IENG 302 Lecture 11

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    1/10

    1

    Benefit Cost Analysis

    Typical ly used fo r publ ic pro jects

    The goal is to determine if benefi ts exceed

    costs :

    Benefi t / Cost Ratio > 1

    The goal is NOT to maxim ize B/C Ratio.

    Interest rates u sed are typically low er than

    those used by businesses. Typ ical ly 4% - 8% (6.5% is typic al)

    OMB requires 10% (except w ater p roj .)

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    2/10

    2

    Benefit Cost Analysis

    The chal lenge is to quant i fy the

    benef i ts and cos ts.

    The equation

    B/C = (Benefits Disbenefi ts)to the publ ic

    (Costs)to sponsor ing agency

    You can use NPW, EAW, even NFW

    which ever is easier in a part icular prob lem .

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    3/10

    3

    Benefit Cost Analysis

    Steps:1. Def ine the p lann ing hor izon .

    2. Spec i fy the Discoun t Rate (MARR) to be used .

    3. Deve lop the cost and benef it -d isbenefi t pro f iles in

    monetary terms.

    4. Compare the benef it s to cos ts using a spec i fied

    measu re of worth , su ch as annual equivalent or

    present wor th.

    5. If th e B /C rat io is :

    > 1 project is just i f ied= 1 barely jus ti f ied pol i t ical

    < 1 no t just i f ied

    6. Repeat steps 3 5 for al ternat ive viewpo ints

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    4/10

    4

    Example

    A ci ty l ibrary is to be expanded to includ e meeting room s,

    more electronic volum es, compu ter facil i t ies, and electroniccheck- in and check-out.

    The cos t of the expansio n w il l be $700,000 and the new

    equipm ent w il l cos t anoth er $175,000.

    Maintenance and renewal of the new addi t ion and equipm entw il l run app rox imately $100,000/year.

    The l ibrary is pro jected to be in operation f or 20 years, w ith a

    residual value of 40% of first co st for th e ph ysic al faci l i t ies.

    There is no salvage value for the equ ipment. Disco un t is 8%.An estimated 150,000 people w il l visi t the l ibrary each year.

    How much addi t ional benef i t per person, per year, must the

    l ibrary vis i to rs perceive in o rder to just i fy the expansion?

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    5/10

    5

    Perspective Matters

    Suppose the l ibrary charged an annual

    fee

    Suppose the ent i re county sponsored

    The equation

    B/C = (Benefits Disbenefi ts)to pub l ic

    (Init ial Investment)by sponsor

    What is the viewpo int of a user?

    What is the viewpoint o f a non-user?

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    6/10

    7

    Incremental B/C Analysis

    MUST be used when there are mu lt ip le

    al ternat ives to choose from !

    The equation is still

    B/C = (Benefits Disbenefi ts)to the publ ic

    (Costs)to sponsor ing agency

    You can useIncr. NPW o rIncr. EAW

    which ever is easier in a part icular prob lem .

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    7/10

    8

    Incremental B/C Analysis

    Steps:1. Def ine the set of feas ib le, mu tual ly exc lus ive, pub l ic

    sector al ternat ives to be compared.

    2. Def ine the p lann ing hor izon .

    3. Deve lop the cost and benef it -d isbenefi t pro f iles in

    monetary terms for each alternat ive.

    4. Spec if y the MARR to be used .

    5. Order the al ternat ives f rom smal les t to largestCost

    6. Compare the al ternat ives us ing a spec if ied measure

    of worth, suc h as annual equiv alent, capital izedcost, or present wo rth (w ith matchin g l i fet imes).

    I f the B/C ratio is :

    > 1 higher cost project is just i f ied

    1 lower cost project is st i l l just i f ied

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    8/10

    Incremental Benefit Cost Analysis Example

    A B C D E F G

    Benefits 174 180 136 80 136 178 89

    Disbenefits 4 60 10 8 10 2 14

    Costs 100 120 90 80 70 110 50

    B D

    C

    1.7 1.0 1.4 0.9 1.8 1.6 1.5

    NotFeasible

    Cost Order: G E C A F B

    E G:

    G DN:

    C E:

    A E:

    (136 89) (10 14) = 51 = 2.55

    (70 50) 20Upgrade to E

    (136 136) (10 10) = 0 = 0

    (90 70) 20

    Keep Proj. E

    (174 136) (4 10) = 44 = 1.47

    (100 70) 30

    Upgrade to A

    (From feasibility, (B D) / C = 1.5 Upgrade to G

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    9/10

    Incremental Benefit Cost Analysis Example

    A B C D E F G

    Benefits 174 180 136 80 136 178 89

    Disbenefits 4 60 10 8 10 2 14

    Costs 100 120 90 80 70 110 50

    B D

    C

    1.7 1.0 1.4 0.9 1.8 1.6 1.5

    NotFeasible

    Cost Order: G E C A F B

    F A:

    B A:

    (178 174) (2 4) = 6 = 0.6

    (110 100) 10Keep Proj. A

    (180 174) (60 4) = 50 = 2.5

    (120 100) 20

    Best is Proj A

  • 7/27/2019 IENG 302 Lecture 11

    10/10

    Bonus Problem: B/C Build-Up Example

    Snack Frid ge Viabi l i tyData:

    110 IE & EngM students

    48% w i l l use snack fr idge instead of go ing home

    Users average (2) drin ks & (1) snack each week

    Mark-up i s 10%, dr ink p rice is $.50, sn acks $.75School year averages 32 weeks

    Fridge costs $495, lasts 8 yr s, 8% cpd annu al ly

    If they save t ime & $$ on snacks & dr ink s, they

    can buy book s , study more, and expect one of

    them to wina$5 500 national sch olarsh ip every4 years.But the vending company wi l l qui t

    do nating $300 per year to their Tech Society

    Perform a B/C analysis IE student perspect ive