 14-23-186-1-0 Josh Hokit 21-69-3.3-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-48-8.0-0 Navy D'Eriq King 21-27-277-1-0 D'Eriq King 16-57-3.6-2 Steven Dunbar 8-142-17.8-1 Boise St Marcus McMaryion 23-36-332-2-0 Jordan Mims 11-43-3.9-1 KeeSean Johnson 6-119-19.8-2 Bye at Boise St Marcus McMaryion 16-34-172-0-1 Josh Hokit 9-46-5.1-0 KeeSean Johnson 5-58-11.6-0† Fresno St vs. Bye

† HoustonKyle Postma 111-167-1125-5-6 Duke Catalon 138-621-4.5-8 Steven Dunbar 67-882-13.2-3 Marcus McMaryion 185-303-2384-14-4 Jordan Mims 142-604-4.3-6 KeeSean Johnson 69-918-13.3-8D'Eriq King 67-96-991-6-1 Mulbah Car 73-372-5.1-3 Linell Bonner 73-850-11.6-4 vs. Chason Virgil 48-83-524-3-2 Josh Hokit 117-519-4.4-7 Da'Mari Scott 53-543-10.2-1Kyle Allen 80-105-751-4-4 D'Eriq King 63-341-5.4-8 D'Eriq King 29-264-9.1-2 Josh Hokit 2-2-81-2-0 Ronnie Rivers 95-473-5.0-5 Jamire Jordan 21-482-23.0-3

CategoryNone vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

at Tulane

Net

† Fresno St

Memphis

at Arizona

Offense Defense

Hou

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1.88Houston QB/WR

Fresno St DB's

Houston Fresno St

0.12Houston OL

Fresno St DL

Phil's Forecast:

Fresno St Leaders

Receiving

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Houston LeadersFresno St QB/WR

Houston DB's1.15

0.21Houston RB's

Fresno St LB's

1.52Houston LB'S

at USF Rush Def UNLV

Total Off at San Jose Stat Tulsa Score Off New Mexico SMU

Rush Off Byeat Temple Pass Off Nevada Texas Tech

Total TO's ByeYpg Diff Bye

Score Def at Wyoming Navy Sks By Boise St

at Boise St

East Carolina Pass Def BYU Bye Total Def at Hawaii

Rice at Washington

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Incarnate Wordat Bye

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Bulldogs Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Fresno St Bulldogs

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOEFOE

Houston Cougars 7-4 9-4vs. AAC vs. MTW

FOENCAA RANKINGS

5-3 7-2 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

DefenseScore

Houston Fresno St at Alabama

Sks Allowed at San Diego St

† HoustonNet Offense

HoustonExperience Rankings

Houston By 0.5


Game Grade

250 yards Houston Fresno St

4.60Houston Pts

3.3218 pointsFresno St Pts

Projected Yardage Total374 yards Houston

Houston DL

Fresno St OL

Score


FOE +/-AP

FOE

Fresno St 364 yards

Computer Points

Computer YardsFresno St 17 points


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Projected Box Score 0.21Houston ST's

41 Fresno St 28 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Houston

70 Houston Fresno St 90 Houston by 1 Houston 18 Fresno St 17By 1.28 Points

Houston Phil Steele

Jeff Tedford did an incredible job as FSt won just 1 game last year and played in the MW title game this year. DC Orlando Steinhauer came over from the CFL, but had no problems adjusting to the college game as his D held foes to 53 ypg below their season avg. Despite using 3 QB’s, the Cougars completed 70% of their passes. The top NFL prospect in this game is Nagurski Award winning DT Ed Oliver, who is just a true soph. The D’s are even. Houston has the edge on OFF, while FSt has the edge on ST’s and played at this site 6 weeks ago. The game is a toss-up. Houston’s OFF gains 12 ypg less than their foes allow on avg, and FSt is -8 ypg in that category as well. Houston limits foes to 30 ypg below their season avg, and FSt is even better at 53 ypg below. My computer is calling for 35 total points scored. I like the under 50 in this one.

Houston 374-364

Houston 18-17

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineFresno St ST's Houston By 2.5

0.66

Houston Coaches

1.50

49.5 PointsFresno St K

Houston K

+/- RatingsFresno St By 0.0

Fresno St Coaches

125 yards Houston Fresno St 87 yards

Fresno St RB's

0.66

Cougars Logs

Projected Rushing

TEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

Sunday, December 24, 2017 • 8:30 pmESPN • Aloha Stadium • Honolulu, HI

HAWAII BOWLFRESNO STATE (9-4)ATS: 9-2-2 O/U: 4-9

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS FSU HOU 86 rush yd 137 284 pass yd 230 16 pts 15 +8 ytd to -2 #76 sked #84

CHECKLIST FSU HOU edge edge

– QB 4

– RB 4 1/2 – WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 4

– LB – 1/2 DB – 4 1/2 CCH – 4 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 1/2 ST – – SKED –

HOUSTON (7-4)ATS: 6-5 O/U: 2-9

OVERALL

HOUSTON BY 1/2 4’s

Team RankFAU-BocaRaton 41Auburn-Peach 40Northwestern-MusicCity 39FloridaSt-Independence 38Louisville-Taxslayer 37Michigan-Outback 36OklahomaSt-CampingWorld 35Troy-NewOrleans 34Utah-HeartofDallas 33UtahSt-Arizona 32KansasSt-Cactus 31Oregon-Vegas 30PennSt-Fiesta 29WKU-Cure 28NorthCarolinaA&T 27OhioSt-Cotton 26SanDiegoSt-ArmedForces 25Texas-Texas 24Ohio-Bahamas 23AtkansasSt-Camellia 22ChampGameWinner 21SMU-Frisco 20TCU-Alamo 19Duke-QuickLane 18Wisconsin-Orange 17Alabama-Sugar 16Toledo-DollarGeneral 15Purdue-FosterFarms 14CentralMichigan-IdahoPotato 13BostonCollege-Pinstripe 12TexasTech-Birmingham 11MichiganSt-Holiday 10WakeForest-Belk 9NotreDame-Citrus 8Marshall-NewMexico 7FIU-Gasparilla 6ArizonaSt-Sun 5Houston-Hawaii 4Navy-Military 3Memphis-Liberty 2Oklahoma-Rose 1

PhilSteele's2017BowlConfidencePicks

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 127 22 21 9/2 24-31 L 35 58 75 91 9 18 0-0 0-0 117 8/31 37-16 W 81 24 270-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/9 56-20 W 27 65 75 110 129 129 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 116 9/9 19-13 W 59 25 27 83 40 311-1 0-0 120 9/16 59-16 W 22 53 88 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 96 9/16 54-16 W 56 25 60 120 111 432-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 103 9/23 56-34 W 14 62 88 85 102 91 #72 #70 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 121 119 23 9/22 30-24 W 48 18 8 16 80 773-1 1-0 120 23 9/30 11 65 88 #12 #43 4-0 1-0 123 20 9/30 47 20 53-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 134 23 8 10/7 24-31 L 10 64 95 12 14 15 #16 #46 4-0 3-2 1-0 2-1 123 128 20 10/7 20-23 L 43 23 3 5 28 83-2 4-1 1-1 1-1 122 128 24 10/14 46-35 W 9 64 100 26 57 82 #19 #57 4-1 5-1 1-1 3-1 123 132 13 10/14 27-28 L 46 24 6 13 6 304-2 0-6 2-1 0-3 125 112 23 10/21 38-36 W 11 69 96 52 93 35 #26 #104 4-2 3-3 1-2 2-1 125 123 10/21 10-30 L 43 29 12 58 56 1075-2 6-1 3-1 3-1 124 139 22 12 10/28 39-50 L 10 67 89 7 21 107 #104 #36 4-3 4-4 1-3 1-4 120 115 10/28 20-41 L 50 29 13 19 22 765-3 6-2 3-2 4-1 124 132 14 11/4 20-16 W 13 62 93 74 34 78 #101 #54 4-4 4-4 1-4 2-3 115 119 11/3 48-17 W 50 33 18 22 59 766-3 5-4 4-2 3-3 126 123 23 11/11 28-23 W 10 56 103 43 37 1 #111 #32 5-4 8-2 2-4 5-2 119 125 19 11/11 25-33 L 42 31 12 37 22 727-3 5-5 5-2 4-3 127 127 24 11/18 14-28 L 12 48 121 35 12 35 #92 #42 5-5 8-2 2-5 5-2 118 135 16 11/18 30-33 L 47 28 16 23 11 387-4 10-1 5-3 7-1 123 140 3 11/25 31-59 L 16 56 114 3 26 89 #107 #68 5-6 5-6 2-6 2-6 121 117 11/25 34-13 W 53 29 13 60 73 257-5 5-4 122 12/2 19 66 118 #53 #37 6-6 3-6 123 12/2 45 19 137-5 6-6 5-4 3-6 122 123 12/26 36 69 119 46 24 11 -5 -1 6-6 7-5 3-6 5-4 123 122 12/26 46 24 11 36 69 119


† Virginia Tech 24-31 123 8 -1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 North Dakota 37-16 257 15 0 27 47-272 5.8 23-32 227 3 12 28-55 2.0 14-31 187 1 East Carolina 56-20 144 10 2 31 47-211 4.5 24-34 403 1 21 32-142 4.4 23-47 328 0 at BYU 19-13 197 5 1 18 36-116 3.2 28-37 314 0 13 24-63 2.6 21-39 170 3 Delaware St 59-16 237 11 0 23 35-204 5.8 24-34 334 1 12 44-161 3.7 10-16 140 3 San Jose St 54-16 238 13 2 29 40-160 4.0 30-44 341 1 16 37-30 0.8 17-35 233 5at Kansas 56-34 71 7 2 31 43-288 6.7 25-39 347 1 24 50-367 7.3 17-34 197 1 at Arizona 30-24 -107 -3 3 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2 Bye Byeat TCU 24-31 102 12 -2 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 Stanford 20-23 -2 11 -2 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0 Texas Tech 46-35 -117 1 0 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 at USC 27-28 -96 -10 2 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0at Baylor 38-36 -4 -7 0 23 29-118 4.1 26-37 375 1 30 42-127 3.0 24-40 370 6 Arizona St 10-30 -80 -3 -3 18 25-110 4.4 19-35 155 2 21 46-205 4.5 19-29 140 1 Oklahoma St 39-50 -115 -8 -1 19 30-62 2.1 20-42 285 1 27 56-246 4.4 20-34 216 0 at Oregon 20-41 -32 1 0 20 30-91 3.0 25-43 293 4 19 49-347 7.1 10-13 69 2 Iowa St 20-16 174 0 0 23 47-208 4.4 20-25 316 0 23 29-101 3.5 27-40 249 1 UCLA 48-17 257 12 1 24 50-272 5.4 15-22 234 2 12 32-134 4.2 11-16 115 1at Kansas St 28-23 160 6 -2 20 26-120 4.6 27-46 372 2 14 42-173 4.1 13-26 159 4 Washington St 25-33 29 7 -5 27 36-62 1.7 21-40 305 7 20 17-27 1.6 40-69 311 1 Texas 14-28 -125 -1 -1 17 29-56 1.9 20-34 239 2 18 42-233 5.5 17-27 187 0 at Washington 30-33 -67 -1 -1 22 45-117 2.6 19-27 293 3 23 32-123 3.8 26-35 354 2at Oklahoma 31-59 -258 -3 -2 24 50-251 5.0 10-20 137 0 27 35-313 8.9 16-19 333 0 Colorado 34-13 172 12 1 29 52-310 6.0 15-24 181 2 17 35-124 3.5 14-28 195 5 Bye Bye† Utah † West Virginia

Average 36-32 32.7 3.0 -0.4 25 37-160 4.4 63.0% 325 3.8% 22 41-205 5.1 58.7% 248 4.8% Average 30-24 63.8 4.9 -0.1 23 39-161 4.1 62.3% 256 8.0% 18 34-140 4.1 57.4% 214 5.6% Conference 33-35 -12.4 0.8 -0.7 24 36-143 4.0 62.3% 310 4.0% 23 41-213 5.3 60.4% 252 4.9% Conference 27-27 8.2 2.9 -0.4 23 39-154 4.0 58.5% 244 9.8% 20 35-170 4.8 60.1% 220 4.6% Away 34-36 32.3 3.8 -0.8 26 37-190 5.1 59.8% 328 3.3% 22 42-231 5.5 57.7% 255 6.9% Home 33-21 124.4 9.6 -0.9 26 40-190 4.7 60.3% 240 8.0% 16 32-110 3.4 55.2% 196 6.0%

† Virginia Tech Will Grier 31-53-371-3-1 Justin Crawford 13-106-8.2-0 Gary Jennings 13-189-14.5-1 North Dakota Tyler Huntley 23-32-227-1-1 Zack Moss 22-128-5.8-1 Darren Carrington 10-127-12.7-1 East Carolina Will Grier 19-25-352-5-0 Justin Crawford 15-118-7.9-2 David Sills 7-153-21.9-3 at BYU Tyler Huntley 27-36-300-0-0 Tyler Huntley 19-89-4.7-1 Darren Carrington 7-129-18.4-0 Delaware St Will Grier 19-27-304-3-1 Justin Crawford 15-102-6.8-3 Gary Jennings 6-128-21.3-0 vs. San Jose St Tyler Huntley 30-43-341-4-1 Tyler Huntley 14-53-3.8-0 Darren Carrington 9-153-17.0-3at Kansas Will Grier 25-39-347-2-1 Justin Crawford 18-125-6.9-1 David Sills 8-130-16.3-2 at Arizona Troy Williams 9-18-131-0-0 Zack Moss 14-73-5.2-0 Darren Carrington 4-76-19.0-0 Bye Byeat TCU Will Grier 25-45-366-3-1 Justin Crawford 19-111-5.8-0 Ka'Raun White 6-138-23.0-1 vs. Stanford Troy Williams 20-39-238-1-2 Zack Moss 15-79-5.3-1 Darren Carrington 7-99-14.1-1 Texas Tech Will Grier 32-41-352-5-1 Justin Crawford 14-47-3.4-1 Ka'Raun White 8-114-14.3-2 at USC Troy Williams 16-27-262-1-1 Zack Moss 20-141-7.1-0 Demari Simpkins 4-58-14.5-1at Baylor Will Grier 26-37-375-5-0 Kennedy McKoy 7-55-7.9-0 David Sills 7-136-19.4-3 Arizona St Tyler Huntley 19-35-155-0-4 Zack Moss 12-49-4.1-0 Darren Carrington 6-56-9.3-0 Oklahoma St Will Grier 20-42-285-2-4 Justin Crawford 13-45-3.5-0 Marcus Simms 3-80-26.7-1 vs. at Oregon Tyler Huntley 25-43-293-2-0 Zack Moss 10-53-5.3-0 Darren Carrington 9-130-14.4-0 Iowa St Will Grier 20-25-316-2-1 Justin Crawford 25-102-4.1-0 Ka'Raun White 4-167-41.8-1 UCLA Tyler Huntley 15-22-234-4-0 Zack Moss 23-153-6.7-2 Troy McCormick 2-88-44.0-2at Kansas St Will Grier 27-46-372-4-2 Justin Crawford 17-113-6.6-0 Ka'Raun White 8-168-21.0-2 Washington St Tyler Huntley 21-39-305-1-3 Tyler Huntley 20-51-2.6-0 Demari Simpkins 4-99-24.8-0 Texas Chris Chugunov 14-26-189-1-0 Justin Crawford 15-64-4.3-0 Gary Jennings 10-78-7.8-0 vs. at Washington Tyler Huntley 19-27-293-2-1 Zack Moss 17-55-3.2-0 Raelon Singleton 5-81-16.2-2at Oklahoma Chris Chugunov 10-20-137-0-0 Kennedy McKoy 25-137-5.5-3 David Sills 3-77-25.7-0 Colorado Troy Williams 15-24-181-0-0 Zack Moss 26-196-7.5-2 Darren Carrington 6-64-10.7-0 Bye Bye† Utah vs. † West Virginia

Will Grier 250-388-3490-34-12 Justin Crawford 191-1060-5.5-7 Gary Jennings 94-1030-11.0-1 Tyler Huntley 187-286-2246-15-10 Zack Moss 194-1023-5.3-9 Darren Carrington 66-918-13.9-6Chris Chugunov 34-62-407-2-0 Kennedy McKoy 111-570-5.1-7 David Sills 60-980-16.3-18 vs. Troy Williams 60-110-812-2-4 Tyler Huntley 143-480-3.4-4 Raelon Singleton 34-479-14.1-4Team 0-1-0-0-0 Martell Pettaway 41-145-3.5-2 Ka'Raun White 58-978-16.9-11 Demari Simpkins 2-3-19-1-0 Devonta'e Henry-Cole 53-266-5.0-2 Siaosi Wilson 20-393-19.7-1

CategoryNone vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

East Carolina

at Kansas St

Bye

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Net Offense Defense

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at Oklahoma Sks By Colorado Texas

Bye† Utah Total TO's † West Virginia

Ypg Diff Bye

Total Def Washington St Iowa St

Score Def at Washington

Oklahoma St Rush Def at Oregonat Baylor

Pass Def UCLA

Texas Tech Score Off at USCat TCU

Sks Allowed Arizona St

Total Off Stanford

6-6OVERALL: OVERALL:West Virginia Mountainers

Bye

FOEFOE +/-

APFOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOENCAA RANKINGS

5-4 3-6 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--TM +/-

at Kansas

West Virginia Utah at BYU Delaware St San Jose St

Rush Off at Arizona

2017 TEAM RANKINGS North Dakota † Virginia Tech

Utes LogsUtah Utes7-5

FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersUtah

West Virginia QB/WR

0.12Utah DB's

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Defense

Receiving

West Virginia OL0.26

Utah DL

Passing

0.01West Virginia RB's

Utah LB's

West Virginia

Score

West Virginia K

0.85West Virginia Utah 252 yards

Utah 442-416

West Virginia DL0.95

Utah OL

Utah Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) West Virginia ST's1.39

West Virginia LeadersUtah QB/WR

West Virginia DB's

Las Vegas Line

Game Grade416 yards West Virginia Utah 442 yards Utah Coaches

0.17West Virginia Pts

6.67

Utah RB's

1.08

0.16West Virginia LB'S

Mountainers Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. PAC 12

Pass Off

2.02Utah K

Utah 33 West Virginia Utah 53

125 West Virginia Utah 122

Utah by 11 Utah 34 West Virginia 23By 6.50 Points

Utah 32-27

Phil Steele


The big news in this game is that WV QB Will Grier inj’d his finger and is doubtful. Utah switched to more of a pass OFF this year and the unit operated at its best with Tyler Huntley under center. WV has the edge on the OL. Utah has a large edge on D. The biggest edge is on ST’s as Utah is #15 in my rankings and WV is at the other end of the spectrum at #120. The Utah DL is 1 of the best in the country led by Lowell Lotulelei and Filipo Mokofisi. Dana Holgorson is 2-3 in bowl games, while Kyle Whittingham is 1 of the best at 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS. With a HC that knows how to win along with the D and ST’s edges, I will side with the Utes.

Utah ST's

West Virginia Coaches

Projected Yardage Total272 yards

Utah Pts27 points West Virginia

Computer Yards


Utah By 1.0

W Virginia By 0.8

Utah By 6.5

+/- Ratings

West VirginiaProjected Passing

144 yards

Utah

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Projected Rushing


Experience Rankings32 points


Utah 190 yards

Tuesday, December 26, 2017 • 1:20 pmESPN • Cotton Bowl Stadium • Dallas, TX

HEART OF DALLAS BOWLUTAH (6-6)ATS: 9-3 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UTAH WVU 192 rush yd 149 244 pass yd 255 23 pts 30 -1 ytd to -5 #41 sked #39

CHECKLIST UTAH WVU edge edge

441/2 QB – – RB 4

– WR 41/2 – OL 1/2 441/2 DL – – LB – 4 DB – 4 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT 4

4441/2 ST – – SKED –

WEST VIRGINIA (7-5)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4

OVERALL

UTAH BY 6’ 4’s

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 119 9/2 60-7 W 61 55 110 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/1 20-23 L 102 89 75 68 29 671-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 41-1 W 51 51 110 26 28 115 0-1 0-0 110 9/9 38-10 W 103 86 752-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 127 112 9/16 34-20 W 44 37 113 24 68 73 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/16 21-17 W 97 77 64 55 42 273-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 127 119 9/23 27-17 W 43 27 102 53 43 52 #61 #40 2-1 0-0 115 9/23 106 65 994-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 128 131 14 9/29 6-31 L 50 19 116 3 15 15 #80 #89 2-1 4-0 0-0 1-0 115 120 19 9/30 28-34 L 103 62 101 87 60 344-1 3-1 1-1 0-0 124 113 10/7 21-28 L 53 22 92 74 44 102 #92 #90 2-2 1-4 0-0 0-1 115 95 10/7 24-3 W 99 61 110 129 122 1094-2 1-3 1-2 1-2 120 131 10/14 10-17 L 60 20 106 58 9 29 #86 #49 3-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 108 10/14 14-13 W 100 51 115 90 114 1024-3 2-5 1-3 0-3 120 115 10/21 17-24 L 65 25 101 91 76 34 #80 #68 4-2 1-6 2-0 1-2 115 96 10/21 48-17 W 103 42 117 98 126 254-4 6-1 1-4 2-1 116 132 13 10/28 3-24 L 68 31 99 35 12 11 #58 #11 5-2 2-5 3-0 0-3 118 110 10/26 30-27 W 93 41 116 115 83 1214-5 1-5 116 11/4 78 28 98 #12 #56 6-2 7-1 4-0 4-0 116 123 11/2 17-27 L 94 37 120 33 72 54-5 7-2 1-5 1-0 116 116 11/11 16-21 L 82 28 96 69 103 31 #22 #18 6-3 2-7 4-1 0-5 116 85 11/9 63-17 W 99 40 113 126 124 1254-6 5-4 1-5 4-3 116 127 11/18 43-20 W 82 31 119 52 34 108 #25 #26 7-3 6-4 5-1 4-2 118 110 11/15 35-31 W 90 36 76 79 69 75-6 7-4 2-5 4-3 121 129 11/25 31-23 W 74 38 108 35 63 73 #48 #4 8-3 7-4 6-1 5-2 117 113 11/24 24-31 L 87 37 77 82 68 1276-6 3-5 125 12/2 74 33 111 #47 #40 8-4 6-2 115 12/2 97 37 756-6 8-4 3-5 6-2 125 115 12/26 67 27 111 95 38 76 +1 -3 8-4 6-6 6-2 3-5 115 125 12/26 95 38 76 67 27 111

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

NC Central 60-7 366 22 1 30 47-243 5.2 26-34 281 1 8 31-64 2.1 11-18 94 3 Boston College 20-23 28 -3 0 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 Northwestern 41-17 347 19 1 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 Eastern Illinois 38-10 312 10 0 26 47-230 4.9 24-35 269 1 16 45-60 1.3 14-32 127 3 Baylor 34-20 110 15 2 24 51-246 4.8 20-35 184 5 9 27-57 2.1 12-34 263 4 at Nebraska 21-17 -171 -5 2 13 31-85 2.7 15-23 128 2 18 36-85 2.4 25-47 299 3at North Carolina 27-17 11 5 1 20 45-186 4.1 18-34 202 3 15 33-118 3.6 17-32 259 4 Bye Miami, Fl 6-31 -60 5 -1 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 6 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 at San Diego St 28-34 154 12 -4 22 45-155 3.4 23-38 262 4 10 36-127 3.5 10-20 136 1at Virginia 21-28 -55 -4 0 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 Kent St 24-3 135 6 1 15 50-152 3.0 13-22 114 4 9 43-102 2.4 6-17 29 7 Florida St 10-17 -110 -6 1 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 at Buffalo 14-13 58 13 -1 28 56-217 3.9 20-31 224 3 15 27-39 1.4 21-34 344 4 Pittsburgh 17-24 -126 2 -2 22 26-76 2.9 16-34 283 2 20 57-336 5.9 8-18 149 3 at Bowling Green 48-17 210 11 4 29 55-338 6.1 21-34 239 2 18 44-192 4.4 13-23 175 3at Virginia Tech 3-24 -204 -13 -2 10 35-101 2.9 10-24 82 1 23 48-187 3.9 13-28 200 1 Eastern Michigan 30-27 -11 3 -1 18 36-114 3.2 23-40 278 2 15 33-96 2.9 23-45 307 2 Bye at Toledo 17-27 -97 2 -1 25 40-185 4.6 24-44 245 2 23 40-166 4.2 23-31 361 1at Army West Point 16-21 -15 5 -1 22 33-89 2.7 19-30 164 4 17 57-226 4.0 1-1 42 0 Ball St 63-17 188 4 0 20 45-222 4.9 11-24 211 2 16 43-83 1.9 19-30 162 7 Georgia Tech 43-20 141 15 1 30 51-319 6.3 19-28 181 1 15 47-277 5.9 3-14 82 0 Western Michigan 35-31 -9 0 -2 17 49-248 5.1 6-11 64 0 17 44-110 2.5 15-27 211 5at Wake Forest 31-23 107 8 0 22 45-97 2.2 25-44 346 0 14 35-145 4.1 16-34 191 2 at Central Michigan 24-31 -121 3 -1 19 40-137 3.4 20-36 128 3 16 33-139 4.2 20-39 247 3 Bye Bye† Northern Illinois † Duke

Average 26-21 42.7 6.1 0.1 23 41-168 4.1 55.7% 210 6.3% 17 39-161 4.1 50.3% 175 8.9% Average 30-21 56.3 4.7 -0.3 21 44-187 4.2 57.3% 197 6.6% 16 40-112 2.8 55.6% 216 10.6% Conference 20-23 -37.0 1.5 -0.3 20 38-151 3.9 50.9% 199 5.6% 19 42-195 4.7 52.8% 191 7.4% Conference 32-21 44.1 5.3 -0.1 21 46-202 4.3 57.0% 188 7.4% 16 38-116 3.0 56.9% 230 13.0% Away 20-23 -31.2 0.2 -0.4 18 38-121 3.2 49.4% 184 5.7% 18 42-161 3.8 51.4% 175 5.8% Home 35-19 107.2 3.3 -0.3 19 44-188 4.3 54.4% 190 5.3% 16 43-100 2.3 53.4% 171 13.5%

NC Central Daniel Jones 19-25-213-2-0 Brittain Brown 10-120-12.0-1 Aaron Young 5-89-17.8-1 Boston College Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Ryan Graham 12-99-8.3-0 Chad Beebe 6-93-15.5-0 Northwestern Daniel Jones 29-45-305-2-1 Daniel Jones 16-108-6.8-2 TJ Rahming 12-127-10.6-0 Eastern Illinois Daniel Santacaterina 23-34-252-3-1 Jordan Huff 11-88-8.0-0 DJ Brown 7-88-12.6-0 Baylor Daniel Jones 20-35-184-0-1 Shaun Wilson 18-176-9.8-2 Brittain Brown 4-71-17.8-0 vs. at Nebraska Daniel Santacaterina 15-22-128-0-0 Jordan Huff 16-105-6.6-1 Christian Blake 5-77-15.4-0at North Carolina Daniel Jones 18-34-202-1-0 Brittain Brown 10-90-9.0-0 TJ Rahming 6-73-12.2-0 Bye Miami, Fl Daniel Jones 21-41-166-0-1 Shaun Wilson 9-63-7.0-0 Johnathan Lloyd 9-82-9.1-0 at San Diego St Daniel Santacaterina 24-39-269-3-3 Jordan Huff 25-148-5.9-0 Christian Blake 13-160-12.3-2at Virginia Daniel Jones 14-42-124-1-2 Brittain Brown 10-54-5.4-0 TJ Rahming 2-39-19.5-0 vs. Kent St Marcus Childers 13-21-114-3-1 Marcus Childers 17-65-3.8-0 Shane Wimann 4-53-13.3-1 Florida St Daniel Jones 22-35-204-0-0 Shaun Wilson 13-66-5.1-0 TJ Rahming 8-111-13.9-0 at Buffalo Marcus Childers 20-31-224-1-0 Marcus Childers 27-79-2.9-1 DJ Brown 5-53-10.6-0 Pittsburgh Daniel Jones 15-33-272-2-1 Shaun Wilson 11-42-3.8-0 TJ Rahming 8-142-17.8-1 at Bowling Green Marcus Childers 21-33-239-3-0 Tommy Mister 17-115-6.8-1 Chad Beebe 6-124-20.7-1at Virginia Tech Daniel Jones 10-24-82-0-1 Daniel Jones 17-65-3.8-0 Johnathan Lloyd 2-43-21.5-0 vs. Eastern Michigan Marcus Childers 23-40-278-2-0 Marcus Childers 16-54-3.4-1 DJ Brown 7-104-14.9-1 Bye at Toledo Marcus Childers 23-43-235-0-2 Marcus Jones 14-80-5.7-0 Spencer Tears 3-63-21.0-0at Army West Point Daniel Jones 19-29-164-0-1 Shaun Wilson 7-46-6.6-0 TJ Rahming 3-40-13.3-0 Ball St Marcus Childers 10-22-141-4-0 Jordan Huff 6-57-9.5-1 Jauan Wesley 1-70-70.0-1 Georgia Tech Daniel Jones 18-26-177-2-0 Brittain Brown 14-116-8.3-1 Johnathan Lloyd 5-57-11.4-0 vs. Western Michigan Marcus Childers 6-11-64-1-0 Jordan Huff 25-185-7.4-2 Mitch Brinkman 1-26-26.0-1at Wake Forest Daniel Jones 25-44-346-2-3 Shaun Wilson 17-38-2.2-0 TJ Rahming 8-90-11.3-0 at Central Michigan Marcus Childers 20-36-128-1-2 Tre Harbison 9-52-5.8-1 Spencer Tears 5-41-8.2-0 Bye Bye† Northern Illinois vs. † Duke

Daniel Jones 230-413-2439-12-11 Shaun Wilson 146-743-5.1-5 TJ Rahming 61-733-12.0-1 Marcus Childers 137-239-1440-15-5 Jordan Huff 127-740-5.8-4 Spencer Tears 39-461-11.8-4Quentin Harris 7-10-73-1-0 Brittain Brown 117-660-5.6-6 Johnathan Lloyd 37-364-9.8-1 vs. Daniel Santacaterina 63-99-719-7-5 Marcus Childers 132-454-3.4-5 Christian Blake 39-421-10.8-4Parker Boehme 1-2-6-0-0 Daniel Jones 145-432-3.0-6 Chris Taylor 20-284-14.2-1 Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Marcus Jones 82-347-4.2-3 Chad Beebe 28-417-14.9-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

† Duke

Las Vegas LineDuke By 5.5

Net

Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Score

† Northern Illinois

Boston College Eastern Illinoisat Nebraska Byeat San Diego St Kent Stat Buffaloat Bowling Green

at Virginia Tech Byeat Army West Point Georgia Techat Wake Forest Bye

Baylorat North Carolina Miami, Flat Virginia Florida St Pittsburgh

NC Central

Ypg Diff

0.79

Experience Rankings18 pointsN IllinoisDuke

Duke N Illinois

25 points

Ret

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2.33

Duke DB's

N Illinois QB/WR

Duke

Projected Yardage TotalDuke N Illinois

358 yards DukeProjected Final Score

Duke 25-18

Duke by 3

Duke 358-298

Duke K

Duke

Duke Coaches

N Illinois 298 yards

114

Duke N Illinois41

Net Offense Defense

Receiving

Duke

0.68

Passing Rushing

Duke QB/WR



LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Du

ke B

lue

Dev

ils

N I

llin

ois

Hu

skie

s

N Illinois

0.21

Duke RB's

N Illinois LB's

N Illinois DL

Duke OL

Duke LB'S

N Illinois RB's

N Illinois K

152 yards

Score DefSks By

Northwestern

8-4vs. MAC

FOE +/-AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 6-23-5TM +/-

TEAM

Duke Blue Devils N Illinois HuskiesHuskies LogsBlue Devils Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. ACC6-6

Eastern Michiganat Toledo

Rush Def

Score Off

Duke N Illinois

Ball St

Duke Leaders

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score


Rush OffPass Off

Total Off

1.33

By 1.38 Points94

141 yards

Total Def

N Illinois OL

N Illinois ST's

Duke DL

Duke ST's

N Illinois DB's

0.07

Pass Def


Sks Allowed

Total TO's

Western Michigan

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

at Central Michigan Bye

Duke By 4.9

Passing

Duke has won a grand total of 1 bowl game s/’61. NIU HC Rod Carey is 0-3 in bowls both SU and ATS. NIU was in contention for the MAC West into the final week. The Duke OFF was dynamic early with Daniel Jones throwing for 226 ypg and having a 5-2 ratio the F/4 games, but he struggled the rest of the year. He finished strong, including 346 yards in the penultimate win over WF. Duke has my #22 rated D, and holds foes to 41 ypg below their season avg. NIU switched QB’s mid-year. NIU is #8 in the country, allowing just 4.9 yards per play. Their D is led by Sutton Smith, who had 14 sks. NIU has the edge on the DL, but Duke has edges at LB and DB. NIU has the edge of playing in the MAC title game 6 of the L8Y at this site. I think this will be a lower scoring game with the two solid D’s. These teams are very close talent wise, so I will take the points with the Huskies.

Duke By 8.5

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense

Phil Steele

Computer Points

N Illinois Leaders


Team & Margin


+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Duke 20 Northern Illinois 17

0.49

0.90146 yardsProjected Passing

217 yards

4.72 3.34


N Illinois Coaches

Duke Pts

N Illinois Pts

1.25


Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

N Illinois

82

Tuesday, December 26, 2017 • 5:15 pmESPN • Ford Field • Detroit, MI

QUICK LANE BOWLDUKE (6-6)ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 2-10

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS DUKE NIU 145 rush yd 142 224 pass yd 131 27 pts 16 +1 ytd to -3 #57 sked #106

CHECKLIST DUKE NIU edge edge

1/2 QB – – RB – 1/2 WR – – OL – – DL 41/2 4 LB – 1/2 DB – 41/2 CCH – – SITE 41/2 – MTCH – – INT – – ST 4

441/2 SKED –

NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-4)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6

OVERALL

DUKE BY 2’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 119 9/3 45-44 W 17 25 85 31 21 6 0-0 0-0 133 20 9/2 55-19 W 37 40 11-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 101 9/9 56-23 W 25 22 85 71 115 116 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 133 91 19 9/9 55-7 W 33 68 1 120 118 1232-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 25 9/16 45-48 L 20 27 81 33 73 7 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 133 120 18 9/16 7-14 L 29 62 2 59 29 542-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 121 129 9/23 34-58 L 17 31 71 10 31 11 #112 #42 2-1 0-0 129 9/23 37 54 12-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 118 116 9/30 27-23 W 14 37 82 57 53 53 #5 #99 2-1 0-4 0-0 0-1 129 116 9/30 33-20 W 33 57 1 34 83 193-2 1-1 118 10/7 13 41 74 #20 #96 3-1 2-2 1-0 1-0 129 125 10/7 34-40 L 33 49 1 20 16 243-2 3-2 1-1 1-1 118 119 10/14 30-47 L 14 40 76 15 72 92 #31 #36 3-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 127 132 6 10/14 6-26 L 36 46 1 12 16 173-3 4-3 1-2 1-3 116 119 10/21 31-14 W 15 58 86 14 20 68 #88 #58 3-3 5-1 1-2 2-1 124 133 9 10/21 35-42 L 44 38 2 3 22 784-3 6-1 2-2 3-1 119 136 10/28 23-44 L 16 52 71 29 6 60 #129 #18 3-4 1-6 1-3 0-4 124 95 10/28 30-20 W 44 42 1 104 115 864-4 4-4 2-3 1-4 119 115 11/3 17-48 L 22 59 76 50 33 18 #40 #129 4-4 4-4 2-3 1-4 121 119 11/4 42-35 W 44 40 1 25 76 994-5 5-4 2-4 4-2 116 123 11/11 44-37 W 22 63 78 48 47 82 #123 #98 5-4 6-3 3-3 4-2 123 126 23 11/11 23-28 L 43 37 1 10 56 1035-5 9-2 3-4 7-1 119 132 12 11/18 23-28 L 18 61 98 8 10 52 #118 #59 5-5 8-2 3-4 5-2 121 136 10 11/18 45-40 W 53 38 2 7 21 885-6 5-6 3-5 2-6 121 118 11/24 30-27 W 20 55 120 109 54 53 #101 #61 6-5 7-4 4-4 5-3 126 129 11/25 20-19 W 46 34 1 65 49 656-6 4-5 121 12/2 22 53 114 #85 #101 7-5 5-4 126 12/2 51 36 16-6 7-5 4-5 5-4 121 126 12/26 20 52 114 59 35 1 -9 +10 7-5 6-6 5-4 4-5 126 121 12/26 59 35 1 20 52 114



Texas A&M 45-44 83 6 -3 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 Central Arkansas 55-19 98 -12 3 16 31-186 6.0 10-16 333 1 28 55-223 4.1 27-35 198 4 Hawaii 56-23 -10 0 1 25 26-132 5.1 24-29 373 3 25 42-281 6.7 24-39 234 1 Charlotte 55-7 325 18 3 28 51-304 6.0 17-23 189 1 10 28-110 3.9 10-25 58 0at Memphis 45-48 73 5 0 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 at Vanderbilt 7-14 7 2 -1 13 35-201 5.7 10-28 76 2 11 32-65 2.0 14-23 205 1at Stanford 34-58 42 4 -3 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0 Bye Colorado 27-23 33 1 -1 25 35-95 2.7 28-45 372 1 24 38-191 5.0 17-38 243 0 Baylor 33-20 -31 1 1 19 43-225 5.2 7-17 119 0 18 27-84 3.1 26-44 291 3 Bye at Texas 34-40 -152 -16 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0at Arizona 30-47 -196 1 -4 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0 TCU 6-26 -179 -7 0 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1 Oregon 31-14 88 -2 2 22 37-142 3.8 21-36 266 2 24 62-246 4.0 8-15 74 4 Oklahoma 35-42 -207 -10 0 18 42-268 6.4 12-14 144 0 28 38-209 5.5 32-41 410 2at Washington 23-44 -210 -9 1 15 28-62 2.2 19-33 170 4 24 58-333 5.7 9-12 109 0 at Kansas 30-20 -142 -5 1 15 43-202 4.7 8-13 138 4 20 28-64 2.3 23-48 418 4at Utah 17-48 -257 -12 -1 12 32-134 4.2 11-16 115 1 24 50-272 5.4 15-22 234 2 at Texas Tech 42-35 -119 -2 0 24 36-145 4.0 18-28 263 2 26 31-122 3.9 34-53 405 1 Arizona St 44-37 -11 -4 0 25 33-192 5.8 25-45 381 0 29 61-294 4.8 21-37 290 2 West Virginia 23-28 -160 -6 2 14 42-173 4.1 13-26 159 4 20 26-120 4.6 27-46 372 2at USC 23-28 84 4 -1 28 31-80 2.6 32-52 421 4 24 41-153 3.7 17-28 264 1 at Oklahoma St 45-40 -89 -12 1 18 49-217 4.4 10-13 204 3 30 31-85 2.7 32-53 425 4 California 30-27 4 -2 0 24 37-69 1.9 27-36 393 4 26 42-216 5.1 25-41 242 1 Iowa St 20-19 -115 -6 0 12 30-109 3.6 16-22 155 1 18 30-115 3.8 24-36 264 2 Bye Bye† Kansas St † UCLA

Average 34-37 -23.1 -0.7 -0.8 24 31-120 3.9 63.1% 345 5.8% 25 50-283 5.7 57.1% 206 5.6% Average 32-26 -63.7 -4.6 0.8 17 39-187 4.8 57.7% 182 9.1% 22 34-122 3.6 62.2% 310 4.9% Conference 29-36 -47.0 -2.1 -0.8 23 32-120 3.8 62.5% 313 6.2% 25 51-285 5.6 59.6% 195 4.3% Conference 30-30 -132.7 -7.0 0.6 16 39-172 4.4 58.6% 176 10.2% 23 32-118 3.7 62.3% 362 4.6% Away 29-46 -77.3 -1.2 -1.3 24 30-125 4.2 62.2% 311 6.4% 25 49-297 6.1 64.5% 217 3.6% Home 32-23 -38.4 -3.1 1.3 17 38-191 5.0 58.1% 178 6.1% 20 34-137 4.0 65.5% 270 5.3%

Texas A&M Josh Rosen 35-59-491-4-0 Soso Jamabo 7-46-6.6-1 Caleb Wilson 15-203-13.5-0 Central Arkansas Jesse Ertz 10-16-333-4-0 Skylar Thompson 3-49-16.3-0 Byron Pringle 3-121-40.3-1 Hawaii Josh Rosen 22-25-329-5-0 Nate Starks 7-42-6.0-0 Theo Howard 7-110-15.7-1 Charlotte Jesse Ertz 16-21-178-0-0 Alex Barnes 16-99-6.2-1 Isaiah Zuber 7-73-10.4-0at Memphis Josh Rosen 34-56-463-4-2 Bolu Olorunfunmi 13-77-5.9-0 Darren Andrews 10-175-17.5-1 vs. at Vanderbilt Jesse Ertz 10-28-76-0-2 Jesse Ertz 24-126-5.3-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-37-9.3-0at Stanford Josh Rosen 40-60-480-3-2 Soso Jamabo 12-100-8.3-1 Jordan Lasley 11-158-14.4-1 Bye Colorado Josh Rosen 28-45-372-1-1 Soso Jamabo 21-70-3.3-1 Jordan Lasley 7-146-20.9-0 Baylor Jesse Ertz 7-17-119-1-0 Jesse Ertz 12-95-7.9-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-79-19.8-1 Bye vs. at Texas Jesse Ertz 12-18-224-2-1 Alex Delton 12-79-6.6-2 Dalton Schoen 5-128-25.6-2at Arizona Josh Rosen 20-34-219-0-3 Bolu Olorunfunmi 10-102-10.2-2 Jordan Lasley 6-77-12.8-0 TCU Alex Delton 11-29-146-0-0 Alex Delton 19-39-2.1-0 Byron Pringle 3-80-26.7-0 Oregon Josh Rosen 21-36-266-2-0 Bolu Olorunfunmi 13-76-5.8-1 Christian Pabico 4-99-24.8-1 Oklahoma Alex Delton 12-14-144-1-1 Alex Delton 27-142-5.3-3 Byron Pringle 2-70-35.0-0at Washington Josh Rosen 12-21-93-1-0 Soso Jamabo 9-28-3.1-0 Darren Andrews 8-73-9.1-1 vs. at Kansas Alex Delton 4-7-98-0-0 Alex Barnes 23-128-5.6-2 Byron Pringle 3-92-30.7-0at Utah Devon Modster 8-12-103-1-0 Bolu Olorunfunmi 16-63-3.9-0 Darren Andrews 3-66-22.0-1 at Texas Tech Alex Delton 13-20-167-1-1 Justin Silmon 2-45-22.5-0 Dalton Schoen 5-103-20.6-0 Arizona St Josh Rosen 25-45-381-1-1 Bolu Olorunfunmi 15-79-5.3-1 Jordan Lasley 7-162-23.1-1 West Virginia Skylar Thompson 13-26-159-0-2 Dalvin Warmack 14-96-6.9-0 Isaiah Zuber 4-45-11.3-0at USC Josh Rosen 32-52-421-3-1 Soso Jamabo 9-62-6.9-0 Jordan Lasley 10-204-20.4-3 vs. at Oklahoma St Skylar Thompson 10-13-204-3-0 Skylar Thompson 17-93-5.5-1 Byron Pringle 4-166-41.5-3 California Josh Rosen 13-18-202-2-0 Brandon Stephens 20-83-4.2-1 Jordan Lasley 12-227-18.9-1 Iowa St Skylar Thompson 15-21-152-1-0 Dalvin Warmack 10-42-4.2-0 Isaiah Zuber 7-56-8.0-1 Bye Bye† Kansas St vs. † UCLA

Josh Rosen 282-451-3717-26-10 Bolu Olorunfunmi 105-542-5.2-5 Jordan Lasley 61-1136-18.6-8 Jesse Ertz 55-100-930-7-3 Alex Barnes 134-702-5.2-6 Byron Pringle 28-705-25.2-6Devon Modster 30-45-376-2-0 Soso Jamabo 88-447-5.1-6 Darren Andrews 60-778-13.0-10 vs. Skylar Thompson 48-76-662-5-2 Alex Delton 80-342-4.3-5 Isaiah Zuber 51-510-10.0-4Caleb Wilson 1-1-39-0-0 Brandon Stephens 44-183-4.2-1 Caleb Wilson 38-485-12.8-1 Alex Delton 42-75-585-2-2 Jesse Ertz 65-336-5.2-3 Dalton Schoen 23-470-20.4-3

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas St 11 60 35 27 32-31

UCLA 14 -1.5 40 16 39-331 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Kansas St by 7 Best Bet: ★★ Kansas St 35 UCLA 28By 9.59 Points

Phil Steele38

Team Schedule Strength Kansas St7 UCLA Kansas St

Game Grade3.10

UCLA Coaches

Kansas St Coaches

+/- Ratings

Computer Yards

Computer Points


448 yards UCLA Kansas St 433 yardsProjected Final Score

28 points 11.55

Kansas St Pts


1.96

UCLA Pts

Experience Rankings60

Kansas StUCLA 35 points

43 UCLA Kansas St

Phil's Forecast:

Bill Snyder is 1 of the greatest head coaches in the country, so it is a surprise to me that he is just 8-10 in bowl games SU. UCLA is led by interim HC Jedd Fisch, who called all the plays as the OC. The UCLA D suffered a bunch of inj’s to the front 7 and allowed a ridiculous 283 rush ypg and 5.7 ypc. KSt was down to their third string QB Skylar Thompson over the L/3 games, but he acquitted himself well. The Wildcats matchup well as they like to run the ball and go vs that porous rush D. While KSt is further away, they usually travel better to bowl games. I was already leaning with KSt with the D and coaching edge, but then tossed in the ST’s. I rate KSt with the #1 ST’s unit, while UCLA is way down at #116. I am surprised that KSt is favored by less than fg.

