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8/16/2019 How to Invest in Rare Coins
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/how-to-invest-in-rare-coins 1/16
HOW TO INVEST IN RARE COINS:
8 Things
You Needto Know toMaximize Your
Returns
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A coin collection can be not only an interesting
diversification in a well-balanced portfolio, but also a
vehicle for wealth building. While collectors possess an
unquenchable desire to carefully collect and study their coins,
those who are armed the best with knowledge stand to benefitthe most.
Since the turn of the 21st century, the rare coin marketplace
has changed substantially, providing collectors with plenty of
opportunities to hone their knowledge.
The Internet is responsible for the biggest change because
it has made coins easier to acquire, sell and study. With the
rise of this new marketplace and all the additional access to
information, the study of coins as an investment is as importantas ever.
On top of that, recent improvements in coin grading and
authentication by services like Professional Coin Grading
Service and Numismatic Guaranty Corp. have cleared the way
for enhanced consistency in the marketplace in an era when
counterfeiters are improving their craft. The major gradingservices are quite skilled in identifying the new counterfeit
coins entering the marketplace from China and elsewhere, and
they strive for consistent grading.
All the information the Internet makes available about
coins and their values can be overwhelming, and one cannot
become an expert at spotting counterfeits overnight. But
when preparation is combined with an exacting eye and an
awareness of what is happening in the market, significantinvestment opportunities can become a reality.
COIN WORLD EXCLUSIVE:
HOW TOINVEST IN
RARE COINS
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For generations, successful investing in coins has, like in
the case of John Jay Pittman Jr., been synonymous with putting
together a well-thought-out collection. Many of the greatest
collections sold are the result of systematic purchasing over
a long period of time, characterized by strong relations with
dealers, and a willingness to take advantage of buying
opportunities when they present themselves.Pittman, while financially comfortable, never had substantial
wealth. Yet—over the course of decades of careful collecting—
he was able to build a collection that was auctioned in 1997 for
more than $30 million.
David W. Akers, who sold Pittman’s collection, said it best,
writing: “John was not a wealthy man, except in knowledge.”
With his budget, Pittman purchased rare coins in the best
condition he could afford. He took advantage of buyingopportunities when they appeared, like when he traveled in
1954 to Cairo, Egypt, to attend the auctions of the grand coin
collection of King Farouk of Egypt.
Pittman’s Proof 1833 Capped Head gold $5 half eagle realized
$467,500 at the Pittman auction in 1997. Pittman had purchased
it from the Farouk auction in 1954 for just $635. In January
2005 the same coin—now certified Proof 67—sold for $977,500.
While the acquisition price of $635 was a substantial amount ofmoney in 1954, Pittman’s willingness to buy the best he could
afford and to “stretch” when acquiring truly rare coins reaped
substantial dividends for his heirs.
So while the rare coin marketplace has shifted in the 21st
century because technology makes collecting easier and
research more accessible, it is still up to the collector to become
the expert. The following are some of the key understandings
necessary to master the expertise of collecting as aninvestment.
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The Internet has been a game-changer for coin collecting.
As collectors and investors have become more comfortable
using the web to evaluate coin purchases, the buying process
has changed.Auctions have gained prominence as collectors are now
more at ease bidding online, and online storage and digital
photography has greatly improved the presentation of coins
online. The offerings of non-U.S.-based auction houses—once
nearly inaccessible to most collectors in the United States—are
now easy to find online.
The end result: Collectors have more options than ever
before for buying coins.The Internet has also allowed better research into coin pricing
as searching auction records online is now very easy. Auction
houses reveal their final selling prices online—often illustrated—
allowing would-be bidders to get a better understanding of a
coin’s price history and place better-informed bids.The information revolution has been a boon to coin buyers.
It’s a little more complicated for coin sellers.
The increased availability and transparency of coins’
purchase histories has forced many dealers to lower their
profit margins. On top of that, easy-to-place online bidding
has reduced the need for dealer representation of clients at
auctions over the past decade.
The web’s benefits for coin buyers, however, should notdiminish the value of face-to-face interaction with dealers.
