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1
Household Indebtedness2012 Household Budget Survey
Rajive Ajodhea18 November 2013
2
Debt Coverage
• At the 2012 Household Budget Survey, the
households surveyed were requested to state
the amount they had disbursed as repayment
of debt during the reference period
3
Debt prevalence, 2012
Housing
Household appliances
Furniture
Motor vehicle
Audio-visual equipment
Education
Health
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
57.5
17.5
14.3
13.4
9.9
7.2
2.3
% of households
Item
of D
ebt
• Among indebted households, housing was the most common item of debt, followed by household appliances and furniture
• 45.3 % of the surveyed households reported having at
least one debt repayment
4
Debt repayment, 2012
• On the average, an indebted household disbursed Rs 6,830 per
month on debt repayment in 2012
• The average household disposable income1 of an indebted household
was Rs 37,180 in 2012
• Debt repayment represents 18.4% of the disposable income of
indebted households
1Income from employment, property and transfer less income less taxes and social security contributions
5
Debt repayment by item, 2012
• Housing was the item of
debt with the largest debt
repayment followed by
motor vehicle and
education.Housing
Motor vehicle
Education
Health
Furniture
Household appliances
Audio-visual equipment
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
6,690
5,960
5,470
2,650
1,510
1,300
1,210
Debt repayment (Rs)
Item
of d
ebt
6
Components of household debt repayment, 2012
* Include furniture, audio-visual equipment and household appliances **include wedding, computer, mobile phone, solar water heater, personal loans and health
• Housing represented the largest share of debt repayment
Housing56%
Motor vehicle12%
Household durable*
8%
Education6%
Other debt**18%
7
Indebtedness by income quintile of household, 2012
Income Quintile
Percentage of households
indebted
Average monthly debt repayment
(Rs)
Average disposable income of indebted
households (Rs)First Quintile 21.4 2,630 11,500
Second Quintile 37.3 2,910 18,190
Third Quintile 48.3 3,710 23,930
Fourth Quintile 56.4 5,580 33,530
Fifth Quintile 63.7 13,600 68,530
All households 45.3 6,830 37,180
• Prevalence of indebtedness increase with the income of household• Households in the fifth quintile are three times more likely to be
indebted than those in the first quintile, 63.7% against 21.4%• The monthly debt repayment among the fifth quintile was Rs 13,600,
five times higher than that among the first quintile
8
Indebted households (%) by item of debt and quintile group of household income, 2012
Item of debt
First Quintile
Second Quintile
Third Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Fifth Quintile
All Households
Housing 36.0 50.2 53.8 62.0 67.7 57.5 Motor vehicle 2.6 4.0 8.1 13.2 25.9 13.4 Education 3.2 3.7 6.2 7.4 11.0 7.2
• Housing is the most common item of debt across all quintiles• However, the percentage of households who are indebted
on housing was 36.0 % for the first quintile compared to 67.7% for the fifth quintile
• Similarly a larger proportion of households in the higher quintiles had debts on motor vehicle and education than those in the lower quintile
• However……..
9
Indebted households (%) by item of debt and quintile group of household income, 2012
Item of debt First Quintile
Second Quintile
Third Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Fifth Quintile
All Households
Furniture 20.4 18.8 13.5 15.8 9.1 14.3Audio-visual equipment 14.9 12.9 10.7 9.3 7.2 9.9
Household appliances 29.0 22.1 20.7 16.8 9.3 17.5
Other miscellaneous** 18.3 28.2 34.0 36.3 38.5 33.4
**Include wedding, computer, mobile phone, solar water heater and personal loans
• ……… households in the lower quintiles are more likely to be indebted on furniture, audio-visual and household appliances
10
Debt repayment components - Comparison of first and fifth income quintile of households, 2012
Monthly debt repayment Rs 2,630 Rs 13,600
Debt component
Housing 36.4 % 57.9%
Motor Vehicle 1.6 % 15.1 %
Education 2.7 % 7.1 %
Furniture 7.4 % 1.8 %
Audio -Visual Equipment 4.8 % 1.0 %
Household Appliances 14.2 % 1.1 %
Health 2.4 % 0.9 %
Other 30.5 % 15.1 %
All items 100.0% 100.0%
First Quintile Fifth Quintile
11
Debt repayment as a percentage of disposable income by quintile group of household income, 2012
• On average, an indebted households pay 18.4% of its disposable income as debt repayment
• Households in the first quintile allocate 22.8 % of the disposable income to debt repayment compared to 19.8 % for households in the fifth quintile
First Quintile
Second Quintile
Third Quintile
Fourth Quintile
Fifth Quintile
All households
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0
22.8
16.0
15.5
16.7
19.8
18.4
Debt repayment
% of household
Qui
ntile
Gro
up
12
Indebtedness- Comparison of first and fifth income quintile of households, 2012
% of households indebted 21.4 % 63.7 %
Monthly debt repayment Rs 2,630 Rs 13,600
Monthly disposable income of indebted households Rs 11,500 Rs 68,530
Debt repayment as a % of disposable income 22.8 % 19.8 %
% of households indebted on
Housing 36.0 % 67.7 %
Motor Vehicle 2.6 % 25.9 %
Education 3.2 % 11.0 %
Furniture 20.4 % 9.1 %
Audio -Visual Equipment 14.9 % 7.2 %
Household Appliances 29.0 % 9.3 %
First Quintile Fifth Quintile
13
Debt prevalence by household type, 2012
• Couple with unmarried children are more likely to be indebted– Main item of debt is housing followed by household appliances.