Kansas St By 0.5

Team & Margin

Ucla 448-433

Kansas St 35-28

Kansas St By 2.5

64.5 Points

Kansas St By 6.5

Projected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalUCLA K

1.12

Kansas St K

5.42

UCLA Kansas St 169 yards


0.95

Kansas St QB/WR

Projected Passing

0.74

UCLA DL

† Kansas St Total TO's

Rushing Position by Position Edges

Kansas St LB's

UCLA Kansas StUCLA QB/WR

Defense

UCLA ST's

Kansas St ST's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score

Kansas St 264 yards84 yards UCLA

Comp-Att-Yds

12-24-136

Ret

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1.89

Kansas St Leaders


UCLA Leaders

0.20

Kansas St DB'sUCLA RB's

Score

Ypg Diff Bye Bye† UCLA

Offense Defense

Score

UC

LA B

ruin

s

UCLA DB's0.02

UCLA OL

Kansas St DL

Kansas St OL

Kansas St RB's0.07

UCLA LB'SLE

AD

ERS

& T

EAM

AV

ERA

GES

Kan

sas

St

Wild

cats

Net Offense

TM +/-FOE

--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE 4-5NCAA RANKINGS

FOE CONF

TM CONF

6-6 7-5

TM REC FOE REC

Wildcats LogsTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

FOE +/-AP5-4TEAM

Kansas St Wildcatsvs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 12

OVERALL: OVERALL:

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Central Arkansas Hawaii

UCLA Kansas St Charlotte

at Memphis at Vanderbiltat Stanford Rush Off Bye Colorado Pass Off Baylor Bye Total Off at Texas

Score Off TCU Oregon Sks Allowed Oklahomaat Washington Rush Def at Kansas

at Oklahoma St California Sks By Iowa St

at Utah Pass Def at Texas Tech Arizona St Total Def West Virginiaat USC Score Def

Net


31-49-338

UCLA BruinsBruins Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

at Arizona

Texas A&M

Receiving

Tuesday, December 26, 2017 • 9:00 pmESPN • Chase Field • Phoenix, AZ

CACTUS BOWLKANSAS ST (7-5)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS K-ST UCLA 251 rush yd 78 185 pass yd 353 35 pts 27 +11 ytd to -9 #59 sked #8

CHECKLIST K-ST UCLA edge edge

– QB 444

– RB 1/2 – WR 1/2 1/2 OL – 44 DL – 4 LB – – DB 1/2 444 CCH – 41/2 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 44444 ST – – SKED 44

UCLA (6-6)ATS: 4-8 O/U: 8-4

OVERALL

KANSAS ST BY 6’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 141 3 1 9/2 7-24 L 11 1 11 1 2 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 121 9/2 17-24 L 82 93 66 51 35 310-1 0-0 136 10 9/9 28 3 11 0-1 0-0 106 9/9 45-0 W 91 85 660-1 0-0 136 11 9/16 45 5 108 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 109 100 9/16 28-17 W 84 74 50 120 105 1300-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 136 121 12 9/23 21-27 L 59 5 110 30 30 76 #84 #39 2-1 0-0 110 9/23 73 72 930-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 131 124 9/30 26-19 W 58 9 43 65 45 25 #92 #47 2-1 2-2 0-0 1-0 110 100 9/30 28-43 L 71 70 92 62 88 461-2 3-0 1-1 1-0 131 136 13 10/7 20-24 L 65 12 14 5 13 27 #107 #33 2-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 105 115 10/7 31-29 W 79 76 108 62 37 531-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 131 120 10/14 17-10 W 58 9 29 60 20 106 #79 #47 3-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 108 92 10/14 24-0 W 61 75 114 129 127 1192-3 4-3 2-2 1-3 131 118 10/21 28-31 L 48 11 58 7 45 67 #104 #12 4-2 3-3 2-1 1-1 109 110 10/21 34-27 W 49 68 114 69 90 932-4 4-4 2-3 2-3 126 121 10/27 3-35 L 47 13 37 72 36 78 #33 #28 5-2 4-3 3-1 2-2 105 98 10/28 12-30 L 45 59 92 89 82 1272-5 4-4 2-4 2-2 121 121 11/4 24-21 W 59 16 59 60 71 11 #36 #25 5-3 3-5 3-2 0-5 100 115 11/4 10-24 L 48 68 83 79 50 203-5 8-1 3-4 6-1 121 137 11/11 14-31 L 53 16 54 14 3 116 #24 #17 5-4 1-8 3-2 1-4 100 89 11/11 43-34 W 65 62 80 117 119 1133-6 3-5 121 11/18 77-6 W 66 16 42 #33 #39 6-4 1-9 4-2 1-5 100 90 11/18 66-21 W 57 68 56 115 115 794-6 4-6 3-5 3-5 123 118 11/25 38-22 W 50 13 29 61 39 22 #36 #61 7-4 7-4 5-2 4-3 104 109 11/25 28-27 W 45 67 62 77 35 155-6 4-7 3-5 4-4 125 100 12/2 42-10 W 46 13 25 70 127 15 #71 #17 8-4 6-2 106 12/2 44 68 716-6 3-5 125 12/9 32 8 16 -7 0 8-4 6-6 6-2 3-5 106 125 12/27 61 59 69 32 8 16



† Alabama 7-24 -19 2 -3 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 Kentucky 17-24 110 7 -2 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 Bye Southern 45-0 337 20 1 27 44-197 4.5 20-32 280 2 7 26-62 2.4 10-26 78 3 Bye at ULM 28-17 204 8 0 23 48-284 5.9 17-32 250 3 15 37-218 5.9 11-27 112 1 NC State 21-27 17 -6 -1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 Byeat Wake Forest 26-19 -97 -2 1 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2 North Texas 28-43 -125 -6 2 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 2 Miami, Fl 20-24 69 2 -1 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 at UTSA 31-29 -11 -9 -1 18 30-246 8.2 15-21 212 1 27 33-102 3.1 27-43 367 3at Duke 17-10 110 6 -1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1 UTEP 24-0 276 14 0 20 45-202 4.5 16-27 221 0 6 22-17 0.8 14-28 130 2 Louisville 28-31 -46 1 -2 23 38-155 4.1 16-28 248 2 22 44-293 6.7 13-21 156 2 at Louisiana Tech 34-27 136 15 -1 30 45-190 4.2 32-53 301 0 15 34-161 4.7 11-28 194 2at Boston College 3-35 -116 -9 -3 10 29-64 2.2 12-27 149 2 19 55-241 4.4 7-21 88 0 UAB 12-30 -70 -7 -1 14 26-81 3.1 19-38 266 0 21 49-209 4.3 16-29 208 3 Syracuse 27-24 -120 -8 0 13 37-207 5.6 12-19 136 3 21 40-149 3.7 31-55 314 3 at Tennessee 10-24 69 4 -2 18 42-118 2.8 13-34 161 4 14 38-95 2.5 10-21 115 2at Clemson 14-31 -149 -12 0 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2 at Rice 43-34 136 2 0 28 36-186 5.2 22-31 331 0 26 49-254 5.2 10-16 127 4 Delaware St 77-6 290 17 2 23 32-246 7.7 18-24 236 0 6 24-15 0.6 13-33 177 6 Charlotte 66-21 346 13 2 27 42-363 8.6 20-27 221 0 14 38-142 3.7 9-25 96 0at Florida 38-22 -64 -5 3 12 34-88 2.6 10-21 128 2 17 34-96 2.8 18-39 184 5 at Marshall 28-27 -11 -1 2 22 45-201 4.5 16-35 170 0 23 26-74 2.8 26-44 308 1 ULM 42-10 204 9 -2 26 45-305 6.8 15-23 199 0 17 22-38 1.7 28-47 262 2 Bye Bye † Florida St† Southern Miss

Average 27-22 6.6 -0.4 -0.6 17 35-151 4.3 57.9% 193 10.1% 18 37-136 3.7 55.2% 201 7.0% Average 31-23 116.4 5.0 0.0 22 39-189 4.8 56.1% 249 3.4% 17 36-132 3.7 51.4% 190 6.9% Conference 20-25 -41.5 -3.5 -0.9 17 35-141 4.0 56.3% 193 12.6% 20 40-164 4.1 57.6% 212 5.1% Conference 33-26 84.6 2.6 0.4 22 37-202 5.4 58.0% 249 1.1% 20 37-142 3.8 53.9% 225 6.7% Away 18-24 -55.8 -3.3 -0.5 15 33-98 3.0 53.5% 169 12.3% 18 40-157 3.9 56.1% 166 6.7% Home 32-20 145.7 6.8 0.3 21 37-174 4.7 56.3% 261 2.9% 14 36-114 3.2 49.7% 176 6.5%

† Alabama Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Cam Akers 10-30-3.0-0 Keith Gavin 8-61-7.6-0 Kentucky Kwadra Griggs 15-26-222-2-0 Ito Smith 16-37-2.3-0 Korey Robertson 7-111-15.9-2 Bye Southern Kwadra Griggs 15-23-209-2-0 T-Rod Daniels 10-83-8.3-1 Allenzae Staggers 5-62-12.4-1 Bye vs. at ULM Kwadra Griggs 17-32-250-3-1 Ito Smith 27-219-8.1-1 Allenzae Staggers 4-75-18.8-1 NC State James Blackman 22-38-278-1-0 Cam Akers 12-56-4.7-0 Auden Tate 9-138-15.3-1 Byeat Wake Forest James Blackman 11-21-121-1-0 Jacques Patrick 19-120-6.3-1 Auden Tate 2-47-23.5-1 North Texas Kwadra Griggs 19-42-270-1-0 Ito Smith 13-102-7.8-2 Allenzae Staggers 5-112-22.4-1 Miami, Fl James Blackman 17-28-203-2-2 Cam Akers 20-121-6.1-0 Auden Tate 3-56-18.7-1 vs. at UTSA Keon Howard 15-20-212-3-0 Ito Smith 17-178-10.5-1 Quez Watkins 5-78-15.6-1at Duke James Blackman 18-21-197-1-2 Cam Akers 15-115-7.7-1 Nyqwan Murray 5-81-16.2-0 UTEP Keon Howard 16-27-221-1-2 Ito Smith 28-120-4.3-2 Jaylond Adams 2-104-52.0-1 Louisville James Blackman 16-28-248-2-2 Cam Akers 16-75-4.7-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-95-23.8-1 at Louisiana Tech Keon Howard 32-53-301-3-2 Tez Parks 15-77-5.1-0 Korey Robertson 9-127-14.1-2at Boston College James Blackman 11-26-102-0-1 Cam Akers 18-42-2.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 3-102-34.0-0 vs. UAB Keon Howard 14-25-207-1-0 Ito Smith 12-36-3.0-0 Ito Smith 3-93-31.0-1 Syracuse James Blackman 12-19-136-1-0 Cam Akers 22-199-9.0-2 Nyqwan Murray 3-60-20.0-1 at Tennessee Keon Howard 7-22-100-0-1 Ito Smith 20-51-2.6-0 Korey Robertson 8-122-15.3-0at Clemson James Blackman 13-32-208-1-1 Cam Akers 12-40-3.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-73-18.3-0 at Rice Kwadra Griggs 22-31-331-3-0 Ito Smith 24-150-6.3-2 Korey Robertson 8-159-19.9-2 Delaware St James Blackman 11-15-179-3-0 Ryan Green 7-96-13.7-2 Keith Gavin 4-78-19.5-0 vs. Charlotte Kwadra Griggs 20-27-221-1-0 Ito Smith 15-153-10.2-3 Korey Robertson 6-91-15.2-1at Florida James Blackman 10-21-128-2-1 Jacques Patrick 15-67-4.5-0 Ermon Lane 1-39-39.0-0 at Marshall Kwadra Griggs 16-35-170-3-0 Ito Smith 29-150-5.2-1 Korey Robertson 7-118-16.9-1 ULM James Blackman 14-22-197-1-2 Jacques Patrick 19-155-8.2-2 Ermon Lane 3-45-15.0-0 Bye Bye vs. † Florida St† Southern Miss

James Blackman 155-271-1997-15-11 Cam Akers 181-931-5.1-7 Nyqwan Murray 40-604-15.1-4 Kwadra Griggs 135-240-1793-15-2 Ito Smith 232-1321-5.7-13 Korey Robertson 72-1070-14.9-11Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Jacques Patrick 118-687-5.8-6 Auden Tate 35-464-13.3-7 vs. Keon Howard 96-170-1199-8-5 Tez Parks 51-278-5.5-1 Allenzae Staggers 43-469-10.9-5J.J Cosentino 7-8-53-1-0 Amir Rasul 26-127-4.9-0 Keith Gavin 27-276-10.2-0 Allenzae Staggers 0-1-0.1-0-0 Kwadra Griggs 75-231-3.1-2 Ito Smith 36-370-10.3-2

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Delaware St

Syracuseat Clemson

at Florida ULM

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Bye

Southern Miss 123Team Schedule Strength

Florida St

Florida St

Southern Miss

Southern Miss


Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

Florida St Leaders

Net Offense

FOE REC

† Southern Miss

0.70

Southern Miss Coaches Florida St By 8.2


+/- Ratings

Florida St K

0.25Florida StProjected Rushing

146 yards Southern Miss 109 yardsProjected Passing

Projected Final Score0.95

Southern Miss


44 85 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

8.22

Florida St Pts

Total Def at Rice

Sks Allowed at Louisiana Tech

Ypg Diff ByeTotal TO's † Florida St

Score Def CharlotteSks By at Marshall

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Sou

ther

n M

iss

Gol

den

Eag

les

Net Offense

Score

Flor

ida

St

Sem

inol

es

Score Off

Southern Miss Southernat ULM

Kentucky

Rush Off ByePass Off

UTEP

Pass Def at Tennessee

North Texas

Rush Def UAB

Total Off at UTSA

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF

Seminoles Logs

TM REC

Florida St Seminoles

NC Stateat Wake Forest

at Boston College Louisville

Miami, Flat Duke

TEAMAPFOE

OVERALL: Southern Miss Golden Eagles6-6 8-4OVERALL:

vs. CUSAvs. ACC Golden Eagles Logs

1.35Southern Miss LB's

Florida St RB's

Florida St OL

Receiving

Florida St Southern MissPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

TM CONF

TM CONF

3-5FOE CONF TM +/-


Score

6-2TM REC FOE

RECFOE +/-AP

† Alabama 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

ByeFlorida St

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

1.54Southern Miss QB/WR

1.91

Southern Miss ST's

Florida St DB's

Florida St ST's

Southern Miss RB's

1.21

Florida St DL

Southern Miss OL

0.91

Florida St LB'S

0.28

Southern Miss DL

Las Vegas Line

TM +/- FOE +/-

Bye

Phil SteeleFlorida St20

Southern Miss K

Team & Margin

317 yards


332 yards Florida St Southern Miss

186 yards Florida St

Florida St By 16.5

Florida St By 16.5

Game Grade

Florida St 332-317

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Florida St 33-18

Florida St Coaches

33 pointsSouthern Miss Pts

Florida St

Defense

--PS RANK--

Southern Miss Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

FSU may be 6-6, but that was vs the 13th toughest sked, while SM faced the #127 sked (4th easiest). One of the main things to look for when trying to find value in a bowl game is finding a team that is excited and wants to be there vs a team that will find it hard to get fired up for their opponent. This gm has that. FSU played well in the ssn finale to get to 6 wins and keep their bowl streak alive. Interim HC Haggins is well liked, but is just keeping the seat warm for Taggart. Play this game during the ssn at FSU and have it mean something and the Seminoles would roll, but that is not the case here. FS James is sitting out the bowl. SM will have the crowd edge and be far more excited to be here and they have weapons like RB Smith QB Griggs. I’ll call for FSU to win by just over a td as SM keeps it closer than expected.

Florida St QB/WR

1.02Southern Miss DB's

Florida St by 9 Florida St 30 Southern Miss 21By 7.27 Points

Wednesday, December 27, 2017 • 1:30 pmESPN • Independence Stadium • Shreveport, LA

INDEPENDENCE BOWLSOUTHERN MISS (8-4)ATS: 8-4 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS SMISS FSU 128 rush yd 157 212 pass yd 161 20 pts 35 0 ytd to -7 #127 sked #13

CHECKLIST SMISS FSU edge edge

– QB 4

– RB 1/2 – WR 1/2 4 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 41/2 – DB 44

4 CCH – 441/2 SITE – – MTCH – 44 INT – – ST 44

– SKED 44444

FLORIDA ST (6-6)ATS: 3-7-2 O/U: 4-8

OVERALL

FLORIDA ST BY 7’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 109 9/2 24-3 W 69 30 40 98 85 119 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/1 23-20 W 68 29 67 102 89 751-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 9/9 44-41 W 68 23 40 48 78 29 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 120 9/9 10-34 L 75 30 67 81 59 302-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 123 100 9/16 31-14 W 64 24 34 85 89 58 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 112 131 9/16 20-49 L 81 33 63 11 22 703-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 122 140 4 9/23 19-21 L 58 29 13 8 8 7 #94 #24 1-2 3-0 0-1 1-0 110 142 2 9/23 7-34 L 84 50 32 4 2 1033-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 124 117 9/30 10-17 L 59 33 18 36 18 111 #88 #115 1-3 2-2 0-2 0-1 111 101 9/30 28-8 W 94 50 66 64 90 1183-2 2-2 0-2 0-1 121 104 10/7 45-16 W 77 32 18 115 83 91 #108 #81 2-3 4-1 0-2 0-1 112 128 16 10/7 10-23 L 91 47 56 42 10 264-2 1-2 122 10/14 76 34 21 #68 #82 2-4 4-2 0-3 1-2 112 122 10/14 45-42 W 93 43 60 11 32 584-2 3-3 1-2 1-2 122 124 10/21 10-17 L 79 37 20 46 31 60 #50 #11 3-4 5-1 1-3 2-0 116 118 10/21 41-10 W 84 46 74 74 26 1004-3 4-3 1-3 1-3 123 116 10/28 17-10 W 85 35 61 100 53 81 #37 #102 4-4 2-4 2-3 2-3 121 126 10/27 35-3 W 72 36 78 47 13 375-3 7-1 2-3 5-0 123 144 3 11/4 55-24 W 91 27 25 2 5 57 #50 #32 5-4 3-3 126 11/4 69 26 826-3 9-0 3-3 6-0 128 134 25 6 11/11 14-38 L 78 24 29 26 8 55 #34 #69 5-4 6-3 3-3 4-1 126 128 11/11 14-17 L 68 26 85 29 33 1016-4 4-6 3-4 2-5 125 117 11/18 15-24 L 97 29 34 76 53 82 #20 #36 5-5 3-7 3-4 2-5 125 98 11/18 39-16 W 77 26 104 118 117 1176-5 4-7 3-5 3-5 120 114 11/25 56-14 W 101 32 24 68 83 44 #48 #68 6-5 4-7 3-4 2-5 124 114 11/25 42-14 W 69 27 99 55 91 287-5 4-5 124 12/2 90 26 35 #83 #80 7-5 4-4 128 12/2 55 31 1007-5 7-5 4-5 4-4 124 128 12/27 94 25 32 51 29 99 +4 +8 7-5 7-5 4-4 4-5 128 124 12/27 51 29 99 94 25 32



Wyoming 24-3 30 1 -2 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 at Northern Illinois 23-20 -28 3 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0at Iowa St 44-41 30 7 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 Wake Forest 10-34 -4 4 -4 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 1 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 3 North Texas 31-14 130 11 0 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 Notre Dame 20-49 -211 3 -1 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 1 Penn St 19-21 -306 -18 1 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 at Clemson 7-34 -244 -15 0 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2at Michigan St 10-17 -69 -8 -2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 Central Michigan 28-8 13 -1 1 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 Illinois 45-16 -5 0 2 20 38-191 5.0 18-34 250 1 20 30-200 6.7 22-45 246 1 Virginia Tech 10-23 -87 -4 1 16 33-153 4.6 14-33 191 0 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 Bye at Louisville 45-42 -70 2 1 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0at Northwestern 10-17 -27 -7 -1 14 33-89 2.7 19-33 223 2 21 46-147 3.2 21-36 192 3 at Virginia 41-10 265 0 3 19 47-237 5.0 19-24 275 0 19 26-95 3.7 19-42 152 3 Minnesota 17-10 34 0 -1 15 33-125 3.8 15-27 190 0 15 43-142 3.3 9-29 139 4 Florida St 35-3 116 9 3 19 55-241 4.4 7-21 88 0 10 29-64 2.2 12-27 149 2 Ohio St 55-24 116 4 4 24 38-243 6.4 21-32 244 1 20 30-163 5.4 18-34 208 1 Byeat Wisconsin 14-38 -316 -13 1 5 26-25 1.0 8-24 41 4 18 49-247 5.0 11-18 135 2 NC State 14-17 -20 3 0 20 54-236 4.4 10-22 111 5 17 40-217 5.4 14-33 150 1 Purdue 15-24 -36 -3 -2 17 38-82 2.2 16-33 176 6 20 29-65 2.2 22-37 229 4 † Connecticut 39-16 -27 -1 2 14 49-330 6.7 7-15 55 0 15 41-171 4.2 14-33 241 2at Nebraska 56-14 238 11 3 23 47-313 6.7 13-20 192 0 12 21-67 3.2 23-42 200 1 at Syracuse 42-14 164 5 2 24 56-333 5.9 16-20 248 1 19 28-137 4.9 24-34 280 1 Bye Bye† Boston College † Iowa

Average 28-20 -15.1 -1.3 0.3 18 37-142 3.9 56.2% 198 6.5% 19 34-142 4.1 55.8% 213 6.3% Average 26-23 -11.1 0.7 0.7 19 48-224 4.7 53.5% 163 3.8% 19 40-198 5.0 51.4% 200 5.8% Conference 27-20 -41.2 -3.8 0.6 16 33-130 3.9 54.5% 191 7.0% 19 38-157 4.2 55.2% 205 6.9% Conference 26-22 15.0 0.5 0.8 20 47-225 4.8 50.2% 176 4.5% 19 40-177 4.5 55.3% 210 6.7% Away 27-25 -28.8 -2.0 0.4 16 34-122 3.5 56.0% 200 6.7% 18 36-134 3.7 57.6% 217 5.3% Home 20-22 -32.2 2.3 0.0 19 47-197 4.2 48.6% 142 3.9% 17 42-197 4.7 51.6% 175 8.2%

Wyoming Nate Stanley 8-15-125-3-1 Akrum Wadley 24-116-4.8-0 Nick Easley 4-77-19.3-1 at Northern Illinois Anthony Brown 26-42-191-2-1 Jon Hilliman 25-58-2.3-0 Kobay White 6-76-12.7-0at Iowa St Nate Stanley 27-41-333-5-0 Akrum Wadley 28-118-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-72-18.0-1 Wake Forest Anthony Brown 11-29-119-1-3 Thadd Smith 5-46-9.2-0 Jeff Smith 5-56-11.2-0 North Texas Nate Stanley 16-27-197-2-0 Toren Young 19-78-4.1-0 Akrum Wadley 2-80-40.0-0 vs. Notre Dame Anthony Brown 24-40-215-2-2 Jon Hilliman 22-122-5.5-0 Charlie Callinan 7-82-11.7-2 Penn St Nate Stanley 13-22-191-2-0 Akrum Wadley 19-80-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-75-18.8-1 at Clemson Anthony Brown 14-30-133-0-1 AJ Dillon 18-57-3.2-1 Jeff Smith 4-58-14.5-0at Michigan St Nate Stanley 16-31-197-0-0 Akrum Wadley 17-30-1.8-1 T.J Hockenson 3-46-15.3-0 Central Michigan Anthony Brown 14-21-85-1-0 AJ Dillon 25-120-4.8-1 Jeff Smith 2-35-17.5-0 Illinois Nate Stanley 17-32-247-3-1 Akrum Wadley 23-115-5.0-1 Noah Fant 3-78-26.0-0 vs. Virginia Tech Anthony Brown 13-30-166-0-0 Anthony Brown 7-51-7.3-0 Travis Levy 3-42-14.0-0 Bye at Louisville Anthony Brown 5-17-100-1-1 AJ Dillon 39-272-7.0-4 Tommy Sweeney 4-57-14.3-0at Northwestern Nate Stanley 19-33-223-1-1 Akrum Wadley 26-90-3.5-0 Matt Vandeberg 3-90-30.0-0 at Virginia Anthony Brown 19-24-275-3-0 AJ Dillon 24-89-3.7-0 Kobay White 3-85-28.3-1 Minnesota Nate Stanley 15-27-190-1-1 Akrum Wadley 16-70-4.4-1 Noah Fant 3-67-22.3-1 vs. Florida St Anthony Brown 6-20-54-1-0 AJ Dillon 33-149-4.5-1 Kobay White 2-46-23.0-1 Ohio St Nate Stanley 20-31-226-5-0 Akrum Wadley 20-118-5.9-0 T.J Hockenson 5-71-14.2-2 Byeat Wisconsin Nate Stanley 8-24-41-0-1 James Butler 8-30-3.8-0 Nick Easley 2-19-9.5-0 NC State Darius Wade 8-15-82-0-0 AJ Dillon 36-196-5.4-1 Tommy Sweeney 4-55-13.8-0 Purdue Nate Stanley 16-33-176-1-1 Akrum Wadley 22-78-3.5-1 Nick Easley 5-60-12.0-0 vs. † Connecticut Darius Wade 7-15-55-1-0 AJ Dillon 24-200-8.3-2 Tommy Sweeney 2-42-21.0-0at Nebraska Nate Stanley 13-20-192-2-0 Akrum Wadley 19-159-8.4-3 Noah Fant 3-116-38.7-2 at Syracuse Darius Wade 16-20-248-1-0 AJ Dillon 23-193-8.4-3 Travis Levy 2-51-25.5-1 Bye Bye† Boston College vs. † Iowa

Nate Stanley 188-336-2338-25-6 Akrum Wadley 230-1021-4.4-9 Nick Easley 50-498-10.0-4 Anthony Brown 134-258-1367-11-9 AJ Dillon 268-1432-5.3-13 Kobay White 32-396-12.4-2Colten Rastetter 2-2-33-0-0 James Butler 81-364-4.5-1 Noah Fant 28-486-17.4-10 vs. Darius Wade 46-75-528-2-1 Jon Hilliman 163-622-3.8-5 Tommy Sweeney 29-375-12.9-3Tyler Wiegers 1-2-3-1-0 Toren Young 45-193-4.3-2 Matt Vandeberg 27-375-13.9-2 Jeff Smith 2-4-59-2-0 Thadd Smith 35-287-8.2-2 Jeff Smith 23-278-12.1-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

at Michigan St

66

TM REC FOE REC

at Iowa St

Boston College

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Iowa Leaders


Passing Rushing


174 yards IowaProjected PassingIowa Boston College

316 yards Iowa Boston CollegeProjected Yardage Total

Iowa Boston College 19 pointsExperience Rankings

23 points

at Wisconsin Total Def NC State Purdue Score Def † Connecticutat Nebraska Sks By at Syracuse Bye Ypg Diff Bye† Boston College Total TO's † Iowa

Net Offense Defense

Iow

a H

awke

yes

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Bos

ton

Col

leg

e Ea

gle

s

Net Offense

North Texas Notre Dame Penn St Rush Off at Clemson

Hawkeyes Logs--PS RANK--

Bye Score Off

7-5OVERALL: OVERALL:

Score Score

TEAM --PS RANK--4-4FOE 4-5TM REC FOE

REC

Central Michigan Virginia Techat Louisville

at Northwestern Sks Allowed at Virginia Minnesota Rush Def Florida St Ohio St

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

Wyoming 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Northern Illinois

Illinois Total Off

Boston College OL

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Iowa RB's0.40

Boston College LB's

Iowa QB/WR

353 yards

1.55Boston College DB's

Iowa Boston College

Iowa DL0.31

Projected Rushing

143 yards 139 yards

Boston College 214 yards

Boston College Pts

BC lost 3 of their F/4 gms, losing each by 24+. AJ Dillon took over as the feature RB and BC went 6-2 down the stretch beating FSU by 32 and topping L’Ville on the road. Dillon rushed for 1099 yds in just the L/6 gms alone. BC did lose QB Brown (inj) and Darius Wade took over the L/3 gms. Iowa rates the edge at QB with Stanley, but BC has the better run game. Iowa allows 4.1 ypc and BC 5.0. BC has my #1 rated pass eff D, but Iowa is not far behind at #7. Iowa rates the edge on ST’s, but BC will have the crowd edge only 210 miles away from NY and has experience playing in this bowl game in ‘14. While the teams are similar in both talent and style, BC is +15 ypg in conf play and Iowa is -41 ypg & I’ll call for BC to pull off the outright upset.

Iowa By 2.50.74

Iowa ST's

Boston College ST's

0.75

Iowa Coaches

1.20

Iowa K

Boston College K

Boston College Coaches

Boston College By 5.0

Boston College By 0.3

Boston College 353-316

Game Grade

+/- Ratings


3.59

Iowa Pts

Iowa 23-1946 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Boston College by 3 Boston College 23 Iowa 20By 0.98 Points

Phil SteeleIowa

Computer Points

2.61Computer Yards

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Iowa Hawkeyes

Boston College QB/WR


AP

vs. BIG 10 vs. ACC

Iowa LB'S0.29

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Iowa OL0.06

Boston College DL

Boston College Leaders

Team & Margin

Defense

Eagles LogsFOE

Pass Def Bye

7-5 Boston College Eagles

Iowa

Pass Off

Boston College Wake Forest

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Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength21 Iowa Boston College 5

Boston College RB's

0.90

Iowa DB's

Iowa

Wednesday, December 27, 2017 • 5:15 pmESPN • Yankee Stadium • Bronx, NY

PINSTRIPE BOWLIOWA (7-5)ATS: 5-5-2 O/U: 5-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS IOWA BC 185 rush yd 210 120 pass yd 134 24 pts 17 +4 ytd to +8 #5 sked #9

CHECKLIST IOWA BC edge edge

4 QB – – RB 4

– WR – – OL 41/2 4 DL – 1/2 LB – – DB 1/2 4 CCH – – SITE 41/2 – MTCH – – INT 4

44 ST – – SKED –

BOSTON COLLEGE (7-5)ATS: 9-3 O/U: 4-7-1

OVERALL

EVEN


0-0 0-0 117 9/2 72-43 W 16 53 77 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 106 23 9/2 41-51 L 12 13 20 58 39 351-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 118 9/9 13-31 L 12 64 77 32 26 126 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 114 99 9/9 56-0 W 16 29 20 110 113 401-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 112 117 9/16 3-35 L 10 71 80 77 72 93 1-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 118 138 4 9/16 24-27 L 9 30 56 3 14 771-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 108 126 15 9/23 14-51 L 22 78 46 24 9 23 #35 #95 1-2 0-0 122 9/23 18 24 481-3 0-2 104 9/30 24 82 44 #14 #36 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 122 120 9/28 17-7 W 18 22 63 45 72 391-3 4-1 0-2 1-1 104 119 10/7 34-40 L 26 85 49 78 35 37 #7 #56 2-2 3-1 1-0 1-0 125 129 10/7 40-34 W 20 16 24 33 49 11-4 6-0 0-3 3-0 106 139 4 10/14 28-53 L 22 83 36 18 4 22 #10 #60 3-2 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 134 12 10/14 24-29 L 20 14 61 2 23 881-5 2-4 0-4 1-2 108 100 10/21 68-21 W 27 97 37 110 109 90 #7 #104 3-3 5-1 2-1 2-1 128 140 10 10/21 10-13 L 22 16 54 4 28 832-5 3-4 0-4 2-3 112 99 10/28 52-12 W 22 93 26 103 104 115 #60 #6 3-4 0-7 2-2 0-4 130 113 10/28 38-7 W 28 15 20 54 99 283-5 3-4 0-4 3-3 116 119 11/4 45-16 W 19 82 24 67 36 53 #109 #108 4-4 7-1 3-2 4-1 133 133 10 11/4 7-24 L 29 13 33 20 7 154-5 4-5 1-4 0-5 120 115 11/11 50-17 W 16 74 19 88 38 24 #89 #42 4-5 1-8 3-3 0-6 131 94 11/11 42-27 W 34 11 35 111 114 955-5 4-6 2-4 0-6 124 108 11/18 45-17 W 14 65 15 94 59 120 #94 #31 5-5 7-3 4-3 5-2 127 127 24 11/18 28-14 W 35 12 35 12 48 1216-5 4-7 3-4 1-6 126 109 11/25 48-45 W 12 57 19 40 84 74 #27 #31 6-5 5-6 5-3 2-6 131 116 11/24 23-27 L 33 10 36 28 78 977-5 4-4 124 12/2 13 56 14 #26 #46 6-6 5-4 126 12/2 34 9 267-5 6-6 4-4 5-4 124 126 12/27 14 54 14 49 12 26 -4 +4 6-6 7-5 5-4 4-4 126 124 12/27 49 12 26 14 54 14



Missouri St 72-43 323 14 0 35 41-294 7.2 21-34 521 1 21 39-139 3.6 24-35 353 4 Maryland 41-51 -9 8 -1 26 31-98 3.2 34-53 375 5 18 43-263 6.1 12-15 219 1 South Carolina 13-31 64 1 -3 21 37-178 4.8 14-32 245 1 20 40-172 4.3 18-28 187 1 San Jose St 56-0 452 24 2 32 59-406 6.9 16-29 217 0 8 23-42 1.8 15-29 129 1 Purdue 3-35 -274 -16 -2 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3 at USC 24-27 -102 -8 -2 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3 Auburn 14-51 -142 -1 -4 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 Bye Bye at Iowa St 17-7 56 1 1 19 52-141 2.7 19-26 171 2 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 4at Kentucky 34-40 82 2 -1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 Kansas St 40-34 152 16 0 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3at Georgia 28-53 -384 -14 0 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 † Oklahoma 24-29 -90 3 1 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 Idaho 68-21 380 13 0 28 30-183 6.1 24-34 475 1 15 38-81 2.1 22-36 197 5 Oklahoma St 10-13 -145 -13 0 13 33-42 1.3 22-36 241 3 26 51-146 2.9 25-38 282 2at Connecticut 52-12 229 8 0 31 34-175 5.1 34-43 408 2 23 41-121 3.0 22-52 233 5 at Baylor 38-7 178 7 2 19 35-171 4.9 27-36 256 3 12 37-31 0.8 21-38 218 3 Florida 45-16 106 9 1 26 46-227 4.9 15-21 228 0 17 31-93 3.0 20-29 256 1 at TCU 7-24 -80 -3 0 14 26-9 0.3 21-44 254 7 17 46-177 3.8 19-27 166 2 Tennessee 50-17 374 13 3 29 53-433 8.2 14-30 226 1 16 36-146 4.1 16-32 139 5 Kansas 42-27 7 -1 2 18 40-113 2.8 24-34 258 3 19 35-96 2.7 27-43 268 4at Vanderbilt 45-17 27 -8 3 17 39-191 4.9 10-25 235 0 25 30-51 1.7 28-52 348 2 at West Virginia 28-14 125 1 1 18 42-233 5.5 17-27 187 0 17 29-56 1.9 20-34 239 2at Arkansas 48-45 250 16 -1 35 60-248 4.1 25-42 448 3 19 31-133 4.3 14-30 313 2 Texas Tech 23-27 -7 2 -2 18 33-116 3.5 29-51 272 1 16 34-62 1.8 20-45 333 3 Bye Bye† Texas † Missouri

Average 39-32 86.3 3.1 -0.3 24 38-200 5.3 57.8% 312 3.0% 21 40-164 4.1 59.7% 262 7.5% Average 29-22 44.8 3.1 0.3 21 39-142 3.7 59.8% 267 6.8% 18 36-106 3.0 57.9% 258 7.1% Conference 35-34 47.1 2.3 -0.3 23 40-209 5.2 53.7% 276 3.1% 21 39-177 4.6 59.6% 261 5.5% Conference 25-20 21.8 1.4 0.6 19 38-126 3.3 60.3% 256 6.3% 18 36-99 2.7 57.8% 261 7.7% Away 41-33 40.8 0.8 0.2 23 38-177 4.7 59.6% 340 3.4% 23 38-173 4.5 52.8% 304 5.6% Home 35-25 75.0 6.0 0.2 23 39-157 4.0 61.0% 291 4.7% 17 38-125 3.3 58.5% 248 7.3%

Missouri St Drew Lock 21-34-521-7-1 Damarea Crockett 18-202-11.2-2 J'Mon Moore 4-187-46.8-2 Maryland Shane Buechele 34-52-375-2-1 Chris Warren 6-31-5.2-0 Collin Johnson 7-125-17.9-1 South Carolina Drew Lock 14-32-245-1-2 Damarea Crockett 18-97-5.4-0 Jason Reese 2-88-44.0-1 San Jose St Sam Ehlinger 15-27-222-1-0 Chris Warren 16-166-10.4-2 Armanti Foreman 5-51-10.2-1 Purdue Drew Lock 12-28-133-0-2 Ish Witter 7-25-3.6-0 J'Mon Moore 3-61-20.3-0 vs. at USC Sam Ehlinger 21-40-298-2-2 Chris Warren 4-15-3.8-0 Collin Johnson 7-191-27.3-0 Auburn Drew Lock 23-39-216-2-1 Damarea Crockett 13-57-4.4-0 Johnathon Johnson 10-85-8.5-0 Bye Bye at Iowa St Shane Buechele 19-26-171-1-1 Chris Warren 16-44-2.8-1 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 4-36-9.0-0at Kentucky Drew Lock 22-42-355-3-0 Ish Witter 17-139-8.2-0 Emanuel Hall 4-129-32.3-1 vs. Kansas St Sam Ehlinger 30-50-380-2-1 Sam Ehlinger 20-107-5.4-0 Reggie Hemphill 12-121-10.1-0at Georgia Drew Lock 15-25-253-4-1 Damarea Crockett 9-32-3.6-0 Emanuel Hall 4-141-35.3-2 † Oklahoma Sam Ehlinger 19-39-278-1-0 Sam Ehlinger 22-106-4.8-1 Chris Warren 4-55-13.8-0 Idaho Drew Lock 23-33-467-6-1 Larry Rountree 12-97-8.1-0 J'Mon Moore 11-174-15.8-1 Oklahoma St Sam Ehlinger 22-36-241-0-1 Chris Warren 12-33-2.8-0 John Burt 2-99-49.5-0at Connecticut Drew Lock 31-37-377-5-0 Ish Witter 10-73-7.3-1 Johnathon Johnson 5-128-25.6-1 vs. at Baylor Shane Buechele 27-34-256-1-1 Toneil Carter 15-70-4.7-1 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 5-55-11.0-1 Florida Drew Lock 15-20-228-3-1 Larry Rountree 15-83-5.5-3 Emanuel Hall 5-113-22.6-0 at TCU Shane Buechele 21-44-254-1-0 Daniel Young 12-31-2.6-0 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 6-109-18.2-0 Tennessee Drew Lock 13-28-217-4-1 Ish Witter 24-216-9.0-1 Emanuel Hall 5-102-20.4-2 Kansas Shane Buechele 22-32-249-1-1 Daniel Young 21-67-3.2-0 Lorenzo Joe 5-98-19.6-1at Vanderbilt Drew Lock 10-25-235-3-0 Ish Witter 16-102-6.4-0 Albert Okwuegbunam 5-116-23.2-2 vs. at West Virginia Sam Ehlinger 12-19-136-2-1 Daniel Young 12-85-7.1-1 Reggie Hemphill 2-58-29.0-0at Arkansas Drew Lock 25-42-448-5-2 Ish Witter 39-170-4.4-1 J'Mon Moore 10-160-16.0-1 Texas Tech Sam Ehlinger 26-47-239-1-2 Daniel Young 13-55-4.2-1 Armanti Foreman 5-78-15.6-1 Bye Bye† Texas vs. † Missouri

Drew Lock 224-385-3695-43-12 Ish Witter 171-992-5.8-5 J'Mon Moore 60-1017-17.0-10 Sam Ehlinger 147-260-1803-10-7 Sam Ehlinger 103-364-3.5-2 Collin Johnson 51-725-14.2-2Micah Wilson 5-10-48-0-1 Larry Rountree 112-629-5.6-6 Emanuel Hall 33-817-24.8-8 vs. Shane Buechele 131-199-1350-6-4 Daniel Young 69-325-4.7-3 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 37-431-11.6-2Team 0-1-0-0-0 Damarea Crockett 80-481-6.0-2 Johnathon Johnson 38-639-16.8-5 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 1-3-27-0-0 Chris Warren 71-314-4.4-6 Reggie Hemphill 36-400-11.1-0

Category

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Tigers Logs

Projected Rushing

Missouri

Auburn


Idaho

Projected Box Score


14


--PS RANK--

FOE

Missouri Leaders

† Texas

at Connecticut

AP TEAMFOE +/-

Net Offense Defense

Mis

sou

ri T

iger

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Texa

s Lo

ng

hor

ns

Net Offense

1.17

Pass Def at TCU Tennessee Total Def Kansas Florida

Score Def at West Virginiaat Arkansas Sks By Texas Techat Vanderbilt

Ypg Diff ByeTotal TO's † Missouri

Bye

Missouri TigersLonghorns Logs

--PS RANK--TM CONF


FOE

FOEFOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE 4-4 5-4TM REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Texas Longhorns7-5 6-6

AP TEAM

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Maryland South Carolina

Missouri Texas San Jose St

Purdue at USC

Missouri St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Rush Off Bye Bye Pass Off at Iowa St

Total Off Kansas Stat Georgia Score Off † Oklahomaat Kentucky

Sks Allowed Oklahoma StRush Def at Baylor

Texas LB's

0.04

Missouri OL

Texas DL

0.52

Missouri Texas

0.39

Missouri QB/WR

Texas DB's


Missouri DL

Texas OL

Missouri RB's

Texas By 4.0Missouri Coaches

Texas K

This is the 1st bowl gm for each s/’14 & as B12 rivals, Tx won 6 of the L/7 mtgs. TX will be w/o DB Elliot & OL Williams (both sitting out). MO comes in on a 6 gm win streak which they outscored their foes 54-24. While that is impressive, not a single one of their 7 wins came over a FBS team that was bowl eligible (0-5 in those games). LY Drew Lock had a 12-0 ratio vs non P5 tms & just 11-10 vs the SEC. TY he has an amazing 33-6 ratio vs non bowl teams & 10-6 vs bowl teams. He completed just 54% vs the SEC. After losing to TT to fall to 6-6, Tom Herman said it was important to win the bowl game. The clincher is Herman is 9-1 ATS as a ‘dog and won 6 of those outright so I’ll call for the ‘Horns to pull off the minor outright upset, making this a ‘Best Bet’ selection.

Missouri Pts

Texas Pts

0.06

Texas Leaders

Las Vegas Line


1.64

Team & Margin

Missouri By 2.5

+/- Ratings

Missouri ST's1.15

Texas ST'sMissouri K

Missouri DB's

Texas QB/WR

Missouri LB'S

Texas RB's


281 yards Missouri Texas

28 points Missouri

Game GradeTexas By 6.8

Computer YardsTexas 467-421Texas

Texas Coaches1.00

5.02

421 yards Missouri

Phil's Forecast:


140 yards

vs. SEC

327 yards

Missouri Texas


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1.57

vs. BIG 12

Best Bet: ★★ Texas 34 (+) Missouri 27By 2.50 Points

Texas 32-28

Phil SteeleTexas


Texas by 7

Computer PointsTexas 10

Team Schedule Strength68 Missouri Texas

19

Texas

Wednesday, December 27, 2017 • 9:00 pmESPN • NRG Stadium • Houston, TX

TEXAS BOWLTEXAS (6-6)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 3-9

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TEXAS MIZZ 134 rush yd 153 327 pass yd 283 30 pts 30 +4 ytd to -4 #29 sked #82

CHECKLIST TEXAS MIZZ edge edge

– QB 4

– RB 4

– WR 1/2 – OL 4

4 DL – 44 LB – 44 DB – 41/2 CCH – 44 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – – ST 1/2 44 1/2 SKED –

MISSOURI (7-5)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 7-5

OVERALL

TEXAS BY 7 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 123 16 9/2 28-35 L 79 62 79 19 17 34 0-0 0-0 113 9/2 62-24 W 40 106 970-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 114 9/8 44-21 W 83 63 79 87 47 22 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 16-19 L 22 102 97 43 54 711-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 112 9/16 35-3 W 77 72 93 10 71 80 1-1 0-2 0-0 0-1 115 91 9/15 63-16 W 23 92 76 127 128 1072-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 121 129 8 9/23 10-28 L 72 64 113 42 3 15 #83 #3 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 119 121 23 9/22 24-30 L 16 80 77 48 18 82-2 0-1 119 9/30 86 58 109 #55 #110 2-2 0-1 117 9/30 19 69 1002-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 119 120 10/7 31-17 W 84 59 106 87 39 7 #74 #12 2-2 3-2 0-1 0-2 117 116 10/7 45-42 W 18 70 105 59 48 443-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 121 136 7 10/14 9-17 L 80 62 103 21 12 65 #97 #6 3-2 3-2 1-1 1-1 119 118 10/14 47-30 W 15 72 92 14 40 763-3 2-4 1-2 1-2 123 107 10/21 12-14 L 86 65 81 83 64 56 #95 #14 4-2 4-3 2-1 1-3 121 121 10/21 45-44 W 9 67 102 115 40 873-4 3-4 1-3 2-2 119 112 10/28 24-25 L 80 62 119 60 63 38 #30 #88 5-2 7-1 3-1 4-1 122 129 15 10/28 58-37 W 9 57 101 36 19 663-5 2-6 1-4 0-5 116 105 11/4 29-10 W 77 63 81 117 83 58 #86 #122 6-2 7-2 4-1 5-1 127 131 23 17 11/4 35-49 L 4 57 71 11 14 404-5 6-3 2-4 4-2 117 125 11/11 13-23 L 70 54 71 49 29 59 #47 #117 6-3 1-8 4-2 0-6 126 109 11/11 49-28 W 8 68 79 87 99 854-6 6-4 2-5 3-4 117 125 11/18 24-15 W 76 53 82 97 29 34 #18 #110 7-3 5-5 5-2 2-5 126 117 11/18 28-48 L 6 67 75 19 25 1035-6 5-6 3-5 2-6 122 118 11/25 31-24 W 78 48 80 93 36 50 #58 #39 7-4 6-5 5-3 5-3 121 121 11/25 30-42 L 6 77 82 34 41 606-6 4-5 122 12/2 71 43 78 #62 #55 7-5 5-4 120 12/2 10 74 526-6 7-5 4-5 5-4 122 120 12/27 69 41 78 12 75 52 +3 +4 7-5 6-6 5-4 4-5 120 122 12/27 12 75 52 69 41 78



† Louisville 28-35 -180 -2 -1 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 Northern Arizona 62-24 33 -6 3 23 47-506 10.8 7-14 89 1 29 42-185 4.4 27-50 377 2 Ohio 44-21 162 2 2 25 44-263 6.0 16-24 295 1 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 Houston 16-19 -12 3 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0at Missouri 35-3 274 16 2 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 at UTEP 63-16 283 17 1 29 65-326 5.0 20-23 175 1 12 14-17 1.2 18-39 201 2 Michigan 10-28 -234 -15 1 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4 Utah 24-30 107 3 -3 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 Bye Bye Minnesota 31-17 111 6 -2 22 29-132 4.6 25-36 307 4 16 47-227 4.8 11-25 101 0 at Colorado 45-42 16 -4 -1 25 42-413 9.8 12-14 154 0 29 58-300 5.2 19-32 251 4at Wisconsin 9-17 -273 -10 2 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 UCLA 47-30 196 -1 4 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5at Rutgers 12-14 257 17 -2 25 41-279 6.8 23-44 195 0 8 37-130 3.5 9-18 87 1 at California 45-44 38 -7 1 24 46-345 7.5 10-15 166 0 31 47-172 3.7 29-49 301 2 Nebraska 24-25 -108 -5 0 20 38-199 5.2 16-28 164 1 25 27-40 1.5 32-50 431 3 Washington St 58-37 -68 -19 1 13 34-310 9.1 10-17 275 0 32 17-51 3.0 58-84 602 1 Illinois 29-10 185 10 0 25 44-209 4.8 18-28 226 1 15 35-80 2.3 12-27 170 5 at USC 35-49 -262 -5 -2 25 43-234 5.4 14-31 146 5 30 52-331 6.4 20-26 311 1at Northwestern 13-23 48 0 -1 22 22-40 1.8 38-61 398 3 22 38-94 2.5 26-46 296 1 Oregon St 49-28 242 4 0 26 55-534 9.7 5-7 68 0 22 40-151 3.8 16-28 209 4at Iowa 24-15 36 3 2 20 29-65 2.2 22-37 229 4 17 38-82 2.2 16-33 176 6 at Oregon 28-48 -258 3 -1 27 45-171 3.8 18-35 159 2 24 50-353 7.1 14-21 235 1 Indiana 31-24 -44 2 0 22 43-272 6.3 16-30 181 1 20 32-124 3.9 32-60 373 3 at Arizona St 30-42 49 6 1 24 51-245 4.8 15-21 194 3 18 49-227 4.6 11-17 163 4 Bye Bye† Arizona † Purdue

Average 24-19 19.5 2.0 0.3 21 34-151 4.4 59.1% 240 6.8% 19 37-133 3.6 56.2% 238 6.1% Average 42-34 30.3 -0.5 0.3 24 48-324 6.8 61.7% 170 5.6% 25 40-187 4.7 62.3% 277 6.4% Conference 20-19 -2.4 0.9 0.0 20 32-144 4.4 57.0% 224 6.8% 19 39-135 3.5 55.8% 235 7.8% Conference 40-39 6.7 -2.2 0.0 24 47-323 6.9 60.0% 173 6.2% 26 43-210 4.9 63.9% 280 7.5% Away 20-18 27.0 4.0 0.3 22 32-118 3.7 59.2% 257 6.5% 18 37-136 3.7 56.1% 212 4.8% Home 43-28 83.0 -2.7 0.8 22 46-360 7.8 59.2% 175 3.1% 25 35-141 4.0 63.7% 310 5.5%

† Louisville David Blough 18-26-175-2-2 Tario Fuller 8-29-3.6-0 Jackson Anthrop 7-82-11.7-2 Northern Arizona Brandon Dawkins 7-13-89-1-0 Brandon Dawkins 7-92-13.1-2 Tony Ellison 5-79-15.8-1 Ohio David Blough 11-13-235-3-0 Tario Fuller 16-142-8.9-1 Cole Herdman 2-87-43.5-1 Houston Brandon Dawkins 17-29-178-0-0 JJ Taylor 17-87-5.1-0 Shun Brown 4-79-19.8-0at Missouri David Blough 22-28-187-1-0 Tario Fuller 19-90-4.7-1 Cole Herdman 1-54-54.0-0 vs. at UTEP Brandon Dawkins 18-21-155-3-0 Brandon Dawkins 14-133-9.5-3 Tyrell Johnson 4-45-11.3-0 Michigan Elijah Sindelar 7-16-103-1-0 Richie Worship 2-18-9.0-0 Terry Wright 4-64-16.0-0 Utah Brandon Dawkins 24-42-248-1-3 Brandon Dawkins 18-90-5.0-1 Tony Ellison 6-78-13.0-1 Bye Bye Minnesota Elijah Sindelar 19-26-248-1-0 DJ Knox 7-56-8.0-0 Anthony Mahoungou 2-76-38.0-0 vs. at Colorado Khalil Tate 11-12-142-1-0 Khalil Tate 14-327-23.4-4 Tony Ellison 1-60-60.0-0at Wisconsin Elijah Sindelar 13-29-155-0-1 DJ Knox 7-31-4.4-0 Brycen Hopkins 2-48-24.0-0 UCLA Khalil Tate 9-13-148-1-0 Khalil Tate 15-230-15.3-2 Shun Brown 3-61-20.3-0at Rutgers Elijah Sindelar 15-29-138-0-2 DJ Knox 13-84-6.5-0 Anthony Mahoungou 4-47-11.8-1 at California Khalil Tate 10-15-166-2-1 Khalil Tate 17-137-8.1-1 Shun Brown 2-57-28.5-1 Nebraska David Blough 16-28-164-1-0 Richie Worship 18-89-4.9-1 Jackson Anthrop 6-55-9.2-1 vs. Washington St Khalil Tate 10-17-275-2-1 JJ Taylor 13-152-11.7-2 Jamie Nunley 2-116-58.0-1 Illinois David Blough 16-24-194-0-0 DJ Knox 14-85-6.1-1 Brycen Hopkins 3-53-17.7-0 at USC Khalil Tate 14-31-146-2-2 Khalil Tate 26-161-6.2-1 Shun Brown 8-78-9.8-1at Northwestern Elijah Sindelar 37-60-376-2-1 DJ Knox 6-22-3.7-0 Jared Sparks 11-130-11.8-0 Oregon St Khalil Tate 5-7-68-0-1 Khalil Tate 16-206-12.9-2 Tyrell Johnson 3-44-14.7-0at Iowa Elijah Sindelar 22-37-229-3-0 Markell Jones 14-74-5.3-0 Anthony Mahoungou 7-135-19.3-2 vs. at Oregon Khalil Tate 18-35-159-1-2 Nick Wilson 17-73-4.3-2 Tony Ellison 6-52-8.7-1 Indiana Elijah Sindelar 15-29-159-2-0 Markell Jones 31-217-7.0-0 Anthony Mahoungou 2-88-44.0-1 at Arizona St Khalil Tate 11-13-132-0-0 JJ Taylor 12-74-6.2-1 Shawn Poindexter 2-53-26.5-0 Bye Bye† Arizona vs. † Purdue

Elijah Sindelar 153-275-1703-14-6 Markell Jones 92-480-5.2-1 Anthony Mahoungou 33-560-17.0-6 Khalil Tate 93-152-1277-9-8 Khalil Tate 133-1353-10.2-12 Shun Brown 38-499-13.1-5David Blough 102-157-1103-9-4 DJ Knox 79-460-5.8-1 Jackson Anthrop 44-391-8.9-5 vs. Brandon Dawkins 70-114-732-5-4 JJ Taylor 135-827-6.1-5 Tony Ellison 33-496-15.0-3Joe Schopper 2-2-44-0-0 Tario Fuller 43-261-6.1-2 Brycen Hopkins 23-324-14.1-3 Rhett Rodriguez 1-1-10.1-0-0 Nick Wilson 120-585-4.9-6 Tyrell Johnson 21-261-12.4-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Purdue


FOE REC

TEAMTM CONF


AP --PS RANK--

Purdue BoilermakersBoilermakers Logs

TM REC

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ari

zon

a W

ildca

ts

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Pu

rdu

e B

oile

rmak

ers

261 yards Purdue Arizona

30 points

39

18 Purdue

Purdue Leaders Arizona Leaders

Purdue DL1.78

at Rutgers Sks Allowed at California Nebraska Rush Def Washington St Illinois Pass Def at USCat Northwestern Total Def Oregon Stat Iowa Score Def at Oregon Indiana Sks By at Arizona St

† Louisville 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Northern Arizona Ohio

Purdue Arizona Houston

at Missouri at UTEP Michigan Rush Off Utah Bye Pass Off Bye

OVERALL:

FOE +/-AP

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE--PS RANK--

OVERALL: Arizona Wildcats6-6 7-5vs. PAC 12 Wildcats Logs

Purdue

vs. BIG 10

Arizona

0.46

Purdue QB/WR

Arizona DB's

Purdue DB's1.48

Arizona QB/WR

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

4-5

Defense

Bye

Score Score

† Arizona Total TO's † PurdueYpg Diff Bye

5-4TM +/-

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMFOE

Minnesota Total Off at Coloradoat Wisconsin Score Off UCLA

Arizona OL

0.13

Purdue LB'S

Arizona RB's

0.57

Purdue RB's

Arizona LB's

0.82

Purdue OL

Arizona DL

Arizona K

Projected Rushing204 yards Purdue Arizona

Team & Margin

0.29Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line In bowl games Rich Rod is 5-5 SU & 2-8 ATS and Jeff Brohm is 2-0 SU & 1-1. QB Tate came in for an inj’d Dawkins in the 1Q vs Colorado with the Cats at 2-2. He guided them to a 5-3 finish & even earned some Heisman attention after rushing for 327 & 230 yds his F/2 gms. He did avg just 110 ypg the L/6. AZ rates the edges at QB & on the OL and has my #10 rated OFF w/PU at just #54. PU has an even larger edge on D with their biggest edges on the DL and at LB. PU has my #30 rated D & AZ comes in at #94, all’g foes 50 ypg more than their ssn avg. PU has also faced my #23 toughest sked & AZ just #68, but they are even statistically. I rate Purdue the stronger team and they are getting points & I’ll make this a ‘Best Bet’ selection by calling for the Boilermakers to pull off the outright upset.