1. Embrace the Internet
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Though the web is an amazing tool for collectors, loss of dealer
representation can be to a buyer’s detriment. Building a good
working relationship with a dealer is a key component in
putting together a great collection.
While many collectors mistakenly think that all coins
are offered at auction, the truth is that many more salesare transacted privately, and a good relationship with a
knowledgeable dealer can provide a coin buyer access
to further acquisition opportunities and valuable “inside
information” on the coins offered at auction.
In an era of collectors connecting with coins and one another
online, the role of the coin show has also shifted as more
national-level coin shows have emerged.
The largest shows include the Florida United Numismatistsconvention in January and the summer American Numismatic
Association World’s Fair of Money, which traditionally rotates
among several cities (though in 2011 and from 2013 to 2015 was
located in the Chicago area).
The Central States Numismatic Society also hosts a major
convention in the spring.
One can add to the list of major shows the three-times-annual Long Beach Coin, Stamp & Collectibles Expo in
California, the three Whitman Coin and Collectibles Expos
each year in Baltimore, and a smaller ANA convention in
the spring. These shows are held in addition to regional and
local shows taking place across the country each weekend.
Collectors and dealers have never had more options in
selecting among major coin shows.
Also on hand at major coin shows are major grading services,which play a key role in upping the value of your collection.
2. Dealers and shows continue to be criticalresources for coin investment opportunities
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Are your coins certified?
Just about every investment quality coin out there today is
certified and encapsulated (or “slabbed”) by one of several major
grading services. Those slabbed by Professional Coin Grading
Service and Numismatic Guaranty Corp. enjoy the most liquidity,
but coins certified by ANACS and Independent Coin Grading are
also very marketable. All four services employ consistent grading
and excellent counterfeit detection.
For collectors and investors, having coins certified provides
several advantages, the most notable of which is the grading
guarantee that the services offer. Grading services guarantee
the grade and authenticity of the coins that they certify. If a buyer
believes that he or she purchased an overgraded, misattributed
or counterfeit certified coin, a coin buyer can send the coin back
to the grading service in the original slab for re-examination. Thegrading service will work out a remedy in the rare event that a
mistake was made.
Not covered by grading services’ guarantees, which can be
found at the services’ websites, are clerical or “mechanical” errors,
including dates on holders that don’t match the date on the coin
and other obviously incorrect designations. The term “mechanical
errors” extends to obviously incorrect variety attributions and
clearly misidentified coins. Coins in holders exhibiting tamperinggenerally do not qualify for grading service guarantees.
Changes in a coin’s numismatic status are also not covered. For
example, some numismatists believe that 1856 Flying Eagle cents
are Proofs and others consider them circulation strikes. If futureresearch indicates that all 1856 Flying Eagle cents are indeed
Proofs, the grading service guarantee would not cover resulting
value changes.
For copper coins, each service has different standards for
guaranteeing color, since the color and surfaces of copper coins
can change after grading, because of environmental factors.
So once a collector gets a coin certified, its value is locked in and
not up for questioning, right?Not exactly.
3. Get certified
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4. Value is variableCoins certified by different grading services—PCGS,
NGC, ANACS, etc.—often trade at different values, the
result of both perceived and actual differences in the
grading standards used by the grading services.
Why would a coin graded by PCGS trade for more or
less than a comparable coin graded by NGC?
In some specific series and even in grades within a
series, the market has expressed a preference for one
grading service over the other. That can be seen in higher
prices realized in auctions when coins graded by both
services are offered in the same sale.
When purchasing a coin—especially an expensive
one—you owe it to yourself to look into the many different
pricing resources accessible online. Auction results from
the major coin auction houses are easily found online, sobe sure to check them out and track how much the coin
you’re targeting is selling for in the market.
Because auctions bring together a willing buyer and
willing seller in a transparent public forum, auction
prices can provide the clearest indication of fair market
value. The prices achieved at public auction are good
comparables that you can use—along with a dose of
common sense and a dash of caution—when figuring outwhat a coin is worth and how much you should pay for it.
