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HIV&HCVinTN:StateoftheState
VanderbiltCCCHIVSymposiumNashville,TN/November3,2017
CarolynWester,MD,MPH|TDHHIV/STD/VHProgram
Outline
• HIVEpidemiology
• “Neutralizing”theHIVCoC
• HCVEpidemiology
• HIVVulnerability
• OutbreakDetection&Response
• HIV&HCVMolecularSurveillance
HIV&AIDSinTN(1982-2015)
HIVdiseasebystatusandyearofdiagnosis(TN,2005-2015)
954 939972
996
712753
923
784
865861 852
Male-to-malesexualcontact
Heterosexualcontact
Injectiondruguse
NewlyDiagnosedHIVintheU.S.byTransmissionCategory(U.S.,2005– 2014)
Diagno
ses,n
YearCDCNationalHIVSurveillanceSystemdata
2020HIVContinuumofCareGoals:NHAS,90-90-90,&Tennessee
• NHAS– Reduce new infections by 25%– 85% linkage < 1 month of diagnosis
• 90-90-90• 90% diagnosed
• 90% on treatment– 90% virally suppressed
• TN Goals*• 85% newly diagnosed “linked” to care < 1 month diagnosis• 90% prevalent diagnosed engaged in care
• 90% engaged virally suppressed
TennesseeHIVContinuumofCare:2010,2015,2020Goals)
*2020linkagegoalrelatestolinkagewithin1monthofdiagnosis;whereasfor2010&2015,linkageiswithin3monthsofdiagnosis.
64%
29% 35%
71%
53% 52%
*85% 90%
81%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Linked Engaged VirallySuppressed
2010
2015
2020
TennesseeHIVContinuumofCare:LinkagetoCare< 3MonthsofDiagnosis(2012– 2015)
72% 80% 76%
71%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
100%
2012 2013 2014 2015
%new
lydiagnosed
linkedto
care
Linkagetocare:individualsnewlydiagnosedwithHIVin2015andhaving≥1CD4orVLresultreported<3monthsofdiagnosis.Datasource:TennesseeeHARS,accessedJune30,2017.Provisionaldata,donotdistribute.
TennesseeHIVContinuumofCare:LinkagetoCarebyTimefromDiagnosis(2015)
47%
71% 79%
86%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
100%
1Month 3Months 6Months 1Year
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
%personsate
pide
miologicrisk
TheHIVNeutral HIVContinuumofCare
Undiagnosed
Diagnosed
HIVCAREANDPREVENTIONARETHESAME=GETTINGTOHIVNEUTRAL
SlidecourtesyofDr.DemetreDaskalakis(NYCDOH)
WorkingtheNeutralCoC:WhatWeHave
• Testing– HDs– CBOs
• Prevention• Treatment• PrEP• SSP• MAT
• Treatment• Linkage(delinquent)• Re-engagementutilizingD2C
WorkingtheNeutralCoC:WhatWeNeed
• RapidAccesstoTreatment– “Rapid-Rapid”testingalgorithms– “Test&Treat”initiatives
• AugmentedPrevention• PrEP• nPEP• SSP
• ExpandedRe-EngagementActivities• D2C(Re-engagement)
WhatThisMightLookLike:Test&Treat,PrEP,nPEP
• Who(identify)• HIVtesting(rapid– rapid)andSTDscreening
• High-risknegatives(historysyphilis,rectalGC/Chl)• Positives(newlydiagnosed,priorsOOC)
• Services– Treatment:MCM,labs,treatment(newdx,priorsARTnaïve)– Prevention:PrEP,nPEP(?)
• Where– CloseproximitytoHDactivities
• How• Costumerfocused:Hoursofoperation,limitedwait,stigma-freeenvt• On-sitestaff:MCM,nurse,APN/PA/physician• On-siteservices:Labs,casemanagement,start-upmeds• Referraltolocalprovidersforon-goingcare
WhatThisMightLookLike:Test&Treat,PrEP,nPEP
• Funding• StateHIVfunding??