Arizona By 3

65.5 Points

1.00

Purdue By 2.0


Ret

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Projected Box Score Purdue ST's0.49

Arizona ST's

Purdue Coaches


205 yards

Arizona

Game Grade465 yards Purdue Arizona 456 yards Arizona Coaches

+/- Ratings

Purdue By 3.4

Purdue K

Best Bet: ★ Purdue 34 (+) Arizona 30By 3.06 Points

Phil SteelePurdue by 4

Purdue 465-456Computer Yards

Computer PointsPurdue 34-30


59

42 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Arizona

ArizonaPurdue Pts

5.04PurdueExperience Rankings Arizona Pts

34 points

Arizona

Wednesday, December 27, 2017 • 8:30 pmFOX • Levi’s Stadium • Santa Clara, CA

FOSTER FARMS BOWLARIZONA (7-5)ATS: 5-6-1 O/U: 9-3

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ARIZ PUR 261 rush yd 220 193 pass yd 242 31 pts 36 +4 ytd to +3 #70 sked #22

CHECKLIST ARIZ PUR edge edge

44 QB – 1/2 RB – – WR – 1/2 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 41/2 – DB – 1/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT 4

4 ST – – SKED 44

PURDUE (6-6)ATS: 8-4 O/U: 3-9

OVERALL

PURDUE BY 1/2 4’s


0-0 0-0 111 9/2 28-10 W 108 47 83 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 117 97 9/1 42-19 W 84 101 41 64 113 931-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 112 113 9/9 17-34 L 106 57 83 85 42 32 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 109 9/9 23-21 W 70 84 41 80 81 771-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 94 9/16 38-18 W 112 51 105 103 76 114 2-0 1-0 117 9/16 72 88 522-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 108 111 9/22 42-23 W 90 60 105 76 45 49 #126 #2 2-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 117 111 9/23 42-32 W 71 87 87 107 71 1003-1 0-0 113 9/30 78 44 108 #41 #129 3-0 1-3 2-0 0-0 117 112 9/30 31-21 W 46 84 94 44 127 483-1 4-1 0-0 1-1 113 124 10/7 28-21 W 74 44 102 53 22 92 #100 #42 4-0 1-3 3-0 0-2 118 107 10/7 48-45 W 34 90 101 89 123 194-1 1-5 1-0 0-3 117 114 10/14 20-14 W 79 35 94 55 54 38 #101 #61 5-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 116 118 25 10/14 27-30 L 23 97 86 37 81 95-1 3-4 2-0 1-3 118 116 10/21 10-41 L 74 26 100 84 46 74 #95 #7 5-1 5-0 3-1 3-0 116 126 20 10/21 21-31 L 25 100 80 17 35 315-2 3-5 2-1 1-3 113 119 10/28 14-31 L 83 34 79 87 65 44 #81 #63 5-2 3-2 116 10/28 23 103 845-3 4-3 2-2 3-2 112 129 11/4 40-36 W 89 35 88 41 39 79 #15 #62 5-2 3-5 3-2 1-3 116 108 11/2 26-34 L 21 104 95 111 75 1006-3 5-4 3-2 2-4 116 122 11/11 21-38 L 85 34 68 5 58 87 #36 #58 5-3 6-3 3-3 3-2 113 113 11/11 43-40 W 32 109 70 27 99 896-4 9-0 3-3 6-0 115 138 2 11/18 28-44 L 95 35 70 17 6 37 #66 #75 6-3 8-2 4-3 6-2 113 135 9 11/18 17-24 L 32 109 63 4 17 1186-5 8-3 3-4 4-3 117 126 24 11/24 0-10 L 92 33 69 54 15 4 #48 #116 6-4 6-4 4-3 4-3 116 116 11/24 14-24 L 38 101 68 37 52 636-6 3-5 117 12/2 102 35 77 #75 #48 6-5 4-4 115 12/2 52 102 806-6 6-6 3-5 4-4 117 115 12/28 106 34 77 40 102 79 +2 -6 6-5 8-3 4-4 1-0 115 114 12/9 13-14 L 40 102 79 60 96 30



William & Mary 28-10 114 7 1 19 32-92 2.9 27-40 262 3 12 41-168 4.1 7-13 72 2 at Florida Atlantic 42-19 200 7 0 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 Indiana 17-34 6 3 1 22 25-55 2.2 39-66 259 1 19 41-111 2.7 19-30 197 4 Tulane 23-21 64 4 -2 15 52-194 3.7 4-12 132 3 11 46-191 4.2 8-13 71 1 Connecticut 38-18 192 4 1 27 31-171 5.5 30-40 455 1 23 41-207 5.0 18-26 227 2 Byeat Boise St 42-23 57 -1 1 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 Cincinnati 42-32 183 9 0 31 72-569 7.9 2-3 53 0 22 23-58 2.5 28-46 381 2 Bye at Tulsa 31-21 167 12 -1 24 68-421 6.2 3-4 90 0 12 39-229 5.9 12-18 115 0 Duke 28-21 55 4 0 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2 Air Force 48-45 -64 -5 2 22 57-471 8.3 4-12 86 0 27 55-340 6.2 10-17 281 2at North Carolina 20-14 148 11 2 23 47-156 3.3 19-31 249 4 12 35-211 6.0 7-18 46 2 at Memphis 27-30 -63 -5 -4 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 Boston College 10-41 -265 0 -3 19 26-95 3.7 19-42 152 3 19 47-237 5.0 19-24 275 0 UCF 21-31 -64 -3 -2 19 59-248 4.2 5-14 171 0 22 42-247 5.9 16-24 236 1at Pittsburgh 14-31 4 1 0 20 31-102 3.3 22-42 212 3 19 40-176 4.4 10-18 134 1 Bye Georgia Tech 40-36 -42 -1 0 15 25-97 3.9 21-43 260 0 16 52-220 4.2 6-22 179 5 at Temple 26-34 -31 0 0 20 52-136 2.6 13-19 226 5 20 28-104 3.7 22-30 289 0at Louisville 21-38 -216 -11 0 16 28-63 2.3 19-36 214 4 27 43-298 6.9 15-26 195 2 SMU 43-40 133 3 0 24 72-559 7.8 0-1 0 0 21 31-165 5.3 16-30 261 2at Miami, Fl 28-44 81 3 -1 18 28-55 2.0 28-37 384 5 15 32-148 4.6 15-28 210 3 at Notre Dame 17-24 -9 7 0 23 72-277 3.8 3-8 41 0 16 31-163 5.3 9-18 164 1 Virginia Tech 0-10 -154 -11 0 9 20-5 0.3 17-34 186 4 20 53-202 3.8 14-21 143 0 at Houston 14-24 -89 3 1 19 60-217 3.6 3-8 74 3 16 32-103 3.2 21-27 277 2 Bye Byeat Navy † Army West Point 13-14 55 -3 0 12 46-294 6.4 1-2 2 0 15 49-221 4.5 1-1 20 0

Virginia Average 24-27 -1.7 0.8 0.2 19 31-99 3.2 58.8% 257 6.2% 18 40-178 4.4 53.6% 180 8.4% Average 29-28 40.2 2.4 -0.2 21 62-343 5.5 41.6% 84 11.9% 19 36-165 4.6 63.3% 222 5.1% Conference 20-29 -48.6 -0.5 -0.3 18 30-88 2.9 54.9% 230 7.8% 18 42-203 4.9 50.3% 163 7.5% Conference 28-29 37.5 2.9 -1.0 21 63-332 5.3 44.9% 96 17.4% 19 34-152 4.5 64.5% 239 4.4% Away 25-30 14.8 0.6 0.4 20 35-109 3.1 61.1% 266 9.7% 19 35-173 5.0 52.4% 188 8.4% Home 35-34 50.4 1.6 -0.4 22 62-408 6.5 35.7% 88 7.1% 21 39-200 5.1 60.0% 246 6.2%

William & Mary Kurt Benkert 27-39-262-3-0 Jordan Ellis 20-80-4.0-1 Doni Dowling 6-76-12.7-0 at Florida Atlantic Zach Abey 3-10-110-1-1 Zach Abey 32-235-7.3-2 Tyler Carmona 1-56-56.0-0 Indiana Kurt Benkert 39-66-259-1-0 Jordan Ellis 14-44-3.1-1 Olamide Zaccheaus 12-72-6.0-0 Tulane Zach Abey 4-12-132-1-1 Zach Abey 29-108-3.7-0 Tyler Carmona 1-79-79.0-1 Connecticut Kurt Benkert 30-40-455-3-1 Jordan Ellis 20-95-4.8-1 Doni Dowling 6-136-22.7-1 vs. Byeat Boise St Kurt Benkert 19-29-273-3-0 Jordan Ellis 24-93-3.9-2 Andre Levrone 5-141-28.2-2 Cincinnati Zach Abey 2-3-53-1-0 Zach Abey 20-128-6.4-2 Tyler Carmona 2-53-26.5-1 Bye at Tulsa Zach Abey 3-4-90-0-0 Zach Abey 36-185-5.1-3 Malcolm Perry 2-53-26.5-0 Duke Kurt Benkert 24-43-182-3-2 Jordan Ellis 25-96-3.8-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 8-69-8.6-1 vs. Air Force Zach Abey 4-11-86-2-0 Zach Abey 29-214-7.4-2 Malcolm Perry 2-45-22.5-1at North Carolina Kurt Benkert 19-31-249-2-0 Jordan Ellis 27-136-5.0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-100-20.0-1 at Memphis Zach Abey 1-7-20-0-2 Zach Abey 37-146-3.9-3 Darryl Bonner 1-20-20.0-0 Boston College Kurt Benkert 17-33-126-0-1 Jordan Ellis 12-58-4.8-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 6-57-9.5-0 UCF Zach Abey 2-4-115-1-1 Zach Abey 25-126-5.0-1 Malcolm Perry 1-75-75.0-1at Pittsburgh Kurt Benkert 22-42-212-2-1 Jordan Ellis 15-58-3.9-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 8-80-10.0-0 vs. Bye Georgia Tech Kurt Benkert 21-43-260-3-1 Jordan Ellis 13-48-3.7-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 9-98-10.9-0 at Temple Zach Abey 6-9-111-0-1 Zach Abey 25-60-2.4-0 Malcolm Perry 4-94-23.5-0at Louisville Kurt Benkert 19-36-214-1-1 Jordan Ellis 13-58-4.5-1 Andre Levrone 6-92-15.3-0 SMU Zach Abey 0-0-0-0-0 Malcolm Perry 33-282-8.5-4 Zach Abey 0-0-0.0-0at Miami, Fl Kurt Benkert 28-37-384-4-1 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-29-5.8-0 Joe Reed 2-81-40.5-1 vs. at Notre Dame Zach Abey 3-6-41-1-1 Zach Abey 29-87-3.0-1 Anthony Gargiulo 1-21-21.0-0 Virginia Tech Kurt Benkert 17-34-186-0-0 Jordan Ellis 10-9-0.9-0 Andre Levrone 2-59-29.5-0 at Houston Zach Abey 2-4-45-0-0 Malcolm Perry 15-82-5.5-1 Tyler Carmona 1-40-40.0-0 Bye Bye Zach Abey 1-1-2-0-0 Malcolm Perry 30-250-8.3-1 Malcolm Perry 1-2-2.0-0at Navy vs. † Army West Point

VirginiaKurt Benkert 282-473-3062-25-8 Jordan Ellis 204-799-3.9-6 Olamide Zaccheaus 80-833-10.4-5 Zach Abey 31-71-805-7-7 Zach Abey 280-1325-4.7-14 Tyler Carmona 14-381-27.2-4Lindell Stone 2-9-26-0-2 Lamont Atkins 27-182-6.7-1 Andre Levrone 31-662-21.4-7 vs. Garret Lewis 10-23-195-2-2 Malcolm Perry 122-1068-8.8-9 Malcolm Perry 13-303-23.3-2TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 19-101-5.3-1 Doni Dowling 48-632-13.2-5 Malcolm Perry 1-2-5-1-1 Chris High 125-520-4.2-2 Darryl Bonner 7-182-26.0-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF


Virginia Navy 364 yards

Virginia Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

This is Navy’s 6th str bowl and they’ve covered their L/4 incl a win in the Military Bowl in ’15. UVA has not been to a bowl game in 6Y and opened 5-1, but then went 1-5 and were outg’d by 99 ypg down the stretch with their 5 losses by an avg of 15.1 ppg and no loss closer than 10. Navy got here in similar fashion, opening 5-0 then 1-6, but the Middies 6 losses were all by 10 or less and all vs bowl tms. Navy looks like the stronger team, but HC Mendenhall knows how to defend the option. Dating back to his days at BYU he is 9-1 SU/ATS vs option tms, incl their lone win the L/6 gms when they beat GT. All 9 sets of my power ratings call for a close game, but also for a score in the 40’s. Mendenhall knows the option & Navy’s D is holding foes to 62 ypg below their avg & I’ll call for this game to be a low scoring affair.

Navy Leaders


+/- RatingsVirginia Coaches

Team & Margin

Las Vegas LineNavy ST's Navy By 1Virginia K

1.25

Navy By 1.0

Navy Coaches

Virginia DB's

Byeat Navy Total TO's † Army West Point

Ypg Diff Bye

VirginiaNet Offense Defense

Vir

gin

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aval

iers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Nav

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idsh

ipm

en

Net Offense

Virginia Navy

2.54

Virginia QB/WR

Navy DB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Virginia ST's0.29

Virginia DL0.75

Navy OL

0.35

0.21

Pass Off

at Pittsburgh Rush Def Bye Boston College

Pass Def at Templeat Louisville Total Def SMU Georgia Tech

Score Def at Notre Dame Virginia Tech Sks By at Houstonat Miami, Fl

AP

Virginia Cavaliersvs. AAC

Virginia LB'S

Navy RB's

0.18

Virginia RB's0.39

Navy LB'sVirginia OL

0.06

Total OffScore Off

Sks Allowed

vs. ACC Midshipmen LogsFOE

CONF FOE +/-AP TEAM FOE

NCAA RANKINGS

OVERALL: OVERALL: Navy Midshipmen6-6 6-6

FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--3-5 4-4TM REC

FOE FOE REC

TM CONF TM +/-

Cavaliers Logs

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

FOE

Defense

Score Score

Tulane Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Florida Atlantic

Virginia Navy

at Tulsaat Boise St

Air Forceat North Carolina at Memphis Duke

UCF

Connecticut

William & Mary Indiana

Rush Off Cincinnati Bye

Navy DL

Ret

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Projected Box Score

2.75

Projected Rushing56 yards Virginia Navy 330 yards

Projected PassingVirginia Navy

Navy K

Navy QB/WR

NavyComputer Yards

Navy 26-23

Navy 364-321

Computer Points77 Virginia Navy POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:


Experience Rankings Navy PtsVirginia 3.27

Virginia Pts

23 points

34 yards265 yards

26 points

Navy By 2.9Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade321 yards

43 Virginia Navy

102

62 Navy by 1 Navy 24 Virginia 23By 0.52 Points

Virginia Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength

Thursday, December 28, 2017 • 1:30 pmESPN • Navy-Marine Corps Stadium • Annapolis, MD

MILITARY BOWLVIRGINIA (6-6)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 5-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS VIRG NAVY 66 rush yd 331 244 pass yd 43 24 pts 28 +3 ytd to -6 #49 sked #50

CHECKLIST VIRG NAVY edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB 441/2 4 WR – – OL 41/2 4 DL – 41/2 LB – 444 DB – – CCH 1/2 – SITE 444

441/2 MTCH – – INT 4

– ST – 1/2 SKED –

NAVY (6-6)ATS: 4-8 O/U: 4-8

OVERALL

VIRGINIA BY 1/2 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 118 21 22 9/3 31-24 W 91 9 18 35 58 75 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 133 116 10 9/2 59-24 W 10 43 98 48 73 531-0 0-0 126 18 9/9 27-0 W 77 14 18 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 137 97 11 9/9 44-7 W 5 41 98 118 109 962-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 124 97 16 9/16 64-17 W 79 16 8 106 130 128 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 137 120 9 9/16 59-21 W 2 35 106 49 60 483-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 128 101 13 9/23 38-0 W 54 13 19 101 82 92 #63 #48 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 6 16 9/23 31-44 L 2 34 83 11 12 414-0 4-0 0-0 2-0 129 141 12 2 9/30 17-31 L 41 11 10 7 2 102 #61 #1 3-1 3-0 0-1 0-0 136 124 15 9/30 41-34 W 6 35 97 23 63 694-1 2-3 0-1 0-2 128 112 16 10/7 23-10 W 42 10 26 91 47 56 #61 #2 4-1 1-1 136 15 10/7 7 33 835-1 1-1 128 15 10/14 44 13 18 #63 #3 4-1 0-5 1-1 0-2 136 116 14 10/14 59-16 W 6 27 85 43 82 415-1 1-6 1-1 0-4 128 112 14 10/21 59-7 W 38 14 17 61 57 43 #45 #45 5-1 3-3 2-1 2-1 140 128 10 10/21 13-10 W 4 28 83 22 16 546-1 4-4 2-1 1-4 132 116 13 10/28 24-3 W 35 12 11 68 31 99 #16 #27 6-1 5-2 3-1 3-1 139 124 11 22 10/28 50-39 W 7 21 107 10 67 897-1 7-0 3-1 5-0 132 130 13 9 11/4 10-28 L 36 9 10 15 17 44 #21 #120 7-1 7-1 4-1 4-1 139 134 11 8 11/4 52-62 L 9 18 102 3 32 977-2 4-4 3-2 3-3 129 125 17 11/11 22-28 L 41 13 6 52 35 97 #12 #73 7-2 6-3 4-2 4-2 135 130 12 24 11/11 49-42 W 7 19 104 76 39 577-3 4-6 3-3 2-4 128 116 11/18 20-14 W 48 15 6 83 57 81 #5 #86 8-2 5-5 5-2 3-4 136 121 10 11/18 40-45 L 7 21 88 53 38 28-3 6-5 4-3 3-4 126 117 24 11/24 10-0 W 54 15 4 92 33 69 #36 #39 8-3 1-10 5-3 0-8 131 98 18 11/25 58-17 W 8 31 91 117 105 949-3 5-3 126 22 12/2 56 14 3 #22 #4 9-3 6-3 132 18 12/2 8 32 949-3 9-3 5-3 6-3 126 132 22 17 12/28 54 15 3 6 31 94 +7 +1 9-3 9-3 6-3 5-3 132 126 17 22 12/28 6 31 94 54 15 3



† West Virginia 31-24 -123 -8 1 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 Tulsa 59-24 208 -1 0 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 2 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 Delaware 27-0 80 3 1 15 28-81 2.9 16-29 222 1 12 46-107 2.3 8-17 116 4 at South Alabama 44-7 330 17 2 29 37-163 4.4 26-41 342 1 12 27-41 1.5 14-24 134 4at East Carolina 64-17 394 22 3 34 62-287 4.6 25-33 388 1 12 31-40 1.3 11-30 241 2 at Pittsburgh 59-21 285 10 0 27 35-104 3.0 26-37 572 1 17 34-103 3.0 20-35 288 2 Old Dominion 38-0 433 25 0 32 57-271 4.8 21-32 311 1 7 24-64 2.7 8-26 85 1 TCU 31-44 33 -6 -3 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 2 Clemson 17-31 10 3 -3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 at Texas Tech 41-34 213 7 0 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1at Boston College 23-10 77 4 -1 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 16 33-163 4.9 14-33 191 0 Bye Bye Baylor 59-16 360 7 1 29 38-276 7.3 20-33 471 0 22 46-219 4.8 14-36 168 1 North Carolina 59-7 211 10 3 21 46-181 3.9 15-27 202 1 11 42-54 1.3 8-22 118 6 at Texas 13-10 145 13 0 26 51-146 2.9 25-38 282 2 13 33-42 1.3 22-36 241 3 Duke 24-3 204 13 2 23 48-187 3.9 13-28 200 1 10 35-101 2.9 10-24 82 1 at West Virginia 50-39 115 8 1 27 56-246 4.4 20-34 216 0 19 30-62 2.1 20-42 285 1at Miami, Fl 10-28 -130 1 -1 22 43-102 2.4 20-32 197 4 21 34-210 6.2 12-24 219 2 Oklahoma 52-62 -124 2 -1 32 34-213 6.3 28-54 448 3 30 40-187 4.7 24-36 598 5at Georgia Tech 22-28 -143 -5 1 14 36-105 2.9 14-26 153 2 19 57-261 4.6 2-8 140 0 at Iowa St 49-42 31 -7 1 23 37-146 3.9 25-31 376 2 30 29-105 3.6 30-47 386 2 Pittsburgh 20-14 9 2 1 18 40-157 3.9 17-37 218 2 16 30-55 1.8 20-33 311 4 Kansas St 40-45 89 12 -1 30 31-85 2.7 32-53 425 4 18 49-217 4.4 10-13 204 3at Virginia 10-0 154 11 0 20 53-202 3.8 14-21 143 0 9 20-5 0.3 17-34 186 4 Kansas 58-17 420 18 1 29 42-167 4.0 32-44 494 2 11 30-69 2.3 17-32 172 3 Bye Bye† Oklahoma St † Virginia Tech

Average 29-14 98.0 6.8 0.6 21 45-167 3.8 60.0% 237 5.7% 15 36-119 3.3 46.9% 187 8.9% Average 46-30 175.4 6.7 0.1 28 39-183 4.7 64.5% 392 4.5% 21 38-132 3.5 57.9% 269 6.7% Conference 23-15 49.0 4.9 0.3 19 43-142 3.3 58.2% 211 6.8% 15 37-124 3.4 47.7% 179 10.1% Conference 44-34 142.4 6.0 -0.1 28 40-178 4.4 62.9% 387 4.6% 22 37-133 3.6 58.6% 290 6.5% Away 27-18 38.2 4.2 0.5 22 48-173 3.6 64.0% 240 7.6% 18 35-150 4.3 47.5% 225 5.5% Home 50-35 164.3 5.3 -0.5 29 36-196 5.5 61.5% 424 5.6% 23 46-196 4.2 56.9% 260 8.0%

† West Virginia Josh Jackson 15-26-235-1-0 Josh Jackson 11-101-9.2-1 Cam Phillips 7-138-19.7-1 Tulsa Mason Rudolph 20-24-303-3-0 Justice Hill 15-132-8.8-1 James Washington 6-145-24.2-2 Delaware Josh Jackson 16-28-222-2-0 Jalen Holston 8-32-4.0-0 Cam Phillips 6-90-15.0-1 at South Alabama Mason Rudolph 25-38-335-3-0 JD King 8-64-8.0-0 James Washington 2-98-49.0-1at East Carolina Josh Jackson 24-31-372-5-0 Travon McMillian 11-72-6.5-0 Cam Phillips 14-189-13.5-3 vs. at Pittsburgh Mason Rudolph 23-32-497-5-1 Justice Hill 11-91-8.3-2 Jalen McCleskey 7-162-23.1-3 Old Dominion Josh Jackson 20-30-298-3-1 Coleman Fox 11-66-6.0-0 Cam Phillips 7-106-15.1-0 TCU Mason Rudolph 22-41-398-2-2 Justice Hill 25-102-4.1-1 James Washington 6-153-25.5-1 Clemson Josh Jackson 29-44-251-1-2 Coleman Fox 5-39-7.8-0 Cam Phillips 7-74-10.6-0 at Texas Tech Mason Rudolph 27-38-376-3-1 Justice Hill 30-164-5.5-0 James Washington 9-127-14.1-1at Boston College Josh Jackson 22-33-322-1-1 Travon McMillian 17-88-5.2-1 Sean Savoy 9-139-15.4-1 vs. Bye Bye Baylor Mason Rudolph 19-31-459-3-0 Justice Hill 14-117-8.4-1 James Washington 6-235-39.2-1 North Carolina Josh Jackson 10-20-132-3-0 Coleman Fox 7-58-8.3-0 Cam Phillips 5-49-9.8-1 at Texas Mason Rudolph 25-38-282-0-0 Justice Hill 33-117-3.5-0 Marcell Ateman 4-87-21.8-0 Duke Josh Jackson 13-27-200-1-0 Deshawn McClease 15-75-5.0-1 Chris Cunningham 3-48-16.0-0 vs. at West Virginia Mason Rudolph 20-34-216-3-1 JD King 36-142-3.9-1 James Washington 7-91-13.0-2at Miami, Fl Josh Jackson 20-32-197-0-2 Travon McMillian 15-52-3.5-0 Cam Phillips 7-101-14.4-0 Oklahoma Mason Rudolph 28-54-448-5-2 Justice Hill 30-228-7.6-2 James Washington 7-128-18.3-1at Georgia Tech Josh Jackson 14-26-153-0-0 Sean Savoy 3-32-10.7-1 Eric Kumah 6-82-13.7-0 at Iowa St Mason Rudolph 25-31-376-3-0 Justice Hill 25-134-5.4-3 Jalen McCleskey 5-109-21.8-0 Pittsburgh Josh Jackson 17-37-218-1-1 Deshawn McClease 14-70-5.0-0 Cam Phillips 8-117-14.6-1 vs. Kansas St Mason Rudolph 32-53-425-3-2 Justice Hill 23-91-4.0-1 James Washington 8-159-19.9-2at Virginia Josh Jackson 14-21-143-1-1 Steven Peoples 22-71-3.2-0 Hezekiah Grimsley 5-56-11.2-0 Kansas Mason Rudolph 31-43-438-2-0 Justice Hill 16-58-3.6-1 Dillon Stoner 4-113-28.3-1 Bye Bye† Oklahoma St vs. † Virginia Tech

Josh Jackson 214-355-2743-19-8 Travon McMillian 104-439-4.2-2 Cam Phillips 71-964-13.6-7 Mason Rudolph 297-457-4553-35-9 Justice Hill 245-1347-5.5-14 James Washington 69-1423-20.6-12A.J Bush 7-11-99-1-0 Deshawn McClease 90-406-4.5-3 Sean Savoy 39-454-11.6-4 vs. Taylor Cornelius 6-10-148-0-0 JD King 97-466-4.8-4 Marcell Ateman 54-1049-19.4-8Oscar Bradburn 1-1-1-0-0 Josh Jackson 108-274-2.5-4 Eric Kumah 23-252-11.0-1 Keondre Wudtee 1-3-7-0-0 LD Brown 33-211-6.4-3 Jalen McCleskey 49-633-12.9-5

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Virginia Tech Hokies

FOE


Oklahoma St 488 yards

Bye† Oklahoma St Total TO's † Virginia Tech

Ypg Diff Bye

Net Offense Defense

Vir

gin

ia T

ech

Hok

ies

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Okl

ahom

a S

t C

owb

oys

Net Offense

Virginia Tech Oklahoma StRushing

0.43

Virginia Tech QB/WR

Oklahoma St DB's

Defense

Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line

Oklahoma St ST's Oklahoma St By 4

116 yards

Baylorat Boston College

at Texas Duke Rush Def at West Virginia North Carolina

Pass Def OklahomaTotal Def at Iowa St

at Miami, Fl

Score Def Kansas Stat Virginia Sks By Kansas Pittsburgh

TM CONF

FOE CONF

DelawareVirginia Tech Oklahoma St

at South Alabamaat East Carolina at Pittsburgh

FOE RECTM REC

† West Virginia

Old Dominion

at Georgia Tech

Virginia Tech Leaders

Sks Allowed

vs. ACC vs. BIG 12

OVERALL: OVERALL: Oklahoma St Cowboys9-3 9-3Hokies Logs Cowboys Logs

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONFTM +/- FOE +/-FOETEAM --PS RANK--5-3 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS6-3

TM REC

Receiving

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Tulsa

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

Rush Off TCU Clemson Pass Off at Texas Tech

Total Off Bye Bye Score Off

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

0.89

4.18

Virginia Tech K

0.60

Virginia Tech DL

Oklahoma St OLVirginia Tech LB'S

Oklahoma St RB's

Virginia Tech RB's

0.50

Oklahoma St LB's

Virginia Tech OL0.66

Oklahoma St DL

Virginia Tech ST's Team & Margin

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

1.00

Oklahoma St By 6.0

Projected Rushing

Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 372 yardsProjected Passing

143 yards Virginia Tech Oklahoma St

252 yards

Oklahoma St Leaders

0.51Las Vegas Total

Oklahoma St K63 Points

+/- RatingsVirginia Tech Coaches

Oklahoma St By 6.7

Virginia Tech DB's

1.23Oklahoma St QB/WR

Game GradeOklahoma St Coaches

Phil's Forecast:

It’s no surprise that OSU has a huge edge on OFF as they avg 576 ypg w/QB Rudolph having a 35-9 ratio throwing to perhaps the best set of WR’s in the country led by Biletnikoff winner Washington & a run game that powers for 4.7 ypc. VT QB Jackson has a 9-7 ratio vs P5 tms & the Hokies topped 24 pts just once vs P5 teams and OSU avg 45 ppg vs the big boys. VT has the edge on D all’g almost 100 ypg less & has my #3 rated ST’s vs the Pokes #94 unit. All ssn I have felt OSU is close to the elite teams & VT has been more middle of the road. Here is a stat that shows my thinking. OSU has outgained their 10 P5 foes (8 are in bowls) by 156 ypg. VT has only outg’d their P5 foes by 30 ypg & only faced 6 bowl teams. I’ll call for OSU to win by over a td, making this a ‘Best Bet’ selection.

Computer Yards

Oklahoma St 35-29

3.90 Oklahoma St 488-395

Computer Points103 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 25 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:


Experience Rankings Oklahoma St Pts

Virginia Tech 6.10

Virginia Tech Pts

29 points 35 points

Projected Yardage Total395 yards Virginia Tech

Oklahoma St

61 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 22 Oklahoma St by 8 Best Bet: ★ Oklahoma St 35 Virginia Tech 27By 2.20 Points

Virginia Tech Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength

Thursday, December 28, 2017 • 5:15 pmESPN • Camping World Stadium • Orlando, FL

CAMPING WORLD BOWLVIRGINIA TECH (9-3)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 3-8-1

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS VT OSU 145 rush yd 104 239 pass yd 369 29 pts 34 +7 ytd to +1 #66 sked #56

CHECKLIST VT OSU edge edge

– QB 441/2 – RB 41/2 – WR 441/2 – OL 4

1/2 DL – 4 LB – 4 DB – – CCH 4

– SITE – – MTCH 4

– INT – 4441/2 ST – – SKED 4

OKLAHOMA ST (9-3)ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 9-3

OVERALL

OKLAHOMA ST BY 4’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 102 14 8/26 62-7 W 21 8 43 113 103 85 0-0 0-0 123 9/2 63-0 W 13 15 261-0 0-0 131 14 9/2 13 6 43 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 120 23 9/9 28-7 W 10 15 26 21 45 1021-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 137 14 6 9/9 24-42 L 8 19 38 8 13 25 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 129 113 20 9/16 56-36 W 13 10 39 36 91 1241-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 127 117 19 9/16 17-20 L 12 28 16 73 50 6 #32 #52 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 16 6 9/23 44-31 W 11 12 41 2 34 831-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 129 121 9/23 58-34 W 10 31 11 17 31 71 #98 #58 4-0 1-0 134 9 9/30 12 12 162-2 2-2 1-1 1-0 128 117 9/30 34-24 W 8 30 9 55 64 106 #75 #52 4-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 134 120 8 23 10/7 31-24 W 12 14 15 10 64 953-2 4-0 2-1 1-0 128 123 20 10/7 23-20 W 5 28 8 43 23 3 #39 #34 5-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 132 127 6 10/14 26-6 W 12 16 17 36 46 14-2 4-2 3-1 1-2 132 123 23 10/14 49-7 W 5 32 6 8 17 43 #20 #32 6-0 1-5 3-0 0-3 135 95 4 10/21 43-0 W 18 13 23 89 118 645-2 4-1 132 22 10/21 4 33 5 #73 #4 7-0 5-2 4-0 3-1 135 130 4 25 10/28 7-14 L 18 9 18 64 39 555-2 1-6 4-1 0-4 128 110 20 10/26 15-14 W 8 29 4 85 92 92 #73 #75 7-1 4-4 4-1 3-2 133 133 10 11/4 24-7 W 20 7 15 29 13 336-2 7-2 5-1 4-2 127 124 18 25 11/4 21-24 L 11 23 3 35 24 72 #72 #19 8-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 135 138 8 5 11/11 20-38 L 19 4 28 3 32 936-3 8-1 5-2 5-1 131 139 9 11/10 30-22 W 13 23 5 24 6 33 #30 #12 8-2 5-5 5-2 2-5 133 119 11 11/18 27-3 W 21 8 32 24 78 927-3 5-5 6-2 2-5 128 116 20 11/18 17-14 W 13 22 5 109 54 62 #23 #4 9-2 1-10 6-2 1-7 136 112 10 11/24 45-22 W 22 8 16 70 89 648-3 9-2 7-2 6-2 132 132 20 9 11/25 38-20 W 12 21 6 5 19 111 #79 #27 10-2 8-1 7-2 5-1 135 138 10 2 12/2 17-41 L 20 8 23 3 32 939-3 1-0 7-2 0-0 130 137 14 11 12/2 28-31 L 13 22 5 8 13 25 +15 +4 10-3 7-3 132 13 12/9 23 10 24

10-3 7-3 132 15 13 12/28 23 10 24 9-4 7-3 130 13 15 12/28 13 22 5Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds


† Rice 62-7 415 13 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 Jackson St 63-0 477 17 1 24 36-242 6.7 23-30 300 0 7 42-24 0.6 7-14 41 5 Bye at Arkansas 28-7 94 11 -1 24 42-195 4.6 21-31 166 1 13 31-129 4.2 9-23 138 3at USC 24-42 -281 -12 2 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 SMU 56-36 156 11 -1 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0at San Diego St 17-20 -99 -11 -3 10 22-174 7.9 10-21 80 4 21 49-166 3.4 21-29 187 6 at Oklahoma St 44-31 -33 6 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 2 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 UCLA 58-34 -42 -4 3 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1 Bye Arizona St 34-24 95 -5 1 17 33-331 10.0 15-24 173 0 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 West Virginia 31-24 -102 -12 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2at Utah 23-20 2 -11 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2 at Kansas St 26-6 179 7 0 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 Oregon 49-7 195 13 1 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2 Kansas 43-0 454 18 0 22 42-191 4.5 20-28 284 1 4 31--25 -0.8 8-18 46 4 Bye at Iowa St 7-14 52 -3 -2 14 34-172 5.1 12-25 135 1 17 33-53 1.6 21-35 202 2at Oregon St 15-14 -42 -8 2 12 27-81 3.0 16-33 141 1 20 41-138 3.4 13-22 126 2 Texas 24-7 80 3 0 17 46-177 3.8 19-27 166 2 14 26-9 0.3 21-44 254 7at Washington St 21-24 -232 -16 0 9 27-93 3.4 9-20 105 2 25 29-93 3.2 34-48 337 3 at Oklahoma 20-38 -109 -2 0 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 Washington 30-22 81 1 1 21 44-195 4.4 16-27 211 1 20 33-135 4.1 17-23 190 2 at Texas Tech 27-3 -38 -4 1 17 42-204 4.9 6-17 85 1 21 41-174 4.2 18-36 153 3 California 17-14 41 2 0 21 38-193 5.1 17-26 185 0 19 28-155 5.5 20-29 182 1 Baylor 45-22 44 11 3 25 36-112 3.1 26-36 325 3 14 29-79 2.7 21-34 314 8 Notre Dame 38-20 -87 1 3 18 38-152 4.0 14-22 176 2 17 44-154 3.5 12-29 261 6 † Oklahoma 20-38 -109 -2 0 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1† USC 24-42 -281 -12 2 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 Bye† TCU † Stanford

Average 32-21 -8.6 -3.2 1.2 18 34-206 6.0 57.4% 184 4.8% 21 38-171 4.5 62.8% 228 8.2% Average 33-18 85.4 4.7 0.3 21 39-176 4.5 66.1% 238 4.6% 17 34-100 2.9 52.3% 229 10.0% Conference 30-23 -34.1 -4.4 1.3 18 35-206 5.9 57.8% 177 3.1% 22 36-175 4.9 65.5% 242 5.8% Conference 28-19 38.3 2.2 0.5 20 38-160 4.2 63.4% 226 4.7% 18 34-102 3.0 53.9% 246 9.9% Away 27-23 -56.4 -7.0 0.9 15 30-165 5.6 50.8% 178 7.0% 22 40-167 4.2 63.8% 232 8.0% Home 44-15 184.8 8.0 0.8 22 41-191 4.7 71.1% 279 5.0% 14 33-59 1.8 51.8% 227 13.5%

† Rice Keller Chryst 14-24-253-2-0 Bryce Love 13-180-13.8-1 Connor Wedington 6-82-13.7-0 Jackson St Kenny Hill 18-23-206-4-1 Darius Anderson 13-67-5.2-0 TreVontae Hights 1-56-56.0-1 Bye at Arkansas Kenny Hill 21-31-166-0-1 Darius Anderson 15-106-7.1-1 John Diarse 4-36-9.0-0at USC Keller Chryst 15-28-172-2-0 Bryce Love 17-160-9.4-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-67-16.8-1 vs. SMU Kenny Hill 24-30-365-4-0 Darius Anderson 14-89-6.4-2 KaVontae Turpin 7-88-12.6-1at San Diego St Keller Chryst 8-19-56-0-2 Bryce Love 13-184-14.2-2 Trenton Irwin 6-49-8.2-0 at Oklahoma St Kenny Hill 22-33-228-1-1 Darius Anderson 26-160-6.2-3 Jaelan Austin 1-43-43.0-0 UCLA KJ Costello 13-19-123-2-0 Bryce Love 30-263-8.8-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-62-12.4-0 Bye Arizona St KJ Costello 15-24-173-1-0 Bryce Love 25-301-12.0-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-63-15.8-1 vs. West Virginia Kenny Hill 15-28-188-1-0 Kyle Hicks 11-71-6.5-0 John Diarse 4-70-17.5-0at Utah Keller Chryst 7-14-106-0-0 Bryce Love 20-152-7.6-1 Kaden Smith 2-57-28.5-0 at Kansas St Kenny Hill 27-37-297-0-0 Kyle Hicks 16-58-3.6-0 KaVontae Turpin 5-70-14.0-0 Oregon Keller Chryst 15-21-181-3-1 Bryce Love 17-147-8.6-2 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 6-112-18.7-2 Kansas Kenny Hill 19-26-278-5-0 Darius Anderson 12-62-5.2-0 John Diarse 4-130-32.5-1 Bye vs. at Iowa St Kenny Hill 12-25-135-0-2 Darius Anderson 12-95-7.9-0 Jaelan Austin 3-39-13.0-0at Oregon St Keller Chryst 16-33-141-1-1 Cameron Scarlett 17-72-4.2-0 Kaden Smith 2-37-18.5-0 Texas Kenny Hill 18-26-146-0-0 Darius Anderson 18-99-5.5-1 John Diarse 2-37-18.5-0at Washington St KJ Costello 9-20-105-0-1 Bryce Love 16-69-4.3-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 3-52-17.3-0 at Oklahoma Kenny Hill 13-28-270-1-0 Darius Anderson 7-42-6.0-1 Kyle Hicks 3-71-23.7-1 Washington KJ Costello 16-27-211-0-0 Bryce Love 30-166-5.5-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-130-26.0-0 vs. at Texas Tech Shawn Robinson 6-17-85-1-0 Shawn Robinson 10-84-8.4-0 Sewo Olonilua 1-28-28.0-0 California KJ Costello 17-26-185-1-1 Bryce Love 14-101-7.2-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 7-79-11.3-0 Baylor Kenny Hill 26-36-325-3-0 Sewo Olonilua 10-71-7.1-1 Jarrison Stewart 6-72-12.0-1 Notre Dame KJ Costello 14-22-176-4-0 Bryce Love 20-125-6.3-0 Kaden Smith 3-65-21.7-1 † Oklahoma Kenny Hill 27-37-234-2-1 Kenny Hill 13-51-3.9-0 John Diarse 5-66-13.2-1† USC KJ Costello 10-22-192-2-0 Bryce Love 22-125-5.7-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 2-87-43.5-0 vs. Bye† TCU † Stanford

KJ Costello 110-185-1386-11-2 Bryce Love 237-1973-8.3-17 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 43-720-16.7-6 Kenny Hill 242-360-2838-21-6 Darius Anderson 128-768-6.0-8 John Diarse 33-543-16.5-3Keller Chryst 76-142-921-8-4 Cameron Scarlett 86-385-4.5-8 Trenton Irwin 40-444-11.1-2 vs. Shawn Robinson 13-27-184-3-0 Kyle Hicks 133-597-4.5-4 Jalen Reagor 28-407-14.5-7Ryan Burns 5-7-57-1-0 Trevor Speights 34-127-3.7-0 Kaden Smith 23-414-18.0-5 KaVontae Turpin 2-2-68-1-0 Sewo Olonilua 59-272-4.6-7 Desmon White 38-390-10.3-4

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

49 StanfordTeam Schedule Strength

8

293 yards Stanford

Net Offense Defense

Sta

nfo

rd C

ard

inal

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

TCU

Hor

ned

Fro

gs

Net Offense

† TCU

California Sks By Baylor Washington

† Oklahoma† USC Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff Notre Dame


AP

† Stanford

† Rice Byeat USCat San Diego St UCLA

at Utah Arizona St

Sks Allowed Bye Rush Def Oregon

Pass Defat Oklahoma

at Oregon St

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Stanford TCU

Rush OffPass Off

Total OffScore Off

Projected Rushing146 yards Stanford TCU 166 yards

Projected Passing

West Virginiaat Kansas St Kansasat Iowa St

Score Def at Texas Tech

TCU RB's

Stanford DL0.42

TCU OL

0.77

Stanford LB'S

0.61

Jackson Stat Arkansas SMUat Oklahoma St Bye

vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 12

OVERALL: OVERALL:

Cardinal Logs

TCU Horned Frogs9-4 10-3Stanford Cardinal

Score Score


FOETEAM

Horned Frogs Logs

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--7-3 FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS7-3

TM RECFOE TM

CONF

Texasat Washington St Total Def

Defense

Stanford RB's

TCU LB'sStanford OL

0.25

TCU DL

Receiving

Stanford TCURushing

Stanford QB/WR

0.27

TCU DB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line HC’s Shaw & Patterson get the most out of their teams and are 2 of my favorite coaches. The star player is Heisman runner up RB Love who despite playing the 2H of the yr on a bum ankle rushed for 1,973 (8.3). The tms were almost dead even in my OFF rankings with Stanford better running it & the Frogs better thru the air w/QB Hill completing 67%. This is not your typical Stanford D as they are allowing 4.5 ypc. The L5Y they have held P12 foes to 103 ypg below their ssn avg, but just 13 ypg TY despite the presence of AA’s DT Phillips & S Reid. TCU allows just 2.9 ypc & 52% completions despite playing in the wide open B12 and facing OU twice. TCU has held foes to 122 ypg below their avg. I will go with the tougher D of the Frogs, they will also have a decent crowd edge as well and I’ll call for TCU to win by over a td.