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While there is surely more consistency in the
marketplace today than in 1986 when PCGS was founded,
grading is still an art and not a science. That means the
same coin submitted to different grading services at
different points in time may be returned with different
grades, depending on the grader who examined the coin,
and shifting grading standards over time.
With standards changing over time, some coins
may trade for more than expected because the buyer
believes that the coin may upgrade. For example, About
Uncirculated 58 coins are often purchased by collectors
who intend to resubmit them to the grading services in
hopes of getting a Mint State 61 or MS-62 grade.
The difference in price between grades can often be
substantial, making the “crack out” game potentially
profitable for those confident in their grading skills and
having a decent appetite for risk.
Some of the coin types most frequently resubmitted for
grading include:
• Small-sized gold coins, including gold dollars and
gold quarter eagles
• Indian Head $2.50 quarter eagles and $5 half eagles
• Beautifully toned coins
• Rare dates
• Lightly cleaned coins
Enough to think about? If your head isn’t already
spinning, consider that even within a specific grade,
coins can be rated below-average, average and above-
average. To reflect those next-level ratings, several newoptions have emerged in the last few years.
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5. Go between thegrades
Even within one grade, some coins are nicer than others, and
the market has struggled to come up with a way to meaningfullyand consistently identify these “PQ”—premium quality—coins.
Some credit the “stickering” phenomenon to Rick Snow, who
introduced his Eagle Eye Photo Seal in 1996. Later, NGC began
to identify especially nice coins through the use of its Star
designation. A star on the grading insert on the slab signifies that
a coin has exceptional eye appeal for a given grade.
“To receive a star, coins must be free of any obvious planchet
irregularities, and display no bothersome spots or blemishes,” NGC
explains. “Toned coins can be of a single color or multicolored but
cannot have any areas that are dark brown, approaching black.”
The coin market responded positively to the NGC Star
designation, but by and large, the stars identified coins that
were already selling for premiums in the market because of their
superior eye appeal.
For years, a gap existed in identifying coins that were simply
solid for the grade. Certified Acceptance Corp. began accepting
submissions of PCGS- and NGC-certified coins in 2007. The
company is not a grading service in a traditional sense, but
instead, applies a CAC sticker that signifies that the coin meets
CAC standards for a given grade. The marketplace has come to
accept CAC sticker—the green “solid-for-the-grade” sticker and
gold “candidate-for-an-upgrade” sticker—as a signifier of a coin
that is premium quality.
Observing collectors’ and dealers’ positive reception of
CAC-stickered coins led PCGS and NGC to announce on
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March 25, 2010, that they were introducing Plus designations to
formally signify that a coin is high end for the grade. PCGS also
announced that day its new PCGS Secure Plus system, which
digitally captures a unique “fingerprint” of each coin and enters
it into a permanent database where the system can detect when
the same coin is resubmitted.
PCGS President Don Willis stated, “The process can help
detect if a previously registered coin has been artificially toned,
dipped or processed in some other way in an effort to get a
higher grade.”
NGC continues to use both the Plus and the Star designation,
and while the coin market has accepted that coins with stars, CAC
stickers and plus signs are worth more, the degrees of increase in
value for each are still being defined. Especially for Plus designated
coins, the number of coins evaluated for this designation is small inproportion to the total number of coins on the market.
The absence of a CAC sticker, a plus sign or an NGC star does
not mean that a coin is not superior quality—it could mean only
that the coin has not been evaluated for the added designation.
In recent years other services have entered the marketplace
to sticker certified coins that are nice for their grades. These
include WINGS, which reviews world coins, tokens and medals
to determine if they are premium quality (WINGS gold sticker)or solid for the grade (WINGS silver sticker). Quality Assurance
Company places a QA Check sticker to verify solid quality
PCGS- or NGC-graded modern-era U.S. coins. Additionally,
MACge identifies 17 copyrighted Grade Enhancement
categories on certified and encapsulated modern coins, such as
a Full Split Thumb designation on Walking Liberty half dollars.
A sticker or Plus designation solidifies a grade that a service
determines. On the other end of the spectrum, it’s possible for a
determined grade to be faulty, and you need to be aware of how.