• Staff• Pre-RyanWhiteregistration
– Casemanagement– Laboratorytesting– Medications
» 2weeksofARVs» 1monthofPrEP» 1monthnPEP
• Operationalizing• ProviderswithHIVexpertise• HDco-location• Accesstomedicationsat340bprices(STDFormulary?)• Test&Treat:NOTappropriatefortreatmentexperiencedclients• nPEP:GatewaytoPrEP,butdemandmayoverwhelmotheractivities
NextSteps
v SecureFunding
v PilotTest&Treat,PrEP,nPEP
v Establishandscale-upSSPs
v Outbreakpreparednessandresponse
IntersectionofEpidemics
OpioidAbuse
HepatitisC HIV
DistributionofAcuteHCV&NewHIVCaseRatesinTN(2016)
TennesseeNBS,accessedFebruary10,2017TennesseeeHARS,accessedJune30,2017
PopulationSource,AmericanCommunitySurvey2011-2015CountyAverages
AcuteHCVCases
NewlyDiagnosedHIVCases
ReportedCasesofAcute HCVinTN
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
US caserate 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8
cases 1,229 1,778 2,138 2,194 2,436
TN caserate 1.3 2.0 1.5 1.9 2.6
cases 83 129 98 123 173
rank 4th 4th 6th 5th 4th
http://www.cdc.gov/hepatitis/statistics/2015surveillance/pdfs/2015hepsurveillancerpt.pdf*per100,000population
NewlyReportedCasesofChronic HCVinTN
*CentralofficechronicHCVsurveillanceeffortsaugmentedbeginning7/1/15
CaseClassification
2013 2014 2015* 2016
Confirmed 1,782(44%)
3,385(50%)
7,394(59%)
10,442(50%)
Probable 2,234 3,421 5,244 10,496
Total(C+P) 4,016 6,806 12,628 20,938
Confirmed&ProbableCasesofChronicHCVinTN(2016)(n=20,938)
HCVPrevalenceAmongWomenwithLiveBirths(TN&U.S.,2009– 2014)
3.84.7
5.4
7.07.8
10.0
1.8 2.0 2.22.6
3.03.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Per 1
,000
Liv
e Bi
rths
Year
Tennessee US
PatrickSetal,MMWR2017
EstimatingtheTotalBurdenofHCVinTN
v StatelevelHCVPrevalenceEstimatesUsingNHANESDatao TNpopulation=6,651,194o EstimatedrateHCV(+)inU.S.=1.3%
o EstimatedcasesHCVAb(+)inTN=86,466o Past5yrs,acuteHCVrateTN2.1– 3.3xhigherthanU.S.
o Initialweighted estimatedcasesHCVAb(+)inTN=233,456
v Accountfor#HCV Ab(+)casesinTN’snon-civilianpopulationo ~23%HCVAb(+)individualsintheU.S.arenotaccountedforinNHANES*
o Incarcerated,homeless,hospitalized,nursinghomes,military,reservationso Adjustingforestimatesamongnon-civilianpopulation…
FinalestimateHCVAb(+)casesinTN=303,189
*EdlinBR,etal.TowardamoreaccurateestimateoftheprevalenceofhepatitisCintheUnitedStates.Hepatology2015;62:1353–1363.
ContextforOutbreak Planning
TNCountiesHighlyVulnerabletoHIV/HCVOutbreakAmongPWID
VanHandelMMetal,JAIDS,2016
HCVTesting&GHOSTPilotinTN
• June1– October31,2016
4,753ptstestedforHCV• 8.4%Ab(+)
• 73.2%RNA(+)
HCVTesting:HDPilotResults(cont’d)
RiskFactor Totaln(%)
N=4753
HCVAb(+)n(%)N=397
HCVAb(-)n(%)
N=4356
PValue
Injectiondruguse 425(8.9) 276(64.9) 149 (35.1) <0.0001
Intranasaldruguse 967(20.3) 295(30.5) 672(69.5) <0.0001
Tattoo/piercing 1092(23.0) 188(17.2) 904(82.8) <0.0001
Incarceration 1309(27.5) 303(23.1) 1006(76.9) <0.0001
Transfusion 62(1.3) 13(21.0) 49(79.0) 0.0003
Noriskfactors 2598(54.7) 39(1.5) 2559(98.5) <0.0001
v 4,753personstestedo 8.4%Abpositive
§ 74.1%RNApositive
OutbreakResponseWorkgroup
DevelopedTools
Outbreak Response Plan
Outbreak Response Form
REDCap Database
SNA R Code
Specimen Collection and Transport
