Historical Election Analysis

February 24, 2010

Jon GoresSenior Vice President(206) 389-4043 Direct(206) 660-6742 Mobilejgores@dadco.com

Chad CowanVice President(206) 903-8697 Direct(206) 518-1909 Mobileccowan@dadco.com

Educational Service District No. 113Educational Service District No. 113

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Discussion Topics Election Results from February of 2010

Recent Bonds Results

Historical Analysis of M&O Results

Historical Analysis – M&O Approval Percentages

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Districts continue to receive strong support from voters:

- M&O Levies: 163 are passing with only 1 failing

- Capital Projects Levies: 31 are passing and only 1 is failing- Transportation Levies: All 4 are passing- Bond Authorizations: 7 are passing and 4 are failing

(compared with 1 of 7 in February of 2009)

February 9, 2010 – Election Results

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Many trends across the state continue: In 2010, M&O Levies on the East side received a slightly higher

percentage of yes votes than the West side: Statewide Yes Votes: 63.35% East Yes Votes: 64.51% West Yes Votes: 62.44% ESD 113 District: 61.05%

Since 2000, M&O Levies on the East side received a slightly higher percentage of yes votes than the West side:

Statewide Yes Votes: 65.47% East Yes Votes: 66.21% West Yes Votes: 65.47% ESD 113 District: 66.13%*

* When only even year elections are analyzed (majority of elections in ESD 113 are held in even years), the approval percentage is 63.50%, in line with West side even year results of 63.47%.

February 9, 2010 – Election Results

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Bond Election Results 2009-2010: East vs. West

Western Washington Eastern Washington

February 2009

Quillayute Valley Pass Royal FailOcosta Fail College Place FailMary M. Knight Fail East Valley (Spokane) FailNorth Mason Fail

March 2009

Vashon Island Fail Kennewick FailSnoqualmie Valley Pass North Franklin PassPuyallup Fail Bickelton PassTacoma Fail Davenport PassAuburn Fail Pateros PassBurlington-Edison Fail Spokane Pass

Sunnyside Pass

West Valley (Yakima) Fail

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Bond Election Results 2009-2010: East vs. West

Western Washington Eastern Washington

April 2009Methow Valley Pass

May 2009

Bainbridge Island Fail Kennewick PassOcosta Fail Royal Fail

College Place Fail

Yakima Pass

August 2009

Bridgeport Pass

November 2009Bainbridge Island Pass

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Bond Election Results 2009-2010: East vs. West

Western Washington Eastern Washington

February 2010

Shoreline Pass Cheney PassLake Washington Fail Medical Lake PassNorthshore Pass Columbia FailClover Park Pass Pomeroy PassOrcas Island Fail

Marysville Fail

Meridian Pass

TOTAL # of Issues # of Issues Passed

Western Washington 20 7Eastern Washington 21 13

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Voting Trends – Bond Measures: East vs. West

* Excludes Columbia (Stevens County), which received 35% yes votes.

Year State West East 2007 59% 60% 58%2008 56% 55% 59%2009 57% 52% 61%2010* 60% 59% 62%

Average Percent "Yes" Votes

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Trends across the state: From 2000-2007, statewide approval of M&O

Levies was approximately 66% From 2008-2010, the M&O approval rate dropped

to 63% (not concerning by itself). However, there was a dramatic increase in the

percentage of districts that are below 60%: From 2000-2006: 16% From 2008-2010: 34%** Nearly 40% of Westside Districts had approval rates below 60%.

Historical M&O Results

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Historical Results – The State, The East, The West and ESD 113

Year Total State: East: West: ESD 113:2000 184 65.47% 66.26% 63.26% 63.19%2001 51 67.47% 68.75% 65.48% 66.78%2002 231 66.72% 67.60% 66.01% 66.96%2003 70 66.12% 66.08% 66.19% 75.30%2004 203 66.40% 68.42% 64.40% 64.53%2005 51 65.00% 64.63% 65.59% 63.61%2006 225 65.75% 66.37% 65.08% 65.49%2007 37 68.75% 69.88% 67.09% 74.01%2008 160 62.02% 64.04% 59.61% 59.76%2009 49 63.78% 64.62% 61.45% 66.73%2010 164 63.35% 64.51% 62.44% 61.05%

Average: 130 65.53% 66.47% 64.24% 66.13%Even Year Average: 195 64.95% 66.20% 63.47% 63.50%

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Historical M&O Results – By Percent of Yes Votes

Approval Percentages are sliding down

Year Less than 50% 50-55% 55%-60% 60-65% 65-70% 70%+2000 1.63% 3.26% 14.13% 33.15% 32.61% 15.22%2001 1.96% 1.96% 11.76% 29.41% 23.53% 31.37%2002 0.00% 2.16% 10.39% 26.41% 35.93% 25.11%2003 2.86% 0.00% 12.86% 31.43% 31.43% 21.43%2004 0.49% 1.48% 13.79% 30.05% 26.60% 27.59%2005 0.00% 7.84% 21.57% 25.49% 17.65% 27.45%2006 0.89% 3.11% 11.11% 28.44% 34.22% 22.22%2007 2.70% 0.00% 5.41% 21.62% 24.32% 45.95%2008 2.50% 11.25% 27.50% 31.25% 13.13% 14.38%2009 2.04% 10.20% 18.37% 26.53% 26.53% 16.33%2010 1.22% 9.15% 21.95% 31.71% 20.12% 15.85%

Average: 1.48% 4.58% 15.35% 28.68% 26.01% 23.90%3-YR Average: 1.92% 10.20% 22.61% 29.83% 19.93% 15.52%

Levy Support Detail - By % of Yes Votes