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6. Look out for“doctored” coins
“Coin doctoring is the action of a person, or the enabling of another, to alter
a coin’s surface or appearance, usually to diminish or conceal defects, andthereby represent the condition or value of a coin as being superior to its
actual condition or value,” the Professional Numismatists Guild said in 2010.
The PNG definition listed some of the processes that would be
considered “coin doctoring,” including:
• Effacing hairlines by polishing or manipulating the surfaces of Proof
coins.
• Applying substances to the surface of coins to hide marks and
defects.
• Hiding marks or otherwise changing the appearance of a
coin by adding toning.
• Adding chemicals or otherwise manipulating the surfaces to create
cameo frost on the devices of Proof coins.
• Making a coin appear more fully struck by re-engraving portions of
the devices, such as re-engraving bands on the reverse of a Winged
Liberty Head dime or adding head detail to a Standing Liberty
quarter dollar.
• Altering dates or Mint marks or other struck portions of a coin to make
it appear to be from a Mint, date or type other than that of origin.
• Altering circulation-strike coins to make them resemble Proof issues.
“This definition is not intended to be all-inclusive, but only illustrative
of forms of coin doctoring,” PNG says.
Perhaps the definition was too specific, because on Jan. 5, 2011, at theFUN convention in Tampa, the PNG membership voted 45 to 2 to remove
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the expanded definition. The PNG determined that a sentence in the
membership code requiring members “to refrain from knowingly
dealing in counterfeit, altered, repaired or ‘doctored’ numismatic items
without fully disclosing their status to my customers” is sufficient.
Unfortunately, coin “doctoring” is a dark area of the rare coin market
that defies easy categorization and definition.
The problem of “doctored coins” came to the forefront on May 13,
2010, when Collectors Universe Inc., the parent company of PCGS,
filed a lawsuit in a federal district court accusing several coin dealers
of various illegal acts related to allegedly submitting “doctored” coins
to PCGS for grading on multiple occasions over a period of years.
Both PCGS and NGC have stated in their dealer agreements that
dealers will not knowingly submit coins that have been doctored and
the PCGS lawsuit sought to establish coin “doctoring” as a federal
crime.
The lawsuit brought up a key problem with “doctored” coins: they
change over time in the holders. While the coins may defy detection
at first, over time the chemicals applied to the coins’ surfaces create
notable changes in the appearance, revealing their “doctored” nature.
While that lawsuit was dismissed on Dec. 13, 2010, it brought the
issue of coin “doctoring” into the open as never before, and both PCGS
and NGC have responded with improved detection techniques aimedat helping detect “doctored” coins and fakes. The guarantees offered
by the grading services provide an extra layer of protection.
Even with those protections now in place, the best protection against
buying “doctored” coins is educating oneself on how coins age over
time and what genuine coins look like, and working with trusted dealers
who can guide potential investors toward high-quality coins that appear
to have original surfaces.
“Doctored” coins can do you in if you’re not careful. But so can thefinest of certified, authentic coins.
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Another development of the past decade has been the
increasing popularity of collecting by PCGS and NGC registry
sets. These programs allow collectors to record the certified
coins in their collections and compete with other collectors,primarily for “bragging rights” of having the finest collection.
Participating in the registry programs is free and provides
collectors with a sense of community. But, perhaps the
programs’ main success for the grading service is in placing
pressure at the very top end of the market, especially for
modern coins.
For example, a coin may be common in Proof 69 Deep
Cameo yet be prohibitively rare in Proof 70 Deep Cameo. InJanuary 2004, Heritage Auctions sold a PCGS Proof 70 Deep
Cameo 1969-S Lincoln cent for $40,250. In contrast, PCGS Proof
69 Deep Cameo Lincoln cents can be readily found for under
$500, such as one that sold at a Jan. 11, 2015, Heritage auction
for $493.50.Later, that Proof 70 Deep Cameo cent developed several
small spots and PCGS bought it back under its grading
guarantee, as it no longer graded Proof 70.