RegionalClusterInvestigation(Apr2017)
OnApril21,2017• NotifiedofuptickinnewHIVdiagnosesin2PHRs
– 1pairlinkedPWID (namedascontacts)
• PromptedaninvestigationintoapossibleclusterofHIV/HCV
ActionItems• MobilizedOutbreakResponseFormandREDCapDatabase• DevelopedHIVClusterCaseDefinition• Developed“SituationReport”• EstablishedICSroles®ularcallschedule(CO,PHRs,Lab)• Distributedspecimencollectiontransportguidelines
“SituationReport”Elements• CurrentSituation
– Definitions– #HIVCases/#Contacts
• #InterviewedwithOBRF• #Specimenscollected
• EpiCurve
• LineLists– Cases:HIVDx,RiskFactors,HCVstatus– Contacts:ContactType(P1,P2,P3),HCVstatus
• LaboratoryTestResults– HIV,HCV,HBVtesting
• ActionSteps
“EpiCurve”(HIVClusterInvestigation)
HIV&HCVMolecularTesting• Goal
– Focusoncasesandcontacts• Intervieww/OBRF• Collectspecimens
– HIVtesting(HIVmolecularsurveillance)– HCVtesting(GHOSTtesting)– HBVscreening
• Reality– “Outreach”testingconductedfirstweekendofinvestigation– Manycontactswithlimitedinfoorsimplydidnotwanttobefound– Importanttoembedphlebotomyinoutreach– OftennotenoughspecimenforbothHIVandHCVmoleculartesting
SocialNetworkAnalysis
SocialNetworkAnalysis
HIVMolecularTesting
• ToidentifyexistingHIVtransmissionnetworks
• HIVMolecularTesting– 16casestested
• 9 “recent” and 4 “prevalent” HIV infections (3 unknown)• 3clustersidentified
– 2personcluster(MSM,MSM)– 2personcluster(MSM,NIR)– 4personcluster(MSM/PWIDx3,MSMx1)
IdentifyingLinkages:HIVMolecularTesting
HCVMolecularTesting(GHOST)
• ToidentifyexistingHCVtransmissionnetworksasaharbingerofpotentialHIVtransmissionnetworksamongPWID
• Builtlabcapacityduring2016HCVtestingpilotinEasternTN
HCVTesting&GHOSTPilotinTN
• June1– October31,2016
4,753ptstestedforHCV• 8.4%Ab(+)
• 73.2%RNA(+)(n=291forGHOST)
GHOST-identifiedtransmissionnetworks
TNPilotcases291samples
8transmissionclusters(19cases)
Unrelatedcases
Linkagebytransmission(>96.3%seq.identity)
0.037
GHOST:HIVClusterInvestigation
• 22HCVRNA(+)positivepersonsidentified– 7fromHIVclusterinvestigation– 15from“outreach”testing
• 4linkagesidentified(allfrom“outreach”testing)– 2personcluster…..bothHIV(-)– 1personlinkedto2016pilot– 1personlinkedto2016pilot
# #HCVTested(PWID)
#HCVAb(+)(PWID)
#HCVRNA(+)
HIVCases 33 15(5) 3(3) 1
PriorHIVPositives 12 0 0 0
Contacts 95 10(8) 8 (8) 6
“Outreach” 22 22 15 15
OngoingTNHCVsurveillance
0.037
(291)Pilotcases+
(7)Clustercases+
(15)Outreachcases
3additionalclusters(totalof11)
LessonsLearned/NextSteps
LessonsLearned• Betterintegrationofteams(PHEP/CO/PHRs)• Missedalotoftestingopportunities
– Ensureadequatesamplecollection– DBtocapturemoleculartestingresults
NextSteps• Securesoftwaretoincorporate
moleculartestingintoSNA• SecureEpiforoutbreaksurgecapacity• Intelligentresourceallocation
– GHOST(outbreaksvs.vulnerablecounties)• Develop“One-Stop-Shops”
ThankYou!
TDHHIV/STD/VHShanellMcGoyLindseySizemoreMichaelRicklesJenniferBlackMeredithBrantleySamanthaMathiesonMelissaMorrison
TDHCEDEPMary-MargaretFillRendiMurphreeCorinneDavisJuliaSchaffner
NYCDOHDemetreDaskalakis
CDCYuryKhudyakovSumathiRamachandranPhilPetersBillSwitzer
TDHStateLaboratoryRickSteeceJimGibsonPaulaGibbsLindaThomas