147 yards Stanford TCU 225 yards

Tcu By 7.6Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

TCU Leaders

Stanford ST's Team & Margin

0.50

Las Vegas Total

TCU K

TCU QB/WR

Stanford DB's


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Projected Box Score 0.99

Stanford K

Stanford Leaders

Computer YardsStanford

Stanford TCU 32

17 points

TCU

TCU

3

TCU 392 yards

25 points Tcu 392-293Projected Final Score

2.59

Stanford Pts1.44

Experience Rankings TCU Pts

TCU ST's Tcu By 2.5

0.22

Tcu By 4.0+/- Ratings

Stanford Coaches

TCU Coaches

49 Points

TCU by 8 TCU 25 Stanford 17By 1.15 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Computer Points

Tcu 25-17

Phil SteeleStanford

Thursday, December 28, 2017 • 9:00 pmESPN • Alamodome • San Antonio, TX

ALAMO BOWLSTANFORD (9-4)ATS: 6-7 O/U: 7-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS STAN TCU 127 rush yd 166 141 pass yd 212 13 pts 26 +15 ytd to +4 #4 sked #32

CHECKLIST STAN TCU edge edge

– QB 41/2 41/2 RB – – WR – 1/2 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 1/2 – DB 4

– CCH – – SITE 44

– MTCH 4

– INT – 4 ST – 4 SKED –

TCU (10-3)ATS: 6-6-1 O/U: 3-10

OVERALL

TCU BY 3’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 124 24 9/2 31-0 W 15 46 73 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 106 9/2 35-10 W 67 60 118 99 118 651-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 20 9/9 47-44 W 18 50 73 66 62 113 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 28-14 W 58 35 118 108 72 852-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 121 106 21 9/16 52-23 W 26 52 75 74 94 101 2-0 0-0 118 9/16 41 26 1263-0 0-3 1-0 0-0 123 103 18 9/23 45-7 W 28 57 81 102 103 75 #129 #67 2-0 2-1 0-0 1-1 118 133 9/23 18-38 L 41 16 127 7 22 704-0 4-0 1-0 2-0 125 134 16 5 9/29 30-27 W 27 41 67 13 8 33 #2 #77 2-1 3-1 0-0 0-1 117 124 9/30 17-10 W 36 18 111 59 33 185-0 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 128 11 10/7 33-10 W 27 38 61 6 19 50 #32 #91 3-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 131 7 10/7 14-10 W 39 21 111 45 2 136-0 3-3 3-0 0-3 132 116 8 10/13 3-37 L 31 31 52 111 52 96 #41 #106 4-1 3-2 2-0 0-2 124 118 21 10/14 30-27 W 39 18 121 99 42 256-1 4-3 3-1 1-3 127 114 15 10/21 28-0 W 36 27 70 47 71 47 #127 #42 5-1 3-3 3-0 0-3 124 119 18 10/21 17-9 W 40 15 112 92 44 267-1 5-2 4-1 3-1 129 122 15 10/28 37-58 L 36 19 66 9 57 101 #42 #5 6-1 4-3 4-0 2-2 124 124 16 10/28 31-39 L 48 16 124 58 27 977-2 6-2 4-2 5-1 124 127 25 18 11/4 24-21 W 35 24 72 11 23 3 #9 #31 6-2 7-1 4-1 4-1 123 143 24 7 11/4 27-24 W 39 19 110 17 11 98-2 5-4 5-2 2-4 125 119 19 11/11 33-25 W 37 22 72 42 31 12 #15 #9 7-2 7-2 5-1 5-1 128 139 13 11 11/11 3-48 L 38 18 99 1 15 539-2 6-2 126 15 11/18 40 18 80 #47 #23 7-3 4-6 5-2 2-5 124 110 22 11/18 17-7 W 51 19 100 91 76 669-2 9-2 6-2 6-2 126 132 14 15 11/25 14-41 L 41 17 83 21 12 42 #13 #39 8-3 4-7 6-2 3-5 123 108 21 11/25 40-7 W 52 18 92 110 76 409-3 6-3 124 21 12/2 50 22 82 #12 #30 9-3 7-2 127 19 12/2 49 17 879-3 9-3 6-3 7-2 124 127 21 18 12/28 43 21 81 47 17 87 -2 +2 9-3 9-3 7-2 6-3 127 124 18 21 12/28 47 17 87 43 21 81



Montana St 31-0 368 20 0 27 25-150 6.0 40-48 361 2 7 32-115 3.6 5-12 28 3 Bowling Green 35-10 253 16 -2 25 46-215 4.7 22-36 250 0 9 24-67 2.8 10-31 145 1 Boise St 47-44 54 6 1 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 Western Michigan 28-14 262 10 -1 21 49-296 6.0 13-21 161 2 11 36-116 3.2 12-27 79 4 Oregon St 52-23 137 6 2 27 16-60 3.8 42-58 431 3 21 33-155 4.7 24-37 199 3 Bye Nevada 45-7 409 18 1 31 34-55 1.6 38-50 505 4 13 24-46 1.9 14-30 105 5 Notre Dame 18-38 141 5 -3 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1 USC 30-27 135 8 1 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 Iowa 17-10 69 8 2 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3at Oregon 33-10 92 7 1 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4 at Michigan 14-10 -48 -4 5 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4at California 3-37 -28 -2 -7 16 26-23 0.9 32-48 314 9 18 32-106 3.3 21-38 259 2 at Minnesota 30-27 75 5 -1 19 50-245 4.9 9-18 120 0 14 27-74 2.7 16-32 216 3 Colorado 28-0 232 8 -1 21 35-194 5.5 20-43 212 2 13 40-80 2.0 13-34 94 3 Indiana 17-9 22 5 -1 19 44-89 2.0 16-30 185 3 14 35-94 2.7 22-34 158 2at Arizona 37-58 68 19 -1 32 17-51 3.0 58-84 602 1 13 34-310 9.1 10-17 275 0 at Northwestern 31-39 108 0 -1 28 31-95 3.1 39-57 445 1 28 28-64 2.3 34-50 368 1 Stanford 24-21 232 16 0 25 29-93 3.2 34-48 337 3 9 27-93 3.4 9-20 105 2 Penn St 27-24 8 3 2 25 24-74 3.1 33-56 400 2 22 21-65 3.1 27-48 401 3at Utah 33-25 -29 -7 5 20 17-27 1.6 40-69 311 1 27 36-62 1.7 21-40 305 7 at Ohio St 3-48 -329 -10 -1 15 34-64 1.9 18-36 131 6 25 42-335 8.0 15-23 189 0 Bye Maryland 17-7 87 7 0 19 51-271 5.3 2-14 20 0 12 31-83 2.7 13-25 121 4at Washington 14-41 -76 -1 -4 19 14--24 -1.7 37-55 369 5 20 45-328 7.3 11-17 93 1 at Rutgers 40-7 319 22 3 27 58-209 3.6 21-31 222 2 5 12-14 1.2 6-19 98 2 Bye Bye† Michigan St † Washington St

Average 31-24 132.8 8.2 -0.2 24 25-72 2.9 67.6% 375 6.6% 16 35-146 4.2 53.8% 167 10.9% Average 23-20 80.6 5.6 0.2 21 42-163 3.9 58.2% 215 5.0% 16 30-101 3.4 53.7% 197 7.4% Conference 28-27 84.8 6.0 -0.4 23 23-70 3.0 64.5% 355 6.6% 17 36-159 4.5 53.7% 182 9.3% Conference 22-20 34.6 4.0 0.9 20 41-144 3.5 57.2% 203 5.5% 16 29-94 3.3 55.7% 218 7.4% Away 24-34 5.4 3.2 -1.2 21 20-33 1.7 64.1% 376 6.7% 18 38-188 4.9 56.1% 215 10.1% Home 23-16 120.3 7.7 -0.4 22 41-169 4.1 57.1% 225 4.6% 14 30-89 3.0 53.0% 184 8.3%

Montana St Luke Falk 33-39-311-3-0 Jamal Morrow 10-89-8.9-1 James Williams 13-163-12.5-2 Bowling Green Brian Lewerke 22-33-250-3-0 Brian Lewerke 8-69-8.6-0 Darrell Stewart 6-85-14.2-0 Boise St Tyler Hilinski 25-33-240-3-1 James Williams 14-31-2.2-0 Renard Bell 7-107-15.3-0 Western Michigan Brian Lewerke 13-21-161-1-1 LJ Scott 18-86-4.8-1 Felton Davis 4-69-17.3-0 Oregon St Luke Falk 37-49-396-6-0 James Williams 5-46-9.2-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 10-194-19.4-3 vs. Bye Nevada Luke Falk 36-47-478-5-0 Jamal Morrow 11-73-6.6-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 4-114-28.5-2 Notre Dame Brian Lewerke 31-51-340-2-1 LJ Scott 11-61-5.5-0 Hunter Rison 4-73-18.3-0 USC Luke Falk 34-51-340-2-1 Jamal Morrow 6-91-15.2-1 Renard Bell 3-101-33.7-0 Iowa Brian Lewerke 18-28-212-2-0 Brian Lewerke 12-42-3.5-0 Felton Davis 9-114-12.7-2at Oregon Luke Falk 24-42-282-3-0 Gerard Wicks 7-58-8.3-0 Kyle Sweet 7-86-12.3-0 vs. at Michigan Brian Lewerke 11-22-94-1-0 Brian Lewerke 15-61-4.1-1 Darrell Stewart 3-42-14.0-0at California Luke Falk 28-43-286-0-5 Jamal Morrow 8-51-6.4-0 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 6-59-9.8-0 at Minnesota Brian Lewerke 9-18-120-0-1 LJ Scott 25-194-7.8-2 Felton Davis 2-35-17.5-0 Colorado Luke Falk 17-34-197-3-0 Jamal Morrow 11-73-6.6-1 Tay Martin 4-78-19.5-1 Indiana Brian Lewerke 16-29-185-1-0 LJ Scott 22-87-4.0-1 Cody White 6-99-16.5-0at Arizona Tyler Hilinski 45-61-509-2-4 James Williams 6-28-4.7-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 11-136-12.4-0 vs. at Northwestern Brian Lewerke 39-57-445-4-1 Brian Lewerke 9-30-3.3-0 Cody White 9-165-18.3-2 Stanford Luke Falk 34-48-337-3-1 Jamal Morrow 16-66-4.1-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 7-67-9.6-1 Penn St Brian Lewerke 33-56-400-2-1 LJ Scott 14-43-3.1-1 Felton Davis 12-181-15.1-1at Utah Luke Falk 40-69-311-3-2 Jamal Morrow 7-32-4.6-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 10-64-6.4-1 at Ohio St Brian Lewerke 18-36-131-0-2 LJ Scott 8-30-3.8-0 Cody White 5-42-8.4-0 Bye vs. Maryland Brian Lewerke 2-14-20-0-0 LJ Scott 29-147-5.1-1 Matt Sokol 1-12-12.0-0at Washington Luke Falk 37-55-369-1-3 Jamal Morrow 5-11-2.2-1 Jamal Morrow 10-76-7.6-0 at Rutgers Brian Lewerke 21-31-222-1-0 Gerald Holmes 10-59-5.9-1 Felton Davis 6-72-12.0-0 Bye Bye† Michigan St vs. † Washington St

Luke Falk 357-534-3593-30-13 Jamal Morrow 86-522-6.1-4 Tavares Martin Jr. 70-831-11.9-9 Brian Lewerke 233-396-2580-17-7 LJ Scott 182-785-4.3-6 Felton Davis 51-658-12.9-8Tyler Hilinski 91-129-904-5-6 James Williams 89-381-4.3-1 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 60-555-9.3-5 vs. Trishton Jackson 1-1-5-0-0 Brian Lewerke 110-489-4.4-5 Darrell Stewart 48-486-10.1-2

Gerard Wicks 32-156-4.9-1 Renard Bell 36-525-14.6-3 Connor Heyward 0-1-0.1-0-0 Madre London 79-287-3.6-3 Cody White 32-449-14.0-2Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Bye

Score


11

FOE

at Utah Byeat Washington

Net Offense Defense

44 Wash St Michigan St

Projected Rushing

Wash St CougarsCougars Logs

TM REC FOE REC

Montana St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Bowling Green Boise St

Wash St Michigan St Western Michigan

Oregon St Bye Nevada Rush Off Notre Dame

at Oregonat California Colorado

vs. PAC 12FOE

OVERALL: Michigan St Spartans9-3 9-3OVERALL:

Bye† Michigan St Total TO's † Washington St

Ypg Diff

USC Pass Off

vs. BIG 10 Spartans LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP

Projected Passing368 yards Wash St Michigan St 173 yards

0.64

0.99

Wash St Michigan St

Sks Allowed Indianaat Arizona Rush Def at Northwestern Stanford Pass Def Penn St

FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--6-3 7-2

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- TM CONF


AP

Sks By at Rutgers

Total Def at Ohio StScore Def Maryland

IowaTotal Off at MichiganScore Off at Minnesota

FOE

Wash St RB's1.31

Michigan St LB's

1.63

Michigan St DLWash St DL

0.22

Michigan St OL

Wash St OL

Receiving

Wash St Michigan StRushing

Michigan St DB's

Defense

Wash St QB/WR

Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Was

h S

t C

oug

ars

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mic

hig

an S

t S

par

tan

s

Net Offense

Wash St LB'S

Michigan St RB's

Wash St Leaders


Wash St DB's

Michigan St QB/WR

0.45

-21 yardsMichigan St K

Wash St Coaches

Michigan StTeam Schedule Strength

21 points

By 1.73 Points

Wash St Michigan St 319 yards

0.75

Michigan St Leaders


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Projected Box Score Wash St ST's0.65

Las Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Computer Yards

0.75

Team & Margin

Game GradeMichigan St Coaches

Phil SteeleMichigan St by 3

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line This is the 2nd straight yr that Wazzu is in this bowl. LY vs a depleted MN D but managed just 12 pts & 303 ttl yds. TY the Cougars are depleted as they are without their top 2 WR’s who are off the tm & star DL Mata’afa must sit the 1H. HC Leach is 7-5 in bowls, but just 4-8 ATS. MSU has my #23 rated pass eff D to battle Wazzu’s talented QB Falk. Wazzu won their home games by 20 ppg & were +224 ypg in those. They were just 2-3 away from home & outscored by 10 ppg. The Cougars D, led by DC Grinch is underrated, holding foes to 96 ypg below their ssn avg and I rate as the #20 D. The Spartans took on the tougher sked & have my #11 rated D. HC Dantonio is 5-5 in bowls, but won his L/4 non playoff bowl games outright all as a dog. I’ll call for Sparty to pull off the minor outright upset.

Michigan St ST's Wash St By 1.5Wash St K

145 yards 46 Points

347 yards

19 points Wash St

Wash St

Michigan St

15 Michigan St

Michigan St By 3.5

Wash St By 2.0

Wash St 347-319Projected Final Score

2.84

Wash St Pts4.56

Experience Rankings Michigan St Pts

129 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Michigan St 21-19

Michigan St 23 Washington St 20

Thursday, December 28, 2017 • 9:00 pmESPN • SDCCU Stadium • San Diego, CA

HOLIDAY BOWLWASHINGTON ST (9-3)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 5-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WSU MSU -19 rush yd 157 380 pass yd 169 20 pts 23 -2 ytd to +2 #34 sked #17

CHECKLIST WSU MSU edge edge

41/2 QB – – RB – 1/2 WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 1/2 – LB 4

4 DB – – CCH 1/2 – SITE 1/2 – MTCH – – INT – – ST – – SKED 4

MICHIGAN ST (9-3)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 5-7

OVERALL

MICHIGAN ST BY 1 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 118 9/3 44-45 L 31 21 6 17 25 85 0-0 0-0 119 8/31 51-7 W 96 50 300-1 0-0 120 9/9 24-14 W 36 17 6 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 116 9/9 34-10 W 81 59 30 75 30 671-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 100 9/16 45-21 W 35 17 11 78 111 44 2-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 124 105 9/16 46-10 W 86 61 36 111 116 552-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 117 117 9/23 50-43 W 36 15 3 34 39 122 #74 #46 3-0 2-1 1-0 1-0 126 109 9/23 20-19 W 69 46 21 68 79 603-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 120 117 9/30 24-17 W 30 17 4 53 26 113 #65 #35 4-0 0-2 1-0 0-1 124 131 9/30 19-26 L 65 45 25 58 9 434-1 5-0 2-0 2-0 120 149 1 10/7 12-27 L 22 17 4 1 1 11 #76 #29 4-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 124 142 2 10/7 14-28 L 64 46 34 11 3 1074-2 3-2 2-1 3-1 123 124 10/14 19-17 W 30 19 5 41 30 19 #43 #32 4-2 1-2 125 10/14 69 45 645-2 3-1 125 10/21 33 21 3 #80 #26 4-2 3-2 1-2 2-1 125 129 10/21 24-38 L 71 43 69 34 36 1195-2 5-2 3-1 2-2 125 125 10/28 14-35 L 34 23 2 21 30 21 #64 #93 4-3 5-3 1-3 2-3 124 123 10/28 42-32 W 71 54 63 6 45 705-3 6-2 3-2 4-1 120 133 16 11/4 27-42 L 40 23 3 12 8 50 #68 #104 5-3 7-1 2-3 5-1 125 141 5 11/4 37-48 L 63 49 69 5 15 1165-4 3-6 3-3 1-5 119 101 11/11 55-14 W 44 27 4 94 98 42 #60 #107 5-4 4-5 2-3 2-3 126 121 11/11 64-43 W 46 65 84 57 73 156-4 5-5 3-3 2-4 121 116 11/18 31-24 W 39 24 4 15 77 33 #82 #62 6-4 7-3 3-3 5-1 129 129 25 11/18 30-24 W 33 66 73 30 32 907-4 8-3 4-3 5-2 122 130 19 11/25 21-45 L 36 24 3 31 6 81 #6 #55 7-4 5-6 4-3 2-5 129 121 11/25 23-31 L 35 63 73 74 38 1087-5 4-4 120 12/2 41 29 4 #74 #72 7-5 4-4 125 12/2 37 62 557-5 7-5 4-4 4-4 120 125 12/29 41 30 4 35 60 54 +4 +7 7-5 7-5 4-4 4-4 125 120 12/29 35 60 54 41 30 4



at UCLA 44-45 -83 -6 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 Presbytrian 51-7 239 16 0 28 45-248 5.5 20-27 239 1 12 45-207 4.6 2-9 41 3 Nicholls 24-14 55 14 2 27 47-195 4.1 24-36 198 4 13 31-74 2.4 13-25 264 2 at Boston College 34-10 4 -4 4 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 3 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 1 Louisiana 45-21 171 10 3 27 40-179 4.5 21-34 301 1 17 29-93 3.2 28-44 216 2 Utah St 46-10 321 15 1 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2† Arkansas 50-43 44 -1 0 20 42-285 6.8 14-27 216 1 21 45-226 5.0 13-27 231 6 at Appalachian St 20-19 -150 -9 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 South Carolina 24-17 117 6 0 20 49-237 4.8 19-27 159 1 14 26-23 0.9 17-30 256 7 Florida St 19-26 97 2 -1 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 Alabama 19-27 -47 0 -2 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 at Clemson 14-28 -117 -9 2 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 25 48-190 4.0 29-41 263 1at Florida 19-17 -108 -7 1 10 38-83 2.2 8-24 180 2 17 42-242 5.8 17-26 129 5 Bye Bye at Georgia Tech 24-38 -133 -9 -1 20 31-110 3.5 17-30 252 1 29 66-427 6.5 5-11 68 3 Miss St 14-35 -84 -4 -2 15 28-96 3.4 16-41 189 3 19 52-228 4.4 12-21 141 2 Louisville 42-32 102 -4 0 26 39-164 4.2 28-34 461 1 30 42-191 4.5 28-46 332 7 Auburn 27-42 -153 -10 0 13 34-143 4.2 16-33 200 1 23 52-228 4.4 20-27 268 2 at Notre Dame 37-48 -123 4 -1 34 40-239 6.0 30-48 348 1 30 46-380 8.3 23-38 330 1 New Mexico 55-14 418 14 1 25 23-63 2.7 30-43 499 1 11 42-120 2.9 7-17 24 1 at Syracuse 64-43 113 0 1 33 51-371 7.3 25-38 363 1 33 32-178 5.6 38-67 443 2at Mississippi 31-24 0 -1 1 18 44-119 2.7 19-32 272 1 19 39-202 5.2 19-34 189 3 NC State 30-24 -168 -10 2 18 28-87 3.1 19-28 247 0 28 42-175 4.2 34-52 327 1at LSU 21-45 -319 -13 -3 14 27-55 2.0 16-30 227 2 27 56-250 4.5 20-31 351 4 Duke 23-31 -107 -8 0 14 35-145 4.1 16-34 191 2 22 45-97 2.2 25-44 346 0 Bye Bye† Wake Forest † Texas A&M

Average 31-29 0.9 0.2 0.3 19 40-159 4.0 54.7% 231 7.0% 19 40-165 4.1 59.0% 224 11.0% Average 34-26 6.5 -1.3 0.6 22 41-184 4.5 62.6% 267 4.5% 23 43-192 4.5 55.3% 253 5.7% Conference 26-31 -68.8 -3.8 -0.6 16 38-136 3.6 52.3% 210 6.2% 20 45-204 4.6 60.1% 211 14.7% Conference 31-29 -26.1 -5.3 0.9 20 38-158 4.1 62.9% 267 5.2% 25 45-194 4.3 58.2% 258 6.2% Away 33-35 -93.2 -5.6 0.4 17 43-185 4.3 46.2% 197 8.4% 23 41-197 4.7 58.8% 278 11.9% Home 35-22 80.7 1.8 0.3 22 40-172 4.3 66.5% 284 3.8% 20 41-144 3.5 55.0% 232 8.6%

at UCLA Nick Starkel 6-13-62-0-0 Trayveon Williams 22-203-9.2-2 Christian Kirk 5-60-12.0-0 Presbytrian Kendall Hinton 7-8-124-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 7-75-10.7-0 Greg Dortch 4-55-13.8-2 Nicholls Kellen Mond 12-21-105-1-0 Kendall Bussey 15-97-6.5-1 Christian Kirk 6-47-7.8-1 at Boston College John Wolford 13-19-151-1-0 John Wolford 20-92-4.6-1 Greg Dortch 6-56-9.3-1 Louisiana Kellen Mond 21-34-301-3-1 Jacob Kibodi 4-101-25.3-1 Damion Ratley 2-86-43.0-0 vs. Utah St John Wolford 12-22-242-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 19-120-6.3-1 Tabari Hines 5-129-25.8-0† Arkansas Kellen Mond 14-27-216-2-1 Kellen Mond 10-109-10.9-0 Christian Kirk 5-110-22.0-2 at Appalachian St John Wolford 14-27-176-2-0 John Wolford 13-77-5.9-0 Scotty Washington 4-79-19.8-0 South Carolina Kellen Mond 19-27-159-0-0 Kellen Mond 16-95-5.9-0 Jhamon Ausbon 3-43-14.3-0 Florida St John Wolford 24-34-271-0-1 John Wolford 19-63-3.3-1 Greg Dortch 10-110-11.0-0 Alabama Kellen Mond 19-29-237-1-1 Trayveon Williams 15-38-2.5-0 Trayveon Williams 4-60-15.0-0 vs. at Clemson Kendall Hinton 14-30-203-2-0 Kendall Hinton 24-92-3.8-0 Greg Dortch 5-78-15.6-0at Florida Kellen Mond 8-24-180-0-1 Kellen Mond 15-52-3.5-1 Damion Ratley 2-72-36.0-0 Bye Bye at Georgia Tech John Wolford 17-30-252-2-1 Cade Carney 19-92-4.8-0 Greg Dortch 8-125-15.6-0 Miss St Nick Starkel 8-15-133-1-1 Trayveon Williams 10-32-3.2-0 Camron Buckley 2-88-44.0-1 vs. Louisville John Wolford 28-34-461-5-0 Matt Colburn II 24-134-5.6-0 Greg Dortch 10-167-16.7-4 Auburn Nick Starkel 11-22-184-2-0 Trayveon Williams 15-103-6.9-0 Damion Ratley 4-82-20.5-2 at Notre Dame John Wolford 28-45-331-2-1 Matt Colburn II 20-120-6.0-1 Alex Bachman 8-116-14.5-1 New Mexico Nick Starkel 21-30-416-4-0 Trayveon Williams 7-28-4.0-1 Roshauud Paul 7-129-18.4-0 at Syracuse John Wolford 25-38-363-3-0 Matt Colburn II 31-237-7.6-2 Tabari Hines 9-124-13.8-0at Mississippi Nick Starkel 19-32-272-1-1 Trayveon Williams 26-75-2.9-0 Damion Ratley 5-111-22.2-1 vs. NC State John Wolford 19-28-247-3-1 Matt Colburn II 12-38-3.2-1 Tabari Hines 8-139-17.4-3at LSU Nick Starkel 16-30-227-2-3 Trayveon Williams 17-55-3.2-1 Christian Kirk 7-78-11.1-1 Duke John Wolford 16-33-191-2-2 John Wolford 12-48-4.0-0 Alex Bachman 3-90-30.0-1 Bye Bye† Wake Forest vs. † Texas A&M

Kellen Mond 117-227-1375-8-6 Trayveon Williams 166-733-4.4-7 Christian Kirk 58-730-12.6-7 John Wolford 207-325-2792-25-6 Matt Colburn II 145-754-5.2-6 Greg Dortch 53-722-13.6-9Nick Starkel 81-142-1294-10-5 Keith Ford 122-493-4.0-11 Damion Ratley 26-603-23.2-6 vs. Kendall Hinton 27-47-399-4-0 John Wolford 125-615-4.9-10 Tabari Hines 45-625-13.9-5Jake Hubenak 13-17-98-0-0 Kellen Mond 89-340-3.8-3 Jhamon Ausbon 38-459-12.1-2 Jamie Newman 2-4-8-0-1 Arkeem Byrd 74-378-5.1-1 Scotty Washington 36-573-15.9-2

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE REC

AP

Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M LB'S

Texas A&M DB's

Score

Wake Forest 476-427Wake Forest Pts

6.22

Texas A&M Pts

Bye† Wake Forest Total TO's † Texas A&M

Ypg Diff Bye

Net Offense Defense

Texa

s A

&M

Ag

gie

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Texas A&M Leaders

32

1.32Wake Forest QB/WR

2.32Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ret

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Projected Box Score

Wake Forest

South Carolina

Miss St

Alabamaat Florida

476 yards

Projected Rushing

vs. SEC vs. ACC Demon Deacons Logs--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--4-4 4-4

TM REC FOE REC

Defense

Wake Forest 37-30

64.5 Points


Wake Forest By 6.5

Wake Forest By 8.6

Louisville

Total Off at ClemsonScore Off

Pass Def

Aggies LogsFOE

TM REC

Score


at LSU

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Presbytrian Nicholls

Texas A&M Wake Forestat Boston College

Louisiana Utah St

Bye

† Arkansas Rush Off

AP

Wake Forest DL

0.50

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineWF had an ugly start on OFF under HC Clawson took over as the horrible OL avg just 216 ypg in ’14 & in ’15 he went to 4 frosh starters on the OL & had just 330 & 311 ypg the L2Y. The unit has now become a strength, going from 3.6 ypc & 39 sacks in ‘16 to 4.5 ypc & 17 sacks. Not coincidentally, Wolford has become a better QB, having a negative ratio each of his F3Y & 25-6 TY. WF avg 451 ypg & 34 ppg. The Deacons D is allowing 444 ypg & 38 yards above what their foes come in avg & the L/4 weeks they allowed 569 ypg. A&M was just 1-5 vs bowl teams, while WF was 4-5 vs a tougher sked. A&M fired Sumlin. QB Starkel returned from inj & in his 5 starts, the Aggies avg 36 ppg. The D allowed the L/5 P5 foes 37 ppg. I’ll call for WF to win by a td.

Wake Forest ST's Wake Forest By 3Texas A&M K

Las Vegas Total

Wake Forest Leaders

Texas A&M ST's Team & Margin

Wake Forest Coaches

TEAM

New Mexico Total Def at SyracuseScore Def NC State

Experience Rankings121 Texas A&M

Sks By Dukeat Mississippi

Wak

e Fo

rest

Dem

on D

eaco

ns

Texas A&M DL

Wake Forest OL

Rush Def

Texas A&MProjected Yardage Total

427 yards Texas A&M Wake Forest

Wake Forest RB's

0.37

Texas A&M RB's

Wake Forest LB's

1.32

0.56

Texas A&M OL

Wake Forest

129 yards Texas A&M Wake Forest

294 yards

Projected Final Score30 points Texas A&M Wake Forest 37 points


298 yards

at Appalachian StPass Off Florida St

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Wake Forest Demon Deacons7-5 7-5

at UCLA

Sks Allowed at Georgia Tech

at Notre Dame Auburn

Receiving

Texas A&M Wake ForestRushing

1.13

Texas A&M QB/WR

Wake Forest DB's

Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Net Offense

Bye

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONF

55 Texas A&M 10Phil Steele


3.07Computer Yards

0.01

Wake Forest K

Wake Forest

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

Texas A&M Coaches

1.75

Wake Forest by 7 Wake Forest 37 Texas A&M 30By 3.15 Points

Texas A&M

Friday, December 29, 2017 • 1:00 pmESPN • Bank of America • Charlotte, NC

BELK BOWLWAKE FOREST (7-5)ATS: 8-3-1 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WF A&M 202 rush yd 113 286 pass yd 330 38 pts 31 +7 ytd to +4 #19 sked #45

CHECKLIST WF A&M edge edge

4 QB – – RB 4

– WR 1/2 1/2 OL – – DL 4

– LB 4

– DB – 44 CCH – 41/2 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – 41/2 ST 44

– SKED –

TEXAS A&M (7-5)ATS: 7-4-1 O/U: 6-6

OVERALL

WAKE FOREST BY 1 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 113 9/2 28-35 L 26 20 36 22 32 126 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 102 8/31 37-31 W 33 48 90 60 94 1100-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 104 9/9 37-20 W 29 19 36 93 43 55 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/9 20-30 L 47 48 90 79 49 101-1 0-0 122 9/16 49-16 W 34 20 103 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 9/16 45-52 L 61 57 121 31 66 1292-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 121 136 12 9/23 27-21 W 30 30 76 59 5 110 #51 #50 1-2 3-0 0-0 0-0 113 130 24 9/23 37-35 W 60 61 106 3 32 593-1 2-2 1-0 0-0 126 114 9/30 33-25 W 32 27 103 63 68 27 #29 #49 2-2 2-2 1-0 1-1 117 128 9/30 24-34 L 55 64 106 8 30 94-1 4-1 2-0 1-1 125 124 24 17 10/5 39-25 W 29 26 69 9 27 33 #30 #40 2-3 1-1 118 10/7 55 66 865-1 2-4 3-0 0-2 127 117 20 10/14 35-17 W 28 26 110 78 73 13 #45 #40 2-3 6-0 1-1 3-0 118 141 5 10/14 13-7 W 51 69 117 19 11 456-1 4-0 129 16 10/21 26 24 94 #7 #122 3-3 4-2 2-1 1-2 123 125 10/21 30-10 W 58 56 107 43 29 126-1 6-1 4-0 4-1 129 140 14 9 10/28 14-35 L 26 25 98 5 17 91 #29 #82 4-3 6-2 3-1 4-1 128 126 21 10/28 17-48 L 57 44 83 17 14 436-2 7-1 4-0 5-1 128 137 20 6 11/4 31-38 L 32 30 87 14 2 112 #97 #118 4-4 5-4 3-2 2-4 123 117 11/4 41-30 W 62 53 77 51 64 266-3 5-4 4-1 3-3 128 126 11/11 17-14 W 29 33 101 68 26 85 #52 #109 5-4 4-5 4-2 2-4 123 116 11/11 37-44 L 48 47 82 22 63 787-3 6-4 5-1 3-3 129 129 25 11/18 24-30 L 30 32 90 33 66 73 #49 #88 5-5 1-9 4-3 0-7 120 108 11/18 40-24 W 38 47 71 88 99 887-4 3-8 5-2 1-6 129 118 11/25 33-21 W 32 30 90 64 53 23 #48 #17 6-5 7-4 5-3 5-3 121 121 11/25 42-30 W 34 41 60 6 77 828-4 6-2 129 12/2 29 28 101 #34 #84 7-5 6-3 122 12/2 32 42 368-4 7-5 6-2 6-3 129 122 12/29 26 28 102 27 45 33 +5 +5 7-5 8-4 6-3 6-2 122 129 12/29 27 45 33 26 28 102



† South Carolina 28-35 258 17 -1 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 3 New Mexico St 37-31 -149 -8 2 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 Marshall 37-20 34 5 2 23 33-144 4.4 29-36 341 2 18 25-101 4.0 26-43 350 1 San Diego St 20-30 -10 1 -1 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4 Furman 49-16 161 9 3 25 39-242 6.2 24-30 248 1 16 47-133 2.8 11-19 196 2 at Texas Tech 45-52 -121 -6 0 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3at Florida St 27-21 -17 6 1 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4 Oregon 37-35 88 3 0 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 Syracuse 33-25 18 9 1 29 47-256 5.4 21-34 206 0 20 30-59 2.0 30-48 385 3 at Stanford 24-34 -95 5 -1 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 17 33-331 10.0 15-24 173 0 Louisville 39-25 50 -2 0 23 39-153 3.9 20-32 367 0 25 29-116 4.0 26-48 354 4 Byeat Pittsburgh 35-17 120 -2 2 18 38-248 6.5 14-25 198 0 20 32-95 3.0 24-45 231 1 Washington 13-7 55 3 0 17 32-40 1.3 29-41 245 2 14 31-91 2.9 17-30 139 5 Bye at Utah 30-10 80 3 3 21 46-205 4.5 19-29 140 1 18 25-110 4.4 19-35 155 2at Notre Dame 14-35 -159 -11 -1 14 24-50 2.1 17-37 213 1 25 54-318 5.9 10-19 104 2 USC 17-48 -250 -14 0 15 30-79 2.6 18-31 278 6 29 46-341 7.4 19-35 266 3 Clemson 31-38 76 8 -1 27 34-153 4.5 31-50 338 1 19 35-224 6.4 20-38 191 0 Colorado 41-30 129 4 1 27 54-381 7.1 18-34 202 0 23 39-109 2.8 23-41 345 5at Boston College 17-14 20 -3 0 17 40-217 5.4 14-33 150 1 20 54-236 4.4 10-22 111 5 at UCLA 37-44 11 4 0 29 61-294 4.8 21-37 290 2 25 33-192 5.8 25-45 381 0at Wake Forest 24-30 168 10 -2 28 42-175 4.2 34-52 327 1 18 28-87 3.1 19-28 247 0 at Oregon St 40-24 78 1 2 24 49-286 5.8 12-19 167 1 23 33-106 3.2 26-37 269 2 North Carolina 33-21 136 3 1 25 45-292 6.5 20-30 204 0 22 24-83 3.5 21-45 277 2 Arizona 42-30 -49 -6 -1 18 49-227 4.6 11-17 163 4 24 51-245 4.8 15-21 194 3 Bye Bye† Arizona St † NC State

Average 31-25 72.1 4.1 0.4 23 38-177 4.7 64.0% 272 2.6% 19 34-132 3.9 55.8% 245 6.4% Average 32-31 -19.4 -0.8 0.4 21 45-180 4.0 63.6% 248 10.1% 22 35-179 5.1 61.5% 268 8.2% Conference 30-24 71.4 3.6 0.3 24 40-201 5.0 61.2% 256 1.4% 20 32-126 3.9 55.0% 259 6.1% Conference 31-29 5.2 0.3 0.4 22 47-208 4.4 61.8% 225 8.5% 21 36-183 5.1 58.7% 245 7.3% Away 24-25 65.0 2.8 -0.2 21 36-148 4.1 60.2% 260 3.3% 18 36-145 4.1 56.0% 198 8.2% Home 30-30 -26.6 -2.4 0.1 19 41-142 3.4 64.0% 265 12.4% 22 39-191 4.9 59.7% 242 11.8%

† South Carolina Ryan Finley 45-64-415-2-0 Nyheim Hines 15-81-5.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 10-114-11.4-0 New Mexico St Manny Wilkins 22-27-300-2-0 Kalen Ballage 18-79-4.4-2 John Humphrey 7-123-17.6-1 Marshall Ryan Finley 29-36-341-3-0 Reggie Gallaspy 12-61-5.1-2 Kelvin Harmon 9-121-13.4-1 San Diego St Manny Wilkins 20-33-298-2-0 Kalen Ballage 15-44-2.9-1 Frank Darby 3-111-37.0-1 Furman Ryan Finley 22-27-231-1-0 Nyheim Hines 11-92-8.4-1 Jaylen Samuels 6-75-12.5-0 vs. at Texas Tech Manny Wilkins 27-41-326-3-0 Kalen Ballage 16-56-3.5-1 N'Keal Harry 13-148-11.4-1at Florida St Ryan Finley 22-32-230-2-0 Nyheim Hines 24-94-3.9-0 Jakobi Meyers 5-112-22.4-1 Oregon Manny Wilkins 24-39-347-1-0 Demario Richard 21-64-3.0-1 N'Keal Harry 7-170-24.3-1 Syracuse Ryan Finley 20-33-186-1-0 Nyheim Hines 19-115-6.1-1 Stephen Louis 4-67-16.8-1 at Stanford Manny Wilkins 15-24-181-0-2 Demario Richard 22-80-3.6-2 Demario Richard 3-57-19.0-0 Louisville Ryan Finley 20-31-367-1-0 Nyheim Hines 18-102-5.7-2 Kelvin Harmon 6-133-22.2-1 vs. Byeat Pittsburgh Ryan Finley 14-25-198-1-0 Nyheim Hines 16-135-8.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 3-113-37.7-0 Washington Manny Wilkins 29-41-245-0-0 Demario Richard 8-23-2.9-0 N'Keal Harry 9-79-8.8-0 Bye at Utah Manny Wilkins 19-29-140-0-1 Demario Richard 18-93-5.2-1 N'Keal Harry 8-72-9.0-0at Notre Dame Ryan Finley 17-37-213-1-1 Reggie Gallaspy 11-47-4.3-0 Kelvin Harmon 7-97-13.9-1 vs. USC Manny Wilkins 17-29-259-1-0 Demario Richard 15-70-4.7-0 Kyle Williams 7-121-17.3-1 Clemson Ryan Finley 31-50-338-3-2 Reggie Gallaspy 6-46-7.7-0 Kelvin Harmon 8-155-19.4-1 Colorado Manny Wilkins 18-34-202-2-0 Demario Richard 25-189-7.6-1 N'Keal Harry 6-81-13.5-1at Boston College Ryan Finley 13-32-146-0-1 Nyheim Hines 19-110-5.8-1 Kelvin Harmon 5-68-13.6-0 at UCLA Manny Wilkins 21-37-290-1-1 Demario Richard 21-125-6.0-1 N'Keal Harry 6-95-15.8-1at Wake Forest Ryan Finley 34-52-327-1-1 Jaylen Samuels 7-50-7.1-1 Kelvin Harmon 8-105-13.1-0 vs. at Oregon St Manny Wilkins 12-19-167-2-0 Demario Richard 17-119-7.0-3 N'Keal Harry 3-68-22.7-0 North Carolina Ryan Finley 20-30-204-0-1 Nyheim Hines 22-196-8.9-2 Jakobi Meyers 7-101-14.4-0 Arizona Manny Wilkins 11-17-163-3-1 Demario Richard 22-165-7.5-2 Frank Darby 1-48-48.0-0 Bye Bye† Arizona St vs. † NC State

Ryan Finley 287-449-3196-16-6 Nyheim Hines 181-1040-5.7-9 Kelvin Harmon 65-993-15.3-4 Manny Wilkins 235-370-2918-17-5 Demario Richard 185-977-5.3-12 N'Keal Harry 73-1000-13.7-7Jaylen Samuels 1-2-25-0-0 Reggie Gallaspy 105-436-4.2-5 Jakobi Meyers 56-651-11.6-4 vs. Blake Barnett 3-5-40-0-1 Kalen Ballage 153-657-4.3-6 Kyle Williams 59-678-11.5-6Gavin Locklear 1-1-20-0-0 Jaylen Samuels 72-387-5.4-11 Jaylen Samuels 68-547-8.0-4 N'Keal Harry 1-1-14-1-0 Manny Wilkins 130-269-2.1-6 Jalen Harvey 33-558-16.9-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Arizona St 261 yards

Projected Final ScoreComputer Yards

Arizona St 26 points 2.99

Best Bet: ★ Arizona St 28 (+) NC State 27

7

Score Off Washington Bye Sks Allowed at Utah at Notre Dame Rush Def USC Clemson Pass Def Colorado

Ret

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Projected Box Score

281 yards NC State Coaches

Projected Rushing NC State K

188 yards NC State Arizona St 121 yards

NC State Pts

Passing

TM +/- FOE +/-6-2

NC State

Arizona St 382 yards Arizona St Coaches

NC State ST's

Arizona St K

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF


NC State Leaders


Projected Passing


at Wake Forest

470 yards NC State

North Carolina

† Arizona St Bye

FOE

Sun Devils LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--

vs. PAC 12

OVERALL:NC State WolfpackWolfpack Logs vs. ACC

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score

San Diego St Furman

Net

Score Def at Oregon StSks By Arizona

at Florida St Syracuse

Byeat Pittsburgh

at Boston College Total Def at UCLA

FOE FOE

AP TEAMFOE TM CONF

FOE CONF

6-3TM REC

† NC StateYpg Diff

Offense Defense

NC

Sta

te W

olfp

ack

at Stanford Louisville Total Off

† South Carolina Marshall

NC State Arizona St

Arizona St LB's

0.45

NC State OL

Arizona St DL

NC State QB/WR

Arizona St DB's

NC State DL

at Texas TechRush Off OregonPass Off

Arizona St Sun Devils8-4 7-5OVERALL:

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ari

zon

a S

t S

un

Dev

ils

Net Offense

Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS New Mexico St

Arizona St OL1.14

0.30

NC State RB's

Total TO's

Receiving

NC State Arizona StRushing

1.10

0.35Las Vegas Line

NC State By 6.5

Phil's Forecast:

The P12 his historically good in this bowl, winning 5 of the L/6 & usually has the crowd edge. NCSt has one of the nation’s best DL, led by Nagurski winner B. Chubb. The OFF’s are close, but the Wolfpack has my #23 D & the Sun Devils check in at #55. ASt has a large edge on ST’s. ASt faced 11 bowl teams & went 5-2-1 ATS as a ‘dog, including 4 outright upsets. I was very high on the Wolfpack TY & they didn’t disappoint, outgaining both Clemson & SC in losses & getting stopped at the WF GL down 7 at the end. The Wolfpack were just 1-7 ATS as a favorite. The talent gap isn’t big and ASt will be playing 1 final game for HC Graham, who in his 6th yr brought in all these recruits & I’ll call for the outright upset, making this a ‘Best Bet’ selection.

