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HIV & AIDS Cases in Alameda County
Presentation to the CCPCAugust 24, 2011
Elaine Bautista & Alex Marr
What is Epidemiology?
The study of the distributions (who, where and when) and determinants (what and why) of morbidity (sickness) and mortality (death) among human populations
AIDS Epidemiology Terminology
Proportion = Percent of cases
Incidence = new cases in time period
Prevalence = existing cases in time period
Cumulative = all cases ever reported regardless if alive or deceased
Rate
The occurrence of an event (disease), accounting for the size of the population
Infers a measure of time Allows for comparisons of populations The number of cases occurring during a
specific time period divided by the population during that time period
Usually expressed per 1,000 or 100,000
Rate (Cont.)
Case Rate
Example: the rate in Alameda County for 2000 is:
and the rate among African Americans in 2000 is:
* 100,000 Number of casesTotal Population = Rate
225___ 1,443,741
x 100,000 = 15.6
x 100,000 = 60.2 _127___ 211,124
When stratified by race and sex, some HIV diagnostic values are too low to ascertain a case rate. We present the full race breakdown by percentage of new HIV diagnoses. However, we focused on the following three races with high enough counts for the 2006-2010 trend: Latino African American White
As HIV surveillance by name was implemented in 2006, HIV diagnostic data before 2006 may not be comparable.
For the purposes of this presentation, cases (including transgender cases) are categorized by the Sex at birth.
Caveats – Potential Limitations
HIV/AIDS Diagnoses, Deaths and persons Living with HIV/AIDS
Alameda Co. California
Diagnosis of HIV, 2010 108 --
Diagnosis of AIDS, 2010 137 --
Average HIV/AIDS Rate, 2008-10 19.8 per 100,000
--
Cumulative diagnosis of HIV, 1980-2010
1,413 41,892
Cumulative diagnosis of AIDS infection, 1980-2010
8,038 159,329
Cumulative deaths in persons with HIV
23 1,385
Cumulative deaths in persons with AIDS
4,345 88,842
HIV & AIDS Infections by Year of Diagnosis and Deaths among Persons with HIV Infection
HIV/AIDS Cases by Sex
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). eHARS. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, [2006-2010].
Number of Newly Reported HIV (non-AIDS) Cases,Alameda County 2006-2010
Annual HIV/AIDS Case rates by Race/Ethnicity and Year of Diagnosis
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
Per 1
00,0
00 re
side
nts
All Races African Amer Asian/Pac Isl Latinos Whites
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). eHARS. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, [2006-2010].
Percentage of Newly Reported HIV (non-AIDS) Cases By Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County 2006-2010
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). eHARS. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, [2006-2010].
Percentage of Newly Reported HIV (non-AIDS) Cases By Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County 2006-2010
Latino21%
White35%
Asian/Pacific Islander
27%
African American/Black13%
Multi-Race4%
All Females by Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2008 Population
White12%
Latino13%
Asian/Pacific Islander
5%
African American/Black
70%
Percent of Reported HIV Cases Among Females by Race Ethnicity, Alameda County (2006-2010)
Newly Reported HIV/AIDS Infections by Reported Transmission Mode and Sex, Alameda County 2000-2010
Newly Reported HIV/AIDS Infections among Males by Reported Transmission Mode and Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2000-2010
Latino Males
Newly Reported HIV/AIDS Infections among Females by Reported Transmission Mode by Race/Ethnicity, Alameda County, 2000-2010
Latina
Injection Drug Users (includes IDU and MSM&IDU)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
# of
Cas
es
Latino Amer Indian/Alaska Nat African Amer White Asian/Pac Isl Multi-race
Case Rates of Newly Reported HIV (non-AIDS) Cases by Race/Ethnicity,Alameda County 2006-2010
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Cas
e R
ate
Per
100
,000
P
op
ula
tio
n
Year of HIV Diagnosis
HIV (non-AIDS) Cases Among MalesAlameda County 2006-2010
Latino African American/Black White
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Cas
e R
ate
Per
100
,000
Po
pu
lati
on
Year of HIV Diagnosis
HIV (non-AIDS) Cases Among Males and FemalesAlameda County 2006-2010
Latino African American/Black White
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). eHARS. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, [2006-2010].
