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How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD IRP/NIA/NIH

How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

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Page 1: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD

IRP/NIA/NIH

Page 2: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t
Page 3: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Family Society Organ Cell

Individual

Today

Seconds

Hours

Days

Years

Page 4: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Can we age gracefully?

1. Eat and drink well in good company 2. Exercise (aerobic, resistance and core) 3. Fight afternoon fatigue 4. Change the way you think about aging 5. Sleep well 6. Avoid chronic inflammation (belly fat and oral health) 7. Stay connected 8. Don’t smoke 9. Get busy, have fun, learn something new 10. See regularly your doctor 11. Check your hearing and vision

Page 5: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

What and How Much We Eat and Drink

Page 6: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

The retardation of aging in mice by dietary restriction: longevity, cancer, immunity and lifetime energy intake.

Weindruch R, et al. (1986). Journal of Nutrition, April, 116(4), pages 641-54.

Page 7: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Caloric restriction reduces age-related and all-cause mortality in rhesus monkeys Ricki J. Colman et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS | 5:3557 | DOI: 10.1038

Page 8: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Impact of caloric restriction on health and survival in rhesus monkeys from the NIA study Julie A. Mattison et al.

3 1 8 | N AT U R E | VO L 4 8 9 | 1 3 S E P T E M B E R 2 0 1 2

Page 9: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Intentional Weight Loss and All-Cause Mortality: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials

Stephen B. Kritchevsky et al. PLoS ONE 2015;10(3): e0121993

Page 10: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

The Science of Fat After ‘The Biggest Loser,’ Their Bodies Fought to Regain Weight Contestants lost hundreds of pounds during Season 8, but gained them back. A study of their struggles helps explain why so many people fail to keep off the weight they lose. By GINA KOLATA MAY 2, 2016

Page 11: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t
Page 12: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

A 2-Year Randomized Controlled Trial of Human Caloric Restriction: Feasibility and Effects on Predictors of Health Span and Longevity

Eric Ravussin et al. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015, Vol. 70, No. 9, 1097–1104

Page 13: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

A 2-Year Randomized Controlled Trial of Human Caloric Restriction: Feasibility and Effects on Predictors of Health Span and Longevity

Eric Ravussin et al. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2015, Vol. 70, No. 9, 1097–1104

Page 14: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Olive oil ≥4 tbsp/day

Tree nuts and peanuts† ≥3 servings/wk

Fresh fruits ≥3 servings/day

Vegetables ≥2 servings/day

Fish (especially fatty fish), seafood ≥3 servings/wk

Legumes ≥3 servings/wk

Sofrito ≥2 servings/wk

White meat Instead of red meat

Wine with meals ≥7 glasses/wk

Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease with a Mediterranean Diet

Ramón Estruch, et al.

N Engl J Med 2013; 14:368

Page 15: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease with a Mediterranean Diet

Ramón Estruch, et al.

N Engl J Med 2013; 14:368

Page 16: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Low-Fat Dietary Pattern and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease The Women's Health Initiative Randomized Controlled Dietary Modification Trial Barbara V. Howard et al. JAMA. 2006;295(6):655-666

This long-term dietary intervention in postmenopausal women, intended to reduce fat intake and increase intake of vegetables, fruits, and grains . . did not reduce risk of CHD or stroke . . . possibly this was because of low compliance.

Page 17: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

A Decades-Old Study, Rediscovered, Challenges Advice on Saturated Fat By ANAHAD O'CONNOR APRIL 13, 2016 12:04 AM April 13, 2016 12:04 am

Minnesota Coronary Experiment (1968 to 1973), study of diets of more than 9,000 people at state mental hospitals and a nursing home. Half of those subjects were fed meals rich in saturated fats from milk, cheese and beef. The remaining group ate a diet in which much of the saturated fat was removed and replaced with corn oil, an unsaturated fat that is common in many processed foods today. A diet low in saturated fat and enriched with corn oil reduced cholesterol (14% versus 1% in controls) but not mortality. In fact, the greater the drop in cholesterol, the higher the risk of death during the trial.

Ramsden CE et al. Re-evaluation of the traditional diet-heart hypothesis: analysis of recovered data from Minnesota Coronary Experiment (1968-73). BMJ. 2016 Apr 12;353:i1246.

Page 18: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

The Fast Food Study

Change Over Time in IL-6 According to Meal Type

0 60 120 180 240 300 360 420 480 0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

Fast-Food Like Meal Healthy Meal

Log(

IL-6

, pg/

mL)

Time (min)

* *

#

#

#

* p<.05 # p<.01

Fat

Page 19: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Diff

eren

ce %

Cho

lest

erol

Bet

wee

n M

eals

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Diff

eren

ce %

Cho

lest

erol

Bet

wee

n M

eals

-0.5

0.0

0.5

VLDL IDL LDL HDL

Lipoprotein Fraction Number

5101520253035

Tim

e (m

inut

es)

0

60

120

180

240

300

360

420

480

540

600

-0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

VLDL IDL LDL

HDL

Difference % Cholesterol Saturated vs Unsaturated

FatMeal

% C

hole

ster

ol

0

2

4

6

8

10

Saturated fat mealPolyunsaturated fat meal

% C

hole

ster

ol

0

2

4

6

8

10

% C

hole

ster

ol

0

2

4

6

8

10

Diff

eren

ce %

Cho

lest

erol

Bet

wee

n M

eals

-0.5

0.0

0.5

Baseline

240 minutes

480 minutes

* * * * *

* * *

*

*

* * *

* * *

Page 20: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

What about Exercise

Page 21: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Men Women

World record times for running 5,000 meters according to age and sex.