Arizona St ST's

59.5 Points1.63Las Vegas Total

+/- Ratings

Arizona St LeadersNC State DB's

1.30Arizona St QB/WR

Team & Margin

NC State By 6.0

NC State By 7.4

NC State 470-382

Game Grade

NC State LB'S0.31

Arizona St RB's

Arizona St 28By 0.60 Points

Arizona St by 1

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Arizona St Phil Steele

16 NC State

Computer PointsNC State 32-27

Arizona St Pts

Arizona St 54

3.59

Experience RankingsNC State

32 points NC State

Friday, December 29, 2017 • 2:00 pmCBS • Sun Bowl Stadium • El Paso, TX

SUN BOWLNC STATE (8-4)ATS: 4-8 O/U: 4-8

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS NCST ASU 200 rush yd 131 272 pass yd 223 32 pts 24 +5 ytd to +5 #23 sked #25

CHECKLIST NCST ASU edge edge

– QB – – RB 4

– WR 1/2 4 OL – 41/2 DL – – LB – 1/2 DB – – CCH – – SITE 4

4 MTCH – – INT 444

– ST 44

– SKED –

ARIZONA ST (7-5)ATS: 7-4-1 O/U: 5-7

OVERALL

ARIZONA ST BY 3’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 9/2 31-20 W 24 26 115 90 108 109 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/2 24-17 W 51 35 31 82 93 661-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 17-41 L 26 28 115 51 51 110 1-0 0-0 119 9/9 27-16 W 64 27 311-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 119 100 9/16 49-7 W 39 31 74 105 121 43 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 116 123 7 9/16 23-13 W 67 32 25 37 23 652-1 0-0 123 9/23 35 35 82 #71 #58 3-0 1-1 1-0 1-0 121 126 20 9/23 27-28 L 70 33 30 66 26 62-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 123 138 10 9/30 24-33 L 35 34 77 17 13 55 #51 #100 3-1 2-1 1-1 0-1 121 107 9/30 24-20 W 68 36 31 106 80 752-2 5-0 0-1 2-0 125 139 4 10/7 7-31 L 47 34 85 15 9 12 #59 #103 4-1 1-3 1-1 0-2 119 104 10/7 40-34 W 78 35 37 26 85 492-3 3-2 0-2 1-1 123 112 10/14 37-21 W 52 29 74 57 58 66 #53 #86 5-1 2-1 117 10/14 77 37 113-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 124 122 10/21 17-10 W 46 31 60 79 37 20 #88 #88 5-1 4-2 2-1 1-2 117 121 10/21 7-45 L 78 39 11 24 33 294-3 6-1 2-2 4-0 124 124 16 10/28 39-31 W 58 27 97 48 16 124 #9 #59 5-2 3-4 2-2 0-4 113 116 10/28 29-26 W 86 47 19 82 46 85-3 4-4 3-2 3-2 125 115 11/4 31-24 W 49 31 46 54 61 27 #100 #113 6-2 3-5 3-2 1-4 113 112 11/4 34-37 L 80 51 19 18 78 516-3 4-5 4-2 2-4 125 117 11/11 23-13 W 49 29 59 70 54 71 #38 #90 6-3 4-5 3-3 0-5 111 113 11/11 44-21 W 71 57 25 90 50 1197-3 5-5 5-2 2-5 125 118 11/18 39-0 W 45 30 48 111 58 44 #19 #81 7-3 9-1 4-3 6-1 116 134 7 11/18 13-42 L 64 50 18 9 14 138-3 2-9 6-2 0-8 129 104 23 11/25 42-7 W 44 25 39 123 81 67 #31 #39 7-4 7-4 4-4 4-4 115 127 11/25 17-44 L 73 58 14 4 42 879-3 7-2 131 20 12/2 38 23 49 #44 #107 7-5 4-4 112 12/2 69 67 199-3 7-5 7-2 4-4 131 112 20 12/29 34 18 49 68 70 20 +5 +5 7-5 9-3 4-4 7-2 112 131 12/29 68 70 20 34 18 49



Nevada 31-20 167 8 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0 at Southern Miss 24-17 -110 -7 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2at Duke 17-41 -347 -19 -1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 Eastern Kentucky 27-16 118 5 2 22 39-207 5.3 16-24 229 3 17 20-62 3.1 31-43 256 1 Bowling Green 49-7 326 9 -1 30 43-303 7.0 24-31 375 2 21 30-96 3.2 27-44 256 3 at South Carolina 23-13 -5 6 0 20 47-184 3.9 16-26 169 1 14 20-54 2.7 24-37 304 2 Bye Florida 27-28 -55 1 1 21 32-120 3.8 18-27 220 4 20 36-186 5.2 17-27 209 1at Wisconsin 24-33 -62 7 1 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 Eastern Michigan 24-20 -84 -4 2 16 37-53 1.4 18-27 175 5 20 27-13 0.5 27-47 299 5 Penn St 7-31 -116 -8 -3 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 Missouri 40-34 -82 -2 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1at Maryland 37-21 191 11 -2 30 44-238 5.4 27-49 293 1 19 31-85 2.7 17-38 255 2 Bye Iowa 17-10 27 7 1 21 46-147 3.2 21-36 192 3 14 33-89 2.7 19-33 223 2 at Miss St 7-45 -181 -11 -2 14 29-115 4.0 14-30 145 3 25 48-282 5.9 19-27 159 0 Michigan St 39-31 -108 0 1 28 28-64 2.3 34-50 368 1 28 31-95 3.1 39-57 445 1 Tennessee 29-26 -74 -10 -4 17 36-289 8.0 7-16 82 0 27 55-203 3.7 18-23 242 7at Nebraska 31-24 138 5 1 26 45-232 5.2 19-35 243 0 21 31-112 3.6 21-38 225 1 Mississippi 34-37 -18 -2 0 23 45-219 4.9 20-25 236 4 25 26-91 3.5 31-41 382 3 Purdue 23-13 -48 0 1 22 38-94 2.5 26-46 296 1 22 22-40 1.8 38-61 398 3 at Vanderbilt 44-21 59 0 3 21 47-232 4.9 13-17 195 1 21 20-60 3.0 30-43 308 5 Minnesota 39-0 181 15 5 22 55-277 5.0 9-13 86 2 7 38-139 3.7 2-11 43 6 at Georgia 13-42 -242 -8 0 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1at Illinois 42-7 207 10 2 21 47-306 6.5 13-21 140 2 11 33-100 3.0 14-31 139 4 Louisville 17-44 -224 -12 0 20 43-228 5.3 8-19 110 3 32 43-346 8.0 15-21 216 0 Bye Bye† Kentucky † Northwestern

Average 30-20 46.3 3.8 0.4 23 40-161 4.0 60.7% 244 6.6% 19 34-111 3.3 57.5% 248 6.6% Average 26-29 -74.8 -3.7 0.4 19 39-170 4.4 60.1% 181 10.0% 22 34-162 4.7 65.3% 264 6.9% Conference 29-19 45.6 5.2 0.8 23 41-161 4.0 59.5% 226 6.5% 18 33-96 2.9 57.6% 246 7.9% Conference 27-31 -74.8 -3.3 -0.1 19 39-184 4.7 60.7% 185 8.5% 23 35-184 5.2 66.7% 260 7.8% Away 30-25 25.4 2.8 0.2 22 38-165 4.3 55.7% 213 8.2% 20 38-128 3.3 53.5% 224 5.8% Home 28-29 -59.9 -3.4 0.3 20 39-186 4.8 62.3% 193 11.4% 24 34-159 4.6 65.7% 280 7.3%

Nevada Clayton Thorson 28-38-352-2-1 Justin Jackson 30-109-3.6-0 Bennett Skowronek 8-123-15.4-0 at Southern Miss Stephen Johnson 11-20-176-1-0 Benny Snell 20-67-3.4-0 C.J Conrad 3-97-32.3-1at Duke Clayton Thorson 11-29-120-0-2 Justin Jackson 7-18-2.6-1 Riley Lees 2-31-15.5-1 Eastern Kentucky Stephen Johnson 15-22-224-1-0 Benny Snell 19-103-5.4-1 Blake Bone 3-93-31.0-0 Bowling Green Clayton Thorson 23-30-370-2-0 Justin Jackson 18-121-6.7-3 Garrett Dickerson 9-150-16.7-0 vs. at South Carolina Stephen Johnson 16-25-169-0-1 Benny Snell 32-102-3.2-2 Garrett Johnson 4-41-10.3-0 Bye Florida Stephen Johnson 17-25-196-3-0 Sihiem King 5-64-12.8-0 Garrett Johnson 4-56-14.0-1at Wisconsin Clayton Thorson 29-45-219-3-2 Jeremy Larkin 7-37-5.3-0 Flynn Nagel 5-52-10.4-0 Eastern Michigan Stephen Johnson 18-27-175-2-0 Benny Snell 21-75-3.6-1 Garrett Johnson 8-61-7.6-0 Penn St Clayton Thorson 19-36-142-0-2 Justin Jackson 16-66-4.1-0 Macan Wilson 4-39-9.8-0 vs. Missouri Stephen Johnson 22-36-298-2-1 Benny Snell 20-117-5.9-2 Garrett Johnson 7-111-15.9-1at Maryland Clayton Thorson 27-49-293-1-2 Justin Jackson 28-171-6.1-2 Macan Wilson 5-74-14.8-0 Bye Iowa Clayton Thorson 21-36-192-0-0 Justin Jackson 25-93-3.7-0 Macan Wilson 5-47-9.4-0 at Miss St Stephen Johnson 13-28-117-0-2 Stephen Johnson 6-54-9.0-0 Lynn Bowden Jr. 3-38-12.7-0 Michigan St Clayton Thorson 33-48-356-2-0 Justin Jackson 17-41-2.4-1 Flynn Nagel 8-87-10.9-1 vs. Tennessee Stephen Johnson 6-15-46-0-0 Benny Snell 27-180-6.7-3 Tavin Richardson 3-52-17.3-0at Nebraska Clayton Thorson 19-35-243-0-2 Justin Jackson 31-154-5.0-1 Macan Wilson 5-107-21.4-0 Mississippi Stephen Johnson 19-24-204-1-0 Benny Snell 28-176-6.3-3 C.J Conrad 5-75-15.0-1 Purdue Clayton Thorson 26-46-296-1-0 Justin Jackson 25-46-1.8-0 Bennett Skowronek 7-117-16.7-1 at Vanderbilt Stephen Johnson 13-17-195-0-0 Benny Snell 17-116-6.8-3 Lynn Bowden Jr. 3-79-26.3-0 Minnesota Clayton Thorson 9-13-86-3-0 Justin Jackson 31-166-5.4-0 Garrett Dickerson 2-26-13.0-2 vs. at Georgia Stephen Johnson 12-22-138-0-0 Benny Snell 22-94-4.3-1 Blake Bone 1-45-45.0-0at Illinois Clayton Thorson 13-21-140-1-1 Justin Jackson 18-144-8.0-1 Bennett Skowronek 1-52-52.0-0 Louisville Stephen Johnson 8-19-110-0-0 Benny Snell 29-211-7.3-2 Kayaune Ross 3-44-14.7-0 Bye Bye† Kentucky vs. † Northwestern

Clayton Thorson 258-426-2809-15-12 Justin Jackson 255-1154-4.5-9 Bennett Skowronek 42-619-14.7-5 Stephen Johnson 170-280-2048-10-4 Benny Snell 256-1318-5.1-18 Garrett Johnson 46-500-10.9-2Matt Alviti 7-11-105-1-0 Jeremy Larkin 75-391-5.2-5 Flynn Nagel 46-474-10.3-2 vs. Lynn Bowden Jr 3-4-92-0-1 Stephen Johnson 97-358-3.7-3 C.J Conrad 16-286-17.9-4Justin Jackson 1-1-12-1-0 Corey Acker 4-88-22.0-1 Macan Wilson 32-446-13.9-1 Drew Barker 2-4-33-0-0 Sihiem King 72-334-4.6-2 Tavin Richardson 22-282-12.8-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE

Northwestern Leaders

Bye

Net Offense Defense

Nor

thw

este

rn W

ildca

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LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

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Michigan St Rush Defat Nebraska

Score Def at Georgiaat Illinois Sks By Louisville Minnesota

Ken

tuck

y W

ildca

ts

Net Offense

Bye† Kentucky Total TO's † Northwestern

Ypg Diff Bye

Purdue

Rush Off Floridaat Wisconsin Pass Off Eastern Michigan Penn St Total Off Missouriat Maryland Score Off Bye Iowa Sks Allowed at Miss St

OVERALL: Kentucky Wildcats9-3

Northwestern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky

Bowling Green

vs. BIG 10

Nevada 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Southern Miss

TM REC FOE REC

at Duke

Projected Rushing173 yards Northwestern

20

Kentucky 124 yardsProjected Passing

253 yards Northwestern Kentucky 201 yards

30 points Northwestern Kentucky 16 pointsExperience Rankings

17 Northwestern KentuckyTeam Schedule Strength

45 Northwestern Kentucky 56

7-5Wildcats Logs

Northwestern Wildcats OVERALL:

vs. SEC Wildcats Logs

Defense

Score Score


FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--APTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

7-2 4-4TM REC FOE

RECAP TEAM --PS RANK--

Northwestern LB'S

Kentucky RB's

0.74

Northwestern RB's

Kentucky LB's

0.55

Northwestern OL

Kentucky DL

Receiving

Northwestern KentuckyRushing

1.35

Northwestern QB/WR

Kentucky DB's

1.21

Northwestern DL

Kentucky OL

0.67

at South Carolina

TennesseePass Def Mississippi

Total Def at Vanderbilt

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line If KY holds the rush edge, they usually win. If they outrushed their opponent they were 6-1. They lost 3 games by 38, 29 & 27, being outrushed by 181 ypg. 2 of those rush D’s were in the Top 25. Here they run into the #10 rush D in NW. NW has career rush leader in Jackson, and in the L/4 games rushed for 227 ypg & 4.9 ypc. I always think of HC Fitzgerald as great as a ‘dog & poor as a favorite. He opened his career just 14-30-1 in the favorites role, but is actually 13-7 ATS the L3Y as a favorite. KY is -75 ypg & NW is + 46 ypg. NW will have the rush edge & come into this as the hottest team in college football, winning their L/7 both SU & ATS. NW has edges at almost every position with KY’s only edge being the crowd with Lexington just 214 miles away. I’ll call for NW to win by over 2 td’s.

Kentucky ST's Northwestern By 7.5Northwestern K

Northwestern ST's

0.22

0.80Las Vegas Total

Kentucky Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

0.40

Northwestern DB's

Kentucky QB/WR

Ret

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Projected Box Score

Projected Yardage Total427 yards Northwestern Kentucky 325 yards


Kentucky Pts6.08

Northwestern Pts

1.02Computer Yards

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Northwestern 30-16

51 PointsKentucky K

+/- RatingsNorthwestern Coaches Northwestern By 17.5

Northwestern By 10.1Game Grade

Kentucky Coaches

Phil SteeleNorthwestern by 15 Northwestern 31 Kentucky 16By 5.06 Points

Northwestern

1.15

Northwestern 427-325

Friday, December 29, 2017 • 4:30 pmESPN • Nissan Stadium • Nashville, TN

MUSIC CITY BOWLKENTUCKY (7-5)ATS: 3-9 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UK NW 129 rush yd 203 195 pass yd 218 16 pts 33 +5 ytd to +5 #52 sked #61

CHECKLIST UK NW edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 4

– OL – – DL 44

– LB 41/2 – DB 44

– CCH 4

41/2 SITE – – MTCH 44

– INT – 4 ST – – SKED –

NORTHWESTERN(9-3)ATS: 9-3 O/U: 6-6

OVERALL

NORTHWESTERN BY 8 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 137 9 9/1 10-59 L 118 109 101 46 10 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 113 8/31 31-37 L 60 94 110 33 48 900-1 0-0 103 9/7 51-13 W 119 120 101 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/9 30-28 W 56 104 110 62 121 141-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 105 124 9/16 10-46 L 111 116 55 86 61 36 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 105 103 9/16 24-27 L 47 99 120 80 55 1021-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 103 92 9/23 61-10 W 118 117 54 123 118 54 #56 #125 1-2 0-3 0-1 0-1 103 87 9/23 41-14 W 49 95 116 129 129 852-2 1-3 1-0 0-3 107 107 9/29 40-24 W 100 108 29 113 60 47 #71 #4 2-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 104 114 9/30 24-42 L 40 85 119 31 56 1223-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 111 122 10/7 14-27 L 104 104 29 38 87 59 #70 #27 2-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 103 111 10/7 31-45 L 41 92 116 75 74 843-3 3-2 1-1 1-0 110 106 10/14 23-28 L 108 103 4 123 92 62 #44 #55 2-4 0-4 0-2 0-1 104 91 10/14 35-27 W 40 94 124 127 116 993-4 2-4 1-2 1-2 107 100 10/21 52-28 W 112 94 4 55 128 110 #68 #101 3-4 1-2 104 10/21 39 98 1304-4 5-2 2-2 3-0 111 119 10/28 14-41 L 101 94 3 94 51 7 #117 #62 3-4 4-2 1-2 3-0 104 115 10/28 21-37 L 40 96 130 39 75 164-5 3-5 2-3 1-4 107 104 11/4 24-10 W 102 96 2 87 97 38 #17 #78 3-5 2-6 1-3 1-3 103 88 11/4 45-35 W 55 93 129 123 106 1275-5 3-3 109 11/11 108 96 2 #75 #67 4-5 2-3 103 11/11 50 95 1305-5 3-7 3-3 1-6 109 91 11/18 38-0 W 108 98 3 81 126 126 #70 #87 4-5 4-5 2-3 3-2 103 98 11/18 34-47 L 44 96 129 98 104 696-5 4-7 4-3 3-4 113 106 11/25 35-38 L 105 94 2 75 123 55 #68 #6 4-6 3-7 2-4 2-4 99 95 11/25 17-10 W 48 98 123 111 110 1186-6 4-4 111 12/2 94 94 2 #78 #41 5-6 4-7 3-4 3-4 99 97 12/2 22-17 W 53 93 124 125 90 596-6 6-6 4-4 4-4 111 99 12/29 104 90 2 64 84 122 +4 -1 6-6 4-4 99 12/9 64 84 122



at Wisconsin 10-59 -174 -9 -2 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 at Arizona St 31-37 149 8 -2 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 Idaho St 51-13 293 15 0 30 49-255 5.2 27-32 341 2 15 38-113 3.0 17-31 190 2 at New Mexico 30-28 70 2 2 23 26-99 3.8 34-57 401 1 21 37-176 4.8 20-38 254 1at Wake Forest 10-46 -321 -15 -1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 Troy 24-27 -94 -8 0 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 26 38-190 5.0 25-41 286 1at San Jose St 61-10 427 19 2 29 57-318 5.6 28-41 271 4 10 37-108 2.9 8-22 54 3 UTEP 41-14 235 6 3 21 29-179 6.2 26-43 283 0 15 36-135 3.8 10-34 92 3 BYU 40-24 -108 -6 6 14 44-112 2.5 16-30 176 4 20 46-210 4.6 12-29 186 0 at Arkansas 24-42 -139 -11 -1 18 14-11 0.8 23-38 344 2 29 51-230 4.5 19-26 264 0 Colorado St 14-27 -297 -15 0 14 29-63 2.2 18-34 149 7 29 52-216 4.2 22-31 293 0 at Appalachian St 31-45 107 11 -3 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 356 4 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 Wyoming 23-28 70 9 -4 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 at GA Southern 35-27 226 12 -2 25 26-92 3.5 32-53 399 3 13 50-192 3.8 6-9 73 2at UNLV 52-28 128 0 1 25 47-265 5.6 20-29 323 1 25 53-375 7.1 13-30 85 2 Bye Boise St 14-41 -254 -14 0 13 27-93 3.4 18-34 186 0 27 45-163 3.6 24-34 370 3 Arkansas St 21-37 -161 -14 0 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 5at New Mexico 24-10 -97 -9 2 12 24-129 5.4 13-24 114 0 21 57-265 4.6 12-22 75 1 at Texas St 45-35 59 -4 2 26 33-119 3.6 31-49 503 1 30 36-163 4.5 33-53 400 4 Bye Bye Hawaii 38-0 157 0 0 20 39-311 8.0 12-20 164 0 20 47-172 3.7 19-35 146 4 at Louisiana 34-47 -103 -3 -3 26 19-89 4.7 32-44 313 2 29 47-279 5.9 21-35 226 1at Air Force 35-38 81 -9 0 19 29-237 8.2 17-30 284 1 28 82-407 5.0 4-12 33 1 Idaho 17-10 188 7 1 23 37-172 4.6 31-49 231 2 16 38-41 1.1 19-35 174 11 Bye South Alabama 22-17 138 5 2 26 23-40 1.7 40-61 451 3 21 24-22 0.9 26-46 331 5† New Mexico St Bye

† Utah St Average 31-27 -7.9 -2.8 0.3 19 37-170 4.6 58.6% 224 6.4% 22 50-220 4.4 55.9% 182 7.1% Average 30-31 56.3 0.9 -0.1 23 27-101 3.7 62.7% 353 5.3% 22 40-165 4.2 58.4% 233 9.8% Conference 33-23 26.9 -2.4 0.1 19 36-193 5.4 58.2% 215 6.4% 22 51-224 4.4 56.6% 158 8.0% Conference 29-31 45.0 0.8 -0.4 23 29-97 3.4 62.7% 351 5.6% 22 39-170 4.4 59.1% 233 10.3% Away 32-32 7.3 -3.8 0.3 19 36-179 5.0 58.4% 239 4.5% 23 56-280 5.0 50.0% 131 8.1% Home 25-21 61.2 -0.8 1.2 20 28-95 3.5 62.6% 303 5.0% 21 35-102 2.9 53.6% 236 12.8%

at Wisconsin Kent Myers 25-41-219-0-3 Tonny Lindsey 6-28-4.7-0 Jaren Colston-Green 1-40-40.0-0 at Arizona St Tyler Rogers 40-57-398-3-2 Jason Huntley 5-84-16.8-1 Jaleel Scott 8-149-18.6-2 Idaho St Kent Myers 24-26-323-2-1 Eltoro Allen 19-103-5.4-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 7-75-10.7-1 at New Mexico Tyler Rogers 34-57-401-4-1 Larry Rose III 21-99-4.7-0 Izaiah Lottie 2-98-49.0-2at Wake Forest Jordan Love 6-13-171-1-0 Eltoro Allen 13-20-1.5-0 Zach Van Leeuwen 2-77-38.5-0 vs. Troy Tyler Rogers 32-45-331-3-0 Larry Rose III 12-69-5.8-0 Izaiah Lottie 4-93-23.3-2at San Jose St Kent Myers 18-24-181-2-1 Eltoro Allen 18-89-4.9-0 Dax Raymond 3-47-15.7-0 UTEP Tyler Rogers 26-43-283-2-1 Larry Rose III 17-144-8.5-2 Jaleel Scott 4-74-18.5-0 BYU Kent Myers 16-27-176-2-1 LaJuan Hunt 18-65-3.6-0 Ron'Quavion Tarver 6-76-12.7-1 at Arkansas Tyler Rogers 23-38-344-2-1 Larry Rose III 8-25-3.1-0 Jaleel Scott 9-174-19.3-1 Colorado St Kent Myers 17-29-152-1-0 LaJuan Hunt 8-19-2.4-0 Eltoro Allen 5-45-9.0-0 vs. at Appalachian St Tyler Rogers 27-50-356-2-6 Jason Huntley 10-96-9.6-0 Jason Huntley 3-111-37.0-1 Wyoming Jordan Love 8-18-109-0-3 LaJuan Hunt 18-73-4.1-0 Dax Raymond 5-72-14.4-0 at GA Southern Tyler Rogers 31-51-382-3-2 Jason Huntley 16-99-6.2-0 Anthony Muse 5-106-21.2-0at UNLV Jordan Love 19-27-316-2-0 LaJuan Hunt 16-101-6.3-3 Jordan Nathan 3-92-30.7-1 Bye Boise St Jordan Love 17-32-168-1-0 Tre Miller 7-40-5.7-0 Ron'Quavion Tarver 3-77-25.7-1 vs. Arkansas St Tyler Rogers 20-40-221-1-2 Larry Rose III 18-55-3.1-1 OJ Clark 7-113-16.1-0at New Mexico Jordan Love 13-24-114-0-1 LaJuan Hunt 14-117-8.4-2 Ron'Quavion Tarver 2-40-20.0-0 at Texas St Tyler Rogers 29-46-474-3-0 Larry Rose III 19-81-4.3-1 Jaleel Scott 7-130-18.6-1 Bye Bye Tyler Rogers 17-24-184-1-0 Jason Huntley 6-58-9.7-0 Larry Rose III 7-101-14.4-1 Hawaii Jordan Love 9-14-113-1-1 LaJuan Hunt 13-111-8.5-1 Braelon Roberts 2-55-27.5-1 vs. at Louisiana Nick Jeanty 31-49-231-0-1 Larry Rose III 22-100-4.5-2 Jaleel Scott 8-77-9.6-0at Air Force Jordan Love 17-30-284-2-0 Gerold Bright 9-102-11.3-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 4-86-21.5-2 Idaho Tyler Rogers 40-61-451-2-1 Larry Rose III 12-52-4.3-0 Jaleel Scott 9-134-14.9-0 Bye South Alabama† New Mexico St vs. Bye

† Utah StJordan Love 103-189-1380-8-6 LaJuan Hunt 149-695-4.7-10 Ron'Quavion Tarver 40-472-11.8-7 Tyler Rogers 319-512-3825-26-16 Larry Rose III 170-792-4.7-9 Jaleel Scott 73-1042-14.3-8Kent Myers 125-199-1275-8-7 Kent Myers 80-291-3.6-5 Dax Raymond 36-414-11.5-1 vs. Nick Jeanty 48-72-389-1-4 Jason Huntley 65-432-6.6-1 OJ Clark 44-492-11.2-3Aaren Vaughns 1-2-29-1-0 Eltoro Allen 68-284-4.2-1 Jordan Nathan 25-324-13.0-2 Conner Cramer 1-1-17-1-0 Nick Jeanty 11-44-4.0-0 Larry Rose III 49-474-9.7-2

Category

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 56.5 7 21 34-132

Utah St - -31 41 20 36-256 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Ret

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Comp-Att-Yds

20-38-189

17-27-260

Utah St Phil SteeleUtah St by 7

By 4.56 Points Utah St 35 New Mexico St 28

Computer YardsN Mexico St 450-3977.92

Utah St Pts3.36

New Mexico St PtsComputer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Utah St 35-28

2.14

New Mexico St K+/- Ratings

Utah St Coaches1.00

Game GradeNew Mexico St Coaches

Las Vegas Total

New Mexico St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)3.08

Utah St ST's Team & Margin

Utah St Leaders 1.24New Mexico St QB/WR

Projected Box Score

Experience Rankings

233 yards Utah St

397 yards Utah St New Mexico St 450 yards

New Mexico St

164 yards Utah St New Mexico St

Utah St By 11.0

N Mexico St By 0.5

TM CONF

at San Jose St Rush Off UTEP

Utah St DL1.04

New Mexico St OL

Utah St LB'S0.30

New Mexico St RB's

Utah St DB's

Utah St RB's0.78

New Mexico St LB's

0.29

Utah St OL

New Mexico St DL

Pass Def at Texas StTotal Def Bye

Hawaii Score Def at Louisianaat Air Force Sks By Idaho

Net

6-6OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. MTW

Passing Receiving

Utah St New Mexico St

Rushing

1.41

Utah St QB/WR

New Mexico St DB's

FOE CONF

Defense

Score


TM +/-FOE

FOE

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

NCAA RANKINGSFOE REC

Aggies Logs4-4 4-4

TM RECTM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/- FOE +/-

Aggies LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK--

Utah St Aggiesvs. AAC

New Mexico St Aggies6-6

New Mexico St 118

107 Utah StTeam Schedule Strength


Projected Passing

Projected Rushing

FOE

FOE

New Mexico St

Projected Final Score35 points Utah St New Mexico St 28 points

14

Score


144 yards

104 Utah St

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

NMSt is playing in its 1st bowl s/’60, winning the last 2 to get to 6 wins. They will be everyone’s sentimental favorite. UTSt has been to bowls in 6 of the L7Y, but is hungry off a 3-9 season in ’16. The teams are close statistically with UTSt having faced the tougher sked. The biggest edge for either team is on ST’s. HC Wells is 2-1 in bowl games and this is HC Martins 1st. Most of my 9 sets of power ratings have UTSt by a touchdown or more & I agree.

New Mexico St ST's Utah St By 4Utah St K

61 Points

Offense

† New Mexico St Total TO's ByeYpg Diff Bye

BYU Pass Off at Arkansas Colorado St Total Off at Appalachian St Wyoming Score Off at GA Southernat UNLV Sks Allowed Bye Boise St Rush Def Arkansas Stat New Mexico

at Wisconsin

† Utah StNet Offense Defense

Uta

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LEA

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TEA

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New

Mex

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St

Ag

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TM REC FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Arizona St Idaho St

Utah St New Mexico Stat New Mexico

at Wake Forest Troy

South Alabama

Bye

Friday, December 29, 2017 • 5:30 pmCBS • Arizona Stadium • Tucson, AZ

ARIZONA BOWLNEW MEXICO ST (6-6)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 5-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS NMST UT ST 149 rush yd 178 304 pass yd 226 26 pts 37 -1 ytd to +4 #121 sked #98

CHECKLIST NMST USU edge edge

1/2 QB – 4 RB – 1/2 WR – – OL 1/2 4 DL – – LB – – DB 41/2 – CCH 41/2 4 SITE – – MTCH – – INT – – ST 44444

– SKED 4

UTAH ST (6-6)ATS: 6-6 O/U: 7-5

OVERALL

UTAH STATE BY 5’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 118 4 9/2 49-31 W 5 6 25 106 59 85 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 135 113 2 8/31 49-21 W 3 4 46 74 31 321-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 137 130 6 14 9/9 42-24 W 8 13 25 8 19 38 1-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 137 140 2 5 9/9 16-31 L 3 2 46 2 20 122-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 138 118 4 9/16 27-24 W 3 14 77 9 30 56 1-1 2-0 1-0 0-0 133 113 8 9/16 38-7 W 7 4 22 76 93 783-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 134 119 5 9/23 30-20 W 10 10 37 75 53 78 #36 #15 2-1 1-1 1-0 0-0 134 95 10 9/23 54-21 W 6 6 28 31 128 734-0 4-0 2-0 1-0 134 125 5 16 9/29 27-30 L 13 8 33 27 41 67 #20 #28 3-1 1-3 1-0 0-1 132 108 11 9/30 56-0 W 4 6 21 90 59 454-1 1-4 2-1 0-2 132 106 14 10/7 38-10 W 14 7 10 89 102 97 #15 #6 4-1 3-1 2-0 1-0 136 116 10 10/7 62-14 W 3 6 30 40 53 485-1 4-1 3-1 1-1 132 123 13 10/14 28-27 W 13 6 30 46 24 6 #24 #5 5-1 3-3 3-0 2-1 140 116 9 10/14 56-14 W 3 5 47 70 48 396-1 5-1 4-1 3-1 130 136 11 13 10/21 14-49 L 12 7 30 6 18 88 #50 #38 6-1 4-0 144 6 10/21 2 5 526-2 4-3 4-1 3-1 126 128 21 10/28 48-17 W 17 14 43 57 44 83 #56 #7 6-1 7-0 4-0 4-0 144 143 6 2 10/28 39-38 W 2 5 47 14 4 47-2 6-2 5-1 4-1 131 127 17 23 11/4 49-35 W 11 14 40 4 57 71 #98 #18 7-1 5-3 5-0 2-3 144 123 3 11/4 24-55 L 2 5 57 91 27 258-2 5-5 6-1 2-5 132 117 15 11/11 38-24 W 9 10 32 56 72 16 #76 #8 7-2 7-2 5-1 5-1 139 128 11 13 11/11 48-3 W 1 15 53 38 18 999-2 5-5 7-1 3-4 132 119 12 11/18 28-23 W 8 10 52 18 61 98 #60 #22 8-2 2-8 6-1 0-7 143 104 8 11/18 52-14 W 1 9 47 121 82 59

10-2 8-1 130 11 11/25 10 11 33 #2 #12 9-2 8-3 7-1 5-3 143 129 8 11/25 31-20 W 1 7 48 43 5 5110-2 1-0 8-1 0-0 130 130 11 14 12/2 31-28 W 7 12 32 8 19 38 #28 #1 10-2 12-0 8-1 9-0 143 138 8 3 12/2 27-21 W 2 7 38 25 3 3711-2 9-1 132 8 12/9 7 14 35 +1 +1 11-2 9-1 143 12/9 3 7 38

11-2 9-1 143 8 5 12/29 3 7 38 11-2 9-1 132 5 8 12/29 7 14 35Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds


Western Michigan 49-31 164 1 -1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 at Indiana 49-21 159 1 3 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5 Stanford 42-24 281 12 -2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 Oklahoma 16-31 -140 -6 1 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 Texas 27-24 102 8 2 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 Army West Point 38-7 308 14 1 30 32-270 8.4 29-37 316 2 16 58-259 4.5 2-8 19 0at California 30-20 -60 1 4 22 38-133 3.5 26-38 223 1 21 33-113 3.4 22-52 303 3 UNLV 54-21 400 17 -1 34 40-190 4.8 31-44 474 3 17 41-176 4.3 11-20 88 4at Washington St 27-30 -135 -8 -1 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 at Rutgers 56-0 419 11 2 24 37-275 7.4 20-31 353 2 13 41-117 2.9 11-27 92 1 Oregon St 38-10 193 10 0 26 37-184 5.0 24-36 328 1 16 36-122 3.4 16-29 197 2 Maryland 62-14 518 27 0 33 50-281 5.6 23-36 303 0 6 42-50 1.2 3-13 16 6 Utah 28-27 96 10 -2 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 at Nebraska 56-14 240 26 0 41 47-279 5.9 31-39 354 1 15 16-44 2.8 27-47 349 0at Notre Dame 14-49 -161 -5 -3 18 31-76 2.5 25-36 260 5 23 47-377 8.0 9-22 120 1 Byeat Arizona St 48-17 250 14 0 29 46-341 7.4 19-35 266 3 15 30-79 2.6 18-31 278 6 Penn St 39-38 246 10 -2 27 39-201 5.2 33-39 328 2 17 35-91 2.6 17-29 192 2 Arizona 49-35 262 5 2 30 52-331 6.4 20-26 311 1 25 43-234 5.4 14-31 146 5 at Iowa 24-55 -116 -4 -4 20 30-163 5.4 18-34 208 1 24 38-243 6.4 21-32 244 1at Colorado 38-24 36 0 2 23 38-193 5.1 21-34 329 1 23 34-110 3.2 27-49 376 3 Michigan St 48-3 329 10 1 25 42-335 8.0 15-23 189 0 15 34-64 1.9 18-36 131 6 UCLA 28-23 -84 -4 1 24 41-153 3.7 17-28 264 1 28 31-80 2.6 32-52 421 4 Illinois 52-14 438 22 0 27 59-325 5.5 16-29 218 1 5 28-89 3.2 4-14 16 2 Bye at Michigan 31-20 55 1 1 17 48-226 4.7 9-15 124 3 16 36-100 2.8 17-32 195 5† Stanford 42-24 281 12 -2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 † Wisconsin 27-21 151 0 -1 16 42-238 5.7 12-26 211 0 16 32-60 1.9 20-41 238 3 Bye Bye† Ohio St † USC


Western Michigan Sam Darnold 23-33-289-0-2 Ronald Jones 18-159-8.8-3 Deontay Burnett 7-142-20.3-0 at Indiana JT Barrett 20-35-304-3-0 JK Dobbins 29-181-6.2-0 Parris Campbell 6-136-22.7-1 Stanford Sam Darnold 21-26-316-4-2 Stephen Carr 11-119-10.8-0 Deontay Burnett 9-121-13.4-2 Oklahoma JT Barrett 19-35-183-0-1 JK Dobbins 13-72-5.5-1 KJ Hill 5-44-8.8-0 Texas Sam Darnold 28-49-397-3-2 Ronald Jones 18-47-2.6-0 Deontay Burnett 8-123-15.4-2 vs. Army West Point JT Barrett 25-33-270-2-0 JK Dobbins 13-172-13.2-2 KJ Hill 8-74-9.3-0at California Sam Darnold 26-38-223-2-1 Stephen Carr 20-82-4.1-1 Deontay Burnett 9-76-8.4-1 UNLV Dwayne Haskins 15-23-228-2-1 JK Dobbins 14-95-6.8-0 Parris Campbell 3-105-35.0-1at Washington St Sam Darnold 15-29-164-0-1 Ronald Jones 14-128-9.1-1 Tyler Vaughns 6-89-14.8-0 at Rutgers JT Barrett 14-22-275-3-0 Demario McCall 11-103-9.4-1 Johnnie Dixon 3-115-38.3-2 Oregon St Sam Darnold 23-35-316-3-1 Ronald Jones 12-79-6.6-1 Tyler Vaughns 5-68-13.6-1 vs. Maryland JT Barrett 20-31-261-3-0 JK Dobbins 13-96-7.4-1 Binjimen Victor 4-55-13.8-1 Utah Sam Darnold 27-50-358-3-0 Ronald Jones 17-111-6.5-1 Deontay Burnett 8-99-12.4-0 at Nebraska JT Barrett 27-33-325-5-0 JK Dobbins 12-106-8.8-1 KJ Hill 7-80-11.4-2at Notre Dame Sam Darnold 20-28-229-2-1 Ronald Jones 12-32-2.7-0 Deontay Burnett 8-113-14.1-1 Byeat Arizona St Sam Darnold 19-35-266-3-0 Ronald Jones 18-216-12.0-2 Tyler Vaughns 6-126-21.0-2 vs. Penn St JT Barrett 33-39-328-4-0 JT Barrett 17-95-5.6-0 KJ Hill 12-102-8.5-0 Arizona Sam Darnold 20-26-311-2-1 Ronald Jones 27-194-7.2-3 Tyler Vaughns 4-59-14.8-1 at Iowa JT Barrett 18-34-208-3-4 JT Barrett 14-63-4.5-0 Johnnie Dixon 4-81-20.3-2at Colorado Sam Darnold 21-34-329-2-0 Ronald Jones 25-142-5.7-1 Steven Mitchell 4-91-22.8-0 Michigan St JT Barrett 14-21-183-2-2 Mike Weber 9-162-18.0-2 Binjimen Victor 2-65-32.5-1 UCLA Sam Darnold 17-28-264-0-1 Ronald Jones 28-122-4.4-2 Steven Mitchell 4-56-14.0-0 vs. Illinois JT Barrett 11-19-141-2-0 Mike Weber 11-108-9.8-2 Parris Campbell 3-59-19.7-0 Bye at Michigan Dwayne Haskins 6-7-94-0-0 JK Dobbins 15-101-6.7-1 KJ Hill 2-53-26.5-0† Stanford Sam Darnold 17-24-325-2-0 Ronald Jones 30-140-4.7-2 Michael Pittman 7-146-20.9-1 † Wisconsin JT Barrett 12-26-211-2-2 JK Dobbins 17-174-10.2-0 Terry McLaurin 2-92-46.0-1 Bye vs. Bye† Ohio St † USC

Sam Darnold 277-435-3787-26-12 Ronald Jones 242-1486-6.1-18 Deontay Burnett 74-975-13.2-9 JT Barrett 228-353-2928-35-9 JK Dobbins 181-1364-7.5-7 Parris Campbell 38-576-15.2-3Matt Fink 6-9-43-0-0 Stephen Carr 63-363-5.8-3 Tyler Vaughns 51-690-13.5-5 vs. Dwayne Haskins 40-57-565-4-1 JT Barrett 150-743-5.0-10 KJ Hill 55-546-9.9-3Team 0-2-0-0-0 Vavae Malepeai 48-259-5.4-0 Steven Mitchell 41-644-15.7-4 Joe Burrow 7-11-61-0-0 Mike Weber 96-608-6.3-10 Terry McLaurin 28-434-15.5-6

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

AP

USC TrojansTrojans Logs

FOETM REC FOE

REC

UCLA

at Notre Dame

Bye Total TO's ByeYpg Diff† Stanford

† USCNet Offense Defense

US

C T

roja

ns

LEA

DER

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TEA

M A

VER

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Oh

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uck

eyes

Net Offense

† Ohio St

at Arizona St Rush Def Penn St

† Wisconsin

Pass Def at Iowaat Colorado Total Def Michigan St Arizona

Score Def Illinois Bye Sks By at Michigan

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Indiana Stanford

USC Ohio St Oklahoma

Texas Army West Point

Western Michigan

OVERALL: OVERALL: Ohio St Buckeyes11-2

--PS RANK--9-1TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE FOEFOE +/-

vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 10 Buckeyes Logs9-1 FOEAPFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

11-2

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving

USC Ohio StRushing

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges

TEAM --PS RANK--

Rush Off UNLVat Washington St Pass Off at Rutgersat California

Total Off Maryland Utah Score Off at Nebraska Oregon St

Sks Allowed Bye

USC LB'S0.69

Ohio St RB's

USC OL0.88

Ohio St DLUSC DL

0.57

Ohio St OL

0.25

USC QB/WR

Ohio St DB's

0.08

USC RB's

Ohio St LB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Projected Rushing USC K OSU will have the crowd edge as their fans travel better. OSU is off the charts on computer numbers & has played to a 111.7 in my avg game grades, while USC has played to an avg grade of 98.0. OSU has not dominated their toughest foes. Against their top 4 opponents, they went 3-1 with the only win by more than 6 being against UM, when they got a TD with under 2 min left. USC had over 20 players inj when they limped into ND & lost by 35. USC has lost 3 DL, a K & an OL for the season, but has gotten healthier each week. With Darnold, Jones, Burnett & co., they have the talent to take this to the wire. I’ll call for USC to keep it closer than expected.

Ohio St ST's Ohio St By 7.5

104 yards

Ohio St Leaders


Ret

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Tab

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Projected Box Score USC ST's0.40

Team & Margin

USC

USC DB's0.20

Ohio St QB/WRUSC Leaders

Ohio St 280 yards USC Coaches Ohio St By 13.0+/- Ratings

1.50

Ohio St By 15.6Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

270 yards USC


Ohio St 239 yards 0.34

Projected Passing Ohio St K

Ohio St 519-374Projected Final Score

0.67

USC Pts4.24

Ohio St Pts25 points USC Ohio St

Experience Rankings

374 yards USC Ohio St 519 yards Ohio St Coaches

Computer Yards39 points

Ohio St by 14 Ohio St 31 USC 28By 3.57 Points

Ohio St 39-25

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:72 USC Ohio St 38

Team Schedule Strength Ohio St15 USC Ohio St 25

Friday, December 29, 2017 • 8:30 pmESPN • AT&T Stadium • Arlington, TX

COTTON BOWLUSC (11-2)ATS: 4-9 O/U: 6-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS USC OSU 105 rush yd 231 262 pass yd 270 26 pts 41 +1 ytd to +1 #24 sked #18

CHECKLIST USC OSU edge edge

1/2 QB 1/2 – RB – 1/2 WR – – OL 4

– DL 4

– LB – – DB – – CCH 41/2 – SITE 44

– MTCH 4

– INT – – ST – – SKED –

OHIO STATE (11-2)ATS: 7-6 O/U: 9-4

OVERALL

OHIO STATE BY 6 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 111 16 9/2 35-28 W 19 17 34 79 62 79 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 49-0 W 36 45 1071-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 123 116 17 9/9 47-35 W 24 10 34 61 31 63 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 113 9/9 57-21 W 34 34 107 69 87 442-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 124 140 14 3 9/16 21-47 L 15 12 90 12 2 86 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 125 132 12 9/16 37-7 W 27 28 72 21 3 182-1 1-2 1-1 0-0 122 98 19 9/23 43-3 W 13 25 45 128 119 111 #13 #14 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 130 127 17 11 9/23 3-31 L 20 19 69 19 7 583-1 1-1 124 17 9/30 55-10 W 15 28 61 #15 #109 3-1 3-1 1-1 1-0 125 130 24 13 9/30 10-49 L 22 21 58 21 7 134-1 4-1 1-1 2-0 124 125 17 24 10/5 25-39 L 9 27 33 29 26 69 #3 #45 3-2 1-2 121 10/7 30 29 594-2 2-4 1-2 0-3 122 112 10/14 42-45 L 11 32 58 93 43 60 #13 #36 3-2 1-5 1-2 0-3 121 102 10/14 35-10 W 34 33 24 124 73 914-3 2-3 1-3 2-2 118 131 10/21 31-28 W 7 45 67 48 11 58 #80 #6 4-2 5-1 1-2 2-1 121 117 10/21 45-7 W 24 33 29 78 39 115-3 4-3 2-3 1-3 123 124 10/28 32-42 L 6 45 70 71 54 63 #52 #24 5-2 5-2 2-2 3-1 125 125 10/28 35-14 W 21 30 21 34 23 25-4 2-4 122 11/4 6 56 80 #79 #13 6-2 2-6 3-2 0-1 130 108 21 11/4 34-23 W 23 21 34 73 94 1245-4 6-3 2-4 3-2 122 116 11/11 38-21 W 5 58 87 85 34 68 #59 #10 7-2 9-0 3-2 6-0 127 143 18 1 11/11 24-31 L 23 20 23 2 1 216-4 4-6 3-4 2-4 122 121 11/18 56-10 W 5 52 86 49 86 17 #71 #24 7-3 4-6 3-3 1-5 127 108 17 11/18 28-21 W 22 20 23 36 87 917-4 7-4 4-4 4-4 123 116 11/25 44-17 W 4 42 87 73 58 14 #58 #31 8-3 5-6 4-3 2-5 128 116 16 11/23 28-31 L 24 20 37 15 71 388-4 4-4 127 12/2 4 40 79 #5 #16 8-4 4-4 123 24 12/2 28 18 208-4 8-4 4-4 4-4 130 123 12/30 4 39 80 53 19 21 +3 -2 8-4 8-4 4-4 4-4 123 130 24 12/30 53 19 21 4 39 80



† Purdue 35-28 180 2 1 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 Charleston Southern 49-0 522 27 0 29 50-281 5.6 20-36 274 0 2 39-18 0.5 3-8 15 1at North Carolina 47-35 304 15 0 35 44-312 7.1 25-39 393 2 20 23-17 0.7 29-38 384 2 at Louisiana Tech 57-21 144 1 2 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4 Clemson 21-47 -180 -4 -1 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 LSU 37-7 195 12 0 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 Kent St 42-3 389 12 -1 23 27-165 6.1 23-30 374 1 11 54-139 2.6 2-5 11 2 at Georgia 3-31 -124 0 -1 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 Murray St 55-10 596 33 -1 38 46-312 6.8 32-45 364 3 5 22-19 0.9 10-21 61 0 at Auburn 10-49 -160 4 0 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2at NC State 25-39 -50 2 0 25 29-116 4.0 26-48 354 4 23 39-153 3.9 20-32 367 0 Bye Boston College 42-45 70 -2 -1 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 BYU 35-10 370 27 -1 35 53-306 5.8 20-31 240 0 8 17-29 1.7 17-29 147 1at Florida St 31-28 46 -1 2 22 44-293 6.7 13-21 156 2 23 38-155 4.1 16-28 248 2 Kentucky 45-7 181 11 2 25 48-282 5.9 19-27 159 0 14 29-115 4.0 14-30 145 3at Wake Forest 32-42 -102 4 0 30 42-191 4.5 28-46 332 7 26 39-164 4.2 28-34 461 1 at Texas A&M 35-14 84 4 2 19 52-228 4.4 12-21 141 2 15 28-96 3.4 16-41 189 3 Bye UMass 34-23 43 9 -2 21 45-254 5.6 14-26 139 0 12 32-127 4.0 15-28 223 1 Virginia 38-21 216 11 0 27 43-298 6.9 15-26 195 2 16 28-63 2.3 19-36 214 4 Alabama 24-31 -114 3 0 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 19 38-202 5.3 10-18 242 5 Syracuse 56-10 392 5 4 27 42-411 9.8 17-30 316 1 22 45-197 4.4 13-34 138 1 at Arkansas 28-21 127 7 -1 19 48-195 4.1 12-23 153 2 12 34-97 2.9 12-18 124 4at Kentucky 44-17 224 12 0 32 43-346 8.0 15-21 216 0 20 43-228 5.3 8-19 110 3 Mississippi 28-31 146 16 -3 27 62-294 4.7 14-32 207 3 11 32-108 3.4 10-22 247 4 Bye Bye† Miss St † Louisville

Average 39-27 173.8 7.4 0.3 28 38-250 6.6 61.0% 311 6.2% 20 38-154 4.0 58.4% 233 6.8% Average 32-20 117.8 10.1 -0.2 23 48-250 5.2 54.1% 170 3.3% 13 34-127 3.7 51.8% 175 10.6% Conference 37-33 87.0 3.8 0.5 27 38-254 6.6 56.4% 299 7.9% 23 40-176 4.4 60.8% 290 6.1% Conference 26-24 41.9 7.1 -0.1 21 49-228 4.7 51.4% 157 5.0% 14 34-150 4.4 52.4% 194 12.3% Away 36-32 100.3 5.7 0.5 29 39-234 6.0 62.0% 305 6.8% 23 34-128 3.8 64.4% 311 5.8% Home 36-16 191.9 15.0 -0.6 26 51-268 5.3 57.8% 194 2.5% 11 31-105 3.4 50.0% 165 10.4%

† Purdue Lamar Jackson 30-46-378-2-0 Lamar Jackson 21-107-5.1-0 Jay Smith 8-117-14.6-0 Charleston Southern Nick Fitzgerald 16-29-239-2-0 Aeris Williams 16-83-5.2-1 Farrod Green 2-68-34.0-0at North Carolina Lamar Jackson 25-39-393-3-0 Malik Williams 13-149-11.5-0 Jaylen Smith 9-183-20.3-1 at Louisiana Tech Nick Fitzgerald 12-18-124-3-1 Nick Fitzgerald 10-111-11.1-2 Aeris Williams 1-28-28.0-0 Clemson Lamar Jackson 21-42-317-3-1 Lamar Jackson 17-64-3.8-0 Traveon Samuel 2-100-50.0-0 vs. LSU Nick Fitzgerald 15-23-180-2-0 Aeris Williams 23-146-6.3-0 Keith Mixon 6-97-16.2-1 Kent St Lamar Jackson 18-22-299-2-2 Malik Williams 9-47-5.2-2 Seth Dawkins 4-75-18.8-1 at Georgia Nick Fitzgerald 14-29-83-0-2 Nick Gibson 5-52-10.4-0 Deddrick Thomas 2-41-20.5-0 Murray St Lamar Jackson 18-26-249-3-0 Lamar Jackson 7-100-14.3-1 Corey Reed 4-94-23.5-0 at Auburn Nick Fitzgerald 13-33-157-1-2 Nick Fitzgerald 13-56-4.3-0 Jamal Couch 2-60-30.0-0at NC State Lamar Jackson 26-47-354-1-1 Lamar Jackson 19-73-3.8-2 Dez Fitzpatrick 10-134-13.4-0 vs. Bye Boston College Lamar Jackson 19-39-332-2-1 Lamar Jackson 22-180-8.2-3 Dez Fitzpatrick 7-127-18.1-1 BYU Nick Fitzgerald 19-30-241-2-2 Aeris Williams 23-114-5.0-1 Keith Mixon 5-69-13.8-0at Florida St Lamar Jackson 13-21-156-1-0 Lamar Jackson 23-178-7.7-1 Jaylen Smith 5-49-9.8-0 Kentucky Nick Fitzgerald 18-26-155-1-0 Nick Fitzgerald 12-115-9.6-2 Donald Gray 6-51-8.5-0at Wake Forest Lamar Jackson 27-44-330-1-1 Lamar Jackson 27-161-6.0-3 Jaylen Smith 6-73-12.2-0 vs. at Texas A&M Nick Fitzgerald 12-21-141-2-1 Nick Fitzgerald 18-105-5.8-1 Farrod Green 3-51-17.0-0 Bye UMass Nick Fitzgerald 14-25-139-0-2 Nick Fitzgerald 17-135-7.9-2 Jesse Jackson 4-36-9.0-0 Virginia Lamar Jackson 15-26-195-3-0 Lamar Jackson 15-147-9.8-1 Jaylen Smith 5-84-16.8-2 Alabama Nick Fitzgerald 13-24-158-0-0 Aeris Williams 22-97-4.4-2 Deddrick Thomas 2-30-15.0-0 Syracuse Lamar Jackson 14-26-270-2-0 Malik Williams 9-180-20.0-2 Jaylen Smith 3-95-31.7-1 vs. at Arkansas Nick Fitzgerald 12-23-153-2-0 Nick Fitzgerald 22-101-4.6-1 Reggie Todd 3-50-16.7-1at Kentucky Lamar Jackson 15-21-216-2-0 Lamar Jackson 18-156-8.7-0 Jaylen Smith 6-75-12.5-1 Mississippi Keytaon Thompson 13-27-195-1-1 Keytaon Thompson 26-121-4.7-1 Jordan Thomas 4-65-16.3-0 Bye Bye† Miss St vs. † Louisville

Lamar Jackson 241-399-3489-25-6 Lamar Jackson 208-1443-6.9-17 Jay Smith 53-873-16.5-6 Nick Fitzgerald 159-286-1782-15-11 Aeris Williams 224-1019-4.5-5 Keith Mixon 18-275-15.3-1Jawon Pass 23-33-238-2-0 Malik Williams 62-518-8.4-4 Dez Fitzpatrick 45-699-15.5-9 vs. Keytaon Thompson 21-46-261-2-1 Nick Fitzgerald 162-984-6.1-14 Jesse Jackson 24-238-9.9-0Reggie Bonnafon 0-1-0-0-0 Reggie Bonnafon 86-446-5.2-7 Seth Dawkins 39-604-15.5-4 Reggie Todd 0-1-0-0-1 Kylin Hill 70-364-5.2-2 Deddrick Thomas 20-234-11.7-4

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Team Schedule StrengthLouisville Miss St

Miss St

54

63

34 points

488 yardsProjected Final Score

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Miss St

Louisville Miss St 410 yards

Louisville 29 points

at NC State Boston Collegeat Florida Stat Wake Forest

LY the Card’s did great early and finished poorly. TY they were 5-4, but played their best in a 3-0 finish with an avg game grade of 110.6. QB Jackson helped the OFF avg 176 ypg above what their opponents normally allow, which is 2nd in the country. The D allowed 410 ypg the F/9 games, but just 315 ypg the L/3. MSt lost QB Fitzgerald vs Ole Miss. True frosh Thompson has 299 yards rushing. MSt has my #19 rated D & L’Ville is just #44. MSt also lost their HC Mullen, both coordinators & will be led by interim HC Knox. Petrino needs a solid finish after an unexpected 4 losses & I’ll call for L’Ville to win by over 2 td’s, making this a ‘Best Bet’ selection.

