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Human Failures Human Failures inin
Accidents Accidents
New Zealand Helicopter Association
A FEW ACCIDENTS… Chernobyl (USSR) 1986
$12 billion US cost to the Soviet economy
Exxon Valdez, Alaska (USA) 1989
Oil Spill: 11 million US gallons
Flying Tigers, B747, (Malaysia) 1989
4 crew killed, aircraft destroyed
Deepwater Horizon, Gulf of Mexico (USA) 2010
4.9 million barrels of oil spilt
Costa Concordia, Guam (USA) 2012
32 people drowned
Hindenburg, New Jersey (USA) 1937
35 people killed
Mars Climate Orbiter, Mars (Space) 1998 - 1999
$1 billion spacecraft lost
Union Carbide Plant, Bhopal, (India) 1984
Approx. 8000 dead
STS Challenger, Florida (USA) 1986
7 astronauts killed
ZK-HJN, Lake Manapouri, (New Zealand) 2000
5 dead
ZK-SML, Mount Duppa, (New Zealand) 2011
1 dead
RMS Titanic, Atlantic Ocean, 1912
1500 dead
What do these accidents/incidents/disasters have in common ?
Human Human FailuresFailuresHuman Human ErrorsErrors
HUMAN ERROR
EVEN EXPERTS CAN MAKE ERRORS
An ErrorUnintentional deviation from organizational expectations or crew intentions (the best people can make the worst errors)
A Violation (Intentional Non-compliance)?Intentional deviation from organizational expectations or crew intentions
ERRORS AND VIOLATIONS
TYPES OF ERORS
Slips – attention failure (omission, reversal, mis-ordering, mistiming)
Lapses – memory failure (omitting planned items, place-losing, forgetting intentions)
Mistakes
Rule based (misapplication of a good rule or application of a bad rule)
Knowledge based – inaccurate or incomplete system mental model
TYPES OF ERRORS
Slips – attention failure (omission, reversal, mis-ordering, mistiming)
Lapses – memory failure (omitting planned items, place-losing, forgetting intentions)
Mistakes
Rule based (misapplication of a good rule or application of a bad rule)
Knowledge based – inaccurate or incomplete system mental model
WHAT ABOUT VIOLATIONS ?
Routine – habitual departures from rules and regulations
Situational – deviation from procedures or rules needed to get the job done due to a mismatch between a work situation and available procedures or rules
Optimising - individual satisfying other motives (excitement, impressing others, cutting corners…)
WHAT ABOUT THREATS ….
An external event or object that a crew has to deal with that could become consequential to safety
WHAT TO DO ?Design systems to be error tolerant (system still functions after an error has been made)
Design systems to be error proof (design prevents an error being made at all or makes it difficult for an error to be made)
Train personnel to try and avoid making errors and/or
detect the errors that have been made and correct them
and/or limit the effects of errors that
already been made.
WHAT TO DO ABOUT ERRORS ?
Train personnel so well that they do not make errors
Install computers to prevent human error
Design systems to be error tolerant (system still functions after an error has been made)
Design systems to be error proof (design prevents an error being made at all or makes it difficult for an error to be made)
Use other safeguards and defences (checklists)
What do these accidents/incidents/disasters have in common ?
Human Human FailuresFailuresHuman Human ErrorsErrors
Non-technical Skill Non-technical Skill FailuresFailures
N.T.S. – OUR SKILL BASE
Technical Skills
Company Personnel
Non Technical Skills
Accident
Technical Skills Failure
Non-Technical Skills Failure
Timeline
FAILURES AND ACCIDENTS
70% of accidents due to NTS failures
DECISION MAKING
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS
Information acquisition and processing
Workload management
Leadership and managerial skills
Threat and error management
Stress and stress management
Cultural factors
Communication
Fatigue and fatigue management
Automation
N.T.S. CORE ELEMENTSAutomation Issues:
Mode Confusion
Mode Error such as…
Selecting incorrect mode,
Misreading a display,
Missing mode transitions,
Assuming it is turned on,
Not understanding logic
Training ?
Basic Skills ?
IN THE BEGINNING…
THEN…
A QUANTUM LEAP ? …
NOW… LOTS OF AUTOMATION
THEN…
NOW…
DECISION MAKING
SITUATIONAL AWARENESS
Information acquisition and processing
Workload management
Leadership and managerial skills
Threat and error management
Stress and stress management
Cultural factors
Communication
Fatigue and fatigue management
Automation
N.T.S. CORE ELEMENTS
NZ Helicopter Occurrences 2000 - 2013
ACCIDENTS AND PAX NUMBERS
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
Boeing ICAO
HULL LOSSES PER MILLION DEPARTURES GROWTH IN TRILLIONS OF RPK
TECHNICAL FAILURES v NON-TECHNICAL SKILL FAILURES
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
100
80
60
40
20
0
TECHNILOGICAL FAILURES
HUMAN PERFORMANCE
Hollnagel
TRENDS IN ATTRIBUTED ACCIDENT CAUSES
NON-TECHNICAL SKILL FAILURES
Landmark Accidents
Tenerife 1977
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: TENERIFE 1977
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: Kegworth 1989
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: Valujet 1996
LANDMARK ACCIDENTS: Chicago 1979
Who should undergo NTS training ?
Flight Crew
Cabin Crew
Maintenance Engineers
Other Operational Safety Critical Personnel
Management
Link your NTS training program to your SMSLink your NTS training program to your SMS
Understand personal limitations
Improve awareness, knowledge and skills
Change attitudes, modify behaviours
Improve cross-functional collaboration
Develop adaptive capacity (personally and organisationally)
Improve SAFETY and efficiency
NTS TRAINING BENEFITS
Source: Ascend /Aviation Safety Network/Flight Safety Foundation
SOME SOBERING NUMBERS (2013)
Airline Fatalities: 265 29 accidents
Road Fatalities: 1.24 million USD $580 billion
Passenger Numbers: 3.1 billion 32,500,000 flights
Medical Fatalities: 3.5 million 223,000,000 procedures
Thanks forThanks for your time your time
New Zealand Helicopter Association
Contact:Glen Eastlake, Queenstown, New Zealand0274 963 [email protected]