Luigi

Page 22: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t
Page 23: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Dose of Jogging and Long-Term Mortality. The Copenhagen City Heart Study Peter Schnohr et al. JACC 2015; 5:411-419

Page 24: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Leisure Time Physical Activity and Mortality A Detailed Pooled Analysis of the Dose-Response Relationship Hannah Arem, et al.

Page 25: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

0

5

10

15

20

0

5

10

15

Level of Physical Activity Level of Physical Activity

Level of Physical Activity Level of Physical Activity

Men, Age 65 yrs

Men, Age 75 yrs Women, Age 75 yrs

Women, Age 65 yrs

DLE ALE

Never Smoked Ever Smoked

Low Mod High

Life

Exp

ecta

ncy (

yrs)

Li

fe E

xpec

tanc

y (yr

s)

Never Smoked Ever Smoked

Never Smoked Ever Smoked Never Smoked Ever Smoked

Low Mod High Low Mod High Low Mod High

Low Mod High Low Mod High Low Mod High Low Mod High

Smoking, physical activity, and active life expectancy. Ferrucci L et al. Am J Epidemiol. 1999 Apr 1;149(7):645-53.

Page 26: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Effect of Structured Physical Activity on Prevention of Major Mobility Disability in Older Adults. The LIFE Study Randomized Clinical Trial Marco Pahor et al. JAMA. 2014;311(23):2387-2396.

Page 27: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

N = 611, BLSA subjects

Coun

ts p

er D

ay

Schrack et al, JGMS 2014

<60 60 – 67 68 – 74 > 75

Time (minutes)

Page 28: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

N = 611, BLSA subjects

Coun

ts p

er m

inut

e

<60 60 – 67 68 – 74 > 75

Schrack et al, JGMS 2014

Time (hours)

Page 29: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Attitude about Aging

Page 30: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Age Stereotypes Held Earlier in Life Predict Cardiovascular Events in Later Life Becca R. Levy, Alan B. Zonderman, Martin D. Slade, and Luigi Ferrucci

Psychol Sci. 2009 Mar; 20(3): 296–298.

Page 31: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Association of Positive Age Stereotypes with Lower Repeated Measures of Cortisol over Time for Older Participants

Becca R. Levy et al. A Buffer against Chronic Stress: Positive Aging Self-stereotypes Predict Reduced Cortisol over Time. Submitted

Page 32: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Association of Age Stereotypes with Hippocampal-Volume Decline over Time

A Buffer against Chronic Stress: Positive Aging Self-stereotypes Predict Reduced Cortisol over Time

Becca R. Levy, Scott Moffat, Susan M. Resnick, Martin D. Slade, and Luigi Ferrucci

Association of Age Stereotypes with AD Neuropathology at Autopsy

Page 33: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Lower Neuroticism and Higher Conscientiousness in ASYMAD vs AD Conversely, high N and low C predict AD (Alz & Dementia 2013)

Neurobiology of Aging 2013

Page 34: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Sleep

Page 35: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Self-Reported Sleep and β-Amyloid Deposition in Community-Dwelling Older Adults Adam P. Spira et al. Psychol Sci. 2009 Mar; 20(3): 296–298.

>7hrs <7hrs 7hrs

Page 36: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Avoid Inflammation

Page 37: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Walking Ferrucci et al. JAGS 1999;47: 639-44

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

-0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3

Ln (IL-6)

Pro

babi

lity

of

Mob

ility

Dis

abili

ty

2.5 pg/ml

Adjusted probability

95% CI

95% CI

Interleukin-6 Serum Levels Predict Incident Disability A Case Cohort Study Nested in the EPESE

Page 38: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

InCHIANTI (N=914; FU=6 years)

IL-6 is a Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Predictor of Comorbidity

0

1

2

3

4

5

60 70 80 90

Age

Num

ber o

f Chr

onic

Dis

ease

s Reference High Baseline IL6 High Baseline and faster increase of IL6 over time

Fabbri E et al. - J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2015 Jan;70(1):63-70.

Page 39: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Chronic intestinal inflammation alters hippocampal neurogenesis

Svetlana Zonis et al. Journal of Neuroinflammation (2015) 12:65

DSS=Dextran Sodium Sulphate; DCX=cytoplasmic marker doublecortin; Ki-67= nuclear, green

Page 40: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Avoid Belly Fat: Abdominal obesity is associated with higher level of inflammatory markers and dietary intervention that reduce abdominal obesity also reduce inflammation

Page 41: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Standard Uptake Value Ratio

Standard Uptake Value Ratio

Apo-E4 Carriers Apo-E4 Non Carriers

High CAL3

High CAL3

Low CAL3

Low CAL3

Periodontal disease associates with higher brain amyloid load in normal elderly

Angela R. Kamer et al. Neurobiol Aging. 2015 February ; 36(2): 627–633

Page 42: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t
Page 43: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t over-exert – Exercise after the

age of forty won’t keep you young and may, if overdone, hasten old age.

• “If you are already ‘middle-aged’ don’t play or work to the point of being ‘short of breath’”.

• “Don’t indulge in ‘diet fads’ in the hope of staying young. If you want to give up eating eggs or drinking milk, it’s probably all right – provide you substitute other items which are equally nutritious”.

• “Don’t try to substitute vitamin pills for the vitamins in ‘normal all around diet.”

• “There is no indication that alcoholic beverages, or smoking – in moderation – have any affect on longevity”

The Baltimore New Post – October 1950

Page 44: How Long Can and Should We Live Luigi Ferrucci, MD, PhD ...€¦ · So far they can give you only few pointers. A few of the “don’ts” Dr. Shock said, are these: • “Don’t

Thank you for your attention!