2.75

0.68

0.79

Louisville OL

2.36

Miss St LB's


Louisville Coaches

Miss St CoachesLouisville Pts

Miss St Pts

86Experience Rankings

Louisville 240 yards

Louisville Miss St

Phil Steele46

6.59

Louisville K

Miss St K

Louisville

Miss St

4.33

8-4vs. SEC

4-44-4

8-4vs. ACC

Score



Team & Margin

170 yards


Louisville DB's

Miss St

0.08

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Phil's Forecast:

Louisville Cardinals Miss St BulldogsBulldogs LogsCardinals Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Offense

† Purdueat North Carolina Clemson


Louisville

Rush Off

Miss St

Pass OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

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Lou

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Mis

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ulld

ogs

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks AllowedRush Def

Best Bet: ★ Louisville 35 Mississippi St 20

Louisville 35-25

Louisville by 15

0.67

Louisville LB'S

By 2.26 Points

Miss St RB's

Louisville

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE

266 yards

Score Off

Total DefPass Def

FOE

Louisville

Miss St Leaders

Louisville By 2.9

Louisville 488-410

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Louisville By 6.5

63 Points

Louisville By 7.0

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Defense


RushingPassing

Net

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Louisville Leaders

Ret

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1.96

0.42

Miss St DLLouisville DL

Louisville ST's

Miss St ST's

Miss St OL

Louisville QB/WR

Miss St DB's

UMass Alabamaat Arkansas Mississippi Bye† Louisville

Charleston Southernat Louisiana Tech LSUat Georgiaat Auburn Bye BYU Kentuckyat Texas A&M

Bye Virginia Syracuseat Kentucky Bye† Miss St

Kent St Murray St


Miss St QB/WR

1.22

Louisville RB's

Saturday, December 30, 2017 • 12:00 pmESPN • Everbank Field • Jacksonville, FL

TAXSLAYER BOWLLOUISVILLE (8-4)ATS: 5-7 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS L’VILL MSU 246 rush yd 242 240 pass yd 158 35 pts 25 +3 ytd to -2 #71 sked #21

CHECKLIST L’VILL MSU edge edge

4444 QB – – RB – 44 WR – – OL – – DL 4

– LB – – DB 4

444 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – 4 INT – – ST 44

– SKED 44

MISSISSIPPI ST (8-4)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 4-8

OVERALL

LOUISVILLE BY 4 4’s


0-0 0-0 120 9/2 42-24 W 50 72 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 96 8/31 37-29 W 30 74 17 120 119 1061-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 9/9 41-44 L 48 78 29 68 23 40 1-0 0-0 120 9/9 30 69 171-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/16 41-14 W 50 82 47 115 97 117 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 25 9/16 48-45 W 33 73 7 20 27 812-1 0-0 120 9/23 45 74 25 #114 #31 2-0 0-0 120 9/23 44-31 W 33 73 102-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 120 122 9/28 7-17 L 45 72 39 18 22 63 #32 #8 3-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 13-40 L 39 71 7 38 52 712-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 117 139 3 10/7 38-31 W 56 65 55 2 18 46 #78 #4 3-1 1-3 0-1 0-2 114 93 10/6 70-31 W 49 82 6 96 98 1183-2 1-4 1-1 0-2 122 98 10/14 45-0 W 56 65 44 74 117 63 #51 #2 4-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 118 116 25 10/14 30-27 W 37 81 9 23 97 864-2 4-2 2-1 1-2 125 125 10/21 31-13 W 67 47 41 21 52 97 #20 #14 5-1 4-2 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 42-38 W 37 83 8 62 51 735-2 7-0 3-1 4-0 130 135 25 4 10/28 14-7 W 64 39 55 18 9 18 #31 #99 6-1 3-4 3-1 1-2 120 110 24 10/27 56-26 W 37 88 45 88 108 1066-2 5-3 4-1 3-2 132 124 14 11/4 16-20 L 74 34 78 13 62 93 #82 #123 7-1 2-7 4-1 1-4 123 108 22 11/3 41-14 W 34 88 13 53 129 616-3 7-2 4-2 4-2 130 135 24 12 11/11 42-49 L 76 39 57 7 19 104 #46 #121 8-1 5-1 126 20 11/11 30 81 96-4 1-9 4-3 1-6 130 114 11/18 23-13 W 70 45 72 65 90 64 #29 #104 8-1 6-4 5-1 3-3 126 113 18 11/18 66-45 W 29 84 12 28 108 977-4 6-5 5-3 4-4 129 121 11/25 19-20 L 65 49 65 46 34 1 #97 #68 9-1 3-8 6-1 2-5 126 96 17 11/25 70-13 W 23 85 8 100 130 957-5 5-4 129 12/2 66 48 69 #61 #35 10-1 2-0 7-1 0-0 127 118 16 12 12/2 55-62 L 18 76 5 38 52 717-5 10-2 5-4 7-2 129 130 12/30 48 47 68 17 78 6 +11 +14 10-2 7-2 131 19 12/8 17 78 6

10-2 7-5 7-2 5-4 131 129 19 12/30 17 78 6 48 47 68Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds


Northern Iowa 42-24 27 3 2 24 35-134 3.8 27-36 271 0 21 22-119 5.4 23-38 259 2 ULM 37-29 -9 -9 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 Iowa 41-44 -30 -7 -1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 Byeat Akron 41-14 177 4 3 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 5 UCLA 48-45 -73 -5 0 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 Bye Southern Illinois 44-31 71 1 1 24 36-176 4.9 22-36 288 0 23 37-103 2.8 30-49 290 0 Texas 7-17 -56 -1 -1 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 4 19 52-141 2.7 19-26 171 2 at UCF 13-40 -207 -2 -3 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0at Oklahoma 38-31 -64 -7 1 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 at Connecticut 70-31 234 10 3 34 45-231 5.1 39-55 480 1 24 34-167 4.9 21-35 310 4 Kansas 45-0 212 10 2 15 43-106 2.5 18-30 212 3 5 33-62 1.9 11-26 44 0 Navy 30-27 63 5 4 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1at Texas Tech 31-13 64 -4 2 20 36-208 5.8 22-32 192 0 24 41-129 3.1 31-41 207 2 at Houston 42-38 -53 3 1 28 23-30 1.3 33-53 471 2 25 54-239 4.4 29-41 315 1 TCU 14-7 -52 3 2 17 33-53 1.6 21-35 202 2 14 34-172 5.1 12-25 135 1 Tulane 56-26 232 0 0 18 32-259 8.1 18-31 298 0 18 52-122 2.3 15-31 203 7at West Virginia 16-20 -174 0 0 23 29-101 3.5 27-40 249 1 23 47-208 4.4 20-25 316 0 at Tulsa 41-14 222 11 1 28 37-191 5.2 28-40 333 0 17 35-145 4.1 18-31 157 3 Oklahoma St 42-49 -31 7 -1 30 29-105 3.6 30-47 386 2 23 37-146 3.9 25-31 376 2 Byeat Baylor 23-13 63 -4 2 21 40-214 5.4 14-28 180 0 25 38-133 3.5 26-36 198 2 SMU 66-45 187 4 0 32 46-333 7.2 22-28 331 1 28 37-259 7.0 15-35 218 1at Kansas St 19-20 115 6 0 18 30-115 3.8 24-36 264 2 12 30-109 3.6 16-22 155 1 East Carolina 70-13 169 -4 3 23 34-333 9.8 10-15 302 0 27 37-115 3.1 28-54 351 2 Bye at UCF 13-40 -207 -2 -3 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0at Memphis Bye

Iowa St Average 30-21 20.9 0.8 0.9 21 32-120 3.7 62.9% 270 3.6% 20 36-134 3.7 67.4% 234 5.1% Average 48-33 71.9 1.2 1.2 26 36-209 5.9 62.9% 339 3.3% 25 44-197 4.5 57.8% 279 5.1% Conference 26-19 8.6 1.1 0.8 20 32-110 3.5 61.7% 255 4.6% 19 39-143 3.7 69.5% 214 4.5% Conference 49-33 97.1 3.0 1.2 27 35-206 5.9 65.1% 365 3.4% 24 45-216 4.8 56.9% 258 6.5% Away 28-19 30.2 -0.8 1.3 21 34-152 4.5 66.8% 262 2.0% 22 36-135 3.8 71.8% 249 5.9% Home 50-31 91.4 -1.1 1.4 23 36-243 6.7 60.3% 285 2.8% 24 45-176 3.9 53.3% 261 5.2%

Northern Iowa Jacob Park 27-35-271-2-1 David Montgomery 14-82-5.9-2 Allen Lazard 8-108-13.5-0 ULM Riley Ferguson 10-25-97-0-1 Darrell Henderson 12-169-14.1-2 Anthony Miller 2-23-11.5-0 Iowa Jacob Park 25-46-347-4-1 David Montgomery 20-112-5.6-1 Hakeem Butler 5-128-25.6-2 Byeat Akron Jacob Park 24-33-317-2-0 David Montgomery 22-127-5.8-1 Trever Ryen 6-80-13.3-0 vs. UCLA Riley Ferguson 23-38-398-6-1 Darrell Henderson 14-105-7.5-0 Anthony Miller 9-185-20.6-2 Bye Southern Illinois Riley Ferguson 22-36-288-2-0 Patrick Taylor 16-77-4.8-1 John Williams 2-74-37.0-0 Texas Jacob Park 24-48-246-1-3 David Montgomery 9-34-3.8-0 Allen Lazard 5-63-12.6-0 at UCF Riley Ferguson 27-49-321-1-3 Darrell Henderson 6-48-8.0-0 Tony Pollard 3-75-25.0-0at Oklahoma Kyle Kempt 18-24-343-3-0 David Montgomery 17-55-3.2-1 Trever Ryen 4-99-24.8-1 vs. at Connecticut Riley Ferguson 34-48-431-7-0 Doroland Dorceus 22-122-5.5-2 Anthony Miller 15-224-14.9-4 Kansas Kyle Kempt 13-20-122-1-0 David Montgomery 21-68-3.2-3 Allen Lazard 3-40-13.3-0 Navy Riley Ferguson 24-40-279-3-0 Darrell Henderson 12-94-7.8-0 Anthony Miller 10-90-9.0-2at Texas Tech Kyle Kempt 22-32-192-3-1 David Montgomery 28-164-5.9-0 Marchie Murdock 4-68-17.0-0 at Houston Riley Ferguson 33-53-471-1-1 Patrick Taylor 14-39-2.8-4 Anthony Miller 10-178-17.8-0 TCU Kyle Kempt 21-35-202-2-1 David Montgomery 25-74-3.0-0 Allen Lazard 6-106-17.7-0 vs. Tulane Riley Ferguson 18-31-298-3-1 Darrell Henderson 10-112-11.2-1 Anthony Miller 6-75-12.5-1at West Virginia Kyle Kempt 27-40-249-1-1 David Montgomery 26-115-4.4-0 Hakeem Butler 4-62-15.5-0 at Tulsa Riley Ferguson 27-39-298-4-0 Darrell Henderson 14-123-8.8-0 Phil Mayhue 4-74-18.5-0 Oklahoma St Zeb Noland 17-28-263-0-1 David Montgomery 21-105-5.0-3 Allen Lazard 9-126-14.0-2 Byeat Baylor Zeb Noland 14-28-180-2-0 David Montgomery 27-144-5.3-0 Hakeem Butler 1-67-67.0-1 vs. SMU Riley Ferguson 21-27-320-2-1 Darrell Henderson 10-147-14.7-2 Anthony Miller 8-163-20.4-2at Kansas St Kyle Kempt 24-36-264-2-0 Sheldon Croney 13-63-4.8-0 Allen Lazard 6-95-15.8-0 East Carolina Riley Ferguson 9-13-299-3-0 Patrick Taylor 6-127-21.2-2 Anthony Miller 3-144-48.0-1 Bye at UCF Riley Ferguson 30-42-471-4-1 Darrell Henderson 15-109-7.3-1 Anthony Miller 14-195-13.9-3at Memphis vs. Bye

Iowa StKyle Kempt 137-205-1473-13-3 David Montgomery 234-1094-4.7-11 Allen Lazard 61-799-13.1-9 Riley Ferguson 278-441-3971-36-9 Darrell Henderson 130-1154-8.9-9 Anthony Miller 92-1407-15.3-17Jacob Park 100-162-1181-9-5 Sheldon Croney 29-151-5.2-1 Hakeem Butler 36-586-16.3-6 vs. Riley Patterson 5-8-49-1-1 Patrick Taylor 140-798-5.7-13 Tony Pollard 34-501-14.7-4Zeb Noland 36-66-533-2-1 Joel Lanning 34-115-3.4-1 Marchie Murdock 37-475-12.8-5 Anthony Miller 1-3-35-0-0 Tony Pollard 29-222-7.7-2 Phil Mayhue 30-436-14.5-2

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

at Kansas St Sks By East Carolina

Bye Iowa St

Net Defense

Iow

a S

t C

yclo

nes

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES


Mem

ph

is T

iger

s

0.73

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineMemphis By 3.5

Iowa St MemphisPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Memphis RB's

Iowa St LB'S

0.26

Memphis

Kansas Score Off Navyat Texas Tech Sks Allowed at Houston TCU Rush Def Tulane at West Virginia Pass Def at Tulsa Oklahoma St Total Def Byeat Baylor Score Def SMU

FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

Memphis TigersCyclones Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. AAC Tigers Logs

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

RECFOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score

Ypg Diff Bye

Net Offense


APFOE REC

5-4 7-2

Northern Iowa 2017 TEAM RANKINGS ULM Iowa

Iowa St Memphis Bye

at Akron UCLA Bye Rush Off Southern Illinois Texas Pass Off at UCFat Oklahoma Total Off at Connecticut


Iowa St Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleMemphis by 1

Team & Margin

Projected Passing303 yards Iowa St

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box ScoreIowa St ST's

2.53

Memphis ST's

1.90

Memphis QB/WR

Iowa St DB's

Memphis Leaders


Iowa St 5

Iowa St RB's

at UCFat Memphis Total TO's

Rushing Receiving

32 points MemphisExperience Rankings

12 Iowa St Memphis 82Team Schedule Strength

5.17

Memphis PtsIowa St 34 points



Memphis

Computer Points

Computer Yards

71 Memphis 34-32

Memphis 32 Iowa St 31By 2.18 Points

Memphis DB's1.48

Iowa St QB/WR

Memphis LB's

Memphis DL0.66

Iowa St OL

Iowa St PtsMemphis Coaches

Memphis By 4.0

Game GradeIowa St By 2.9

Phil's Forecast:

66 Points

+/- Ratings

0.01

Memphis 462-448

0.10

Iowa St K

Memphis K

0.50

Iowa St Coaches

Memphis has a balanced OFF that avg 548 ypg, 5.9 ypc & the super passing combo of Ferguson & Miller. They avg 91ypg more than their opponents allow & ISU avg 24 ypg less. Memphis is also playing in their home stadium & will have a large crowd edge. Memphis has my #6 ST’s & ISU is just #69. ISU has a large edge on D as they allow over 100 ypg less. The ‘Clones have also taken on the #20 toughest sked, facing 10 P5 teams, including 9 in bowls. Memphis has faced just 1 P5 team & just 6 bowl teams overall. The ‘Clones D did hold OU to just 31 points. This game is a tossup & I’ll call for Memphis to win by the slimmest of margins.

OVERALL:

7-5 10-2Iowa St Cyclones OVERALL:

Iowa St DL

Memphis OL

Iowa St Memphis

Projected Rushing

462 yards

Memphis 281 yards

Memphis 181 yards145 yards Iowa St

Saturday, December 30, 2017 • 12:30 pmESPN • Liberty Bowl Stadium • Memphis, TN

LIBERTY BOWLIOWA STATE (7-5)ATS: 8-3-1 O/U: 4-8

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ISU MEMP 146 rush yd 194 302 pass yd 274 30 pts 35 +11 ytd to +14 #20 sked #88

CHECKLIST ISU MEMP edge edge

– QB 41/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 1/2 – OL – 4 DL – 4 LB – – DB – 4 CCH – – SITE 444

– MTCH – – INT – – ST – 4441/2 SKED 441/2

MEMPHIS (10-2)ATS: 7-4-1 O/U: 9-3

OVERALL

MEMPHIS BY 2 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 8 9/1 30-14 W 6 16 73 104 84 69 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 101 6 9/2 52-0 W 4 18 8 89 83 941-0 0-0 136 7 9/9 63-7 W 15 21 73 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 139 120 4 9/9 33-14 W 4 12 8 37 71 282-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 138 105 6 9/16 48-16 W 17 18 53 88 107 37 2-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 93 5 9/16 56-0 W 6 9 3 126 118 1043-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 138 118 7 9/23 37-10 W 21 17 38 51 42 47 #38 #62 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 140 122 4 9/23 21-19 W 8 8 7 58 29 134-0 1-3 1-0 0-1 140 106 6 9/30 42-7 W 20 14 38 83 102 89 #73 #26 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-1 138 119 4 9/30 45-14 W 9 10 8 92 48 125-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 140 117 6 10/7 38-7 W 16 15 66 98 56 88 #54 #28 5-0 2-2 2-0 0-1 139 125 4 10/7 31-7 W 15 9 12 47 34 856-0 2-3 3-0 1-1 141 118 5 10/14 7-13 L 19 11 45 51 69 117 #17 #7 6-0 3-0 141 3 10/14 16 7 26-1 3-1 136 12 10/21 28 6 62 #20 #85 6-0 5-1 3-0 2-1 141 127 2 19 10/21 42-13 W 16 4 5 41 2 226-1 4-3 3-1 2-2 136 119 12 10/28 44-23 W 29 6 60 16 52 71 #1 #17 7-0 6-1 4-0 4-0 143 144 2 6 10/28 38-39 L 14 4 4 2 5 477-1 5-4 4-1 2-4 136 120 12 11/4 38-3 W 28 4 37 16 20 84 #19 #43 7-1 6-2 4-1 4-1 143 123 7 24 11/4 24-27 L 17 11 9 39 19 1108-1 6-3 5-1 5-2 139 131 9 11/10 22-30 L 24 6 33 13 23 5 #5 #20 7-2 4-5 4-2 3-3 138 112 16 11/11 35-6 W 18 12 10 98 76 448-2 5-5 5-2 2-5 135 118 16 11/18 33-30 W 23 11 38 47 28 16 #6 #7 8-2 4-6 5-2 3-4 138 111 13 11/18 56-44 W 20 13 22 69 73 409-2 9-2 6-2 6-2 132 126 15 14 11/25 41-14 W 21 12 42 41 17 83 #10 #10 9-2 4-7 6-2 2-6 138 110 12 11/25 66-3 W 17 16 26 98 74 79

10-2 7-2 134 13 12/16 21 11 39 #11 #14 10-2 7-2 135 9 12/16 15 16 2710-2 10-2 7-2 7-2 134 139 12 9 12/30 21 9 36 11 16 27 +11 +14 10-2 10-2 7-2 7-2 139 134 9 12 12/30 11 16 27 21 9 36



at Rutgers 30-14 59 -2 2 17 24-84 3.5 17-30 284 1 19 42-131 3.1 24-35 178 1 Akron 52-0 410 12 0 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 Montana 63-7 343 15 3 25 37-213 5.8 24-28 293 0 10 33-31 0.9 19-31 132 6 Pittsburgh 33-14 -30 -10 2 14 24-148 6.2 15-28 164 1 24 45-155 3.4 24-41 187 5 Fresno St 48-16 107 3 -1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 194 1 Georgia St 56-0 206 -2 5 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3at Colorado 37-10 103 0 2 20 39-254 6.5 11-21 160 0 20 43-120 2.8 22-30 191 5 at Iowa 21-19 306 18 -1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1at Oregon St 42-7 325 24 1 32 41-216 5.3 26-34 293 3 8 28-110 3.9 11-22 74 0 Indiana 45-14 18 1 3 20 37-39 1.1 24-37 331 5 19 47-177 3.8 15-32 175 1 California 38-7 284 13 0 22 38-162 4.3 27-42 215 1 9 26--40 -1.5 16-26 133 8 at Northwestern 31-7 116 8 3 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4at Arizona St 7-13 -55 -3 0 14 31-91 2.9 17-30 139 5 17 32-40 1.3 29-41 245 2 Bye Bye Michigan 42-13 237 9 0 25 35-224 6.4 17-26 282 2 16 42-103 2.5 16-28 166 7 UCLA 44-23 210 9 -1 24 58-333 5.7 9-12 109 0 15 28-62 2.2 19-33 170 4 at Ohio St 38-39 -246 -10 2 17 35-91 2.6 17-29 192 2 27 39-201 5.2 33-39 328 2 Oregon 38-3 173 3 1 19 39-247 6.3 11-19 204 0 16 55-247 4.5 7-13 31 2 at Michigan St 24-27 -8 -3 -2 22 21-65 3.1 27-48 401 3 25 24-74 3.1 33-56 400 2at Stanford 22-30 -81 -1 -1 20 33-135 4.1 17-23 190 2 21 44-195 4.4 16-27 211 1 Rutgers 35-6 104 8 1 18 31-90 2.9 16-21 214 2 10 39-157 4.0 7-20 43 1 Utah 33-30 67 1 1 23 32-123 3.8 26-35 354 2 22 45-117 2.6 19-27 293 3 Nebraska 56-44 143 11 -1 32 35-263 7.5 26-39 346 2 21 26-67 2.6 26-41 399 4 Washington St 41-14 76 1 4 20 45-328 7.3 11-17 93 1 19 14--24 -1.7 37-55 369 5 at Maryland 66-3 231 17 2 28 48-286 6.0 25-40 248 1 11 25-124 5.0 21-37 179 5 Bye Bye† Penn St † Washington


at Rutgers Jake Browning 17-30-284-2-0 Myles Gaskin 7-59-8.4-0 Dante Pettis 3-85-28.3-0 Akron Trace McSorley 18-25-280-2-1 Saquon Barkley 14-172-12.3-2 Juwan Johnson 4-84-21.0-0 Montana Jake Browning 22-26-259-2-1 Salvon Ahmed 9-54-6.0-1 Will Dissly 5-79-15.8-2 Pittsburgh Trace McSorley 15-28-164-3-1 Saquon Barkley 14-88-6.3-1 Saquon Barkley 4-45-11.3-1 Fresno St Jake Browning 19-22-255-4-0 Myles Gaskin 8-56-7.0-2 Hunter Bryant 3-99-33.0-0 vs. Georgia St Trace McSorley 18-23-309-4-0 Saquon Barkley 10-47-4.7-0 Saquon Barkley 4-142-35.5-1at Colorado Jake Browning 11-21-160-1-1 Myles Gaskin 27-202-7.5-2 Dante Pettis 3-54-18.0-0 at Iowa Trace McSorley 31-48-284-1-1 Saquon Barkley 28-211-7.5-1 Saquon Barkley 12-94-7.8-0at Oregon St Jake Browning 26-34-293-3-1 Myles Gaskin 15-113-7.5-1 Dante Pettis 12-105-8.8-3 Indiana Trace McSorley 23-36-315-2-1 Saquon Barkley 20-56-2.8-0 DaeSean Hamilton 9-122-13.6-3 California Jake Browning 27-40-215-2-0 Myles Gaskin 24-91-3.8-2 Hunter Bryant 9-121-13.4-1 vs. at Northwestern Trace McSorley 25-34-245-1-0 Saquon Barkley 16-75-4.7-2 Saeed Blacknall 4-74-18.5-0at Arizona St Jake Browning 17-30-139-0-0 Myles Gaskin 14-67-4.8-0 Dante Pettis 7-56-8.0-0 Bye Bye Michigan Trace McSorley 17-26-282-1-1 Saquon Barkley 15-108-7.2-2 DaeSean Hamilton 6-115-19.2-0 UCLA Jake Browning 8-11-98-0-1 Myles Gaskin 27-169-6.3-1 Lavon Coleman 2-46-23.0-0 vs. at Ohio St Trace McSorley 17-29-192-2-0 Trace McSorley 13-49-3.8-1 Mike Gesicki 6-57-9.5-0 Oregon Jake Browning 11-19-204-2-1 Myles Gaskin 17-123-7.2-1 Dante Pettis 4-87-21.8-1 at Michigan St Trace McSorley 26-47-381-3-3 Saquon Barkley 14-63-4.5-0 DaeSean Hamilton 7-112-16.0-1at Stanford Jake Browning 17-23-190-0-0 Myles Gaskin 18-120-6.7-3 Aaron Fuller 4-53-13.3-0 Rutgers Trace McSorley 16-21-214-2-0 Trace McSorley 13-44-3.4-1 Juwan Johnson 5-78-15.6-0 Utah Jake Browning 26-35-354-2-0 Myles Gaskin 17-52-3.1-2 Myles Gaskin 6-114-19.0-1 vs. Nebraska Trace McSorley 24-36-325-3-0 Saquon Barkley 17-158-9.3-3 Juwan Johnson 5-105-21.0-0 Washington St Jake Browning 11-17-93-0-0 Myles Gaskin 25-192-7.7-4 Ty Jones 2-23-11.5-0 at Maryland Trace McSorley 22-33-237-2-0 Tommy Stevens 12-113-9.4-3 Juwan Johnson 6-63-10.5-0 Bye Bye† Penn St vs. † Washington

Jake Browning 212-308-2544-18-5 Myles Gaskin 208-1282-6.2-19 Dante Pettis 62-721-11.6-7 Trace McSorley 252-386-3228-26-8 Saquon Barkley 199-1134-5.7-16 DaeSean Hamilton 48-747-15.6-7KJ Carta-Samuels 8-10-82-0-0 Lavon Coleman 85-396-4.7-4 Hunter Bryant 22-331-15.0-1 vs. Tommy Stevens 14-27-158-3-0 Trace McSorley 132-431-3.3-11 Juwan Johnson 48-635-13.2-1Dante Pettis 1-1-36-0-0 Salvon Ahmed 60-387-6.5-3 Will Dissly 19-230.1-12.1-2 Saquon Barkley 2-2-36-1-0 Tommy Stevens 27-190-7.0-4 Saquon Barkley 47-594-12.6-3

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-AP


Washington Leaders

OffenseNet

Rushing Receiving

Penn St DB's

0.51

Penn St DL

Penn StPassing RushingPosition by Position Edges

Penn St

Phil Steele

Penn St By 2Las Vegas Line


+/- RatingsPenn St By 6.0

32 points

Rutgers Utah Score Def Nebraska Washington St Sks By at Maryland Bye Ypg Diff Bye

Net OffenseDefense

† Penn St Total TO's † Washington

Was

hin

gto

n H

usk

ies

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Pen

n S

t N

itta

ny

Lion

s

TM REC FOE REC

vs. PAC 12 vs. BIG 10FOETEAM

Georgia Stat Iowa

Pittsburgh

FOE +/-FOE CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 7-2

Washington Huskies

at Rutgers 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Akron Montana

Washington

at Colorado Rush Off

Penn St

Nittany Lions LogsHuskies Logs

Penn St Nittany Lions10-2 10-2OVERALL:OVERALL:

Score

7-2TM REC FOE

REC

Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Fresno St

at Oregon St

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK--

Pass Off Indiana California Total Off at Northwesternat Arizona St Score Off Bye Bye Sks Allowed Michigan UCLA Rush Def at Ohio St Oregon Pass Def at Michigan Stat Stanford Total Def

Penn St by 8 Best Bet: ★ Penn St 32 Washington 24

361 yards Washington

Washington

PSU would be in the playoffs had they held onto an 11 point 4Q lead with 5 min to go at OSU. UW has the D edge, holding foes to 121 ypg below their season avg with 2 AA’s in DT Vea & LB Victor. PSU has a solid D, allowing just 329 ypg. PSU has a good-sized edge on OFF w/Barkley & McSorley, and avg 96 ypg more than their foes normally allowed, while UW’s OFF avg exactly what their opponents allowed. PSU played the tougher sked & 8 of my 9 sets of power ratings has them winning by 4+. PSU gets the call as a ‘Best Bet’ selection as they’ll win by over a td.

0.04

Projected Passing

Penn St RB's0.22

Washington LB'S

136 yards WashingtonProjected Rushing

Penn St QB/WR

By 0.09 Points64 Washington Penn St 48

Team Schedule Strength11

1.62

Washington Pts

Experience RankingsPenn St

Penn St Pts


Penn St K

Washington K

Penn St 384 yards

134 yards


Penn St

24 points

13 Washington

Washington

Penn St 384-361

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Penn St By 4.4

1.53

Penn St 32-24POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

250 yards225 yards

Game Grade

Washington CoachesPenn St

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Projected Box ScoreLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Washington

Penn St Coaches

0.40

0.12

Phil's Forecast:

Penn St Leaders

0.30

Washington ST's Team & Margin

Penn St ST's

Washington DB's

0.54

Washington OL

0.88

Washington DL

Penn St OL

0.15

Penn St LB's

Washington RB's

Washington QB/WR


WashingtonReceiving

Saturday, December 30, 2017 • 4:00 pmESPN • University of Phoenix Stadium • Glendale, AZ

FIESTA BOWLWASHINGTON (10-2)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WASH PSU 153 rush yd 143 228 pass yd 252 25 pts 35 +11 ytd to +14 #65 sked #48

CHECKLIST WASH PSU edge edge

– QB 1/2 – RB 1/2 – WR 4

– OL – 4 DL – – LB – – DB – – CCH – – SITE 4

– MTCH – – INT – – ST – – SKED 4

PENN STATE (10-2)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6

OVERALL

PENN STATE BY 3 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 104 9 9/1 59-10 W 46 10 38 118 109 101 0-0 0-0 133 18 9/2 41-13 W 34 5 161-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 96 9 9/9 31-14 W 41 11 38 76 119 93 1-0 0-0 131 16 9/9 20 8 162-0 1-2 0-0 0-2 135 111 10 9/16 40-6 W 30 11 57 105 58 35 1-0 0-0 131 17 9/16 14 15 143-0 0-0 138 9 9/23 23 11 56 #21 #73 1-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 131 116 14 9/23 52-30 W 9 21 12 47 85 263-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 138 123 10 9/30 33-24 W 17 13 55 35 34 77 #94 #50 2-0 4-0 0-0 1-0 131 128 14 9/29 31-6 W 3 15 15 50 19 1164-0 3-2 1-0 2-0 136 116 9 10/7 38-17 W 21 11 64 70 36 41 #50 #58 3-0 1-2 1-0 1-1 136 131 13 10/7 24-20 W 5 13 27 65 12 145-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 136 121 7 10/14 17-9 W 21 12 65 80 62 103 #30 #57 4-0 3-1 2-0 2-0 136 127 11 10/14 25-24 W 7 15 15 25 36 1296-0 3-3 3-0 1-2 134 111 5 10/21 38-13 W 20 10 66 68 61 76 #42 #72 5-0 4-3 3-0 2-1 134 120 8 10/21 27-19 W 10 19 18 57 72 337-0 2-5 4-0 0-4 134 102 5 10/28 24-10 W 20 11 67 113 86 110 #2 #41 6-0 1-7 4-0 0-5 133 108 8 10/28 24-19 W 11 18 32 77 56 568-0 3-5 5-0 0-5 131 117 4 11/4 45-17 W 26 12 62 97 41 43 #4 #52 7-0 7-1 5-0 3-1 130 132 9 13 11/4 28-10 W 15 17 44 36 9 109-0 6-3 6-0 3-3 134 128 6 25 11/11 38-14 W 26 8 55 78 24 29 #1 #40 8-0 8-1 6-0 6-1 133 140 7 3 11/11 41-8 W 17 14 38 4 17 114

10-0 8-2 7-0 5-2 136 129 5 19 11/18 24-10 W 26 4 49 37 3 39 #3 #20 9-0 6-4 6-0 3-3 138 115 2 11/18 44-28 W 17 6 37 95 35 7011-0 5-6 8-0 2-6 136 118 5 11/25 31-0 W 29 3 34 113 65 58 #8 #2 10-0 4-7 7-0 2-5 138 116 2 11/24 14-24 L 19 9 61 86 51 10012-0 10-2 9-0 8-1 136 143 3 8 12/2 21-27 L 25 3 37 2 7 38 #8 #45 10-1 11-1 7-1 7-1 136 137 7 1 12/2 3-38 L 23 10 68 11 2 10812-1 9-1 138 6 12/9 22 3 34 +3 +15 10-2 7-2 131 11 12/9 31 11 7412-1 10-2 9-1 7-2 138 127 6 11 12/30 22 3 34 31 11 74 10-2 12-1 7-2 9-1 127 138 11 6 12/30 31 11 74 22 3 34



Utah St 59-10 174 9 2 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 Bethune-Cookman 41-13 200 8 2 28 34-317 9.3 18-31 233 0 20 30-121 4.0 25-39 229 1 Florida Atlantic 31-14 316 20 -2 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 Byeat BYU 40-6 299 17 2 28 49-235 4.8 18-19 256 1 11 26-81 3.1 11-20 111 2 Bye Bye Toledo 52-30 158 4 0 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 23 35-85 2.4 29-50 344 4 Northwestern 33-24 62 -7 -1 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 at Duke 31-6 60 -5 2 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 6at Nebraska 38-17 85 3 1 19 49-353 7.2 9-17 113 1 16 26-110 4.2 18-35 271 1 at Florida St 24-20 -69 -2 1 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 Purdue 17-9 273 10 -2 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 Georgia Tech 25-24 200 8 1 24 36-184 5.1 23-38 297 3 16 53-226 4.3 3-8 55 2 Maryland 38-13 172 5 0 23 41-215 5.2 16-24 225 0 18 35-143 4.1 13-30 125 2 Syracuse 27-19 81 -1 3 22 32-136 4.3 26-43 344 0 23 51-264 5.2 14-42 135 4at Illinois 24-10 17 2 2 19 45-168 3.7 10-19 135 1 17 33-134 4.1 9-31 152 5 at North Carolina 24-19 -13 -11 2 16 32-59 1.8 17-41 356 2 27 46-176 3.8 20-46 252 3at Indiana 45-17 141 8 2 24 52-237 4.6 15-22 170 3 16 21-40 1.9 20-34 226 4 Virginia Tech 28-10 130 -1 1 21 34-210 6.2 12-24 219 2 22 43-102 2.4 20-32 197 4 Iowa 38-14 316 13 -1 18 49-247 5.0 11-18 135 2 5 26-25 1.0 8-24 41 4 Notre Dame 41-8 113 5 4 18 42-237 5.6 15-24 137 0 13 36-109 3.0 13-27 152 5 Michigan 24-10 91 1 0 14 40-182 4.6 9-19 143 3 13 37-58 1.6 11-26 176 2 Virginia 44-28 -81 -3 1 15 32-148 4.6 15-28 210 3 18 28-55 2.0 28-37 384 5at Minnesota 31-0 323 12 -1 20 39-287 7.4 17-21 169 0 8 39-93 2.4 3-9 40 2 at Pittsburgh 14-24 -113 -6 1 14 23-45 2.0 15-36 187 4 20 45-152 3.4 18-29 193 1† Ohio St 21-27 -151 0 1 16 32-60 1.9 20-41 238 3 16 42-238 5.7 12-26 211 0 † Clemson 3-38 -117 -8 -2 10 30-104 3.5 14-29 110 4 18 41-77 1.9 25-34 254 4 Bye Byeat Miami, Fl Wisconsin

Average 34-13 162.9 7.2 0.2 21 45-229 5.1 62.2% 187 6.9% 14 31-93 3.0 49.1% 161 10.6% Average 30-20 45.8 -1.0 1.3 20 32-160 5.0 54.0% 246 6.5% 21 41-146 3.5 56.3% 214 10.4% Conference 31-14 132.9 4.7 0.1 19 44-215 4.9 59.8% 172 7.3% 14 32-93 2.9 47.1% 162 10.7% Conference 24-21 8.7 -3.2 1.0 18 31-123 3.9 50.5% 250 7.8% 21 44-160 3.6 55.7% 204 11.1% Away 33-13 119.0 7.0 1.2 21 44-223 5.0 64.0% 180 6.5% 14 31-116 3.7 47.1% 169 9.0% Home 37-19 114.4 2.9 1.7 22 34-212 6.3 60.7% 253 4.5% 19 39-137 3.5 56.2% 214 10.6%

Utah St Alex Hornibrook 15-23-244-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 9-87-9.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 5-105-21.0-1 Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier 17-28-217-3-0 Mark Walton 16-148-9.3-2 Darrell Langham 3-65-21.7-1 Florida Atlantic Alex Hornibrook 16-28-201-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 26-223-8.6-3 Troy Fumagalli 8-92-11.5-1 Byeat BYU Alex Hornibrook 18-19-256-4-0 Jonathan Taylor 18-128-7.1-1 Danny Davis 2-67-33.5-0 vs. Bye Bye Toledo Malik Rosier 27-36-333-3-1 Mark Walton 11-204-18.5-1 Braxton Berrios 5-105-21.0-1 Northwestern Alex Hornibrook 11-20-197-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 19-80-4.2-2 Quintez Cephus 4-99-24.8-0 at Duke Malik Rosier 15-26-270-2-1 Mark Walton 17-51-3.0-0 Ahmmon Richards 3-106-35.3-1at Nebraska Alex Hornibrook 9-17-113-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 25-249-10.0-2 Quintez Cephus 4-68-17.0-1 vs. at Florida St Malik Rosier 19-44-254-3-1 Travis Homer 3-29-9.7-0 Braxton Berrios 8-90-11.3-2 Purdue Alex Hornibrook 13-18-199-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 30-219-7.3-1 Quintez Cephus 5-100-20.0-1 Georgia Tech Malik Rosier 23-37-297-1-0 Travis Homer 20-170-8.5-1 Darrell Langham 5-100-20.0-0 Maryland Alex Hornibrook 16-24-225-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 22-126-5.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 7-83-11.9-0 Syracuse Malik Rosier 26-43-344-2-0 Travis Homer 20-95-4.8-1 Ahmmon Richards 6-99-16.5-0at Illinois Alex Hornibrook 10-19-135-0-1 Jonathan Taylor 12-73-6.1-0 Kendric Pryor 2-37-18.5-0 vs. at North Carolina Malik Rosier 16-38-356-3-1 Travis Homer 16-40-2.5-0 Jeff Thomas 3-101-33.7-1at Indiana Alex Hornibrook 13-20-158-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 29-183-6.3-1 AJ Taylor 3-63-21.0-0 Virginia Tech Malik Rosier 10-21-193-2-3 Travis Homer 14-95-6.8-1 Christopher Herndon 2-61-30.5-1 Iowa Alex Hornibrook 11-18-135-2-3 Jonathan Taylor 29-157-5.4-0 Danny Davis 4-74-18.5-0 Notre Dame Malik Rosier 15-24-137-1-0 Travis Homer 18-146-8.1-0 Lawrence Cager 2-45-22.5-0 Michigan Alex Hornibrook 9-19-143-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 19-132-6.9-0 AJ Taylor 3-79-26.3-1 vs. Virginia Malik Rosier 15-28-210-3-2 Travis Homer 17-96-5.6-1 Ahmmon Richards 4-51-12.8-1at Minnesota Alex Hornibrook 15-19-151-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 20-149-7.5-1 Kendric Pryor 3-51-17.0-0 at Pittsburgh Malik Rosier 15-34-187-2-0 Malik Rosier 12-31-2.6-0 Braxton Berrios 4-61-15.3-1† Ohio St Alex Hornibrook 19-40-229-0-2 Jonathan Taylor 15-41-2.7-0 Danny Davis 3-50-16.7-0 † Clemson Malik Rosier 14-29-110-0-2 Deejay Dallas 6-44-7.3-0 Braxton Berrios 7-51-7.3-0 Bye vs. Byeat Miami, Fl Wisconsin

Alex Hornibrook 175-284-2386-21-15 Jonathan Taylor 273-1847-6.8-13 Troy Fumagalli 43-516-12.0-4 Malik Rosier 212-388-2908-25-11 Travis Homer 151-902-6.0-7 Braxton Berrios 51-625-12.3-9Jack Coan 5-5-36-0-0 Bradrick Shaw 96-365-3.8-4 Quintez Cephus 30-501-16.7-6 vs. Braxton Berrios 1-1-17-0-0 Mark Walton 56-428-7.6-3 Christopher Herndon 40-477-11.9-4Garrett Groshek 1-1-9-0-0 Garrett Groshek 57-294-5.2-2 AJ Taylor 23-370-16.1-4 Evan Shirrefs 2-7-16-0-0 Malik Rosier 122-427-3.5-5 Ahmmon Richards 24-439-18.3-3

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-

Projected Rushing0.58

Wisconsin K

Miami, Fl

Wisconsin By 9.5

Wisconsin By 8.4

+/- Ratings

Game Grade


73 Wisconsin 26-16

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

47

WisconsinOffense Defense

Wis

con

sin

Bad

ger

s

LEA

DER

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TEA

M A

VER

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ES

Mia

mi,

Fl H

urr

ican

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Net Offense

at Miami, Fl


Wisconsin Leaders

203 yards

76 yards

Receiving


Ret

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Projected Box Score

33 Wisconsin Miami, Fl

186 yards WisconsinProjected Passing

Pass Def Virginia Tech Iowa Total Def Notre Dame Michigan Score Def Virginiaat Minnesota Sks By at Pittsburgh† Ohio St Ypg Diff † Clemson Bye Total TO's Bye

Florida AtlanticWisconsin Miami, Fl

Byeat BYU Bye Bye Rush Off Toledo Northwestern Pass Off at Duke

Hurricanes Logs10-2 Miami, Fl HurricanesOVERALL:

vs. BIG 10 vs. ACCBadgers Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Score Score

Total Off Purdue Score Off Maryland Sks Allowed

12-1OVERALL:Wisconsin Badgers

Rushing

Net

FOE

FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS9-1 7-2

TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOEAP

Utah St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Bethune-Cookman

at Nebraska at Florida St Georgia Tech Syracuse

at Illinois Rush Def at North Carolinaat Indiana

0.55

Wisconsin DL

Miami, Fl OL

1.88

0.40

0.47Las Vegas Line

Wisconsin OL0.63

Miami, Fl DL

0.29

Wisconsin RB's

Miami, Fl LB's

Defense


Phil's Forecast:

Wisconsin By 6

Miami, Fl Leaders

Team & Margin

Wisconsin QB/WR

0.51

Miami, Fl DB's

Wisconsin

26 points Wisconsin Miami, Fl

0.25

1.39

Wisconsin Coaches

Miami, Fl Coaches

4.17

Wisconsin Pts

Miami, Fl Pts

375 yards Wisconsin Miami, Fl 279 yards

189 yards WisconsinProjected Yardage Total

Miami, Fl


Wisconsin 20 Miami, FL 17By 2.78 Points

Wisconsin

I picked Miami as my #2 Surprise team in my magazine. They got as high as #2 in the Playoff rankings, but lost their star TE & one of their top WR’s prior to the ACC title game. Rosier completed just 49% the L/6 games. Miami’s D comes to play in big games as they held VT, ND & Clemson to 90 ypg below their season avg. Clemson only had 331 yards. UW has the nation’s top D statistically, allowing just 253 ypg. The Badgers took on a light sked, but held foes to 136 ypg below their season avg, which is 4th best. While UW comes in avg 5.1 ypc, keep in mind ND was at 7.0 ypc & Miami held them to 109 rush yards. Both have gread D’s & can be stopped on OFF. I’ll call for Miami to keep this game close in a lower than expected scoring game.