• Single member households are least indebted.
• Main item of debt for all type of household is housing
Couple with unmarried children
One male parent with unmarried children
One female parent with unmarried children
Couple without children
Single member household
All types of households
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
55.9
44.8
32.1
29.9
12.9
45.3
% households indebted
Hou
seho
ld T
ype
14
Indebtedness - Comparison of couple with unmarried children and couple without children, 2012
% of households indebted 55.9 % 29.9 %
Monthly debt repayment Rs 7,370 Rs 7,300
Monthly disposable income of indebted hholds Rs 37,620 Rs 37,150
Debt repayment as a % of disposable income 19.6 % 19.6 %
% of households indebted on
Housing 60.9 % 56.9 %
Motor Vehicle 13.4 % 14.6 %
Education 8.0 % 3.2 %
Furniture 13.2 % 14.1 %
Audio -Visual Equipment 9.3 % 7.1 %
Household Appliances 16.3 % 16.4 %
Couple with unmarried children
Couple without children
15
Evolution of Household Indebtedness, 2001/02 to 2012
• There has been a slight drop in the proportion of indebted households in the past 10 years, from 47.6% in 2001/02 to 45.3% in 2012
• Housing remained the main item of debt over the last 10 years• Percentage of indebted households for housing increased from 43.1 % to 57.5%
over the past 10 years. During that period, ownership of housing unit increased from 90 % to 93 %
Housing
Motor vehicle
Furniture
Audio-visual equipment
Household appliances
All items
0.0 10.020.030.040.050.060.070.0
Indebted households (%) by item of debt, 2001/02, 2006/07 & 2012
20122006/07 2001/02
% of households indebted
Item
of D
ebt
16
Evolution of debt repayment, 2001/02 to 2012
2001/02 2006/07 2012Increase
2001/02 – 2012 (%)
Average monthly debt repayment Rs 3,100 Rs 4,350 Rs 6,830 120.2 %
Average monthly disposable income-indebted household Rs 17,170 Rs 23,690 Rs 37,180 117.1%
Debt repayment as percentage of disposable income
18.1 % 18.4% 18.4%
17
Evolution of debt repayment, 2001/02 to 2012(continued)
• Average debt more than doubled in the past ten years, i.e an increase of 120.2%
• After adjusting for inflation between 2001/02 and 2012, debt repayment increased by 23.3 %
• During same period, disposable income increased by 117.1%. The real increase in income was 21.6%, lower than the increase in debt repayment
• Debt repayment as a proportion of disposable income stood at 18.4 % 2012, against 18.1 % in 2001/02 – explained by the higher increase in debt repayment
18
Evolution of debt repayment by item of debt, 2001/02 to 2012
Housing
Motor vehicle
Furniture
Audio-visual equipment
Household appliances
All items
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000
Average monthly loan repayment by item of debt, 2001/02, 2006/07 & 2012 HBS
20122006/07 2001/02
Debt repayment (Rs)
Item
of D
ebt
• The increase in debt repayment in the past ten years was highest for housing (140%), followed by motor vehicle (106%)
• Debt repayment on furniture, audio-visual equipment and household appliances increased by around 50% during the same period
19
Debt repayment on education and health, 2006/07 - 2012
• The average debt repayment on education rose by 50%, from Rs. 3,580 in 2006/07 to Rs 5,470 in 2012
• Average monthly debt repayment on health amounted to Rs 2,700 in both 2006/07 and 2012. However, the proportion of indebted households with a debt on health increased from 0.7% to 2.3% during the same period
20
Average monthly debt repayment by quintile group of household income, 2001/02 and 2012 HBS
• Households in the fifth quintile had the highest increase in debt repayment (33.6%), followed by households in the first quintile (28%)
• The lowest increase in debt repayment was observed among households in the third quintile
Quintile Group
Average monthly debt repayment by indebted households (Rs)
2001/02 2012 Real increase (%) in
debt repayment 2001/02-2012
First Quintile 1,150 2,630 28.0Second Quintile 1,360 2,910 19.3Third Quintile 1,990 3,710 4.3Fourth Quintile 2,750 5,590 13.9
Fifth Quintile 5,700 13,600 33.6
All households 3,100 6,830 23.3
21
Debt repayment as a percentage of disposable income
Quintile GroupDebt repayment as percentage of
disposable income Percentage increase from 2001/02 -
20122001/02 2012 Debt Repayment Disposable
IncomeFirst Quintile 18.7 22.8 128.6 87.4Second Quintile 14.8 16.0 113.0 96.0Third Quintile 16.5 15.5 86.2 98.3Fourth Quintile 17.2 16.7 103.4 110.1Fifth Quintile 19.7 19.8 138.6 137.3All households 18.1 18.4 120.2 117.1
• Debt repayment as a percentage of disposable income increased for the first and second quintiles, the increase being higher for the first quintile
• The increase in the debt repayment for these two quintiles was higher than that of their disposable income
22
Thank you