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Cas
e R
ate
Per
100
,000
P
op
ula
tio
n
Year of HIV Diagnosis
HIV (non-AIDS) Cases Among FemalesAlameda County 2006-2010
Latina African American/Black White
Case Rates of Newly Reported HIV (non-AIDS) Cases by Race/Ethnicity,Alameda County 2006-2010
0
1
2
3
4
5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Cas
e R
ate
Per
100
,000
P
op
ula
tio
n
Year of HIV Diagnosis
HIV (non-AIDS) Cases Among Females, Alameda County 2006-2010
Latina White, Non-Latina
0
2
4
6
8
10
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Cas
e R
ate
Per
100
,000
P
op
ula
tio
n
Year of HIV Diagnosis
HIV (non-AIDS) Cases Among Males and Females, Alameda County 2006-2010
Latino White, Non-Latino
0
5
10
15
20
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Cas
e R
ate
Per
100
,000
P
op
ula
tio
n
Year of HIV Diagnosis
HIV (non-AIDS) Cases Among MalesAlameda County 2006-2010
Latino White, Non-Latino
HIV and AIDS Cases by Age GroupAlameda County, 2000-2010
HIV (non-AIDS) Cases by Age Group, Alameda County 2000-2010
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Proportion of HIV (non-AIDS) Cases by Age Group,Alameda County 2000-2010
0-12 13-19 20-2930-39 40-49 50+
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Number of HIV (non-AIDS) Cases by Age Group,Alameda County 2000-2010
0-12 13-19 20-2930-39 40-49 50+
AIDS Cases by Age Group, Alameda County 2000-2010
Persons Living with HIV/AIDSAlameda County, 1990-2010
Demographic Characteristics of PLWH/A *(Includes cases residing in Alameda County but diagnosed elsewhere)
Demographic Characteristics of PLWH/A *(Includes cases residing in Alameda County but diagnosed elsewhere)
Case Fatality = the number of deaths in a sub-population
MALES
Race/Ethnicity
Cumulative Total HIV+ Cases
#Deaths Case Fatality
African Amer
3183 1529 48.0%
Amer Ind/AK Native
16 6 37.5%
Asian/Pac Isl
288 80 27.8%
Latino 1023 358 35.0%
White 3410 1872 54.9%
FEMALES
Race/Ethnicity
Cumulative Total HIV+ Cases
#Deaths Case Fatality
African Amer
963 331 34.4%
Amer Ind/AK Native
7 6 85.7%
Asian/Pac Isl
64 14 21.9%
Latina 156 45 28.9%
White 234 97 41.5%
Late Testers
The number of individuals who progress to AIDS within one year of initial HIV diagnosis. Includes those with HIV & AIDS simultaneous diagnosis.
As a % of AIDS Cases
3791
8038= 47.2%
As a % of all HIV Positive Cases
3791
9451= 40.1%
Late Testers
Percent Late Testers among each Demographic Characteristics (% of Group who were Late Testers)
Characteristics of Late Testers (n=3791)
Characteristics of Transgendered Persons in Alameda Co.
White3%
Black82%
Latino10% Asian/Pac Isl
3%
Multi-race2%
Race/Ethnicity
# Cases
Conclusions
The number of diagnosed HIV cases surpassed the number of AIDS cases in 2010.
HIV/AIDS cases are predominantly among Males. Females comprise 15-20% of diagnosed cases.
African Americans comprise the majority of HIV/AIDS cases, followed by Whites and Latinos.
HIV/AIDS is diagnosed predominantly among individuals aged 20-49. A slight increase in older adults age 50 years and above has been seen in recent years.
New way of looking at Persons Living with HIV/AIDS to include new residents who were diagnosed elsewhere.
New ways of looking at late testers. The use of the data will depend on the completeness of the surveillance data and the message being conveyed.