Miami, Fl K

Computer YardsWisconsin 375-279

Wisconsin by 3

Computer Points

Wisconsin Miami, Fl 31



Miami, Fl ST's

Miami, Fl RB'sWisconsin DB's

Miami, Fl QB/WR

Wisconsin ST's

Wisconsin LB'S

Miami, Fl

Saturday, December 30, 2017 • 8:00 pmESPN • Hard Rock Stadium • Miami Gardens, FL

ORANGE BOWLWISCONSIN (12-1)ATS: 8-5 O/U: 7-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WISC MIA 175 rush yd 59 195 pass yd 189 26 pts 12 +4 ytd to +15 #51 sked #33

CHECKLIST WISC MIA edge edge

441/2 QB 1/2 1/2 RB – – WR – – OL – – DL – 1/2 LB – 4 DB – – CCH – – SITE 41/2 44 MTCH – – INT 1/2 41/2 ST – – SKED 1/2

MIAMI (10-2)ATS: 5-7 O/U: 2-10

OVERALL

WISCONSIN BY 5 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 127 9/2 35-28 W 22 32 126 26 20 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 128 11 17 9/2 33-17 W 41 22 37 25 14 31-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 117 9/9 31-13 W 32 26 126 12 64 77 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 108 8 9/9 36-14 W 44 9 37 101 75 912-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 123 116 9/16 13-23 L 37 23 65 67 32 25 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 110 7 9/16 29-13 W 42 6 83 40 106 262-1 2-1 1-1 1-0 118 112 9/23 17-16 W 52 23 119 79 101 65 #108 #43 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 129 121 8 9/23 28-10 W 42 3 15 72 64 1133-1 3-1 1-1 1-0 117 120 9/30 17-24 L 53 26 113 30 17 4 #79 #112 4-0 1-0 131 8 9/30 48 3 233-2 2-2 1-2 0-1 117 115 10/7 48-22 W 60 28 120 24 54 126 #109 #101 4-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 131 120 7 10/7 10-14 L 45 2 13 39 21 1114-2 3-2 2-2 0-2 121 115 10/14 15-9 W 62 25 78 59 47 10 #98 #86 4-1 3-2 1-1 0-2 127 118 17 10/14 27-20 W 42 2 12 87 38 375-2 3-2 122 10/21 64 23 79 #72 #114 5-1 6-0 2-1 3-0 127 141 19 2 10/21 13-42 L 41 2 22 16 4 55-2 3-4 3-2 0-4 122 111 10/28 34-27 W 69 24 65 102 55 120 #43 #21 5-2 3-4 2-2 2-2 125 111 10/28 35-14 W 49 3 23 92 66 426-2 8-0 4-2 5-0 121 140 2 11/4 10-24 L 61 25 48 7 6 14 #72 #1 6-2 4-4 3-2 1-4 125 116 11/4 33-10 W 38 3 32 108 52 556-3 3-5 4-3 3-4 122 114 11/11 28-20 W 63 30 51 58 41 56 #51 #3 7-2 4-5 4-2 2-4 127 112 21 11/11 35-10 W 36 2 61 89 75 407-3 5-3 121 11/18 31-10 W 58 27 60 #26 #14 8-2 10-0 5-2 7-0 129 136 19 5 11/18 10-24 L 37 3 39 26 4 498-3 10-1 5-3 7-1 121 137 4 11/25 10-34 L 56 28 59 11 2 106 #61 #8 8-3 9-2 5-3 7-1 129 143 8 11/25 20-31 L 43 5 51 1 7 488-4 5-3 123 12/2 78 30 58 #89 #25 8-4 5-4 129 12/2 42 6 658-4 8-4 5-3 5-4 121 129 1/1 56 33 59 44 4 65 +9 -2 8-4 8-4 5-4 5-3 129 121 1/1 44 4 65 56 33 59



† NC State 35-28 -258 -17 1 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 3 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 † Florida 33-17 241 10 1 19 49-215 4.4 12-26 218 5 9 27-11 0.4 14-26 181 6at Missouri 31-13 -64 -1 3 20 40-172 4.3 18-28 187 1 21 37-178 4.8 14-32 245 1 Cincinnati 36-14 214 3 0 16 37-193 5.2 17-29 221 1 13 30-68 2.3 15-40 132 4 Kentucky 13-23 5 -6 0 14 20-54 2.7 24-37 304 2 20 47-184 3.9 16-26 169 1 Air Force 29-13 127 2 0 17 42-190 4.5 14-23 169 2 15 49-168 3.4 1-9 64 3 Louisiana Tech 17-16 77 6 -1 23 32-143 4.5 22-35 295 2 17 28-80 2.9 23-33 281 1 at Purdue 28-10 234 15 -1 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5at Texas A&M 17-24 -117 -6 0 14 26-23 0.9 17-30 256 7 20 49-237 4.8 19-27 159 1 Bye Arkansas 48-22 28 0 4 19 36-159 4.4 16-31 199 1 19 32-106 3.3 20-37 224 2 Michigan St 10-14 48 4 -5 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0at Tennessee 15-9 70 3 0 19 40-194 4.9 15-24 129 1 16 39-120 3.1 11-19 133 7 at Indiana 27-20 51 3 2 17 44-271 6.2 10-20 58 0 14 29-80 2.8 21-43 198 2 Bye at Penn St 13-42 -237 -9 0 16 42-103 2.5 16-28 166 7 25 35-224 6.4 17-26 282 2 Vanderbilt 34-27 -54 -1 1 26 37-212 5.7 19-29 174 1 27 23-107 4.7 27-49 333 0 Rutgers 35-14 276 16 -1 25 51-334 6.5 13-20 137 1 9 31-94 3.0 8-16 101 5at Georgia 10-24 -168 -12 -1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 Minnesota 33-10 263 1 1 14 37-371 10.0 8-13 56 3 13 44-90 2.0 5-12 74 5 Florida 28-20 168 12 -1 24 47-220 4.7 19-29 249 3 12 22-78 3.5 17-39 223 4 at Maryland 35-10 -35 1 2 16 38-160 4.2 9-18 145 0 15 32-180 5.6 18-38 160 1 Wofford 31-10 162 9 3 23 38-195 5.1 22-28 194 2 14 41-155 3.8 5-9 72 1 at Wisconsin 10-24 -91 -1 0 13 37-58 1.6 11-26 176 2 14 40-182 4.6 9-19 143 3 Clemson 10-34 -262 -17 0 10 25-81 3.2 16-29 126 1 27 45-184 4.1 25-38 285 1 Ohio St 20-31 -55 -1 -1 16 36-100 2.8 17-32 195 5 17 48-226 4.7 9-15 124 3 Bye Bye† Michigan † South Carolina

Average 24-21 -34.4 -2.5 0.8 18 32-127 4.0 61.9% 213 7.1% 21 38-147 3.9 60.3% 228 6.1% Average 26-18 86.3 3.7 -0.2 18 41-186 4.5 54.5% 169 11.3% 14 35-126 3.6 47.6% 143 13.2% Conference 25-20 -16.5 -1.4 0.8 19 33-135 4.1 61.1% 216 7.4% 20 38-157 4.1 55.8% 210 6.8% Conference 23-19 50.4 3.2 -0.3 18 41-182 4.5 54.3% 157 11.7% 14 35-140 4.0 50.2% 148 11.8% Away 22-20 -107.4 -6.6 0.6 16 29-93 3.2 59.9% 203 9.5% 22 43-173 4.1 64.0% 230 8.5% Home 27-16 145.5 4.2 -1.0 18 40-215 5.3 55.9% 163 10.5% 13 40-134 3.3 43.0% 98 17.5%

† NC State Jake Bentley 17-29-215-3-1 Rico Dowdle 12-27-2.3-1 Deebo Samuel 5-83-16.6-2 † Florida Wilton Speight 11-25-181-1-2 Ty Isaac 11-114-10.4-0 Tarik Black 2-83-41.5-1at Missouri Jake Bentley 18-28-187-1-0 Ty'Son Williams 14-78-5.6-0 Hayden Hurst 3-69-23.0-1 Cincinnati Wilton Speight 17-29-221-2-0 Ty Isaac 20-133-6.7-0 Kekoa Crawford 4-83-20.8-1 Kentucky Jake Bentley 24-36-304-2-2 Rico Dowdle 8-23-2.9-0 Deebo Samuel 5-122-24.4-1 vs. Air Force Wilton Speight 14-23-169-0-0 Ty Isaac 16-89-5.6-0 Tarik Black 5-55-11.0-0 Louisiana Tech Jake Bentley 22-34-295-1-1 Ty'Son Williams 13-95-7.3-1 Bryan Edwards 6-122-20.3-0 at Purdue John O'Korn 18-26-270-1-1 Chris Evans 14-97-6.9-2 Sean McKeon 5-82-16.4-0at Texas A&M Jake Bentley 17-30-256-2-0 Ty'Son Williams 14-73-5.2-0 Shi Smith 3-86-28.7-1 Bye Arkansas Jake Bentley 16-31-199-3-0 Rico Dowdle 11-61-5.5-0 Hayden Hurst 2-76-38.0-1 vs. Michigan St John O'Korn 16-35-198-0-3 Karan Higdon 12-65-5.4-0 Grant Perry 5-61-12.2-0at Tennessee Jake Bentley 15-24-129-0-0 AJ Turner 14-86-6.1-1 Bryan Edwards 6-63-10.5-0 at Indiana John O'Korn 10-20-58-0-0 Karan Higdon 25-200-8.0-3 Donovan Peoples-Jones 4-34-8.5-0 Bye at Penn St John O'Korn 16-28-166-0-0 Karan Higdon 15-45-3.0-1 Grant Perry 3-46-15.3-0 Vanderbilt Jake Bentley 19-29-174-1-0 AJ Turner 15-121-8.1-1 Shi Smith 5-76-15.2-1 vs. Rutgers Brandon Peters 10-14-124-1-0 Karan Higdon 18-158-8.8-2 Sean McKeon 3-31-10.3-0at Georgia Jake Bentley 21-35-227-1-2 AJ Turner 8-35-4.4-0 Hayden Hurst 7-93-13.3-0 Minnesota Brandon Peters 8-13-56-1-0 Karan Higdon 16-200-12.5-2 Sean McKeon 3-30-10.0-1 Florida Jake Bentley 19-29-249-0-3 AJ Turner 22-136-6.2-0 OrTre Smith 5-60-12.0-0 at Maryland Brandon Peters 9-18-145-2-0 Chris Evans 15-80-5.3-2 Zach Gentry 3-63-21.0-1 Wofford Jake Bentley 22-28-194-1-0 AJ Turner 11-69-6.3-1 Bryan Edwards 8-90-11.3-1 vs. at Wisconsin Brandon Peters 9-18-157-0-0 Chris Evans 11-25-2.3-0 Donovan Peoples-Jones 4-64-16.0-0 Clemson Jake Bentley 16-29-126-1-2 Ty'Son Williams 13-53-4.1-0 Bryan Edwards 6-70-11.7-1 Ohio St John O'Korn 17-32-195-1-1 Chris Evans 11-67-6.1-0 Kekoa Crawford 2-57-28.5-0 Bye Bye† Michigan vs. † South Carolina

Jake Bentley 226-362-2555-16-11 AJ Turner 92-517-5.6-3 Bryan Edwards 59-705-11.9-4 John O'Korn 83-156-956-2-6 Karan Higdon 147-929-6.3-11 Grant Perry 25-307-12.3-1Hayden Hurst 0-1-0.1-0-0 Ty'Son Williams 92-460-5.0-1 Hayden Hurst 41-518-12.6-2 vs. Wilton Speight 44-81-581-3-2 Chris Evans 126-661-5.2-6 Sean McKeon 29-285-9.8-3Team 0-2-0-0-0 Rico Dowdle 60-206-3.4-1 Shi Smith 26-350-13.5-2 Brandon Peters 37-64-486-4-0 Ty Isaac 88-548-6.2-3 Zach Gentry 15-276-18.4-2

Category

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Michigan 19 46.5 28 24 45-141

South Carolina 11 -5 33 17 17-85 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

South Carolina QB/WR

0.95

Michigan DB's


18-37-214


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0.01

0.20

South Carolina DL

Michigan OL

South Carolina Leaders

Projected Rushing

South Carolina RB's

1.72

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

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Mic

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Net Offense

Bye Ypg Diff Bye† Michigan Total TO's † South Carolina

Net Offense Defense

Sou

th C

arol

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Gam

ecoc

ks

Michigan Leaders

1.53

South Carolina ST's

Michigan ST's

South Carolina DB's

Michigan QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

178 yards

South Carolina MichiganPosition by Position Edges

Sks Allowed at Penn St Vanderbilt Rush Def Rutgersat Georgia Pass Def Minnesota Florida Total Def at Maryland Wofford Score Def at Wisconsin Clemson Sks By Ohio St

FOE

2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Floridaat Missouri

South Carolina Michigan Cincinnati

Kentucky Air Force

† NC State

Wolverines Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF TM +/-5-4 FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL: Michigan Wolverines8-4 8-4

Receiving

TEAM5-3

Defense

Score Score

TM +/- FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOE

FOEFOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM REC FOE

REC

Louisiana Tech Rush Off at Purdueat Texas A&M Pass Off Bye Arkansas Total Off Michigan Stat Tennessee Score Off at Indiana Bye

Comp-Att-Yds

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Michigan By 8


0.68

Michigan RB's

South Carolina LB'S

Projected Passing

Michigan Coaches Michigan By 10.6

+/- RatingsMichigan By 17.5

1.25

195 yardsSouth Carolina

Computer Yards1.73

South Carolina Pts

12 points

Michigan 24 South Carolina 10By 5.56 Points

Michigan 23-12

Phil SteeleMichigan


Michigan Pts

SC is 6-1 ATS as a ‘dog with 4 outright wins. HC Harbaugh is just 5-10 ATS as a favorite. SC overachieved, winning 8 games & playing in the weak SEC East. They avoided LSU, Bama & Aub out of the West. Their win over NCSt was misleading as they were outgained by 258 yds. On the ssn, SC was outgained by 34 ypg. UM won the same amount of games, but outgained their foes by 86 ypg. UM’s D allowed just 269 ypg, while SC allowed 375 ypg. UM has the potential to be a top 10 team to open up ‘18 and will finish off the season with an impressive win by 2 td’s.

Michigan 373-233

26 127

Michigan by 1417Team Schedule Strength

52 South Carolina Michigan

MichiganSouth Carolina

South Carolina Michigan

Michigan

373 yards

South Carolina K

Michigan

South Carolina Coaches

81 yards

233 yards South Carolina

Michigan K


7.29

1.30152 yards

South Carolina Michigan 23 pointsExperience Rankings


Michigan LB'sSouth Carolina OL

1.38

Michigan DL

vs. SEC vs. BIG 10

South Carolina GamecocksGamecocks Logs

TM REC FOE REC

25-36-341

Monday, January 1, 2018 • 12:00 pmESPN2 • Raymond James Stadium • Tampa, FL

OUTBACK BOWLMICHIGAN (8-4)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-5-1

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MICH S CAR 179 rush yd 98 201 pass yd 133 24 pts 10 -2 ytd to +9 #35 sked #42

CHECKLIST MICH S CAR edge edge

– QB 41/2 44 RB – – WR 1/2 1/2 OL – 4 DL – 41/2 LB – 44 DB – 4 CCH – – SITE – 4 MTCH – – INT 4

– ST – 1/2 SKED –

SOUTH CAROLINA (8-4)ATS: 8-4 O/U: 4-8

OVERALL

MICHIGAN BY 6’ 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 103 8/31 61-17 W 70 67 33 111 99 82 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 95 12 9/2 41-7 W 7 12 7 124 126 621-0 0-0 113 9/9 65 67 33 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 13 3 9/9 6-14 L 6 7 7 14 4 831-0 0-0 113 9/16 51 67 21 1-1 0-0 130 15 9/16 24-10 W 18 8 91-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 116 9/23 38-10 W 46 67 44 15 48 57 #34 #22 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 126 108 15 9/23 51-14 W 24 9 23 22 78 462-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 40-13 W 38 52 71 39 71 7 #7 #68 3-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 130 125 13 24 9/30 49-10 W 21 7 13 22 21 583-0 2-3 1-0 0-1 122 107 25 10/7 51-23 W 35 42 51 110 88 117 #5 #26 4-1 2-2 2-0 0-1 134 110 12 10/7 44-23 W 19 5 28 36 57 704-0 1-5 2-0 1-2 125 92 22 10/14 63-21 W 24 41 50 109 130 120 #1 #25 5-1 4-2 3-0 1-1 133 124 10 10/14 23-27 L 17 8 27 29 10 715-0 5-1 3-0 3-1 126 116 20 10/21 31-21 W 17 35 31 25 100 80 #7 #95 5-2 2-4 3-1 0-3 130 112 21 10/21 52-20 W 19 9 28 35 62 1096-0 4-0 126 18 10/28 73-33 W 12 40 27 #65 #32 6-2 4-1 133 19 10/28 13 7 337-0 6-2 4-0 3-1 127 113 15 11/4 31-24 W 10 45 23 27 98 90 #111 #14 6-2 5-3 4-1 3-2 133 120 16 11/4 42-27 W 12 8 50 40 23 38-0 3-6 5-0 2-4 127 96 14 11/11 49-24 W 12 43 27 117 115 115 #94 #14 7-2 9-0 5-1 6-0 134 139 10 2 11/11 40-17 W 13 9 60 6 7 149-0 5-5 6-0 3-3 125 113 14 11/18 45-19 W 10 51 21 105 85 102 #53 #10 8-2 4-5 6-1 4-3 139 99 6 11/18 42-14 W 11 7 57 54 122 45

10-0 9-1 7-0 6-1 125 118 13 22 11/24 49-42 W 14 45 17 24 25 51 #92 #13 9-2 11-0 6-1 7-0 137 143 6 1 11/25 26-14 W 9 4 66 2 1 2711-0 3-0 8-0 0-0 128 118 12 16 12/2 62-55 W 18 61 13 39 71 7 #18 #10 10-2 9-0 7-1 6-0 139 139 4 6 12/2 7-28 L 9 5 70 6 7 1412-0 9-0 129 10 12/2 18 61 13 +15 +1 10-3 7-2 136 7 12/9 9 5 7012-0 10-3 9-0 7-2 129 136 10 7 1/1 18 61 13 9 5 70 10-3 12-0 7-2 9-0 136 129 7 10 1/1 9 5 70 18 61 13



FIU 61-17 252 18 2 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 GA Southern 41-7 457 17 -2 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 Bye at Clemson 6-14 -164 -5 2 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 Bye Mercer 24-10 264 14 -5 26 43-146 3.4 32-37 364 1 12 35-100 2.9 20-32 146 0at Maryland 38-10 231 0 2 18 39-250 6.4 18-30 178 0 18 37-42 1.1 17-28 155 5 at Missouri 51-14 142 1 4 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 Memphis 40-13 207 2 3 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 Miss St 49-10 160 -4 0 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2at Cincinnati 51-23 124 2 1 23 21-141 6.7 16-19 374 1 21 26-113 4.3 23-40 278 1 Mississippi 44-23 132 2 0 25 51-326 6.4 14-21 235 1 23 30-83 2.8 34-51 346 1 East Carolina 63-21 256 17 0 33 42-238 5.7 25-31 365 2 16 37-187 5.1 15-33 160 1 at LSU 23-27 -9 3 1 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4at Navy 31-21 64 3 2 22 42-247 5.9 16-24 236 1 19 59-248 4.2 5-14 171 0 at Arkansas 52-20 295 7 1 26 47-345 7.3 21-30 284 0 19 42-171 4.1 15-26 163 6 Austin Peay 73-33 137 9 2 27 36-142 3.9 28-31 347 1 18 44-143 3.3 12-19 209 0 Byeat SMU 31-24 126 2 -2 23 36-203 5.6 23-40 412 2 21 37-206 5.6 27-52 283 0 at Texas A&M 42-27 153 10 0 23 52-228 4.4 20-27 268 2 13 34-143 4.2 16-33 200 1 Connecticut 49-24 106 -1 1 22 35-173 4.9 25-38 346 2 23 45-212 4.7 18-31 201 3 Georgia 40-17 258 12 1 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4at Temple 45-19 -13 -2 5 17 40-130 3.3 18-28 254 2 19 35-196 5.6 17-42 201 1 ULM 42-14 222 9 1 25 48-317 6.6 18-24 235 0 16 41-116 2.8 16-36 214 2 USF 49-42 -120 5 1 32 40-160 4.0 29-44 373 0 27 39-150 3.8 24-45 503 3 Alabama 26-14 94 7 0 25 49-168 3.4 22-29 240 1 18 38-211 5.6 13-23 103 2 Memphis 40-13 207 2 3 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 † Georgia 40-17 258 12 1 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 Bye Bye† Auburn † UCF

Average 49-25 111.9 4.6 1.3 26 39-201 5.2 69.7% 339 3.1% 21 38-166 4.4 54.4% 263 4.9% Average 34-17 141.7 5.5 0.1 22 46-228 5.0 67.0% 226 8.8% 16 38-135 3.5 55.0% 178 9.2% Conference 47-27 80.3 3.1 1.0 26 38-208 5.4 67.5% 345 3.7% 23 39-185 4.8 53.1% 288 4.3% Conference 37-20 118.1 4.0 0.6 22 46-235 5.1 65.4% 230 6.6% 18 37-152 4.1 54.7% 195 8.4% Away 39-19 106.4 1.0 1.6 21 36-194 5.5 64.5% 291 4.3% 20 39-161 4.1 50.6% 218 4.0% Home 38-14 226.7 8.1 -0.7 24 47-256 5.4 73.7% 254 5.6% 15 39-117 3.0 52.1% 165 7.8%

FIU McKenzie Milton 16-21-360-4-1 Jawon Hamilton 12-56-4.7-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-98-24.5-0 GA Southern Jarrett Stidham 14-24-185-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 16-136-8.5-1 Will Hastings 4-68-17.0-1 Bye at Clemson Jarrett Stidham 13-24-79-0-0 Kamryn Pettway 22-74-3.4-0 Ryan Davis 8-32-4.0-0 Bye vs. Mercer Jarrett Stidham 32-37-364-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 34-128-3.8-3 Will Hastings 3-71-23.7-0at Maryland McKenzie Milton 18-30-178-1-0 McKenzie Milton 6-94-15.7-0 Jordan Akins 3-57-19.0-1 at Missouri Jarrett Stidham 13-17-218-1-0 Kam Martin 9-74-8.2-0 Nate Craig-Myers 2-61-30.5-1 Memphis McKenzie Milton 19-31-253-3-1 Adrian Killins 9-115-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 3-71-23.7-2 Miss St Jarrett Stidham 13-16-264-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 23-116-5.0-3 Eli Stove 2-75-37.5-0at Cincinnati McKenzie Milton 16-19-374-5-0 Marlon Williams 1-47-47.0-0 Tre'Quan Smith 5-165-33.0-3 vs. Mississippi Jarrett Stidham 14-21-235-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 28-204-7.3-3 Ryan Davis 2-75-37.5-1 East Carolina McKenzie Milton 21-27-324-2-0 Greg McCrae 5-64-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 5-93-18.6-0 at LSU Jarrett Stidham 9-26-165-1-0 Kerryon Johnson 31-156-5.0-1 Ryan Davis 2-67-33.5-0at Navy McKenzie Milton 15-23-233-1-1 Adrian Killins 15-122-8.1-2 Dredrick Snelson 3-72-24.0-0 at Arkansas Jarrett Stidham 19-28-218-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 11-90-8.2-3 Darius Slayton 4-146-36.5-1 Austin Peay McKenzie Milton 24-26-275-3-0 Noah Vedral 5-37-7.4-1 Dredrick Snelson 5-90-18.0-2 vs. Byeat SMU McKenzie Milton 23-40-412-1-2 Adrian Killins 14-145-10.4-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-141-20.1-0 at Texas A&M Jarrett Stidham 20-27-268-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 29-145-5.0-1 Darius Slayton 2-99-49.5-1 Connecticut McKenzie Milton 24-36-311-2-0 Otis Anderson 9-84-9.3-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-120-17.1-1 Georgia Jarrett Stidham 16-23-214-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 32-167-5.2-0 Kerryon Johnson 2-66-33.0-1at Temple McKenzie Milton 16-23-208-4-0 Otis Anderson 5-58-11.6-0 Tre'Quan Smith 4-89-22.3-1 vs. ULM Jarrett Stidham 18-24-235-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 22-137-6.2-1 Darius Slayton 4-89-22.3-1 USF McKenzie Milton 29-44-373-4-1 Adrian Killins 15-82-5.5-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-81-20.3-2 Alabama Jarrett Stidham 21-28-237-0-0 Kerryon Johnson 30-104-3.5-1 Ryan Davis 11-139-12.6-0 Memphis McKenzie Milton 28-40-494-5-3 Otis Anderson 15-113-7.5-1 Tre'Quan Smith 6-161-26.8-2 † Georgia Jarrett Stidham 16-32-145-1-0 Kerryon Johnson 13-44-3.4-0 Ryan Davis 7-65-9.3-0 Bye vs. Bye† Auburn † UCF

McKenzie Milton 249-360-3795-35-9 Adrian Killins 111-762-6.9-10 Tre'Quan Smith 54-1082-20.0-13 Jarrett Stidham 218-327-2827-17-4 Kerryon Johnson 263-1320-5.0-17 Ryan Davis 76-768-10.1-5Noah Vedral 22-29-276-1-0 McKenzie Milton 93-497-5.3-7 Dredrick Snelson 42-656-15.6-7 vs. Ryan Davis 1-2-62-1-0 Kam Martin 68-429-6.3-2 Darius Slayton 24-574-23.9-5

Otis Anderson 58-456-7.9-4 Jordan Akins 30-459-15.3-4 Malik Willis 6-7-45-1-0 Kamryn Pettway 76-305-4.0-6 Will Hastings 20-408-20.4-3Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

† Auburn † UCFNet Offense Defense

UC

F K

nig

hts

UCF OL1.43

Auburn DLUCF DL

1.63

Auburn OL

0.45

UCF QB/WR

Auburn DB'sUCF RB's

1.43

Auburn LB's


Projected Yardage Total376 yards UCF Auburn

at SMU Pass Def at Texas A&M Connecticut Total Def Georgiaat Temple Score Def ULM USF Sks By Alabama

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Au

bu

rn T

iger

s

Net Offense

† Georgia Bye Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff Memphis

at Maryland Rush Off at Missouri Memphis Pass Off Miss Stat Cincinnati Total Off Mississippi East Carolina Score Off at LSUat Navy Sks Allowed at Arkansas Austin Peay Rush Def Bye

GA Southern Bye

UCF Auburnat Clemson

Bye Mercer

TM REC FOE REC

Knights Logs vs. AAC vs. SEC Tigers Logs

UCF Knights OVERALL: OVERALL: Auburn Tigers12-0 10-3

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score


TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE --PS RANK--9-0 7-2

TM REC FOE REC

FIU 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

ReceivingRushing

UCF AuburnPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Auburn Leaders


Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts


UCF ST's Team & Margin

UCF LeadersUCF DB's

1.77

Auburn QB/WR

UCF LB'S1.25

Auburn RB's

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineAuburn ST's Auburn By 9.5

Projected Rushing UCF K

236 yardsAuburn K

107 yards UCF Auburn

269 yards

Experience Rankings27 points UCF Auburn 37 points


+/- RatingsAuburn By 8.5

Game GradeAuburn By 9.6

Phil Steele

Auburn 536-376

78 UCF Auburn

UCF Auburn

536 yards Auburn Coaches0.80

8.70

Auburn Pts

6

UCF Coaches


UCF Pts

UCF Auburn53

Auburn 40 UCF 23By 5.95 Points


UCF’s explosive OFF scored 49 ppg & avg 540 ypg. Upon closer inspection, UCF took on 1 of the weakest slates of D’s any team faced. The highest ranked D they opposed was #49 in my rankings & just 3 of their 13 foes ranked higher than #85. Auburn comes in with my #7 rated D & 1 of the best front 7’s in the country. The G5 NYD bowl team is 3-1 SU/ATS & is always more motivated. The lone loss was LY & that was when WM came in unbeaten. UCF comes in unbeaten & Auburn has knocked off a pair of undefeated #1 teams, each by DD’s. While those wins were at home, Bama & UGA are a lot stronger than this UCF squad & I’ll call for the Tigers to win by over 2 td’s.

0.39

19

Auburn 37-27

Team Schedule Strength AuburnAuburn by 17

Computer Points

Computer Yards

AP

Monday, January 1, 2018 • 12:30 pmESPN • Mercedez-Benz Stadium • Atlanta, GA

PEACH BOWLUCF (12-0)ATS: 6-4-1 O/U: 7-4

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UCF AUB 107 rush yd 256 282 pass yd 317 28 pts 39 +15 ytd to +1 #79 sked #3

CHECKLIST UCF AUB edge edge

1/2 QB – – RB 41/2 – WR – – OL 1/2 – DL 444

– LB 44

– DB 4

– CCH 4

– SITE 41/2 – MTCH – 44 INT – 41/2 ST – – SKED 4441/2

AUBURN (10-3)ATS: 5-6-2 O/U: 7-6

OVERALL

AUBURN BY 10 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 130 116 9/2 49-16 W 14 27 49 93 68 23 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 118 13 9/2 27-0 W 18 11 9 73 33 151-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 134 126 24 15 9/9 19-20 L 7 24 49 11 16 58 1-0 0-0 132 12 9/9 45-10 W 19 5 91-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 131 112 9/16 49-20 W 11 22 70 81 33 63 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 132 125 12 9/16 7-37 L 21 3 18 27 28 722-1 2-0 1-1 0-0 133 118 9/23 38-18 W 7 22 70 41 16 127 #7 #30 2-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 127 113 25 9/23 35-26 W 27 4 14 63 52 363-1 2-2 2-1 1-0 134 111 22 9/30 52-17 W 8 23 70 109 75 98 #104 #85 3-1 3-1 0-1 1-0 126 104 25 9/30 21-24 L 29 5 37 69 55 1054-1 1-4 2-1 0-3 135 115 21 10/7 33-10 W 4 24 75 54 52 60 #24 #53 3-2 3-1 0-1 3-0 121 127 21 10/7 17-16 W 25 8 20 48 25 85-1 3-1 136 16 10/14 4 21 84 #22 #72 4-2 5-1 1-1 3-0 124 133 10 10/14 27-23 W 29 10 71 17 8 275-1 6-1 3-1 4-1 136 130 13 11 10/21 49-14 W 6 18 88 12 7 30 #72 #85 5-2 3-3 2-1 1-2 127 116 24 10/21 40-24 W 30 12 49 23 66 756-1 6-1 4-1 4-0 140 129 9 14 10/28 35-14 W 5 17 91 26 25 98 #49 #23 6-2 3-1 128 23 10/28 27 10 597-1 5-3 5-1 2-3 141 125 5 11/4 48-37 W 5 15 116 63 49 69 #51 #20 6-2 8-0 3-1 5-0 128 144 19 1 11/4 10-24 L 24 10 73 1 1 298-1 8-0 6-1 6-0 140 133 3 7 11/11 8-41 L 4 17 114 17 14 38 #44 #13 6-3 4-5 3-2 1-4 129 108 11/11 33-10 W 31 5 90 35 88 888-2 6-3 6-2 4-3 135 113 9 11/18 24-17 W 4 17 118 32 109 63 #32 #16 7-3 4-6 4-2 0-6 129 111 21 11/18 30-10 W 27 5 84 96 41 269-2 8-3 6-2 7-2 135 128 9 11/25 20-38 L 5 19 111 12 21 6 #83 #17 8-3 7-4 5-2 4-3 130 122 19 11/25 45-21 W 31 6 81 36 24 39-3 6-3 132 15 12/2 9 24 112 #24 #20 132 17 12/29-3 9-3 6-3 6-2 128 132 14 16 1/1 8 23 112 19 6 86 +5 +8 9-3 9-3 6-2 6-3 132 128 16 14 1/1 19 6 86 8 23 112



Temple 49-16 276 8 0 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 † BYU 27-0 382 20 1 26 57-296 5.2 15-18 183 0 6 14--5 -0.4 12-24 102 3 Georgia 19-20 -61 2 0 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 Chattanooga 45-10 212 10 2 22 46-222 4.8 9-18 232 2 12 27-68 2.5 15-32 174 5at Boston College 49-20 211 -3 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 1 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1 at Miss St 7-37 -195 -12 0 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1at Michigan St 38-18 -141 -5 3 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2 Syracuse 35-26 30 -6 0 18 38-151 4.0 14-23 263 2 24 27-76 2.8 34-55 308 3 Miami, OH 52-17 126 2 2 21 39-333 8.5 10-23 170 2 19 33-115 3.5 19-37 262 3 Troy 21-24 65 5 -2 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3at North Carolina 33-10 222 14 1 27 57-341 6.0 17-31 146 1 13 28-86 3.1 19-42 179 2 at Florida 17-16 39 2 0 18 48-216 4.5 9-16 125 2 16 38-194 5.1 10-16 108 5 Bye Auburn 27-23 9 -3 -1 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 USC 49-14 161 5 3 23 47-377 8.0 9-22 120 1 18 31-76 2.5 25-36 260 5 at Mississippi 40-24 246 5 3 26 55-393 7.1 9-13 200 3 21 28-153 5.5 17-34 194 3 NC State 35-14 159 11 1 25 54-318 5.9 10-19 104 2 14 24-50 2.1 17-37 213 1 Bye Wake Forest 48-37 123 -4 1 30 46-380 8.3 23-38 330 1 34 40-239 6.0 30-48 348 1 at Alabama 10-24 7 2 -1 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4at Miami, Fl 8-41 -113 -5 -4 13 36-109 3.0 13-27 152 5 18 42-237 5.6 15-24 137 0 Arkansas 33-10 97 4 1 21 39-198 5.1 11-16 217 2 17 34-142 4.2 16-33 176 1 Navy 24-17 9 -7 0 16 31-163 5.3 9-18 164 1 23 72-277 3.8 3-8 41 0 at Tennessee 30-10 -6 5 2 17 43-200 4.7 11-15 81 1 12 34-38 1.1 14-25 249 2at Stanford 20-38 87 -1 -3 17 44-154 3.5 12-29 261 6 18 38-152 4.0 14-22 176 2 Texas A&M 45-21 319 13 3 27 56-250 4.5 20-31 351 4 14 27-55 2.0 16-30 227 2 Bye Bye† LSU † Notre Dame

Average 35-22 88.3 1.4 0.4 21 44-279 6.4 50.9% 176 8.0% 20 39-153 4.0 56.6% 214 5.3% Average 28-19 100.4 3.8 0.7 20 43-211 4.9 59.9% 201 10.5% 16 33-126 3.8 52.9% 185 10.0% Conference 33-24 72.0 1.6 0.3 21 46-270 5.9 51.0% 177 8.3% 20 36-151 4.2 57.8% 224 4.8% Conference 26-21 64.5 2.0 0.9 19 44-212 4.8 57.4% 184 13.6% 17 36-147 4.1 51.2% 185 10.0% Away 30-25 53.2 0.0 -0.4 19 46-260 5.7 50.0% 166 10.4% 19 37-162 4.4 57.1% 210 3.8% Home 34-19 122.0 3.8 0.5 21 41-190 4.6 60.7% 256 9.7% 17 34-123 3.7 52.0% 201 8.3%

Temple Brandon Wimbush 17-30-184-2-1 Josh Adams 19-161-8.5-2 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-80-20.0-1 † BYU Danny Etling 14-17-173-0-0 Derrius Guice 27-120-4.4-2 DJ Chark 4-77-19.3-0 Georgia Brandon Wimbush 20-40-210-0-0 Josh Adams 19-53-2.8-0 Josh Adams 6-60-10.0-0 Chattanooga Danny Etling 8-14-227-1-0 Derrius Guice 15-102-6.8-2 DJ Chark 3-103-34.3-0at Boston College Brandon Wimbush 11-24-96-0-1 Josh Adams 18-229-12.7-0 Alize Mack 5-43-8.6-0 vs. at Miss St Danny Etling 13-29-137-0-0 Derrius Guice 15-76-5.1-0 Darrel Williams 2-37-18.5-0at Michigan St Brandon Wimbush 14-20-173-1-0 Josh Adams 9-56-6.2-0 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-61-15.3-0 Syracuse Danny Etling 10-17-188-2-0 Darrel Williams 16-92-5.8-1 Drake Davis 2-98-49.0-1 Miami, OH Brandon Wimbush 7-18-119-3-0 Josh Adams 8-159-19.9-2 Miles Boykin 1-54-54.0-1 Troy Danny Etling 17-25-198-2-1 Darrel Williams 17-69-4.1-0 DJ Chark 4-105-26.3-0at North Carolina Ian Book 17-31-146-1-2 Deon McIntosh 12-124-10.3-2 Alize Mack 6-38-6.3-0 vs. at Florida Danny Etling 9-16-125-1-0 Russell Gage 6-52-8.7-1 DJ Chark 1-47-47.0-0 Bye Auburn Danny Etling 13-24-206-1-0 Russell Gage 2-71-35.5-0 DJ Chark 5-150-30.0-0 USC Brandon Wimbush 9-19-120-2-0 Josh Adams 19-191-10.1-3 Kevin Stepherson 3-58-19.3-1 at Mississippi Danny Etling 9-13-200-2-0 Derrius Guice 22-276-12.5-1 Darrel Williams 4-105-26.3-0 NC State Brandon Wimbush 10-19-104-2-0 Josh Adams 27-202-7.5-1 Durham Smythe 3-52-17.3-1 vs. Bye Wake Forest Brandon Wimbush 15-30-280-1-0 Brandon Wimbush 12-110-9.2-2 Chase Claypool 9-180-20.0-1 at Alabama Danny Etling 12-26-137-0-1 Darrel Williams 7-83-11.9-1 DJ Chark 3-53-17.7-0at Miami, Fl Brandon Wimbush 10-21-119-1-2 Josh Adams 16-40-2.5-0 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-68-17.0-0 Arkansas Danny Etling 11-16-217-2-0 Derrius Guice 21-147-7.0-3 DJ Chark 4-130-32.5-2 Navy Brandon Wimbush 9-18-164-2-0 Josh Adams 18-106-5.9-0 Kevin Stepherson 5-103-20.6-2 vs. at Tennessee Danny Etling 11-15-81-0-0 Derrius Guice 24-97-4.0-1 Darrel Williams 3-30-10.0-0at Stanford Brandon Wimbush 11-28-249-2-2 Brandon Wimbush 17-61-3.6-0 Kevin Stepherson 3-112-37.3-1 Texas A&M Danny Etling 19-30-347-3-0 Derrius Guice 28-127-4.5-1 DJ Chark 5-86-17.2-1 Bye Bye† LSU vs. † Notre Dame

Brandon Wimbush 133-267-1818-16-6 Josh Adams 191-1386-7.3-9 Equanimeous St. Brown31-468-15.1-4 Danny Etling 146-242-2236-14-2 Derrius Guice 216-1151-5.3-11 DJ Chark 35-811-23.2-3Ian Book 32-56-292-2-3 Brandon Wimbush 137-765-5.6-14 Chase Claypool 28-391-14.0-2 vs. Myles Brennan 14-24-182-1-2 Darrel Williams 136-776-5.7-9 Darrel Williams 22-327-14.9-0TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Deon McIntosh 65-368-5.7-5 Kevin Stepherson 19-359-18.9-5 Russell Gage 0-1-0-0-0 Russell Gage 27-217-8.0-1 Russell Gage 19-270-14.2-3

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Notre Dame - 52 31 23 51-263

LSU 22 -8 28 17 38-285 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

LSU ST'sLas Vegas Line

LSU K

200 yards


0.72

Team Schedule Strength LSU Phil Steele2 Notre Dame LSU 51

LSU Coaches

Projected Final Score28 points Notre Dame

173 yards Notre Dame

178 yards

LSU

Projected Rushing

Notre Dame 397-3772.65

Notre Dame Pts3.11

Net Offense Defense

Not

re D

ame

Fig

hti

ng

Iri

sh


Notre Dame QB/WR

0.67

LSU DB's

0.00

Notre Dame DL

LSU OLNotre Dame LB'S

0.97

LSU RB's

Notre Dame RB's

0.34

LSU LB's

18-26-186

7-14-151

at Mississippi NC State Rush Def Bye Wake Forest Pass Def at Alabamaat Miami, Fl Total Def Arkansas Navy Score Def at Tennesseeat Stanford Sks By Texas A&M

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

LSU

Tig

ers

Net Offense

Bye† LSU Total TO's † Notre Dame

Ypg Diff Bye

TM REC FOE REC

† BYU

LSU Tigers

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. IND vs. SEC

Notre Dame Fighting Irish OVERALL: OVERALL:

9-3 9-3Fighting Irish Logs Tigers Logs

TM CONF


AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-APTM

CONFTEAM --PS RANK--FOE 6-3 6-2

TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

GeorgiaNotre Dame LSU

Chattanoogaat Boston College at Miss St

0.92

Notre Dame OL

LSU DL

Notre Dame LSU

Notre Dame Leaders


Temple

Syracuse Miami, OH Pass Off Troyat Michigan St Rush Off

at Florida Bye Score Off Auburnat North Carolina Total Off

USC Sks Allowed

Phil's Forecast:

0.98

ND has the best OL in the nation, capped off by winning the Joe Moore Awd. They have 2 AA’s in Nelson & McGlinchey. The unit will need to live up to that billing for the Irish to win. ND was avg 7.0 ypc in the Miami game, but their powerful rush attack was grounded the L/3 games, avg just 142 rushing ypg & 3.8 ypc. ND lost their L/4 games ATS. LSU took the opposite tact. They lost 2 of their F/5 games, but covered their L/7 games. The LSU D held foes to 88 ypg below their season avg & ND held foes to 50 ypg below. ND took on my #2 toughest sked, while LSU only faced my #55 toughest so the Irish is more battle tested. I’ll call for ND to pull off the outright upset by the slimmest of margin in a lower than expected scoring game.

Lsu By 3

Lsu By 4.0

Notre Dame By 9.8

51.5 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Projected Yardage Total397 yards Notre Dame LSU 377 yards

LSU Leaders

Team & Margin

0.14

Notre Dame KLas Vegas Total

LSU QB/WR

Notre Dame DB's

Notre Dame ST's

Notre Dame LSU

1.00

Notre Dame Coaches

LSU 23 pointsLSU Pts

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

84

Notre Dame by 1 Notre Dame 21 (+) LSU 20By 0.46 Points

95 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Notre Dame 28-23Experience Rankings

Notre Dame LSU

Comp-Att-Yds

Monday, January 1, 2018 • 1:00 pmABC • Camping World Stadium • Orlando, FL

CITRUS BOWLNOTRE DAME (9-3)ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ND LSU 190 rush yd 183 177 pass yd 203 25 pts 27 +3 ytd to +6 #2 sked #55

CHECKLIST ND LSU edge edge

1/2 QB – – RB – – WR – 41/2 OL – – DL 41/2 – LB 4

– DB 41/2 41/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH 1/2 – INT – – ST 1/2 441/2 SKED –

LSU (9-3)ATS: 8-4 O/U: 5-7

OVERALL

NOTRE DAME BY 1 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 113 15 9/2 31-10 W 9 7 58 49 61 85 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 139 93 7 9/2 56-7 W 2 19 12 119 116 1171-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 134 15 24 9/9 20-19 W 11 16 58 7 24 49 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 140 137 5 2 9/9 31-16 W 2 20 12 3 2 462-0 0-0 129 13 9/16 42-14 W 16 7 32 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 142 111 2 9/16 56-14 W 5 13 67 90 87 823-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 127 130 11 17 9/23 31-3 W 19 7 58 20 19 69 #11 #27 3-0 0-3 0-0 0-0 143 112 3 9/23 49-41 W 5 14 42 39 76 204-0 3-1 1-0 0-1 131 119 7 9/30 41-0 W 16 4 41 37 43 3 #111 #3 4-0 1-0 139 3 9/30 2 16 565-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 135 120 5 10/7 45-14 W 17 4 45 86 31 96 #36 #1 4-0 2-2 1-0 0-1 139 117 3 10/7 31-38 L 2 18 46 56 65 556-0 1-4 3-0 0-3 139 106 4 10/14 53-28 W 18 4 22 22 83 36 #23 #4 4-1 3-2 1-1 2-0 134 127 12 10/14 29-24 W 2 23 88 20 14 617-0 4-0 137 3 10/21 8 8 14 #20 #45 5-1 3-3 2-1 1-2 133 124 9 10/21 42-35 W 3 22 78 44 38 27-0 3-3 4-0 3-2 137 122 3 10/28 42-7 W 8 8 10 46 26 34 #12 #40 6-1 4-3 3-1 1-3 133 120 10 10/28 49-27 W 3 32 80 25 58 908-0 6-2 5-0 4-2 140 121 2 11/4 24-10 W 7 6 14 61 25 48 #2 #88 7-1 7-1 4-1 4-1 134 139 8 11 11/4 62-52 W 3 32 97 9 18 1029-0 7-2 6-0 5-1 139 134 2 10 11/11 17-40 L 6 7 14 13 9 60 #4 #57 8-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 138 135 5 8 11/11 38-20 W 3 32 93 19 4 289-1 7-3 6-1 4-3 134 116 7 11/18 42-13 W 9 14 13 64 50 18 #4 #52 9-1 1-9 6-1 0-7 138 94 3 11/18 41-3 W 2 33 87 113 110 94

10-1 5-5 7-1 4-4 135 122 7 11/25 38-7 W 7 14 11 49 46 105 #55 #61 10-1 7-4 7-1 5-3 140 127 3 11/25 59-31 W 3 26 89 16 56 1147-2 5-1 142 134 6 4 12/2 28-7 W 5 15 11 13 9 60 #9 #3 11-1 8-1 8-1 5-1 140 135 2 10 12/2 41-17 W 1 27 76 19 4 28

12-1 8-1 139 3 12/2 5 13 10 +5 +5 12-1 9-1 141 2 12/9 1 32 7512-1 12-1 8-1 9-1 139 144 3 2 1/1 5 13 10 1 32 75 12-1 12-1 9-1 8-1 144 142 2 3 1/1 1 32 75 5 13 10



Appalachian St 31-10 84 6 -2 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 UTEP 56-7 509 24 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1at Notre Dame 20-19 61 -2 0 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 at Ohio St 31-16 140 6 -1 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 Samford 42-14 210 6 0 22 54-284 5.3 9-15 175 0 16 23-22 1.0 26-35 227 3 Tulane 56-14 340 4 0 24 32-197 6.2 20-30 434 1 20 62-237 3.8 6-12 54 3 Miss St 31-3 124 0 1 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 at Baylor 49-41 102 -2 0 20 40-342 8.6 13-19 283 2 22 35-60 1.7 33-50 463 4at Tennessee 41-0 236 13 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3 Byeat Vanderbilt 45-14 313 16 -1 27 54-423 7.8 10-14 126 2 11 22-64 2.9 17-31 172 0 Iowa St 31-38 64 7 -1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 Missouri 53-28 384 14 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 † Texas 29-24 90 -3 -1 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 Bye at Kansas St 42-35 207 10 0 28 38-209 5.5 32-41 410 2 18 42-268 6.4 12-14 144 0† Florida 42-7 144 -1 1 14 35-292 8.3 4-7 101 0 15 41-183 4.5 10-25 66 5 Texas Tech 49-27 180 7 0 31 47-336 7.1 22-34 281 1 24 34-115 3.4 22-36 322 2 South Carolina 24-10 168 12 1 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 at Oklahoma St 62-52 124 -2 1 30 40-187 4.7 24-36 598 5 32 34-213 6.3 28-54 448 3at Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 TCU 38-20 109 2 0 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 Kentucky 42-13 242 8 0 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 at Kansas 41-3 314 14 2 24 36-157 4.4 23-35 312 1 10 27-32 1.2 19-34 123 1at Georgia Tech 38-7 245 11 1 23 43-247 5.7 12-17 224 0 12 46-188 4.1 2-9 38 1 West Virginia 59-31 258 3 2 27 35-313 8.9 16-19 333 0 24 50-251 5.0 10-20 137 0† Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 † TCU 38-20 109 2 0 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 Bye Bye† Oklahoma † Georgia


Appalachian St Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1 UTEP Baker Mayfield 19-20-329-3-0 Abdul Adams 7-53-7.6-0 Mark Andrews 7-134-19.1-1at Notre Dame Jake Fromm 16-29-141-1-1 Sony Michel 13-73-5.6-1 Terry Godwin 2-36-18.0-1 at Ohio St Baker Mayfield 27-35-386-3-0 Trey Sermon 17-62-3.6-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-98-14.0-1 Samford Jake Fromm 8-13-165-3-0 Nick Chubb 16-131-8.2-2 Terry Godwin 4-98-24.5-2 vs. Tulane Baker Mayfield 17-27-331-4-0 Abdul Adams 8-93-11.6-0 Marquise Brown 6-155-25.8-1 Miss St Jake Fromm 9-12-201-2-0 Nick Chubb 15-81-5.4-2 Terry Godwin 2-80-40.0-1 at Baylor Baker Mayfield 13-19-283-3-0 Abdul Adams 11-164-14.9-1 Mark Andrews 3-72-24.0-1at Tennessee Jake Fromm 7-15-84-1-1 Nick Chubb 16-109-6.8-0 Terry Godwin 2-43-21.5-0 Byeat Vanderbilt Jake Fromm 7-11-102-2-0 Sony Michel 12-150-12.5-1 Terry Godwin 2-70-35.0-1 vs. Iowa St Baker Mayfield 24-33-306-2-0 Trey Sermon 18-90-5.0-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-95-13.6-0 Missouri Jake Fromm 18-26-326-2-1 D'Andre Swift 6-94-15.7-0 Javon Wims 5-95-19.0-0 † Texas Baker Mayfield 17-27-302-2-1 Trey Sermon 20-96-4.8-0 Mark Andrews 4-104-26.0-1 Bye at Kansas St Baker Mayfield 32-41-410-2-1 Rodney Anderson 19-147-7.7-1 Marquise Brown 6-126-21.0-0† Florida Jake Fromm 4-7-101-1-1 Sony Michel 6-137-22.8-2 D'Andre Swift 3-84-28.0-0 vs. Texas Tech Baker Mayfield 22-34-281-4-1 Rodney Anderson 24-181-7.5-1 CeeDee Lamb 9-147-16.3-2 South Carolina Jake Fromm 16-22-196-2-0 Nick Chubb 20-102-5.1-0 Terry Godwin 3-53-17.7-0 at Oklahoma St Baker Mayfield 24-36-598-5-2 Rodney Anderson 21-111-5.3-1 Marquise Brown 9-265-29.4-2at Auburn Jake Fromm 13-28-184-1-0 Nick Chubb 11-27-2.5-1 Javon Wims 3-96-32.0-0 TCU Baker Mayfield 18-27-333-3-0 Rodney Anderson 23-151-6.6-2 Rodney Anderson 5-139-27.8-2 Kentucky Jake Fromm 9-14-123-1-1 Nick Chubb 15-151-10.1-2 Javon Wims 6-83-13.8-1 vs. at Kansas Baker Mayfield 20-30-257-3-0 Rodney Anderson 16-77-4.8-0 Grant Calcaterra 4-67-16.8-0at Georgia Tech Jake Fromm 12-16-224-2-0 Sony Michel 13-85-6.5-1 Ahkil Crumpton 2-78-39.0-1 West Virginia Baker Mayfield 14-17-281-3-0 Rodney Anderson 13-118-9.1-4 CeeDee Lamb 4-92-23.0-1† Auburn Jake Fromm 16-22-183-2-0 D'Andre Swift 7-88-12.6-1 Mecole Hardman 4-67-16.8-0 † TCU Baker Mayfield 15-23-243-4-0 Rodney Anderson 24-93-3.9-0 Marquise Brown 3-87-29.0-1 Bye vs. Bye† Oklahoma † Georgia

Jake Fromm 145-230-2173-21-5 Nick Chubb 191-1175-6.2-13 Javon Wims 38-631-16.6-6 Baker Mayfield 262-369-4340-41-5 Rodney Anderson 162-960-5.9-11 Marquise Brown 49-981-20.0-6Jacob Eason 4-7-28-0-0 Sony Michel 131-948-7.2-13 Terry Godwin 29-540-18.6-6 vs. Kyler Murray 18-21-359-3-0 Trey Sermon 119-710-6.0-5 Mark Andrews 58-906-15.6-8Brice Ramsey 1-4-10-0-2 D'Andre Swift 73-597-8.2-3 Mecole Hardman 22-323-14.7-3 Trey Sermon 1-1-42-0-0 Abdul Adams 59-542-9.2-1 CeeDee Lamb 40-741-18.5-7

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

† Oklahoma † GeorgiaNet Offense Defense

Geo

rgia

Bu

lldog

s

Georgia OklahomaPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.76

Georgia QB/WR

Oklahoma DB's


Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Georgia Coaches

Georgia K

Oklahoma By 4.7

Projected RushingGeorgia Oklahoma

† Florida Rush Def Texas Tech South Carolina Pass Def at Oklahoma Stat Auburn Total Def TCU Kentucky Score Def at Kansasat Georgia Tech Sks By West Virginia

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Okl

ahom

a S

oon

ers

Net Offense

† TCU Bye Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff† Auburn

at Vanderbilt Total Off

Bye Sks Allowed at Kansas St

TM REC FOE REC

Sooners LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--

Bulldogs Logs vs. SEC vs. BIG 12

Georgia Bulldogs OVERALL: OVERALL: Oklahoma Sooners12-1 12-1

Passing ReceivingRushing

APTM CONF

TEAM8-1

Defense

Score Score

9-1TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGSFOE

FOE FOEFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

UTEPat Notre Dame

Georgia Oklahomaat Ohio St

Bye Miss St Rush Off

Iowa St Missouri Score Off † Texas

Oklahoma K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

429 yards Georgia Oklahoma 470 yards Oklahoma Coaches

Samford Tulane

Appalachian St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Baylorat Tennessee Pass Off

Georgia DL0.97

Oklahoma OL

Oklahoma Leaders

0.46

Georgia LB'S

Oklahoma RB's

2.06

Georgia RB's

Oklahoma LB's

0.79

Georgia OL

Oklahoma DL

29

By 5.37 Points

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts


Georgia ST's

Oklahoma 470-429


Georgia LeadersGeorgia DB's

1.60

Oklahoma QB/WR


Oklahoma ST's

Team & Margin

Georgia Pts2.80

Oklahoma Pts

Computer Yards

Georgia 33-31

Oklahoma 323 yards

GeorgiaProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings

0.23

1.50173 yards Georgia Oklahoma By 2.0

Phil SteeleGeorgia

33 points

Oklahoma by 1 Oklahoma 34 (+) Georgia 33

The “Granddaddy of them all” is a battle of OFF vs D. OU has 1 of the nation’s best OL’s, a deep set of RB’s, a Mackey Awd winning TE, dangerous WR’s & the Heisman winner. Despite facing 9 bowl teams, they avg 199 ypg more than what their opponents allowed on avg. OU’s much maligned D did hold foes to 33 ypg below their season avg. UGA has my #4 rated D, led by SEC DPOY Smith. The Bulldogs D held foes to 158 ypg below their season avg. UGA also has the ST’s edge. I find it tough to go against each. I normally side with the team that has the stronger D & ST’s, but OU has taken on the tougher sked and the majority of UGA’s foes had below avg passing attacks. I’ll call for OU to advance to the Nat’l Champ by the slimmest of margins.