Even the grading services are beginning to advise collectors
to be cautious when purchasing low-population common
coins for stratospheric prices. Mark Salzberg, NGC’s chairman,
warned collectors at the FUN convention on Jan. 8, 2011, that he
saw what may be a speculative price bubble forming for suchcoins.
7. Beware price bubbles
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He cited the example of a 1944 Walking Liberty half dollar
graded MS-68 by PCGS that realized $109,250 at an Aug. 10,
2010, Heritage auction. MS-67 examples were routinely trading
at the time at the $1,000 to $1,500 level and at a February 2015
Heritage auction a PCGS MS-67 example with light toning sold
for a reasonable $1,292.50.
His message was that while some coins are truly rare,
many extremely high prices achieved in the marketplace for
otherwise common 20th century coins of exceptionally high
grade may not be fully justified from a value perspective.
When looking at coins for investment purposes, look at rarity
both in an absolute sense and a relative sense. Questions to
ask when evaluating a coin for investment purposes include:
• Is a coin rare because there are few known of the issue ortype, or is a coin rare because it is the finest known?
• Is this the type of coin that has historically been valued by
collectors?
• Is this the type of coin that future generations of collectors
would likely covet?
• Is this price justified from a value perspective and is there
room for appreciation in the figure?Going through this exercise will help a potential buyer
identify the marketplace for a given coin in the future, because
for coins to be held as an investment, one hopes for price
appreciation, which is only possible if demand is sustained for
a given coin.
Investing is about getting a great return on your rare coin
collection, but if you don’t pull yourself away from the cold,
hard facts once in awhile and see the big picture, you won’t beas successful.
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8. Listen to the timeless adviceof Q. David Bowers
Legendary numismatic figure and Coin
World columnist Q. David Bowers is by
far the most prolific author of numismatic
books. He co-founded the major auction
house Stack’s Bowers, began dealing in
coins as a teenager in the early 1950s,
has sold just about every major rare U.S.
coin that exists, and has been writing on
the numismatic hobby since the 1950s.
He wrote the “Coins as Investments”
chapter in the Millennium Edition of the
Coin World Almanac. In it, he provides
sage advice in suggesting one have a “holistic” relationship with numismatics. On a
“holistic” relationship, Bowers wrote:
“By this I mean that the whole is worth more than the sum of the parts. A modest
amount of time spent reading and studying coins, plus some intelligent buying, will
not only reward you with a nice coin collection but should, over a period of time, give
you much collecting enjoyment and the possibility for really super investment.”Bowers suggests that time spent in understanding grading, chatting with other
collectors about good dealers, and generally becoming a knowledgeable collector
will enable far greater returns on an investment in rare coins. His advice holds as true
in 2015 as it did in 2000.
Ultimately, the best coin investments are made when investors are engaged with their
coins, when they take a connoisseur’s approach to collecting and arm themselves with
knowledge about the coins they collect, build relationships with the dealers who make
the markets move, and develop a love of numismatics beyond simply the pursuit ofgood investment returns.
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So in conclusion …Being a successful coin investor requires a number of tools.
You need to be able to value coins beyond their sticker price and develop a keen eye for doctored coins, while
also understanding how a coin gets its grade, how grading services can differ, and how available certain coins are
at certain grades.
It is critical that an investor be both web-savvy and able to develop quality personal connections with dealers
who have knowledge and experience the investor might lack.
Quite the toolbox, right?
Luckily, there is one place where you can find expert content that will help you hone all of these skills—Coin World.
Grow your knowledge with the best in numismatic news and information. Established in 1960 and a
leader ever since, Coin World offers a variety of means to holistically grow your knowledge and
understanding of the hobby.
Whether you prefer to consume our unrivaled content online or in a traditional
print format, we have you covered:
• Our renowned weekly and monthly
Coin World magazines available in both print
and digital formats.
• CoinWorld.com, home to over 5,000 free
coin articles and updated daily.
• Our free email newsletter, which delivers
personalized numismatic news and
valuation information directly to your
inbox.
• Our engaging and informative
Facebook and Twitter pages.
• A community of thousands of
collectors who share your passion
and interests.