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How Weight Control Belief Impacts Smoking and
Quitting Among Students:
Evidence from South Carolina
Vahé Heboyan1 & Andy Pope2
presentation at the
Center for Nursing
Research (CNR) Seminar
October 10, 2014
{1} Assistant Professor, Health & Behavioral Economics, Dept. of Health Management and Informatics
{2} Clinical Assistant Professor, Health Promotion, Education, and Behavior, University of South Carolina.
Introduction | smoking facts
Tobacco is the leading cause of preventable and premature deathin US [1].
443,000 people die annually due to tobacco use.
Annually costs over $210 billion in direct medical costs and lostproductivity.
Over 3,800 young people under 18 years of age smoke their firstcigarette every day and over 1,000 become daily smokers.
Vast majority of these young Americans will become addicted tonicotine by young adulthood.
2Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Introduction | smoking facts
Smoking causes more deaths each year than all of these combined[2]:
AIDS/HIV
Heroine, Cocaine use
Alcohol use
Motor vehicle injuries
Firearm-related incidents
40% of young adults 18-24 years of age attended college in 2013 [3].
exposed to peer-smoking, secondhand smoke, and tobacco industry promotions
19% of young adults initiate smoking at 18-24; almost none initiates after age 25 [1].
90% smokers started smoking by age 18
99% started by age 26
progression from occasional to daily smoking almost always occurs by age 26.
3Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Introduction | weight gain concern
Belief that smoking helps to control weight is usual among youth and young adults
For some, this is an important factor in deciding to use tobacco
This belief increases with smoking experience
Is higher among women
Mixed findings regarding the association between weight gain concern and smoking decisions Initiation
Smoking frequency and quantity
Quitting
Relapse
4Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Introduction | body image and smoking
Health beliefs, including weight gain concern andbody image, are among important factors drivingsmoking and quitting decisions
Can significantly impact effectiveness of smokingcessation programs and policies, especially onuniversity campuses.
Weight gain concerns may prevent or delay quittingdecisions by young adults resulting in lifetimepatterns and potentially affect long-term health.
5Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Objective
estimate …
prevalence of weight control belief, and
its association with cigarette consumption and
quitting behavior by socio-economic, demographic,
and behavioral characteristics among university
students.
6Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Data
Cross-sectional data are collected during 2013 from four public universities
in SC.
All students (5,622) were invited and 1,339 students (24%) completed an
online extensive questionnaire measuring
tobacco use
quitting behavior
beliefs about smoking and quitting
social norming
socio-economic and demographic factors.
Question of Interest has asked of how much they agree or disagree with
the “Someone who quits smoking will probably gain weight” statement.
7Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Methods
(1) Descriptive Analysis
(2) Regression Modeling
A Tobit model is used to estimate the effects of regressors including weight gain belief on cigarette consumption.
This approach allows to model the corner solution outcome observed in cigarette consumption, which takes on the value of zero with positive probability but is continuous over strictly positive values.
𝐶𝑖 = 𝐱𝑖𝜷 + 𝑢𝑖 for all positive cigarette consumption
0 otherwise
where
Ci is the number of cigarettes smoked over the past 30 days
xi is a set of regressors (including belief about weight gain due to quitting) that are hypothesized to affect the amount of cigarette consumption. control for socio-economic, demographic, and behavioral factors as well as tobacco use status as
described.
8Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Current use of tobacco among students … (n=1,336)
prevalence of cigarette use in SC among adults and youth: 23%
15%
5% 5%
1%
8%
1%
21%
19%
11%
14%
12%
1%
17%
9%
7%
5%
9%
1%
Cigarette Cigar e-cigarette Smokelesstobacco
Hookah Other
Female Male Total
9Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Smoking Initiation (n=470)
1%
4%
26%
45%
19%
5%
1% 0%
8 years old oryounger
9 - 11 12 - 14 15 - 17 18 - 20 21 – 23 24 - 26 27 or older
10Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Results | Belief about Weight Gain
Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 201411
Smokers: majority believes that quitting may lead to weight gain
Slightly more among women
Non-Smokers: majority does not believe that quitting leads to weight gain
All students Students who smokeStudents who do not
smoke
Female Male Female Male Female Male
Strongly agree 7.4 % 8.5 % 15.2 % 16.7 % 6.0 % 5.9 %
Somewhat agree 33.1 % 31.8 % 39.2 % 35.6 % 32.0 % 30.7 %
Somewhat disagree 28.3 % 35.1 % 22.8 % 34.4 % 29.3 % 35.7 %
Strongly disagree 31.2 % 24.6 % 22.8 % 13.3 % 32.7 % 27.7 %
“Someone who quits smoking will probably gain weight”
Results
12Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Results | Regression
Statistically significant associations …
Those who believed quitting will probably lead to weight gain, in average, smoke 54 more cigarettes per month.
Those who believe that nonsmokers are more attractive, in average, smoke 68 cigarettes less per month.
Older students tends to smoke more.
Smoking spouse/partner increases smoking by 44 per month.
African Americans smoke 102 less cigarettes per month than whites.
13Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Results |
Weight Gain Belief and Intention to Quit among Current Smokers
14Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Someone who quits smoking will probably gain weight
Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree
What best describes your intention to quit? All students Female Male
In the future, not in the next 6 months 21.1 % 28.6 % 21.2 % 31.7 % 20.9 % 23.4 %
In the next 6 months 8.3 % 7.9 % 9.1 % 6.3 % 7.0 % 10.6 %
In the next month 13.8 % 11.9 % 18.2 % 10.1 % 7.0 % 14.9 %
Not sure 44.9 % 39.7 % 42.4 % 39.2 % 48.8 % 40.5 %
Do not expect to quit 11.9 % 11.9 % 9.1 % 12.7 % 16.3 % 10.6 %
Females who disagree with belief, show higher intention to quit.
49% female vs 35% male
A significant portion (≈40-48%) uncertain about quitting.
Effective target for health promotion ?
of those who currently smoke … (216 of 1,244a)
Why would you like to quit smoking? Check up to 4.
2
5
7
10
14
17
18
18
21
27
39
45
56
68
Smoking ban
Non-smoking friends or peers
Motivated or pressured by others
Advice from medical staff
Effect of smoking on others’ health
Please someone whose opinion matters to me
Look or feel more attractive
Negative image of smoking
Be a role model
Prove I can do it
Feel better about myself
Fear of illness or death
Cost of smoking
Health concerns
number of choices (out of 347)
15Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
a out of 3 schools
of those who reported having quit for 1 day or longer … (201 of 1,244a)
During your most recent attempt to stop smoking for 1 day or longer because
you were trying to quit smoking, what were your top 4 reasons for doing so?
4
11
12
16
21
24
26
30
39
41
52
58
71
80
Smoking ban
Advice from medical staff
Non-smoking friends or peers
Motivated or pressured by others
Effect of smoking on others’ health
Be a role model
Negative image of smoking
Look or feel more attractive
Prove I can do it
Please someone whose opinion matters to me
Fear of illness or death
Feel better about myself
Cost of smoking
Health concerns
number of choices (out of 485)
16Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
a out of 3 schools
of those who reported having quit for 30 days or longer … (156 of 1,339)
since your last successful quit for 30 days or longer, what were the 2
(two) most significant reasons you began smoking AGAIN:
2
3
4
5
6
14
15
17
18
30
52
Side effects of medications that help you quit
Cost (expenses) of quitting
Other
Weight gain
Being in a relationship with someone who smokes
Withdrawal (cravings, mood swings)
Activities associated with smoking
Life-changing events
Social pressures
Enjoyed smoking
General life stress
Number of responses (out of 156)
17Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Results
Compared to SC adult smokers (23%, 2012 BRFSS), only 15% of female and 21% of male students were smoking cigarettes.
Majority initiated in late teens and young adulthood
Almost none initiated after 24 years of age
Young adults who smoke agree that quitting will lead to weight gain compared to non-smokers.
Women slightly more
Those who believe quitting will lead to weight gain, smoke significantly more.
Females who disagree with weight gain belief, show higher intention to quit.
18Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Conclusions
Even though, weight gain concern affects amount of cigarette smoking, it is not among the primary factors affecting decisions to relapse or quit smoking.
Effective health promotion campaigns and messaging to educate young adults is needed.
Impact of smoking on weight gain
Stress management
Financial implications of smoking
Suggesting alternative weight control mechanisms (e.g. physical activity, nutrition) may lead to decrease in the concern over weight gain due to quitting.
19Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Select References
1. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS). Preventing Tobacco Use Among Youth and
Young Adults: A Report of the Surgeon General. Atlanta, GA: U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention
and Health Promotion, Office on Smoking and Health, 2012.
2. Mokdad AH, Marks JS, Stroup DF, Gerberding JL. Actual Causes of Death in the United States. JAMA:
Journal of the American Medical Association 2004;291(10):1238–45.
3. US Census Bureau. Enrollment Status of the Population 3 Years Old and Over, by Sex, Age, Race,
Hispanic Origin, Foreign Born, and Foreign-Born Parentage: October 2013. Available at:
http://www.census.gov/hhes/school/data/cps/2013/Tab01-01.xls
4. Shang C, FJ Chaloupka; GT Fong; M Thompson; M Siahpush; W Ridgeway. “The impact of weight
control belief on cigarette consumption among Adults: Findings from the ITC Project.” The American
Society of Health Economists (ASHEcon), June 22-25, University of Southern California, Los Angeles,
CA.
5. Whooley MA, Avins AL, Miranda J, Browner WS. “Case-finding instruments for depression. Two
questions are as good as many”. Journal of General Internal Medicine, 1997 Jul;12(7):439-45.
20Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 2014
Georgia Regents University | Dr. Vahé Heboyan | a presentation at the CNR Seminar | Oct 10, 201421
Thank you!
How Weight Control Belief Impacts Smoking and Quitting
Among Students:
Evidence from South Carolina
Vahé Heboyan1 & Andy Pope2