Georgia By 2


+/- Ratings

Georgia Oklahoma12

3


8.17Oklahoma 31 points

Team Schedule Strength36 Georgia Oklahoma

256 yards

Monday, January 1, 2018 • 5:00 pmESPN • Rose Bowl • Pasadena, CA

ROSE BOWLGEORGIA (12-1)ATS: 9-4 O/U: 5-8

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UGA OKLA 269 rush yd 141 163 pass yd 296 35 pts 27 +5 ytd to +5 #38 sked #16

CHECKLIST UGA OKLA edge edge

– QB 441/2 4 RB – – WR 4

– OL 4

– DL – 44 LB – 41/2 DB – 4 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – – INT 4

44 ST – – SKED 4

OKLAHOMA (12-1)ATS: 9-4 O/U: 7-5-1

OVERALL

GEORGIA BY 1 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 141 138 1 3 9/2 24-7 W 1 2 24 11 1 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 5 9/2 56-3 W 27 3 83 127 92 1141-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 144 103 1 9/9 41-10 W 9 1 24 88 103 39 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 3 13 9/9 14-6 W 14 4 83 6 7 72-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 142 119 1 9/16 41-23 W 4 1 28 61 93 29 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 140 124 3 14 9/16 47-21 W 12 2 86 15 12 903-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 124 1 9/23 59-0 W 1 1 17 62 20 118 #10 #33 3-0 1-2 1-0 0-1 142 110 2 9/23 34-7 W 4 2 103 84 50 324-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 145 114 1 9/30 66-3 W 1 1 24 25 38 26 #86 #52 4-0 4-0 2-0 0-0 141 129 2 12 9/30 31-17 W 7 2 102 41 11 105-0 4-1 2-0 2-0 149 120 1 10/7 27-12 W 1 1 11 22 17 4 #21 #31 5-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 142 124 2 10/7 28-14 W 11 3 107 64 46 346-0 2-3 3-0 0-2 146 111 1 10/14 41-9 W 1 1 23 32 55 116 #12 #21 6-0 3-3 4-0 1-1 141 115 2 10/13 24-27 L 10 3 111 63 71 287-0 3-3 4-0 0-3 145 115 1 10/21 45-7 W 1 1 21 66 41 9 #50 #72 6-1 4-1 136 7 10/21 13 3 1118-0 5-0 144 1 10/28 1 1 24 #3 #13 6-1 4-2 4-1 3-1 136 130 7 10/28 24-10 W 15 2 112 33 37 1028-0 6-2 5-0 3-1 144 128 1 19 11/4 24-10 W 1 1 29 24 10 73 #7 #8 7-1 6-2 5-1 4-0 137 128 6 20 11/4 38-31 W 14 2 112 32 30 879-0 7-2 6-0 3-2 143 127 1 18 11/11 31-24 W 2 1 21 23 20 23 #2 #6 8-1 3-5 6-1 3-4 137 121 4 11/11 31-14 W 14 3 116 53 16 54

10-0 7-0 142 11/18 56-0 W 3 1 27 #1 #2 9-1 7-1 137 4 11/18 61-3 W 16 2 10711-0 9-2 7-0 6-1 143 137 1 6 11/25 14-26 L 2 1 27 9 4 66 #27 #1 10-1 8-3 7-1 5-3 137 121 4 11/25 34-10 W 11 2 106 56 28 5911-1 5 #2 #6 11-1 10-1 7-1 7-1 139 136 1 7 12/2 38-3 W 11 2 108 23 10 6811-1 12-1 7-1 8-1 140 143 4 1 1/1 2 1 22 15 2 100 +12 +5 12-1 8-1 143 1 12/2 15 2 100

12-1 0-0 8-1 0-0 143 140 1 4 11/1 15 2 100 2 1 22Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds


† Florida St 24-7 19 -2 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 Kent St 56-3 545 29 -1 34 43-353 8.2 25-35 312 0 5 44-119 2.7 1-5 1 0 Fresno St 41-10 224 10 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 18 22-57 2.6 26-41 216 2 Auburn 14-6 164 5 -2 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 Colorado St 41-23 96 1 2 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 at Louisville 47-21 180 4 1 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5at Vanderbilt 59-0 599 35 2 38 66-496 7.5 17-27 181 1 3 16-40 2.5 7-22 38 0 Boston College 34-7 244 15 0 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1 Mississippi 66-3 360 15 2 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 at Virginia Tech 31-17 -10 -3 3 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2at Texas A&M 27-19 47 0 2 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 Wake Forest 28-14 117 9 -2 25 48-190 4.0 29-41 263 1 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 Arkansas 41-9 269 8 -1 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5 at Syracuse 24-27 -123 -12 1 16 25-113 4.5 22-32 204 4 28 50-162 3.2 20-33 278 6 Tennessee 45-7 496 28 -1 35 53-272 5.1 22-33 332 2 7 30-64 2.1 9-16 44 4 Bye Bye Georgia Tech 24-10 198 11 0 21 45-221 4.9 22-33 207 0 10 43-198 4.6 3-13 32 4 LSU 24-10 -7 -2 1 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 at NC State 38-31 -76 -8 1 19 35-224 6.4 20-38 191 0 27 34-153 4.5 31-50 338 1at Miss St 31-24 114 -3 0 19 38-202 5.3 10-18 242 5 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 Florida St 31-14 149 12 0 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 Mercer 56-0 369 13 1 22 42-265 6.3 14-18 265 0 9 39-107 2.7 7-22 54 0 The Citadel 61-3 446 17 2 27 26-183 7.0 31-41 479 1 10 54-155 2.9 1-8 61 1at Auburn 14-26 -94 -10 0 15 38-211 5.6 13-23 103 2 25 49-168 3.4 22-29 240 1 at South Carolina 34-10 262 17 0 27 45-184 4.1 25-38 285 1 10 25-81 3.2 16-29 126 1 Bye † Miami, Fl 38-3 117 8 2 18 41-77 1.9 25-34 254 4 10 30-104 3.5 14-29 110 4† Clemson Bye

† Alabama Average 39-12 207.7 7.8 1.0 23 44-265 6.0 62.0% 200 8.0% 15 34-94 2.8 54.6% 164 8.7% Average 35-13 170.2 8.0 0.4 23 42-204 4.9 67.2% 244 6.0% 15 36-113 3.1 51.6% 165 11.8% Conference 38-12 223.0 8.9 0.6 23 46-275 6.0 59.4% 200 9.9% 14 35-98 2.8 54.7% 155 11.7% Conference 33-16 88.4 4.0 0.7 21 44-204 4.7 66.0% 212 6.9% 17 34-119 3.5 52.6% 209 10.1% Away 31-15 137.0 4.0 1.4 20 46-263 5.8 58.3% 149 12.0% 16 36-98 2.7 58.4% 177 6.6% Home 35-8 266.1 14.0 -0.4 25 44-230 5.2 69.2% 248 4.2% 11 39-109 2.8 41.7% 104 17.4%

† Florida St Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1 Kent St Kelly Bryant 16-22-236-1-1 Travis Etienne 8-81-10.1-1 Milan Richard 2-70-35.0-0 Fresno St Jalen Hurts 14-18-128-1-0 Jalen Hurts 10-154-15.4-2 Calvin Ridley 5-45-9.0-0 Auburn Kelly Bryant 19-29-181-0-0 Kelly Bryant 19-59-3.1-2 Ray-Ray McCloud 6-81-13.5-0 Colorado St Jalen Hurts 12-17-248-2-0 Jalen Hurts 11-103-9.4-1 Calvin Ridley 3-92-30.7-1 vs. at Louisville Kelly Bryant 22-32-316-1-0 Travis Etienne 6-98-16.3-1 Ray-Ray McCloud 7-115-16.4-1at Vanderbilt Tua Tagovailoa 8-10-103-2-0 Damien Harris 12-151-12.6-3 Jerry Jeudy 3-68-22.7-1 Boston College Kelly Bryant 17-26-140-0-2 Travis Etienne 9-113-12.6-2 Hunter Renfrow 6-53-8.8-0 Mississippi Jalen Hurts 12-19-197-2-0 Jalen Hurts 10-101-10.1-1 Cam Sims 1-60-60.0-0 at Virginia Tech Kelly Bryant 12-21-186-1-0 Kelly Bryant 19-94-4.9-0 Tavien Feaster 2-63-31.5-1at Texas A&M Jalen Hurts 13-22-123-1-0 Damien Harris 14-124-8.9-1 Jalen Hurts 5-68-13.6-0 vs. Wake Forest Kelly Bryant 21-29-200-1-1 Travis Etienne 15-67-4.5-1 Hunter Renfrow 6-61-10.2-0 Arkansas Jalen Hurts 12-19-155-1-1 Damien Harris 9-125-13.9-2 Calvin Ridley 4-51-12.8-0 at Syracuse Kelly Bryant 12-17-116-0-0 Travis Etienne 5-68-13.6-1 Hunter Renfrow 5-64-12.8-0 Tennessee Jalen Hurts 13-21-198-1-0 Damien Harris 13-72-5.5-1 Calvin Ridley 8-82-10.3-0 Bye Bye vs. Georgia Tech Kelly Bryant 22-33-207-2-0 Kelly Bryant 12-67-5.6-0 Deon Cain 4-57-14.3-1 LSU Jalen Hurts 11-24-183-1-0 Jalen Hurts 14-44-3.1-1 Calvin Ridley 3-61-20.3-0 at NC State Kelly Bryant 20-38-191-1-1 Tavien Feaster 7-105-15.0-1 Deon Cain 9-84-9.3-1at Miss St Jalen Hurts 10-19-242-1-0 Damien Harris 8-93-11.6-1 Calvin Ridley 5-171-34.2-0 Florida St Kelly Bryant 20-30-151-0-0 Travis Etienne 14-97-6.9-2 Hunter Renfrow 4-35-8.8-0 Mercer Jalen Hurts 7-7-180-3-0 Bo Scarbrough 5-54-10.8-0 Calvin Ridley 3-103-34.3-1 vs. The Citadel Kelly Bryant 17-22-230-3-0 Tavien Feaster 4-69-17.3-1 Tee Higgins 6-178-29.7-2at Auburn Jalen Hurts 13-23-177-1-0 Jalen Hurts 17-80-4.7-0 Cam Sims 1-65-65.0-0 at South Carolina Kelly Bryant 23-34-272-2-1 Travis Etienne 9-41-4.6-1 Tee Higgins 3-84-28.0-0 Bye † Miami, Fl Kelly Bryant 23-29-252-1-0 Travis Etienne 6-24-4.0-1 Ray-Ray McCloud 6-100-16.7-0† Clemson vs. Bye

† AlabamaJalen Hurts 136-224-2005-15-1 Damien Harris 110-906-8.2-11 Calvin Ridley 50-828-16.6-3 Kelly Bryant 244-362-2678-13-6 Travis Etienne 103-736-7.1-12 Deon Cain 52-659-12.7-6Tua Tagovailoa 35-53-470-8-1 Jalen Hurts 136-766-5.6-8 Cam Sims 14-259-18.5-1 vs. Zerrick Cooper 25-41-256-2-0 Tavien Feaster 103-667-6.5-8 Hunter Renfrow 55-571-10.4-3JK Scott 1-1--9-0-0 Bo Scarbrough 108-549-5.1-8 Jerry Jeudy 13-244-18.8-2 Hunter Johnson 21-27-234-2-1 Kelly Bryant 173-646-3.7-11 Ray-Ray McCloud 46-502-10.9-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Alabama 1 -6.5 31 16 34-221

Clemson 3 51 35 31 42-91 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Alabama 2 -6.5 45 18 46-138

Clemson 1 50.5 40 31 38-145 -1

vs.

vs.

† AlabamaNet Offense Defense

Ala

bam

a C

rim

son

Tid

e

Alabama DL

Clemson OL

1.17

Alabama LB'S

Clemson RB's

0.21

Alabama QB/WR

Clemson DB's

Alabama OL

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Clemson has the nation’s best DL & the D has held foes to 138 ypg below their ssn avg. Clemson has a solid rush attack & is 8-4-1 ATS. HC Swinney is 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS in his L/10 postssn gms. Clemson beat 5 ranked foes, while Bama beat 3. Despite that, I feel the perfect storm will see the Tide crash in & win. Bama’s D was beat up down the stretch. They not only get back most of the LB’s that missed the end of the ssn, but also Miller & Lewis. Bama has a great OL with my #1 set of RB’s that avg 6.0 ypc. Ridley is a top NFL prospect. Hurts should be highly motivated after LY’s poor title game & his rating is 19 pts higher than Bryant. I give Bama the edge on OFF along with a slight edge on D. defense. Bama feels like the ‘dog as they barely made the playoffs. They are playing with legit revenge & enter off a loss. I’ll call for Bama to win by over a td, making this a ‘Best Bet’ selection.

Clemson ST's Alabama By 3

Projected Rushing14-32-155

36-57-420

16-25-335

Georgia Tech LSU Pass Def at NC Stateat Miss St Total Def Florida St Mercer Score Def The Citadelat Auburn Sks By at South Carolina

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Cle

mso

n T

iger

s

Net Offense

† Miami, Fl† Clemson Total TO's Bye

Ypg Diff

TM REC FOE REC

Alabama Crimson Tide


APTM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOE

Kent St

vs. ACC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

11-1 12-1Tigers Logs

Clemson Tigers

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

FOE

ReceivingRushing

Alabama ClemsonPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score


FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

Auburn Colorado St at Louisville

† Florida St

Boston College Mississippi Pass Off at Virginia Techat Vanderbilt Rush Off

Wake Forest Arkansas Score Off at Syracuse

FOE

Game Grade

ClemsonComp-Att-Yds

Alabama

Clemson Pts

348 yards

Las Vegas Total177 yards 135 yardsAlabama 1.07

Alabama K

0.50

Alabama Coaches

Clemson Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)1.30

Alabama ST's Team & Margin

Alabama LeadersClemson QB/WR

Clemson By 3.0

Alabama By 0.6

Bye

+/- Ratings

0.29


0.67

Alabama DB's

Clemson LB's

0.79

Clemson K

FOE +/-AP TEAM

Tennessee Sks Allowed

FOE

Bye Rush Def

47 Points

vs. SEC

7-1 8-1TM REC

Alabama Pts0.29

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Clemson Coaches

Clemson DL

1.42

Alabama RB's

Crimson Tide Logs

Projected Passing

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Texas A&M Total Off

Fresno StAlabama Clemson

Alabama by 8 Best Bet: ★★ Alabama 28 Clemson 20By 6.85 Points

Alabama 25-22

Team Schedule Strength Alabama Phil Steele57 Alabama Clemson

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

67 Alabama Clemson 108

Computer YardsAlabama 348-339


29

30-47-405

Alabama 339 yards

Clemson

Clemson

Projected Box Score

203 yards172 yards


22 points 7.14Clemson25 points Alabama

Monday, January 1, 2018 • 8:45 pmESPN • Mercedes-Benz Superdome • New Orleans, LA

SUGAR BOWLALABAMA (11-1)ATS: 5-6-1 O/U: 5-7

COMPUTER PROJECTIONS BAMA CLEM 175 rush yd 125 170 pass yd 212 23 pts 24 +12 ytd to +5 #54 sked #28

CHECKLIST BAMA CLEM edge edge

1/2 QB – 44 RB – – WR – 4 OL – – DL 4

– LB – 4 DB – 1/2 CCH – – SITE – – MTCH – 1/2 INT – 441/2 ST – – SKED 4

CLEMSON (12-1)ATS: 8-4-1 O/U: 5-8

OVERALL

ALABAMA BY 6 4’s


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 141 138 1 3 9/2 24-7 W 1 2 24 11 1 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 113 15 9/2 31-10 W 9 7 58 49 61 851-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 144 103 1 9/9 41-10 W 9 1 24 88 103 39 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 134 15 24 9/9 20-19 W 11 16 58 7 24 492-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 142 119 1 9/16 41-23 W 4 1 28 61 93 29 2-0 0-0 129 13 9/16 42-14 W 16 7 323-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 124 1 9/23 59-0 W 1 1 17 62 20 118 #10 #8 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 127 130 11 17 9/23 31-3 W 19 7 58 20 19 694-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 145 114 1 9/30 66-3 W 1 1 24 25 38 26 #91 #110 4-0 3-1 1-0 0-1 131 119 7 9/30 41-0 W 16 4 41 37 43 35-0 4-1 2-0 2-0 149 120 1 10/7 27-12 W 1 1 11 22 17 4 #27 #31 5-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 135 120 5 10/7 45-14 W 17 4 45 86 31 966-0 2-3 3-0 0-2 146 111 1 10/14 41-9 W 1 1 23 32 55 116 #12 #17 6-0 1-4 3-0 0-3 139 106 4 10/14 53-28 W 18 4 22 22 83 367-0 3-3 4-0 0-3 145 115 1 10/21 45-7 W 1 1 21 66 41 9 #54 #25 7-0 4-0 137 3 10/21 8 8 148-0 5-0 144 1 10/28 1 1 24 #1 #20 7-0 3-3 4-0 3-2 137 122 3 10/28 42-7 W 8 8 10 46 26 348-0 6-2 5-0 3-1 144 128 1 19 11/4 24-10 W 1 1 29 24 10 73 #3 #8 8-0 6-2 5-0 4-2 140 121 2 11/4 24-10 W 7 6 14 61 25 489-0 7-2 6-0 3-2 143 127 1 18 11/11 31-24 W 2 1 21 23 20 23 #1 #6 9-0 7-2 6-0 5-1 139 134 2 10 11/11 17-40 L 6 7 14 13 9 60

10-0 7-0 142 11/18 56-0 W 3 1 27 #1 #5 9-1 7-3 6-1 4-3 134 116 7 11/18 42-13 W 9 14 13 64 50 1811-0 9-2 7-0 6-1 143 137 1 6 11/25 14-26 L 2 1 27 9 4 66 #21 #37 10-1 5-5 7-1 4-4 135 122 7 11/25 38-7 W 7 14 11 49 46 105

5 #2 #9 11-1 7-2 7-1 5-1 139 134 6 4 12/2 28-7 W 5 15 11 13 9 6011-1 12-1 0-0 8-1 140 143 4 1 1/1 24-6 W 2 1 22 15 2 100 +13 +5 12-1 12-1 8-1 9-1 142 143 3 2 1/1 54-48 W 5 13 10 1 32 7512-1 13-1 0-0 8-1 143 143 4 3 1/7 2 1 22 5 13 10 13-1 12-1 8-1 0-0 143 143 3 4 1/1 5 13 10 2 1 22



† Florida St 24-7 19 -2 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 Appalachian St 31-10 84 6 -2 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 Fresno St 41-10 224 10 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 18 22-57 2.6 26-41 216 2 at Notre Dame 20-19 61 -2 0 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 Colorado St 41-23 96 1 2 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 Samford 42-14 210 6 0 22 54-284 5.3 9-15 175 0 16 23-22 1.0 26-35 227 3at Vanderbilt 59-0 599 35 2 38 66-496 7.5 17-27 181 1 3 16-40 2.5 7-22 38 0 Miss St 31-3 124 0 1 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 Mississippi 66-3 360 15 2 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 at Tennessee 41-0 236 13 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3at Texas A&M 27-19 47 0 2 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 at Vanderbilt 45-14 313 16 -1 27 54-423 7.8 10-14 126 2 11 22-64 2.9 17-31 172 0 Arkansas 41-9 269 8 -1 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5 Missouri 53-28 384 14 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 Tennessee 45-7 496 28 -1 35 53-272 5.1 22-33 332 2 7 30-64 2.1 9-16 44 4 Bye Bye † Florida 42-7 144 -1 1 14 35-292 8.3 4-7 101 0 15 41-183 4.5 10-25 66 5 LSU 24-10 -7 -2 1 14 36-116 3.2 11-24 183 4 16 42-151 3.6 15-31 155 6 South Carolina 24-10 168 12 1 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2at Miss St 31-24 114 -3 0 19 38-202 5.3 10-18 242 5 22 49-172 3.5 13-24 158 1 at Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 Mercer 56-0 369 13 1 22 42-265 6.3 14-18 265 0 9 39-107 2.7 7-22 54 0 Kentucky 42-13 242 8 0 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3at Auburn 14-26 -94 -10 0 15 38-211 5.6 13-23 103 2 25 49-168 3.4 22-29 240 1 at Georgia Tech 38-7 245 11 1 23 43-247 5.7 12-17 224 0 12 46-188 4.1 2-9 38 1

† Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2† Clemson 24-6 73 2 1 16 42-141 3.4 16-24 120 2 14 33-64 1.9 18-37 124 5 † Oklahoma 54-48 -4 -3 0 21 34-317 9.3 20-29 210 2 24 45-242 5.4 24-36 289 5† Georgia † Alabama


† Florida St Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1 Appalachian St Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1 Fresno St Jalen Hurts 14-18-128-1-0 Jalen Hurts 10-154-15.4-2 Calvin Ridley 5-45-9.0-0 at Notre Dame Jake Fromm 16-29-141-1-1 Sony Michel 13-73-5.6-1 Terry Godwin 2-36-18.0-1 Colorado St Jalen Hurts 12-17-248-2-0 Jalen Hurts 11-103-9.4-1 Calvin Ridley 3-92-30.7-1 vs. Samford Jake Fromm 8-13-165-3-0 Nick Chubb 16-131-8.2-2 Terry Godwin 4-98-24.5-2at Vanderbilt Tua Tagovailoa 8-10-103-2-0 Damien Harris 12-151-12.6-3 Jerry Jeudy 3-68-22.7-1 Miss St Jake Fromm 9-12-201-2-0 Nick Chubb 15-81-5.4-2 Terry Godwin 2-80-40.0-1 Mississippi Jalen Hurts 12-19-197-2-0 Jalen Hurts 10-101-10.1-1 Cam Sims 1-60-60.0-0 at Tennessee Jake Fromm 7-15-84-1-1 Nick Chubb 16-109-6.8-0 Terry Godwin 2-43-21.5-0at Texas A&M Jalen Hurts 13-22-123-1-0 Damien Harris 14-124-8.9-1 Jalen Hurts 5-68-13.6-0 vs. at Vanderbilt Jake Fromm 7-11-102-2-0 Sony Michel 12-150-12.5-1 Terry Godwin 2-70-35.0-1 Arkansas Jalen Hurts 12-19-155-1-1 Damien Harris 9-125-13.9-2 Calvin Ridley 4-51-12.8-0 Missouri Jake Fromm 18-26-326-2-1 D'Andre Swift 6-94-15.7-0 Javon Wims 5-95-19.0-0 Tennessee Jalen Hurts 13-21-198-1-0 Damien Harris 13-72-5.5-1 Calvin Ridley 8-82-10.3-0 Bye Bye vs. † Florida Jake Fromm 4-7-101-1-1 Sony Michel 6-137-22.8-2 D'Andre Swift 3-84-28.0-0 LSU Jalen Hurts 11-24-183-1-0 Jalen Hurts 14-44-3.1-1 Calvin Ridley 3-61-20.3-0 South Carolina Jake Fromm 16-22-196-2-0 Nick Chubb 20-102-5.1-0 Terry Godwin 3-53-17.7-0at Miss St Jalen Hurts 10-19-242-1-0 Damien Harris 8-93-11.6-1 Calvin Ridley 5-171-34.2-0 at Auburn Jake Fromm 13-28-184-1-0 Nick Chubb 11-27-2.5-1 Javon Wims 3-96-32.0-0 Mercer Jalen Hurts 7-7-180-3-0 Bo Scarbrough 5-54-10.8-0 Calvin Ridley 3-103-34.3-1 vs. Kentucky Jake Fromm 9-14-123-1-1 Nick Chubb 15-151-10.1-2 Javon Wims 6-83-13.8-1at Auburn Jalen Hurts 13-23-177-1-0 Jalen Hurts 17-80-4.7-0 Cam Sims 1-65-65.0-0 at Georgia Tech Jake Fromm 12-16-224-2-0 Sony Michel 13-85-6.5-1 Ahkil Crumpton 2-78-39.0-1

† Auburn Jake Fromm 16-22-183-2-0 D'Andre Swift 7-88-12.6-1 Mecole Hardman 4-67-16.8-0† Clemson Jalen Hurts 16-24-120-2-0 Damien Harris 19-77-4.1-0 Calvin Ridley 4-39-9.8-1 vs. † Oklahoma Jake Fromm 20-29-210-2-0 Sony Michel 11-181-16.5-3 Javon Wims 6-73-12.2-1† Georgia † Alabama

Jalen Hurts 152-248-2125-17-1 Damien Harris 129-983-7.6-11 Calvin Ridley 54-867-16.1-4 Jake Fromm 165-259-2383-23-5 Nick Chubb 205-1320-6.4-15 Javon Wims 44-704-16.0-7Tua Tagovailoa 35-53-470-8-1 Jalen Hurts 147-806-5.5-8 Cam Sims 14-259-18.5-1 vs. Jacob Eason 4-7-28-0-0 Sony Michel 142-1129-8.0-16 Terry Godwin 34-591-17.4-6JK Scott 1-1--9-0-0 Bo Scarbrough 120-573-4.8-8 Jerry Jeudy 13-244-18.8-2 Brice Ramsey 1-4-10-0-2 D'Andre Swift 77-603-7.8-3 Mecole Hardman 23-338-14.7-3

Category

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Alabama 13 50.5 38 15 47-189

Georgia 8 -1.5 10 12 38-193 -2

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Alabama 2 -7.5 32 26 51-350

Georgia 3 50.5 28 18 29-113 1

vs.

vs.

Score


† Oklahoma† Alabama

† Florida South Carolinaat Auburn Kentucky


Georgia QB/WR

0.02

Alabama RB's

Alabama By 0.7

Alabama 343-332

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Georgia RB's

0.21

Offense Defense


RushingPassing

Net

Alabama 27 Georgia 16

Alabama 24-20

By 4.22 Points

Alabama


Receiving

Alabama Leaders

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Georgia BulldogsBulldogs LogsCrimson Tide Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

13-1vs. SEC

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

FOE

Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama by 11

1.10

Alabama LB'S

Alabama By 3.5

44.5 Points

Georgia By 1.0

Mississippiat Texas A&M Arkansas Tennessee

† Florida St Fresno St Colorado Stat Vanderbilt

12-1vs. SEC

Rush Def

Score OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ala

bam

a C

rim

son

Tid

e

Geo

rgia

Bu

lldog

s

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

Total Def

153 yards19-34-281


Alabama

Rush Off

Georgia

Pass Off

13-21-162

Comp-Att-Yds

11-16-190

11-31-106

Comp-Att-Yds

at Auburn

† Clemson

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

25

Alabama

Georgia

0.78

12

Experience Rankings

Alabama 194 yards

Alabama Georgia

0.44

Georgia LB's

--PS RANK--TM REC FOE

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF FOE CONF

Pass Def

Score


Projected Passing

190 yards

Team & Margin

138 yards


Alabama DB's

Georgia

8-17-1

at Tennesseeat Vanderbilt Missouri Bye

Appalachian Stat Notre Dame Samford Miss St

at Georgia Tech† Auburn

Alabama Pts

Georgia Pts

Phil's Forecast:

Alabama

Georgia Leaders

Alabama had a banged up LB corps at the end of the year and barely made it into the playoffs. The Tide proved they belonged by dominating No. 1 Clemson 24-6 holding the potent Tigers attack to just 188 total yards and Clemson had under 100 yards offense mid 4Q. Alabama’s offensive line did a decent job against the best defensive line in the country. Georgia got involved in a shootout last week with a botched squib kick giving them a gift FG prior to the half and momentum to come back from a 17 point deficit. This will be a defensive lower scoring game with both teams trying to establish the rush. My computer has this right where Las Vegas does as it has Alabama winning 24.3 to 20.5 so a 4 point margin and a total of 45. Alabama has an edge on the defenseive line and secondary and Georgia at LB especially with Anfernee Jennings out for Alabama. I give Jake Fromm the edge thowing it but Jalen Hurts has a solid 15-1 ratio this year and is a dynamic runner and his running ability could be a key difference. The RB’s are even as these are the top two units in the country and you could debate for weeks which one is #1 and which one is #2. Nick Saban is 11-0 against his former assistants and the Crimson Tide players know what it was like to get to the brink of a title and let it slip away like they did last year. That left a bad taste in their mouths for 12 months and they finally reclaim the title versus a Georgia team that is off a big two OT win and playing in their first ever playoff title game.

1.25

1.11

Alabama OL

0.13

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

0.63

0.88

Georgia DLAlabama DL

Alabama ST's

Georgia ST's

Georgia OL

Alabama QB/WR

Georgia DB's

Phil Steele

5.00

Alabama K

Georgia K

Alabama Coaches

Georgia Coaches

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Georgia

Alabama Georgia 332 yards

Alabama 20 points


Alabama Georgia

Georgia

45

67

24 points

343 yards


TM REC

FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

† Georgia

Bye LSUat Miss St Mercer


0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 58 2 9/2 72-7 W 124 126 62 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 101 1 9/2 34-14 W 124 126 621-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 112 103 2 6 9/9 40-13 W 125 126 62 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 76 1 9/9 52-0 W 125 126 622-0 0-0 116 2 9/23 128 125 89 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 116 73 1 9/16 75-14 W 128 125 892-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 116 74 2 9/23 56-0 W 130 124 79 #4 #19 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 118 99 1 9/23 28-10 W 130 124 793-0 1-3 0-0 0-1 118 83 2 9/30 38-11 W 128 123 87 #88 #41 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 118 94 1 9/30 20-10 W 128 123 874-0 0-4 1-0 0-1 116 94 2 10/7 52-0 W 128 120 78 #8 #21 5-0 2-0 116 1 10/7 128 120 785-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 122 110 2 12 10/14 27-24 W 127 116 99 #2 #8 6-0 4-2 2-0 2-1 116 110 1 11 10/7 30-8 W 127 116 996-0 5-1 3-0 2-1 121 107 2 25 10/21 24-12 W 126 107 71 #31 #76 7-0 2-4 3-0 0-3 118 92 1 10/14 46-14 W 126 107 717-0 4-3 4-0 3-1 120 109 2 8 10/28 30-14 W 126 119 35 #7 #6 7-0 5-2 4-0 3-1 119 98 1 17 10/21 21-0 W 126 119 358-0 6-2 5-0 3-2 120 113 5 10 11/4 21-33 L 127 122 39 #3 #12 8-0 2-6 5-0 0-4 119 88 1 10/28 38-3 W 127 122 398-1 7-2 5-1 4-2 116 111 4 25 11/11 49-14 W 127 118 37 #1 #3 9-0 5-4 6-0 3-3 120 102 1 11/4 20-13 W 127 118 379-1 6-3 6-1 4-3 120 104 4 11/18 20-7 W 128 118 29 #2 #1 10-0 8-2 7-0 6-0 118 96 1 11 11/11 31-3 W 128 118 29

10-1 10-2 7-1 8-0 120 102 4 9 11/25 38-3 W 125 111 35 #23 #5 11-0 10-2 8-0 7-1 119 101 1 10 12/2 26-7 W 125 111 3511-1 10-2 7-1 7-1 122 100 4 5 12/9 42-10 W 122 105 46 12-0 11-2 9-0 7-1 119 112 1 11 12/9 31-28 W 122 105 4612-1 12-1 7-1 8-1 123 104 4 1 12/16 55-13 W 122 104 42 +17 +24 13-0 11-2 9-0 6-2 119 120 1 5 12/16 51-16 W 122 104 4213-1 14-0 7-1 9-0 123 122 1/6 122 104 42 14-0 13-1 9-0 7-1 122 127 1 4 1/6 122 104 42



Miss Valley St 72-7 625 28 1 31 53-498 9.4 11-17 185 0 3 27--31 -1.1 7-22 89 5 at East Carolina 34-14 252 -5 2 23 44-422 9.6 15-22 192 1 28 30-70 0.0 28-53 292 1at Eastern Washington40-13 328 20 0 31 63-375 6.0 13-22 157 1 11 24-70 2.9 10-30 134 2 East Tenn St 52-10 251 10 0 24 39-122 3.1 25-33 304 1 14 32-57 0.0 12-27 118 2 Bye Norfolk St 75-14 637 33 -1 39 65-472 7.3 20-27 256 0 6 30-43 0.0 7-17 48 2 Robert Morris 56-0 393 17 4 21 48-260 5.4 15-24 190 4 4 24-44 1.8 3-16 13 1 Maine 28-10 173 10 1 25 43-191 4.4 21-31 281 3 15 36-137 0.0 20-41 162 4 Missouri St 38-11 200 6 2 21 31-214 6.9 15-21 220 1 15 37-117 3.2 16-21 117 0 at Delaware 20-10 118 7 1 18 54-254 4.7 10-19 93 2 11 37-140 0.0 7-18 89 3at Indiana St 52-0 206 14 5 24 44-246 5.6 21-27 202 0 10 31-124 4.0 8-19 118 2 Byeat Youngstown St 27-24 55 5 0 21 41-280 6.8 11-21 113 1 16 45-150 3.3 11-15 188 6 Villanova 30-8 142 3 2 17 30-45 1.5 20-28 271 2 14 48-144 0.0 5-19 30 6 Western Illinois 24-12 186 7 -1 18 48-181 3.8 11-18 221 1 11 23-31 1.3 17-28 185 5 at William & Mary 46-14 91 6 4 19 50-180 3.6 16-28 209 3 13 32-144 0.0 12-31 154 6 Northern Iowa 30-14 148 4 3 15 41-169 4.1 8-23 136 1 11 37-48 1.3 14-22 109 6 New Hampshire 21-0 146 8 2 19 45-163 3.6 20-27 176 4 11 32-27 0.0 12-32 166 6at South Dakota St21-33 -136 -5 -4 18 27-108 4.0 16-28 229 3 23 36-144 4.0 23-33 329 2 at Rhode Island 38-3 207 9 2 20 38-187 4.9 15-19 163 3 11 32-29 0.0 10-22 114 7 South Dakota 49-14 228 -2 0 21 46-340 7.4 11-12 307 0 23 38-187 4.9 30-47 232 4 Richmond 20-13 18 4 -1 21 39-113 2.9 18-32 229 4 17 19-20 0.0 27-45 304 4at Illinois St 20-7 63 6 1 15 53-267 5.0 2-8 15 4 9 30-106 3.5 8-22 113 0 at Elon 31-3 185 8 -1 23 35-190 5.4 23-32 217 0 15 48-97 0.0 8-18 125 3 San Diego 38-3 298 10 2 20 46-301 6.5 9-17 171 4 10 29-62 2.1 14-29 112 2 Stony Brook 26-7 -7 5 5 20 38-49 1.3 26-35 255 5 15 33-104 0.0 15-36 207 0 Wofford 42-10 287 13 1 21 49-261 5.3 12-17 203 0 8 37-134 3.6 3-12 43 1 Weber St 31-28 220 15 0 26 44-190 4.3 21-45 359 3 11 32-91 0.0 12-30 238 0 Sam Houston St55-13 290 5 3 26 48-471 9.8 11-18 171 0 21 18-63 3.5 29-52 289 1 South Dakota St 51-16 97 -9 8 16 39-257 6.6 20-29 206 1 25 35-120 0.0 19-48 246 5† James Madison † North Dakota St

Average 40-12 226.5 9.1 1.2 22 46-284 6.2 60.8% 180 7.3% 13 31-89 2.9 52.4% 148 10.1% Average 36-10 175.2 8.4 1.7 22 43-186 4.3 66.2% 232 8.1% 14 34-89 0.0 43.2% 154 12.5% Conference 33-14 118.8 4.4 0.8 19 41-226 5.5 60.1% 180 7.0% 15 35-113 3.3 61.4% 174 12.1% Conference 29-8 119.2 6.7 1.7 20 41-152 3.7 67.3% 210 10.4% 14 35-94 0.0 44.3% 150 14.9% Away 32-15 103.2 8.0 0.4 22 46-255 5.6 59.4% 143 8.5% 14 33-119 3.6 50.4% 176 10.1% Away 34-8 150.3 7.5 1.5 20 44-203 4.6 65.3% 171 8.2% 13 37-103 0.0 41.6% 121 21.3%

Miss Valley St Easton Stick 5-5-100-2-0 Lance Dunn 7-142-20.3-2 RJ Urzendowski 3-73-24.3-2 at East Carolina Bryan Schor 17-24-204-1-1 Cardon Johnson 17-265-15.6-2 David Eldridge 3-51-17.0-1at Eastern Washington Easton Stick 13-20-124-0-0 Bruce Anderson 23-160-7.0-1 Nate Jenson 5-75-15.0-0 East Tenn St Bryan Schor 25-33-304-5-1 Marcus Marshall 9-31-3.4-0 Ishmael Hyman 6-93-15.5-2 Bye vs. Norfolk St Bryan Schor 12-16-149-2-1 Trai Sharp 9-130-14.4-1 Clayton Cheatham 1-47-47.0-1 Robert Morris Easton Stick 11-15-132-2-0 Lance Dunn 3-111-37.0-3 Jeff Lilies 3-53-17.7-0 Maine Bryan Schor 21-31-281-4-1 Marcus Marshall 19-135-7.1-0 Ezrah Archie 9-90-10.0-1 Missouri St Easton Stick 15-21-220-2-0 Bruce Anderson 11-106-9.6-1 RJ Urzendowski 6-82-13.7-1 at Delaware Bryan Schor 10-19-93-0-1 Trai Sharp 36-185-5.1-1 Ishmael Hyman 2-51-25.5-0at Indiana St Easton Stick 18-23-191-4-0 Lance Dunn 16-74-4.6-2 Darrius Shepherd 6-94-15.7-0 vs. Byeat Youngstown St Easton Stick 11-20-113-2-0 Easton Stick 11-172-15.6-1 Darrius Shepherd 5-49-9.8-0 Villanova Bryan Schor 20-28-271-2-1 Trai Sharp 11-25-2.3-0 Terrence Alls 7-83-11.9-0 Western Illinois Easton Stick 11-18-221-1-2 Bruce Anderson 21-93-4.4-0 RJ Urzendowski 4-100-25.0-1 at William & Mary Bryan Schor 13-24-186-1-2 Marcus Marshall 11-64-5.8-2 Terrence Alls 7-113-16.1-0 Northern Iowa Easton Stick 8-23-136-1-2 Bruce Anderson 26-78-3.0-1 RJ Urzendowski 2-46-23.0-1 vs. New Hampshire Bryan Schor 20-27-176-2-1 Trai Sharp 18-83-4.6-0 John Miller 5-65-13.0-0at South Dakota St Easton Stick 16-28-229-2-3 Ty Brooks 6-49-8.2-0 Darrius Shepherd 7-95-13.6-0 at Rhode Island Bryan Schor 14-17-150-4-0 Percy Agyei-Obese 10-95-9.5-0 Terrence Alls 5-73-14.6-1 South Dakota Easton Stick 11-12-307-1-0 Lance Dunn 9-152-16.9-3 Jeff Lilies 2-96-48.0-0 Richmond Bryan Schor 18-32-229-0-1 Trai Sharp 13-60-4.6-1 David Eldridge 4-81-20.3-0at Illinois St Easton Stick 2-8-15-0-0 Bruce Anderson 22-95-4.3-1 Dallas Freeman 1-12-12.0-0 vs. at Elon Bryan Schor 22-29-214-0-1 Bryan Schor 9-76-8.4-3 Terrence Alls 5-73-14.6-0 San Diego Easton Stick 9-16-171-3-0 Bruce Anderson 14-112-8.0-0 RJ Urzendowski 5-55-11.0-1 Stony Brook Bryan Schor 26-35-255-2-0 Percy Agyei-Obese 7-15-2.1-0 Terrence Alls 10-94-9.4-1 Wofford Easton Stick 11-16-184-3-0 Seth Wilson 15-74-4.9-0 Connor Wentz 1-48-48.0-1 Weber St Bryan Schor 21-45-359-1-1 Marcus Marshall 14-128-9.1-2 Riley Stapleton 8-189-23.6-1 Sam Houston St Easton Stick 10-17-160-4-1 Seth Wilson 24-194-8.1-0 Bruce Anderson 2-54-27.0-2 vs. South Dakota St Bryan Schor 18-25-203-2-0 Marcus Marshall 15-203-13.5-2 David Eldridge 5-75-15.0-0† James Madison † North Dakota St

Easton Stick 151-242-2303-27-8 Bruce Anderson 216-1153-5.3-11 RJ Urzendowski 35-589-16.8-8 Bryan Schor 257-385-3074-26-12 Marcus Marshall 132-820-6.2-10 Terrence Alls 53-681-12.8-2Cole Davis 11-20-157-1-0 Lance Dunn 89-786-8.8-15 Darrius Shepherd 35-485-13.9-0 vs. Cole Johnson 14-23-141-1-1 Trai Sharp 159-715-4.5-29 David Eldridge 41-524-12.8-5Henry Van Dellen 4-9-27-0-0 Easton Stick 98-628-6.4-12 Jeff Lilies 19-294-15.5-3 Hunter Etheridge 1-1-8-0-0 Cardon Johnson 37-347-9.4-3 Riley Stapleton 35-508-14.5-5

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.James Madison 27 15 40-201 1

North Dakota St 17 20 39-132 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

11-18-242

19-38-216

OVERALL:

13-1 14-0North Dakota St Bison OVERALL:

#N/A

#N/A

Las Vegas Total

North Dakota St LB'S

#N/AJames Madison QB/WR

#N/A

#N/A

North Dakota St DB's

North Dakota St 22-18

(UNDER 48) North Dakota St 21 James Madison 18#N/A

#N/A

This is a meeting of the Preseason #1 & #2 teams. Returning National Champion James Madison comes into this game with a 26 game win streak including a 27-17 win over North Dakota St LY in the semi-finals and a perfect 14-0 TY. The Bison are 13-1 since that loss. LY the Dukes won on the road 27-17. They jumped out to a 17-0 2Q lead, but was 17-17 after 3Q. JMU scored 10 pts on their first two drives of the 4Q and NDSU was SOD on their final 2 poss. JMU finished with a 443-348 yd edge (-1 TO). The Bison have the offensive edge (#8 to #21) which is why the are actually the favorite here. I expect this game to be close and so slightly lean with JMU plus the points. I think the better play here is the UNDER as JMU has the FCS #1 scoring & #3 ttl defense while NDSU has the #2 scoring & #1 ttl defense.

Phil's Forecast:

48 Points

+/- Ratings

#N/A

North Dakota St -5

Game Grade#N/A

James Madison Pts

North Dakota St 18 points


Projected Final Score#N/A22 points James Madison

Experience Rankings

#N/A North Dakota St James Madison #N/A

#N/A North Dakota St #N/AJames MadisonComputer Points

Computer YardsNorth Dakota St Pts

#N/A

North Dakota St James Madison 169 yards

James Madison 134 yards #N/A

North Dakota St K

James Madison K

#N/A

North Dakota St Coaches

James Madison

Projected Rushing

303 yards


James Madison Coaches

#N/A

369 yards North Dakota StProjected Yardage Total


Defense

Score Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC

FOE REC

at Indiana St Total Off Byeat Youngstown St Score Off Villanova

Robert Morris Rush Off Maine Missouri St Pass Off at Delaware

Miss Valley St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at East Carolinaat Eastern Washington

North Dakota St James Madison

FOE +/-

AP

FOE FOE

TEAM

James Madison DukesBison Logs vs. MVFC vs. CAA Dukes Logs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP FOETM

CONF TM CONF--PS RANK--FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE REC

7-1 9-0FOE TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

North Dakota St QB/WR

#N/AJames Madison LB's

James Madison DL

James Madison RB's

#N/A

East Tenn St Bye Norfolk St

at Illinois St Score Def at Elon San Diego Sks By Stony Brook

at South Dakota St Pass Def at Rhode Island South Dakota Total Def Richmond

Western Illinois Sks Allowed at William & Mary Northern Iowa Rush Def New Hampshire

#N/A

North Dakota St OL

North Dakota St DL

#N/AJames Madison OL

† James Madison † North Dakota StNet Defense

Nor

th D

akot

a S

t B

ison

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Wofford


Jam

es M

adis

on D

uke

s

North Dakota St James Madison

Offense

Weber St Sam Houston St Total TO's South Dakota St

North Dakota St 369-303

James Madison Leaders

Net

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score #N/A

North Dakota St ST's

#N/AJames Madison ST's

North Dakota St Leaders

Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

238 yards North Dakota St

Phil SteeleNorth Dakota St by 3

Team & Margin


Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineNorth Dakota St -4.5

#N/A

#N/A

North Dakota St RB's

James Madison DB's

#N/A

Documents

HIL STEELES Bowl Confidence Picks Click Here Ini h roplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/...HIL STEELES Ini h ro BEST BETS in green High Scoring in red Bowl Confidence Picks